Prospective seroepidemiologic study of human papillomavirus infection as a risk factor for invasive cervical cancer.

BACKGROUND: Major risk factors for invasive cervical cancer include infection with human papillomavirus (HPV), infection with other sexually transmitted pathogens (e.g., Chlamydia trachomatis), and smoking. Since exposures to these risk factors can be related, the contribution of any single factor to cervical carcinogenesis has been difficult to assess. We conducted a prospective study to define the role of HPV infection in cervical carcinogenesis, with invasive cancer as an end point. METHODS: A nested case-control study within a joint cohort of 700,000 Nordic subjects was performed. The 182 women who developed invasive cervical cancer during a mean follow-up of 5 years were matched with 538 control women on the basis of age and time of enrollment. Serum samples taken at enrollment were analyzed for evidence of tobacco use (i.e., cotinine levels); for antibodies against HPV types 16, 18, and 33; and for antibodies against C. trachomatis. Relative risks (RRs) were estimated by use of conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Presence of antibodies against HPV in serum (seropositivity) was associated with an increased risk of cervical cancer, and adjustment for smoking and for C. trachomatis seropositivity did not affect this finding (RR = 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.6-3.7). HPV16 seropositivity was associated primarily with an increased risk of squamous cell carcinoma (RR = 3.2; 95% CI = 1.7-6.2). In contrast, risk associated with HPV18 seropositivity tended to be higher for cervical adenocarcinoma (RR = 3.4; 95% CI = 0.8-14.9). In populations with a low prevalence of antibodies against C. trachomatis, the HPV16-associated risk of cervical cancer was very high (RR = 11.8; 95% CI = 3.7-37.0); in contrast, in populations with a high prevalence of antibodies against C. trachomatis, no excess risk was found. CONCLUSION: Past infection with HPV16 increases the risk of invasive cervical squamous cell carcinoma, most clearly seen in populations with a low prevalence of sexually transmitted diseases.

A prospective, seroepidemiological study of the role of human papillomavirus in esophageal cancer in Norway.

Infection with the human papillomavirus (HPV), notably HPV type 16, has been associated with esophageal cancer in seroepidemiological studies. To evaluate the consistency of the association, we performed a nested case-control study of HPV seropositivity and risk of esophageal cancer within a prospectively followed cohort of 300,000 Norwegian men and women who had donated blood samples to a serum bank. The data file of the serum bank was linked with the nationwide Cancer Registry of Norway to identify esophageal cancers diagnosed after donation of the serum sample. Fifty-seven cases and 171 matched controls were analyzed for antibodies to specific microorganisms, and odds ratios for developing esophageal cancer were calculated. There was an increased risk of developing esophageal cancer among HPV 16-seropositive subjects (odds ratio = 6.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-71) but not among Chlamydia trachomatis-seropositive subjects. Adjustment for the presence of serum cotinine, a marker of smoking habits, did not affect the estimates substantially. The seroepidemiological association between HPV 16 and esophageal cancer seems to be consistent in different countries.

Joint effects of different human papillomaviruses and Chlamydia trachomatis infections on risk of squamous cell carcinoma of the cervix uteri.

This case-control study based in Nordic serum banks evaluated the joint effects of infections with genital human papillomavirus (HPV) types, and Chlamydia trachomatis in the aetiology of cervical squamous cell carcinoma. Through a linkage with the cancer registries, 144 cases were identified and 420 controls matched to them. Exposure to past infections was defined by the presence of specific IgG antibodies. The odds ratio (OR) for the second-order interaction of HPV16, HPV6/11 and C. trachomatis was small (1.0) compared to the expected multiplicative OR, 57, and the additive OR, 11. The interactions were not materially different among HPV16 DNA-positive squamous cell carcinomas. When HPV16 was replaced with HPV18/33 in the analysis of second-order interactions with HPV6/11 and C. trachomatis, there was no evidence of interaction, the joint effect being close to the expected additive OR. Possible explanations for the observed antagonism include misclassification, selection bias or a true biological phenomenon with HPV6/11 and C. trachomatis exposures antagonizing the carcinogenic effects of HPV16.

