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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(21): e2313797121, 2024 May 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709948

RESUMO

During 2010 to 2020, Northeast Pacific (NEP) sea surface temperature (SST) experienced the warmest decade ever recorded, manifested in several extreme marine heatwaves, referred to as "warm blob" events, which severely affect marine ecosystems and extreme weather along the west coast of North America. While year-to-year internal climate variability has been suggested as a cause of individual events, the causes of the continuous dramatic NEP SST warming remain elusive. Here, we show that other than the greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing, rapid aerosol abatement in China over the period likely plays an important role. Anomalous tropospheric warming induced by declining aerosols in China generated atmospheric teleconnections from East Asia to the NEP, featuring an intensified and southward-shifted Aleutian Low. The associated atmospheric circulation anomaly weakens the climatological westerlies in the NEP and warms the SST there by suppressing the evaporative cooling. The aerosol-induced mean warming of the NEP SST, along with internal climate variability and the GHG-induced warming, made the warm blob events more frequent and intense during 2010 to 2020. As anthropogenic aerosol emissions continue to decrease, there is likely to be an increase in NEP warm blob events, disproportionately large beyond the direct radiative effects.

2.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(5): e2315492121, 2024 Jan 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38252841

RESUMO

The Earth's radiative cooling is a key driver of climate. Determining how it is affected by greenhouse gas concentration is a core question in climate-change sciences. Due to the complexity of radiative transfer processes, current practices to estimate this cooling require the development and use of a suite of radiative transfer models whose accuracy diminishes as we move from local, instantaneous estimates to global estimates over the whole globe and over long periods of time (decades). Here, we show that recent advances in nonlinear Monte Carlo methods allow a paradigm shift: a completely unbiased estimate of the Earth's infrared cooling to space can be produced using a single model, integrating the most refined spectroscopic models of molecular gas energy transitions over a global scale and over years, all at a very low computational cost (a few seconds).

3.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(27): e2400230121, 2024 Jul 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38913902

RESUMO

Climate influences near-surface biogeochemical processes and thereby determines the partitioning of carbon dioxide (CO2) in shale, and yet the controls on carbon (C) weathering fluxes remain poorly constrained. Using a dataset that characterizes biogeochemical responses to climate forcing in shale regolith, we implement a numerical model that describes the effects of water infiltration events, gas exchange, and temperature fluctuations on soil respiration and mineral weathering at a seasonal timescale. Our modeling approach allows us to quantitatively disentangle the controls of transient climate forcing and biogeochemical mechanisms on C partitioning. We find that ~3% of soil CO2 (1.02 mol C/m2/y) is exported to the subsurface during large infiltration events. Here, net atmospheric CO2 drawdown primarily occurs during spring snowmelt, governs the aqueous C exports (61%), and exceeds the CO2 flux generated by pyrite and petrogenic organic matter oxidation (~0.2 mol C/m2/y). We show that shale CO2 consumption results from the temporal coupling between soil microbial respiration and carbonate weathering. This coupling is driven by the impacts of hydrologic fluctuations on fresh organic matter availability and CO2 transport to the weathering front. Diffusion-limited transport of gases under transient hydrological conditions exerts an important control on CO2(g) egress patterns and thus must be considered when inferring soil CO2 drawdown from the gas phase composition. Our findings emphasize the importance of seasonal climate forcing in shaping the net contribution of shale weathering to terrestrial C fluxes and suggest that warmer conditions could reduce the potential for shale weathering to act as a CO2 sink.

4.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(28): e2204761119, 2022 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35867751

RESUMO

It is established that changes in sea level influence melt production at midocean ridges, but whether changes in melt production influence the pattern of bathymetry flanking midocean ridges has been debated on both theoretical and empirical grounds. To explore the dynamics that may give rise to a sea-level influence on bathymetry, we simulate abyssal hills using a faulting model with periodic variations in melt supply. For 100-ky melt-supply cycles, model results show that faults initiate during periods of amagmatic spreading at half-rates >2.3 cm/y and for 41-ky melt-supply cycles at half-rates >3.8 cm/y. Analysis of bathymetry across 17 midocean ridge regions shows characteristic wavelengths that closely align with the predictions from the faulting model. At intermediate-spreading ridges (half-rates >2.3 cm/y and [Formula: see text]3.8 cm/y) abyssal hill spacing increases with spreading rate at 0.99 km/(cm/y) or 99 ky (n [Formula: see text] 12; 95% CI, 87 to 110 ky), and at fast-spreading ridges (half-rates >3.8 cm/y) spacing increases at 38 ky (n [Formula: see text] 5; 95% CI, 29 to 47 ky). Including previously published analyses of abyssal-hill spacing gives a more precise alignment with the primary periods of Pleistocene sea-level variability. Furthermore, analysis of bathymetry from fast-spreading ridges shows a highly statistically significant spectral peak (P < 0.01) at the 1/(41-ky) period of Earth's variations in axial tilt. Faulting models and observations both support a linkage between glacially induced sea-level change and the fabric of the sea floor over the late Pleistocene.

