Adaptive Discretization for Event PredicTion (ADEPT).

Recently developed survival analysis methods improve upon existing approaches by predicting the probability of event occurrence in each of a number pre-specified (discrete) time intervals. By avoiding placing strong parametric assumptions on the event density, this approach tends to improve prediction performance, particularly when data are plentiful. However, in clinical settings with limited available data, it is often preferable to judiciously partition the event time space into a limited number of intervals well suited to the prediction task at hand. In this work, we develop Adaptive Discretization for Event PredicTion (ADEPT) to learn from data a set of cut points defining such a partition. We show that in two simulated datasets, we are able to recover intervals that match the underlying generative model. We then demonstrate improved prediction performance on three real-world observational datasets, including a large, newly harmonized stroke risk prediction dataset. Finally, we argue that our approach facilitates clinical decision-making by suggesting time intervals that are most appropriate for each task, in the sense that they facilitate more accurate risk prediction.

Failure to Rescue After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Insights From the National Cardiovascular Data Registry.

BACKGROUND: Failure to rescue (FTR) describes in-hospital mortality following a procedural complication and has been adopted as a quality metric in multiple specialties. However, FTR has not been studied for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) complications. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of patients undergoing PCI from the American College of Cardiology National Cardiovascular Data Registry's CathPCI Registry between April 1, 2018, and June 30, 2021. PCI complications evaluated were significant coronary dissection, coronary artery perforation, vascular complication, significant bleeding within 48 hours, new cardiogenic shock, and tamponade. Secular trends for FTR were evaluated with descriptive analysis, and hospital-level variation and clinical predictors were analyzed with logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 2 196 661 patients undergoing PCI at 1483 hospitals, 3.5% had at least 1 PCI complication. In-hospital mortality occurred more frequently following a complication compared with cases without a complication (19.7% versus 1.3%). FTR increased during the study period from 17.1% to 20.1% (P<0.001). The median odds ratio for FTR was 1.48 (95% CI, 1.44-1.53) indicating significant hospital-level variation. Spearman rank correlation demonstrated the modest correlation between FTR and in-hospital mortality, 0.525 (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Major procedural complications during PCI are infrequent, but FTR occurs in roughly 1 in 5 patients following a PCI procedural complication with significant hospital-level variation. Improved understanding of practices associated with low FTR could meaningfully improve patient outcomes following a PCI complication.

Torsemide Versus Furosemide After Discharge in Patients Hospitalized With Heart Failure Across the Spectrum of Ejection Fraction: Findings From TRANSFORM-HF.

BACKGROUND: The TRANSFORM-HF trial (Torsemide Comparison With Furosemide for Management of Heart Failure) found no significant difference in all-cause mortality or hospitalization among patients randomized to a strategy of torsemide versus furosemide following a heart failure (HF) hospitalization. However, outcomes and responses to some therapies differ by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Thus, we sought to explore the effect of torsemide versus furosemide by baseline LVEF and to assess outcomes across LVEF groups. METHODS: We compared baseline patient characteristics and randomized treatment effects for various end points in TRANSFORM-HF stratified by LVEF: HF with reduced LVEF, ≤40% versus HF with mildly reduced LVEF, 41% to 49% versus HF with preserved LVEF, ≥50%. We also evaluated associations between LVEF and clinical outcomes. Study end points were all-cause mortality or hospitalization at 30 days and 12 months, total hospitalizations at 12 months, and change from baseline in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire clinical summary score. RESULTS: Overall, 2635 patients (median 64 years, 36% female, 34% Black) had LVEF data. Compared with HF with reduced LVEF, patients with HF with mildly reduced LVEF and HF with preserved LVEF had a higher prevalence of comorbidities. After adjusting for covariates, there was no significant difference in risk of clinical outcomes across the LVEF groups (adjusted hazard ratio for 12-month all-cause mortality, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.59-1.39] for HF with mildly reduced LVEF versus HF with reduced LVEF and 0.91 [95% CI, 0.70-1.17] for HF with preserved LVEF versus HF with reduced LVEF; P=0.73). In addition, there was no significant difference between torsemide and furosemide (1) for mortality and hospitalization outcomes, irrespective of LVEF group and (2) in changes in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire clinical summary score in any LVEF subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Despite baseline demographic and clinical differences between LVEF cohorts in TRANSFORM-HF, there were no significant differences in the clinical end points with torsemide versus furosemide across the LVEF spectrum. There was a substantial risk for all-cause mortality and subsequent hospitalization independent of baseline LVEF. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03296813.

