A new test for trait mean and variance detects unreported loci for blood-pressure variation.

Variability in quantitative traits has clinical, ecological, and evolutionary significance. Most genetic variants identified for complex quantitative traits have only a detectable effect on the mean of trait. We have developed the mean-variance test (MVtest) to simultaneously model the mean and log-variance of a quantitative trait as functions of genotypes and covariates by using estimating equations. The advantages of MVtest include the facts that it can detect effect modification, that multiple testing can follow conventional thresholds, that it is robust to non-normal outcomes, and that association statistics can be meta-analyzed. In simulations, we show control of type I error of MVtest over several alternatives. We identified 51 and 37 previously unreported associations for effects on blood-pressure variance and mean, respectively, in the UK Biobank. Transcriptome-wide association studies revealed 633 significant unique gene associations with blood-pressure mean variance. MVtest is broadly applicable to studies of complex quantitative traits and provides an important opportunity to detect novel loci.

Sex modifies the effect of genetic risk scores for polycystic ovary syndrome on metabolic phenotypes.

Females with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), the most common endocrine disorder in women, have an increased risk of developing cardiometabolic disorders such as insulin resistance, obesity, and type 2 diabetes (T2D). While only diagnosable in females, males with a family history of PCOS can also exhibit a poor cardiometabolic profile. Therefore, we aimed to elucidate the role of sex in the cardiometabolic comorbidities observed in PCOS by conducting bidirectional genetic risk score analyses in both sexes. We first conducted a phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) using PCOS polygenic risk scores (PCOSPRS) to identify potential pleiotropic effects of PCOSPRS across 1,380 medical conditions recorded in the Vanderbilt University Medical Center electronic health record (EHR) database, in females and males. After adjusting for age and genetic ancestry, we found that European (EUR)-ancestry males with higher PCOSPRS were significantly more likely to develop hypertensive diseases than females at the same level of genetic risk. We performed the same analysis in an African (AFR)-ancestry population, but observed no significant associations, likely due to poor trans-ancestry performance of the PRS. Based on observed significant associations in the EUR-ancestry population, we then tested whether the PRS for comorbid conditions (e.g., T2D, body mass index (BMI), hypertension, etc.) also increased the odds of a PCOS diagnosis. Only BMIPRS and T2DPRS were significantly associated with a PCOS diagnosis in EUR-ancestry females. We then further adjusted the T2DPRS for measured BMI and BMIresidual (regressed on the BMIPRS and enriched for the environmental contribution to BMI). Results demonstrated that genetically regulated BMI primarily accounted for the relationship between T2DPRS and PCOS. Overall, our findings show that the genetic architecture of PCOS has distinct sex differences in associations with genetically correlated cardiometabolic traits. It is possible that the cardiometabolic comorbidities observed in PCOS are primarily explained by their shared genetic risk factors, which can be further influenced by biological variables including sex and BMI.

Interactive network-based clustering and investigation of multimorbidity association matrices with associationSubgraphs.

MOTIVATION: Making sense of networked multivariate association patterns is vitally important to many areas of high-dimensional analysis. Unfortunately, as the data-space dimensions grow, the number of association pairs increases in O(n2); this means that traditional visualizations such as heatmaps quickly become too complicated to parse effectively. RESULTS: Here, we present associationSubgraphs: a new interactive visualization method to quickly and intuitively explore high-dimensional association datasets using network percolation and clustering. The goal is to provide an efficient investigation of association subgraphs, each containing a subset of variables with stronger and more frequent associations among themselves than the remaining variables outside the subset, by showing the entire clustering dynamics and providing subgraphs under all possible cutoff values at once. Particularly, we apply associationSubgraphs to a phenome-wide multimorbidity association matrix generated from an electronic health record and provide an online, interactive demonstration for exploring multimorbidity subgraphs. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: An R package implementing both the algorithm and visualization components of associationSubgraphs is available at https://github.com/tbilab/associationsubgraphs. Online documentation is available at https://prod.tbilab.org/associationsubgraphs_info/. A demo using a multimorbidity association matrix is available at https://prod.tbilab.org/associationsubgraphs-example/.

Altered extracellular matrix-related pathways accelerate the transition from normal to prefibroid myometrium in Black women.

