Lung cancer incidence rates in young women and men by state in the United States.

Previous studies reported higher lung cancer incidence in women than men among persons aged 35-54 years in the United States, a reversal of historically higher rates in men. We examined whether this pattern varies by state. Based on lung cancer incidence (2015-2019) data among adults aged 35-54 years from Cancer in North America database and historical cigarette smoking prevalence data (2004-2005) among adults 20-39 years from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, incidence rates in women were equal to or higher than rates in their male counterparts in 40 of 51 states, with statistically significant differences in 20 states (two-sided, p < .05). In contrast, current and ever smoking prevalence in women compared to men was statistically significantly lower (33 and 34 states, respectively) or similar. Furthermore, there was no association between differences in historical smoking prevalence and lung cancer incidence by sex. Lung cancer incidence rate is higher in young women than young men in most states and is unexplained by differences in smoking prevalence.

Global burden of 34 cancers among women in 2020 and projections to 2040: Population-based data from 185 countries/territories.

Globally women face inequality in cancer outcomes; for example, smaller improvements in life expectancy due to decreased cancer-related deaths than men (0.5 vs 0.8 years, 1981-2010). However, comprehensive global evidence on the burden of cancer among women (including by reproductive age spectrum) as well as disparities by region, remains limited. This study aimed to address these evidence gaps by considering 34 cancer types in 2020 and their projections for 2040. The cancer burden among women in 2020 was estimated using population-based data from 185 countries/territories sourced from GLOBOCAN. Mortality to Incidence Ratios (MIR), a proxy for survival, were estimated by dividing the age-standardised mortality rates by the age-standardised incidence rates. Demographic projections were performed to 2040. In 2020, there were an estimated 9.3 million cancer cases and 4.4 million cancer deaths globally. Projections showed an increase to 13.3 million (↑44%) and 7.1 million (↑60%) in 2040, respectively, with larger proportional increases in low- and middle-income countries. MIR among women was higher (poorer survival) in rare cancers and with increasing age. Countries with low Human Development Indexes (HDIs) had higher MIRs (69%) than countries with very high HDIs (30%). There was inequality in cancer incidence and mortality worldwide among women in 2020, which will further widen by 2040. Implementing cancer prevention efforts and providing basic cancer treatments by expanding universal health coverage through a human rights approach, expanding early screening opportunities and strengthening medical infrastructure are key to improving and ensuring equity in cancer control and outcomes.

Heterogeneity in the effect of type 2 diabetes on dementia incidence in a diverse cohort of Asian American and non-Latino White older adults.

Dementia incidence is lower among Asian Americans than among Whites, despite higher prevalence of type 2 diabetes, a well-known dementia risk factor. Determinants of dementia, including type 2 diabetes, have rarely been studied in Asian Americans. We followed 4846 Chinese, 4129 Filipino, 2784 Japanese, 820 South Asian, and 123 360 non-Latino White members of a California-based integrated health-care delivery system from 2002 to 2020. We estimated dementia incidence rates by race/ethnicity and type 2 diabetes status, and we fitted Cox proportional hazards and Aalen additive hazards models for the effect of type 2 diabetes (assessed 5 years before baseline) on age of dementia diagnosis, controlling for sex/gender, educational attainment, nativity, height, race/ethnicity, and a race/ethnicity × diabetes interaction. Type 2 diabetes was associated with higher dementia incidence in Whites (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.46; 95% CI, 1.40-1.52). Compared with Whites, the estimated effect of diabetes was larger in South Asians (HR = 2.26; 95% CI, 1.48-3.44), slightly smaller in Chinese (HR = 1.32; 95% CI, 1.08-1.62) and Filipino (HR = 1.31; 95% CI, 1.08-1.60) individuals, and similar in Japanese individuals (HR = 1.44; 95% CI, 1.15-1.81). Heterogeneity in this association across Asian subgroups may be related to type 2 diabetes severity. Understanding this heterogeneity may inform prevention strategies to prevent dementia for all racial and ethnic groups.

Burden of 30 cancers among men: Global statistics in 2022 and projections for 2050 using population-based estimates.

