Prediction and model evaluation for space-time data.

Evaluation metrics for prediction error, model selection and model averaging on space-time data are understudied and poorly understood. The absence of independent replication makes prediction ambiguous as a concept and renders evaluation procedures developed for independent data inappropriate for most space-time prediction problems. Motivated by air pollution data collected during California wildfires in 2008, this manuscript attempts a formalization of the true prediction error associated with spatial interpolation. We investigate a variety of cross-validation (CV) procedures employing both simulations and case studies to provide insight into the nature of the estimand targeted by alternative data partition strategies. Consistent with recent best practice, we find that location-based cross-validation is appropriate for estimating spatial interpolation error as in our analysis of the California wildfire data. Interestingly, commonly held notions of bias-variance trade-off of CV fold size do not trivially apply to dependent data, and we recommend leave-one-location-out (LOLO) CV as the preferred prediction error metric for spatial interpolation.

Effect modification of the association between fine particulate air pollution during a wildfire event and respiratory health by area-level measures of socio-economic status, race/ethnicity, and smoking prevalence.

Fine particulate air pollution (PM2.5) is decreasing in most areas of the United States, except for areas most affected by wildfires, where increasing trends in PM2.5 can be attributed to wildfire smoke. The frequency and duration of large wildfires and the length of the wildfire season have all increased in recent decades, partially due to climate change, and wildfire risk is projected to increase further in many regions including the western United States. Increasingly, empirical evidence suggests differential health effects from air pollution by class and race; however, few studies have investigated such differential health impacts from air pollution during a wildfire event. We investigated differential risk of respiratory health impacts during the 2008 northern California wildfires by a comprehensive list of socio-economic status (SES), race/ethnicity, and smoking prevalence variables. Regardless of SES level across nine measures of SES, we found significant associations between PM2.5 and asthma hospitalizations and emergency department (ED) visits during these wildfires. Differential respiratory health risk was found by SES for ED visits for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease where the highest risks were in ZIP codes with the lowest SES levels. Findings for differential effects by race/ethnicity were less consistent across health outcomes. We found that ZIP codes with higher prevalence of smokers had greater risk of ED visits for asthma and pneumonia. Our study suggests that public health efforts to decrease exposures to high levels of air pollution during wildfires should focus on lower SES communities.

Growth hormone and insulin-like growth factor-I enhance beta-glucuronidase gene activation by androgen in mouse kidney.

Beta-glucuronidase (GUS) is a lysosomal enzyme that, in mouse kidney, is subject to control by multiple hormones: androgen, which increases GUS transcription; estrogen, which antagonizes androgen-mediated stimulation of GUS; and growth hormone (GH), which appears to be necessary for the full androgen effect. Neither estrogen nor GH affects GUS in the absence of androgen. In hypophysectomized or pituitary dwarf mice the reduced androgen stimulation of GUS can be partially restored with GH treatment. Androgen-induced GUS mRNA increased significantly with intermittent GH, compared to no GH or continuous GH. Intact mice subjected to continuous infusion of GH showed a depressed androgen effect on GUS similar to that seen in GH-deficient mice. Thus, pulsatile GH is required for the full androgen response. Insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) also restored GUS induction by androgen in GH-deficient mice. We conclude that GH enhances the effect of androgen on the GUS gene via IGF-I. Using transgenic mice, we have also identified a genetic variant of the GUS gene that is insensitive to GH enhancement of the androgen effect.

Characterization of natural occurring Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia in pigs by histopathology, electron microscopy, in situ hybridization and PCR amplification.

