RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: The 2016 ACR-EULAR Response Criteria for JDM was developed as a composite measure with differential weights of six core set measures (CSMs) to calculate a Total Improvement Score (TIS). We assessed the contribution of each CSM, representation of muscle-related and patient-reported CSMs towards improvement, and frequency of CSM worsening across myositis response criteria (MRC) categories in validation of MRC. METHODS: Data from JDM patients in the Rituximab in Myositis trial (n = 48), PRINTO JDM trial (n = 139), and consensus patient profiles (n = 273) were included. Observed vs expected CSM contributions were compared using Sign test. Characteristics of MRC categories were compared by Wilcoxon tests with Bonferroni adjustment. Spearman correlation of changes in TIS and individual CSMs were examined. Agreement between physician-assessed change and MRC categories was evaluated by weighted Cohen's kappa. RESULTS: Of 457 JDM patients with IMACS CSMs and 380 with PRINTO CSMs, 9-13% had minimal, 19-23% had moderate and 41-50% had major improvement. The number of improved and absolute percentage change of CSMs increased by MRC improvement level. Patients with minimal improvement by MRC had a median of 0-1 CSM worsened, and those with moderate/major improvement had a median of zero worsening CSMs. Of patients improved by MRC, 94-95% had improvement in muscle strength and 93-95% had improvement in ≥1 patient-reported CSM. IMACS and PRINTO CSMs performed similarly. Physician-rated change and MRC improvement categories had moderate-to-substantial agreement (Kappa 0.5-0.7). CONCLUSION: The ACR-EULAR MRC perform consistently across multiple studies, supporting its further use as an efficacy end point in JDM trials.
Assuntos
Dermatomiosite , Miosite , Humanos , Dermatomiosite/tratamento farmacológico , Consenso , Rituximab/uso terapêutico , Força Muscular , Miosite/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The ACR-EULAR Myositis Response Criteria (MRC) were developed as a composite measure using absolute percentage change in six core set measures (CSMs). We aimed to further validate the MRC by assessing the contribution of each CSM, frequency of strength vs extramuscular activity improvement, representation of patient-reported outcome measures (PROM), and frequency of CSM worsening. METHODS: Data from adult dermatomyositis/polymyositis patients in the rituximab (n = 147), etanercept (n = 14), and abatacept (n = 19) trials, and consensus patient profiles (n = 232) were evaluated. The Total Improvement Score (TIS), number of improving vs worsening CSMs, frequency of improvement with and without muscle-related CSMs, and contribution of PROM were evaluated by MRC category. Regression analysis was performed to assess contribution of each CSM to the MRC. RESULTS: Of 412 adults with dermatomyositis/polymyositis, there were 37%, 24%, 25%, and 14% with no, minimal, moderate, and major MRC improvement, respectively. The number of improving CSMs and absolute percentage change in all CSMs increased by improvement category. In minimal-moderate improvement, only physician-reported disease activity contributed significantly more than expected by MRC. Of patients with at least minimal improvement, 95% had improvement in muscle-related measures and a majority (84%) had improvement in PROM. Patients with minimal improvement had worsening in a median of 1 CSM, and most patients with moderate-major improvement had no worsening CSMs. Physician assessment of change generally agreed with MRC improvement categories. CONCLUSION: The ACR-EULAR MRC performs consistently across multiple studies, further supporting its use as an efficacy end point in future myositis therapeutic trials.
Assuntos
Dermatomiosite , Miosite , Polimiosite , Adulto , Humanos , Dermatomiosite/tratamento farmacológico , Consenso , Resultado do Tratamento , Polimiosite/tratamento farmacológico , Miosite/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To examine the frequency of, and risk factors for, disease flare following COVID-19 vaccination in patients with systemic rheumatic disease (SRD). METHODS: An international study was conducted from 2 April to 16 August 2021, using an online survey of 5619 adults with SRD for adverse events following COVID-19 vaccination, including flares of disease requiring a change in treatment. We examined risk factors identified a priori based on published associations with SRD activity and SARS-CoV-2 severity, including demographics, SRD type, comorbidities, vaccine type, cessation of immunosuppressive medications around vaccination and history of reactions to non-COVID-19 vaccines, using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Flares requiring a change in treatment following COVID-19 vaccination were reported by 4.9% of patients. Compared with rheumatoid arthritis, certain SRD, including systemic lupus erythematosus (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.03, 2.20), psoriatic arthritis (OR 1.95, 95% CI 1.20, 3.18) and polymyalgia rheumatica (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.08, 2.48) were associated with higher odds of flare, while idiopathic inflammatory myopathies were associated with lower odds for flare (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.31-0.96). The Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine was associated with higher odds of flare relative to the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.07, 1.95), as were a prior reaction to a non-COVID-19 vaccine (OR 2.50, 95% CI 1.76, 3.54) and female sex (OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.55, 4.72). CONCLUSION: SRD flares requiring changes in treatment following COVID-19 vaccination were uncommon in this large international study. Several potential risk factors, as well as differences by disease type, warrant further examination in prospective cohorts.
Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Doenças Reumáticas , Adulto , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19/efeitos adversos , Vacinas contra COVID-19/classificação , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Doenças Reumáticas/complicações , Autorrelato , Exacerbação dos Sintomas , Vacinação/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Oxidative stress plays a key role in the pathogenesis of respiratory diseases; however, studies on antioxidant vitamins and respiratory outcomes have been conflicting. We evaluated whether lower serum levels of vitamins A, C, D, and E are associated with respiratory morbidity and mortality in the U.S. adult population. METHODS: We conducted a pooled analysis of data from the 1988-1994 and 1999-2006 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (participants aged ≥ 20 years). We estimated covariate-adjusted odds ratios (aOR) per interquartile decrease in each serum vitamin level to quantify associations with respiratory morbidity, and covariate-adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) to quantify associations with respiratory mortality assessed prospectively through 2015. Vitamin supplementation and smoking were evaluated as potential effect modifiers. RESULTS: Lower serum vitamin C increased the odds of wheeze among all participants (overall aOR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.01-1.16). Among smokers, lower serum α-tocopherol vitamin E increased the odds of wheeze (aOR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.04-1.19) and chronic bronchitis/emphysema (aOR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.03-1.24). Conversely, lower serum γ-tocopherol vitamin E was associated with lower odds of wheeze and chronic bronchitis/emphysema (overall aORs: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.79-0.92 and 0.85, 95% CI: 0.76-0.95, respectively). Lower serum vitamin C was associated with increased chronic lower respiratory disease (CLRD) mortality in all participants (overall aHR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.07-1.51), whereas lower serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) tended to increase mortality from CLRD and influenza/pneumonia among smokers (aHR range: 1.33-1.75). Mortality from influenza/ pneumonia increased with decreasing serum vitamin A levels in all participants (overall aHR: 1.21, 95% CI: 0.99-1.48). In pooled analysis, vitamin C deficiency and 25-OHD insufficiency were associated with mortality from influenza/pneumonia, increasing mortality risk up to twofold. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis of nationally representative data on over 34,000 participants showed that lower serum levels of vitamins A, C, D, and α-tocopherol vitamin E are associated with increased respiratory morbidity and/or mortality in U.S. adults. The results underscore the importance of antioxidant vitamins in respiratory health.
Assuntos
Bronquite Crônica , Enfisema , Influenza Humana , Adulto , Antioxidantes , Ácido Ascórbico , Humanos , Morbidade , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Vitamina A , Vitaminas , alfa-TocoferolRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Various questionnaire-based definitions of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been applied using the US representative National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), but few have been validated against objective lung function data. We validated two prior definitions that incorporated self-reported physician diagnosis, respiratory symptoms, and/or smoking. We also validated a new definition that we developed empirically using gradient boosting, an ensemble machine learning method. METHODS: Data came from 7,996 individuals 40-79 years who participated in NHANES 2007-2012 and underwent spirometry. We considered participants "true" COPD cases if their ratio of postbronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second to forced vital capacity was below 0.7 or the lower limit of normal. We stratified all analyses by smoking history. We developed a gradient boosting model for smokers only; predictors assessed (25 total) included sociodemographics, inhalant exposures, clinical variables, and respiratory symptoms. RESULTS: The spirometry-based COPD prevalence was 26% for smokers and 8% for never smokers. Among smokers, using questionnaire-based definitions resulted in a COPD prevalence ranging from 11% to 16%, sensitivity ranging from 18% to 35%, and specificity ranging from 88% to 92%. The new definition classified participants based on age, bronchodilator use, body mass index (BMI), smoking pack-years, and occupational organic dust exposure, and resulted in the highest sensitivity (35%) and specificity (92%) among smokers. Among never smokers, the COPD prevalence ranged from 4% to 5%, and we attained good specificity (96%) at the expense of sensitivity (9-10%). CONCLUSION: Our results can be used to parametrize misclassification assumptions for quantitative bias analysis when pulmonary function data are unavailable.
