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1.
Clin Infect Dis ; 74(5): 836-845, 2022 03 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34125878

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection varies geographically around the world. Yet, its underlying mechanisms are unknown. Using a nationally representative population-based sample from all 58 administrative divisions in Cameroon, we examined the association between median maternal age at first childbirth in a preceding generation, a proxy for the frequency of mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of HBV in a region, and the risk of chronic HBV infection, defined as positive surface antigen (HBsAg), in the index generation. METHODS: We estimated a division-specific median maternal age at first childbirth using Demographic Health Surveys (DHSs) conducted in 1991, 1998, 2004, and 2011. We tested HBsAg in 2011 DHS participants. We used maps to display spatial variation. RESULTS: In 14 150 participants (median age, 27 years; 51% females), the overall weighted prevalence of HBsAg was 11.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.0 to 12.8), with a wide geographical variation across the divisions (range, 6.3%-23.7%). After adjusting for confounders and spatial dependency, lower maternal age at first childbirth was significantly associated with positive HBsAg at the division level (ß, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.26 to 2.52) and at the individual level (odds ratio, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.39). A similar ecological correlation was observed across other African countries. CONCLUSIONS: The significant association between the maternal age at first childbirth and HBsAg positivity suggests a crucial role of MTCT in maintaining high HBV endemicity in some areas in Cameroon. This underlines an urgent need to effectively prevent MTCT in sub-Saharan Africa.


Assuntos
Hepatite B , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez , Adulto , Camarões/epidemiologia , Feminino , Antígenos de Superfície da Hepatite B , Vírus da Hepatite B , Humanos , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Idade Materna , Gravidez , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Prevalência
2.
J Theor Biol ; 539: 111056, 2022 04 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35150720

RESUMO

Many models of within-host malaria infection dynamics have been formulated since the pioneering work of Anderson et al. in 1989. Biologically, the goal of these models is to understand what governs the severity of infections, the patterns of infectiousness, and the variation thereof across individual hosts. Mathematically, these models are based on dynamical systems, with standard approaches ranging from K-compartments ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to delay differential equations (DDEs), to capture the relatively constant duration of replication and bursting once a parasite infects a host red blood cell. Using malariatherapy data, which offers fine-scale resolution on the dynamics of infection across a number of individual hosts, we compare the fit and robustness of one of these standard approaches (K-compartments ODE) with a partial differential equations (PDEs) model, which explicitly tracks the "age" of an infected cell. While both models perform quite similarly in terms of goodness-of-fit for suitably chosen K, the K-compartments ODE model particularly overestimates parasite densities early on in infections when the number of repeated compartments is not large enough. Finally, the K-compartments ODE model (for suitably chosen K) and the PDE model highlight a strong qualitative connection between the density of transmissible parasite stages (i.e., gametocytes) and the density of host-damaging (and asexually-replicating) parasite stages. This finding provides a simple tool for predicting which hosts are most infectious to mosquitoes -vectors of Plasmodium parasites- which is a crucial component of global efforts to control and eliminate malaria.


Assuntos
Malária Falciparum , Malária , Plasmodium , Animais , Malária Falciparum/parasitologia , Plasmodium falciparum
3.
Euro Surveill ; 27(21)2022 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35620999