Macroscopic, histologic, ultrastructural, microbiologic, in situ hybridization (ISH) and PCR detection results in three 8-week-old pigs naturally infected with Pneumocystis carinii (PC) are described. All animals had a nonsuppurative interstitial pneumonia and intra-alveolar Pneumocystis organisms with foamy eosinophilic and PAS positive appearance. Ultrastructurally, PC trophozoites and cysts were observed in pigs No. 2 and No. 3, with the former being much more numerous. PC organisms were located on the alveolar surface or within the alveolar septa. Trophozoites had numerous filopodia and were thick-walled. Cysts had no or few filopodia, were thick-walled and contained intracystic bodies. Using non-isotopic ISH on formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded lung tissue sections, PC DNA from pigs No. 2 and No. 3 hybridized with a probe specific for PC ribosomal RNA (rRNA). Using primers specific for mitochondrial rRNA gene (pAZ102-E/pAZ102-H), and for the internal transcriber spacers of ribosomal gene of PC, PCR methods amplified a product in the lung of pigs No. 2 and No. 3 using either frozen or formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded lung tissue. DNA from Pig No. 1 samples did not amplify with any primer. This is the first time that molecular biology techniques (in situ hybridization and PCR) have been applied to the study of porcine pneumocystosis.

Immunoreactivity of A103, an antibody to Melan A, in canine steroid-producing tissues and their tumors.

The monoclonal antibody A103 to the melanocytic differentiation antigen Melan A stains human steroid-producing cells and their tumors. A total of 200 formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded canine normal tissues and hyperplastic and neoplastic lesions of the adrenal gland, testis, and ovary were immunohistochemically tested for Melan A with antibody A103. Leydig cell tumors (23/23, 100%), Sertoli cell tumors (14/15, 93%), and adrenocortical adenomas (12/13, 92%) were consistently positive. Adrenocortical carcinomas (23/35, 65%) and granulosa cell tumors (10/17, 59%) were less frequently positive. All pheochromocytomas, seminomas, and dysgerminomas were negative. The pattern of staining was cytoplasmic, but nuclear staining was also frequently seen in normal Leydig cells and their tumors. As in human tumors, immunohistochemistry for Melan A stains many canine steroid-producing tumors and can be used to distinguish these tumors from those of nonstereidogenic cells.

Lymphosarcoma with plasmacytoid differentiation in a scarlet macaw (Ara macao).

A lymphosarcoma in a scarlet macaw (Ara macao) affecting periocular structures is described. Microscopically and ultrastructurally, many of the lymphoid cells had plasmacytoid features. Polymerase chain reaction amplification failed to detect exogenous avian retrovirus RAV-1 in the neoplastic mass.

Sarcocystosis in mink (Mustela vison).

This report describes the clinical, microscopic, and ultrastructural findings in mink with muscular sarcocystosis. Three 2-3-mo-old mink were killed because they were ill with signs of progressive neurological disease. One mink had variable numbers of sarcocysts in multiple skeletal muscles. Sarcocysts were up to 300 microm in long and 20 microm wide. Ultrastructurally, the sarcocyst wall had numerous elongated 1.7-2.0-microm x 250-nm villar protrusions (VP). The VP had microtubules and irregularly distanced minute undulations. Both metrocytes and bradyzoites were present in sarcocysts. The mink with sarcocysts in muscles also had nonsuppurative meningoencephalitis and meningomyelitis. Similar brain lesions were found in other 2 mink from the same farm, but sarcocysts were not observed in the skeletal muscle of these animals. This is the first report of muscular sarcocystosis in mink.

Intestinal multinodular A lambda-amyloid deposition associated with extramedullary plasmacytoma in three dogs: clinicopathological and immunohistochemical studies.

Intestinal extramedullary plasmacytomas (EMPs) are rare tumours in dogs. Three cases of canine intestinal EMP with amyloid deposits are described in this report. These tumours, which were located in the rectal submucosa, had variable numbers of well-differentiated plasma cells and fewer multinucleated giant cells of plasmacytoid and histiocytic morphology, admixed with abundant amyloid. Two cases had metaplastic cartilage and bone within the amyloid deposits. Immunohistochemically, the plasma cells of all three tumours reacted for lambda-light chains of immunoglobulins but not for kappa-chains, indicating monoclonality. Plasma cells of two tumours were also positive to CD79a antiserum. Amyloid deposits were labelled with an A lambda (amyloid of immunoglobulin lambda-light chain origin) antiserum but not with antisera against its precursor protein, the immunoglobulin lambda-light chains, indicating possible conformational changes of amyloidogenic proteins during their transformation into amyloid.