Assuntos
Inquéritos Nutricionais , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Volume Expiratório Forçado , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/diagnóstico , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/epidemiologia , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Espirometria , Capacidade VitalRESUMO
Background and objectives: Although primary care clinicians provide >60% of U.S. asthma care, no nationally representative study has examined variation in adherence among primary care groups to four cornerstone domains of the Expert Panel Report-3 asthma guidelines: assessment/monitoring, patient education, environmental assessment, and medications. We used the 2012 National Asthma Survey of Physicians: National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey to compare adherence by family/general medicine practitioners (FM/GM), internists, pediatricians and Community Health Center mid-level clinicians (CHC). Methods: Adherence was self-reported (n = 1355 clinicians). Adjusted odds of almost always adhering to each recommendation (≥75% of the time) were estimated controlling for clinician/practice characteristics, and agreement and self-efficacy with guideline recommendations. Results: A higher percentage of pediatricians adhered to most assessment/monitoring recommendations compared to FM/GM and other groups (e.g. 71.6% [SE 4.0] almost always assessed daytime symptoms versus 50.6% [SE 5.1]-51.1% [SE 5.8], t-test p < 0.05) but low percentages from all groups almost always performed spirometry (6.8% [SE 2.0]-16.8% [SE 4.7]). Pediatricians were more likely to provide asthma action/treatment plans than FM/GM and internists. Internists were more likely to assess school/work triggers than pediatricians and CHC (environmental assessment). All groups prescribed inhaled corticosteroids for daily control (84.0% [SE 3.7]-90.7% [SE 2.5]) (medications). In adjusted analyses, pediatric specialty, high self-efficacy and frequent specialist referral were associated with high adherence. Conclusions: Pediatricians were more likely to report high adherence than other clinicians. Self- efficacy and frequent referral were also associated with adherence. Adherence was higher for history-taking recommendations and lower for recommendations involving patient education, equipment and expertise.
Assuntos
Asma/terapia , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Pediatras , Médicos de Atenção Primária , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Padrões de Prática Médica , Adulto , Asma/diagnóstico , Feminino , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Encaminhamento e Consulta , AutoeficáciaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Bisphenols F (BPF) and S (BPS) are bisphenol A (BPA) analogs used as substitutes in consumer products. Despite previous reports of BPA's association with asthma, no studies have examined its structural analogs in relation to asthma and allergy outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of urinary BPF, BPS, and BPA with asthma and hay fever in a US representative sample. METHODS: We analyzed data from 3,538 participants aged 12 years or older in the 2013-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Children aged 6-11 years (Nâ¯=â¯738), who did not have all covariate data available, were analyzed separately. Covariate-adjusted logistic regression was used to assess the association of the exposures with the outcomes. RESULTS: BPF, BPS, and BPA were detected in 57.1%, 88.4%, and 94.8% of the urine samples, respectively. Urinary BPF detection was positively associated with current asthma (odds ratio [OR]: 1.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.16-2.04) and hay fever (OR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.12-2.46). Urinary BPS was associated with increased odds of current asthma in men (OR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.13-2.40) and urinary BPA was associated with increased odds of asthma without hay fever in children aged 6-11 years (OR: 2.65, 95% CI: 1.05-6.68). CONCLUSION: Our nationally-representative findings document that BPF and BPS exposure is common in the US and that exposure to these BPA analogs is associated with asthma and/or hay fever. Our results suggest that BPF and BPS may not be safe alternatives to BPA; however, prospective studies should be conducted to confirm these results.
Assuntos
Asma , Compostos Benzidrílicos , Fenóis , Rinite Alérgica Sazonal , Sulfonas , Asma/epidemiologia , Compostos Benzidrílicos/toxicidade , Compostos Benzidrílicos/urina , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Fenóis/toxicidade , Fenóis/urina , Estudos Prospectivos , Rinite Alérgica Sazonal/epidemiologia , Sulfonas/toxicidade , Sulfonas/urinaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Endotoxin is ubiquitous in the environment, but its clustering with indoor allergens is not well characterized. This study examined the clustering patterns of endotoxin with allergens in house dust and their association with asthma outcomes. METHODS: We analyzed data from 6963 participants of the 2005-2006 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. House dust sampled from bedroom floor and bedding was evaluated for endotoxin and allergens from fungi, cockroach, dog, cat, mites, and rodents. Two-step cluster analysis and logistic regressions were performed to identify the clustering patterns and their associations with current asthma and wheeze in the past 12 months, adjusting for covariates. RESULTS: Of the homes, 17.8% had low endotoxin and allergen levels in house dust (Cluster 1). High endotoxin level clustered with Alternaria and pet allergens in the homes of participants with a high socioeconomic status who own pets (Cluster 2) (48.9%). High endotoxin clustered with Aspergillus, dust mites, cockroach, and rodent allergens in the homes of participants with low socioeconomic status (Cluster 3) (33.3%). Compared to Cluster 1, Cluster 2 was associated with higher asthma prevalence (OR 1.42, 95% CI: 1.06-1.91) and wheeze (OR 1.32, 95% CI: 1.07-1.63). Cluster 3 was positively associated with wheeze only in participants sensitized to inhalant allergens (OR 1.42, 95% CI: 1.06-1.91) or exposed to tobacco smoke (OR 1.72, 95% CI: 1.15-2.60). CONCLUSIONS: The clustering of endotoxin with allergens in dust from homes with pets or of people with low socioeconomic status is associated with asthma and wheeze.