RESUMO

BackgroundSARS-CoV-2 emergence was a threat for armed forces. A COVID-19 outbreak occurred on the French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle from mid-March to mid-April 2020.AimTo understand how the virus was introduced, circulated then stopped circulation, risk factors for infection and severity, and effectiveness of preventive measures.MethodsWe considered the entire crew as a cohort and collected personal, clinical, biological, and epidemiological data. We performed viral genome sequencing and searched for SARS-CoV-2 in the environment.ResultsThe attack rate was 65% (1,148/1,767); 1,568 (89%) were included. The male:female ratio was 6.9, and median age was 29 years (IQR: 24-36). We examined four clinical profiles: asymptomatic (13.0%), non-specific symptomatic (8.1%), specific symptomatic (76.3%), and severe (i.e. requiring oxygen therapy, 2.6%). Active smoking was not associated with severe COVID-19; age and obesity were risk factors. The instantaneous reproduction rate (Rt) and viral sequencing suggested several introductions of the virus with 4 of 5 introduced strains from within France, with an acceleration of Rt when lifting preventive measures. Physical distancing prevented infection (adjusted OR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.40-0.76). Transmission may have stopped when the proportion of infected personnel was large enough to prevent circulation (65%; 95% CI: 62-68).ConclusionNon-specific clinical pictures of COVID-19 delayed detection of the outbreak. The lack of an isolation ward made it difficult to manage transmission; the outbreak spread until a protective threshold was reached. Physical distancing was effective when applied. Early surveillance with adapted prevention measures should prevent such an outbreak.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Adulto , Aeronaves , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/genética
4.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 1109, 2021 Oct 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34711189

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: For the purpose of epidemiological surveillance, the Hospital University Institute Méditerranée infection has implemented since 2013 a system named MIDaS, based on the systematic collection of routine activity materials, including MALDI-TOF spectra, and results. The objective of this paper is to present the pipeline we use for processing MALDI-TOF spectra during epidemiological surveillance in order to disclose proteinic cues that may suggest the existence of epidemic processes in complement of incidence surveillance. It is illustrated by the analysis of an alarm observed for Streptococcus pneumoniae. METHODS: The MALDI-TOF spectra analysis process looks for the existence of clusters of spectra characterized by a double time and proteinic close proximity. This process relies on several specific methods aiming at contrasting and clustering the spectra, presenting graphically the results for an easy epidemiological interpretation, and for determining the discriminating spectra peaks with their possible identification using reference databases. RESULTS: The use of this pipeline in the case of an alarm issued for Streptococcus pneumoniae has made it possible to reveal a cluster of spectra with close proteinic and temporal distances, characterized by the presence of three discriminant peaks (5228.8, 5917.8, and 8974.3 m/z) and the absence of peak 4996.9 m/z. A further investigation on UniProt KB showed that peak 5228.8 is possibly an OxaA protein and that the absent peak may be a transposase. CONCLUSION: This example shows this pipeline may support a quasi-real time identification and characterization of clusters that provide essential information on a potentially epidemic situation. It brings valuable information for epidemiological sensemaking and for deciding on the continuation of the epidemiological investigation, in particular the involving of additional costly resources to confirm or invalidate the alarm. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT03626987.


Assuntos
Bactérias , Epidemias , Análise por Conglomerados , Humanos , Espectrometria de Massas por Ionização e Dessorção a Laser Assistida por Matriz , Streptococcus pneumoniae
5.
Gut ; 69(7): 1294-1300, 2020 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31907297

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the distribution and risk factors of hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection in Cameroon. DESIGN: We tested for hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen (HBsAg) and anti-HDV antibody 14 150 samples collected during a survey whose participants were representative of the Cameroonian adult population. The samples had already been tested for hepatitis C virus and HIV antibodies. RESULTS: Overall, 1621/14 150 (weighted prevalence=11.9%) participants were HBsAg positive, among whom 224/1621 (10.6%) were anti-HDV positive. In 2011, the estimated numbers of HBsAg positive and HDV seropositives were 1 160 799 and 122 910 in the 15-49 years age group, respectively. There were substantial regional variations in prevalence of chronic HBV infection, but even more so for HDV (from 1% to 54%). In multivariable analysis, HDV seropositivity was independently associated with living with an HDV-seropositive person (OR=8.80; 95% CI: 3.23 to 24.0), being HIV infected (OR=2.82; 95% CI: 1.32 to 6.02) and living in the South (latitude <4°N) while having rural/outdoor work (OR=15.2; 95% CI: 8.35 to 27.6, when compared with living on latitude ≥4°N and not having rural/outdoor work). CONCLUSION: We found evidence for effective intra-household transmission of HDV in Cameroon. We also identified large differences in prevalence between regions, with cases concentrated in forested areas close to the Equator, as described in other tropical areas. The reasons underlying these geographical variations in HDV prevalence deserve further investigation.


