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BACKGROUND. Posttreatment recurrence is an unpredictable complication after liver transplant for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that is associated with poor survival. Biomarkers are needed to estimate recurrence risk before organ allocation. OBJECTIVE. This proof-of-concept study evaluated the use of machine learning (ML) to predict recurrence from pretreatment laboratory, clinical, and MRI data in patients with early-stage HCC initially eligible for liver transplant. METHODS. This retrospective study included 120 patients (88 men, 32 women; median age, 60.0 years) with early-stage HCC diagnosed who were initially eligible for liver transplant and underwent treatment by transplant, resection, or thermal ablation between June 2005 and March 2018. Patients underwent pretreatment MRI and posttreatment imaging surveillance. Imaging features were extracted from postcontrast phases of pretreatment MRI examinations using a pretrained convolutional neural network. Pretreatment clinical characteristics (including laboratory data) and extracted imaging features were integrated to develop three ML models (clinical model, imaging model, combined model) for predicting recurrence within six time frames ranging from 1 through 6 years after treatment. Kaplan-Meier analysis with time to recurrence as the endpoint was used to assess the clinical relevance of model predictions. RESULTS. Tumor recurred in 44 of 120 (36.7%) patients during follow-up. The three models predicted recurrence with AUCs across the six time frames of 0.60-0.78 (clinical model), 0.71-0.85 (imaging model), and 0.62-0.86 (combined model). The mean AUC was higher for the imaging model than the clinical model (0.76 vs 0.68, respectively; p = .03), but the mean AUC was not significantly different between the clinical and combined models or between the imaging and combined models (p > .05). Kaplan-Meier curves were significantly different between patients predicted to be at low risk and those predicted to be at high risk by all three models for the 2-, 3-, 4-, 5-, and 6-year time frames (p < .05). CONCLUSION. The findings suggest that ML-based models can predict recurrence before therapy allocation in patients with early-stage HCC initially eligible for liver transplant. Adding MRI data as model input improved predictive performance over clinical parameters alone. The combined model did not surpass the imaging model's performance. CLINICAL IMPACT. ML-based models applied to currently underutilized imaging features may help design more reliable criteria for organ allocation and liver transplant eligibility.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico por imagem , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirurgia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirurgia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: To show that a deep learning (DL)-based, automated model for Lipiodol (Guerbet Pharmaceuticals, Paris, France) segmentation on cone-beam computed tomography (CT) after conventional transarterial chemoembolization performs closer to the "ground truth segmentation" than a conventional thresholding-based model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This post hoc analysis included 36 patients with a diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma or other solid liver tumors who underwent conventional transarterial chemoembolization with an intraprocedural cone-beam CT. Semiautomatic segmentation of Lipiodol was obtained. Subsequently, a convolutional U-net model was used to output a binary mask that predicted Lipiodol deposition. A threshold value of signal intensity on cone-beam CT was used to obtain a Lipiodol mask for comparison. The dice similarity coefficient (DSC), mean squared error (MSE), center of mass (CM), and fractional volume ratios for both masks were obtained by comparing them to the ground truth (radiologist-segmented Lipiodol deposits) to obtain accuracy metrics for the 2 masks. These results were used to compare the model versus the threshold technique. RESULTS: For all metrics, the U-net outperformed the threshold technique: DSC (0.65 ± 0.17 vs 0.45 ± 0.22, P < .001) and MSE (125.53 ± 107.36 vs 185.98 ± 93.82, P = .005). The difference between the CM predicted and the actual CM was 15.31 mm ± 14.63 versus 31.34 mm ± 30.24 (P < .001), with lesser distance indicating higher accuracy. The fraction of volume present ([predicted Lipiodol volume]/[ground truth Lipiodol volume]) was 1.22 ± 0.84 versus 2.58 ± 3.52 (P = .048) for the current model's prediction and threshold technique, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that a DL framework could detect Lipiodol in cone-beam CT imaging and was capable of outperforming the conventionally used thresholding technique over several metrics. Further optimization will allow for more accurate, quantitative predictions of Lipiodol depositions intraprocedurally.