Zebrafish AC50 modelling: (Q)SAR models to predict developmental toxicity in zebrafish embryo.

Developmental toxicity refers to the occurrence of adverse effects on a developing organism as a consequence of exposure to hazardous chemicals. The assessment of developmental toxicity has become relevant to the safety assessment process of chemicals. The zebrafish embryo developmental toxicology assay is an emerging test used to screen the teratogenic potential of chemicals and it is proposed as a promising test to replace teratogenic assays with animals. Supported by the increased availability of data from this test, the developmental toxicity assay with zebrafish has become an interesting endpoint for the in silico modelling. The purpose of this study was to build up quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models. In this work, new in silico models for the evaluation of developmental toxicity were built using a well-defined set of data from the ToxCastTM Phase I chemical library on the zebrafish embryo. Categorical and continuous QSAR models were built by gradient boosting machine learning and the Monte Carlo technique respectively, in accordance with Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development principles and their statistical quality was satisfactory. The classification model reached balanced accuracy 0.89 and Matthews correlation coefficient 0.77 on the test set. The regression model reached correlation coefficient R2 0.70 in external validation and leave-one-out cross-validated Q2 0.73 in internal validation.

Ecotoxicological QSAR modeling of the acute toxicity of organic compounds to the freshwater crustacean Thamnocephalus platyurus.

Growing interest in environmental toxicity assessment using Thamnocephalus platyurus as organism has led to an increased availability of acute toxicity data. Despite this growing interest in tests with this organism, however, to the best of our knowledge there are no computational models to predict the acute toxicity in T. platyurus. In view of the limited number of in silico models for this crustacean, we developed Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) models for the prediction of acute toxicity towards T. platyurus, reflected by the 24h LC50, using publicly available data according to the ISO 14380:2011 guideline. Two models were developed following the principles of QSAR modeling recommended by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). We used partial least squares and gradient boosting machine techniques, which gave encouraging statistical quality in our data set.

QSAR models for biocides: The example of the prediction of Daphnia magna acute toxicity.

Biocides are multi-component products used to control undesired and harmful organisms able to affect human or animal health or to damage natural and manufactured products. Because of their widespread use, aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems could be contaminated by biocides. The environmental impact of biocides is evaluated through eco-toxicological studies with model organisms of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. We focused on the development of in silico models for the evaluation of the acute toxicity (EC50) of a set of biocides collected from different sources on the freshwater crustacean Daphnia magna, one of the most widely used model organisms in aquatic toxicology. Toxicological data specific for biocides are limited, so we developed three models for daphnid toxicity using different strategies (linear regression, random forest, Monte Carlo (CORAL)) to overcome this limitation. All models gave satisfactory results in our datasets: the random forest model showed the best results with a determination coefficient r2 = 0.97 and 0.89, respectively, for the training (TS) and the validation sets (VS) while linear regression model and the CORAL model had similar but lower performance (r2 = 0.83 and 0.75, respectively, for TS and VS in the linear regression model and r2 = 0.74 and 0.75 for the CORAL model).