Omeprazole in a dog with gastrinoma.

A 9-year-old male German Shepherd Dog was presented with the primary complaints of vomiting, profuse watery diarrhea, anorexia, and severe weight loss. The dog developed hematemesis and melena, which were unresponsive to treatment with an H2-receptor antagonist and a gastrointestinal protectant. A marked neutrophilia, panhypoproteinemia, hypokalemia, and mildly increased activities of alkaline phosphatase and alanine aminotransferase were the only relevant abnormalities found on a CBC, serum biochemical profile, and urinalysis. An exploratory laparotomy revealed several small nonresectable masses at the root of the mesentery, which were identified histologically as a neuroendocrine neoplasm. Immunohistochemical staining of the neoplasm was positive for gastrin and negative for insulin, glucagon, pancreatic polypeptide, and vasoactive intestinal polypeptide. Fasting serum gastrin concentrations were high. Zollinger-Ellison syndrome was diagnosed, and the dog was treated with omeprazole, an H+,K(+)-ATPase inhibitor. All clinical signs resolved, and the dog remains asymptomatic 2 years later. Omeprazole may be the gastric acid antisecretory drug of choice for dogs with gastrinoma.

Effect of deferoxamine pretreatment on acute pneumonic pasteurellosis and neutrophil oxidative metabolism in calves.

Iron plays a central role in bacterial infections, influencing both bacterial virulence and host cellular defense mechanisms. We investigated whether iron chelation might be of benefit in the treatment of pneumonic pasteurellosis of calves. Neutrophils obtained from calves previously treated with the iron chelator, deferoxamine, were studied for their responses to latex and opsonized zymosan by luminol-enhanced chemiluminescence and to phorbol myristate acetate and opsonized zymosan by superoxide generation. Treatment with deferoxamine in vivo failed to influence these in vitro measures of neutrophil oxidative metabolism. Furthermore, iron depletion with deferoxamine failed to modify the pathophysiological derangements that occurred in calves following experimental induction of pneumonia by intratracheal inoculation with Pasteurella haemolytica. These data indicate that iron chelation using deferoxamine cannot be recommended as an adjunct to conventional therapy in the treatment of pneumonic pasteurellosis of cattle.

Healing of experimentally induced wounds of mammary papilla (teat) of the cow: comparison of closure with tissue adhesive versus nonsutured wounds.

Lacerations were surgically produced on the mammary papillae (teats) in 11 healthy dairy cows (10 Holstein and 1 Guernsey). Chemical restraint and local anesthesia were used before the lacerations were done. Twenty-one lacerations (10 front and 11 rear papillae) were apposed with synthetic adhesives. Eight lacerated papillae (6 front and 2 rear) were allowed to heal without tissue apposition. Healing was evaluated daily by palpation and visual inspection. Histologic and subgross photomycrographies were done at the time of slaughter (13 to 20 days). Of the 21 lacerated wounds apposed with adhesive materials, 17 healed by primary intention (81%). One papillary laceration dehisced on the second day and developed a milk fistula. The remaining 3 wounds which were initially repaired with adhesives were injured during the cows' anesthetic recovery and were reapposed with adhesives. The latter healed, but not as well as did the 17. Clinically, there was no detectable differences between adhesives as concerns healing. Of the 8 controls (papillary lacerations that were not apposed), 3 healed by 1st intention (37.5%). The remaining five (62.6%) healed by 2nd and 3rd intention with fistula formation. When evaluated by subgross photomycrography, 20 wounds (18 glued; 2 controls) were bridged by connective tissue and showed no change in wall thickness. Three papillary lacerations (2 glued; 1 control) showed different stages of bridging with connective tissue and wall thickness. Histopathologic evaluation revealed a marked foreign body response evidenced by giant cell and epithelial macrophages adjacent to all lacerations apposed with adhesives. Tissue alteration varied widely depending on the method of tissue apposition and the tissue adhesive used.

Method to create and maintain the patency of the bovine mammary papilla.