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Quimioembolização Terapêutica , Aprendizado Profundo , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico por imagem , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/terapia , Quimioembolização Terapêutica/métodos , Tomografia Computadorizada de Feixe Cônico/métodos , Óleo Etiodado , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Hepáticas/terapiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: To assess the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) and radiomic features in pretreatment magnetic resonance (MR) imaging for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with nodular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with radiofrequency (RF) ablation. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Sixty-five therapy-naïve patients with 85 nodular HCC tumors <5 cm in size were included in this Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act-compliant, institutional review board-approved, retrospective study. All patients underwent RF ablation as first-line treatment and demonstrated complete response on the first follow-up imaging. Gadolinium-enhanced MR imaging biomarkers were analyzed for LI-RADS features by 2 board-certified radiologists or by analysis of nodular and perinodular radiomic features from 3-dimensional segmentations. A radiomic signature was calculated with the most informative features of a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model using leave-one-out cross-validation. The association between both LI-RADS features and radiomic signatures with PFS was assessed via the Kaplan-Meier analysis and a weighted log-rank test. RESULTS: The median PFS was 19 months (95% confidence interval, 16.1-19.4) for a follow-up period of 24 months. Multifocality (P = .033); the appearance of capsular continuity, compared with an absent or discontinuous capsule (P = .012); and a higher radiomic signature based on nodular and perinodular features (P = .030) were associated with poorer PFS in early-stage HCC. The observation size, presence of arterial hyperenhancement, nonperipheral washout, and appearance of an enhancing "capsule" were not associated with PFS (P > .05). CONCLUSIONS: Although multifocal HCC clearly indicates a more aggressive phenotype even in early-stage disease, the continuity of an enhancing capsule and a higher radiomic signature may add value as MR imaging biomarkers for poor PFS in HCC treated with RF ablation.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Ablação por Cateter , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Biomarcadores , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico por imagem , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirurgia , Meios de Contraste , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirurgia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To compare 1D and 3D quantitative tumor response criteria applied to DCE-MRI in patients with advanced-stage HCC undergoing sorafenib therapy to predict overall survival (OS) early during treatment. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included 29 patients with advanced-stage HCC who received sorafenib for at least 60 days. All patients underwent baseline and follow-up DCE-MRI at 81.5 ± 29.3 days (range 35-140 days). Response to sorafenib was assessed in 46 target lesions using 1D criteria RECIST1.1 and mRECIST. In addition, a segmentation-based 3D quantification of absolute enhancing lesion volume (vqEASL) was performed on the arterial phase MRI, and the enhancement fraction of total tumor volume (%qEASL) was calculated. Accordingly, patients were stratified into groups of disease control (DC) and disease progression (DP). OS was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that stratification of patients in DC vs. DP according to mRECIST (p = 0.0371) and vqEASL (p = 0.0118) successfully captured response and stratified OS, while stratification according to RECIST and %qEASL did not correlate with OS (p = 0.6273 and p = 0.7474, respectively). Multivariable Cox regression identified tumor progression according to mRECIST and qEASL as independent risk factors of decreased OS (p = 0.039 and p = 0.006, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The study identified enhancement-based vqEASL and mRECIST as reliable predictors of patient survival early after initiation of treatment with sorafenib. This data provides evidence for potential advantages 3D quantitative, enhancement-based tumor response analysis over conventional techniques regarding early identification of treatment success or failure. KEY POINTS: ⢠Tumor response criteria on MRI can be used to predict survival benefit of sorafenib therapy in patients with advanced HCC. ⢠Stratification into DC and DP using mRECIST and vqEASL significantly correlates with OS (p = 0.0371 and p = 0.0118, respectively) early after initiation of sorafenib, while stratification according to RECIST and %qEASL did not correlate with OS (p = 0.6273 and p = 0.7474, respectively). ⢠mRECIST (HR = 0.325, p = 0.039. 95%CI 0.112-0.946) and qEASL (HR = 0.183, p = 0.006, 95%CI 0.055-0.613) are independent prognostic factors of survival in HCC patients undergoing sorafenib therapy.