5.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(46): e2210481119, 2022 Nov 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36343255

RESUMO

How clouds respond to anthropogenic sulfate aerosols is one of the largest sources of uncertainty in the radiative forcing of climate over the industrial era. This uncertainty limits our ability to predict equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)-the equilibrium global warming following a doubling of atmospheric CO2. Here, we use satellite observations to quantify relationships between sulfate aerosols and low-level clouds while carefully controlling for meteorology. We then combine the relationships with estimates of the change in sulfate concentration since about 1850 to constrain the associated radiative forcing. We estimate that the cloud-mediated radiative forcing from anthropogenic sulfate aerosols is [Formula: see text] W m-2 over the global ocean (95% confidence). This constraint implies that ECS is likely between 2.9 and 4.5 K (66% confidence). Our results indicate that aerosol forcing is less uncertain and ECS is probably larger than the ranges proposed by recent climate assessments.


Assuntos
Clima , Meteorologia , Aerossóis , Sulfatos , Oceanos e Mares
6.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(38): e2200890119, 2022 09 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36095203

RESUMO

Recent studies have argued that global warming is responsible for a wavier jet stream, thereby driving midlatitude extreme flooding and drought. Polar amplification-the relative enhancement of high-latitude temperatures under global warming-is argued to be the principal climate state driving midlatitude extremes. Namely, the decreased meridional temperature gradient suppresses the mean zonal winds, leading to wavier midlatitude jets. However, although observations are consistent with such a linkage, a detailed dynamical mechanism is still debated. Here, we argue that the Northern Hemisphere land-sea thermal forcing contrast that underlies zonally asymmetric forcing drives a response in the planetary geostrophic motion, which provides balanced mean fields for synoptic eddies in midlatitudes and thus for wavier jet streams. We show that when the barotropic zonal mean wind U is smaller than a threshold, proportional to the ß-plane effect and dry static stability, the flow field exhibits a dramatic transition from a response confined near the surface to one reaching the upper atmosphere. As global warming enhances polar amplification, the midlatitude jet stream intensity is suppressed. The confluence of these effects leads to wavier jet streams.


Assuntos
Secas , Inundações , Aquecimento Global , Vento , Atmosfera , Clima
7.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(22): e2123536119, 2022 05 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35605122

RESUMO

The ongoing and projected impacts from human-induced climate change highlight the need for mitigation approaches to limit warming in both the near term (<2050) and the long term (>2050). We clarify the role of non-CO2 greenhouse gases and aerosols in the context of near-term and long-term climate mitigation, as well as the net effect of decarbonization strategies targeting fossil fuel (FF) phaseout by 2050. Relying on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change radiative forcing, we show that the net historical (2019 to 1750) radiative forcing effect of CO2 and non-CO2 climate forcers emitted by FF sources plus the CO2 emitted by land-use changes is comparable to the net from non-CO2 climate forcers emitted by non-FF sources. We find that mitigation measures that target only decarbonization are essential for strong long-term cooling but can result in weak near-term warming (due to unmasking the cooling effect of coemitted aerosols) and lead to temperatures exceeding 2 °C before 2050. In contrast, pairing decarbonization with additional mitigation measures targeting short-lived climate pollutants and N2O, slows the rate of warming a decade or two earlier than decarbonization alone and avoids the 2 °C threshold altogether. These non-CO2 targeted measures when combined with decarbonization can provide net cooling by 2030 and reduce the rate of warming from 2030 to 2050 by about 50%, roughly half of which comes from methane, significantly larger than decarbonization alone over this time frame. Our analysis demonstrates the need for a comprehensive CO2 and targeted non-CO2 mitigation approach to address both the near-term and long-term impacts of climate disruption.