BACKGROUND: Black women experience a disproportionate impact of uterine fibroids compared to White women, including earlier diagnosis, higher frequency, and more severe symptoms. The etiology underlying this racial disparity remains elusive. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the molecular differences in normal myometrium (fibroid-free uteri) and at-risk myometrium (fibroid-containing uteri) tissues in Black and White women. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted whole-genome RNA-seq on normal and at-risk myometrium tissues obtained from both self-identified Black and White women (not Hispanic or Latino) to determine global gene expression profiles and to conduct enriched pathway analyses (n=3 per group). We initially assessed the differences within the same type of tissue (normal or at-risk myometrium) between races. Subsequently, we analyzed the transcriptome of normal myometrium compared to at-risk myometrium in each race and determined the differences between them. We validated our findings through real-time PCR (sample size range=5-12), western blot (sample size range=5-6), and immunohistochemistry techniques (sample size range=9-16). RESULTS: The transcriptomic analysis revealed distinct profiles between Black and White women in normal and at-risk myometrium tissues. Interestingly, genes and pathways related to extracellular matrix and mechanosensing were more enriched in normal myometrium from Black than White women. Transcription factor enrichment analysis detected greater activity of the serum response transcription factor positional motif in normal myometrium from Black compared to White women. Furthermore, we observed increased expression levels of myocardin-related transcription factor-serum response factor and the serum response factor in the same comparison. In addition, we noted increased expression of both mRNA and protein levels of vinculin, a target gene of the serum response factor, in normal myometrium tissues from Black women as compared to White women. Importantly, the transcriptomic profile of normal to at-risk myometrium conversion differs between Black and White women. Specifically, we observed that extracellular matrix-related pathways are involved in the transition from normal to at-risk myometrium and that these processes are exacerbated in Black women. We found increased levels of Tenascin C, type I collagen alpha 1 chain, fibronectin, and phospho-p38 MAPK (Thr180/Tyr182, active) protein levels in at-risk over normal myometrium tissues from Black women, whereas such differences were not observed in samples from White women. CONCLUSION: These findings indicate that the racial disparities in uterine fibroids may be attributed to heightened production of extracellular matrix in the myometrium in Black women, even before the tumors appear. Future research is needed to understand early life determinants of the observed racial differences.

Uterine leiomyomata and keloids fibrosis origins: a mini-review of fibroproliferative diseases.

Diseases such as uterine leiomyomata (fibroids and benign tumors of the uterus) and keloids (raised scars) may share common etiology. Fibroids and keloids can co-occur in individuals, and both are highly heritable, suggesting they may share common genetic risk factors. Fibroproliferative diseases are common and characterized by scarring and overgrowth of connective tissue, impacting multiple organ systems. These conditions both have racial disparities in prevalence, with the highest prevalence observed among individuals of African ancestry. Several fibroproliferative diseases are more severe and common in populations of sub-Saharan Africa. This mini-review aims to provide a broad overview of the current knowledge of the evolutionary origins and causes of fibroproliferative diseases. We also discuss current hypotheses proposing that the increased prevalence of these diseases in African-derived populations is due to the selection for profibrotic alleles that are protective against helminth infections and provide examples from knowledge of uterine fibroid and keloid research.

Time-Varying Exposures and Miscarriage: A Comparison of Statistical Models Through Simulation.

Epidemiologists face a unique challenge in measuring risk relationships involving time-varying exposures in early pregnancy. Each week in early pregnancy is distinct in its contribution to fetal development, and this period is commonly characterized by shifts in maternal behavior and, consequently, exposures. In this simulation study, we used alcohol as an example of an exposure that often changes during early pregnancy and miscarriage as an outcome affected by early exposures. Data on alcohol consumption patterns from more than 5,000 women in the Right From the Start cohort study (United States, 2000-2012) informed measures of the prevalence of alcohol exposure, the distribution of gestational age at cessation of alcohol use, and the likelihood of miscarriage by week of gestation. We then compared the bias and precision of effect estimates and statistical power from 5 different modeling approaches in distinct simulated relationships. We demonstrate how the accuracy and precision of effect estimates depended on alignment between model assumptions and the underlying simulated relationship. Approaches that incorporated data about patterns of exposure were more powerful and less biased than simpler models when risk depended on timing or duration of exposure. To uncover risk relationships in early pregnancy, it is critical to carefully define the role of exposure timing in the underlying causal hypothesis.