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Antineoplásicos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Antineoplásicos/uso terapêutico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico por imagem , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Hepáticas/tratamento farmacológico , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Compostos de Fenilureia/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sorafenibe/uso terapêutico , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Radiomics provides a framework for automated extraction of high-dimensional feature sets from medical images. We aimed to determine radiomics signature correlates of admission clinical severity and medium-term outcome from intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) lesions on baseline head computed tomography (CT). METHODS: We used the ATACH-2 (Antihypertensive Treatment of Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage II) trial dataset. Patients included in this analysis (n = 895) were randomly allocated to discovery (n = 448) and independent validation (n = 447) cohorts. We extracted 1130 radiomics features from hematoma lesions on baseline noncontrast head CT scans and generated radiomics signatures associated with admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), and 3-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores. Spearman's correlation between radiomics signatures and corresponding target variables was compared with hematoma volume. RESULTS: In the discovery cohort, radiomics signatures, compared to ICH volume, had a significantly stronger association with admission GCS (0.47 vs. 0.44, p = 0.008), admission NIHSS (0.69 vs. 0.57, p < 0.001), and 3-month mRS scores (0.44 vs. 0.32, p < 0.001). Similarly, in independent validation, radiomics signatures, compared to ICH volume, had a significantly stronger association with admission GCS (0.43 vs. 0.41, p = 0.02), NIHSS (0.64 vs. 0.56, p < 0.001), and 3-month mRS scores (0.43 vs. 0.33, p < 0.001). In multiple regression analysis adjusted for known predictors of ICH outcome, the radiomics signature was an independent predictor of 3-month mRS in both cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Limited by the enrollment criteria of the ATACH-2 trial, we showed that radiomics features quantifying hematoma texture, density, and shape on baseline CT can provide imaging correlates for clinical presentation and 3-month outcome. These findings couldtrigger a paradigm shift where imaging biomarkers may improve current modelsfor prognostication, risk-stratification, and treatment triage of ICH patients.
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Hemorragia Cerebral , Hematoma , Hemorragia Cerebral/diagnóstico por imagem , Escala de Coma de Glasgow , Hematoma/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Prognóstico , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios XRESUMO
PURPOSE: To devise, validate, and externally test PET/CT radiomics signatures for human papillomavirus (HPV) association in primary tumors and metastatic cervical lymph nodes of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). METHODS: We analyzed 435 primary tumors (326 for training, 109 for validation) and 741 metastatic cervical lymph nodes (518 for training, 223 for validation) using FDG-PET and non-contrast CT from a multi-institutional and multi-national cohort. Utilizing 1037 radiomics features per imaging modality and per lesion, we trained, optimized, and independently validated machine-learning classifiers for prediction of HPV association in primary tumors, lymph nodes, and combined "virtual" volumes of interest (VOI). PET-based models were additionally validated in an external cohort. RESULTS: Single-modality PET and CT final models yielded similar classification performance without significant difference in independent validation; however, models combining PET and CT features outperformed single-modality PET- or CT-based models, with receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) of 0.78, and 0.77 for prediction of HPV association using primary tumor lesion features, in cross-validation and independent validation, respectively. In the external PET-only validation dataset, final models achieved an AUC of 0.83 for a virtual VOI combining primary tumor and lymph nodes, and an AUC of 0.73 for a virtual VOI combining all lymph nodes. CONCLUSION: We found that PET-based radiomics signatures yielded similar classification performance to CT-based models, with potential added value from combining PET- and CT-based radiomics for prediction of HPV status. While our results are promising, radiomics signatures may not yet substitute tissue sampling for clinical decision-making.
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Alphapapillomavirus , Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço , Humanos , Papillomaviridae , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons combinada à Tomografia Computadorizada , Estudos Retrospectivos , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeça e PescoçoRESUMO
Scientific evidence regarding microclimate and its effects on the risk of pressure ulcers (PU) remains sparse. It is known that elevated skin temperatures and moisture may affect metabolic demand as well as the mechanical behaviour of the tissue. In this study, we incorporated these microclimate factors into a novel, 3-dimensional multi-physics coupled model of the human buttocks, which simultaneously determines the biothermal and biomechanical behaviours of the buttocks in supine lying on different support surfaces. We compared 3 simulated thermally controlled mattresses with 2 reference foam mattresses. A tissue damage score was numerically calculated in a relevant volume of the model, and the cooling effect of each 1°C decrease of tissue temperature was deduced. Damage scores of tissues were substantially lower for the non-foam mattresses compared with the foams. The percentage tissue volume at risk within the volume of interest was found to grow exponentially as the average tissue temperature increased. The resultant average sacral skin temperature was concluded to be a good predictor for an increased risk of PU/injuries. Each 1°C increase contributes approximately 14 times as much to the risk with respect to an increase of 1 mmHg of pressure. These findings highlight the advantages of using thermally controlled support surfaces as well as the need to further assess the potential damage that may be caused by uncontrolled microclimate conditions on inadequate support surfaces in at-risk patients.
