Digital remote monitoring for screening and early detection of urinary tract infections.

Urinary Tract Infections (UTIs) are one of the most prevalent bacterial infections in older adults and a significant contributor to unplanned hospital admissions in People Living with Dementia (PLWD), with early detection being crucial due to the predicament of reporting symptoms and limited help-seeking behaviour. The most common diagnostic tool is urine sample analysis, which can be time-consuming and is only employed where UTI clinical suspicion exists. In this method development and proof-of-concept study, participants living with dementia were monitored via low-cost devices in the home that passively measure activity, sleep, and nocturnal physiology. Using 27828 person-days of remote monitoring data (from 117 participants), we engineered features representing symptoms used for diagnosing a UTI. We then evaluate explainable machine learning techniques in passively calculating UTI risk and perform stratification on scores to support clinical translation and allow control over the balance between alert rate and sensitivity and specificity. The proposed UTI algorithm achieves a sensitivity of 65.3% (95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 64.3-66.2) and specificity of 70.9% (68.6-73.1) when predicting UTIs on unseen participants and after risk stratification, a sensitivity of 74.7% (67.9-81.5) and specificity of 87.9% (85.0-90.9). In addition, feature importance methods reveal that the largest contributions to the predictions were bathroom visit statistics, night-time respiratory rate, and the number of previous UTI events, aligning with the literature. Our machine learning method alerts clinicians of UTI risk in subjects, enabling earlier detection and enhanced screening when considering treatment.

Population incidence and associated mortality of urinary tract infection in people living with dementia.

OBJECTIVES: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) frequently cause hospitalisation and death in people living with dementia (PLWD). We examine UTI incidence and associated mortality among PLWD relative to matched controls and people with diabetes and investigate whether delayed or withheld treatment further impacts mortality. METHODS: Data were extracted for n = 2,449,814 people aged ≥ 50 in Wales from 2000-2021, with groups matched by age, sex, and multimorbidity. Poisson regression was used to estimate incidences of UTI and mortality. Cox regression was used to study the effects of treatment timing. RESULTS: UTIs in dementia (HR=2.18, 95 %CI [1.88-2.53], p < .0) and diabetes (1.21[1.01-1.45], p = .035) were associated with high mortality, with the highest risk in individuals with diabetes and dementia (both) (2.83[2.40-3.34], p < .0) compared to matched individuals with neither dementia nor diabetes. 5.4 % of untreated PLWD died within 60 days of GP diagnosis-increasing to 5.9 % in PLWD with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Incidences of UTI and associated mortality are high in PLWD, especially in those with diabetes and dementia. Delayed treatment for UTI is further associated with high mortality.

Remote Monitoring of Physiology in People Living With Dementia: An Observational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Internet of Things (IoT) technology enables physiological measurements to be recorded at home from people living with dementia and monitored remotely. However, measurements from people with dementia in this context have not been previously studied. We report on the distribution of physiological measurements from 82 people with dementia over approximately 2 years. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to characterize the physiology of people with dementia when measured in the context of their own homes. We also wanted to explore the possible use of an alerts-based system for detecting health deterioration and discuss the potential applications and limitations of this kind of system. METHODS: We performed a longitudinal community-based cohort study of people with dementia using "Minder," our IoT remote monitoring platform. All people with dementia received a blood pressure machine for systolic and diastolic blood pressure, a pulse oximeter measuring oxygen saturation and heart rate, body weight scales, and a thermometer, and were asked to use each device once a day at any time. Timings, distributions, and abnormalities in measurements were examined, including the rate of significant abnormalities ("alerts") defined by various standardized criteria. We used our own study criteria for alerts and compared them with the National Early Warning Score 2 criteria. RESULTS: A total of 82 people with dementia, with a mean age of 80.4 (SD 7.8) years, recorded 147,203 measurements over 958,000 participant-hours. The median percentage of days when any participant took any measurements (ie, any device) was 56.2% (IQR 33.2%-83.7%, range 2.3%-100%). Reassuringly, engagement of people with dementia with the system did not wane with time, reflected in there being no change in the weekly number of measurements with respect to time (1-sample t-test on slopes of linear fit, P=.45). A total of 45% of people with dementia met criteria for hypertension. People with dementia with α-synuclein-related dementia had lower systolic blood pressure; 30% had clinically significant weight loss. Depending on the criteria used, 3.03%-9.46% of measurements generated alerts, at 0.066-0.233 per day per person with dementia. We also report 4 case studies, highlighting the potential benefits and challenges of remote physiological monitoring in people with dementia. These include case studies of people with dementia developing acute infections and one of a person with dementia developing symptomatic bradycardia while taking donepezil. CONCLUSIONS: We present findings from a study of the physiology of people with dementia recorded remotely on a large scale. People with dementia and their carers showed acceptable compliance throughout, supporting the feasibility of the system. Our findings inform the development of technologies, care pathways, and policies for IoT-based remote monitoring. We show how IoT-based monitoring could improve the management of acute and chronic comorbidities in this clinically vulnerable group. Future randomized trials are required to establish if a system like this has measurable long-term benefits on health and quality of life outcomes.