Equity in Health: Consideration of Race and Ethnicity in Precision Medicine.

The causes for disparities in implementation of precision medicine are complex, due in part to differences in clinical care and a lack of engagement and recruitment of under-represented populations in studies. New tools and large genetic cohorts can change these circumstances and build access to personalized medicine for disadvantaged populations.

Returning integrated genomic risk and clinical recommendations: The eMERGE study.

PURPOSE: Assessing the risk of common, complex diseases requires consideration of clinical risk factors as well as monogenic and polygenic risks, which in turn may be reflected in family history. Returning risks to individuals and providers may influence preventive care or use of prophylactic therapies for those individuals at high genetic risk. METHODS: To enable integrated genetic risk assessment, the eMERGE (electronic MEdical Records and GEnomics) network is enrolling 25,000 diverse individuals in a prospective cohort study across 10 sites. The network developed methods to return cross-ancestry polygenic risk scores, monogenic risks, family history, and clinical risk assessments via a genome-informed risk assessment (GIRA) report and will assess uptake of care recommendations after return of results. RESULTS: GIRAs include summary care recommendations for 11 conditions, education pages, and clinical laboratory reports. The return of high-risk GIRA to individuals and providers includes guidelines for care and lifestyle recommendations. Assembling the GIRA required infrastructure and workflows for ingesting and presenting content from multiple sources. Recruitment began in February 2022. CONCLUSION: Return of a novel report for communicating monogenic, polygenic, and family history-based risk factors will inform the benefits of integrated genetic risk assessment for routine health care.

Uterine fibroid polygenic risk score (PRS) associates and predicts risk for uterine fibroid.

Uterine fibroids (UF) are common pelvic tumors in women, heritable, and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified ~ 30 loci associated with increased risk in UF. Using summary statistics from a previously published UF GWAS performed in a non-Hispanic European Ancestry (NHW) female subset from the Electronic Medical Records and Genomics (eMERGE) Network, we constructed a polygenic risk score (PRS) for UF. UF-PRS was developed using PRSice and optimized in the separate clinical population of BioVU. PRS was validated using parallel methods of 10-fold cross-validation logistic regression and phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) in a seperate subset of eMERGE NHW females (validation set), excluding samples used in GWAS. PRSice determined pt < 0.001 and after linkage disequilibrium pruning (r2 < 0.2), 4458 variants were in the PRS which was significant (pseudo-R2 = 0.0018, p = 0.041). 10-fold cross-validation logistic regression modeling of validation set revealed the model had an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.60 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.58-0.62) when plotted in a receiver operator curve (ROC). PheWAS identified six phecodes associated with the PRS with the most significant phenotypes being 218 'benign neoplasm of uterus' and 218.1 'uterine leiomyoma' (p = 1.94 × 10-23, OR 1.31 [95% CI 1.26-1.37] and p = 3.50 × 10-23, OR 1.32 [95% CI 1.26-1.37]). We have developed and validated the first PRS for UF. We find our PRS has predictive ability for UF and captures genetic architecture of increased risk for UF that can be used in further studies.

Dense phenotyping from electronic health records enables machine learning-based prediction of preterm birth.

BACKGROUND: Identifying pregnancies at risk for preterm birth, one of the leading causes of worldwide infant mortality, has the potential to improve prenatal care. However, we lack broadly applicable methods to accurately predict preterm birth risk. The dense longitudinal information present in electronic health records (EHRs) is enabling scalable and cost-efficient risk modeling of many diseases, but EHR resources have been largely untapped in the study of pregnancy. METHODS: Here, we apply machine learning to diverse data from EHRs with 35,282 deliveries to predict singleton preterm birth. RESULTS: We find that machine learning models based on billing codes alone can predict preterm birth risk at various gestational ages (e.g., ROC-AUC = 0.75, PR-AUC = 0.40 at 28 weeks of gestation) and outperform comparable models trained using known risk factors (e.g., ROC-AUC = 0.65, PR-AUC = 0.25 at 28 weeks). Examining the patterns learned by the model reveals it stratifies deliveries into interpretable groups, including high-risk preterm birth subtypes enriched for distinct comorbidities. Our machine learning approach also predicts preterm birth subtypes (spontaneous vs. indicated), mode of delivery, and recurrent preterm birth. Finally, we demonstrate the portability of our approach by showing that the prediction models maintain their accuracy on a large, independent cohort (5978 deliveries) from a different healthcare system. CONCLUSIONS: By leveraging rich phenotypic and genetic features derived from EHRs, we suggest that machine learning algorithms have great potential to improve medical care during pregnancy. However, further work is needed before these models can be applied in clinical settings.