Attenuation of preneoplastic lesion development by dietary protein intervention: apparent persistence and regression.

The effects of feeding high protein diets that promote the development of aflatoxin B1 (AFB1)-induced gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase positive (GGT+) preneoplastic lesions were examined in Fischer 344 (F344) rats. After administering AFB1 for 2 weeks (initiation), animals were fed diets over four successive 3-week periods (promotion). Either a low (5% casein) or high (20% casein) protein diet was fed for 3, 6, or 9 weeks before switching to the opposite diet to determine whether progressively longer periods of feeding the initial diet caused preneoplastic foci to become more refractory to the intervention effects of the second diet. The results from animals consuming the 20% casein diet for progressively longer periods suggest that longer exposure to the high protein diet progressively enhances the potential for future lesion growth. Results from animals consuming the 5% casein diet for progressively longer periods suggest that longer exposure to the inhibitory low protein diet progressively inhibits the potential for future lesion growth. These results suggest that a high protein diet is a potent promoter of preneoplastic growth and that progressively longer exposure to a particular promotive environment increasingly attenuates foci response to future dietary intervention.

Design, objectives, and lessons from a pilot 25 year follow up re-survey of survivors in the Whitehall study of London Civil Servants.

DESIGN: To assess the feasibility of conducting a re-survey of men who are resident in the United Kingdom 25 years after enrollment in the Whitehall study of London Civil Servants. METHODS: A random sample of 401 study survivors resident in three health authority areas was selected for this pilot study. They were mailed a request to complete a self administered questionnaire, and then asked to attend their general practice to have their blood pressure, weight, and height measured and a blood sample collected into a supplied vacutainer, and mailed to a central laboratory. Using a 2 x 2 factorial design, the impact of including additional questions on income and of an informant questionnaire on cognitive function was assessed. RESULTS: Accurate addresses were obtained from the health authorities for 96% of the sample. Questionnaires were received from 73% and blood samples from 61% of the sample. Questions on income had no adverse effect on the response rate, but inclusion of the informant questionnaire did. Between 1970 and 1995 there were substantial changes within men in the mean blood pressure and blood total cholesterol recorded, as reflected by correlation coefficients between 1970 and 1995 values of 0.26, and 0.30 for systolic and diastolic blood pressure and 0.38 for total cholesterol. CONCLUSION: This pilot study demonstrated the feasibility of conducting a re-survey using postal questionnaires and mailed whole blood samples. The magnitude of change in blood pressure and blood total cholesterol concentrations within individuals was greater than anticipated, suggesting that such remeasurements may be required at different intervals in prospective studies to help interpret risks associations properly. These issues will be considered in a re-survey of the remaining survivors of the Whitehall study.

Protein restriction (PR) and caloric restriction (CR) compared: effects on DNA damage, carcinogenesis, and oxidative damage.

Protein restriction (PR) and caloric restriction (CR) similarly impinge upon various physiological factors that can significantly inhibit the growth of DNA-damaged tissue and, therefore, carcinogenesis. Whether this effect is largely, or only in part, due to simple inhibition of body weight gain is examined. Among their many other health-improving effects, PR and CR delay the onset of puberty. It has been suggested that animals have developed mechanisms to cope with lean periods and that, when food is limited, resources are diverted from those physiological functions that offer no benefit for immediate survival (e.g., reproductive capacity) to thereby support an increase in the maintenance functions that prolong life. PR has also been shown to affect numerous other varied mechanisms that can affect carcinogenesis, including gene expression and metabolism of xenobiotics. The effects of PR on initiational and promotional growth of DNA-damaged tissue is also discussed. PR also seems to boost antioxidant defenses and inhibit the accumulation of oxidative damage (as does CR). Protein restricted animals have been shown to accumulate more calories, but develop fewer preneoplastic lesions and tumors than their high-protein counterparts. This observation seems quite counter to most ideas about dietary restrictions and CR. Despite the fact that both PR and CR induce many beneficial physiological effects in common, it is possible that PR is the more feasible option for human consideration. The levels of PR likely to improve health without negative side effects are discussed.