Assuntos
Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados/efeitos adversos , Alérgenos/efeitos adversos , Asma/epidemiologia , Poeira/análise , Endotoxinas/efeitos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Asma/etiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Análise por Conglomerados , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Rationale: House endotoxin and ambient air pollution are risk factors for asthma; however, the effects of their coexposure on asthma are not well characterized.Objectives: To examine potential synergistic associations of coexposure to house dust endotoxin and ambient air pollutants with asthma outcomes.Methods: We analyzed data of 6,488 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2005-2006. Dust from bedding and bedroom floor was analyzed for endotoxin content. The Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling System (CMAQ) and Downscaler Model data were used to determine annual average particulate matter ≤2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5), ozone (O3), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) exposures at participants' residential locations. The associations of the coexposures with asthma outcomes were assessed and tested for synergistic interaction.Measurements and Main Results: In adjusted analysis, PM2.5 (CMAQ) (odds ratio [OR], 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.18), O3 (Downscaler Model) (OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.13), and log10 NO2 (CMAQ) (OR, 3.15; 95% CI, 1.33-7.45) were positively associated with emergency room visits for asthma in the past 12 months. Coexposure to elevated concentrations of house dust endotoxin and PM2.5 (CMAQ) was synergistically associated with the outcome, increasing the odds by fivefold (OR, 5.01; 95% CI, 2.54-9.87). A synergistic association was also found for coexposure to higher concentrations of endotoxin and NO2 in children (OR, 3.45; 95% CI, 1.65-7.18).Conclusions: Coexposure to elevated concentrations of residential endotoxin and ambient PM2.5 in all participants and NO2 in children is synergistically associated with increased emergency room visits for asthma. Therefore, decreasing exposure to both endotoxin and air pollution may help reduce asthma morbidity.
Assuntos
Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados/efeitos adversos , Asma/induzido quimicamente , Endotoxinas/efeitos adversos , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Asma/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Razão de Chances , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Bedroom allergen exposures contribute to allergic disease morbidity because people spend considerable time in bedrooms, where they come into close contact with allergen reservoirs. OBJECTIVE: We investigated participant and housing characteristics, including sociodemographic, regional, and climatic factors, associated with bedroom allergen exposures in a nationally representative sample of the US population. METHODS: Data were obtained from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2005-2006. Information on participant and housing characteristics was collected by using questionnaires and environmental assessments. Concentrations of 8 indoor allergens (Alt a 1, Bla g 1, Can f 1, Fel d 1, Der f 1, Der p 1, Mus m 1, and Rat n 1) in dust vacuumed from nearly 7000 bedrooms were measured by using immunoassays. Exposure levels were classified as increased based on percentile (75th/90th) cutoffs. We estimated the burden of exposure to multiple allergens and used multivariable logistic regression to identify independent predictors for each allergen and household allergen burden. RESULTS: Almost all participants (>99%) had at least 1 and 74.2% had 3 to 6 allergens detected. More than two thirds of participants (72.9%) had at least 1 allergen and 18.2% had 3 or more allergens exceeding increased levels. Although exposure variability showed significant racial/ethnic and regional differences, high exposure burden to multiple allergens was most consistently associated with the presence of pets and pests, living in mobile homes/trailers and older and rental homes, and living in nonmetropolitan areas. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to multiple allergens is common. Despite highly variable exposures, bedroom allergen burden is strongly associated with the presence of pets and pests.
