High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin I Enhances Preeclampsia Prediction Beyond Maternal Factors and the sFlt-1/PlGF Ratio.

BACKGROUND: Preeclampsia shares numerous risk factors with cardiovascular diseases. Here, we aimed to assess the potential utility of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) values during pregnancy in predicting preeclampsia occurrence. METHODS: This study measured hs-cTnI levels in 3721 blood samples of 2245 pregnant women from 4 international, prospective cohorts. Three analytical approaches were used: (1) a cross-sectional analysis of all women using a single blood sample, (2) a longitudinal analysis of hs-cTnI trajectories in women with multiple samples, and (3) analyses of prediction models incorporating hs-cTnI, maternal factors, and the sFlt-1 (soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1)/PlGF (placental growth factor) ratio. RESULTS: Women with hs-cTnI levels in the upper quarter had higher odds ratios for preeclampsia occurrence compared with women with levels in the lower quarter. Associations were driven by preterm preeclampsia (odds ratio, 5.78 [95% CI, 2.73-12.26]) and remained significant when using hs-cTnI as a continuous variable adjusted for confounders. Between-trimester hs-cTnI trajectories were independent of subsequent preeclampsia occurrence. A prediction model incorporating a practical hs-cTnI level of detection cutoff (≥1.9 pg/mL) alongside maternal factors provided comparable performance with the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio. A comprehensive model including sFlt-1/PlGF, maternal factors, and hs-cTnI provided added value (cross-validated area under the receiver operator characteristic, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.73-0.82]) above the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio alone (cross-validated area under the receiver operator characteristic, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.65-0.76]; P=0.027). As assessed by likelihood ratio tests, the addition of hs-cTnI to each prediction model significantly improved the respective prediction model not incorporating hs-cTnI, particularly for preterm preeclampsia. Net reclassification improvement analyses indicated that incorporating hs-cTnI improved risk prediction predominantly by correctly reclassifying women with subsequent preeclampsia occurrence. CONCLUSIONS: These exploratory findings uncover a potential role for hs-cTnI as a complementary biomarker in the prediction of preeclampsia. After validation in prospective studies, hs-cTnI, alongside maternal factors, may either be considered as a substitute for angiogenic biomarkers in health care systems where they are sparce or unavailable, or as an enhancement to established prediction models using angiogenic markers.

Metabolic Communication by SGLT2 Inhibition.

BACKGROUND: SGLT2 (sodium-glucose cotransporter 2) inhibitors (SGLT2i) can protect the kidneys and heart, but the underlying mechanism remains poorly understood. METHODS: To gain insights on primary effects of SGLT2i that are not confounded by pathophysiologic processes or are secondary to improvement by SGLT2i, we performed an in-depth proteomics, phosphoproteomics, and metabolomics analysis by integrating signatures from multiple metabolic organs and body fluids after 1 week of SGLT2i treatment of nondiabetic as well as diabetic mice with early and uncomplicated hyperglycemia. RESULTS: Kidneys of nondiabetic mice reacted most strongly to SGLT2i in terms of proteomic reconfiguration, including evidence for less early proximal tubule glucotoxicity and a broad downregulation of the apical uptake transport machinery (including sodium, glucose, urate, purine bases, and amino acids), supported by mouse and human SGLT2 interactome studies. SGLT2i affected heart and liver signaling, but more reactive organs included the white adipose tissue, showing more lipolysis, and, particularly, the gut microbiome, with a lower relative abundance of bacteria taxa capable of fermenting phenylalanine and tryptophan to cardiovascular uremic toxins, resulting in lower plasma levels of these compounds (including p-cresol sulfate). SGLT2i was detectable in murine stool samples and its addition to human stool microbiota fermentation recapitulated some murine microbiome findings, suggesting direct inhibition of fermentation of aromatic amino acids and tryptophan. In mice lacking SGLT2 and in patients with decompensated heart failure or diabetes, the SGLT2i likewise reduced circulating p-cresol sulfate, and p-cresol impaired contractility and rhythm in human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived engineered heart tissue. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2i reduced microbiome formation of uremic toxins such as p-cresol sulfate and thereby their body exposure and need for renal detoxification, which, combined with direct kidney effects of SGLT2i, including less proximal tubule glucotoxicity and a broad downregulation of apical transporters (including sodium, amino acid, and urate uptake), provides a metabolic foundation for kidney and cardiovascular protection.