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Pessoas Acamadas , Microclima , Úlcera por Pressão/prevenção & controle , Adulto , Leitos , Nádegas , Feminino , Humanos , Posicionamento do Paciente , Modelagem Computacional Específica para o Paciente , Sacro , Temperatura Cutânea , Decúbito DorsalRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To compute a dense prostate cancer risk map for the individual patient post-biopsy from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and to provide a more reliable evaluation of its fitness in prostate regions that were not identified as suspicious for cancer by a human-reader in pre- and intra-biopsy imaging analysis. METHODS: Low-level pre-biopsy MRI biomarkers from targeted and non-targeted biopsy locations were extracted and statistically tested for representativeness against biomarkers from non-biopsied prostate regions. A probabilistic machine learning classifier was optimized to map biomarkers to their core-level pathology, followed by extrapolation of pathology scores to non-biopsied prostate regions. Goodness-of-fit was assessed at targeted and non-targeted biopsy locations for the post-biopsy individual patient. RESULTS: Our experiments showed high predictability of imaging biomarkers in differentiating histopathology scores in thousands of non-targeted core-biopsy locations (ROC-AUCs: 0.85-0.88), but also high variability between patients (Median ROC-AUC [IQR]: 0.81-0.89 [0.29-0.40]). CONCLUSION: The sparseness of prostate biopsy data makes the validation of a whole gland risk mapping a non-trivial task. Previous studies i) focused on targeted-biopsy locations although biopsy-specimens drawn from systematically scattered locations across the prostate constitute a more representative sample to non-biopsied regions, and ii) estimated prediction-power across predicted instances (e.g., biopsy specimens) with no patient distinction, which may lead to unreliable estimation of model fitness to the individual patient due to variation between patients in instance count, imaging characteristics, and pathologies. SIGNIFICANCE: This study proposes a personalized whole-gland prostate cancer risk mapping post-biopsy to allow clinicians to better stage and personalize focal therapy treatment plans.
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Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Biópsia com Agulha de Grande Calibre/métodos , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Biópsia Guiada por Imagem/métodos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , BiomarcadoresRESUMO
We aimed to investigate the effects of 18F-FDG PET voxel intensity normalization on radiomic features of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and machine learning-generated radiomic biomarkers. Methods: We extracted 1,037 18F-FDG PET radiomic features quantifying the shape, intensity, and texture of 430 OPSCC primary tumors. The reproducibility of individual features across 3 intensity-normalized images (body-weight SUV, reference tissue activity ratio to lentiform nucleus of brain and cerebellum) and the raw PET data was assessed using an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). We investigated the effects of intensity normalization on the features' utility in predicting the human papillomavirus (HPV) status of OPSCCs in univariate logistic regression, receiver-operating-characteristic analysis, and extreme-gradient-boosting (XGBoost) machine-learning classifiers. Results: Of 1,037 features, a high (ICC ≥ 0.90), medium (0.90 > ICC ≥ 0.75), and low (ICC < 0.75) degree of reproducibility across normalization methods was attained in 356 (34.3%), 608 (58.6%), and 73 (7%) features, respectively. In univariate analysis, features from the PET normalized to the lentiform nucleus had the strongest association with HPV status, with 865 of 1,037 (83.4%) significant features after multiple testing corrections and a median area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.65 (interquartile range, 0.62-0.68). Similar tendencies were observed in XGBoost models, with the lentiform nucleus-normalized model achieving the numerically highest average AUC of 0.72 (SD, 0.07) in the cross validation within the training cohort. The model generalized well to the validation cohorts, attaining an AUC of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.60-0.85) in independent validation and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.58-0.95) in external validation. The AUCs of the XGBoost models were not significantly different. Conclusion: Only one third of the features demonstrated a high degree of reproducibility across intensity-normalization techniques, making uniform normalization a prerequisite for interindividual comparability of radiomic markers. The choice of normalization technique may affect the radiomic features' predictive value with respect to HPV. Our results show trends that normalization to the lentiform nucleus may improve model performance, although more evidence is needed to draw a firm conclusion.