Determinants of stage at diagnosis of HPV-related cancer including area deprivation and clinical factors.

BACKGROUND: Collecting social determinants of health in electronic health records is time-consuming. Meanwhile, an Area Deprivation Index (ADI) aggregates sociodemographic information from census data. The objective of this study was to ascertain whether ADI is associated with stage of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related cancer at diagnosis. METHODS: We tested for the association between the stage of HPV-related cancer presentation and ADI as well as the association between stage and the value of each census-based measure using ordered logistic regression, adjusting for age, race and sex. RESULTS: Among 3247 cases of HPV-related cancers presenting to an urban academic medical center, the average age at diagnosis was 57. The average stage at diagnosis was Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Stage 3. In the study population, 43% of patients were female and 87% were white. In this study population, there was no association between stage of HPV-related cancer presentation and either aggregate or individual census variables. CONCLUSIONS: These results may reflect insufficient sample size, a lack of socio-demographic diversity in our population, or suggest that simplifying social determinants of health into a single geocoded index is not a reliable surrogate for assessing a patient's risk for HPV-related cancer.

Evidence that geographic variation in genetic ancestry associates with uterine fibroids.

Uterine fibroids disproportionately impact Black women. Evidence suggests Black women have earlier onset and higher cumulative risk. This risk disparity may be due an imbalance of risk alleles in one parental geographic ancestry subgroup relative to others. We investigated ancestry proportions for the 1000 Genomes phase 3 populations clustered into six geographic groups for association with fibroid traits in Black women (n = 583 cases, 797 controls) and White women (n = 1195 cases, 1164 controls). Global ancestry proportions were estimated using ADMIXTURE. Dichotomous (fibroids status and multiple fibroid status) and continuous outcomes (volume and largest dimension) were modeled for association with ancestry proportions using logistic and linear regression adjusting for age. Effect estimates are reported per 10% increase in genetically inferred ancestry proportion. Among Black women, West African (WAFR) ancestry was associated with fibroid risk, East African ancestry was associated with risk of multiple fibroids, Northern European (NEUR) ancestry was protective for multiple fibroids, Southern European ancestry was protective for fibroids and multiple fibroids, and South Asian (SAS) ancestry was positively associated with volume and largest dimension. In White women, NEUR ancestry was protective for fibroids, SAS ancestry was associated with fibroid risk, and WAFR ancestry was positively associated with volume and largest dimension. These results suggest that a proportion of fibroid risk and fibroid trait racial disparities are due to genetic differences between geographic groups. Further investigation at the local ancestry and single variant levels may yield novel insights into disease architecture and genetic mechanisms underlying ethnic disparities in fibroid risk.

Week-by-week alcohol consumption in early pregnancy and spontaneous abortion risk: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Half of women use alcohol in the first weeks of gestation, but most stop once pregnancy is detected. The relationship between timing of alcohol use cessation in early pregnancy and spontaneous abortion risk has not been determined. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the association between week-by-week alcohol consumption in early pregnancy and spontaneous abortion. STUDY DESIGN: Participants in Right from the Start, a community-based prospective pregnancy cohort, were recruited from 8 metropolitan areas in the United States (2000-2012). In the first trimester, participants provided information about alcohol consumed in the prior 4 months, including whether they altered alcohol use; date of change in use; and frequency, amount, and type of alcohol consumed before and after change. We assessed the association between spontaneous abortion and week of alcohol use, cumulative weeks exposed, number of drinks per week, beverage type, and binge drinking. RESULTS: Among 5353 participants, 49.7% reported using alcohol during early pregnancy and 12.0% miscarried. Median gestational age at change in alcohol use was 29 days (interquartile range, 15-35 days). Alcohol use during weeks 5 through 10 from last menstrual period was associated with increased spontaneous abortion risk, with risk peaking for use in week 9. Each successive week of alcohol use was associated with an 8% increase in spontaneous abortion relative to those who did not drink (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.08; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.12). This risk is cumulative. In addition, risk was not related to number of drinks per week, beverage type, or binge drinking. CONCLUSION: Each additional week of alcohol exposure during the first trimester increases risk of spontaneous abortion, even at low levels of consumption and when excluding binge drinking.