Assuntos
Hepatite D/epidemiologia , Vírus Delta da Hepatite , Adolescente , Adulto , Camarões/epidemiologia , Características da Família , Feminino , Geografia Médica , Hepatite D/etiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Adulto Jovem
6.
Ann Clin Microbiol Antimicrob ; 19(1): 4, 2020 Jan 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31969141

RESUMO

Rift Valley Fever (RVF) is an emerging zoonotic arbovirus with a complex cycle of transmission that makes difficult the prediction of its expansion. Recent outbreaks outside Africa have led to rediscover the human disease but it remains poorly known. The wide spectrum of acute and delayed manifestations with potential unfavorable outcome much complicate the management of suspected cases and prediction of morbidity and mortality during an outbreak. We reviewed literature data on bio-clinical characteristics and treatments of RVF human illness. We identified gaps in the field and provided a practical algorithm to assist clinicians in the cases assessment, determination of setting of care and prolonged follow-up.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Febre do Vale de Rift , Animais , Vetores Artrópodes/virologia , Bunyaviridae/isolamento & purificação , Bunyaviridae/patogenicidade , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Humanos , Gado/virologia , Febre do Vale de Rift/diagnóstico , Febre do Vale de Rift/patologia , Febre do Vale de Rift/terapia , Febre do Vale de Rift/transmissão , Zoonoses/virologia
7.
Intervirology ; 62(2): 51-56, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31307046

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Differential diagnosis between acute-phase Zika and dengue is challenging because of a similar clinical presentation and the lack of available molecular diagnosis tools in most of endemic areas. OBJECTIVES: Our study aimed to evaluate the use of simple laboratory parameters to differentiate these infections. METHODS: We retrospectively compared simple hematology and biochemistry values in 81 and 341 patients with confirmed Zika and dengue, respectively, collected from June 2013 to March 2014 during the French Polynesia outbreaks. RESULTS: Thrombocytopenia, neutropenia, leukopenia, lymphopenia, and elevated aspartate aminotransaminases were significantly more frequent in dengue than in Zika (p < 0.001). Platelets <100 × 109/L, neutrophils <0.5 × 109/L, lymphocytes <0.5 × 109/L, and aspartate aminotransaminases >100 IU/mL were found in dengue but not in Zika. The positive predictive value of the -association of leukocytes <4 × 109/L + lymphocytes <1 × 109/L + aspartate aminotransaminases >40 IU/mL for the diagnosis of dengue was 90%, with an accuracy of 82.4%. CONCLUSION: For the differential diagnosis between acute-phase Zika and dengue, there is no specific standard laboratory pattern. We identified cutoff values and a combination of laboratory parameters that are a strong argument against Zika and in favor of dengue.


Assuntos
Técnicas de Laboratório Clínico/métodos , Dengue/diagnóstico , Infecção por Zika virus/diagnóstico , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Aspartato Aminotransferases/sangue , Bioquímica/métodos , Dengue/sangue , Vírus da Dengue , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Hematologia/métodos , Humanos , Masculino , Polinésia , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Curva ROC , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto Jovem , Zika virus , Infecção por Zika virus/sangue
8.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 19(1): 38, 2019 03 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30837003

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: When outbreak detection algorithms (ODAs) are considered individually, the task of outbreak detection can be seen as a classification problem and the ODA as a sensor providing a binary decision (outbreak yes or no) for each day of surveillance. When they are considered jointly (in cases where several ODAs analyze the same surveillance signal), the outbreak detection problem should be treated as a decision fusion (DF) problem of multiple sensors. METHODS: This study evaluated the benefit for a decisions support system of using DF methods (fusing multiple ODA decisions) compared to using a single method of outbreak detection. For each day, we merged the decisions of six ODAs using 5 DF methods (two voting methods, logistic regression, CART and Bayesian network - BN). Classical metrics of accuracy, prediction and timelines were used during the evaluation steps. RESULTS: In our results, we observed the greatest gain (77%) in positive predictive value compared to the best ODA if we used DF methods with a learning step (BN, logistic regression, and CART). CONCLUSIONS: To identify disease outbreaks in systems using several ODAs to analyze surveillance data, we recommend using a DF method based on a Bayesian network. This method is at least equivalent to the best of the algorithms considered, regardless of the situation faced by the system. For those less familiar with this kind of technique, we propose that logistic regression be used when a training dataset is available.