Biomarker-based prediction of sinus rhythm in atrial fibrillation patients: the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), recurrent AF and sinus rhythm during follow-up are determined by interactions between cardiovascular disease processes and rhythm-control therapy. Predictors of attaining sinus rhythm at follow-up are not well known. METHODS: To quantify the interaction between cardiovascular disease processes and rhythm outcomes, 14 biomarkers reflecting AF-related cardiovascular disease processes in 1586 patients in the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study (71 years old, 46% women) were quantified at baseline. Mixed logistic regression models including clinical features were constructed for each biomarker. Biomarkers were interrogated for interaction with early rhythm control. Outcome was sinus rhythm at 12 months. Results were validated at 24 months and in external datasets. RESULTS: Higher baseline concentrations of three biomarkers were independently associated with a lower chance of sinus rhythm at 12 months: angiopoietin 2 (ANGPT2) (odds ratio [OR] 0.76 [95% confidence interval 0.65-0.89], p=0.001), bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) (OR 0.83 [0.71-0.97], p=0.017) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (OR 0.73 [0.60-0.88], p=0.001). Analysis of rhythm at 24 months confirmed the results. Early rhythm control interacted with the predictive potential of NT-proBNP (pinteraction=0.033). The predictive effect of NT-proBNP was reduced in patients randomized to early rhythm control (usual care: OR 0.64 [0.51-0.80], p<0.001; early rhythm control: OR 0.90 [0.69-1.18], p=0.453). External validation confirmed that low concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10 and NT-proBNP predict sinus rhythm during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Low concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10 and NT-proBNP identify patients with AF who are likely to attain sinus rhythm during follow-up. The predictive ability of NT-proBNP is attenuated in patients receiving rhythm control.

C-reactive protein modifies lipoprotein(a)-related risk for coronary heart disease: the BiomarCaRE project.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recent investigations have suggested an interdependence of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)]-related risk for cardiovascular disease with background inflammatory burden. The aim the present analysis was to investigate whether high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) modulates the association between Lp(a) and coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population. METHODS: Data from 71 678 participants from 8 European prospective population-based cohort studies were used (65 661 without/6017 with established CHD at baseline; median follow-up 9.8/13.8 years, respectively). Fine and Gray competing risk-adjusted models were calculated according to accompanying hsCRP concentration (<2 and ≥2 mg/L). RESULTS: Among CHD-free individuals, increased Lp(a) levels were associated with incident CHD irrespective of hsCRP concentration: fully adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratios [sHRs (95% confidence interval)] for the highest vs. lowest fifth of Lp(a) distribution were 1.45 (1.23-1.72) and 1.48 (1.23-1.78) for a hsCRP group of <2 and ≥2 mg/L, respectively, with no interaction found between these two biomarkers on CHD risk (Pinteraction = 0.82). In those with established CHD, similar associations were seen only among individuals with hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L [1.34 (1.03-1.76)], whereas among participants with a hsCRP concentration <2 mg/L, there was no clear association between Lp(a) and future CHD events [1.29 (0.98-1.71)] (highest vs. lowest fifth, fully adjusted models; Pinteraction = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS: While among CHD-free individuals Lp(a) was significantly associated with incident CHD regardless of hsCRP, in participants with CHD at baseline, Lp(a) was related to recurrent CHD events only in those with residual inflammatory risk. These findings might guide adequate selection of high-risk patients for forthcoming Lp(a)-targeting compounds.

Population-based reference values for kidney function and kidney function decline in 25- to 95-year-old Germans without and with diabetes.

Understanding normal aging of kidney function is pivotal to help distinguish individuals at particular risk for chronic kidney disease. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is typically estimated via serum creatinine (eGFRcrea) or cystatin C (eGFRcys). Since population-based age-group-specific reference values for eGFR and eGFR-decline are scarce, we aimed to provide such reference values from population-based data of a wide age range. In four German population-based cohorts (KORA-3, KORA-4, AugUR, DIACORE), participants underwent medical exams, interview, and blood draw up to five times within up to 25 years. We analyzed eGFRcrea and eGFRcys cross-sectionally and longitudinally (12,000 individuals, age 25-95 years). Cross-sectionally, we found age-group-specific eGFRcrea to decrease approximately linearly across the full age range, for eGFRcys up to the age of 60 years. Within age-groups, there was little difference by sex or diabetes status. Longitudinally, linear mixed models estimated an annual eGFRcrea decline of -0.80 [95% confidence interval -0.82, -0.77], -0.79 [-0.83, -0.76], and -1.20 mL/min/1.73m2 [-1.33, -1.08] for the general population, "healthy" individuals, or individuals with diabetes, respectively. Reference values for eGFR using cross-sectional data were shown as percentile curves for "healthy" individuals and for individuals with diabetes. Reference values for eGFR-decline using longitudinal data were presented as 95% prediction intervals for "healthy" individuals and for individuals with diabetes, obesity, and/or albuminuria. Thus, our results can help clinicians to judge eGFR values in individuals seen in clinical practice according to their age and to understand the expected range of annual eGFR-decline based on their risk profile.