Correction: Single-trait and multi-trait genome-wide association analyses identify novel loci for blood pressure in African-ancestry populations.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgen.1006728.].

A genome-wide association study of polycystic ovary syndrome identified from electronic health records.

BACKGROUND: Polycystic ovary syndrome is the most common endocrine disorder affecting women of reproductive age. A number of criteria have been developed for clinical diagnosis of polycystic ovary syndrome, with the Rotterdam criteria being the most inclusive. Evidence suggests that polycystic ovary syndrome is significantly heritable, and previous studies have identified genetic variants associated with polycystic ovary syndrome diagnosed using different criteria. The widely adopted electronic health record system provides an opportunity to identify patients with polycystic ovary syndrome using the Rotterdam criteria for genetic studies. OBJECTIVE: To identify novel associated genetic variants under the same phenotype definition, we extracted polycystic ovary syndrome cases and unaffected controls based on the Rotterdam criteria from the electronic health records and performed a discovery-validation genome-wide association study. STUDY DESIGN: We developed a polycystic ovary syndrome phenotyping algorithm on the basis of the Rotterdam criteria and applied it to 3 electronic health record-linked biobanks to identify cases and controls for genetic study. In the discovery phase, we performed an individual genome-wide association study using the Geisinger MyCode and the Electronic Medical Records and Genomics cohorts, which were then meta-analyzed. We attempted validation of the significant association loci (P<1×10-6) in the BioVU cohort. All association analyses used logistic regression, assuming an additive genetic model, and adjusted for principal components to control for population stratification. An inverse-variance fixed-effect model was adopted for meta-analysis. In addition, we examined the top variants to evaluate their associations with each criterion in the phenotyping algorithm. We used the STRING database to characterize protein-protein interaction network. RESULTS: Using the same algorithm based on the Rotterdam criteria, we identified 2995 patients with polycystic ovary syndrome and 53,599 population controls in total (2742 cases and 51,438 controls from the discovery phase; 253 cases and 2161 controls in the validation phase). We identified 1 novel genome-wide significant variant rs17186366 (odds ratio [OR]=1.37 [1.23, 1.54], P=2.8×10-8) located near SOD2. In addition, 2 loci with suggestive association were also identified: rs113168128 (OR=1.72 [1.42, 2.10], P=5.2×10-8), an intronic variant of ERBB4 that is independent from the previously published variants, and rs144248326 (OR=2.13 [1.52, 2.86], P=8.45×10-7), a novel intronic variant in WWTR1. In the further association tests of the top 3 single-nucleotide polymorphisms with each criterion in the polycystic ovary syndrome algorithm, we found that rs17186366 (SOD2) was associated with polycystic ovaries and hyperandrogenism, whereas rs11316812 (ERBB4) and rs144248326 (WWTR1) were mainly associated with oligomenorrhea or infertility. We also validated the previously reported association with DENND1A1. Using the STRING database to characterize protein-protein interactions, we found both ERBB4 and WWTR1 can interact with YAP1, which has been previously associated with polycystic ovary syndrome. CONCLUSION: Through a discovery-validation genome-wide association study on polycystic ovary syndrome identified from electronic health records using an algorithm based on Rotterdam criteria, we identified and validated a novel genome-wide significant association with a variant near SOD2. We also identified a novel independent variant within ERBB4 and a suggestive association with WWTR1. With previously identified polycystic ovary syndrome gene YAP1, the ERBB4-YAP1-WWTR1 network suggests involvement of the epidermal growth factor receptor and the Hippo pathway in the multifactorial etiology of polycystic ovary syndrome.

African genetic ancestry interacts with body mass index to modify risk for uterine fibroids.