Assuntos
Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Surtos de Doenças , Modelos Teóricos , Vigilância da População , Humanos
9.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 19(1): 81, 2019 03 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30922348

RESUMO

Following publication of the original article [1], the authors reported that one of the authors' names is spelled incorrectly.

10.
Euro Surveill ; 24(22)2019 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31164189

RESUMO

On 20 April 2017, an outbreak of histamine food poisoning occurred in a French military unit located near Paris. A total of 40 cases were identified (attack rate: 16.6%). We conducted a case-control study on 31 cases and 63 controls. Multivariate analysis pointed to cooked yellowfin tuna fillet as the very likely source of food poisoning (odds ratio = 156.8; 95% confidence interval: 18.4-1,338.4). The fresh yellowfin tuna was from Reunion Island and was supplied vacuum-sealed and packed with ice at the principal food market of Paris. No cold chain issues could be established in the upstream and downstream supply chains. Histamine concentration was found to be 1,720 mg/kg in leftover raw tuna, and 3,720 mg/kg in control cooked tuna, well above the threshold limit values defined by European regulations (200 mg/kg). The presence of Klebsiella variicola and Pantoea agglomerans, microorganisms of the Enterobacterales order that have been reported to produce histamine, was confirmed in the leftover raw tuna. This type of food poisoning is rarely recognised and confirmed. We describe the outbreak to highlight the specific key points of this type of investigation.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças , Contaminação de Alimentos , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/sangue , Histamina/sangue , Militares , Alimentos Marinhos/intoxicação , Adolescente , Adulto , Animais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/diagnóstico , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/epidemiologia , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Alimentos Marinhos/microbiologia , Atum/microbiologia , Adulto Jovem
11.
Malar J ; 16(1): 345, 2017 08 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28818084

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The measure of new drug- or vaccine-based approaches for malaria control is based on direct membrane feeding assays (DMFAs) where gametocyte-infected blood samples are offered to mosquitoes through an artificial feeder system. Gametocyte donors are identified by the microscopic detection and quantification of malaria blood stages on blood films prepared using either capillary or venous blood. However, parasites are known to sequester in the microvasculature and this phenomenon may alter accurate detection of parasites in blood films. The blood source may then impact the success of mosquito feeding experiments and investigations are needed for the implementation of DMFAs under natural conditions. METHODS: Thick blood smears were prepared from blood obtained from asymptomatic children attending primary schools in the vicinity of Mfou (Cameroon) over four transmission seasons. Parasite densities were determined microscopically from capillary and venous blood for 137 naturally-infected gametocyte carriers. The effect of the blood source on gametocyte and asexual stage densities was then assessed by fitting cumulative link mixed models (CLMM). DMFAs were performed to compare the infectiousness of gametocytes from the different blood sources to mosquitoes. RESULTS: Prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum asexual stages among asymptomatic children aged from 4 to 15 years was 51.8% (2116/4087). The overall prevalence of P. falciparum gametocyte carriage was 8.9% and varied from one school to another. No difference in the density of gametocyte and asexual stages was found between capillary and venous blood. Attempts to perform DMFAs with capillary blood failed. CONCLUSIONS: Plasmodium falciparum malaria parasite densities do not differ between capillary and venous blood in asymptomatic subjects for both gametocyte and trophozoite stages. This finding suggests that the blood source should not interfere with transmission efficiency in DMFAs.