High Circulating Dipeptidyl Peptidase 3 Predicts Mortality and Need for Organ Support in Cardiogenic Shock: An Ancillary Analysis of the ACCOST-HH Trial.

BACKGROUND: Cardiogenic shock (CS) is burdened with high mortality. Efforts to improve outcome are hampered by the difficulty of individual risk stratification and the lack of targetable pathways. Previous studies demonstrated that elevated circulating dipeptidyl peptidase 3 (cDPP3) is an early predictor of short-term outcome in CS, mostly of ischemic origin. Our objective was to investigate the association between cDPP3 and short-term outcomes in a diverse population of patients with CS. METHODS AND RESULTS: cDPP3 was measured at baseline and after 72 hours in the AdreCizumab against plaCebO in SubjecTs witH cardiogenic sHock (ACCOST-HH) trial. The association of cDPP3 with 30-day mortality and need for organ support was assessed. Median cDPP3 concentration at baseline was 43.2 ng/mL (95% confidence interval [CI], 21.2-74.0 ng/mL) and 77 of the 150 patients (52%) had high cDPP3 over the predefined cutoff of 40 ng/mL. Elevated cDPP3 was associated with higher 30-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.7; 95% CI, 1.0-2.9), fewer days alive without cardiovascular support (aHR, 3 days [95% CI, 0-24 days] vs aHR, 21 days [95% CI, 5-26 days]; P < .0001) and a greater need for renal replacement therapy (56% vs 22%; P < .0001) and mechanical ventilation (90 vs 74%; P = .04). Patients with a sustained high cDPP3 had a poor prognosis (reference group). In contrast, patients with an initially high but decreasing cDPP3 at 72 hours had markedly lower 30-day mortality (aHR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.084-0.34), comparable with patients with a sustained low cDPP3 (aHR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.12-0.41). The need for organ support was markedly decreased in subpopulations with sustained low or decreasing cDPP3. CONCLUSIONS: The present study confirms the prognostic value of cDPP3 in a contemporary population of patients with CS.

Disturbed atrial metabolism, shear stress, and cardiac load contribute to atrial fibrillation after ablation: AXAFA biomolecule study.

AIMS: Different disease processes can combine to cause atrial fibrillation (AF). Their contribution to recurrent AF after ablation in patients is not known. Cardiovascular processes associated with recurrent AF after AF ablation were determined by quantifying biomolecules related to inflammation, metabolism, proliferation, fibrosis, shear stress, atrial pressure, and others in the AXAFA biomolecule study. METHODS AND RESULTS: Twelve circulating cardiovascular biomolecules (ANGPT2, BMP10, CA125, hsCRP, ESM1, FABP3, FGF23, GDF15, IGFBP7, IL6, NT-proBNP, and hsTnT) were quantified in plasma samples obtained prior to a first AF ablation using high-throughput, high-precision assays. Cox regression was used to identify biomolecules associated with recurrent AF during the first 3 months after AF ablation. In 433 patients (64 years [58, 70]; 33% women), baseline concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, hsCRP, FGF23, FABP3, GDF15, and NT-proBNP were elevated in patients with recurrent AF (120/433; 28%). After adjustment for 11 clinical features and randomized treatment, elevated NT-proBNP [hazard ratio (HR) 1.58, 95% confidence interval (1.29, 1.94)], ANGPT2 [HR 1.37, (1.12, 1.67)], and BMP10 [HR 1.24 (1.02, 1.51)] remained associated with recurrent AF. Concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP decreased in patients who remained arrhythmia free, but not in patients with recurrent AF, highlighting their connection to AF. The other eight biomarkers showed unchanged concentrations. CONCLUSION: Elevated concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP are associated with recurrent AF after a first AF ablation, suggesting that processes linked to disturbed cardiomyocyte metabolism, altered atrial shear stress, and increased load contribute to AF after AF ablation in patients.

