A dedicated risk prediction model of 1-year mortality following endovascular aortic aneurysm repair involving the renal-mesenteric arteries.

OBJECTIVE: Treatment goals of prophylactic endovascular aortic repair of complex aneurysms involving the renal-mesenteric arteries (complex endovascular aortic repair [cEVAR]) include achieving both technical success and long-term survival benefit. Mortality within the first year after cEVAR likely indicates treatment failure owing to associated costs and procedural complexity. Notably, no validated clinical decision aid tools exist that reliably predict mortality after cEVAR. The purpose of this study was to derive and validate a preoperative prediction model of 1-year mortality after elective cEVAR. METHODS: All elective cEVARs including fenestrated, branched, and/or chimney procedures for aortic disease extent confined proximally to Ishimaru landing zones 6 to 9 in the Society for Vascular Surgery Vascular Quality Initiative were identified (January 2012 to August 2023). Patients (n = 4053) were randomly divided into training (n = 3039) and validation (n = 1014) datasets. A logistic regression model for 1-year mortality was created and internally validated by bootstrapping the AUC and calibration intercept and slope, and by using the model to predict 1-year mortality in the validation dataset. Independent predictors were assigned an integer score, based on model beta-coefficients, to generate a simplified scoring system to categorize patient risk. RESULTS: The overall crude 1-year mortality rate after elective cEVAR was 11.3% (n = 456/4053). Independent preoperative predictors of 1-year mortality included chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic renal insufficiency (creatinine >1.8 mg/dL or dialysis dependence), hemoglobin <12 g/dL, decreasing body mass index, congestive heart failure, increasing age, American Society of Anesthesiologists class ≥IV, current tobacco use, history of peripheral vascular intervention, and increasing extent of aortic disease. The 1-year mortality rate varied from 4% among the 23% of patients classified as low risk to 23% for the 24% classified as high risk. Performance of the model in validation was comparable with performance in the training data. The internally validated scoring system classified patients roughly into quartiles of risk (low, low/medium, medium/high and high), with 52% of patients categorized as medium/high to high risk, which had corresponding 1-year mortality rates of 11% and 23%, respectively. Aneurysm diameter was below Society for Vascular Surgery recommended treatment thresholds (<5.0 cm in females, <5.5 cm in males) in 17% of patients (n = 679/3961), 41% of whom were categorized as medium/high or high risk. This subgroup had significantly increased in-hospital complication rates (18% vs 12%; P = .02) and 1-year mortality (13% vs 5%; P < .0001) compared with patients in the low- or low/medium-risk groups with guideline-compliant aneurysm diameters (≥5.0 cm in females, ≥5.5 cm in males). CONCLUSIONS: This validated preoperative prediction model for 1-year mortality after cEVAR incorporates physiological, functional, and anatomical variables. This novel and simplified scoring system can effectively discriminate mortality risk and, when applied prospectively, may facilitate improved preoperative decision-making, complex aneurysm care delivery, and resource allocation.

Preoperative risk factors for 1-year mortality in patients undergoing fenestrated endovascular aortic aneurysm repair in the US Aortic Research Consortium.

