Loss of SRY-box2 (SOX2) expression and its impact on survival of patients with oesophageal adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) is a highly aggressive malignancy with poor survival, which is highly variable amongst patients with comparable conventional prognosticators. Therefore molecular biomarkers are urgently needed to improve the prediction of survival in these patients. SRY (sex determining region Y)-box 2, also known as SOX2, is a transcription factor involved in embryonal development of the gastrointestinal tract as well as in carcinogenesis. The purpose of this study was to see whether SOX2 expression is associated with survival in patients with OAC. METHODS: SOX2 was studied by immunohistochemistry in patients who had undergone potentially curative oesophagectomy for adenocarcinoma. Protein expression of SOX2 was evaluated using tissue microarrays from resection specimens, and results were analysed in relation to the clinical data by Cox regression analysis. SOX2 was evaluated in two independent OAC cohorts (Rotterdam cohort and a multicentre UK cohort). RESULTS: Loss of SOX2 expression was independently predictive of adverse overall survival in the multivariable analysis, adjusted for known factors influencing survival, in both cohorts (Rotterdam cohort: hazard ratio (HR) 1·42, 95 per cent c.i. 1·07 to 1·89, P = 0·016; UK cohort: HR 1·54, 1·08 to 2·19, P = 0·017). When combined with clinicopathological staging, loss of SOX2 showed an increased effect in patients with pT1-2 tumours (P = 0·010) and node-negative OAC (P = 0·038), with an incrementally adverse effect on overall survival for stage I OAC with SOX2 loss (HR 3·18, 1·18 to 8·56; P = 0·022). CONCLUSION: SOX2 is an independent prognostic factor for long-term survival in OAC, especially in patients with stage I OAC.

Impact of surveillance for Barrett's oesophagus on tumour stage and survival of patients with neoplastic progression.

OBJECTIVE: Endoscopic surveillance for Barrett's oesophagus (BO) is under discussion given the overall low incidence of neoplastic progression and lack of evidence that it prevents advanced oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of endoscopic BO surveillance on tumour stage and survival of patients with neoplastic progression. DESIGN: 783 patients with BO of at least 2 cm were included in a multicentre prospective cohort and followed during surveillance according to the American College of Gastroenterology guidelines. Cases of high-grade dysplasia and OAC were identified during follow-up. OAC staging was performed according to the 7th UICC-AJCC classification. Survival data were collected and crosschecked using death and municipal registries. Data from patients with OAC in the general population were obtained from the Dutch cancer registry. We compared survival of patients with BO with neoplastic progression during surveillance with those of patients without neoplastic progression and patients with OAC in the general population. RESULTS: 53 patients with BO developed high-grade dysplasia or OAC during surveillance. Thirty-five (66%) were classified as stage 0, 14 (26%) as stage 1 and 4 (8%) as stage 2. OAC was diagnosed at an earlier stage during BO surveillance than in the general population (p<0.001). Survival of patients with BO with neoplastic progression was not significantly worse than those of patients without neoplastic progression and similar to survival of patients with stage 0 or stage 1 OAC in the general population. CONCLUSIONS: OAC is detected at an earlier stage during BO surveillance than in the general population with good survival rates.

Surveillance in patients with long-segment Barrett's oesophagus: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Surveillance is recommended for Barrett's oesophagus (BO) to detect early oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of surveillance. DESIGN: We included 714 patients with long-segment BO in a multicentre prospective cohort study and used a multistate Markov model to calculate progression rates from no dysplasia (ND) to low-grade dysplasia (LGD), high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and OAC. Progression rates were incorporated in a decision-analytic model, including costs and quality of life data. We evaluated different surveillance intervals for ND and LGD, endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR), radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and oesophagectomy for HGD or early OAC and oesophagectomy for advanced OAC. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated in costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). RESULTS: The annual progression rate was 2% for ND to LGD, 4% for LGD to HGD or early OAC and 25% for HGD or early OAC to advanced OAC. Surveillance every 5 or 4 years with RFA for HGD or early OAC and oesophagectomy for advanced OAC had ICERs of €5.283 and €62.619 per QALY for ND. Surveillance every five to one year had ICERs of €4.922, €30.067, €32.531, €41.499 and €75.601 per QALY for LGD. EMR prior to RFA was slightly more expensive, but important for tumour staging. CONCLUSIONS: Based on a Dutch healthcare perspective and assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of €35.000 per QALY, surveillance with EMR and RFA for HGD or early OAC, and oesophagectomy for advanced OAC is cost-effective every 5 years for ND and every 3 years for LGD.