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Fluordesoxiglucose F18 , Aprendizado de Máquina , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas , Humanos , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/diagnóstico por imagem , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons/métodos , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Idoso , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/diagnóstico por imagem , Biomarcadores Tumorais/metabolismo , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , RadiômicaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Perihematomal edema (PHE) represents secondary brain injury and a potential treatment target in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). However, studies differ on optimal PHE volume metrics as prognostic factor(s) after spontaneous, non-traumatic ICH. This study examines associations of baseline and 24-h PHE shape features with 3-month outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included 796 patients from a multicentric trial dataset and manually segmented ICH and PHE on baseline and follow-up CTs, extracting 14 shape features. We explored the association of baseline, follow-up, difference (baseline/follow-up) and temporal rate (difference/time gap) of PHE shape changes with 3-month modified Rankin Score (mRS) - using Spearman correlation. Then, using multivariable analysis, we determined if PHE shape features independently predict outcome adjusting for patients' age, sex, NIH stroke scale (NIHSS), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and hematoma volume. RESULTS: Baseline PHE maximum diameters across various planes, main axes, volume, surface, and sphericity correlated with 3-month mRS adjusting for multiple comparisons. The 24-h difference and temporal change rates of these features had significant association with outcome - but not the 24-h absolute values. In multivariable regression, baseline PHE shape sphericity (OR = 2.04, CI = 1.71-2.43) and volume (OR = 0.99, CI = 0. 98-1.0), alongside admission NIHSS (OR = 0.86, CI = 0.83-0.88), hematoma volume (OR = 0.99, CI = 0. 99-1.0), and age (OR = 0.96, CI = 0.95-0.97) were independent predictors of favorable outcomes. CONCLUSION: In acute ICH patients, PHE shape sphericity at baseline emerged as an independent prognostic factor, with a less spherical (more irregular) shape associated with worse outcome. The PHE shape features absolute values over the first 24 h provide no added prognostic value to baseline metrics.
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Edema Encefálico , Hemorragia Cerebral , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Hemorragia Cerebral/diagnóstico por imagem , Hemorragia Cerebral/terapia , Hemorragia Cerebral/patologia , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Edema Encefálico/diagnóstico por imagem , Edema Encefálico/etiologia , Hematoma/diagnóstico por imagem , Hematoma/patologia , Prognóstico , Escala de Coma de Glasgow , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios XRESUMO
Purpose: Computed Tomography Angiography (CTA) is the first line of imaging in the diagnosis of Large Vessel Occlusion (LVO) strokes. We trained and independently validated end-to-end automated deep learning pipelines to predict 3-month outcomes after anterior circulation LVO thrombectomy based on admission CTAs. Methods: We split a dataset of 591 patients into training/cross-validation (n = 496) and independent test set (n = 95). We trained separate models for outcome prediction based on admission "CTA" images alone, "CTA + Treatment" (including time to thrombectomy and reperfusion success information), and "CTA + Treatment + Clinical" (including admission age, sex, and NIH stroke scale). A binary (favorable) outcome was defined based on a 3-month modified Rankin Scale ≤ 2. The model was trained on our dataset based on the pre-trained ResNet-50 3D Convolutional Neural Network ("MedicalNet") and included CTA preprocessing steps. Results: We generated an ensemble model from the 5-fold cross-validation, and tested it in the independent test cohort, with receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC, 95% confidence interval) of 70 (0.59-0.81) for "CTA," 0.79 (0.70-0.89) for "CTA + Treatment," and 0.86 (0.79-0.94) for "CTA + Treatment + Clinical" input models. A "Treatment + Clinical" logistic regression model achieved an AUC of 0.86 (0.79-0.93). Conclusion: Our results show the feasibility of an end-to-end automated model to predict outcomes from admission and post-thrombectomy reperfusion success. Such a model can facilitate prognostication in telehealth transfer and when a thorough neurological exam is not feasible due to language barrier or pre-existing morbidities.