BACKGROUND: Early survival (1-year) after elective repair of complex abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) or thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (TAAA) can be used as an indicator of successful repair and provides a reasonable countermeasure to the annual rupture risk based on diameter. We aimed to identify preoperative factors associated with 1-year mortality after fenestrated or branched endovascular aortic repair (F/BEVAR) and develop a predictive model for 1-year mortality based on patient-specific risk profiles. METHODS: The US-Aortic Research Consortium database was queried for all patients undergoing elective F/BEVAR for complex AAA (cAAA) or TAAA from 2005 to 2022. The primary outcome was 1-year survival based on preoperative risk profile. Multivariable Cox regression was used to determine preoperative variables associated with 1-year mortality overall and by extent of aortic pathology. Logistic regression was performed to build a predictive model for 1-year mortality based on number of risk factors present. RESULTS: A total of 2099 patients met the inclusion criteria for this study (cAAA: n = 709 [34.3%]; type 1-3 TAAA: n = 777 [37.6%]; type 4-5 TAAA: n = 580 [28.1%]). Multivariable Cox regression identified the following significant risk factors associated with 1-year mortality: current smoker, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure (CHF), aortic diameter >7 cm, age >75 years, extent 1-3, creatinine >1.7 mg/dL, and hematocrit <36%. When stratified by extent of aortic involvement, multivariable Cox regression revealed risk factors for 1-year mortality in cAAA (CHF maximum aortic diameter >7 cm, hematocrit <36 mg/dL, and current smoking status), type 1-3 TAAA (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, CHF, and age >75 years), and type 4-5 TAAA (age >75 years, creatinine >1.7 mg/dL, and hematocrit <36 mg/dL). Logistic regression was then used to develop a predictive model for 1-year mortality based on patient risk profile. Appraisal of the model revealed an area under the curve of 0.64 (P < .001), and an observed to expected ratio of 0.85. CONCLUSIONS: This study describes multiple risk factors associated with an increase in 1-year mortality after F/BEVAR. Given that elective repair of cAAA or TAAA is offered to some patients in whom future rupture risk outweighs operative risk, these findings suggest that highly comorbid patients with smaller aneurysms may not benefit from repair. Descriptive and predictive models for 1-year mortality based on patient risk profiles can serve as an adjunct in clinical decision-making when considering elective F/BEVAR.

One-year postpartum weight retention and glucose intolerance in women with prediabetes after gestational diabetes.

AIMS: To determine risk factors for 1-year postpartum weight retention (PPWR) and glucose intolerance (prediabetes + diabetes) in women with a previous history of gestational diabetes (GDM) and prediabetes in early postpartum. METHODS: In this exploratory analysis of the MELINDA randomized controlled trial, we report data of 167 women with prediabetes at the 6-16 weeks (early) postpartum oral glucose tolerance test after a recent history of GDM. RESULTS: Of all participants, 45% (75) had PPWR >0 kg at 1-year postpartum. Compared to women without PPWR, women with PPWR had higher gestational weight gain [10.5 ± 6.4 vs. 6.5 ± 4.5 kg, p < 0.001], higher BMI (p < 0.01) and a worse metabolic profile (higher waist circumference, worse lipid profile and more insulin resistance) (all p < 0.05) both in early and late postpartum. Of all women with PPWR, 40.0% developed metabolic syndrome, compared to 18.9% of women without late PPWR (p = 0.003). The only independent predictor for late PPWR was weight retention in early postpartum (p < 0.001). Of all participants, 55.1% (92) had glucose intolerance (84 prediabetes, 8 diabetes) 1-year postpartum. Independent predictors for late postpartum glucose intolerance were lower gestational age at start insulin therapy in pregnancy and delivery by caesarean section (resp. p = 0.044 and 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: In women with a previous history of GDM and prediabetes in early postpartum, PPWR in early postpartum was a strong independent predictor for late PPWR, while earlier start of insulin therapy during pregnancy and delivery by caesarean section were independent predictors of glucose intolerance in late postpartum.

Association between estimated pulse wave velocity and the risk of mortality in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective cohort study based on the MIMIC database.

BACKGROUND: The estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV) is a recently developed, simple and useful tool to measure arterial stiffness and to predict long-term cardiovascular mortality. However, the association of ePWV with mortality risk in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is unclear. Herein, this study aims to assess the potential prediction value of ePWV on short- and long-term mortality of SAH patients. METHODS: Data of adult patients with no traumatic SAH were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) III and IV database in this retrospective cohort study. Weighted univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to explore the associations of ePWV levels with 30-day mortality and 1-year mortality in SAH patients. The evaluation indexes were hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). In addition, subgroup analyses of age, the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, surgery, atrial fibrillation (AF), renal failure (RF), hepatic diseases, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), sepsis, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus (DM) were also performed. RESULTS: Among 1,481 eligible patients, 339 died within 30 days and 435 died within 1 year. After adjusting for covariates, ePWV ≥ 12.10 was associated with higher risk of both 30-day mortality (HR = 1.77, 95%CI: 1.17-2.67) and 1-year mortality (HR = 1.97, 95%CI: 1.36-2.85), compared to ePWV < 10.12. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves showed that compared to single SOFA score, ePWV combined with SOFA score had a relative superior predictive performance on both 30-day mortality and 1-year mortality, with the area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.740 vs. 0.664 and 0.754 vs. 0.658. This positive relationship between ePWV and mortality risk was also found in age ≥ 65 years old, SOFA score < 2, non-surgery, non-hepatic diseases, non-COPD, non-hypertension, non-DM, and sepsis subgroups. CONCLUSION: Baseline ePWV level may have potential prediction value on short- and long-term mortality in SAH patients. However, the application of ePWV in SAH prognosis needs further clarification.

