Prognostic value of pre-therapeutic nutritional risk factors in elderly patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy or radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: The nutritional status of cancer patients is a crucial factor in determining their prognosis. The objective of this study was to investigate and compare the prognostic value of pretreatment nutrition-related indicators in elderly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Risk stratification was performed according to independent risk factors and a new nutritional prognostic index was constructed. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 460 older locally advanced ESCC patients receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) or radiotherapy (dRT). This study included five pre- therapeutic nutrition-related indicators. The optimal cut-off values for these indices were calculated from the Receiver Operating Curve (ROC). Univariate and multivariate COX analyses were employed to determine the association between each indicator and clinical outcomes. The predictive ability of each independently nutrition-related prognostic indicator was assessed using the time-dependent ROC (time-ROC) and C-index. RESULTS: Multivariate analyses indicated that the geriatric nutrition risk index (GNRI), body mass index (BMI), the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score, and platelet-albumin ratio (PAR) could independently predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in elderly patients with ESCC (all p < 0.05), except for prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Based on four independently nutrition-related prognostic indicators, we developed pre-therapeutic nutritional prognostic score (PTNPS) and new nutritional prognostic index (NNPI). No-risk (PTNPS = 0-1 point), moderate-risk (PTNPS = 2 points), and high-risk (PTNPS = 3-4 points) groups had 5-year OS rates of 42.3%, 22.9%, and 8.8%, respectively (p < 0.001), and 5-year PFS rates of 44.4%, 26.5%, and 11.3%, respectively (p < 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the mortality of elderly ESCC patients in the high-risk group was higher than that in the low-risk group according to the NNPI. Analysis of time-AUC and C-index revealed that the NNPI (C-index: 0.663) had the greatest predictive power on the prognosis in older ESCC patients. CONCLUSIONS: In elderly ESCC patients, the GNRI, BMI, CONUT score, and PAR can be used as objective assessment measures for the risk of nutrition-related death. Compared to the other four indexes, the NNPI has the greatest prognostic value for prognosis, and elderly patients with a higher nutritional risk have a poor prognosis, which is helpful in guiding early clinical nutrition intervention.

Prognostic value of Hematoxylin and eosin staining tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (H&E-TILs) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with chemoradiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) by routine hematoxylin and eosin staining (H&E-TILs) are a robust prognostic biomarker in various cancers. However, the role of H&E-TILs in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) has not been reported. The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of H&E-TILs in ESCC treated with CCRT. METHODS: The clinical data of 160 patients with ESCC treated with CCRT in our center between Jan. 2014 and Dec. 2021 were collected and retrospectively reviewed, and propensity score matching (PSM) analyses were performed. The H&E-TILs sections before CCRT were reassessed by two experienced pathologists independently. The H&E-TILs sections were classified into a positive group (+, > 10%) and a negative group (-, ≤ 10%) using 10% as the cutoff. The effects of H&E-TILs on overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS) were explored using the Kaplan‒Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to test the differences. Multivariable analysis was performed using the Cox proportion hazards model. RESULTS: The short-term response to CCRT and the OS (P < 0.001), DMFS (P = 0.001), and LRFS (P < 0.001) rates were significantly different between the H&E-TILs (+) and H&E-TILs (-) groups. Subgroup analysis showed that H&E-TILs(+) with CR + PR group had a longer survival than H&E-TILs(-) with CR + PR, H&E-TILs(+) with SD + PD and H&E-TILs(-) with SD + PD group, respectively(P < 0.001). Furthermore, based on TCGA data, patients in the high TILs group had a better prognosis than those in the low TILs group. Multivariate analyses indicated that H&E-TILs and the short-term response to CCRT were the only two independent factors affecting OS, PFS, DMFS, and LRFS simultaneously, and H&E-TILs expression was associated with an even better prognosis for those patients with CR + PR. CONCLUSIONS: H&E-TILs may be an effective and beneficial prognostic biomarker for ESCC patients treated with CCRT. Patients with H&E-TILs (+) with PR + CR would achieve excellent survival. Further prospective studies are required to validate the conclusions.