Implementation of a Multidimensional Strategy to Reduce Post-PCI Bleeding Risk.

BACKGROUND: The American College of Cardiology Reduce the Risk: PCI Bleed Campaign was a hospital-based quality improvement campaign designed to reduce post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) bleeding events. The aim of the campaign was to provide actionable evidence-based tools for participants to review, adapt, and adopt, depending upon hospital resources and engagement. METHODS: We used data from 8 757 737 procedures in the National Cardiovascular Data Registry between 2015 and 2021 to compare patient and hospital characteristics and bleeding outcomes among campaign participants (n=195 hospitals) and noncampaign participants (n=1384). Post-PCI bleeding risk was compared before and after campaign participation. Multivariable hierarchical logistic regression was used to determine the adjusted association between campaign participation and post-PCI bleeding events. Prespecified subgroups were examined. RESULTS: Campaign hospitals were more often higher volume teaching facilities located in urban or suburban locations. After adjustment, campaign participation was associated with a significant reduction in the rate of bleeding (bleeding: adjusted odds ratio, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.53-0.71]). Campaign hospitals had a greater decrease in bleeding events than noncampaign hospitals. In a subgroup analysis, the reduction in bleeding was noted in non-ST-segment-elevation acute coronary syndrome and ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction patients, but no significant reduction was seen in patients without acute coronary syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: Participation in the American College of Cardiology Reduce the Risk: PCI Bleed Campaign was associated with a significant reduction in post-PCI bleeding. Our results underscore that national quality improvement efforts can be associated with a significant impact on PCI outcomes.

Antithrombotic Strategies According to Age: Insights from the AUGUSTUS Trial.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of antithrombotic strategies by age in patients with atrial fibrillation and acute coronary syndrome and/or percutaneous coronary intervention in AUGUSTUS. METHODS: Patients were stratified into 3 age groups: <65, 65-74, and ≥75 years. Outcomes of interest were major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding, major bleeding, death or rehospitalization, and ischemic events. Treatment effects of apixaban vs. vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and aspirin vs. placebo were assessed across age groups using Cox models. RESULTS: Of 4614 patients, 1267 (27.5%) were <65, 1802 (39.0%) were 65-74, and 1545 (33.5%) were ≥75 years. Apixaban was associated with lower rates of major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding than VKA (<65: HR 0.69 [0.47-1.00]; 65-74: HR 0.57 [0.43-0.75]; ≥75: HR 0.81 [0.63-1.04]). Death or hospitalization occurred less often with apixaban, regardless of age. No differences were observed in rates of ischemic events between apixaban and VKA according to age. Aspirin was associated with higher rates of bleeding than placebo (<65: HR 1.67 [1.15-2.43]; 65-74: HR 2.32 [1.73-3.10]; ≥75: HR 1.69 [1.31-2.19]). Rates of death or rehospitalization and ischemic events were similar among patients receiving aspirin or placebo across age groups. CONCLUSIONS: Apixaban was associated with greater absolute reduction in bleeding than VKA in older age groups, reflecting their higher hemorrhagic risk. Aspirin increased bleeding in all age groups vs. placebo. Our findings support the use of apixaban plus a purinergic receptor P2Y12(P2Y12) inhibitor without aspirin in patients with atrial fibrillation and recent acute coronary syndrome/percutaneous coronary intervention, regardless of age.

Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Failure in Women: Incidence and Clinical Implications.