Assuntos
Capilares/parasitologia , Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Parasitemia/epidemiologia , Plasmodium falciparum/isolamento & purificação , Veias/parasitologia , Adolescente , Camarões/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Malária Falciparum/parasitologia , Masculino , Parasitemia/parasitologia , Prevalência
12.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 16: 33, 2016 Mar 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26968948

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Most studies of epidemic detection focus on their start and rarely on the whole signal or the end of the epidemic. In some cases, it may be necessary to retrospectively identify outbreak signals from surveillance data. Our study aims at evaluating the ability of change point analysis (CPA) methods to locate the whole disease outbreak signal. We will compare our approach with the results coming from experts' signal inspections, considered as the gold standard method. METHODS: We simulated 840 time series, each of which includes an epidemic-free baseline (7 options) and a type of epidemic (4 options). We tested the ability of 4 CPA methods (Max-likelihood, Kruskall-Wallis, Kernel, Bayesian) methods and expert inspection to identify the simulated outbreaks. We evaluated the performances using metrics including delay, accuracy, bias, sensitivity, specificity and Bayesian probability of correct classification (PCC). RESULTS: A minimum of 15 h was required for experts for analyzing the 840 curves and a maximum of 25 min for a CPA algorithm. The Kernel algorithm was the most effective overall in terms of accuracy, bias and global decision (PCC = 0.904), compared to PCC of 0.848 for human expert review. CONCLUSIONS: For the aim of retrospectively identifying the start and end of a disease outbreak, in the absence of human resources available to do this work, we recommend using the Kernel change point model. And in case of experts' availability, we also suggest to supplement the Human expertise with a CPA, especially when the signal noise difference is below 0.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Modelos Estatísticos , Humanos , Saúde Pública
13.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 21(8): 1414-7, 2015 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26196525

RESUMO

To determine when risk for Buruli ulcer is highest, we examined seasonal patterns in a highly disease-endemic area of Cameroon during 2002-2012. Cases peaked in March, suggesting that risk is highest during the high rainy season. During and after this season, populations should increase protective behaviors, and case detection efforts should be intensified.


Assuntos
Úlcera de Buruli/epidemiologia , Estações do Ano , Úlcera de Buruli/patologia , Camarões/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Doenças Endêmicas , Humanos
14.
Proc Biol Sci ; 282(1818): 20151426, 2015 Nov 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26538592

RESUMO

Neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) have received increasing attention in recent years by the global heath community, as they cumulatively constitute substantial burdens of disease as well as barriers for economic development. A number of common tropical diseases such as malaria, hookworm or schistosomiasis have well-documented economic impacts. However, much less is known about the population-level impacts of diseases that are rare but associated with high disability burden, which represent a great number of tropical diseases. Using an individual-based model of Buruli ulcer (BU), we demonstrate that, through feedbacks between health and economic status, such NTDs can have a significant impact on the economic structure of human populations even at low incidence levels. While average wealth is only marginally affected by BU, the economic conditions of certain subpopulations are impacted sufficiently to create changes in measurable population-level inequality. A reduction of the disability burden caused by BU can thus maximize the economic growth of the poorest subpopulations and reduce significantly the economic inequalities introduced by the disease in endemic regions.


Assuntos
Úlcera de Buruli/economia , Úlcera de Buruli/epidemiologia , Doenças Negligenciadas/economia , Pobreza , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Pessoas com Deficiência , Humanos , Modelos Econômicos , Modelos Teóricos , Doenças Negligenciadas/epidemiologia , População Rural , Fatores Socioeconômicos
15.
BMC Public Health ; 15: 228, 2015 Mar 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25886161