Assuntos
Alérgenos/imunologia , Exposição Ambiental/prevenção & controle , Adolescente , Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados/prevenção & controle , Asma/imunologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Poeira/imunologia , Feminino , Habitação , Humanos , Hipersensibilidade/imunologia , Lactente , Masculino , Inquéritos Nutricionais/métodosRESUMO
Background: The most recent vitamin D data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) have not been examined. We used data from NHANES to describe trends in 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] from 2011 to 2018 and for the most recent cycle (2017-2018) to identify groups with lower levels of 25(OH)D and factors predictive of 25(OH)D. Methods: The 31,628 participants were weighted to represent the entire U.S. population. For each 2-year NHANES survey cycle (2011 to 2018), we calculated the weighted median (25th and 75th percentiles) of 25(OH)D and the proportion of the population within the following categories (nmol/L): <30, 30-<50, 50-<75, 75-<125, and ≥125. For 2017-2018, we stratified by demographic and behavioral factors. Multivariate linear regression identified variables predictive of 25(OH)D. Results: The median 25(OH)D (nmol/L) increased slightly from 2013-2014 [66.5 (25th and 75th percentiles: 51.3, 83.0)] to 2017-2018 [68.7 (52.3, 87.8)], and the prevalence of 25(OH)D <50 nmol/L decreased slightly (23.4% vs. 21.3%). In 2017-2018, characteristics associated with lower 25(OH)D were age (12-39 years), male gender, non-Hispanic Black, higher BMI, lower income and education, winter season, not taking vitamin D supplements, or "never" using sunscreen. When stratified by age, race/ethnicity, and gender simultaneously, median 25(OH)D was lowest among non-Hispanic Black females aged 12-19 (38.5 nmol/L) or 20-39 (38.9 nmol/L). Predictors of 25(OH)D level differed by race/ethnicity, e.g., increasing BMI was associated with larger decrements in 25(OH)D among Mexican Americans. Conclusions: This analysis is the first to examine vitamin D levels stratified by multiple characteristics simultaneously. This strategy identified populations at higher risk for health sequelae due to low levels of vitamin D. For example, high levels of deficiency were found in non-Hispanic Black females of reproductive age.
Assuntos
Inquéritos Nutricionais , Deficiência de Vitamina D , Vitamina D , Humanos , Vitamina D/sangue , Vitamina D/análogos & derivados , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Feminino , Adulto , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Deficiência de Vitamina D/epidemiologia , Deficiência de Vitamina D/sangue , Adulto Jovem , Adolescente , Idoso , Criança , Fatores Sociodemográficos , Estações do Ano , Fatores Socioeconômicos , PrevalênciaRESUMO
Background: The National Asthma Education and Prevention Program guidelines emphasize environmental control as an integral part of asthma management; however, limited national-level data exist on how clinicians implement environmental control recommendations. Objective: We analyzed data on clinicians' self-reported use of recommended environmental control practices in a nationally representative sample (n = 1645) of primary care physicians, asthma specialists, and advanced practice providers from the National Asthma Survey of Physicians, a supplemental questionnaire to the 2012 National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey. Methods: We examined clinician and practice characteristics as well as clinicians' decisions and strategies regarding environmental trigger assessment and environmental control across provider groups. Regression modeling was used to identify clinician and practice characteristics associated with implementation of guideline recommendations. Results: A higher percentage of specialists assessed asthma triggers at home, school, and/or work than primary care or advanced practice providers (almost always: 53.6% vs 29.4% and 23.7%, respectively, P < .001). Almost all clinicians (>93%) recommended avoidance of secondhand tobacco smoke, whereas recommendations regarding cooking appliances (eg, proper ventilation) were infrequent. Although assessment and recommendation practices differed between clinician groups, modeling results showed that clinicians who reported almost always assessing asthma control were 5- to 6-fold more likely to assess environmental asthma triggers. Use of asthma action plans was also strongly associated with implementation of environmental control recommendations. Conclusions: Environmental assessment and recommendations to patients varied among asthma care providers. High adherence to other key guideline components, such as assessing asthma control, was associated with environmental assessment and recommendation practices on environmental control.
RESUMO
Despite the prominent use of complex survey data and the growing popularity of machine learning methods in epidemiologic research, few machine learning software implementations offer options for handling complex samples. A major challenge impeding the broader incorporation of machine learning into epidemiologic research is incomplete guidance for analyzing complex survey data, including the importance of sampling weights for valid prediction in target populations. Using data from 15, 820 participants in the 1988-1994 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey cohort, we determined whether ignoring weights in gradient boosting models of all-cause mortality affected prediction, as measured by the F1 score and corresponding 95% confidence intervals. In simulations, we additionally assessed the impact of sample size, weight variability, predictor strength, and model dimensionality. In the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data, unweighted model performance was inflated compared to the weighted model (F1 score 81.9% [95% confidence interval: 81.2%, 82.7%] vs 77.4% [95% confidence interval: 76.1%, 78.6%]). However, the error was mitigated if the F1 score was subsequently recalculated with observed outcomes from the weighted dataset (F1: 77.0%; 95% confidence interval: 75.7%, 78.4%). In simulations, this finding held in the largest sample size (N = 10,000) under all analytic conditions assessed. For sample sizes <5,000, sampling weights had little impact in simulations that more closely resembled a simple random sample (low weight variability) or in models with strong predictors, but findings were inconsistent under other analytic scenarios. Failing to account for sampling weights in gradient boosting models may limit generalizability for data from complex surveys, dependent on sample size and other analytic properties. In the absence of software for configuring weighted algorithms, post-hoc re-calculations of unweighted model performance using weighted observed outcomes may more accurately reflect model prediction in target populations than ignoring weights entirely.