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BACKGROUND: A major driver of individual variation in long-term outcomes following a large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke is the degree of collateral arterial circulation. We aimed to develop and evaluate machine-learning models that quantify LVO collateral status using admission computed tomography angiography (CTA) radiomics. METHODS: We extracted 1116 radiomic features from the anterior circulation territories from admission CTAs of 600 patients experiencing an acute LVO stroke. We trained and validated multiple machine-learning models for the prediction of collateral status based on consensus from two neuroradiologists as ground truth. Models were first trained to predict (1) good vs. intermediate or poor, or (2) good vs. intermediate or poor collateral status. Then, model predictions were combined to determine a three-tier collateral score (good, intermediate, or poor). We used the receiver operating characteristics area under the curve (AUC) to evaluate prediction accuracy. RESULTS: We included 499 patients in training and 101 in an independent test cohort. The best-performing models achieved an averaged cross-validation AUC of 0.80 ± 0.05 for poor vs. intermediate/good collateral and 0.69 ± 0.05 for good vs. intermediate/poor, and AUC = 0.77 (0.67-0.87) and AUC = 0.78 (0.70-0.90) in the independent test cohort, respectively. The collateral scores predicted by the radiomics model were correlated with (rho = 0.45, p = 0.002) and were independent predictors of 3-month clinical outcome (p = 0.018) in the independent test cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Automated tools for the assessment of collateral status from admission CTA-such as the radiomics models described here-can generate clinically relevant and reproducible collateral scores to facilitate a timely treatment triage in patients experiencing an acute LVO stroke.
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Hematoma expansion (HE) is a modifiable risk factor and a potential treatment target in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We aimed to train and validate deep-learning models for high-confidence prediction of supratentorial ICH expansion, based on admission non-contrast head Computed Tomography (CT). Applying Monte Carlo dropout and entropy of deep-learning model predictions, we estimated the model uncertainty and identified patients at high risk of HE with high confidence. Using the receiver operating characteristics area under the curve (AUC), we compared the deep-learning model prediction performance with multivariable models based on visual markers of HE determined by expert reviewers. We randomly split a multicentric dataset of patients (4-to-1) into training/cross-validation (n = 634) versus test (n = 159) cohorts. We trained and tested separate models for prediction of ≥6 mL and ≥3 mL ICH expansion. The deep-learning models achieved an AUC = 0.81 for high-confidence prediction of HE≥6 mL and AUC = 0.80 for prediction of HE≥3 mL, which were higher than visual maker models AUC = 0.69 for HE≥6 mL (p = 0.036) and AUC = 0.68 for HE≥3 mL (p = 0.043). Our results show that fully automated deep-learning models can identify patients at risk of supratentorial ICH expansion based on admission non-contrast head CT, with high confidence, and more accurately than benchmark visual markers.
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Objective: To devise and validate radiomic signatures of impending hematoma expansion (HE) based on admission non-contrast head computed tomography (CT) of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Methods: Utilizing a large multicentric clinical trial dataset of hypertensive patients with spontaneous supratentorial ICH, we developed signatures predictive of HE in a discovery cohort (n = 449) and confirmed their performance in an independent validation cohort (n = 448). In addition to n = 1,130 radiomic features, n = 6 clinical variables associated with HE, n = 8 previously defined visual markers of HE, the BAT score, and combinations thereof served as candidate variable sets for signatures. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) quantified signatures' performance. Results: A signature combining select radiomic features and clinical variables attained the highest AUC (95% confidence interval) of 0.67 (0.61-0.72) and 0.64 (0.59-0.70) in the discovery and independent validation cohort, respectively, significantly outperforming the clinical (pdiscovery = 0.02, pvalidation = 0.01) and visual signature (pdiscovery = 0.03, pvalidation = 0.01) as well as the BAT score (pdiscovery < 0.001, pvalidation < 0.001). Adding visual markers to radiomic features failed to improve prediction performance. All signatures were significantly (p < 0.001) correlated with functional outcome at 3-months, underlining their prognostic relevance. Conclusion: Radiomic features of ICH on admission non-contrast head CT can predict impending HE with stable generalizability; and combining radiomic with clinical predictors yielded the highest predictive value. By enabling selective anti-expansion treatment of patients at elevated risk of HE in future clinical trials, the proposed markers may increase therapeutic efficacy, and ultimately improve outcomes.