BACKGROUND: Men exhibit higher prevalence of modifiable risk factors, such as smoking and alcohol consumption, leading to greater cancer incidence and lower survival rates. Comprehensive evidence on global cancer burden among men, including disparities by age group and country, is sparse. To address this, the authors analyzed 30 cancer types among men in 2022, with projections estimated for 2050. METHODS: The 2022 GLOBOCAN estimates were used to describe cancer statistics for men in 185 countries/territories worldwide. Mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs) were calculated by dividing age-standardized mortality rates by incidence rates. RESULTS: In 2022, a high MIR (indicating poor survival) was observed among older men (aged 65 years and older; 61%) for rare cancer types (pancreatic cancer, 91%) and in countries with low a Human Development Index (HDI; 74%). Between 2022 and 2050, cancer cases are projected to increase from 10.3 million to 19 million (≥84%). Deaths are projected to increase from 5.4 million to 10.5 million (≥93%), with a greater than two-fold increase among men aged 65 years and older (≥117%) and for low-HDI and medium-HDI countries/territories (≥160%). Cancer cases and deaths are projected to increase among working-age groups (≥39%) and very-high-HDI countries/territories (≥50%). CONCLUSIONS: Substantial disparities in cancer cases and deaths were observed among men in 2022, and these are projected to widen by 2050. Strengthening health infrastructure, enhancing workforce quality and access, fostering national and international collaborations, and promoting universal health coverage are crucial to reducing cancer disparities and ensuring cancer equity among men globally.

Increased mortality in acromegaly is due to vascular and respiratory disease and is normalised by control of GH levels-A retrospective analysis from the UK Acromegaly Register 1970-2016.

CONTEXT: Epidemiological studies involving patients with acromegaly have yielded conflicting results regarding cancer incidence and causes of mortality in relation to control of growth hormone (GH) excess. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this retrospective cohort study is to clarify these questions and identify goals for treatment and monitoring patients. METHODS: We studied 1845 subjects from the UK Acromegaly Register (1970-2016), obtaining cancer standardised incidence rates (SIR) and all causes standardised mortality rates (SMR) from UK Office for National Statistics, to determine the relationship between causes of mortality-age at diagnosis, duration of disease, post-treatment and mean GH levels. RESULTS: We found an increased incidence of all cancers (SIR, 1.38; 95% CI: 1.06-1.33, p < .001), but no increase in incidence of female breast, thyroid, colon cancer or any measure of cancer mortality. All-cause mortality rates were increased (SMR, 1.35; 95% CI: 1.24-1.46, p < .001), as were those due to vascular and respiratory diseases. All-cause, all cancer and cardiovascular deaths were highest in the first 5 years following diagnosis. We found a positive association between post-treatment and mean treatment GH levels and all-cause mortality (p < .001 and p < .001), which normalised with posttreatment GH levels of <1.0 µg/L or meantreatment GH levels of <2.5 µg/L. CONCLUSION: Acromegaly is associated with increased incidence of all cancers but not thyroid or colon cancer and no increase in cancer mortality. Excess mortality is due to vascular and respiratory disease. The risk is highest in the first 5 years following diagnosis and is mitigated by normalising GH levels.

Postmenopausal bleeding after COVID-19 vaccination.

BACKGROUND: There is a growing literature base regarding menstrual changes following COVID-19 vaccination among premenopausal people. However, relatively little is known about uterine bleeding in postmenopausal people following COVID-19 vaccination. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine trends in incident postmenopausal bleeding diagnoses over time before and after COVID-19 vaccine introduction, and to describe cases of new-onset postmenopausal bleeding after COVID-19 vaccination. STUDY DESIGN: For postmenopausal bleeding incidence calculations, monthly population-level cohorts consisted of female Kaiser Permanente Northwest members aged ≥45 years. Those diagnosed with incident postmenopausal bleeding in the electronic medical record were included in monthly numerators. Members with preexisting postmenopausal bleeding or abnormal uterine bleeding, or who were at increased risk of bleeding due to other health conditions, were excluded from monthly calculations. We used segmented regression analysis to estimate changes in the incidence of postmenopausal bleeding diagnoses from 2018 through 2021 in Kaiser Permanente Northwest members meeting the inclusion criteria, stratified by COVID-19 vaccination status in 2021. In addition, we identified all members with ≥1 COVID-19 vaccination between December 14, 2020 and August 14, 2021, who had an incident postmenopausal bleeding diagnosis within 60 days of vaccination. COVID-19 vaccination, diagnostic procedures, and presumed bleeding etiology were assessed through chart review and described. A temporal scan statistic was run on all cases without clear bleeding etiology. RESULTS: In a population of 75,530 to 82,693 individuals per month, there was no statistically significant difference in the rate of incident postmenopausal bleeding diagnoses before and after COVID-19 vaccine introduction (P=.59). A total of 104 individuals had incident postmenopausal bleeding diagnosed within 60 days following COVID-19 vaccination; 76% of cases (79/104) were confirmed as postvaccination postmenopausal bleeding after chart review. Median time from vaccination to bleeding onset was 21 days (range: 2-54 days). Among the 56 postmenopausal bleeding cases with a provider-attributed etiology, the common causes of bleeding were uterine or cervical lesions (50% [28/56]), hormone replacement therapy (13% [7/56]), and proliferative endometrium (13% [7/56]). Among the 23 cases without a clear etiology, there was no statistically significant clustering of postmenopausal bleeding onset following vaccination. CONCLUSION: Within this integrated health system, introduction of COVID-19 vaccines was not associated with an increase in incident postmenopausal bleeding diagnoses. Diagnosis of postmenopausal bleeding in the 60 days following receipt of a COVID-19 vaccination was rare.