Deep learning-based NT-proBNP prediction from the ECG for risk assessment in the community.

OBJECTIVES: The biomarker N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) has predictive value for identifying individuals at risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, it is not widely used for screening in the general population, potentially due to financial and operational reasons. This study aims to develop a deep-learning model as an efficient means to reliably identify individuals at risk for CVD by predicting serum levels of NT-proBNP from the ECG. METHODS: A deep convolutional neural network was developed using the population-based cohort study Hamburg City Health Study (HCHS, n=8,253, 50.9 % women). External validation was performed in two independent population-based cohorts (SHIP-START, n=3,002, 52.1 % women, and SHIP-TREND, n=3,819, 51.2 % women). Assessment of model performance was conducted using Pearson correlation (R) and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC). RESULTS: NT-proBNP was predictable from the ECG (R, 0.566 [HCHS], 0.642 [SHIP-START-0], 0.655 [SHIP-TREND-0]). Across cohorts, predicted NT-proBNP (pNT-proBNP) showed good discriminatory ability for prevalent and incident heart failure (HF) (baseline: AUROC 0.795 [HCHS], 0.816 [SHIP-START-0], 0.783 [SHIP-TREND-0]; first follow-up: 0.669 [SHIP-START-1, 5 years], 0.689 [SHIP-TREND-1, 7.3 years]), comparable to the discriminatory value of measured NT-proBNP. pNT-proBNP also demonstrated comparable results for other incident CVD, including atrial fibrillation, stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death. CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning ECG algorithms can predict NT-proBNP concentrations with high diagnostic and predictive value for HF and other major CVD and may be used in the community to identify individuals at risk. Long-standing experience with NT-proBNP can increase acceptance of such deep learning models in clinical practice.

Sex hormone-binding globulin may explain sex differences for glucose homeostasis and incidence of type 2 diabetes: the KORA study.

Research has indicated that sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) is associated with glucose homeostasis and may play a role in the etiology of type 2 diabetes (T2D). While it is unclear whether SHBG may mediate sex differences in glucose control and subsequently, incidence of T2D. We used observational data from the German population-based KORA F4 study (n = 1937, mean age: 54 years, 41% women) and its follow-up examination KORA FF4 (median follow-up 6.5 years, n = 1387). T2D was initially assessed by self-report and validated by contacting the physicians and/ or reviewing the medical charts. Mediation analyses were performed to assess the role of SHBG in mediating the association between sex (women vs. men) and glucose- and insulin-related traits (cross-sectional analysis) and incidence of T2D (longitudinal analysis). After adjustment for confounders, (model 1: adjusted for age; model 2: model 1 + smoking + alcohol consumption + physical activity), women had lower fasting glucose levels compared to men (ß = -4.94 (mg/dl), 95% CI: -5.77, -4.11). SHBG levels were significantly higher in women than in men (ß = 0.47 (nmol/l), 95% CI:0.42, 0.51). Serum SHBG may mediate the association between sex and fasting glucose levels with a proportion mediated (PM) of 30% (CI: 22-41%). Also, a potential mediatory role of SHBG was observed for sex differences in incidence of T2D (PM = 95% and 63% in models 1 and 2, respectively). Our novel findings suggest that SHBG may partially explain sex-differences in glucose control and T2D incidence.

Long-term exposures to low concentrations of source-specific air pollution, road-traffic noise, and systemic inflammation and cardiovascular disease biomarkers.