BACKGROUND: Women have worse outcomes after coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG) than men. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine the incidence of CABG graft failure in women, its association with cardiac events, and whether it contributes to sex-related differences in outcomes. METHODS: A pooled analysis of individual patient data from randomized clinical trials with systematic imaging follow-up was performed. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the association of graft failure with myocardial infarction and repeat revascularization between CABG and imaging (primary outcome) and death after imaging (secondary outcome). Mediation analysis was performed to evaluate the effect of graft failure on the association between female sex and risk of death. RESULTS: Seven randomized clinical trials (N = 4,413, 777 women) were included. At a median imaging follow-up of 1.03 years, graft failure was significantly more frequent among women than men (37.3% vs 32.9% at the patient-level and 20.5% vs 15.8% at the graft level; P = 0.02 and P < 0.001, respectively). In women, graft failure was associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction and repeat revascularization (OR: 3.94; 95% CI: 1.79-8.67) and death (OR: 3.18; 95% CI: 1.73-5.85). Female sex was independently associated with the risk of death (direct effect, HR: 1.84; 95% CI: 1.35-2.50) but the association was not mediated by graft failure (indirect effect, HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.86-1.26). CONCLUSIONS: Graft failure is more frequent in women and is associated with adverse cardiac events. The excess mortality risk associated with female sex among CABG patients is not mediated by graft failure.

Impact of baseline kidney dysfunction on oral diuretic efficacy following hospitalization for heart failure - insights from TRANSFORM-HF.

AIM: Among patients discharged after hospitalization for heart failure (HF), a strategy of torsemide versus furosemide showed no difference in all-cause mortality or hospitalization. Clinicians have traditionally favoured torsemide in the setting of kidney dysfunction due to better oral bioavailability and longer half-life, but direct supportive evidence is lacking. METHODS AND RESULTS: The TRANSFORM-HF trial randomized patients hospitalized for HF to a long-term strategy of torsemide versus furosemide, and enrolled patients across the spectrum of renal function (without dialysis). In this post-hoc analysis, baseline renal function during the index hospitalization was assessed as categories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; <30, 30-<60, ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2). The interaction between baseline renal function and treatment effect of torsemide versus furosemide was assessed with respect to mortality and hospitalization outcomes, and the change in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire clinical summary score (KCCQ-CSS). Of 2859 patients randomized, 336 (11.8%) had eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m2, 1138 (39.8%) had eGFR 30-<60 ml/min/1.73 m2, and 1385 (48.4%) had eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2. Baseline eGFR did not modify treatment effects of torsemide versus furosemide on all adverse clinical outcomes including individual components or composites of all-cause mortality and all-cause (re)-hospitalizations, both when assessing eGFR categorically or continuously (p-value for interaction all >0.108). Similarly, no treatment effect modification by eGFR was found for the change in KCCQ-CSS (p-value for interaction all >0.052) when assessing eGFR categorically or continuously. CONCLUSION: Among patients discharged after hospitalization for HF, there was no significant difference in clinical and patient-reported outcomes between torsemide and furosemide, irrespective of renal function.

On-treatment analysis of torsemide versus furosemide for patients hospitalized for heart failure: A post-hoc analysis of TRANSFORM-HF.