Abnormal uterine bleeding diagnoses and care following COVID-19 vaccination.

BACKGROUND: There is evidence suggesting that COVID-19 vaccination may be associated with small, transitory effects on uterine bleeding, possibly including menstrual timing, flow, and duration, in some individuals. However, changes in health care seeking, diagnosis, and workup for abnormal uterine bleeding in the COVID-19 vaccine era are less clear. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on incident abnormal uterine bleeding diagnosis and diagnostic evaluation in a large integrated health system. STUDY DESIGN: Using segmented regression, we assessed whether the availability of COVID-19 vaccines was associated with changes in monthly, population-based rates of incident abnormal uterine bleeding diagnoses relative to the prepandemic period in health system members aged 16 to 44 years who were not menopausal. We also compared clinical and demographic characteristics of patients diagnosed with incident abnormal uterine bleeding between December 2020 and October 13, 2021 by vaccination status (never vaccinated, vaccinated in the 60 days before diagnosis, vaccinated >60 days before diagnosis). Furthermore, we conducted detailed chart review of patients diagnosed with abnormal uterine bleeding within 1 to 60 days of COVID-19 vaccination in the same time period. RESULTS: In monthly populations ranging from 79,000 to 85,000 female health system members, incidence of abnormal uterine bleeding diagnosis per 100,000 person-days ranged from 8.97 to 19.19. There was no significant change in the level or trend in the incidence of abnormal uterine bleeding diagnoses between the prepandemic (January 2019-January 2020) and post-COVID-19 vaccine (December 2020-December 2021) periods. A comparison of clinical characteristics of 2717 abnormal uterine bleeding cases by vaccination status suggested that abnormal bleeding among recently vaccinated patients was similar or less severe than abnormal bleeding among patients who had never been vaccinated or those vaccinated >60 days before. There were also significant differences in age and race of patients with incident abnormal uterine bleeding diagnoses by vaccination status (Ps<.02). Never-vaccinated patients were the youngest and those vaccinated >60 days before were the oldest. The proportion of patients who were Black/African American was highest among never-vaccinated patients, and the proportion of Asian patients was higher among vaccinated patients. Chart review of 114 confirmed postvaccination abnormal uterine bleeding cases diagnosed from December 2020 through October 13, 2021 found that the most common symptoms reported were changes in timing, duration, and volume of bleeding. Approximately one-third of cases received no diagnostic workup; 57% had no etiology for the bleeding documented in the electronic health record. In 12% of cases, the patient mentioned or asked about a possible link between their bleeding and their recent COVID-19 vaccine. CONCLUSION: The availability of COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with a change in incidence of medically attended abnormal uterine bleeding in our population of over 79,000 female patients of reproductive age. In addition, among 2717 patients with abnormal uterine bleeding diagnoses in the period following COVID-19 vaccine availability, receipt of the vaccine was not associated with greater bleeding severity.

The burden of rare cancers in the United States.