Helicobacter pylori infection and early onset myocardial infarction: case-control and sibling pairs study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between coronary heart disease and chronic Helicobacter pylori infection. DESIGN: Case-control study of myocardial infarction at young ages and study of sibling pairs with one member affected and the other not. SETTING: United Kingdom. PARTICIPANTS: 1122 survivors of suspected acute myocardial infarction at ages 30-49 (mean age 44 years) and 1122 age and sex matched controls with no history of coronary heart disease; 510 age and sex matched pairs of siblings (mean age 59 years) in which one sibling had survived myocardial infarction and one had no history of coronary heart disease. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Serological evidence of chronic infection with H pylori. RESULTS: 472 (42%) of the 1122 cases with early onset myocardial infarction were seropositive for H pylori antibodies compared with 272 (24%) of the 1122 age and sex matched controls, giving an odds ratio of 2.28 (99% confidence interval 1.80 to 2.90). This odds ratio fell to 1.87 (1.42 to 2.47; P<0.0001) after smoking and indicators of socioeconomic status were adjusted for and to 1.75 (1.29 to 2.36) after additional adjustment for blood lipid concentrations and obesity. Only 158 of the 510 pairs of siblings were discordant for H pylori status; among these, 91 cases and 67 controls were seropositive (odds ratio 1.33 (0.86 to 2.05)). No strong correlations were observed between H pylori seropositivity and measurements of other risk factors for coronary heart disease (plasma lipids, fibrinogen, C reactive protein, albumin, etc). CONCLUSION: In the context of results from other relevant studies, these two studies suggest a moderate association between coronary heart disease and H pylori seropositivity that cannot be fully accounted for by other risk factors. But even if this association is causal and largely reversible by eradication of chronic infection, very large randomised trials would be needed to show this.

Cigarette smoking, tar yields, and non-fatal myocardial infarction: 14,000 cases and 32,000 controls in the United Kingdom. The International Studies of Infarct Survival (ISIS) Collaborators.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of cigarette smoking on the incidence of non-fatal myocardial infarction, and to compare tar in different types of manufactured cigarettes. METHODS: In the early 1990s responses to a postal questionnaire were obtained from 13,926 survivors of myocardial infarction (cases) recently discharged from hospitals in the United Kingdom and 32,389 of their relatives (controls). Blood had been obtained from cases soon after admission for the index myocardial infarction and was also sought from the controls. 4923 cases and 6880 controls were current smokers of manufactured cigarettes with known tar yields. Almost all tar yields were 7-9 or 12-15 mg/cigarette (mean 7.5 mg for low tar (< 10 mg) and 13.3 for medium tar (> or = 10 mg). The cited risk ratios were standardised for age and sex and compared myocardial infarction rates in current cigarette smokers with those in non-smokers who had not smoked cigarettes regularly in the past 10 years. RESULTS: At ages 30-49 the rates of myocardial infarction in smokers were about five times those in non-smokers (as defined); at ages 50-59 they were three times those in non-smokers, and even at ages 60-79 they were twice as great as in non-smokers (risk ratio 6.3, 4.7, 3.1, 2.5, and 1.9 at 30-39, 40-49, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79 respectively; each 2P < 0.00001). After standardisation for age, sex, and amount smoked, the rate of non-fatal myocardial infarction was 10.4% (SD 5.4) higher in medium tar than in low tar cigarette smokers (2P = 0.06). This percentage was not significantly greater at ages 30-59 (16.6% (7.1)) than at 60-79 (1.0% (8.5)). In both age ranges the difference in risk between cigarette smokers and non-smokers was much larger than the difference between one type of cigarette and another (risk ratio 3.39 and 3.95 at ages 30-59 for smokers of similar numbers of low and of medium tar cigarettes, and risk ratio 2.35 and 2.37 at ages 60-79). Most possible confounding factors that could be tested for were similar in low and medium tar users, with no significant differences in blood lipid or albumin concentrations. CONCLUSION: The present study indicates that the imminent change of tar yields in the European Union to comply with an upper limit of 12 mg/cigarette will not increase (and may somewhat decrease) the incidence of myocardial infarction, unless they indirectly help perpetuate tobacco use. Even low tar cigarettes still greatly increase rates of myocardial infarction, however, especially among people in their 30s, 40s, and 50s, and far more risk is avoided by not smoking than by changing from one type of cigarette to another.