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Tumor recurrence affects up to 70% of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, depending on treatment option. Deep learning algorithms allow in-depth exploration of imaging data to discover imaging features that may be predictive of recurrence. This study explored the use of convolutional neural networks (CNN) to predict HCC recurrence in patients with early-stage HCC from pre-treatment magnetic resonance (MR) images. This retrospective study included 120 patients with early-stage HCC. Pre-treatment MR images were fed into a machine learning pipeline (VGG16 and XGBoost) to predict recurrence within six different time frames (range 1-6 years). Model performance was evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC-ROC). After prediction, the model's clinical relevance was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis with recurrence-free survival (RFS) as the endpoint. Of 120 patients, 44 had disease recurrence after therapy. Six different models performed with AUC values between 0.71 to 0.85. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, five of six models obtained statistical significance when predicting RFS (log-rank p < 0.05). Our proof-of-concept study indicates that deep learning algorithms can be utilized to predict early-stage HCC recurrence. Successful identification of high-risk recurrence candidates may help optimize follow-up imaging and improve long-term outcomes post-treatment.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patologia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/diagnóstico por imagem , Estudos Retrospectivos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Aprendizado de MáquinaRESUMO
PURPOSE: There is ongoing clinical need to improve estimates of disease outcome in prostate cancer. Machine learning (ML) approaches to pathologic diagnosis and prognosis are a promising and increasingly used strategy. In this study, we use an ML algorithm for prediction of adverse outcomes at radical prostatectomy (RP) using whole-slide images (WSIs) of prostate biopsies with Grade Group (GG) 2 or 3 disease. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of prostate biopsies collected at our institution which had corresponding RP, GG 2 or 3 disease one or more cores, and no biopsies with higher than GG 3 disease. A hematoxylin and eosin-stained core needle biopsy from each site with GG 2 or 3 disease was scanned and used as the sole input for the algorithm. The ML pipeline had three phases: image preprocessing, feature extraction, and adverse outcome prediction. First, patches were extracted from each biopsy scan. Subsequently, the pre-trained Visual Geometry Group-16 convolutional neural network was used for feature extraction. A representative feature vector was then used as input to an Extreme Gradient Boosting classifier for predicting the binary adverse outcome. We subsequently assessed patient clinical risk using CAPRA score for comparison with the ML pipeline results. RESULTS: The data set included 361 WSIs from 107 patients (56 with adverse pathology at RP). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the ML classification were 0.72 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.81), 0.65 (95% CI, 0.53 to 0.79) and 0.89 (95% CI, 0.79 to 1.00) for the entire cohort, and GG 2 and GG 3 patients, respectively, similar to the performance of the CAPRA clinical risk assessment. CONCLUSION: We provide evidence for the potential of ML algorithms to use WSIs of needle core prostate biopsies to estimate clinically relevant prostate cancer outcomes.
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Próstata , Neoplasias da Próstata , Biópsia , Biópsia com Agulha de Grande Calibre , Amarelo de Eosina-(YS) , Hematoxilina , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Masculino , Próstata/patologia , Próstata/cirurgia , Prostatectomia , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/cirurgiaRESUMO
Technological innovation has enabled the development of machine learning (ML) tools that aim to improve the practice of radiologists. In the last decade, ML applications to neuro-oncology have expanded significantly, with the pre-operative prediction of glioma grade using medical imaging as a specific area of interest. We introduce the subject of ML models for glioma grade prediction by remarking upon the models reported in the literature as well as by describing their characteristic developmental workflow and widely used classifier algorithms. The challenges facing these models-including data sources, external validation, and glioma grade classification methods -are highlighted. We also discuss the quality of how these models are reported, explore the present and future of reporting guidelines and risk of bias tools, and provide suggestions for the reporting of prospective works. Finally, this review offers insights into next steps that the field of ML glioma grade prediction can take to facilitate clinical implementation.