Advanced Glycation End Products' Receptor DNA Methylation Associated with Immune Infiltration and Prognosis of Lung Adenocarcinoma and Lung Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Background: Advanced glycation end products' receptor (AGER) is a multiligand receptor that interacts with a wide range of ligands. Previous studies have shown that abnormal AGER expression is closely related to immune infiltration and tumorigenesis. However, the AGER DNA methylation relationship between prognosis and infiltrating immune cells in LUAD and LUSC is still unclear. Methods: AGER expression in pan-cancer was obtained by using the UALCAN databases. Kaplan-Meier plotter showed the correlation of AGER mRNA expression levels and clinicopathological parameters. The protein expression levels for AGER were derived from Human Protein Atlas Database Analysis. The copy number, somatic mutation, and DNA methylation of AGER were presented with UCSC Xena database. TIMER platform and TISIDB website were used to show the correlation between AGER expression and tumor immune cell infiltration level. Results: The expression level of AGER was significantly reduced in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC). Low expression of AGER was significantly correlated with histology, stage, lymph node metastasis, and tumor protein 53 (TP53) mutation and could be used as a potential indicator of poor prognosis of LUAD and LUSC. Moreover, AGER expression was positively correlated with the infiltrating immune cells. Further analysis showed that copy number variation (CNV), mutation, and DNA methylation were involved in AGER downregulation. In addition, we also found that hypermethylated AGER was significantly correlated with tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes. Conclusion: AGER may be a candidate for the prognostic biomarker of LUAD and LUSC related to tumor immune microenvironment.

Testing for the Markov property in time series via deep conditional generative learning.

The Markov property is widely imposed in analysis of time series data. Correspondingly, testing the Markov property, and relatedly, inferring the order of a Markov model, are of paramount importance. In this article, we propose a nonparametric test for the Markov property in high-dimensional time series via deep conditional generative learning. We also apply the test sequentially to determine the order of the Markov model. We show that the test controls the type-I error asymptotically, and has the power approaching one. Our proposal makes novel contributions in several ways. We utilise and extend state-of-the-art deep generative learning to estimate the conditional density functions, and establish a sharp upper bound on the approximation error of the estimators. We derive a doubly robust test statistic, which employs a nonparametric estimation but achieves a parametric convergence rate. We further adopt sample splitting and cross-fitting to minimise the conditions required to ensure the consistency of the test. We demonstrate the efficacy of the test through both simulations and the three data applications.

Enantioselective Reductive N-Cyclization-Alkylation Reaction of Alkene-Tethered Oxime Esters and Alkyl Iodides by Nickel Catalysis.

Asymmetric cross-electrophile difunctionalization of tethered alkenes has become a powerful tool for the production of chiral cyclic scaffolds; however, the current studies all focus on carbocyclization reactions. Herein, we report an N-cyclization-alkylation reaction and thus showcase the potential of heterocyclization for accessing new enantioenriched cyclic architectures. This work establishes a new approach for enantioselective aza-Heck cyclization/cross-coupling sequence, which remains a long-standing unsolved challenge for the synthetic community. The reaction proceeds with primary, secondary, and a few tertiary alkyl iodides, and the use of newly defined ligands gave highly enantioenriched pyrrolines with improved molecular diversity under mild conditions. The presence of imine functionality allows for further structural variations.

CANT1 serves as a potential prognostic factor for lung adenocarcinoma and promotes cell proliferation and invasion in vitro.