The Prevalence and Clinical Phenotypes of Cluster Headache in Relation with Latitude.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Previous studies have indicated a possible link between the prevalence of cluster headache (CH) and sunlight exposure. However, this theory has yet to be tested systemically. In this article, we aim to examine how latitude affects the prevalence and phenotypes of CH. RECENT FINDINGS: To our knowledge, there is by far no article describing the effect of latitude on disease phenotype; thus, we performed a literature review. We noted positive effects of latitude on 1-year prevalence, the proportion of chronic CH, and the proportion of miosis and/or ptosis. Latitude may affect the phenotypic presentations of cluster headache, probably partially mediated via temperature and sunlight variations. Still, other factors, such as environmental exposure to smoking and the genetic difference between the Eastern and Western populations, may participate in the pathogenesis and clinical manifestations of CH.

One-Year Postoperative Patient-Reported Outcome Measures Are Associated With Three-Year to Five-Year Postoperative Satisfaction in Total Knee Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: Over the past couple of decades, the definition of success after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) has shifted away from clinician-rated metrics and toward the patient's subjective experience. Therefore, understanding the aspects of patient recovery that drive 3-year to 5-year satisfaction after TKA is crucial. The aims of this study were to (1) determine the 1-year postoperative factors, specifically patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) that were associated with 3-year and 5-year postoperative satisfaction and (2) understand the factors that drive those who are not satisfied at 1 year postoperatively to become satisfied later in the postoperative course. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of 402 TKA patients who were gathered prospectively and presented for their 1-year follow-up. Demographics were collected preoperatively and patient-reported outcomes were collected at 1, 3, and 5 years postoperatively. Logistic regressions were used to identify the factors at 1 year that were associated with 3-year and 5-year satisfaction. RESULTS: Associations between 1-year PROMs with 3-year satisfaction were observed. Longer term satisfaction at 5 years was more closely associated with EuroQol 5 Dimension Mobility, Activity Score, and Numerical Rating Scale Satisfaction. Of those who were not satisfied at 1 year, EuroQol 5 Dimension Mobility, Knee Disability Osteoarthritis Outcome Score Function in Sport and Recreation, and Satisfaction were associated with becoming satisfied at 3 years. CONCLUSION: The 1-year PROMs were found to be associated with satisfaction at 3 to 5 years after TKA. Importantly, many of the PROMs that were associated with 3-year to 5-year satisfaction, especially in those who were not originally satisfied at 1 year, were focused on mobility and activity level.

Impact of Chart-Derived Frailty Index on 1-Year Mortality After Radical Cystectomy in 1004 Patients with Bladder Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Radical cystectomy is a major urological procedure with high morbidity and mortality. The chart-derived frailty index (CFI), a measure of preoperative frailty, can be calculated by using demographic and routine laboratory variables. We assessed the impact of CFI on 1-year mortality after radical cystectomy. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with bladder cancer who underwent radical cystectomy between 2007 and 2021. The CFI was calculated as the sum of the presence of the following parameters: age > 70 years, body mass index < 18.5 kg/m2, hematocrit < 35%, albumin < 3.4 g/dL, and creatinine > 2.0 mg/dL. Patients were divided into those with low (0-2) and high (3-5) CFI. The 1-year, all-cause and cancer-specific mortalities after radical cystectomy were evaluated. RESULTS: Of the 1004 patients, 914 (91.0%) had a low CFI and 90 (9.0%) had a high CFI. The 1-year, all-cause mortality in the low and high CFI groups was 12.0% and 27.8%, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that high CFI (P < 0.001), tumor stage (P = 0.003), and red blood cell transfusion amount (P < 0.001) were significantly associated with 1-year, all-cause mortality after radical cystectomy. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated significantly different 1-year, all-cause and cancer-specific mortalities after radical cystectomy between patients with a high CFI and those with a low CFI (log-rank test, both P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: High CFI is associated with higher 1-year mortality after radical cystectomy, suggesting that the CFI can effectively predict mortality after radical cystectomy.