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Loss to follow-up (LTFU) is a cause of potential bias in clinical studies. Differing LTFU between study groups may affect internal validity and generalizability of the results. Understanding reasons for LTFU could help improve follow-up in clinical studies and thereby contribute to goals for prevention, treatment, or research being achieved. We explored factors associated with LTFU of mother-child pairs after inclusion in the ANRS 12140-Pediacam study. METHODS: From November 2007 to October 2010, 4104 infants including 2053 born to HIV-infected mothers and 2051 born to HIV-uninfected mothers matched individually on gender and study site were enrolled during the first week of life in three referral hospitals in Cameroon and scheduled for visits at 6, 10 and 14 weeks of age. Visits were designated 1, 2 and 3, in chronological order, irrespective of the child's age at the time of the visit. Mother-child pairs were considered lost to follow-up if they never returned for a clinical visit within the first six months after inclusion. Uni- and multivariable logistic regression were adjusted on matching variables to identify factors associated with LTFU according to maternal HIV status. RESULTS: LTFU among HIV-unexposed infants was four times higher than among HIV-exposed infants (36.7% vs 9.8%, p < 0.001). Emergency caesarean section (adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) = 2.46 95% Confidence Interval (CI) [1.47-4.13]), young maternal age (aOR = 2.29, 95% CI [1.18-4.46]), and absence of antiretroviral treatment for prophylaxis (aOR = 3.45, 95% CI [2.30-5.19]) were independently associated with LTFU among HIV-exposed infants. Factors associated with LTFU among HIV-unexposed infants included young maternal age (aOR = 1.96, 95% CI [1.36-2.81]), low maternal education level (aOR = 2.77, 95% CI [1.95-3.95]) and housewife/unemployed mothers (aOR = 1.56, 95% CI [1.16-2.11]). CONCLUSION: Failure to return for at least one scheduled clinical visit is a problem especially among HIV-unexposed infants included in studies involving HIV-exposed infants. Factors associated with this type of LTFU included maternal characteristics, socio-economic status, quality of antenatal care and obstetrical context of delivery. Enhanced counselling in antenatal and intrapartum services is required for mothers at high risk of failure to return for follow-up visits.


Assuntos
Antirretrovirais/administração & dosagem , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Infecções por HIV/transmissão , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/prevenção & controle , Perda de Seguimento , Mães , Camarões/epidemiologia , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Parto Obstétrico , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Lactente , Fatores Socioeconômicos
16.
BMC Pediatr ; 15: 132, 2015 Sep 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26391474

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Viral load is still the marker of choice for monitoring adherence to combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) and confirming the success of HIV treatment. Unfortunately it is difficult to access in many resource-poor settings. We aimed to measure the performance of caregiver reporting adherence for detecting virological failure in routine practice during the first 2 years after cART initiation in infants. METHODS: PEDIACAM is an ongoing prospective cohort study including HIV1-infected infants diagnosed before 7 months of age between November 2007 and October 2011 in Cameroon. Adherence was assessed using a questionnaire administered every 3 months from cART initiation; the HIV-RNA viral load was determined at the same visits. Virological failure was defined as having a viral load ≥ 1000 cp/mL at 3 and 12 months after cART initiation or having a viral load ≥ 400 cp/mL at 24 months after cART initiation. The performance of each current missed and cumulative missed dose defined according to adherence as reported by caregiver was assessed using the viral load as the gold standard. RESULTS: cART was initiated at a median age of 4 months (IQR: 3-6) in the 167 infants included. The cumulative missed dose showed the best overall performance for detecting virological failure after 12 months of cART (AUC test, p = 0.005, LR + =4.4 and LR- = 0.4). Whatever the adherence reporting criterion, the negative predictive value was high (NPV ≥ 75%) 12 and 24 months after cART initiation, whereas the positive predictive value was low (PPV ≤ 50%). CONCLUSIONS: The adherence questionnaire administered by the health care provider to the infants' caregivers is not reliable for detecting virological failure in routine practice: its positive predictive value is low. However, the cumulative missed dose measurement may be a reliable predictor of virological success, particularly after 12 months of cART, given its high negative predictive value.


