Climate Shocks and Migration: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach.

This is a study of migration responses to climate shocks. We construct an agent-based model that incorporates dynamic linkages between demographic behaviors, such as migration, marriage, and births, and agriculture and land use, which depend on rainfall patterns. The rules and parameterization of our model are empirically derived from qualitative and quantitative analyses of a well-studied demographic field site, Nang Rong district, Northeast Thailand. With this model, we simulate patterns of migration under four weather regimes in a rice economy: 1) a reference, 'normal' scenario; 2) seven years of unusually wet weather; 3) seven years of unusually dry weather; and 4) seven years of extremely variable weather. Results show relatively small impacts on migration. Experiments with the model show that existing high migration rates and strong selection factors, which are unaffected by climate change, are likely responsible for the weak migration response.

Changing crops in response to climate: virtual Nang Rong, Thailand in an agent based simulation.

The effects of extended climatic variability on agricultural land use were explored for the type of system found in villages of northeastern Thailand. An agent based model developed for the Nang Rong district was used to simulate land allotted to jasmine rice, heavy rice, cassava, and sugar cane. The land use choices in the model depended on likely economic outcomes, but included elements of bounded rationality in dependence on household demography. The socioeconomic dynamics are endogenous in the system, and climate changes were added as exogenous drivers. Villages changed their agricultural effort in many different ways. Most villages reduced the amount of land under cultivation, primarily with reduction in jasmine rice, but others did not. The variation in responses to climate change indicates potential sensitivity to initial conditions and path dependence for this type of system. The differences between our virtual villages and the real villages of the region indicate effects of bounded rationality and limits on model applications.

FORGEdb: a tool for identifying candidate functional variants and uncovering target genes and mechanisms for complex diseases.

The majority of disease-associated variants identified through genome-wide association studies are located outside of protein-coding regions. Prioritizing candidate regulatory variants and gene targets to identify potential biological mechanisms for further functional experiments can be challenging. To address this challenge, we developed FORGEdb ( https://forgedb.cancer.gov/ ; https://forge2.altiusinstitute.org/files/forgedb.html ; and https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10067458 ), a standalone and web-based tool that integrates multiple datasets, delivering information on associated regulatory elements, transcription factor binding sites, and target genes for over 37 million variants. FORGEdb scores provide researchers with a quantitative assessment of the relative importance of each variant for targeted functional experiments.

cProSite: A web based interactive platform for online proteomics, phosphoproteomics, and genomics data analysis.

We developed cProSite, a website that provides online genomics, proteomics, and phosphoproteomics analysis for the data of The National Cancer Institute's Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium (CPTAC). This tool focuses on comparisons and correlations between different proteins and mRNAs of tumors and normal tissues. Our website is designed with biologists and clinicians in mind, with a user-friendly environment and fast search engine. The search results of cProSite can be used for clinical data validation and provide useful strategic information to identify drug targets at proteomic, phosphoproteomic, or genomic levels. The site is available at http://cprosite.ccr.cancer.gov.