BACKGROUND: Calcium-activated nucleotidase 1 (CANT1), functions as a calcium-dependent nucleotidase with a preference for UDP. However, the potential clinical value of CANT1 in lung adenocarcinoma (LA) has not been fully clarified. Thus, we sought to identify its potential biological function and mechanism through bioinformatics analysis and in vitro experiments in LA. METHODS: In the present study, we comprehensively investigated the prognostic role of CANT1 in LA patients through bioinformatics analysis and in vitro experiments. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) were utilized to analyze the expression of CANT1 in LA patients and their clinical-prognostic value. The immunohistochemistry staining was obtained from the Human Protein Atlas (HPA). A Cox regression model was used to evaluate prognostic factors. Gene ontology (GO) and Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed to explore the potential regulatory mechanism of CANT1 in the development of LA. Moreover, we also examined the relationship between CANT1 expression and DNA methylation. Finally, we did in vitro experiments to evaluate the biological behavior and role of CANT1 in LA cells (LACs). RESULTS: Our study showed that the CANT1 expression was significantly elevated in the LA tissues compared with the normal lung tissues. Increased CANT1 expression was significantly associated with the TN stage. A univariate Cox analysis indicated that high CANT1 expression levels were correlated with poor overall survival (OS) in LA. Besides, CANT1 expression was independently associated with OS in multivariate analysis. GO and GSEA analysis showed the enrichment of mitotic nuclear division, DNA methylation, and DNA damage. Then we found that the high expression of CANT1 is positively correlated with hypomethylation. The methylation level was associated with prognosis in LA patients. Finally, in vitro experiments indicated that knockdown of CANT1 resulted in decreased cell proliferation, invasion, and G1 phase cell-cycle arrest in LACs. CONCLUSION: The present study suggested that CANT1 may serve as a potential prognosis biomarker in patients with LA. High CANT1 expression and promoter demethylation was associated with worse outcome. Finally, in vitro experiments verified the biological functions and behaviors of CANT1 in LA.

Enantioselective Reductive Divinylation of Unactivated Alkenes by Nickel-Catalyzed Cyclization Coupling Reaction.

Catalytic asymmetric dicarbofunctionalization of tethered alkenes has emerged as a promising tool for producing chiral cyclic molecules; however, it typically relies on aryl-tethered alkenes to form benzene-fused compounds. Herein, we report an enantioselective cross-electrophile divinylation reaction of nonaromatic substrates, 2-bromo-1,6-dienes. The approach thus offers a route to new chiral cyclic architectures, which are key structural motifs found in various biologically active compounds. The reaction proceeds under mild conditions, and the use of chiral t-Bu-pmrox and 3,5-difluoro-pyrox ligands resulted in the formation of divinylated products with high chemo-, regio-, and enantioselectivity. The method is applicable for the incorporation of chiral hetero- and carbocycles into complex molecules.

Association of periodontal disease with oral cancer: a meta-analysis.

The objective is to evaluate the association of periodontal disease with the risk of oral cancer. Literature retrieval, selection and assessment, data extraction, and meta-analyses were performed according to the RevMan 5.0 guidelines. In the meta-analysis, we utilized random-effect model to pool the odds ratio (OR) according to the test of heterogeneity. A total of five eligible studies included 1,191 oral cancer patients and 1,992 healthy control subjects were analyzed. By meta-analysis, we found a significant association of periodontal disease with oral cancer [OR = 3.53, 95 % CI (1.52-8.23); P = 0.003]. Patients with periodontal disease have increased susceptibility to oral cancer.

The status of p53 in cancer cells affects the role of autophagy in tumor radiosensitisation.

The function of autophagy in cancer has been intensively studied as a possible therapeutic target due to its unique ability to influence the cancer cells' resistance to chemotherapy and radiation treatment. p53 is a pivotal tumor suppressor that induces apoptosis, cell cycle arrest, and senescence in response to various stresses, also playing an important role in the regulation of radiosensitivity. Autophagy may either promote or inhibit the survival of tumor cells, while it was found to change along with the status of p53 in cancer cells. In this mini review, we aimed to provide an overview of the intricate relationship between autophagy and the status of p53 which plays an important role in radiosensitivity. Since autophagy can react to radiation differently in cancer cells with different p53 statuses, future work elucidating the interaction between autophagy and p53 in response to radiation might provide more insight into targeted cancer radiotherapy.