There are limited published data on the burden of rare cancers in the United States. By using data from the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, the authors provide information on incidence rates, stage at diagnosis, and survival for more than 100 rare cancers (defined as an incidence of fewer than 6 cases per 100,000 individuals per year) in the United States. Overall, approximately 20% of patients with cancer in the United States are diagnosed with a rare cancer. Rare cancers make up a larger proportion of cancers diagnosed in Hispanic (24%) and Asian/Pacific Islander (22%) patients compared with non-Hispanic blacks (20%) and non-Hispanic whites (19%). More than two-thirds (71%) of cancers occurring in children and adolescents are rare cancers compared with less than 20% of cancers diagnosed in patients aged 65 years and older. Among solid tumors, 59% of rare cancers are diagnosed at regional or distant stages compared with 45% of common cancers. In part because of this stage distribution, 5-year relative survival is poorer for patients with a rare cancer compared with those diagnosed with a common cancer among both males (55% vs 75%) and females (60% vs 74%). However, 5-year relative survival is substantially higher for children and adolescents diagnosed with a rare cancer (82%) than for adults (46% for ages 65-79 years). Continued efforts are needed to develop interventions for prevention, early detection, and treatment to reduce the burden of rare cancers. Such discoveries can often advance knowledge for all cancers. CA Cancer J Clin 2017. © 2017 American Cancer Society. CA Cancer J Clin 2017;67:261-272. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Incidence rates of childhood asthma with recurrent exacerbations in the US Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) program.

BACKGROUND: Descriptive epidemiological data on incidence rates (IRs) of asthma with recurrent exacerbations (ARE) are sparse. OBJECTIVES: This study hypothesized that IRs for ARE would vary by time, geography, age, and race and ethnicity, irrespective of parental asthma history. METHODS: The investigators leveraged data from 17,246 children born after 1990 enrolled in 59 US with 1 Puerto Rican cohort in the Environmental Influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) consortium to estimate IRs for ARE. RESULTS: The overall crude IR for ARE was 6.07 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 5.63-6.51) and was highest for children aged 2-4 years, for Hispanic Black and non-Hispanic Black children, and for those with a parental history of asthma. ARE IRs were higher for 2- to 4-year-olds in each race and ethnicity category and for both sexes. Multivariable analysis confirmed higher adjusted ARE IRs (aIRRs) for children born 2000-2009 compared with those born 1990-1999 and 2010-2017, 2-4 versus 10-19 years old (aIRR = 15.36; 95% CI: 12.09-19.52), and for males versus females (aIRR = 1.34; 95% CI 1.16-1.55). Black children (non-Hispanic and Hispanic) had higher rates than non-Hispanic White children (aIRR = 2.51; 95% CI 2.10-2.99; and aIRR = 2.04; 95% CI: 1.22-3.39, respectively). Children born in the Midwest, Northeast and South had higher rates than those born in the West (P < .01 for each comparison). Children with a parental history of asthma had rates nearly 3 times higher than those without such history (aIRR = 2.90; 95% CI: 2.43-3.46). CONCLUSIONS: Factors associated with time, geography, age, race and ethnicity, sex, and parental history appear to influence the inception of ARE among children and adolescents.

[Cancer figures in Italy: an overview]. / Panoramica sui numeri del cancro in Italia.

BACKGROUND: the description of the geographical distribution and temporal trends of cancer is relevant for prevention and improving the quality of care. This is primarily achieved through the incidence measures derived from population cancer registries (CRs). In recent years, in Italy there has been a prevalence of 'real-time' estimates and projections, although based on rather dated data. Given the significant increase in registration activity and still in absence of a national cancer registry network, the recent publication of Volume 12 of Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) provides a valuable opportunity to update cancer incidence estimates in Italy and to provide national and macroarea reference estimates. OBJECTIVES: to explore the pattern of cancer in Italy by reviewing and reorganizing the most recent data from cancer registries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: data from Italian cancer registries included in CI5 for the years 2013-2017 were obtained. Populations were verified, corrected for errors, and normalized to Italian National census reconstruction. The completeness of CR data was assessed using the mortality/incidence ratio applied to potential outlier data. Age-specific rates, Age standardized rates (ASRs), and truncated rates for adults (35-64 years) were calculated for 79 different neoplasms. Analyses were performed for individual CRs and macroareas. Temporal comparisons were made for 23 CRs with data from 2008-2012. RESULTS: the observed incidence rates show extreme heterogeneity. Among males, the overall ASR ranges from 584 per 100,000 in the province of Reggio Calabria to 809.9 per 100,000 in the province of Sondrio. Among women, ASR is highest in Emilia-Romagna (540.5) and lowest in the province of Avellino (409.9). The gradient with decreasing rates from North to South is clearly visible only for female breast cancer. Higher rates of lung cancer are observed for the city of Naples in both genders. In adult males (35-64 years), ASRs of lung cancer are maximum in the provinces of Caserta and Naples, where they are more than double the ASRs observed in the Veneto Region. In general, a significant decline in male ASRs is observed in Northern Italy compared to the previous five-year period. A significant part of this trend is influenced by lung cancer that is significantly decreasing throughout the Centre-North among men and substantially increasing among women. The database and tables with details of all calculated indicators are provided as supplementary material. CONCLUSIONS: the analysis has shown the importance of a review of real CR data and, in general, working with real data to not only develop specific estimates of cancers in Italy, but also to share reference rates and basic data for further analysis. The present review has also revealed critical issues with data submitted to the IARC. The comparison and verification of data quality through control and audit processes must represent a concrete operational perspective of the national cancer registry network. From the perspective of cancer epidemiology, important indications emerge regarding the distribution of cancers that can fuel aetiological research, as well as the planning of prevention and care activities. The data also show that it is advisable to separate the provinces of Caserta and Naples from the South in estimation and projection models. The comparison and verification of data quality through control and audit processes must represent a concrete operational perspective of the national cancer registry network.