AIM: The TRANSFORM-HF trial demonstrated no significant outcome differences between torsemide and furosemide following hospitalization for heart failure (HF), but may have been impacted by non-adherence to the randomized diuretic. The current study sought to determine the treatment effect of torsemide versus furosemide using an on-treatment analysis inclusive of all randomized patients except those confirmed non-adherent to study diuretic. METHODS AND RESULTS: TRANSFORM-HF was an open-label, pragmatic randomized trial of 2859 patients hospitalized for HF from June 2018 through March 2022. Patients were randomized to a loop diuretic strategy of torsemide versus furosemide with investigator-selected dosage. This post-hoc on-treatment analysis included all patients alive with either known or unknown diuretic status, and excluded patients confirmed to be non-adherent to study diuretic. This modified on-treatment definition was applied separately at time of hospital discharge and 30-day follow-up. All-cause mortality and hospitalization outcomes were assessed over 12 months. Overall, 2570 (89.9%) and 2374 (83.0%) patients were included in on-treatment analyses at discharge and 30-day follow-up, respectively. There was no significant difference in all-cause mortality between torsemide and furosemide in patients on-treatment at discharge (17.5% vs. 17.8%; hazard ratio [HR] 1.01 [95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83-1.22], p = 0.96) and at 30-day follow-up (14.5% vs. 15.0%; HR 1.02 [95% CI 0.81-1.27], p = 0.90). All-cause mortality or all-cause hospitalization was similar between torsemide and furosemide in patients who were on-treatment at discharge (58.3% vs. 61.3%; HR 0.92 [95% CI 0.82-1.03]) and 30-day follow-up (60.9% vs. 64.4%; HR 0.93 [95% CI 0.82-1.05]). In patients who were on-treatment at 30-day follow-up, there were 677 total hospitalizations in the torsemide group and 686 total hospitalizations in the furosemide group (rate ratio 0.99 [95% CI 0.86-1.14], p = 0.87). CONCLUSIONS: In TRANSFORM-HF, a post-hoc on-treatment analysis did not meaningfully differ from the original trial results. Among those deemed compliant with the assigned diuretic, there remained no significant difference in mortality or hospitalization after HF hospitalization with a strategy of torsemide versus furosemide. CLINICAL TRAIL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03296813.

Case Volumes and Outcomes Among Early-Career Interventional Cardiologists in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the procedural characteristics, case volumes, and mortality rates for early- vs non-early-career interventional cardiologists in the United States. OBJECTIVES: This study examined operator-level data for patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between April 2018 and June 2022. METHODS: Data were collected from the National Cardiovascular Data Registry CathPCI Registry, American Board of Internal Medicine certification database, and National Plan and Provider Enumeration System database. Early-career operators were within 5 years of the end of training. Annual case volume, expected mortality and bleeding risk, and observed/predicted mortality and bleeding outcomes were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 1,451 operators were early career; 1,011 changed their career status during the study; and 6,251 were non-early career. Overall, 514,540 patients were treated by early-career and 2,296,576 patients by non-early-career operators. The median annual case volume per operator was 59 (Q1-Q3: 31-97) for early-career and 57 (Q1-Q3: 28-100) for non-early-career operators. Early-career operators were more likely to treat patients presenting with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and urgent indications for PCI (both P < 0.001). The median predicted mortality risk was 2.0% (Q1-Q3: 1.5%-2.7%) for early-career and 1.8% (Q1-Q3: 1.2%-2.4%) for non-early-career operators. The median predicted bleeding risk was 4.9% (Q1-Q3: 4.2%-5.7%) for early-career and 4.4% (Q1-Q3: 3.7%-5.3%) for non-early-career operators. After adjustment, an increased risk of mortality (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.05-1.17; P < 0.0001) and bleeding (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.05-1.12; P < 0.0001) were associated with early-career status. CONCLUSIONS: Early-career operators are caring for patients with more acute presentations and higher predicted risk of mortality and bleeding compared with more experienced colleagues, with modestly worse outcomes. These data should inform institutional practices to support the development of early-career proceduralists.

Association between overweight and obesity with coronary artery bypass graft failure: an individual patient data analysis of clinical trials.