Prospective seroepidemiological study of role of human papillomavirus in non-cervical anogenital cancers.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between infection with the major oncogenic types of human papillomavirus and the risk of developing non-cervical anogenital cancers in a cohort followed up prospectively. DESIGN: Data from two large serum banks to which about 700,000 people had donated serum samples were followed up for a mean of 8 years. People who developed non-cervical anogenital cancers during follow up were identified by registry linkage with the nationwide cancer registries in Finland and Norway. Within this cohort a nested case-control study was conducted based on the serological diagnosis of infection with human papillomavirus types 16, 18, and 33. SUBJECTS: 81 cases and 240 controls matched for sex, age, and storage time of serum samples. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Odds ratios of developing non-cervical anogenital cancers in presence of IgG antibodies to specific micro-organisms. RESULTS: Subjects seropositive for human papillomavirus type 16 had an increased risk of developing non-cervical anogenital cancers (odds ratio 3.1 (95% confidence interval 1.4 to 6.9)). Subjects seropositive for type 33 also had an increased risk (odds ratio 2.8 (1.0 to 8.3)) but not significantly after adjustment for infection with type 16. Seropositivity for human papillomavirus type 16 was associated with an increased risk of developing vulvar and vaginal cancers (odds ratio 4.5 (1.1 to 22)) and a strongly increased risk of developing preinvasive vulvar and vaginal lesions (odds ratio infinity (3.8 to infinity)). Seropositivity for human papillomavirus type 18 increased the risk of developing preinvasive lesions (odds ratio 12 (1.2 to 590)). High, but non-significant odds ratios for types 16 and 33 were seen for penile cancers. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides prospective seroepidemiological evidence that infection with human papillomavirus type 16 confers an increased risk of developing non-cervical genital cancers, particularly vulvar and vaginal cancers.

High protein intake promotes the growth of hepatic preneoplastic foci in Fischer #344 rats: evidence that early remodeled foci retain the potential for future growth.

The effects of successive administration, withdrawal and readministration of high protein diets (20% casein) on the promotional growth, remodeling and regrowth of aflatoxin B1-induced preneoplastic liver lesions (foci) were examined. Weanling male Fischer 344 rats were given 10 intragastric doses of aflatoxin B1 at a level of 250 micrograms/kg body weight over a 2-wk dosing period (initiation). The subsequent 12-wk period was subdivided into four feeding periods, each lasting 3 wk (promotion). Two groups of rats were fed either a 20 or 5% casein diet during all four periods; additional groups were alternately fed these diets in different sequences. Switching from the high protein diet to a low protein diet (5% casein) resulted in marked remodeling (regression) of the growing lesions to a response level similar to that in animals that did not receive the initial promotional stimulus of high protein feeding. However, refeeding the high protein diet caused significant reappearance of these lesions. The restimulated development of these remodeled lesions far exceeded lesion growth in animals receiving only the late promotional stimulus of high dietary protein. Thus, these data suggest that a second occurrence of high protein feeding promotes the growth of remodeled foci, thus demonstrating their potential for future promotional growth.

Inhibition of aflatoxin B1-induced gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase positive (GGT+) hepatic preneoplastic foci and tumors by low protein diets: evidence that altered GGT+ foci indicate neoplastic potential.