Streptococcus dysgalactiae Bloodstream Infections, Norway, 1999-2021.

Streptococcus dysgalactiae increasingly is recognized as a pathogen of concern for human health. However, longitudinal surveillance data describing temporal trends of S. dysgalactiae are scarce. We retrospectively identified all ß-hemolytic streptococcal bloodstream infections reported in Bergen, in western Norway, during 1999-2021. To explore S. dysgalactiae disease burden in a broader context, we mapped the incidence of all microbial species causing bloodstream infections during 2012-2021. We found S. dysgalactiae incidence rates substantially increased during the study period; by 2021, S. dysgalactiae was the fifth most common pathogen causing bloodstream infections in our region. We noted genotypic shifts and found that the rising trend was related in part to the introduction and expansion of the stG62647 emm-type. S. dysgalactiae is among the most common causes of bloodstream infections in western Norway, and increased surveillance and unambiguous species identification are needed to monitor the disease burden attributable to this pathogen.

Trends in prostate cancer incidence among Black men in the Caribbean and the United States.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer incidence is highest for Black men of the African diaspora in the United States and Caribbean. Recent changes in recommendations for prostate cancer screening have been shown to decrease overall prostate cancer incidence and increase the likelihood of late stage disease. However, it is unclear how trends in prostate cancer characteristics among high risk Black men differ by geographic region during the changes in screening recommendations. METHODS: In this study, we used population-based prostate cancer registry data to describe age-adjusted prostate cancer incidence trends from 2008 to 2015 among Black men from six geographic regions. We obtained data on incident Black prostate cancer patients from six cancer registries (in the United States: Florida, Alabama, Pennsylvania, and New York; and in the Caribbean: Guadeloupe and Martinique). After age standardization, we used descriptive analyses to compare the demographics and tumor characteristics by cancer registry site. The Joinpoint regression program was used to compare the trends in incidence by site. RESULTS: A total of 59,246 men were analyzed. We found the highest incidence rates (per 100,000) for prostate cancer in the Caribbean countries (181.99 in Martinique and 176.62 in Guadeloupe) and New York state (178.74). Incidence trends decreased significantly over time at all sites except Martinique, which also showed significantly increasing rates of late stage (III/IV) and Gleason score 7+ tumors. CONCLUSIONS: We observed significant differences in prostate cancer incidence trends among Black men after major changes prostate screening recommendations. Future studies will examine the factors that differentially influence prostate cancer trends among the African diaspora.

Following Birth Hospitalization: Invasive Bacterial Infections in Preterm Infants Aged 7-90 Days.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence rate of invasive bacterial infections in preterm infants and compare invasive bacterial infection rates and pathogens between preterm and full-term infants at age 7-90 days. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study of the incidence rate of invasive bacterial infections among all infants born at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), with blood and cerebrospinal fluid cultures collected between 7 and 90 days of chronological age from outpatient clinics, from emergency departments, and in the first 24 hours of hospitalization presenting for care between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2017. Incidence rates of invasive bacterial infection by chronological age and postmenstrual age (PMA) and pathogens were compared between preterm and full-term infants. RESULTS: Between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2017, a total of 479 729 infants were born at KPNC, including 440 070 full-term infants and 39 659 preterm infants. There were 283 cases of bacteremia in 282 infants. The incidence rate of invasive bacterial infection was significantly higher for preterm infants compared with full-term infants. The highest incidence rates of invasive bacterial infection were in preterm infants at chronological age 7-28 days and/or 37-39 weeks PMA. There was a trend toward lower rates of invasive bacterial infection with increasing PMA in preterm infants aged 61-90 days. Preterm infants aged 29-60 days or at ≥40 weeks PMA and those aged 61-90 days or at ≥43 weeks PMA had a rate of invasive bacterial infection equivalent to the overall rate seen in full-term infants of the same chronological age group. The distribution of pathogens causing bacteremia and meningitis did not differ between preterm and full-term infants. CONCLUSION: PMA and chronological age together were more useful than either alone in informing the incidence rate of invasive bacterial infection in preterm infants during the first 90 days of life.