Individualized radiology screening for newly diagnosed nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: Current guidelines recommend universal PET/CT screening for metastases staging in newly diagnosed nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) despite the low rate of synchronous distant metastasis (SDM). The study aims to achieve individualized screening recommendations of NPC based on the risk of SDM. METHODS AND MATERIALS: 18 pre-treatment peripheral blood indicators was retrospectively collected from 2271 primary NPC patients. A peripheral blood risk score (PBRS) was constructed by indicators associated with SDM on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The PBRS-based distant metastases (PBDM) model was developed from features selected by logistic regression analyses in the training cohort and then validated in the validation cohort. Receiver operator characteristic curve analysis, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis were applied to evaluate PBDM model performance. RESULTS: Pre-treatment Epstein-Barr viral DNA copy number, percentage of total lymphocytes, serum lactate dehydrogenase level, and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio were most strongly associated with SDM in NPC and used to construct the PBRS. Sex (male), T stage (T3-4), N stage (N2-3), and PBRS (≥1.076) were identified as independent risk factors for SDM and applied in the PBDM model, which showed good performance. Through the model, patients in the training cohort were stratified into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Individualized screening recommendations were then developed for patients with differing risk levels. CONCLUSION: The PBDM model offers individualized recommendations for applying PET/CT for metastases staging in NPC, allowing more targeted screening of patients with greater risk of SDM compared with current recommendations.

Higher radiation dose on immune cells is associated with radiation-induced lymphopenia and worse prognosis in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Background: To explore the effective dose to immune cells (EDIC) for better prognosis while avoiding radiation-induced lymphopenia (RIL) in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Materials and methods: Overall, 381 patients with locally advanced ESCC receiving definitive radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy (dRT ± CT) between 2014 and 2020 were included in this study. The EDIC model was calculated by radiation fraction number and mean doses to the heart, lung, and integral body. The correlation between EDIC and clinical outcomes was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression, and risk factors for RIL were determined by logistic regression analysis. Results: The median EDIC was 4.38 Gy. Multivariate analysis revealed that low-EDIC significantly improved the OS of patients when compared with high-EDIC (HR = 1.614, P = 0.003) and PFS (HR = 1.401, P = 0.022). Moreover, high-EDIC was associated with a higher incidence of grade 4 RIL (OR = 2.053, P = 0.007) than low-EDIC. In addition, we identified body mass index (BMI), tumor thickness, and nodal stage as independent prognostic factors of OS and PFS, while BMI (OR = 0.576, P = 0.046) and weight loss (OR = 2.214, P = 0.005) as independent risk factors of grade 4 RIL. In subgroup analyses, the good group had better clinical outcomes than the remaining two groups (P< 0.001). Conclusion: This study demonstrated that EDIC significantly correlates with poor clinical outcomes and severe RIL. Optimizing treatment plans to decrease the radiation doses to immune cells is critical for improving the outcomes.

Intravenous leiomyomatosis: CT findings.

Intravenous leiomyomatosis (IVL) is a rare smooth muscle tumor. Although IVL is histologically benign, it might be aggressive in its behavior and can grow into pelvic veins and the inferior vena cava (IVC) extending into the heart chambers and pulmonary vasculature. Occasionally, it was found to have lung metastasis. We describe four cases of IVL in the IVC with a history of hysterectomy for uterine leiomyoma, one extending into the left renal vein and three growing into the right heart chamber. We report the computed tomography (CT) findings in the four cases and briefly discuss the CT features of IVL in order to help making accurately preoperative diagnosis and improve the rate of surgical resection and survival.

The Effect of Ophiopogonin C in Ameliorating Radiation-Induced Pulmonary Fibrosis in C57BL/6 Mice: An Update Study.