Previous studies in this laboratory with young Fischer 344 male rats have shown that the post-initiation development of aflatoxin B1 (AFB1)-induced gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase positive (GGT+) hepatic foci was markedly inhibited by low protein feeding, even though the energy intake was greater. This dietary effect, however, did not necessarily apply to hepatic tumor development. Thus, the present investigation was undertaken to examine this dietary effect upon the development of hepatic tumors and, is so doing, to determine the correlation of foci development with tumor development. Following AFB1 dosing (15 daily doses of 0.3 mg/kg each), animals were fed diets containing 6, 14 or 22% casein (5.2, 12.2, 19.1% protein) for 6, 12, 40, 58 and 100 weeks. Foci at 12 weeks and tumors at 40, 58 and 100 weeks developed dose-dependently to protein intake. Foci development, tumor incidence, tumor size and the number of tumors per animal were markedly reduced while the time to tumor emergence was increased with low protein feeding. Non-hepatic tumor incidence also was lower in the animals fed the lowest protein diet. Foci development indices (foci number, per cent liver volume occupied) were highly correlated with tumor incidence at 58 and 100 weeks (r = 0.90-1.00). Tumor and foci inhibition occurred in spite of the greater energy intake.

The sustained development of preneoplastic lesions depends on high protein intake.

The effects of sequential alterations in the feeding of two levels of dietary protein (5% and 20% casein) on the postinitiation development of aflatoxin B1- (AFB1) induced gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-positive (GGT+) preneoplastic foci were examined. Weanling male Fischer 344 rats fed AIN-76A diet (20% protein) were administered 10 intragastric doses of AFB1 (1 dose/day during the 14-day dosing period excluding weekends) at 250 micrograms/kg body wt (initiation). After AFB1 tissue clearance, rats were randomly assigned to dietary treatment groups. During the next 12 weeks (promotion), they developed AFB1-induced GGT+ preneoplastic lesions. The 12-week promotion period was subdivided into four three-week periods, during which rats were fed isocaloric diets containing 20% casein during all four periods (20:20:20:20), 5% casein during all four periods (5:5:5:5), or sequentially altered casein levels (20:5:20:5 and 5:20:5:20). Rats were killed at 3,6,9, and 12 weeks to examine the dependence of GGT+ foci development on protein intake. Animals fed 5% casein diets developed significantly fewer (p < 0.01) GGT+ foci than animals fed 20% casein diets despite greater total caloric intake. Similarly, in the intervention groups, preneoplastic development was enhanced when the 20% casein diet was fed and inhibited when the 5% casein diet was fed. These results indicate that the sustained development of AFB1-induced preneoplastic foci depends on a high protein intake. Alternatively, these results suggest that low protein intake inhibits lesion development.

Protein oxidation associated with aging is reduced by dietary restriction of protein or calories.

The accumulation of unrepaired oxidative damage products may be a major factor in cellular aging. Both oxidative lesions in DNA and oxidatively damaged proteins have been shown to accumulate during aging. The accumulation of oxidized proteins in Fischer 344 rats was compared for animals consuming protein-restricted and calorically restricted diets--both of which have been shown to extend lifespan. Rats were fed diets restricted in either protein (5% or 10% of the diet as compared with the normal 20% casein), or calories (25% or 40% less than normal), or total diet (40% less than normal). In addition, some of the rats fed a diet providing 5% or 20% protein were irradiated twice weekly (125 rads per exposure; 1 rad = 0.01 Gy). The level of oxidative damage to proteins (protein carbonyls) was determined in rats sacrificed at various times. The oxidative damage to proteins increased with aging and with radiation. Either protein or calorie restriction markedly inhibited the accumulation of oxidatively damaged proteins. Protein restriction reduced the accumulation of oxidatively damaged proteins during the oxidative stress of chronic irradiation.

Intestinal cell proliferation is influenced by intakes of protein and energy, aflatoxin, and whole-body radiation.