The patency of mammary papillae was reestablished after surgically induced injury. Perforated prosthetic tubes with affixed Dacron tubing or Teflon strips were implanted in 18 abraded papillae of lactating dairy cows and were secured with sutures. Wound healing was assessed by palpation and visual inspection. All wounds, with one exception, healed by first intention. Machine milking, reinstituted on day 5 after surgery, caused no apparent discomfort. Grossly and histopathologically, all implants stimulated a variable degree of mucosal metaplasia and hyperplasia. Only implants with Teflon strips became anchored by fibrotic invasion. Mastitis, tube migration, and milk fistulas were complications of the procedure.

Definition of chemiluminescence and superoxide production responses of bovine neutrophils to selected soluble and particulate stimulants, and comparisons with the responses to Pasteurella haemolytica.

We defined methods for use of luminol-dependent chemiluminescence (LDCL) and superoxide anion (O2-) production as parameters of the oxidative metabolism of neutrophils isolated from 1.5- to 5-week-old neonatal calves. We determined how variations in blood sample handling, agonist preparation, individual variability, and age of calves influenced the LDCL and O2- responses to certain agonists, and defined concentrations of soluble and particulate agonists that maximally stimulated the oxidative metabolism of bovine neutrophils. Oxidative responses, particularly LDCL, were characterized by marked day-to-day variability, differed greatly within and between calves, were partially age-dependent, and were partially dependent on the individual agonist. Superoxide anion production had substantially less variability. We compared the in vitro oxidative (LDCL and O2-) responses of neutrophils isolated from neonatal calves stimulated by defined concentrations of the agonists--latex, phorbol myristate acetate, calcium ionophore, and opsonized zymosan--with responses to formylated oligopeptides and zymosan-activated serum, and to live, dead, live opsonized, and dead opsonized Pasteurella haemolytica organisms. Opsonization of particulates, pathogenic or nonpathogenic, enhanced the LDCL and O2- responses of stimulated neutrophils although P haemolytica was a less potent stimulant of oxidative functions than were nonbiological agonists. We conclude that the generation of reactive oxygen species by bovine neutrophils in response to P haemolytica is highly dependent on the presence of opsonins and is greatly enhanced in live vs killed bacteria. Furthermore, the in vitro generation of reactive oxygen species, including O2- by stimulated neutrophils, may be of biologic importance if similar events occur in vivo, and could have a major role in the pathogenesis of the acute lung injury associated with pneumonic pasteurellosis.

Enzyme release by bovine neutrophils.

Release of enzymes from cytoplasmic granules has been postulated to have a major role in neutrophil-mediated tissue injury. Secretion or release of primary granules, specific granules, and cytosolic enzymes by bovine neutrophils was examined by quantifying the release of beta-glucuronidase, B12-binding protein, and lactate dehydrogenase, respectively, in response to predetermined amounts of phorbol myristate acetate, calcium ionophore, and opsonized zymosan. These responses were compared with the enzyme release induced by exposure to live or dead, unopsonized or opsonized Pasteurella haemolytica. The greatest release of beta-glucuronidase, B12-binding protein, and lactate dehydrogenase was observed in neutrophils exposed to live organisms partially because of neutrophil lysis. Bovine neutrophils respond markedly to particulate agonists, live or dead, pathogenic or nonpathogenic, by a selective release of specific granules, an effect enhanced by opsonization. Particulate agonists induce minimal primary granule release other than that induced by cell death. Because bovine neutrophils contain quantitatively high numbers of specific granules, the high rate of secretion/release in response to P haemolytica organisms could have a major role in the tissue responses that characterize the lesions of pneumonic pasteurellosis.