Background: The aim of this study was to assess and update the protective effects and underlying mechanisms of Ophiopogonin C (OP-C), a biologically active component separated and purified from Ophiopogon japonicus, in ameliorating radiation-induced pulmonary fibrosis in C57BL/6 mice administered thoracic radiation. Methods and Materials: We randomly divided 75 mice into five groups and administered a dose of 12-Gy whole thoracic radiation to establish a pulmonary fibrosis animal model. Mice were treated with OP-C or dexamethasone combined with or without cephalexin by daily gavage for 4 weeks. All mice were sacrificed after the completion of thoracic irradiation at 28 weeks. Serum levels of interleukin-6 and transforming growth factor-ß1 (TGF-ß1) were evaluated. Moreover, superoxide dismutase (SOD) levels in lung tissue were measured. The severity of fibrosis was evaluated using the hydroxyproline content of the lung tissue. The pathological changes in the five groups were detected by hematoxylin and eosin and Masson trichrome staining. Smooth muscle actin expression was detected using immunohistochemical staining. Matrix metalloproteinases-2 (MMP-2) and tissue inhibitors of metalloproteases-2 (TIMP-2) were examined by immunohistochemical staining of the lung sections, and semiquantitative analysis was used to calculate the expression of MMP-2 and TIMP-2. Results: Irradiated mice treated with OP-C or DXE combined with or without cephalexin significantly reduced mortality in mice and fibrosis levels by 1) reducing the deposition of collagen and accumulation of inflammatory cells and fibroblasts, 2) downgrading levels of the promote-fibrosis cytokine TGF-ß1, and 3) increasing SOD activity in the lung tissue compared with that of irradiated mice without treatment. However, there were no statistical differences in fibrosis levels among the irradiated mice treated with OP-C or DXE combined with or without cephalexin. Conclusion: OP-C significantly ameliorates radiation-induced pulmonary fibrosis and may be a promising therapeutic strategy for this disorder.

Gut Microbiota Characteristics Are Associated With Severity of Acute Radiation-Induced Esophagitis.

Background: Acute radiation-induced esophagitis (ARIE) is one of the most debilitating complications in patients who receive thoracic radiotherapy, especially those with esophageal cancer (EC). There is little known about the impact of the characteristics of gut microbiota on the initiation and severity of ARIE. Materials and Methods: Gut microbiota samples of EC patients undergoing radiotherapy (n = 7) or concurrent chemoradiotherapy (n = 42) were collected at the start, middle, and end of the radiotherapy regimen. Assessment of patient-reported ARIE was also performed. Based on 16S rRNA gene sequencing, changes of the gut microbial community during the treatment regimen and correlations of the gut microbiota characteristics with the severity of ARIE were investigated. Results: There were significant associations of several properties of the gut microbiota with the severity of ARIE. The relative abundance of several genera in the phylum Proteobacteria increased significantly as mucositis severity increased. The predominant genera had characteristic changes during the treatment regimen, such as an increase of opportunistic pathogenic bacteria including Streptococcus. Patients with severe ARIE had significantly lower alpha diversity and a higher abundance of Fusobacterium before radiotherapy, but patients with mild ARIE were enriched in Klebsiella, Roseburia, Veillonella, Prevotella_9, Megasphaera, and Ruminococcus_2. A model combining these genera had the best performance in prediction of severe ARIE (area under the curve: 0.907). Conclusion: The characteristics of gut microbiota before radiotherapy were associated with subsequent ARIE severity. Microbiota-based strategies have potential use for the early prediction of subsequent ARIE and for the selection of interventions that may prevent severe ARIE.