Lower incidence of hip fractures among elderly Ethiopian immigrants to Israel: first assessment from the Israel National Trauma Registry (INTR) 2011-2020.

The incidence hip fractures (HF) among Ethiopian immigrants is unknown. In Israel, the incidence of HF among Ethiopian immigrants aged ≥ 50 years between 2011 and 2020 was lower than in the general Israeli population, but possibly on the rise. These data should be confirmed in other countries where the Ethiopian diaspora has settled. PURPOSE: The incidence of osteoporotic fractures in the aging Ethiopian population that immigrated to Western countries has not been reported. This study sought to provide a first assessment of the incidence of hip fractures in Ethiopian immigrants in Israel, as a proxy for osteoporosis in this population. METHODS: This is an epidemiologic study of the incidence of hip fractures (HF) in people aged ≥ 50 years in Israel, between 2011 and 2020. Data were extracted from the Israel National Trauma Registry (INTR). Annual age-adjusted HF incidence rates (IR), and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) among Ethiopian-born (EB) relative to non-EB subjects (others) were computed. RESULTS: During the study period, among subjects age ≥ 50 in the INTR, only 20.1% of the EB suffered a HF, in contrast to 32.3% of subjects from other origins (P < 0.0001). Although EB subjects were generally younger than their non-EB counterparts, the age at which they sustained a HF was similar: 80.45 ± 11.7 years for EB vs. 79.44 ± 10.32 years, P = 0.19. EB men were more likely to sustain a HF, as they represented 41.8% of all HF in their respective group, in comparison with 33.6% for others (P = 0.02). Annual IR of HF were lower for EB subjects throughout the study. Despite an initial rise in the SIR, these were also lower for most of the period. CONCLUSIONS: In Israel, EB subjects ≥ 50 years still enjoy protection from HF. Our data require confirmation from other Western countries where the Ethiopian diaspora is aging. If a secular upward trend is observed, contributing risk factors should be identified to enable preventative measures.

A registration trend in eyelid skin cancers and associated risk factors in Iran, 2005-2016.

BACKGROUND: Eyelid skin cancers are the most prevalent ophthalmic malignancies. This study aimed to evaluate the association of the Human Development Index (HDI) and lifestyle risk factors with eyelid skin cancers in Iran. METHODS: This ecological study analyzed the data collected from the Iranian National Population-based Cancer Registry (2005-2016). The data on provincial-level eyelid skin cancer risk factors were obtained from national sources. The association between provincial HDI and lifestyle risk factors with the prevalence of eyelid skin cancers was assessed. RESULTS: The mean 12-year age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of eyelid skin cancers was 16.22 per 100,000 (9,104 cases). The overall ASIR showed an upward trend with an estimated annual average increase of 0.006 per year. There were positive correlations between the prevalence of overall eyelid skin cancers and provincial HDI, smoking, and obesity (r = 0.32, 0.42, and 0.37, respectively). In multivariate analysis, obesity/overweight remained a positive predictor for high prevalence of total eyelid skin cancers (OR = 1.97, 95%CI = 1.08-3.58, P = 0.026), carcinoma (2.10, 1.15-3.83, P = 0.015), and basal cell carcinoma (1.48, 0.99-2.20, P = 0.054). CONCLUSIONS: An increasing trend in ASIR of eyelid skin cancers was observed in more than a decade in Iran which was positively associated with provincial HDI and prevalence of obesity. The findings of the study highlight the importance of promotional programs for preventing obesity/overweight and appropriate allocation of screening facilities based on the HDI level.

Climate change and malaria: some recent trends of malaria incidence rates and average annual temperature in selected sub-Saharan African countries from 2000 to 2018.