Assuntos
Algoritmos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Humanos , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Inquéritos e Questionários , SoftwareRESUMO
Background: Between 1988 and 2012, prevalence of antinuclear antibodies (ANA) increased in the U.S., especially in adolescents and non-Hispanic Whites. Female predominance of ANA suggests a role for hormonal factors, including xenobiotic exposures that may disrupt endocrine signaling. Benzophenone-3 (BP-3) is one such chemical with increasing exposure through sunscreen use. We investigated whether urinary BP-3 levels were related to ANA in adolescents and young adults. Methods: In a sample of 1,785 individuals ages 12-39 years in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES; 2003-4, 2011-12), we examined cross-sectional associations of ANA (N=192; 3+ or 4+ at the 1:80 dilution, measured by HEp-2 immunofluorescence) with urinary BP-3, and other phenols bisphenol-A, triclosan, and parabens. Adjusted prevalence odds ratios (POR) were calculated in season-stratified models [winter (November-April) and summer (May-October)], given differences in sunscreen use and BP-3 concentrations. Results: BP-3 concentrations (detected in >98.5% of individuals) did not differ by ANA positivity in the summer (geometric mean, GM 30.6 ng/ml ANA-positive vs. 35.3 ANA-negative; GM ratio 1.15), but in winter were higher among ANA-positives (50.2 vs. 20.1 ANA-negative; GM ratio 2.50). ANA was associated with log10BP-3 in winter (POR 1.57; 95%CI 1.07-2.30 per unit increase) but not summer (0.94; 0.61, 1.44; interaction p=0.09). Triclosan, parabens, and bisphenol-A levels were unrelated to ANA overall or by season (ORs 0.64 to 1.33). Conclusions: The association of urinary BP-3 with ANA in the winter may reflect different exposure patterns or unmeasured confounders. Findings warrant replication in prospective studies and including past and year-round exposures.
Assuntos
Transtornos Leucocíticos , Triclosan , Adolescente , Adulto , Anticorpos Antinucleares , Compostos Benzidrílicos , Benzofenonas , Criança , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Parabenos , Fenóis , Estudos Prospectivos , Protetores Solares , Triclosan/urina , Xenobióticos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Autoimmunity prevalence, as measured by antinuclear antibodies (ANA), is increasing in U.S. adolescents. Improved hygiene and cleaner environments in childhood may reduce exposure to infections and other immune challenges, resulting in improper immune responses to later-life exposures. We examined associations of hygiene hypothesis indicators, including asthma, allergies, and antibodies to infectious agents, with ANA prevalence, measured by HEp-2 immunofluorescence, in adolescents (aged 12-19 years) over a 25-year time span in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (N=2,709), adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, body mass index, education and survey cycle, overall and within individual time periods, using logistic regression. Prevalence of ANA in adolescents increased from 5.0% in 1988-1991 to 12.8% in 2011-2012. ANA were positively associated with diagnosis of asthma in early childhood (OR: 2.07, CI: 1.09-3.99) and the effect estimate for current hay fever was elevated but not statistically significant (OR: 1.55, CI: 0.85-2.84). Fewer than 2% of those with ANA in 1988-1991 had been diagnosed with asthma, compared with 18% in 1999-2000, and 27% in 2003-2004 and 2011-2012. ANA trended negatively with Helicobacter pylori antibodies (OR: 0.49, CI: 0.24-0.99). ANA may be useful as an additional indicator of inadequate immune education in adolescence, a critical period of growth and development.