OBJECTIVES: Air pollution and traffic noise are detrimental to cardiovascular health. However, the effects of different sources of these exposures on cardiovascular biomarkers remain unclear. We explored the associations of long-term exposure to source-specific air pollution (vehicular exhausts and residential woodsmoke) at low concentrations and road-traffic noise with systemic inflammation and cardiovascular disease biomarkers. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Modeled outdoor exposure to fine particulate matter (aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 µm; PM2.5) from vehicular exhausts and residential woodsmoke, nitrogen dioxide (NO2) from road traffic, and road-traffic noise were linked to the home addresses of the participants (Finnish residents aged 25-74) in the FINRISK study 1997-2012. The participants were located in the cities of Helsinki, Vantaa, and the region of Turku, Finland. The outcomes were high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CRP), a biomarker for systemic inflammation, and cardiovascular disease biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and troponin I. We performed cross-sectional analyses with linear and additive models and adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: We found no association between PM2.5 from vehicular exhausts (% CRP difference for 1 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5: -0.9, 95% confidence interval, CI: -7.2, 5.8), or from residential woodsmoke (% difference: -8.1, 95% CI: -21.7, 7.9) and CRP (N = 4147). Road-traffic noise >70 dB tended to be positively associated with CRP (% CRP difference versus noise reference category of ≤45 dB: 18.3, 95% CI: -0.5, 40.6), but the association lacked significance and robustness (N = 7142). Otherwise, we found no association between road-traffic noise and CRP, nor between NO2 from road traffic and NT-proBNP (N = 1907) or troponin I (N = 1951). CONCLUSION: Long-term exposures to source-specific, fairly low-level air pollution from vehicular exhausts and residential woodsmoke, or road-traffic noise were not associated with systemic inflammation and cardiovascular disease biomarkers in this urban area.

Biostatistical Aspects of Whole Genome Sequencing Studies: Preprocessing and Quality Control.

Rapid advances in high-throughput DNA sequencing technologies have enabled large-scale whole genome sequencing (WGS) studies. Before performing association analysis between phenotypes and genotypes, preprocessing and quality control (QC) of the raw sequence data need to be performed. Because many biostatisticians have not been working with WGS data so far, we first sketch Illumina's short-read sequencing technology. Second, we explain the general preprocessing pipeline for WGS studies. Third, we provide an overview of important QC metrics, which are applied to WGS data: on the raw data, after mapping and alignment, after variant calling, and after multisample variant calling. Fourth, we illustrate the QC with the data from the GENEtic SequencIng Study Hamburg-Davos (GENESIS-HD), a study involving more than 9000 human whole genomes. All samples were sequenced on an Illumina NovaSeq 6000 with an average coverage of 35× using a PCR-free protocol. For QC, one genome in a bottle (GIAB) trio was sequenced in four replicates, and one GIAB sample was successfully sequenced 70 times in different runs. Fifth, we provide empirical data on the compression of raw data using the DRAGEN original read archive (ORA). The most important quality metrics in the application were genetic similarity, sample cross-contamination, deviations from the expected Het/Hom ratio, relatedness, and coverage. The compression ratio of the raw files using DRAGEN ORA was 5.6:1, and compression time was linear by genome coverage. In summary, the preprocessing, joint calling, and QC of large WGS studies are feasible within a reasonable time, and efficient QC procedures are readily available.

Proteomic profiling of longitudinal changes in kidney function among middle-aged and older men and women: the KORA S4/F4/FF4 study.

BACKGROUND: Due to the asymptomatic nature of the early stages, chronic kidney disease (CKD) is usually diagnosed at late stages and lacks targeted therapy, highlighting the need for new biomarkers to better understand its pathophysiology and to be used for early diagnosis and therapeutic targets. Given the close relationship between CKD and cardiovascular disease (CVD), we investigated the associations of 233 CVD- and inflammation-related plasma proteins with kidney function decline and aimed to assess whether the observed associations are causal. METHODS: We included 1140 participants, aged 55-74 years at baseline, from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) cohort study, with a median follow-up time of 13.4 years and 2 follow-up visits. We measured 233 plasma proteins using a proximity extension assay at baseline. In the discovery analysis, linear regression models were used to estimate the associations of 233 proteins with the annual rate of change in creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcr). We further investigated the association of eGFRcr-associated proteins with the annual rate of change in cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) and eGFRcr-based incident CKD. Two-sample Mendelian randomization was used to infer causality. RESULTS: In the fully adjusted model, 66 out of 233 proteins were inversely associated with the annual rate of change in eGFRcr, indicating that higher baseline protein levels were associated with faster eGFRcr decline. Among these 66 proteins, 21 proteins were associated with both the annual rate of change in eGFRcys and incident CKD. Mendelian randomization analyses on these 21 proteins suggest a potential causal association of higher tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11A (TNFRSF11A) level with eGFR decline. CONCLUSIONS: We reported 21 proteins associated with kidney function decline and incident CKD and provided preliminary evidence suggesting a potential causal association between TNFRSF11A and kidney function decline. Further Mendelian randomization studies are needed to establish a conclusive causal association.