Assuntos
Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Cuidadores , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , HIV-1/genética , Adesão à Medicação , Carga Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Camarões/epidemiologia , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , RNA Viral/análise , Falha de Tratamento
17.
Int J Health Geogr ; 13: 44, 2014 Oct 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25344052

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The mode of transmission of the emerging neglected disease Buruli ulcer is unknown. Several potential transmission pathways have been proposed, such as amoebae, or transmission through food webs. Several lines of evidence have suggested that biting aquatic insects, Naucoridae and Belostomatidae, may act as vectors, however this proposal remains controversial. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Herein, based on sampling in Cameroon, we construct an ecological niche model of these insects to describe their spatial distribution. We predict their distribution across West Africa, describe important environmental drivers of their abundance, and examine the correlation between their abundance and Buruli ulcer prevalence in the context of the Bradford-Hill guidelines. RESULTS: We find a significant positive correlation between the abundance of the insects and the prevalence of Buruli ulcer. This correlation changes in space and time, it is significant in one Camerounese study region in (Akonolinga) and not other (Bankim). We discuss notable environmental differences between these regions. CONCLUSION: We interpret the presence of, and change in, this correlation as evidence (though not proof) that these insects may be locally important in the environmental persistence, or transmission, of Mycobacterium. ulcerans. This is consistent with the idea of M. ulcerans as a pathogen transmitted by multiple modes of infection, the importance of any one pathway changing from region to region, depending on the local environmental conditions.


Assuntos
Úlcera de Buruli/transmissão , Ecossistema , Mapeamento Geográfico , Hemípteros , Insetos Vetores , Mycobacterium ulcerans/isolamento & purificação , Animais , Úlcera de Buruli/epidemiologia , Camarões/epidemiologia , Humanos , Insetos Vetores/microbiologia
18.
Malar J ; 12: 87, 2013 Mar 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23496931

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Approximately 125 million travellers visit malaria-endemic countries annually and about 10,000 cases of malaria are reported after returning home. Due to the fact that malaria is insect vector transmitted, the environment is a key determinant of the spread of infection. Geo-climatic factors (such as temperature, moisture, water quality) determine the presence of Anopheles breeding sites, vector densities, adult mosquito survival rate, longevity and vector capacity. Several studies have shown the association between environmental factors and malaria incidence in autochthonous population. The association between the incidence of clinical malaria cases among non-immune travellers and environmental factors is yet to be evaluated. The objective of the present study was to identify, at a country scale (Ivory Coast), the environmental factors that are associated with clinical malaria among non-immune travellers, opening the way for a remote sensing-based counselling for malaria risk prevention among travellers. METHODS: The study sample consisted in 87 cohorts, including 4,531 French soldiers who travelled to Ivory Coast, during approximately four months, between September 2002 and December 2006. Their daily locations were recorded during the entire trip. The association between the incidence of clinical malaria and other factors (including individual, collective and environmental factors evaluated by remote sensing methods) was analysed in a random effect mixed Poisson regression model to take into account the sampling design. RESULTS: One hundred and forty clinical malaria cases were recorded during 572,363 person-days of survey, corresponding to an incidence density of 7.4 clinical malaria episodes per 1,000 person-months under survey. The risk of clinical malaria was significantly associated with the cumulative time spent in areas with NDVI > 0.35 (RR = 2,42), a mean temperature higher than 27°C (RR = 2,4), a longer period of dryness during the preceding month (RR = 0,275) and the cumulative time spent in urban areas (RR = 0,52). CONCLUSIONS: The present results suggest that remotely-sensed environmental data could be used as good predictors of the risk of clinical malaria among vulnerable individuals travelling through African endemic areas.


Assuntos
Malária/epidemiologia , Microclima , Viagem , Adolescente , Adulto , Animais , Estudos de Coortes , Côte d'Ivoire , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tecnologia de Sensoriamento Remoto/métodos , Adulto Jovem
19.
J Visc Surg ; 160(6): 407-416, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37481414