Persistent white matter changes in recovered COVID-19 patients at the 1-year follow-up.

There is growing evidence that severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 can affect the CNS. However, data on white matter and cognitive sequelae at the 1-year follow-up are lacking. Therefore, we explored these characteristics in this study. We investigated 22 recovered coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients and 21 matched healthy controls. Diffusion tensor imaging, diffusion kurtosis imaging and neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging were performed to identify white matter changes, and the subscales of the Wechsler Intelligence scale were used to assess cognitive function. Correlations between diffusion metrics, cognitive function and other clinical characteristics were then examined. We also conducted subgroup analysis based on patient admission to the intensive care unit. The corona radiata, corpus callosum and superior longitudinal fasciculus had a lower volume fraction of intracellular water in the recovered COVID-19 group than in the healthy control group. Patients who had been admitted to the intensive care unit had lower fractional anisotropy in the body of the corpus callosum than those who had not. Compared with the healthy controls, the recovered COVID-19 patients demonstrated no significant decline in cognitive function. White matter tended to present with fewer abnormalities for shorter hospital stays and longer follow-up times. Lower axonal density was detected in clinically recovered COVID-19 patients after 1 year. Patients who had been admitted to the intensive care unit had slightly more white matter abnormalities. No significant decline in cognitive function was found in recovered COVID-19 patients. The duration of hospital stay may be a predictor for white matter changes at the 1-year follow-up.

Incidence, Burden, and Predictors of Readmission for Acute Alcoholic Pancreatitis: A National Analysis over 11 Months.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Data regarding incidence, health-care burden, and predictors for readmission in patients with acute alcoholic pancreatitis (AAP) is scarce. We aim to identify incidence, health-care burden, and predictors of readmission over an 11-month period. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using the 2016 National Readmission Database of adult patients admitted with a principal diagnosis of AAP in January and 11-month readmission follow up for all-cause readmission. Incidence of all-cause readmission, mortality rate, morbidity, length of stay (LOS), total hospitalization charges and costs were evaluated. Independent risk factors for all-cause readmission were identified using a Cox multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 6633 patients were included in the study. The mean age was 45.7 years and 28.9% of patients were female. 73.1% of patients had a modified BISAP score of 0. The 11-month readmission rate was 43.1%. The main cause of readmission was another episode of AAP. The mortality rate of readmission was 0.5% and the mortality rate during the index admission (IA) was 1.1% (P = 0.03). The mean LOS, total hospitalization charges and costs for readmission were 4.5 days, $34,307 and $8958, respectively. Independent predictors of readmission were Charlson Comorbidity Index score of ≥ 3, associated chronic alcoholic pancreatitis, and chronic pancreatitis (CP) from other causes. CONCLUSION: Among patients admitted with AAP, the 11-month readmission rate was 43.1%. Over one-third of readmissions were due to another episode of AAP. Readmission associated with significant resource utilization. Special attention should be placed in patients with underlying CP due to the increased risk of readmission.

One year later: Longer-term maintenance effects of a digital intervention to change personality traits.

OBJECTIVE: Recent research suggests that personality traits can be changed by psychological interventions. However, it is unclear whether these intended personality changes can be maintained or merely reflect ephemeral shifts. METHOD: The present study reports 1-year follow-up effects of a 3-month digital intervention for personality trait change. Personality traits were measured before the intervention (pretest: N = 1523), directly after the intervention (posttest: n = 554), and 3 months (follow-up 1: n = 437) and 1 year (follow-up 2: n = 157) after the end of the intervention. RESULTS: Attrition analyses suggest that participants who completed the 1-year follow-up were significantly more open to experience (d = 0.19), less neurotic (d = 0.20), more agreeable (d = 0.35) and more conscientious (d = 0.27) than participants who did not complete the 1-year follow-up. Also, until the 1-year follow-up, personality trait changes achieved remained stable (for those who wanted to increase in extraversion and conscientiousness) or even changed further in the desired direction (for those who wanted to decrease in neuroticism). CONCLUSION: These results suggest that changes in personality traits due to a targeted intervention are not just ephemeral shifts and can even continue.