Intestinal epithelial cell proliferation in young male F344 rats was measured in response to dietary protein content (5%, 10%, and 20% casein diets), energy restriction (energy intake was 60% of ad libitum energy intakes of animals consuming the 20% casein diet), total diet restriction (dietary intake was 60% of the ad libitum intake of 20% casein diet group), aflatoxin administration, and whole body irradiation. Cellular proliferation was measured in sections of jejunum, ileum, proximal colon, and distal colon with the [3H]thymidine technique. Restricting energy or total diet intakes by 40% from ad libitum levels reduced proliferation in epithelial cells throughout the intestine. In comparison to the 5% casein diet, the 20% casein diet resulted in modestly lower cellular proliferation in all intestinal segments. Radiation induced a decrease in cellular proliferation in the jejunum and ileum; this decrease was prevented by a 20% casein diet. Pretreatment with aflatoxin B1 decreased intestinal cell proliferation throughout the intestine, and this decrease was not influenced by the protein content of the diet.

Underestimation of the importance of blood pressure and cholesterol for coronary heart disease mortality in old age.

AIMS: To take appropriate account of duration of follow-up in estimating age-specific associations of 'usual' blood pressure and cholesterol with death from coronary heart disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: Blood pressure and cholesterol were measured in 18 841 men at entry to the Whitehall study, and coronary heart disease mortality was recorded during a 26-year period. Biennial re-measurements of these risk factors in the Framingham study were used to obtain period-specific corrections for 'regression dilution'. For coronary heart disease deaths at ages 40-64, 65-74 and 75+ years in the Whitehall study, the mean times since baseline were 9, 15, and 21 years, respectively. In uncorrected analyses of coronary heart disease risk in each age range, a 10 mmHg lower systolic blood pressure at baseline was associated with proportional risk reductions of only 19%, 14% and 10%, respectively (P<0.001 for trend with age). After period-specific correction for regression dilution, a 10 mmHg lower usual systolic blood pressure about 5 years before coronary heart disease death was associated with risk reductions of 25%, 23% and 21%, respectively (trend P=0.1). Similarly, a 1 mmol . l(-1)lower blood cholesterol was associated with proportional reductions in coronary heart disease risk of 21%, 17% and 11% (trend P<0.001) in uncorrected analyses, by contrast with proportional reductions of 27%, 26% and 21% (trend P=0.5) after period-specific correction. CONCLUSIONS: After making appropriate allowance for the longer interval between baseline measurements and death at older ages, reductions in the risk of coronary heart disease death associated with differences in usual levels of blood pressure or cholesterol at some particular fixed time prior to death were about as great in old age as in middle age.

Thermogenesis, low-protein diets, and decreased development of AFB1-induced preneoplastic foci in rat liver.

The development of hepatocellular, putatively preneoplastic, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase positive (GGT+) foci and tumors induced by aflatoxin B1 (AFB1) has been shown to be reduced in male F344 rats fed a diet containing 6% protein (as casein). This reduction occurs despite increased energy intake, when compared with animals fed a diet containing 22% protein. Among its many effects, low protein intake is known to increase the proportion of energy intake expended in the form of heat (thermogenesis); thus, this investigation examined the association between the development of GGT+ foci and alterations in indices of thermogenesis induced by feeding varying levels of dietary protein. Five days following the completion of AFB1 dosing, animals were assigned to groups fed 4%, 8%, 12%, 16%, or 22% dietary protein for 6 weeks. Foci development (% liver volume occupied) was markedly reduced in animals fed the low-protein diet (4%, 8%), yet calorie consumption per 100 g body wt was greater. A modest negative linear trend was observed in oxygen consumption with increasing levels of dietary protein intake. Urinary norepinephrine levels were elevated in the groups fed 4% and 8% protein; urinary dopamine and norepinephrine turnover rates in brown adipose tissue were highest in animals fed 4% protein. These results suggest that GGT+ foci development occurs when a "critical level" (approx 12%) of dietary protein intake is reached. Inhibition of foci development at lower levels of protein intake is associated with several indicators of increased thermogenesis.

Underestimation of risk associations due to regression dilution in long-term follow-up of prospective studies.