An arrhythmogenic metabolite in atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Long-chain acyl-carnitines (ACs) are potential arrhythmogenic metabolites. Their role in atrial fibrillation (AF) remains incompletely understood. Using a systems medicine approach, we assessed the contribution of C18:1AC to AF by analysing its in vitro effects on cardiac electrophysiology and metabolism, and translated our findings into the human setting. METHODS AND RESULTS: Human iPSC-derived engineered heart tissue was exposed to C18:1AC. A biphasic effect on contractile force was observed: short exposure enhanced contractile force, but elicited spontaneous contractions and impaired Ca2+ handling. Continuous exposure provoked an impairment of contractile force. In human atrial mitochondria from AF individuals, C18:1AC inhibited respiration. In a population-based cohort as well as a cohort of patients, high C18:1AC serum concentrations were associated with the incidence and prevalence of AF. CONCLUSION: Our data provide evidence for an arrhythmogenic potential of the metabolite C18:1AC. The metabolite interferes with mitochondrial metabolism, thereby contributing to contractile dysfunction and shows predictive potential as novel circulating biomarker for risk of AF.

Validation of a 0/1 h Algorithm for Rapid Diagnosis of Myocardial Infarction Using a High-Sensitivity Troponin I Assay.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend 0/1 h algorithms using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) for fast diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI). Yet, for some assays, existing data is limited. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance and the prognostic value of a rapid 0/1 h algorithm for the Access hs-cTnI assay. METHODS: In consecutive patients presenting with suspected MI, we measured concentrations of Access hs-cTnI at presentation and after 1 hour. Final diagnosis was adjudicated independently by 2 cardiologists. Parameters for diagnostic performance were calculated, applying the recently derived European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/1 h algorithm for Access hs-cTnI. Additionally, we assessed the prognostic utility of Access hs-cTnI for the composite end point of all-cause mortality and incident MI at 3 years. RESULTS: In 1879 patients, 257 non-ST-elevation MIs occurred. Application of the 0/1 h algorithm classified 44.5% as rule-out, 20.3% as rule-in, and triaged 35.1% to the observe group. High rule-out safety was confirmed with a sensitivity of 97.7% (95% CI, 95.0%-99.1%) and a negative predictive value of 99.3% (95% CI, 98.4%-99.7%). Rule-in capacity was moderate with a specificity of 88.0% (95% CI, 86.3%-89.6%) and a positive predictive value of 50.8% (95% CI, 45.7%-55.9%). After exclusion of patients with ST-elevation MI the results showed strong prognostic value, even after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities, with adjusted hazard ratios of 2.51 (95% CI, 1.56-4.04) in the observe and 3.55 (95% CI, 2.18-5.79) in the rule-in group for the composite end point of all-cause mortality and incident MI at 3 years, compared to ruled-out patients. CONCLUSION: The ESC 0/1 h algorithm for Access hs-cTnI allows safe and efficient triage of patients with suspected MI and has strong prognostic utility up to 3 years after the initial evaluation.

Risk prediction of atrial fibrillation and its complications in the community using hs troponin I.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is becoming increasingly common. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF) do not explain all AF cases. Blood-based biomarkers reflecting cardiac injury such as high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) may help close this gap. METHODS: We investigated the predictive ability of hsTnI for incident AF in 45,298 participants (median age 51.4 years, 45.0% men) across European community cohorts in comparison to CVRF and established biomarkers (C-reactive protein, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 1734 (3.8%) participants developed AF. Those in the highest hsTnI quarter (≥4.2 ng/L) had a 3.91-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 3.30, 4.63; p < .01) risk for developing AF compared to the lowest quarter (<1.4 ng/L). In multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models a statistically significant association was seen between hsTnI and AF (hazard ratio (HR) per 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in log10(hsTnI) 1.08; 95% CI 1.01, 1.16; p = .03). Inclusion of hsTnI did improve model discrimination (C-index CVRF 0.811 vs. C-index CVRF and hsTnI 0.813; p < .01). Higher hsTnI concentrations were associated with heart failure (HR per SD 1.37; 95% CI 1.12, 1.68; p < .01) and overall mortality (HR per SD 1.24; 95% CI 1.09, 1.41; p < .01). CONCLUSION: hsTnI as a biomarker of myocardial injury does not improve prediction of AF incidence beyond classical CVRF and NT-proBNP. However, it is associated with the AF-related disease heart failure and mortality likely reflecting underlying subclinical cardiovascular impairment.