Assuntos
Aquecimento Global , Gases de Efeito Estufa , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Clima , Combustíveis Fósseis , Aquecimento Global/prevenção & controle
8.
Plant Cell Environ ; 2024 Oct 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39351616

RESUMO

Despite considerable experimental effort, the physiological mechanisms governing temperate tree species' water and carbon dynamics before the onset of the growing period remain poorly understood. We applied 2H-enriched water during winter dormancy to the soil of four potted European tree species. After 8 weeks of chilling, hydrogen isotopes in stem, twig and bud water were measured six times during 2 consecutive weeks of forcing conditions (Experiment 1). Additionally, we pulse-labelled above-ground plant tissues using 2H-enriched water vapour and 13C-enriched CO2 7 days after exposure to forcing conditions to trace atmospheric water and carbon uptake (Experiment 2). Experiment 1 revealed soil water incorporation into the above-ground organs of all species during the chilling phase and significant species-specific differences in water allocation during the forcing conditions, which we attributed to differences in structural traits. Experiment 2 illustrated water vapour incorporation into all above-ground tissue of all species. However, the incorporation of carbon was found for evergreen saplings only. Our results suggest that temperate trees take up and reallocate soil water and absorb atmospheric water to maintain sufficient above-ground tissue hydration during winter. Therefore, our findings provide new insights into the water allocation dynamics of temperate trees during early spring.

9.
Glob Chang Biol ; 30(7): e17388, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38967139

RESUMO

Permafrost thaw in northern peatlands causes collapse of permafrost peat plateaus and thermokarst bog development, with potential impacts on atmospheric greenhouse gas exchange. Here, we measured methane and carbon dioxide fluxes over 3 years (including winters) using static chambers along two permafrost thaw transects in northwestern Canada, spanning young (~30 years since thaw), intermediate and mature thermokarst bogs (~200 years since thaw). Young bogs were wetter, warmer and had more hydrophilic vegetation than mature bogs. Methane emissions increased with wetness and soil temperature (40 cm depth) and modelled annual estimates were greatest in the young bog during the warmest year and lowest in the mature bog during the coolest year (21 and 7 g C-CH4 m-2 year-1, respectively). The dominant control on net ecosystem exchange (NEE) in the mature bog (between +20 and -54 g C-CO2 m-2 year-1) was soil temperature (5 cm), causing net CO2 loss due to higher ecosystem respiration (ER) in warmer years. In contrast, wetness controlled NEE in the young and intermediate bogs (between +55 and -95 g C-CO2 m-2 year-1), where years with periodic inundation at the beginning of the growing season caused greater reduction in gross primary productivity than in ER leading to CO2 loss. Winter fluxes (November-April) represented 16% of annual ER and 38% of annual CH4 emissions. Our study found NEE of thermokarst bogs to be close to neutral and rules out large CO2 losses under current conditions. However, high CH4 emissions after thaw caused a positive net radiative forcing effect. While wet conditions favouring high CH4 emissions only persist for the initial young bog period, we showed that continued climate warming with increased ER, and thus, CO2 losses from the mature bog can cause net positive radiative forcing which would last for centuries after permafrost thaw.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono , Mudança Climática , Gases de Efeito Estufa , Metano , Pergelissolo , Áreas Alagadas , Metano/análise , Metano/metabolismo , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Gases de Efeito Estufa/análise , Temperatura , Solo/química , Canadá , Estações do Ano
10.
Ann Bot ; 133(2): 217-224, 2024 Apr 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37971306

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dormancy of buds is an important phase in the life cycle of perennial plants growing in environments where unsuitable growth conditions occur seasonally. In regions where low temperature defines these unsuitable conditions, the attainment of cold hardiness is also required for survival. The end of the dormant period culminates in budbreak and flower emergence, or spring phenology, one of the most appreciated and studied phenological events - a time also understood to be most sensitive to low-temperature damage. Despite this, we have a limited physiological and molecular understanding of dormancy, which has negatively affected our ability to model budbreak. This is also true for cold hardiness. SCOPE: Here we highlight the importance of including cold hardiness in dormancy studies that typically only characterize time to budbreak. We show how different temperature treatments may lead to increases in cold hardiness, and by doing so also (potentially inadvertently) increase time to budbreak. CONCLUSIONS: We present a theory that describes evaluation of cold hardiness as being key to clarifying physiological changes throughout the dormant period, delineating dormancy statuses, and improving both chill and phenology models. Erroneous interpretations of budbreak datasets are possible by not phenotyping cold hardiness. Changes in cold hardiness were very probably present in previous experiments that studied dormancy, especially when those included below-freezing temperature treatments. Separating the effects between chilling accumulation and cold acclimation in future studies will be essential for increasing our understanding of dormancy and spring phenology in plants.