Assuntos
Anticorpos Antinucleares/imunologia , Asma/epidemiologia , Asma/imunologia , Autoimunidade , Hipótese da Higiene , Higiene , Adolescente , Asma/diagnóstico , Criança , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Infecções por Helicobacter/epidemiologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/imunologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/microbiologia , Helicobacter pylori/imunologia , Herpes Simples/epidemiologia , Herpes Simples/imunologia , Herpes Simples/virologia , Herpesvirus Humano 1/imunologia , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalência , Autorrelato , Toxoplasma/imunologia , Toxoplasmose/epidemiologia , Toxoplasmose/imunologia , Toxoplasmose/parasitologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Growing evidence suggests increasing frequencies of autoimmunity and autoimmune diseases, but findings are limited by the lack of systematic data and evolving approaches and definitions. This study was undertaken to investigate whether the prevalence of antinuclear antibodies (ANA), the most common biomarker of autoimmunity, changed over a recent 25-year span in the US. METHODS: Serum ANA were measured by standard indirect immunofluorescence assays on HEp-2 cells in 13,519 participants age ≥12 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, with approximately one-third from each of 3 time periods: 1988-1991, 1999-2004, and 2011-2012. We used logistic regression adjusted for sex, age, race/ethnicity, and survey design variables to estimate changes in ANA prevalence across the time periods. RESULTS: The prevalence of ANA was 11.0% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 9.7-12.6%) in 1988-1991, 11.4% (95% CI 10.2-12.8%) in 1999-2004, and 16.1% (95% CI 14.4-18.0%) in 2011-2012 (P for trend <0.0001), corresponding to ~22.3 million, ~26.6 million, and ~41.5 million affected individuals, respectively. Among adolescents age 12-19 years, ANA prevalence increased substantially, with odds ratios of 2.07 (95% CI 1.18-3.64) and 2.77 (95% CI 1.56-4.91) in the second and third time periods relative to the first (P for trend = 0.0004). ANA prevalence increased in both sexes (especially in men), older adults (age ≥50 years), and non-Hispanic white individuals. These increases in ANA prevalence were not explained by concurrent trends in weight (obesity/overweight), smoking exposure, or alcohol consumption. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of ANA in the US has increased considerably in recent years. Additional studies to determine factors underlying these increases in ANA prevalence could elucidate causes of autoimmunity and enable the development of preventative measures.
Assuntos
Anticorpos Antinucleares , Doenças Autoimunes , Masculino , Adolescente , Feminino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Idoso , Criança , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Técnica Indireta de Fluorescência para AnticorpoRESUMO
Background: Little is known about the spatial distribution of idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) in the United States (U.S.), or their geospatial associations. Methods: We studied a national myositis patient registry, with cases diagnosed in the contiguous U.S. from 1985-2011 and comprised of dermatomyositis (DM, n = 484), polymyositis (PM, n = 358), and inclusion body myositis (IBM, n = 318) patients. To assess the association of myositis prevalence with distance from roads, we employed log-Gaussian Cox process models, offset with population density. Results: The U.S. IIM case distribution demonstrated a higher concentration in the Northest. DM, IBM, and cases with lung disease were more common in the East, whereas PM cases were more common in the Southeast. One area in the West and one area in the South had a significant excess in cases of DM relative to PM and of cases with lung disease relative to those without lung disease, respectively. IIM cases tended to cluster, with between-points interactions more intense in the Northeast and less in the South. There was a trend of a higher prevalence of IIM and its major phenotypes among people living within 50 m of a roadway relative to living beyond 200 m. Demographic characteristics, rural-urban commuting area, and female percentage were significantly associated with the prevalence of IIM and with major phenotypes. Conclusions: Using a large U.S. database to evaluate the spatial distribution of IIM and its phenotypes, this study suggests clustering in some regions of the U.S. and a possible association of proximity to roadways.
RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Dermatomyositis (DM) has been associated with geospatial differences in ultraviolet (UV) radiation, but the role of individual determinants of UV exposure prior to diagnosis is unknown. The objective was to examine the role of those individual determinants. METHODS: We analyzed questionnaire data from 1,350 adults in a US national myositis registry (638 with DM, 422 with polymyositis [PM], and 290 with inclusion body myositis [IBM] diagnosed at ages 18-65 years), examining the likelihood of DM compared with PM and IBM diagnosis, in relation to self-reported sunburn history and job- and hobby-related sun exposures in the year prior to diagnosis. We estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) using logistic regression adjusted for age, skin tone, and sex, to determine the association of individual UV exposures with DM diagnosis. We also evaluated the proportion of DM by maximum daily ambient UV exposure, based on UVB erythemal irradiances for participant residence in the year prior to diagnosis. RESULTS: DM was associated with sunburn in the year before diagnosis (2 or more sunburns OR 1.77 [95% CI 1.28-2.43] versus PM/IBM; 1 sunburn OR 1.44 [95% CI 1.06-1.95]) and with having elevated job- or hobby-related sun exposure (high exposure OR 1.64 [95% CI 1.08-2.49] or moderate exposure OR 1.35 [95% CI 1.02-1.78] versus low or no exposure). Ambient UV intensity was associated with DM in females (ß = 3.97, P = 0.046), but not overall. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that high or moderate personal exposure to intense sunlight is associated with developing DM compared with other types of myositis. Prospective research on UV exposure as a modifiable risk factor for DM is warranted.