Temperature Changes During Electrophysiology Ablation in Veterans and 1-Year Success Rates: A Retrospective Pilot Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The authors hypothesized that body core temperature during cardiac arrhythmia procedures in the electrophysiology laboratory declines, and examined the association of changes with the patient or procedural factors. They hypothesized that a greater degree of change negatively affects 1-year ablation success. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING: Veteran's Administration Boston Healthcare System. PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive records of veterans undergoing ablation procedures under general anesthesia. INTERVENTIONS: Retrospective data collection and analysis from the electronic medical record. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Patient and procedural characteristics were collected from the electronic medical record. Core temperature data included baseline (BT) (following entry to the care process on the day of the procedure), the start (ST) and end of the procedure temperatures (ET), and their differences. The 1-year ablation success was assessed as described elsewhere in the literature. The authors used the paired t-test, linear, and logistic regression for hypothesis testing. Among 107 veterans, core temperatures were significantly lower between BT and ST, BT and ET, and ST and ET (p < 0.001 for all). One-year ablation success was 74.8% (n = 80). In multivariate logistic regression adjusted for age, body mass index and BTs showed a greater degree of change from BT to ET, and the ST-to-ET temperature was significantly associated with lower odds of success (odds ratios of 0.57 and 0.42, respectively; p < 0.05 for both). CONCLUSIONS: Core temperature declines during ablation. Greater temperature decline during general anesthesia was associated with lower 1-year ablation success rates.

1 year mortality after hip fracture in an Irish urban trauma centre.

BACKGROUND: Hip fracture accounts for a considerable burden of disease in older adults, yet there is a paucity of data pertaining to longer-term outcomes in the Irish Hip Fracture population. Understanding the factors that influence longer-term survival would allow care pathways to be refined to optimise patient outcomes. In Ireland, there is no linkage to death registration at a national or regional level, nor are longer-term outcomes captured by the Irish Hip Fracture Database. This study aimed to quantify 1-year mortality in an Irish hip fracture cohort and identify factors that influence survival at 1 year. METHODS: A retrospective review of hip fracture cases in an Irish urban trauma centre over a 5-year period was conducted. Mortality status was obtained via the Inpatient Management System and correlated with the Irish Death Events Register. A range of routinely collected patient and care process variables were analysed using logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 833 patients were included. Within 1 year of sustaining a hip fracture, 20.5% (171/833) had died. On multivariate analysis, female gender (OR 0.36, p < 0.001, 95% CI 0.23-0.57), independent mobility pre-fracture (OR 0.24, p < 0.001, 95% CI 0.14-0.41) and early mobilisation on the day of or after surgery (OR 0.48, p < 0.001, 95% CI 0.30-0.77) reduced the likelihood of dying within 1 year (AUC 0.78). CONCLUSION: Of the variables examined, early postoperative mobilisation was the only modifiable factor identified that conferred a longer-term survival benefit. This underscores the importance of adhering to international best practice standards for early postoperative mobilisation.

The relationship between hyperpolypharmacy and one-year outcomes in patients with critical limb ischemia undergoing below-knee endovascular therapy.