Assuntos
Temperatura Baixa , Estações do Ano
11.
Ann Bot ; 2024 Jul 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39052309

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Spring phenological change of plants in response to global warming may affect many ecological processes and functions. Chilling temperature regulates budburst date by releasing dormancy. However, whether freezing temperature (<0°C) contributes to dormancy release is still debated. Our poor understanding of the role of chilling makes estimating shifts in budburst date difficult. METHODS: A two-year chilling-forcing experiment was explicitly designed to test the effects of chilling temperatures on dormancy release of 9 temperate woody species in Beijing, China. A total of 1620 twigs were first exposed to a wide range of temperatures (-10 to 10 °C) with different durations and then moved to growth chambers. Based on budburst data in experimental conditions, we examined whether freezing temperatures are effective on dormancy release. We also developed a new framework for constructing chilling functions based on the curve between chilling duration and forcing requirement (FR) of budburst. The chilling function derived from this framework was not affected by experimental forcing conditions. KEY RESULTS: We demonstrated that freezing temperatures down to -10°C were effective in dormancy release. The rate of dormancy release, indicated by the rate of decay in chilling duration-FR curve, did not differ significantly between chilling temperatures in most cases, although it exhibited a maximum value at 0 or 5°C. The chilling function-associated phenological models could simulate budburst date from independent experimental and observational data with a mean RMSE of 7.07 days. CONCLUSIONS: The effective freezing temperatures found here are contrary to the well-known assumption of <0°C temperature generally not contributing to accumulated chilling in many previous chilling functions. A chilling function assuming that temperature below an upper-temperature threshold has the same effects on dormancy release could be adopted to calculate chilling accumulation when using experiments to develop spring phenological models based on the chilling-forcing relationship.

12.
Environ Sci Technol ; 58(35): 15661-15671, 2024 Sep 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39163486

RESUMO

Wildfires generate abundant smoke primarily composed of fine-mode aerosols. However, accurately measuring the fine-mode aerosol optical depth (fAOD) is highly uncertain in most existing satellite-based aerosol products. Deep learning offers promise for inferring fAOD, but little has been done using multiangle satellite data. We developed an innovative angle-dependent deep-learning model (ADLM) that accounts for angular diversity in dual-angle observations. The model captures aerosol properties observed from dual angles in the contiguous United States and explores the potential of Greenhouse gases Observing Satellite-2's (GOSAT-2) measurements to retrieve fAOD at a 460 m spatial resolution. The ADLM demonstrates a strong performance through rigorous validation against ground-based data, revealing small biases. By comparison, the official fAOD product from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), and the Multiangle Imaging Spectroradiometer (MISR) during wildfire events is underestimated by more than 40% over western USA. This leads to significant differences in estimates of aerosol radiative forcing (ARF) from wildfires. The ADLM shows more than 20% stronger ARF than the MODIS, VIIRS, and MISR estimates, highlighting a greater impact of wildfire fAOD on Earth's energy balance.


Assuntos
Aerossóis , Incêndios Florestais , Estados Unidos , Imagens de Satélites , Monitoramento Ambiental
13.
J Am Acad Dermatol ; 2024 Apr 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38588820

RESUMO

Cognitive bias may lead to medical error, and awareness of cognitive pitfalls is a potential first step to addressing the negative consequences of cognitive bias (see Part 1). For decision-making processes that occur under uncertainty, which encompass most physician decisions, a so-called "adaptive toolbox" is beneficial for good decisions. The adaptive toolbox is inclusive of broad strategies like cultural humility, emotional intelligence, and self-care that help combat implicit bias, negative consequences of affective bias, and optimize cognition. Additionally, the adaptive toolbox includes situational-specific tools such as heuristics, narratives, cognitive forcing functions, and fast and frugal trees. Such tools may mitigate against errors due to cultural, affective, and cognitive bias. Part 2 of this two-part series covers metacognition and cognitive bias in relation to broad and specific strategies aimed at better decision-making.