Kidney outcome after mild to moderate COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has a remarkable kidney tropism. While kidney effects are common in severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), data on non-severe courses are limited. Here we provide a multilevel analysis of kidney outcomes after non-severe COVID-19 to test for eventual kidney sequela. METHODS: This cross-sectional study investigates individuals after COVID-19 and matched controls recruited from the Hamburg City Health Study (HCHS) and its COVID-19 program. The HCHS is a prospective population-based cohort study within the city of Hamburg, Germany. During the COVID-19 pandemic the study additionally recruited subjects after polymerase chain reaction-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections. Matching was performed by age, sex and education. Main outcomes were estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria, Dickkopf3, haematuria and pyuria. RESULTS: A total of 443 subjects in a median of 9 months after non-severe COVID-19 were compared with 1328 non-COVID-19 subjects. The mean eGFR was mildly lower in post-COVID-19 than non-COVID-19 subjects, even after adjusting for known risk factors {ß = -1.84 [95% confidence interval (CI) -3.16 to -0.52]}. However, chronic kidney disease [odds ratio (OR) 0.90 (95% CI 0.48-1.66)] or severely increased albuminuria [OR 0.76 (95% CI 0.49-1.09)] equally occurred in post-COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 subjects. Haematuria, pyuria and proteinuria were also similar between the two cohorts, suggesting no ongoing kidney injury after non-severe COVID-19. Further, Dickkopf3 was not increased in the post-COVID-19 cohort, indicating no systematic risk for ongoing GFR decline [ß = -72.19 (95% CI -130.0 to -14.4)]. CONCLUSION: While mean eGFR was slightly lower in subjects after non-severe COVID-19, there was no evidence for ongoing or progressive kidney sequela.

Exploring the incremental utility of circulating biomarkers for robust risk prediction of incident atrial fibrillation in European cohorts using regressions and modern machine learning methods.

AIMS: To identify robust circulating predictors for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) using classical regressions and machine learning (ML) techniques within a broad spectrum of candidate variables. METHODS AND RESULTS: In pooled European community cohorts (n = 42 280 individuals), 14 routinely available biomarkers mirroring distinct pathophysiological pathways including lipids, inflammation, renal, and myocardium-specific markers (N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP], high-sensitivity troponin I [hsTnI]) were examined in relation to incident AF using Cox regressions and distinct ML methods. Of 42 280 individuals (21 843 women [51.7%]; median [interquartile range, IQR] age, 52.2 [42.7, 62.0] years), 1496 (3.5%) developed AF during a median follow-up time of 5.7 years. In multivariable-adjusted Cox-regression analysis, NT-proBNP was the strongest circulating predictor of incident AF [hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation (SD), 1.93 (95% CI, 1.82-2.04); P < 0.001]. Further, hsTnI [HR per SD, 1.18 (95% CI, 1.13-1.22); P < 0.001], cystatin C [HR per SD, 1.16 (95% CI, 1.10-1.23); P < 0.001], and C-reactive protein [HR per SD, 1.08 (95% CI, 1.02-1.14); P = 0.012] correlated positively with incident AF. Applying various ML techniques, a high inter-method consistency of selected candidate variables was observed. NT-proBNP was identified as the blood-based marker with the highest predictive value for incident AF. Relevant clinical predictors were age, the use of antihypertensive medication, and body mass index. CONCLUSION: Using different variable selection procedures including ML methods, NT-proBNP consistently remained the strongest blood-based predictor of incident AF and ranked before classical cardiovascular risk factors. The clinical benefit of these findings for identifying at-risk individuals for targeted AF screening needs to be elucidated and tested prospectively.

Drinking alcohol in moderation is associated with lower rate of all-cause mortality in individuals with higher rather than lower educational level: findings from the MORGAM project.