Risk of COVID-19 in shielded and nursing care home patients: a cohort study in general practice.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 cases were first detected in the UK in January 2020 and vulnerable patients were asked to shield from March to reduce their risk of COVID-19 infection. AIM: To determine the risk and determinants of COVID-19 diagnosis in shielded versus non-shielded groups, adjusted for key comorbidities not explained by shielding. DESIGN & SETTING: Retrospective cohort study of adults with COVID-19 infection between 1 February 2020 and 15 May 2020 in west London. METHOD: Individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 were identified in SystmOne records using clinical codes. Infection risks were adjusted for sociodemographic factors, nursing home status, and comorbidities. RESULTS: Of 57 713 adults, 573 (1%) individuals were identified as shielded and 1074 adults had documented COVID-19 infections (1.9%). COVID-19 infection rate in the shielded group individuals compared with non-shielded adult individuals was 6.5% (n = 37/573) versus 1.8% (n = 1037/57 140), P<0.001. A multivariable fully adjusted Cox proportional hazards (CPH) regression identified that COVID-19 infection was increased with shielding status (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.00 to 2.30; P = 0.048). Other determinants of COVID-19 infection included nursing home residency (aHR 7.05; 95% CI = 4.22 to 11.77; P<0.001); Black African (aHR 2.52; 95% CI = 1.99 to 3.18; P<0.001), Other (aHR 1.74; 95% CI = 1.42 to 2.13; P<0.001), Non-stated (aHR 1.70; 95% CI = 1.02 to 2.84; P = 0.04), or South Asian ethnic group (aHR 1.46; 95% CI = 1.10 to 1.93; P = 0.01); history of respiratory disease (aHR 1.51; 95% CI = 1.06 to 2.16; P = 0.02); deprivation (third versus least deprived Index of Multiple Deprivation [IMD] quintile) (aHR 1.25 ; 95% CI = 1.01 to 1.56; P = 0.05); obesity (body mass index [BMI] >30 kg/m2) (aHR 1.39; 95% CI = 1.18 to 1.63; P<0.001); and age (aHR 1.02; 95% CI = 1.01 to 1.02; P<0.001. Male sex was associated with lower risk of COVID-19 infection (aHR 0.71; 95% CI = 0.62 to 0.82; P<0.001). CONCLUSION: Shielded individuals had a higher COVID-19 infection rate compared with non-shielded individuals, after adjusting for sociodemographic factors, nursing home status, and comorbidities.

Molecular characterization of Vibrio parahaemolyticus strains associated with foodborne illness in Florida.

Vibrio parahaemolyticus is the leading cause of bacterial seafood-based illness in the United States. Real-time PCR, pandemic group-specific PCR, ribotyping, and multilocus sequence typing were used to characterize 30 strains of V. parahaemolyticus including 11 strains associated with foodborne outbreaks in Florida and 6 known pandemic strains. Thirteen strains were positive for four pandemic group-specific PCR markers, including 5 strains associated with outbreaks in Florida. Molecular typing methods were used to further define the pandemic status of these strains because the current PCR markers are not sufficient to identify pandemic isolates. Nine of the Florida strains clustered with a majority of the known pandemic strains, based on ribotyping patterns using PvuII, but no isolated pandemic branch was formed. Using multilocus sequence typing, it was determined that 14 strains possess a previously determined pandemic sequence type. This study identified 13 novel sequence types and seven to nine novel alleles for each locus. Furthermore, the results indicate that seven of the strains from recent foodborne outbreaks in Florida are pandemic strains, and that multilocus sequence typing was the most accurate molecular method to identify these strains.

Terminal digit preference and single-number preference in the Syst-Eur trial: influence of quality control.

BACKGROUND: Terminal digit and single-number preference may produce inaccuracy and biased results when measuring blood pressure. We describe these preferences in the Syst-Eur randomized placebo-controlled trial of the treatment of isolated systolic hypertension and describe how we sought to eliminate these problems. METHODS: The Data Monitoring Committee of the trial conducted yearly quality control meetings in Belgium and visited the participating centres to check their adherence to the protocol. These meetings involved identifying terminal digit preference, improving blood pressure control and boosting recruitment. RESULTS: The prevalence of use of terminal digit zero when measuring sitting systolic blood pressure (first readings) reduced from an average of 42.4% in the year prior to the date when a centre first randomized a patient to 31.5, 25, 22.3, 26.3, 23.2 and 22% in the subsequent 6 years. This trend was independent of the calendar year during which a centre entered the trial and supports the hypothesis that data-quality monitoring, including the feedback of digit preference to centres, led to a reduction in terminal digit zero preference. In addition, a higher than expected prevalence of the systolic blood pressure value of 148 mmHg was found in the active treatment groups in the double-blind phase. Selection for 148 mmHg persisted over time and constituted a single-number preference bias. This arose from the instruction to investigators to reduce systolic blood pressure to below 150 mmHg. CONCLUSION: Monitoring and feedback of data quality should be undertaken to minimize digit and number preference. Automatic devices should ideally be employed to help to avoid these problems as long as the devices are fully validated and regularly serviced, and providing that readings are not rejected and repeated.