BACKGROUND: Critical limb ischemia (CLI) patients take too many medications because they are elderly and frail patients with multiple comorbidities. Polypharmacy is associated with frailty, although its prognostic significance in CLI patients is unknown. In this study, we aimed to determine the prevalence of hyperpolypharmacy among adults with CLI and its effect on 1-year amputation and mortality. METHODS: A total of 200 patients with CLI who underwent endovascular therapy (EVT) for below-knee (CTC) lesions were included in this study. Hyperpolypharmacy was defined as using ≥10 drugs. Patients were divided into two groups according to the presence of hyperpolypharmacy. RESULTS: We detected hyperpolypharmacy in 66 patients. The incidence of 1-year amputation [24 (36.4) versus 12 (9), p<.001] and mortality [28 (42.4) versus 12 (9), p<.001] were higher in patients with hyperpolypharmacy. Univariate and multivariate cox regression analyses were used to determine the independent predictors of amputation and mortality. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the cut-off value was defined as 10 or more drug use was able to detect the presence of 1-year mortality with 67.5% sensitivity and 79.4% specificity. The Kaplan-Meier method showed a significant difference (rank p <.001 between log groups), and hyperpolypharmacy was associated with 1-year amputation and mortality. CONCLUSION: Hyperpolypharmacy was significantly associated with 1-year mortality and major amputation in CLI patients. Hyperpolypharmacy can be a valuable aid in patient risk assessment in the CLI.

Longitudinal changes in mental health among medical students in China during the COVID-19 epidemic: depression, anxiety and stress at 1-year follow -up.

This study aimed to evaluate the influence of COVID-19 on the mental health of Chinese medical students at 1-year of follow-up. From 2 February 2020 to 23 February 2021, we conducted three waves of research online (T1 = during outbreak, T2 = controlling period, T3 = 1 year after outbreak). The survey collected demographic data and several self reporting questionnaires to measure the depressive, anxiety and stress symptoms. A total of 4002 participants complete the whole research phases. The study major, grade level and gender were the main factors related to psychological distress caused by the COVID-19 crisis. Importantly, medical knowledge has a protective effect on medical students' psychological distress during the COVID-19 period.

Nocardiosis in Japan: a Multicentric Retrospective Cohort Study.

Nocardia species cause a broad spectrum of infections, especially in immunocompromised patients. Given its relative rarity, data on the prognosis and distribution of nocardiosis from a large cohort are scarce. The present study aimed to scrutinize the clinical features and outcomes of nocardiosis in Japan, including 1-year mortality and microbiological data. The present multicentric, retrospective cohort study enrolled patients aged ≥18 years with nocardiosis diagnosed between January 2010 and December 2017 and recorded their clinical and microbiological characteristics. Factors associated with 1-year mortality were also determined using Cox proportional hazard analysis. In total, 317 patients were identified at 89 hospitals. Almost half (155/317, 48.9%) were receiving immunosuppressive agents, and 51 had disseminated nocardiosis (51/317, 16.1%). The 1-year all-cause mortality rate was 29.4% (80/272; lost to follow-up, n = 45). The most frequently isolated species was Nocardia farcinica (79/317, 24.9%) followed by the Nocardia nova complex (61/317, 19.2%). Selected antimicrobial agents were generally effective, with linezolid (100% susceptibility [S]) and amikacin (94% S) having the most activity against Nocardia species. In Cox proportional hazard analysis, factors independently associated with 1-year mortality were a Charlson comorbidity index score of ≥5 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 3.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.95 to 6.71, P < 0.001) and disseminated nocardiosis (aHR, 1.79; 95%CI, 1.01 to 3.18, P = 0.047). The presence of advanced comorbidities and disseminated infection, rather than variations in antimicrobial therapy or Nocardia species, was independently associated with 1-year mortality.

Effect of elevated fasting blood glucose level on the 1-year mortality and sequelae in hospitalized COVID-19 patients: A bidirectional cohort study.