OBJECTIVES: The association between obesity and graft failure after coronary artery bypass grafting has not been previously investigated. METHODS: We pooled individual patient data from randomized clinical trials with systematic postoperative coronary imaging to evaluate the association between obesity and graft failure at the individual graft and patient levels. Penalized cubic regression splines and mixed-effects multivariable logistic regression models were performed. RESULTS: Six trials comprising 3928 patients and 12 048 grafts were included. The median time to imaging was 1.03 (interquartile range 1.00-1.09) years. By body mass index (BMI) category, 800 (20.4%) patients were normal weight (BMI 18.5-24.9), 1668 (42.5%) were overweight (BMI 25-29.9), 983 (25.0%) were obesity class 1 (BMI 30-34.9), 344 (8.8%) were obesity class 2 (BMI 35-39.9) and 116 (2.9%) were obesity class 3 (BMI 40+). As a continuous variable, BMI was associated with reduced graft failure [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.98 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.97-0.99)] at the individual graft level. Compared to normal weight patients, graft failure at the individual graft level was reduced in overweight [aOR 0.79 (95% CI 0.64-0.96)], obesity class 1 [aOR 0.81 (95% CI 0.64-1.01)] and obesity class 2 [aOR 0.61 (95% CI 0.45-0.83)] patients, but not different compared to obesity class 3 [aOR 0.94 (95% CI 0.62-1.42)] patients. Findings were similar, but did not reach significance, at the patient level. CONCLUSIONS: In a pooled individual patient data analysis of randomized clinical trials, BMI and obesity appear to be associated with reduced graft failure at 1 year after coronary artery bypass grafting.

Apixaban vs Aspirin According to CHA2DS2-VASc Score in Subclinical Atrial Fibrillation: Insights From ARTESiA.

BACKGROUND: ARTESiA (Apixaban for the Reduction of Thrombo-Embolism in Patients With Device-Detected Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation) demonstrated that apixaban, compared with aspirin, significantly reduced stroke and systemic embolism (SE) but increased major bleeding in patients with subclinical atrial fibrillation. OBJECTIVES: To help inform decision making, the authors evaluated the efficacy and safety of apixaban according to baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score. METHODS: We performed a subgroup analysis according to baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score and assessed both the relative and absolute differences in stroke/SE and major bleeding. RESULTS: Baseline CHA2DS2-VASc scores were <4 in 1,578 (39.4%) patients, 4 in 1,349 (33.6%), and >4 in 1,085 (27.0%). For patients with CHA2DS2-VASc >4, the rate of stroke was 0.98%/year with apixaban and 2.25%/year with aspirin; compared with aspirin, apixaban prevented 1.28 (95% CI: 0.43-2.12) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.68 (95% CI: -0.23 to 1.57) major bleeds. For CHA2DS2-VASc <4, the stroke/SE rate was 0.85%/year with apixaban and 0.97%/year with aspirin. Apixaban prevented 0.12 (95% CI: -0.38 to 0.62) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.33 (95% CI: -0.27 to 0.92) major bleeds. For patients with CHA2DS2-VASc =4, apixaban prevented 0.32 (95% CI: -0.16 to 0.79) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.28 (95% CI: -0.30 to 0.86) major bleeds. CONCLUSIONS: One in 4 patients in ARTESiA with subclinical atrial fibrillation had a CHA2DS2-VASc score >4 and a stroke/SE risk of 2.2% per year. For these patients, the benefits of treatment with apixaban in preventing stroke/SE are greater than the risks. The opposite is true for patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score <4. A substantial intermediate group (CHA2DS2-VASc =4) exists in which patient preferences will inform treatment decisions. (Apixaban for the Reduction of Thrombo-Embolism in Patients With Device-Detected Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation; NCT01938248).

Efecto de los antimaláricos sobre los diferentes dominios del índice de daño SLICC en pacientes de la cohorte GLADEL / Effect of antimalarials on the different domains of the SLICC damage index in patients of the GLADEL cohort