In prospective studies, disease rates during follow-up are typically analyzed with respect to the values of factors measured during an initial baseline survey. However, because of "regression dilution," this generally tends to underestimate the real associations of disease rates with the "usual" levels of such risk factors during some particular exposure period. The "regression dilution ratio" describes the ratio of the steepness of the uncorrected association to that of the real association. To assess the relevance of the usual value of a risk factor during particular exposure periods (e.g., first, second, and third decades) to disease risks, regression dilution ratios can be derived by relating baseline measurements of the risk factor to replicate measurements from a reasonably representative sample of study participants after an interval equivalent to about the midpoint of each exposure period (e.g., at 5, 15, and 25 years, respectively). This report illustrates the impact of this time interval on the magnitude of the regression dilution ratios for blood pressure and blood cholesterol. The analyses were based on biennial remeasurements over 30 years for participants in the Framingham Study (Framingham, Massachusetts) and a 26-year resurvey for a sample of men in the Whitehall Study (London, England). They show that uncorrected associations of disease risk with baseline measurements underestimate the strength of the real associations with usual levels of these risk factors during the first decade of exposure by about one-third, the second decade by about one-half, and the third decade by about two-thirds. Hence, to correct appropriately for regression dilution, replicate measurements of such risk factors may be required at varying intervals after baseline for at least a sample of participants.

Analgesic use and renal function in men.

CONTEXT: Several case-control studies suggest an association between analgesic use and increased risk of chronic renal disease, but few cohort studies have examined this association. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether analgesic use is associated with risk of renal dysfunction. DESIGN AND SETTING: Cohort study of analgesic use data from the Physicians' Health Study, which lasted 14 years from September 1982 to December 1995 with annual follow-up. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 11 032 initially healthy men who provided blood samples and self-report of analgesic use. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Elevated creatinine level defined as 1.5 mg/dL (133 micromol/L) or higher and a reduced creatinine clearance defined as 55 mL/min (0.9 mL/s) or less, and self-reported use of acetaminophen, aspirin, and other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (never [<12 pills]; 12-1499 pills; 1500-2499 pills; and >/=2500 pills). RESULTS: A total of 460 men had elevated creatinine levels (4.2%) and 1258 had reduced creatinine clearance (11.4%). Mean creatinine levels and creatinine clearances were similar among men who did not use analgesics and those who did, even at total intakes of 2500 or more pills. In multivariable analyses adjusted for age; body mass index; history of hypertension, elevated cholesterol, and diabetes; occurrence of cardiovascular disease; physical activity; and use of other analgesics, the relative risks of elevated creatinine level associated with intake of 2500 or more pills were 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.50-1.39; P for trend =.05) for acetaminophen, 0.98 (95% CI, 0.53-1.81; P for trend =.96) for aspirin, and 1.07 (95% CI, 0.71-1.64; P for trend =.86) for other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. No association was observed between analgesic use and reduced creatinine clearance. CONCLUSIONS: Moderate analgesic use in this cohort study of initially healthy men was not associated with increased risk of renal dysfunction.

A prospective study of Helicobacter pylori seropositivity and the risk for future myocardial infarction among socioeconomically similar U.S. men.

BACKGROUND: The role of Helicobacter pylori as a determinant of cardiovascular disease is controversial. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether previous exposure to H. pylori is associated with an increased risk for myocardial infarction. DESIGN: Prospective case-control study. SETTING: Physicians' Health Study. PARTICIPANTS: Initially healthy U.S. men. MEASUREMENTS: Titers of IgG antibody against H. pylori and several inflammatory markers were measured in baseline blood samples obtained from 445 men who subsequently had a myocardial infarction (case-patients) and 445 men matched for age and smoking status who remained free of vascular disease (controls) during a mean follow-up of 8.9 years. RESULTS: Baseline seropositivity was similar among case-patients and controls (43.4% vs. 44.3%; rate ratio, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.7 to 1.3]). Minimal evidence of association was found between magnitude of seropositivity and subsequent risk and between seropositivity and levels of the inflammatory biomarkers. CONCLUSION: In a socioeconomically homogeneous population, we found limited evidence of association between H. pylori exposure and risk for future myocardial infarction.