To observe the predictive effect of fasting blood glucose (FBG) level on the prognosis, clinical sequelae, and pulmonary absorption in hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with and without a history of diabetes, respectively, and to evaluate the correlation between the dynamic changes of FBG and poor prognosis. In this bidirectional cohort study, we enrolled 2545 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (439 diabetics and 2106 without a diabetic history) and followed up for 1 year. The patients were divided according to the level of admission FBG. The dynamic changes of FBG were compared between the survival and the death cases. The prediction effect of FBG on 1-year mortality and sequelae was analyzed. The 1-year all cause mortality rate and in-hospital mortality rate of COVID-19 patients were J-curve correlated with FBG (p < 0.001 for both in the nondiabetic history group, p = 0.004 and p = 0.01 in the diabetic history group). FBG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L had a higher risk of developing sequelae (p = 0.025) and have slower recovery of abnormal lung scans (p < 0.001) in patients who denied a history of diabetes. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that FBG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L was an independent risk factor for the mortality of COVID-19 regardless of the presence or deny a history of diabetes (hazard atio [HR] = 10.63, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.15-15.83, p < 0.001; HR = 3.9, 95% CI: 1.56-9.77, p = 0.004, respectively). Our study shows that FBG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L can be a predictive factor of 1-year all-cause mortality in COVID-19 patients, independent of diabetes history. FBG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L has an advantage in predicting the severity, clinical sequelae, and pulmonary absorption in COVID-19 patients without a history of diabetes. Early detection, timely treatment, and strict control of blood glucose when finding hyperglycemia in COVID-19 patients (with or without diabetes) are critical for their prognosis.

Diabetes mellitus duration and mortality in patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with an increased mortality risk in patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (AMI); however, no studies have investigated the impact of the duration of DM on in-hospital mortality. In this study, we evaluated in-hospital mortality in AMI patients according to DM status and its duration. METHODS: Using health administrative databases of Lombardy, DM patients≥50 years hospitalized with AMI from 2010 to 2019 were included in the analysis and were stratified according to the duration of DM: <5, 5-10, and > 10 years. The primary endpoint was mortality during AMI hospitalization and the secondary endpoint was 1-year mortality in comparison with No-DM patients. Logistic and Cox regressions analyses were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs, CI 95%) and hazard ratios (HRs, CI 95%) for the outcomes, according to DM status and duration and AMI type (STEMI and NSTEMI). RESULTS: Our study cohort comprised 29,566 and 109,247 DM and No-DM patients, respectively. Adjusted ORs and HRs showed a significantly higher risk of in-hospital mortality (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.43-1.58) and 1-year mortality (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.46-1.55) in DM patients in comparison with those without. These risks increased progressively with the duration of DM, with the highest risk observed in patients with DM duration ≥ 10 years (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.50-1.69 for in-hospital mortality and HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.53-1.64 for 1-year mortality). These findings were similar in STEMI and in NSTEMI patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates that the duration of DM parallels mortality risk in patients hospitalized with AMI, highlighting that DM duration should be considered as an important early prognostic risk factor in patients with AMI.

Associations between antenatal corticosteroid exposure and neurodevelopment in infants.

BACKGROUND: It has been well recognized that antenatal administration of dexamethasone to pregnant women at risk of preterm delivery may markedly accelerate fetal maturation and reduce the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes in their preterm infants, particularly for births before 34 weeks of gestation. Since 2015, antenatal corticosteroid administration has been extended beyond 34 weeks of gestation by clinical guidelines, as it might have beneficial effects on fetal maturation and perinatal outcomes. However, concerns regarding the potential influence of antenatal corticosteroid treatment on offspring neurodevelopment have been raised. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate whether maternal antenatal corticosteroid administration was associated with neurodevelopment in infants at 1 year of age. STUDY DESIGN: In this prospective and longitudinal birth cohort study, women were followed up throughout gestation, and their infants underwent a Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition, screening test at 1 year of age between December 2018 and September 2020. Finally, 1609 pregnant women and 1759 infants were included in the current study. Using a generalized linear mixed model, we examined the association between antenatal corticosteroid exposure and infant neurodevelopment in cognitive, receptive communication, expressive communication, fine motor, and gross motor functions. RESULTS: Of the 1759 infants eligible for this study, 1453 (82.6%) were singletons. A total of 710 infants were exposed to antenatal corticosteroids, among whom 415 were dexamethasone exposed and 483 were prednisone exposed. Dexamethasone was prescribed most often in late pregnancy, whereas prednisone was often used before 8 weeks of gestation among women who conceived through assisted reproductive technology. Compared with those who had no exposure, antenatal corticosteroid exposure was associated with an increased risk of infants being noncompetent in the cognitive development domain after adjusting for conventional risk factors (adjusted risk ratio, 1.53; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-2.18; P=.017). For medication-specific exposure, those exposed vs not exposed to antenatal dexamethasone were 1.62-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.10-2.38; P=.014) more likely to be noncompetent in the cognitive development domain at 1 year. The association did not vary markedly between preterm and term infants, singletons and twins, or assisted reproductive technology-conceived and spontaneously conceived infants (all P>.05 for heterogeneity). In contrast, a null association was observed for the risk of being noncompetent in any domain of neurodevelopment with antenatal prednisone exposure at early pregnancy. CONCLUSION: Here, antenatal corticosteroid, particularly dexamethasone exposure, was markedly associated with an increased risk of infants being noncompetent in the cognitive development domain at 1 year of age. These findings may provide new information when weighing the benefits and potential risks of maternal antenatal corticosteroid administration.