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Purpose: Personalized interpretation of medical images is critical for optimum patient care, but current tools available to physicians to perform quantitative analysis of patient's medical images in real time are significantly limited. In this work, we describe a novel platform within PACS for volumetric analysis of images and thus development of large expert annotated datasets in parallel with radiologist performing the reading that are critically needed for development of clinically meaningful AI algorithms. Specifically, we implemented a deep learning-based algorithm for automated brain tumor segmentation and radiomics extraction, and embedded it into PACS to accelerate a supervised, end-to- end workflow for image annotation and radiomic feature extraction. Materials and methods: An algorithm was trained to segment whole primary brain tumors on FLAIR images from multi-institutional glioma BraTS 2021 dataset. Algorithm was validated using internal dataset from Yale New Haven Health (YHHH) and compared (by Dice similarity coefficient [DSC]) to radiologist manual segmentation. A UNETR deep-learning was embedded into Visage 7 (Visage Imaging, Inc., San Diego, CA, United States) diagnostic workstation. The automatically segmented brain tumor was pliable for manual modification. PyRadiomics (Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA) was natively embedded into Visage 7 for feature extraction from the brain tumor segmentations. Results: UNETR brain tumor segmentation took on average 4 s and the median DSC was 86%, which is similar to published literature but lower than the RSNA ASNR MICCAI BRATS challenge 2021. Finally, extraction of 106 radiomic features within PACS took on average 5.8 ± 0.01 s. The extracted radiomic features did not vary over time of extraction or whether they were extracted within PACS or outside of PACS. The ability to perform segmentation and feature extraction before radiologist opens the study was made available in the workflow. Opening the study in PACS, allows the radiologists to verify the segmentation and thus annotate the study. Conclusion: Integration of image processing algorithms for tumor auto-segmentation and feature extraction into PACS allows curation of large datasets of annotated medical images and can accelerate translation of research into development of personalized medicine applications in the clinic. The ability to use familiar clinical tools to revise the AI segmentations and natively embedding the segmentation and radiomic feature extraction tools on the diagnostic workstation accelerates the process to generate ground-truth data.
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With advances in high-throughput image processing technologies and increasing availability of medical mega-data, the growing field of radiomics opened the door for quantitative analysis of medical images for prediction of clinically relevant information. One clinical area in which radiomics have proven useful is stroke neuroimaging, where rapid treatment triage is vital for patient outcomes and automated decision assistance tools have potential for significant clinical impact. Recent research, for example, has applied radiomics features extracted from CT angiography (CTA) images and a machine learning framework to facilitate risk-stratification in acute stroke. We here provide methodological guidelines and radiomics data supporting the referenced article "CT angiographic radiomics signature for risk-stratification in anterior large vessel occlusion stroke." The data were extracted from the stroke center registry at Yale New Haven Hospital between 1/1/2014 and 10/31/2020; and Geisinger Medical Center between 1/1/2016 and 12/31/2019. It includes detailed radiomics features of the anterior circulation territories on admission CTA scans in stroke patients with large vessel occlusion stroke who underwent thrombectomy. We also provide the methodological details of the analysis framework utilized for training, optimization, validation and external testing of the machine learning and feature selection algorithms. With the goal of advancing the feasibility and quality of radiomics-based analyses to improve patient care within and beyond the field of stroke, the provided data and methodological support can serve as a baseline for future studies applying radiomics algorithms to machine-learning frameworks, and allow for analysis and utilization of radiomics features extracted in this study.
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Glioma and brain metastasis can be difficult to distinguish on conventional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) due to the similarity of imaging features in specific clinical circumstances. Multiple studies have investigated the use of machine learning (ML) models for non-invasive differentiation of glioma from brain metastasis. Many of the studies report promising classification results, however, to date, none have been implemented into clinical practice. After a screening of 12,470 studies, we included 29 eligible studies in our systematic review. From each study, we aggregated data on model design, development, and best classifiers, as well as quality of reporting according to the TRIPOD statement. In a subset of eligible studies, we conducted a meta-analysis of the reported AUC. It was found that data predominantly originated from single-center institutions (n = 25/29) and only two studies performed external validation. The median TRIPOD adherence was 0.48, indicating insufficient quality of reporting among surveyed studies. Our findings illustrate that despite promising classification results, reliable model assessment is limited by poor reporting of study design and lack of algorithm validation and generalizability. Therefore, adherence to quality guidelines and validation on outside datasets is critical for the clinical translation of ML for the differentiation of glioma and brain metastasis.