14.
Environ Res ; 260: 119629, 2024 Nov 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39025349

RESUMO

From the beginning of May 2023 to the end of August 2023, the Northern Hemisphere experienced significant wildfire activity with the most widespread fires occurring in Canada. Forest fires in Canada destroyed more than 15.6 million hectares of forests. These wildfires worsened air quality across the region and other parts of the world. The smoke reached southern Europe by the end of June 2023. To better understand the consequences of such forest fires far from the site of origin, aerosol optical, microphysical and radiative properties were analyzed during this event for southern Europe using data from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), and Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET). TROPOMI aerosol index (AI) and the carbon monoxide (CO) product confirm that the smoke originated directly from these forest fires. AERONET data from the El Arenosillo site in southern Spain showed maximum aerosol optical depth (AOD) values on June 27 reached 2.36. Data on Angstrom Exponent (AE), aerosol volume size distribution (VSD), single scattering albedo (SSA), fine mode fraction (FMF), volume particle concentration, effective radius (REff), absorption AOD (AAOD), extinction AE (EAE) and absorption AE (AAE) showed that fine-mode particles with carbonaceous aerosols contribution predominated in the atmosphere above the El Arenosillo site. Direct aerosol radiative forcing (DARF) at the top (DARFTOA) and bottom of atmosphere (DARFBOA) were -103.1 and -198.93 Wm-2, respectively. The atmospheric aerosol radiative forcing (DARFATM) was found to be 95.83 Wm-2 and with a heating rate 2.69 K day-1, which indicates the resulting warming of the atmosphere.


Assuntos
Aerossóis , Florestas , Incêndios Florestais , Aerossóis/análise , Canadá , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Europa (Continente) , Fumaça/análise
15.
Eur J Appl Physiol ; 2024 Sep 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39305369

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Cerebrovascular reactivity (CVR) describes the vasculature's response to vasoactive stimuli, where prior investigations relied solely on mean data, rather than exploring cardiac cycle differences. METHODS: Seventy-one participants (46 females and 25 males) from two locations underwent TCD measurements within the middle or posterior cerebral arteries (MCA, PCA). Females were tested in the early-follicular phase. The hypercapnia response was assessed using a rebreathing protocol (93% oxygen and 7% carbon dioxide) or dynamic end-tidal forcing as a cerebral blood velocity (CBv) change from 40 to 55-Torr. The hypocapnia response was quantified using a hyperventilation protocol as a CBv change from 40 to 25-Torr. Absolute and relative CVR slopes were compared across cardiac cycle phases, vessels, and biological sexes using analysis of covariance with Tukey post-hoc comparisons. RESULTS: No differences were found between hypercapnia methods used (p > 0.050). Absolute hypercapnic slopes were highest in systole (p < 0.001), with no cardiac cycle differences for absolute hypocapnia (p > 0.050). Relative slopes were largest in diastole and smallest in systole for both hypercapnia and hypocapnia (p < 0.001). Females exhibited greater absolute CVR responses (p < 0.050), while only the relative systolic hypercapnic response was different between sexes (p = 0.001). Absolute differences were present between the MCA and PCA (p < 0.001), which vanished when normalizing data to baseline values (p > 0.050). CONCLUSION: Cardiac cycle variations impact CVR responses, with females displaying greater absolute CVR in some cardiac phases during the follicular window. These findings are likely due to sex differences in endothelial receptors/signalling pathways. Future CVR studies should employ assessments across the cardiac cycle.

16.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(15)2021 04 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33876752

RESUMO

Knowing the historical relative contribution of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) to global radiative forcing (RF) at the regional level can help understand how future GHGs emission reductions and associated or independent reductions in SLCFs will affect the ultimate purpose of the Paris Agreement. In this study, we use a compact Earth system model to quantify the global RF and attribute global RF to individual countries and regions. As our evaluation, the United States, the first 15 European Union members, and China are the top three contributors, accounting for 21.9 ± 3.1%, 13.7 ± 1.6%, and 8.6 ± 7.0% of global RF in 2014, respectively. We also find a contrast between developed countries where GHGs dominate the RF and developing countries where SLCFs including aerosols and ozone are more dominant. In developing countries, negative RF caused by aerosols largely masks the positive RF from GHGs. As developing countries take measures to improve the air quality, their negative contributions from aerosols will likely be reduced in the future, which will in turn enhance global warming. This underlines the importance of reducing GHG emissions in parallel to avoid any detrimental consequences from air quality policies.