Race, specifically African ancestry, and obesity are important risk factors for uterine fibroids, and likely interact to provide the right conditions for fibroid growth. However, existing studies largely focus on the main-effects rather than their interaction. Here, we firstly provide evidence for interaction between categories of body mass index (BMI) and reported-race in relation to uterine fibroids. We then investigate whether the association between inferred local European ancestry and fibroid risk is modified by BMI in African American (AA) women in the Vanderbilt University Medical Center bio-repository (BioVU) (539 cases and 794 controls) and the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study (CARDIA, 264 cases and 173 controls). We used multiple logistic regression to evaluate interactions between local European ancestry and BMI in relation to fibroid risk, then performed fixed effects meta-analysis. Statistical significance threshold for local-ancestry and BMI interactions was empirically estimated with 10,000 permutations (p-value = 1.18x10-4). Admixture mapping detected an association between European ancestry and fibroid risk which was modified by BMI (continuous-interaction p-value = 3.75x10-5) around ADTRP (chromosome 6p24); the strongest association was found in the obese category (ancestry odds ratio (AOR) = 0.51, p-value = 2.23x10-5). Evaluation of interaction between genotyped/imputed variants and BMI in this targeted region suggested race-specific interaction, present in AAs only; strongest evidence was found for insertion/deletion variant (6:11946435), again in the obese category (OR = 1.66, p-value = 1.72x10-6). We found nominal evidence for interaction between local ancestry and BMI at a previously reported region in chromosome 2q31-32, which includes COL5A2, and TFPI, an immediate downstream target of ADTRP. Interactions between BMI and SNPs (single nucleotide polymorphisms) found in this region in AA women were also detected in an independent European American population of 1,195 cases and 1,164 controls. Findings from our study provide an example of how modifiable and non-modifiable factors may interact to influence fibroid risk and suggest a biological role for BMI in fibroid etiology.

Estimating Uterine Fibroid SNP-Based Heritability in European American Women with Imaging-Confirmed Fibroids.

BACKGROUND: Heritability estimates (including twin and single nucleotide polymorphism [SNP]-based heritability studies) for fibroids have been inconsistent across prior studies ranging between 9 and 69%. These inconsistencies are due to variations in study design and included populations. A major design issue has been lack of imaging confirmation to identify controls, where asymptomatic women without imaging confirmation may be misclassified as controls leading to an attenuation of heritability estimates. To reconcile the differences in prior heritability estimates and the impact of misclassification of controls on heritability, we determined SNP-based heritability and characterized the genetic architecture of pelvic image-confirmed fibroid cases and controls. METHODS: Analyses were performed among women of European American descent using genome-wide SNP data from BioVU, a clinical database composed of DNA linked to de-identified electronic health records. We estimated the genetic variance explained by all SNPs using Genome-Wide Complex Trait Analysis on imputed data. Fibroid cases and controls were identified using a previously reported phenotyping algorithm that required pelvic imaging confirmation. RESULTS: In total, we used 1,067 image-confirmed fibroid cases and 1,042 image-confirmed fibroid controls. The SNP-based heritability estimate for fibroid risk was h2 = 0.33 ± 0.18 (p = 0.040). We investigated the relationship between heritability per chromosome and chromosome length (r2 < 1%), with chromosome 8 explaining the highest proportion of variance for fibroid risk. There was no enrichment for intergenic or genic SNPs for the fibroid SNP-based heritability. Excluding loci previously associated with fibroid risk from genome-wide association study did not attenuate fibroid heritability suggesting that loci associating with fibroid risk are yet to be discovered. CONCLUSIONS: We observed that fibroid SNP-based heritability was higher than the previous estimate using genome-wide SNP data that relied on self-reported outcomes, but within the range of prior twin pair studies. Furthermore, these data support that imprecise phenotyping can significantly affect the ability to estimate heritability using genotype data.

Gestational Age at Arrest of Development: An Alternative Approach for Assigning Time at Risk in Studies of Time-Varying Exposures and Miscarriage.