The novel pretreatment immune prognostic index discriminates survival outcomes in locally advanced non-operative esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy: a 6-year retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to construct risk stratification to help set individualized treatment strategies and intensities for different subgroups of patients. METHODS: The Esophagus Immune Prognostic Index (EIPI) scores were constructed according to the levels of derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) before treatment, and the patients were divided into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Finally, restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to explore the relationship between dNLR, LDH, and survival outcomes. RESULTS: The median follow-up period of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 25.2 and 17.6 months, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed dNLR were the independent prognostic factors that were associated with OS and PFS. The 3-year OS and PFS rates in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups were 44.4% and 38.2%, 26.1% and 23.6%, and 10.5% and 5.3%, respectively. Patients who received chemotherapy had better OS and PFS than those who did not receive chemotherapy in low-risk and medium/high-risk groups (all p < 0.05). Besides, the results also revealed significant differences for patients with clinical T, N, and TNM stage groups of the OS and PFS in different risk groups. Finally, RCS analysis indicated a nonlinear relationship between the dNLR, LDH, and survival for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. The death hazard ratios of dNLR and LDH sharply increased at 1.97 and 191, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, the EIPI, a novel inflammatory-based and immune-related prognostic score, is an independent prognostic indicator in locally advanced ESCC patients undergoing definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT).

A Novel Model Combining Tumor Length, Tumor Thickness, TNM_Stage, Nutritional Index, and Inflammatory Index Might Be Superior to the 8th TNM Staging Criteria in Predicting the Prognosis of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated With Definitive Chemoradiotherapy.

Background: We aimed to determine whether the tumor length and tumor thickness should be used as prognostic factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT). Methods: A retrospective analysis consists of 902 non-operative ESCC patients received dCRT. The nomogram was used to predict the survival. Besides, Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) was used to examine the relationship between prognostic factors and survival outcomes. Finally, the prognostic index (PI) scores were constructed according to the tumor length and tumor thickness, and the patients were divided into the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Results: The median follow-up of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 23.0 months and 17.5 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that tumor length and tumor thickness were independent prognostic factors associated with survival. Our novel nomograms for OS and PFS were superior to the TNM classification (p < 0.001). Besides, RCS analysis demonstrated that the death hazard of tumor length and tumor thickness sharply increased at 7.7 cm and 1.6 cm (p < 0.001). Finally, there were significant differences for ESCC patients with clinical TNM stage group of the OS and PFS in different risk groups. The higher risk group was significantly associated with shorter OS and PFS in ESCC patients (both p < 0.001 for all). Conclusion: The study results suggest that the novel models integrating tumor length and tumor thickness may provide a simple and widely available method for evaluating the prognosis of non-operative ESCC patients. The tumor length and tumor thickness should be considered as prognostic factors for ESCC.

A Nutrition-Related Factor-Based Risk Stratification for Exploring the Clinical Benefits in the Treatment of Patients With Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Receiving Definitive Chemoradiotherapy: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Objective: No study has reported the risk stratification of BMI and PNI in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) undergoing definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT). This study aimed to construct a risk stratification to guide the treatment of ESCC following dCRT. Methods: A total of 1,068 patients with locally advanced ESCC who received dCRT were retrospectively analyzed. The impacts of clinicopathological factors on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed. Besides, the novel prognostic indices of pre-therapeutic nutritional index (PTNI) and prognostic index (PI) were developed. Results: The median follow-up period of OS and PFS were 22.9 and 17.4 months, respectively. The high body mass index (BMI) group had better 5-year OS and PFS (36.4 and 34.0%) than the low BMI group (18.8 and 17.2%). The high prognostic nutritional index (PNI) group also had better 5-year OS and PFS (33.4 and 30.9%) than the low PNI group (17.5 and 17.2%). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that BMI and PNI were independent prognostic factors for OS and PFS. Based on nutritional indices, patients were categorized into the low-risk (PTNI = 1), medium-risk (PTNI = 2), and high-risk (PTNI = 3) groups with 5-year OS rates of 38.5, 18.9, 17.5%, respectively (p < 0.001) and 5-year PFS rates of 35.8, 17.6, 16.8%, respectively (p < 0.001). Besides, we also constructed a prognostic index (PI) for OS and PFS which was calculated based on statistically significant factors for predicting OS and PFS. The results revealed that the high-risk group had worse OS and PFS than the low-risk group (p < 0.001). Finally, RCS analysis demonstrated a non-linear relationship between the PNI, BMI, and survival for patients with ESCC. The death hazard of PNI and BMI sharply decreased to 41.8 and 19.7. Conclusion: The decreased pre-therapeutic BMI and PNI levels were associated with a worse survival outcome. BMI and PNI are readily available and can be used to stratify risk factors for locally advanced ESCC patients undergoing dCRT. The novel risk stratification may help to evaluate patients' pre-therapeutic status and guide dCRT for locally advanced ESCC patients.