17.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(23)2021 06 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34074753

RESUMO

Forcing due to solar and volcanic variability, on the natural side, and greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions, on the anthropogenic side, are the main inputs to climate models. Reliable climate model simulations of past and future climate change depend crucially upon them. Here we analyze large ensembles of simulations using a comprehensive Earth System Model to quantify uncertainties in global climate change attributable to differences in prescribed forcings. The different forcings considered here are those used in the two most recent phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), namely CMIP5 and CMIP6. We show significant differences in simulated global surface air temperature due to volcanic aerosol forcing in the second half of the 19th century and in the early 21st century. The latter arise from small-to-moderate eruptions incorporated in CMIP6 simulations but not in CMIP5 simulations. We also find significant differences in global surface air temperature and Arctic sea ice area due to anthropogenic aerosol forcing in the second half of the 20th century and early 21st century. These differences are as large as those obtained in different versions of an Earth System Model employing identical forcings. In simulations from 2015 to 2100, we find significant differences in the rates of projected global warming arising from CMIP5 and CMIP6 concentration pathways that differ slightly but are equivalent in terms of their nominal radiative forcing levels in 2100. Our results highlight the influence of assumptions about natural and anthropogenic aerosol loadings on carbon budgets, the likelihood of meeting Paris targets, and the equivalence of future forcing scenarios.

18.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(23)2021 06 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34074756

RESUMO

In this study, we synthesize terrestrial and marine proxy records, spanning the past 620 ky, to decipher pan-African climate variability and its drivers and potential linkages to hominin evolution. We find a tight correlation between moisture availability across Africa to El Niño Southern Ocean oscillation (ENSO) variability, a manifestation of the Walker Circulation, that was most likely driven by changes in Earth's eccentricity. Our results demonstrate that low-latitude insolation was a prominent driver of pan-African climate change during the Middle to Late Pleistocene. We argue that these low-latitude climate processes governed the dispersion and evolution of vegetation as well as mammals in eastern and western Africa by increasing resource-rich and stable ecotonal settings thought to have been important to early modern humans.


Assuntos
Evolução Biológica , Mudança Climática/história , El Niño Oscilação Sul/história , África , História Antiga , Humanos
19.
Sensors (Basel) ; 24(13)2024 Jun 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39000968

RESUMO

The exploiting of hybrid beamforming (HBF) in massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems can enhance the system's sum rate while reducing power consumption and hardware costs. However, designing an effective hybrid beamformer is challenging, and interference between multiple users can negatively impact system performance. In this paper, we develop a scheme called Subset Optimization Algorithm-Hybrid Beamforming (SOA-HBF) that is based on the subset optimization algorithm (SOA), which effectively reduces inter-user interference by dividing the users set into subsets while optimizing the hybrid beamformer to maximize system capacity. To validate the proposed scheme, we constructed a system model that incorporates an intelligent reflecting surface (IRS) to address obstacles between the base station (BS) and the users set, enabling efficient wireless communication. Simulation results indicate that the proposed scheme outperforms the baseline by approximately 8.1% to 59.1% under identical system settings. Furthermore, the proposed scheme was applied to a classical BS-users set link without obstacles; the results show its effectiveness in both mmWave massive MIMO and IRS-assisted fully connected hybrid beamforming systems.

20.
J Environ Manage ; 368: 122185, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39151337

RESUMO

Land use and land cover change (LUCC) can alter surface properties, such as albedo, roughness, and vegetation coverage, directly affecting dust emissions and aerosol concentrations, leading to variations in direct radiative forcing (DRF) of dust aerosols and consequently impacting the climate. This study utilized the Weather Research and Forecasting model with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) to quantify the impact of LUCC in northern China from 2000 to 2020 on dust aerosol DRF. Results indicated that LUCC's influence on shortwave radiative forcing of dust was significantly greater than its influence on longwave radiative forcing and exhibited obvious seasonal variations. Overall, LUCC can cause net direct radiative forcing to increase by 5.3 W m-2 at the surface and decrease by 7.8 W m-2 in the atmosphere. Different types of LUCC transformation showed distinct impacts on dust aerosol DRF, with the conversion from sparse vegetation to barren land had the most significant effect on net radiative intensity, resulting in a decrease of 8.1 W m-2 at the surface, an increase of 12.2 W m-2 in the atmosphere, and an increase of 4.1 W m-2 at the top of the atmosphere. Conversely, the conversion from barren land to sparse vegetation led to surface cooling and atmospheric warming. These findings are of great significance for enhancing our knowledge of the effects of LUCC on the radiative balance of dust aerosols.


Assuntos
Aerossóis , Poeira , Aerossóis/análise , China , Poeira/análise , Atmosfera , Monitoramento Ambiental
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