The time between arrest of pregnancy development and miscarriage represents a window in which the pregnancy is nonviable and not developing. In effect, the pregnancy loss has already occurred, and additional exposure cannot influence its outcome. However, epidemiologic studies of miscarriage traditionally use gestational age at miscarriage (GAM) to assign time in survival analyses, which overestimates duration of exposure and time at risk. In Right From the Start, a pregnancy cohort study (2000-2012), we characterized the gap between estimated gestational age at arrest of development (GAAD) and miscarriage using transvaginal ultrasound in 500 women recruited from 3 states (North Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas). We compared effect estimates from models using GAAD with GAM to assign time at risk through a simulation study of several exposure patterns with varying effect sizes. The median gap between GAAD and miscarriage was 23 days (interquartile range, 15-32). Use of GAAD decreased the bias and variance of the estimated association for time-varying exposures, whereas half the time using GAM led to estimates that differed from the true effect by more than 20%. Using GAAD to assign time at risk should result in more accurate and consistent characterization of miscarriage risk associated with time-varying exposures.

Large-Scale Exome-wide Association Analysis Identifies Loci for White Blood Cell Traits and Pleiotropy with Immune-Mediated Diseases.

White blood cells play diverse roles in innate and adaptive immunity. Genetic association analyses of phenotypic variation in circulating white blood cell (WBC) counts from large samples of otherwise healthy individuals can provide insights into genes and biologic pathways involved in production, differentiation, or clearance of particular WBC lineages (myeloid, lymphoid) and also potentially inform the genetic basis of autoimmune, allergic, and blood diseases. We performed an exome array-based meta-analysis of total WBC and subtype counts (neutrophils, monocytes, lymphocytes, basophils, and eosinophils) in a multi-ancestry discovery and replication sample of âˆ¼157,622 individuals from 25 studies. We identified 16 common variants (8 of which were coding variants) associated with one or more WBC traits, the majority of which are pleiotropically associated with autoimmune diseases. Based on functional annotation, these loci included genes encoding surface markers of myeloid, lymphoid, or hematopoietic stem cell differentiation (CD69, CD33, CD87), transcription factors regulating lineage specification during hematopoiesis (ASXL1, IRF8, IKZF1, JMJD1C, ETS2-PSMG1), and molecules involved in neutrophil clearance/apoptosis (C10orf54, LTA), adhesion (TNXB), or centrosome and microtubule structure/function (KIF9, TUBD1). Together with recent reports of somatic ASXL1 mutations among individuals with idiopathic cytopenias or clonal hematopoiesis of undetermined significance, the identification of a common regulatory 3' UTR variant of ASXL1 suggests that both germline and somatic ASXL1 mutations contribute to lower blood counts in otherwise asymptomatic individuals. These association results shed light on genetic mechanisms that regulate circulating WBC counts and suggest a prominent shared genetic architecture with inflammatory and autoimmune diseases.

Alcohol Use in Pregnancy and Miscarriage: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

To systematically review and critically evaluate studies reporting alcohol exposure during pregnancy and miscarriage. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, PsycINFO, and ProQuest Theses for publications from January 1970 to January 2019. We identified studies about alcohol exposure during pregnancy and miscarriage. Information about study population, alcohol exposure assessment, outcome definition, covariates, and measures of association was collected. We assessed study quality using an adapted Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Data were abstracted by 2 investigators independently. We conducted a random-effects meta-analysis to calculate the association between alcohol exposure and miscarriage risk and performed subgroup analyses to determine robustness of results to study differences. For studies reporting dose-specific effects, a pooled dose-response association was estimated using generalized least squares regression with and without restricted cubic spline terms for number of drinks consumed per week. Of 2,164 articles identified, 24 were eligible for inclusion. Meta-analysis of data from 231,808 pregnant women finds those exposed to alcohol during pregnancy have a greater risk of miscarriage compared to those who abstained (odds ratio [OR] 1.19, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.12, 1.28). Estimates did not vary by study design, study country, or method of alcohol ascertainment. For alcohol use of 5 or fewer drinks per week, each additional drink per week was associated with a 6% increase in miscarriage risk (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01, 1.10). Common study limitations reflect challenges inherent to this research, including difficulty recruiting participants early enough in pregnancy to observe miscarriage and collecting and quantifying information about alcohol consumption during pregnancy that accurately reflects use. This review provides evidence that alcohol consumption during pregnancy is associated with a dose-mediated increase in miscarriage risk. Future studies evaluating change in alcohol use in pregnancy are needed to provide insight into how alcohol consumption prior to pregnancy recognition impacts risk.