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The management of penetrating abdominal wounds has greatly benefited from the development of computed tomography (CT), particularly in stable patients. In this setting, the scanner is the reference examination. Our study aims to evaluate the performance of preoperative CT in the assessment of penetrating abdominal lesions. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Between January 1, 2015 and January 1, 2022, 81 patients were hospitalized following penetrating abdominal trauma at the Army Training Hospitals of Sainte-Anne and Laveran. Fifty-one stable patients who had an abdominopelvic CT scan and thereafter underwent abdominal surgery (laparotomy or laparoscopy) were included. Radiological and surgical data were collected from the electronic record and compared by a descriptive analysis (calculation of the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value of the CT for the detection of lesions of the various organs) and by a correlation of the CT findings with surgical findings using Kripendorff's alpha coefficient. RESULTS: The cohort was largely male (n=45; 88%), with injuries by knife wound in 62.7% of cases (n=32) and gunshot in 35.3% (n=18) of cases. The median age was 36years (25-47). The median index of severity score (ISS) was 17 (10-26). Excellent agreement between predicted and actual findings was obtained for solid organs (α=0.801) with high sensitivity and specificity (81.8% and 96.6%, respectively). The largest discrepancies were observed for the hollow organs (α=26.2%, sensitivity of 53.3% and specificity of 76.2%) and the diaphragm (α=67.3%, sensitivity 75%, specificity 92.3%). Surgical exploration was non-therapeutic for five patients (9.8%). The failure rate for non-operative treatment was 10% (n=1). CONCLUSION: CT detection of solid organ lesions in patients with penetrating abdominal wounds is excellent. However, the detection of hollow organ and diaphragmatic wounds remains a challenge with a risk of over- and underdiagnosis. Laparoscopic exploration should be able to fill in the gaps in the CT findings.


Assuntos
Traumatismos Abdominais , Ferimentos por Arma de Fogo , Ferimentos Penetrantes , Ferimentos Perfurantes , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Ferimentos Penetrantes/diagnóstico por imagem , Ferimentos Penetrantes/cirurgia , Ferimentos por Arma de Fogo/cirurgia , Traumatismos Abdominais/diagnóstico por imagem , Traumatismos Abdominais/cirurgia , Laparotomia , Estudos Retrospectivos
20.
Mil Med ; 188(5-6): e1084-e1093, 2023 05 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34697624

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Antibiotics are growth promotors used in animal farming. Doxycycline (DOXY) is a tetracycline antibiotic taken daily and continued 1 month after return to protect against malaria during travel and deployment in endemic areas. We evaluated DOXY impact on body weight in military international travelers. MATERIEL AND METHODS: A prospective cohort analysis was conducted in 2016-2018, recruiting 170 French soldiers before a 4-month assignment overseas. Many clinical data including anthropometric measures by an investigator were collected before and after deployment. Weight gain was defined by an increase of 2% from baseline. The study protocol was supported by the French Armed Forces Health Services and approved by the French ethics committee (IRB no. 2015-A01961-48, ref promoter 2015RC0). Written, informed consent was obtained with signature from each volunteer before inclusion. RESULTS: After deployment, 84 soldiers were followed up. Overall, 38/84 (45%) were deployed to Mali with DOXY malaria prophylaxis, and others were deployed to Iraq or Lebanon without malaria prophylaxis according to international recommendations. Body weight increased in 24/84 (30%), of whom 14/24 (58%) were exposed to DOXY. In bivariate analysis, DOXY had a positive but not significant effect on weight gain (P-value = .4). In the final logistic regression model (Fig. 3), weight gain after deployment positively correlated with an increase in waist circumference (odds ratio [OR] 1.23 with 95% CI [1.06-1.47]) suggesting fat gain; with sedentary work (OR 5.34; 95% CI [1.07-31.90]); and with probiotic intake (OR 5.27; 95% CI [1.51-20.40]). Weight impact of probiotics was more important when associated with DOXY intake (OR 6.86; 95% CI [1.52-38.1]; P-value = .016). CONCLUSIONS: Doxycycline (DOXY) malaria prophylaxis during several months did not cause significant weight gain in soldiers. Further studies are required in older and less sportive traveling populations, and to investigate a cumulative effect over time and recurrent DOXY exposure. Doxycycline (DOXY) may enhance other growth-promoting factors including fatty food, sedentariness, and strain-specific probiotics contained in fermented dairy products which are also used as growth promotors.


Assuntos
Malária , Militares , Animais , Humanos , Doxiciclina/uso terapêutico , Estudos Prospectivos , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Peso Corporal
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