Objetivos: Estimar el efecto de los antimaláricos (AM) sobre los diferentes dominios del índice de daño SLICC (SDI). Métodos: Se estudiaron pacientes con diagnóstico clínico reciente (≤2 años) de lupus eritematoso sistémico (LES) de la cohorte GLADEL. Variable de estudio: aumento en los dominios del SDI desde el ingreso a la cohorte. Variables independientes: características sociodemográficas, clínicas, laboratorio y tratamientos. El efecto de los AM, como variable dependiente del tiempo, sobre los dominios más frecuentes del SDI (ajustado por factores de confusión) fue examinado con un modelo de regresión de Cox multivariado. Resultados: De 1466 pacientes estudiados, 1049 (72%) recibieron AM con un tiempo medio de exposición de 30 meses (Q1-Q3: 11-57) y 665 pacientes (45%) presentaron daño durante un seguimiento medio de 24 meses (Q1-Q3: 8-55); 301 eventos fueron cutáneos, 208 renales, 149 neuropsiquiátricos, 98 musculoesqueléticos, 88 cardiovasculares y 230 otros. Después de ajustar por factores de confusión, el uso de AM se asoció a un menor riesgo de daño renal (HR 0,652; IC 95%: 0,472-0,901) y en el límite de la significancia estadística (HR 0,701, IC 95%: 0,481-1,024) para el dominio neuropsiquiátrico. Conclusión: En GLADEL, el uso de AM se asoció independientemente a un menor riesgo de daño acumulado renal.

Objective: To assess the effects of antimalarials (AM) over the items of the SLICC Damage Index (SDI). Methods: Patients with recent (≤2 years) diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) from the GLADEL cohort were studied. End-point: increase in items SDI since cohort entry. Independent variables (socio-demographic, clinical, laboratory and treatment) were included. The effect of AM as a time dependent variable on most frequent SDI items (adjusting for potential confounders) was examined with a multivariable Cox regression model. Results: Of the 1466 patients included in this analysis, 1049 (72%) received AM with a median exposure time of 30 months (Q1-Q3: 11-57). Damage occurred in 665 (45%) patients during a median follow-up time of 24 months (Q1-Q3: 8-55). There were 301 integument, 208 renal, 149 neuropsychiatric, 98 musculoskeletal, 88 cardiovascular and 230 others less frequently represented damages. After adjusting for potential confounders at any time during follow-up, a lower risk of renal damage (HR 0.652; 95% CI: 0.472-0.901) and borderline for neuropsychiatric damage (HR 0.701, 95% CI: 0.481-1.024) was found. Conclusion: In the GLADEL cohort, after adjustment for possible confounding factors, AM were independently associated with a reduced risk of renal damage accrual.

Análisis descriptivo multivariado de la enfermedad de Chagas en 2260 pacientes / Multivariate statistical analysis in 2260 chagasic patients

El análisis multivariado, utilizando las razones de odds, en 2260 pacientes chagásicos, demostró una fuerte asociación estadística entre las alteraciones electrocardiográficas y radiológicas con los siguientes factores: edad mayor de 40 años, mayor tiempo de residencia en área endémica, hábitat endémico con la transmisión vectorial, examen físico anormal, síntomas cardiológicos, especialmente síncope y disnea, trastornos de la frecuencia cardíaca y de la presión arterial, alteraciones en la ergometría, estudio Holter y ecocardiograma, trabajo que demande esfuerzo físico y presencia de enfermedades asociadas. En cambio, el contagio transfusional, connatal o bien ocasional, el trabajo sedentario y el tratamiento específico previo, no tuvieron relación estadística con la cardiopatía chagásica

Lung cancer: influence of tobacco and occupational history on histologic cell type

To investigate the reasons for the high mortality rate (65 percent 000) for Lung Cancer (LC) found in Rosario, Argentina, studies were carried out among patients with LC. Odds Ratios (OR) of different cell types associated with smoking habit and occupational hystory were quantified. The OR for the consumption of more than 40 cigarettes/day versus less than 20 cigarrettes/day was 11.6 for all LC (p<0.0001). OR associated with the use of unfiltered ciagarettes was 3.5 times higher than for filtered ciagarettes. The OR for smokers working at metallurgy plants was similar to Administrative Personnel (AP)and 2.3 times higher for Agriculture Workers (AG) (p<0.02); 3 times if AG worked more than 30 years and 5 times higher when squamous cell type was considered. Occupational contaminants could potentiate the risks of smoking habits favoring lung cancer.