Nonparametric Transfer Function Models.

In this paper a class of nonparametric transfer function models is proposed to model nonlinear relationships between 'input' and 'output' time series. The transfer function is smooth with unknown functional forms, and the noise is assumed to be a stationary autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) process. The nonparametric transfer function is estimated jointly with the ARMA parameters. By modeling the correlation in the noise, the transfer function can be estimated more efficiently. The parsimonious ARMA structure improves the estimation efficiency in finite samples. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are investigated. The finite-sample properties are illustrated through simulations and one empirical example.

Impact of Extracapsular Lymph Node Involving the Esophagus in Esophageal Perforation During and After Radiotherapy: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to analyze the risk factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), especially extracapsular lymph node involving the esophagus (ECLNIE), occurring during or after radiotherapy (RT) in patients with esophageal perforation (EP). METHODS: In total, 306 patients with ESCC who received RT and/or chemotherapy between January 2016 and December 2017 in our hospital and who met the inclusion criteria of the study were recruited. The continuous variables were converted into classification variables using the receiver operating characteristic curve or common clinical parameters. Risk factors for EP were examined by univariable analysis using the chi-square test or Fisher's exact and by multivariable analysis using logistic regression model. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to compensate for the differences in baseline characteristics, and the incidence of EP was compared after matching. RESULTS: EP was observed in 26 patients (incidence rate, 8.5%). Univariable analysis revealed that age, BMI, T4 stage, tumor length, esophageal wall thickness, ECLNIE, necrotic areas, niche sign by esophagogram before RT, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and prognostic nutritional index were significantly associated with EP among patients with ESCC who received radiotherapy. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that age, ECLNIE, esophageal wall thickness, and niche sign by esophagogram before RT were independent risk factors for EP. After PSM, compared with patients without ECLNIE, patients with ESCC and ECLNIE had a significantly higher risk of EP. CONCLUSION: The presence of ECLNIE could be a strong risk factor of EP during and after RT.

LncRNA MAGI2-AS3 Overexpression Sensitizes Esophageal Cancer Cells to Irradiation Through Down-Regulation of HOXB7 via EZH2.

BACKGROUND: Accumulating evidence has suggested that aberrant expression of long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) may contribute to cancer progression in association with radioresistance. The current study aimed to identify the potential role of lncRNA MAGI2-AS3 and the underlying mechanism in its regulation of the radio-sensitivity of esophageal cancer cells. METHODS AND RESULTS: Initially, we detected high expression of HOXB7 from microarray-based gene expression profiling of esophageal cancer. Then, we identified the interactions among MAGI2-AS3, HOXB7, and EZH2 by dual-luciferase reporter gene assay, RNA pull-down assay, RIP assay and ChIP assay. HOXB7 was highly-expressed, while MAGI2-AS3 was poorly-expressed in esophageal cancer tissues and cells. The effect of MAGI2-AS3 and HOXB7 on esophageal cancer cell proliferation and apoptosis as well as tumorigenicity of radioresistant cells was examined by gain- and loss-of-function experiments. Interestingly, MAGI2-AS3 down-regulated HOXB7 through interaction with EZH2, which promoted cell apoptosis and inhibited proliferation and radio-resistance. Besides, down-regulation of MAGI2-AS3 exerted a promoting effect on these malignant phenotypes. CONCLUSION: Taken together, our results reveal the potential role of MAGI2-AS3 over-expression in controlling esophageal cancer resistance to radiotherapy by down-regulating HOXB7, this providing a candidate biomarker for resistance to radiotherapy.