The association between socioeconomic status (SES) and alcohol-related diseases has been widely explored. Less is known, however, on whether the association of moderate drinking with all-cause mortality is modified by educational level (EL). Using harmonized data from 16 cohorts in the MORGAM Project (N = 142,066) the association of pattern of alcohol intake with hazard of all-cause mortality across EL (lower = primary-school; middle = secondary-school; higher = university/college degree) was assessed using multivariable Cox-regression and spline curves. A total of 16,695 deaths occurred in 11.8 years (median). In comparison with life-long abstainers, participants drinking 0.1-10 g/d of ethanol had 13% (HR = 0.87; 95%CI: 0.74-1.02), 11% (HR = 0.89; 0.84-0.95) and 5% (HR = 0.95; 0.89-1.02) lower rate of death in higher, middle and lower EL, respectively. Conversely, drinkers > 20 g/d had 1% (HR = 1.01; 0.82-1.25), 10% (HR = 1.10; 1.02-1.19) and 17% (HR = 1.17; 1.09-1.26) higher rate of death. The association of alcohol consumption with all-cause mortality was nonlinear, with a different J-shape by EL levels. It was consistent across both sexes and in various approaches of measuring alcohol consumption, including combining quantity and frequency and it was more evident when the beverage of preference was wine. We observed that drinking in moderation (≤ 10 g/d) is associated with lower mortality rate more evidently in individuals with higher EL than in people with lower EL, while heavy drinking is associated with higher mortality rate more evidently in individuals with lower EL than in people with higher EL, suggesting that advice on reducing alcohol intake should especially target individuals of low EL.

Multi-organ assessment in mainly non-hospitalized individuals after SARS-CoV-2 infection: The Hamburg City Health Study COVID programme.

AIMS: Long-term sequelae may occur after SARS-CoV-2 infection. We comprehensively assessed organ-specific functions in individuals after mild to moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with controls from the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Four hundred and forty-three mainly non-hospitalized individuals were examined in median 9.6 months after the first positive SARS-CoV-2 test and matched for age, sex, and education with 1328 controls from a population-based German cohort. We assessed pulmonary, cardiac, vascular, renal, and neurological status, as well as patient-related outcomes. Bodyplethysmography documented mildly lower total lung volume (regression coefficient -3.24, adjusted P = 0.014) and higher specific airway resistance (regression coefficient 8.11, adjusted P = 0.001) after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Cardiac assessment revealed slightly lower measures of left (regression coefficient for left ventricular ejection fraction on transthoracic echocardiography -0.93, adjusted P = 0.015) and right ventricular function and higher concentrations of cardiac biomarkers (factor 1.14 for high-sensitivity troponin, 1.41 for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, adjusted P ≤ 0.01) in post-SARS-CoV-2 patients compared with matched controls, but no significant differences in cardiac magnetic resonance imaging findings. Sonographically non-compressible femoral veins, suggesting deep vein thrombosis, were substantially more frequent after SARS-CoV-2 infection (odds ratio 2.68, adjusted P < 0.001). Glomerular filtration rate (regression coefficient -2.35, adjusted P = 0.019) was lower in post-SARS-CoV-2 cases. Relative brain volume, prevalence of cerebral microbleeds, and infarct residuals were similar, while the mean cortical thickness was higher in post-SARS-CoV-2 cases. Cognitive function was not impaired. Similarly, patient-related outcomes did not differ. CONCLUSION: Subjects who apparently recovered from mild to moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection show signs of subclinical multi-organ affection related to pulmonary, cardiac, thrombotic, and renal function without signs of structural brain damage, neurocognitive, or quality-of-life impairment. Respective screening may guide further patient management.

Circulating cardiac biomarkers, structural brain changes, and dementia: Emerging insights and perspectives.

Diseases of the heart and brain are strongly linked to each other, and cardiac dysfunction is associated with cognitive decline and dementia. This link between cardiovascular disease and dementia offers opportunities for dementia prevention through prevention and treatment of cardiovascular risk factors and heart disease. Increasing evidence suggests the clinical utility of cardiac biomarkers as risk markers for structural brain changes and cognitive impairment. We propose the hypothesis that structural brain changes are the link between impaired cardiac function, as captured by blood-based cardiac biomarkers, and cognitive impairment. This review provides an overview of the literature and illustrates emerging insights into the association of markers of hemodynamic stress (natriuretic peptides) and markers of myocardial injury (cardiac troponins) with imaging findings of brain damage and cognitive impairment or dementia. Based on these findings, we discuss potential pathophysiological mechanisms underlying the association of cardiac biomarkers with structural brain changes and dementia. We suggest testable hypotheses and a research plan to close the gaps in understanding the mechanisms linking vascular damage and neurodegeneration, and to pave the way for targeted effective interventions for dementia prevention. From a clinical perspective, cardiac biomarkers open the window for early identification of patients at risk of dementia, who represent a target population for preventive interventions targeting modifiable cardiovascular risk factors to avert cognitive decline and dementia.