Prevalence of autoantibodies to thyroglobulin in dogs with nonthyroidal illness.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate a thyroglobulin autoantibody (TgAA) assay and determine a diagnostic threshold. SAMPLE POPULATION: Serum samples from dogs with various endocrine abnormalities and from 30 obese adult female Beagles. PROCEDURE: TgAA were determined by use of the ELISA. Six experiments were done: 1, definition of positive results for TgAA using samples from normal and T3 autoantibody (T3AA) positive dogs; 2, establishment of prevalence of positive results in 91 clinically normal dogs; 3, evaluation of positive results for sera from dogs with nonthyroidal illnesses; 4, testing of samples from dogs with primary hypothyroidism but absence of T4AA or T3AA, or both; 5, determination of prevalence of false-negative results in dogs that are T4AA and/or T3AA positive, which were (18 dogs) or were not (22 dogs) receiving L-thyroxine replacement therapy; and 6, examination of thyroid biopsy specimens from 18 dogs (8 TgAA positive and 10 TgAA negative). RESULTS: Positive results were defined as at least twice (200%) the optical density of the negative-control sample. False-positive results were obtained for only 3.4% of 146 dogs with nonthyroidal illness. Thirty-seven percent of dogs with primary hypothyroidism, but no evidence of T4AA or T3AA, or both, were TgAA positive. False-negative results were found in 1 of 22 and 2 of 18 T3AA-positive dogs with and without thyroid replacement therapy, respectively. Thyroid biopsy specimens from 8 TgAA-positive dogs had evidence of lymphocytic thyroiditis, whereas those from 10 TgAA-negative dogs did not. CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The assay is sensitive and specific for identification of lymphocytic autoimmune thyroiditis in dogs, and has potential for aiding early diagnosis of thyroiditis in dogs and identifying dogs likely to perpetuate hypothyroidism in breeding programs.

Septicemic listeriosis in a reindeer calf.

Septicemic listeriosis is described in a 2-day-old reindeer calf (Rangifer tarandus tarandus) from a local zoo. The gross and microscopic lesions were typical of disease caused by bacterial septicemia. Major lesions included necrosis of the liver, lung, adrenal gland, spleen, and lymph node. The diagnosis was suspected by special histopathological stains and confirmed by isolation of Listeria monocytogenes from multiple organs. This is the first report of listeriosis in a reindeer.

Suspected hepatotoxicity in neonatal foals: preliminary report of an emerging syndrome.

An apparently new and emerging fatal hepatic disease affecting foals is described. Characteristics included evidence of hepatic failure, marked biliary hyperplasia, hepatocellular necrosis and occasionally fibrosis. Generally, the features of the disease appear to differ markedly from other hepatic diseases of neonatal foals.

Zinc toxicosis in a captive striped hyena (Hyaena hyaena).

An 11-yr-old captive-born female striped hyena (Hyaena hyaena) acutely developed lameness and swelling of the left front foot with anorexia, depression, and lethargy. Hematologic evaluation revealed regenerative anemia, azotemia, and other mild serum electrolyte and mineral abnormalities. Twenty radiographically visible coins and 10 coin fragments were removed by laparotomy and gastrotomy following unsuccessful medical therapy. The animal died during anesthetic recovery. Zinc serum levels were 41.0 ppm at first presentation and 36.0 ppm at the time of surgery, compared with concentrations of 1.78 ppm and 2.82 ppm for serum taken from this female and a male hyena 3 mo previously. Zinc toxicosis was diagnosed based on the similarity of clinical signs to those described in dogs, presence in the stomach of pennies minted after 1982 (when the zinc content of U.S. pennies was increased substantially), necropsy findings, and elevated serum and liver zinc values. The case highlights the risk posed by penny ingestion for subsequent zinc toxicosis in captive omnivores.

Actinomycotic splenitis and intestinal volvulus in an alpaca (Lama pacos).

Morphologic, microbiologic, and polymerase chain reaction amplification techniques were used to evaluate an alpaca (Lama pacos) with splenitis and intestinal volvulus. The intestinal volvulus produced a severe necrosuppurative typhlocolitis associated with vascular thrombosis and was most likely the cause of death of this animal. In addition, this animal had multiple coalescing abscesses affecting most of the splenic tissue. The isolation of Actinomyces spp. from the spleen and the morphology of the colonies when stained with Gram and Steiner stains support a diagnosis of splenic actinomycosis.