Assuntos
Dermatomiosite/etiologia , Miosite de Corpos de Inclusão/etiologia , Polimiosite/etiologia , Exposição à Radiação/efeitos adversos , Raios Ultravioleta/efeitos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Dermatomiosite/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Miosite de Corpos de Inclusão/epidemiologia , Polimiosite/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros , Análise Espacial , Queimadura Solar/complicações , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Growing evidence suggests increasing frequencies of autoimmunity and certain autoimmune diseases, but findings are limited by the lack of systematic data and evolving approaches and definitions. This study was undertaken to investigate whether the prevalence of antinuclear antibodies (ANA), the most common biomarker of autoimmunity, changed over a recent 25-year span in the US. METHODS: Serum ANA were measured by standard indirect immunofluorescence assays on HEp-2 cells in 14,211 participants age ≥12 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, with approximately one-third from each of 3 time periods: 1988-1991, 1999-2004, and 2011-2012. We used logistic regression adjusted for sex, age, race/ethnicity, and survey design variables to estimate changes in ANA prevalence across the time periods. RESULTS: The prevalence of ANA was 11.0% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 9.7-12.6%) in 1988-1991, 11.5% (95% CI 10.3-12.8%) in 1999-2004, and 15.9% (95% CI 14.3-17.6%) in 2011-2012 (P for trend < 0.0001), which corresponds to ~22 million, ~27 million, and ~41 million affected individuals, respectively. Among adolescents age 12-19 years, ANA prevalence increased substantially, with odds ratios (ORs) of 2.02 (95% CI 1.16-3.53) and 2.88 (95% CI 1.64-5.04) in the second and third time periods relative to the first (P for trend < 0.0001). ANA prevalence increased in both sexes (especially in men), older adults (age ≥50 years), and non-Hispanic whites. These increases in ANA prevalence were not explained by concurrent trends in weight (obesity/overweight), smoking exposure, or alcohol consumption. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of ANA in the US has increased considerably in recent years. Additional studies to determine factors underlying these increases in ANA prevalence could elucidate causes of autoimmunity and enable the development of preventative measures.
Assuntos
Anticorpos Antinucleares/análise , Doenças Autoimunes/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Doenças Autoimunes/sangue , Biomarcadores/análise , Criança , Feminino , Técnica Indireta de Fluorescência para Anticorpo , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Razão de Chances , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Little is known about specialist-specific variations in guideline agreement and adoption. OBJECTIVE: To assess similarities and differences between allergists and pulmonologists in adherence to cornerstone components of the National Asthma Education and Prevention Program's Third Expert Panel Report. METHODS: Self-reported guideline agreement, self-efficacy, and adherence were assessed in allergists (n = 134) and pulmonologists (n = 99) in the 2012 National Asthma Survey of Physicians. Multivariate models were used to assess if physician and practice characteristics explained bivariate associations between specialty and "almost always" adhering to recommendations (ie, ≥75% of the time). RESULTS: Allergists and pulmonologists reported high guideline self-efficacy and moderate guideline agreement. Both groups "almost always" assessed asthma control (66.2%, standard error [SE] 4.3), assessed school/work asthma triggers (71.3%, SE, 3.9), and endorsed inhaled corticosteroids use (95.5%, SE 2.0). Repeated assessment of the inhaler technique, use of asthma action/treatment plans, and spirometry were lower (39.7%, SE 4.0; 30.6%, SE 3.6; 44.7%, SE 4.1, respectively). Compared with pulmonologists, more allergists almost always performed spirometry (56.6% vs 38.6%, P = .06), asked about nighttime awakening (91.9% vs 76.5%, P = .03) and emergency department visits (92.2% vs 76.5%, P = .03), assessed home triggers (70.5% vs 52.6%, P = .06), and performed allergy testing (61.8% vs 21.3%, P < .001). In multivariate analyses, practice-specific characteristics explained differences except for allergy testing. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, allergists and pulmonologists adhere to the asthma guidelines with notable exceptions, including asthma action plan use and inhaler technique assessment. Recommendations with low implementation offer opportunities for further exploration and could serve as targets for increasing guideline uptake.