Comparison of the predictive ability of clinical frailty scale and hospital frailty risk score to determine long-term survival in critically ill patients: a multicentre retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) is the most commonly used frailty measure in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The hospital frailty risk score (HFRS) was recently proposed for the quantification of frailty. We aimed to compare the HFRS with the CFS in critically ill patients in predicting long-term survival up to one year following ICU admission. METHODS: In this retrospective multicentre cohort study from 16 public ICUs in the state of Victoria, Australia between 1st January 2017 and 30th June 2018, ICU admission episodes listed in the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database registry with a documented CFS, which had been linked with the Victorian Admitted Episode Dataset and the Victorian Death Index were examined. The HFRS was calculated for each patient using the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes that represented pre-existing conditions at the time of index hospital admission. Descriptive methods, Cox proportional hazards and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) were used to investigate the association between each frailty score and long-term survival up to 1 year, after adjusting for confounders including sex and baseline severity of illness on admission to ICU (Australia New Zealand risk-of-death, ANZROD). RESULTS: 7001 ICU patients with both frailty measures were analysed. The overall median (IQR) age was 63.7 (49.1-74.0) years; 59.5% (n = 4166) were male; the median (IQR) APACHE II score 14 (10-20). Almost half (46.7%, n = 3266) were mechanically ventilated. The hospital mortality was 9.5% (n = 642) and 1-year mortality was 14.4% (n = 1005). HFRS correlated weakly with CFS (Spearman's rho 0.13 (95% CI 0.10-0.15) and had a poor agreement (kappa = 0.12, 95% CI 0.10-0.15). Both frailty measures predicted 1-year survival after adjusting for confounders, CFS (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.21-1.31) and HFRS (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.15). The CFS had better discrimination of 1-year mortality than HFRS (AUROC 0.66 vs 0.63 p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Both HFRS and CFS independently predicted up to 1-year survival following an ICU admission with moderate discrimination. The CFS was a better predictor of 1-year survival than the HFRS.

Clinical and electroencephalography characteristics of 41 children with epileptic spasms onset after 1 year of age.

The incidence of epileptic spasms (ES) that begin after the first year of life is much lower than that before 1 year of age. The aim of this study was to identify clinical and electroencephalography (EEG) characteristics, etiologies, treatments, and prognoses in pediatric patients with ES onset after 1 year of age. Forty-one children were retrospectively identified in Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University between January 1, 2020 and December 1, 2021. ES onset after 1 year of age have diverse presentations. Although most occur in clusters, are symmetrical and flexional, and occur frequently during awakening, some are characterized as isolated and asymmetrical, have a tonic component, and can also occur during sleep. The hypsarrhythmia variants and focal or multifocal discharges occur alternately in the interictal period, and the focal spikes and slow waves predominated in the unilateral temporal or frontotemporal areas. These patients had diverse etiologies, including structural (51.2 % of patients) and genetic (22.0 %) ones, and 11 patients (26.8 %) had an unknown etiology. No patients in our study had an infectious or immune-mediated etiology. Forty-eight percent of patients responded to hydrocortisone and/or adrenocorticotropic hormone. The efficacy of antiepileptic drug therapy was lower in patients who did not receive concurrent steroid therapy. However, ES onset after 1 year of age caused by a tumor, brain malformation, or other focal lesions, may be cured by focal cortical resection despite a lack of clearly localized EEG surface anomalies. Delays in motor, language, and cognitive development, or behavioral problems were observed in all but three patients.