Real-time PCR detection of the thermostable direct hemolysin and thermolabile hemolysin genes in a Vibrio parahaemolyticus cultured from mussels and mussel homogenate associated with a foodborne outbreak.

Molecular methods have become vital epidemiological tools in the detection and characterization of bacteria associated with a foodborne outbreak. We used both culture and real-time PCR to detect a Vibrio parahaemolyticus isolate associated with a foodborne outbreak. The outbreak occurred in July 2002 in Polk County, Florida, and originated at a Chinese buffet, with one person being hospitalized. The hospital isolated V. parahaemolyticus from the patient but destroyed the sample after diagnosis. From an onsite visit of the restaurant, food samples that possibly contributed to the outbreak were collected and sent to the Florida Department of Health, Tampa Branch Laboratory. Crab legs, crabsticks, and mussel samples were homogenized and incubated according to the Food and Drug Administration Bacteriological Analytical Manual culture protocol. Three sets of primers and a TaqMan probe were designed to target the tdh, trh, and tlh genes and used for real-time PCR. This study was successful in isolating V. parahaemolyticus from a mussel sample and detecting two of its genes (tdh and tlh) in food and pure culture by real-time PCR.

The Sherbrooke Questionnaire predicts use of emergency services.

BACKGROUND: the National Service Framework for Older People mandates the introduction of 'intermediate care services' to reduce emergency admissions to hospital from the population aged 75 years or more. We evaluated the predictive performance of one of the screening instruments used to identify older people who might most benefit from such services. METHODS: using multiple logistic regression, we compared responses to the six-item, self-administered Sherbrooke Questionnaire with subsequent patterns of emergency attendance and admission to hospital among the elderly population of one borough in West London. RESULTS: excess risk of both emergency attendance and admission became significant when two or more risk factors were present, and rose progressively with each additional factor, regardless of their nature. With each additional year of age, risks of emergency attendance and admission to hospital increased by 8% (95% CI = 6-10) and 9% (95% CI = 7-12), respectively. There were also significant independent risks associated with reporting memory problems (typical odds ratio (OR) 1.41, 95% CI = 1.14-1.75) and taking three or more medications (OR 1.65, 95% CI = 1.34-2.02), as well as large risks associated with attendance or admission in the year before screening. CONCLUSION: the Sherbrooke Questionnaire is a good measure of likely need for emergency visits to hospital among the elderly. However, programmes attempting to reduce such events should also take into account the individual's recent history of emergency attendance at hospital.

Increased use of emergency services by older people after health screening.

BACKGROUND: evaluation of the 'Keep Well At Home' (KWAH) Project in West London indicated that a programme of screening persons aged 75 and over had not reduced rates of emergency attendances and admissions to hospital. However, coverage of the target population was incomplete. The present analysis addresses 'efficacy'-whether individuals who completed the screening protocol as intended did subsequently use Accident & Emergency (A&E) services less often. METHODS: the target population was divided into five groups, depending on whether an individual had completed none, one or both phases of screening, and whether deviations from the protocol related to incomplete coverage or refusal to participate further. We ascertained use of emergency services before screening and for up to 3 years afterwards by linkage of records from KWAH to those of local A&E Departments. Patterns of emergency care were examined as crude rates and, via proportional hazards models, after adjustment for available confounders. RESULTS: there was an increase of 51% (95% CI 22-86%) in the crude rate of emergency admissions in the year after first-phase screening compared with the 12 months before assessment. This was most obvious in individuals deemed at high risk who also underwent the second-phase assessment (adjusted hazard ratio relative to individuals not 'at risk'=2.33; 95% CI 1.59-3.42). CONCLUSIONS: the available data do not allow us to distinguish between several possible explanations for the paradoxical increase in use of emergency services. However, what seem to be sensible policies do not necessarily have their intended effects when implemented in practice.

Comparison of methods for DNA isolation from food samples for detection of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli by real-time PCR.

In this study, food samples were intentionally contaminated with Escherichia coli O157:H7, and then DNA was isolated by using four commercial kits. The isolated DNA samples were compared by using real-time PCR detection of the Shiga toxin genes. The four kits tested worked similarly.