BACKGROUND: Malaria is still a disease of massive burden in Africa, also influenced by climate change. The fluctuations and trends of the temperature and precipitation are well-known determinant factors influencing the disease's vectors and incidence rates. This study provides a concise account of malaria trends. It describes the association between average temperature and malaria incidence rates (IR) in nine sub-Saharan African countries: Nigeria, Ethiopia, South Africa, Kenya, Uganda, Ghana, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe. The incidence of malaria can vary both in areas where the disease is already present, and in regions where it is present in low numbers or absent. The increased vulnerability to the disease under increasing average temperatures and humidity is due to the new optimal level for vector breeding in areas where vector populations and transmission are low, and populations are sensitive due to low acquired immunity. METHODS: A second source trend analysis was carried out of malaria cases and incidence rates (the number of new malaria cases per 1000 population at risk per year) with data from the World Health Organization (WHO) and average annual mean temperature from 2000 to 2018 from the World Bank's Climate Change Knowledge Portal (CCKP). Additionally, descriptive epidemiological methods were used to describe the development and trends in the selected countries. Furthermore, MS Excel was chosen for data analysis and visualization. RESULTS: Findings obtained from this article align with the recent literature, highlighting a declining trend (20-80%) of malaria IR (incidence rate) from 2000 to 2018. However, malaria IR varies considerably, with high values in Uganda, Mozambique, Nigeria and Zambia, moderate values in Ghana, Zimbabwe, and Kenya, and low values in South Africa and Ethiopia in 2018. Evidence suggests varying IRs after average temperature fluctuations in several countries (e.g., Zimbabwe, Ethiopia). Also, an inverse temperature-IR relationship occurs, the sharp decrease of IR during 2012-2014 and 2000-2003, respectively, occurred with increasing average temperatures in Ghana and Nigeria. The decreasing trends and fluctuations, partly accompanying the temperature, should result from the intervention programmes and rainfall variability. The vulnerability and changing climate could arrest the recent trends of falling IR. CONCLUSION: Thus, malaria is still a crucial public health issue in sub-Saharan Africa, although a robust decreasing IR occurred in most studied countries.

Incidence and risk outcomes of second primary malignancy of patients with post-operative colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: This study aimed to investigate the incidence and the risk factors of incidence for second primary malignancies (SPMs) onset among survivors diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC). METHODS: A large population-based cohort study was performed. Data of patients diagnosed with CRC was identified and extracted from 8 cancer registries of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from January 1990 to December 2017. The outcome of interest was percentage and common sites of SPM onset after primary CRC diagnosis. The cumulative incidence and standardize incidence rates (SIRs) were also reported. Afterwards, we estimated sub-distribution hazards ratios (SHRs) and relative risks (RRs) for SPM occurrence using multivariable competing-risk and Poisson regression models, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 152,402 patients with CRC were included to analyze. Overall, 23,816 patients of all CRC survivors (15.6%) were reported SPM occurrence. The highest proportion of SPMs development after primary CRC diagnosis was second CRC, followed by lung and bronchus cancer among all survivors. Also, CRC survivors were more susceptible to develop second gastrointestinal cancers (GICs). Besides, pelvic cancers were analyzed with a relative high proportion among patients who received RT in comparison to those without RT. The cumulative incidence of all SPMs onset was 22.16% (95% CI: 21.82-22.49%) after near 30-year follow-up. Several factors including older age, male, married status, and localized stage of CRC were related to the high risk of SPMs onset. In treatment-specific analyses, RT was related to a higher cumulative incidence of SPMs occurrence (all SPMs: 14.08% vs. 8.72%; GICs: 2.67% vs. 2.04%; CRC: 1.01% vs. 1.57%; all p < 0.01). Furthermore, the increased risk of SPMs onset was found among patients who received RT than patients within the NRT group (SHR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.32-1.71), p < 0.01; RR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.45-1.79, p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The present study described the incidence pattern of SPM among CRC survivors and identified the risk factors of the SPM onset. RT treatment for patients diagnosed with CRC may increase the risk of SPMs occurrence. The findings suggest the need for long-term follow-up surveillance for these patients.

Incidence rates of treated mental disorders before and during the COVID-19 pandemic-a nationwide study comparing trends in the period 2015 to 2021.

BACKGROUND: There is a concern that exposure to psychosocial stressors during the COVID-19 pandemic may have led to a higher incidence of mental disorders. Thus, this study aimed to compare trends in incidence rates of depressive disorder, anxiety disorders, obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD), post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and eating disorders in primary- and specialist health care before (2015-2019) and during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-2021). METHODS: We used aggregated population registry data to calculate incidence rates of mental disorders from primary- (The Norwegian Control and Payment of Health Reimbursements Registry (KUHR)) and specialist (The Norwegian Patient Registry (NPR)) health care. The analyses included all Norwegian residents aged 18-65 during the study period. Incident cases were defined as having no previous registration with the same mental disorder in KUHR (from 2006) or NPR (from 2008). We used linear prediction models and mean models to compare incidence rates and test trends before and during the pandemic. RESULTS: During the pandemic, the incidence rates among women were higher or as predicted for OCD in specialist health care and for eating disorders in both primary- and specialist health care. These findings were strongest among women aged 18-24 years. Incidence rates for depression and phobia/OCD among both genders in primary health care and phobic anxiety disorders among both genders in specialist health care were lower or as predicted. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic may have led to more women needing treatment for OCD and eating disorders in the Norwegian population. The decreased incidence rates for some disorders might indicate that some individuals either avoided seeking help or had improved mental health during the pandemic.

Retrospective analysis of the potential use of virtual control groups in preclinical toxicity assessment using the eTOX database.

Virtual Control Groups (VCGs) based on Historical Control Data (HCD) in preclinical toxicity testing have the potential to reduce animal usage. As a case study we retrospectively analyzed the impact of replacing Concurrent Control Groups (CCGs) with VCGs on the treatment-relatedness of 28 selected histopathological findings reported in either rat or dog in the eTOX database. We developed a novel methodology whereby statistical predictions of treatment-relatedness using either CCGs or VCGs of varying covariate similarity to CCGs were compared to designations from original toxicologist reports; and changes in agreement were used to quantify changes in study outcomes. Generally, the best agreement was achieved when CCGs were replaced with VCGs with the highest level of similarity; the same species, strain, sex, administration route, and vehicle. For example, balanced accuracies for rat findings were 0.704 (predictions based on CCGs) vs. 0.702 (predictions based on VCGs). Moreover, we identified covariates which resulted in poorer identification of treatment-relatedness. This was related to an increasing incidence rate divergence in HCD relative to CCGs. Future databases which collect data at the individual animal level including study details such as animal age and testing facility are required to build adequate VCGs to accurately identify treatment-related effects.

[Global liver cancer incidence and mortality and future trends from 2000 to 2020: GLOBOCAN data analysis].

Objective: To compare the geographical differences and time trends of liver cancer incidence and mortality in different regions around the world so as to predict the future burden of liver cancer. Methods: The incidence and mortality data of liver cancer in different Human Development Index (HDI) countries from 2000 to 2020 were collected from the GLOBOCAN 2020 database. The joinpoint model and annual percent change (APC) were used to analyze the liver cancer global incidence and mortality as well as future epidemic trends from 2000 to 2020. Results: ASMR for male liver cancer was increased from 8.0/100, 000 in 2000 to 7.1/100,000 in 2015 (APC = -0.7, 95%CI: -1.2 ~ -0.3, P = 0.002), while ASMR for female liver cancer was increased from 3.0/100, 000 in 2000 to 2.8/100, 000 in 2015 (APC = -0.5, 95%CI: -0.8 ~ -0.2, P < 0.001). The ratio of male to female ASMR was 2.67:1 in 2000 and 2.51:1 in 2015, indicating a slight narrowing of the difference in mortality between men and women. In 2020, the global ASIR and ASMR for liver cancer were 9.5/100 000 and 8.7/100 000, respectively. Male ASIR and ASMR (14.1/100, 000 and 12.9/100, 000, respectively) were 2 ~ 3 times higher than females (5.2/100, 000 and 4.8/100, 000, respectively). There were significant differences between ASIR and ASMR in different HDI countries and regions (P(ASIR) = 0.008, P(ASMR) < 0.001), and the distributions of ASMR and ASIR were very similar. New cases and deaths were expected to increase by 58.6% (143,6744) and 60.9% (133, 5 375) in 2040, with the number of cases and deaths increasing by 39,7003 and 37,4208 in Asia, respectively. Conclusion: ASMR due to liver cancer worldwide has had a downward trend between 2000 and 2015. However, the latest epidemiological status and predictions of liver cancer in 2020 indicate that prevention and control will still be a major challenge globally in the next 20 years.