Paramagnetic rim lesions predict greater long-term relapse rates and clinical progression over 10 years.

BACKGROUND: Paramagnetic rim lesions (PRLs) have been linked to higher clinical disease severity and relapse frequency. However, it remains unclear whether PRLs predict future, long-term disease progression. OBJECTIVES: The study aimed to assess whether baseline PRLs were associated with subsequent long-term (10 years) Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) increase and relapse frequency and, if so, whether PRL-associated EDSS increase was mediated by relapse. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included 172 people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) with 1868 yearly clinical visits over a mean follow-up time of 10.2 years. 3T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was acquired at baseline and PRLs were assessed on quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) images. The associations between PRLs, relapse, and rate of EDSS change were assessed using linear models. RESULTS: PRL+ pwMS had greater overall annual relapse rate (ß = 0.068; p = 0.010), three times greater overall odds of relapse (exp(ß) = 3.472; p = 0.009), and greater rate of yearly EDSS change (ß = 0.045; p = 0.010) than PRL- pwMS. Greater PRL number was associated with greater odds of at least one progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) episode over follow-up (exp(ß) = 1.171, p = 0.009). Mediation analysis showed that the association between PRL presence (yes/no) and EDSS increase was 96.7% independent of relapse number. CONCLUSION: PRLs are a marker of aggressive ongoing disease inflammatory activity, including more frequent future clinical relapses and greater long-term, relapse-independent disability progression.

Exploring miRNAs' Based Modeling Approach for Predicting PIRA in Multiple Sclerosis: A Comprehensive Analysis.

The current hypothesis on the pathophysiology of multiple sclerosis (MS) suggests the involvement of both inflammatory and neurodegenerative mechanisms. Disease Modifying Therapies (DMTs) effectively decrease relapse rates, thus reducing relapse-associated disability in people with MS. In some patients, disability progression, however, is not solely linked to new lesions and clinical relapses but can manifest independently. Progression Independent of Relapse Activity (PIRA) significantly contributes to long-term disability, stressing the urge to unveil biomarkers to forecast disease progression. Twenty-five adult patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) were enrolled in a cohort study, according to the latest McDonald criteria, and tested before and after high-efficacy Disease Modifying Therapies (DMTs) (6-24 months). Through Agilent microarrays, we analyzed miRNA profiles from peripheral blood mononuclear cells. Multivariate logistic and linear models with interactions were generated. Robustness was assessed by randomization tests in R. A subset of miRNAs, correlated with PIRA, and the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), was selected. To refine the patient stratification connected to the disease trajectory, we computed a robust logistic classification model derived from baseline miRNA expression to predict PIRA status (AUC = 0.971). We built an optimal multilinear model by selecting four other miRNA predictors to describe EDSS changes compared to baseline. Multivariate modeling offers a promising avenue to uncover potential biomarkers essential for accurate prediction of disability progression in early MS stages. These models can provide valuable insights into developing personalized and effective treatment strategies.

Progression is independent of relapse activity in early multiple sclerosis: a real-life cohort study.

Disability accrual in multiple sclerosis may occur as relapse-associated worsening or progression independent of relapse activity. The role of progression independent of relapse activity in early multiple sclerosis is yet to be established. The objective of this multicentre, observational, retrospective cohort study was to investigate the contribution of relapse-associated worsening and progression independent of relapse activity to confirmed disability accumulation in patients with clinically isolated syndrome and early relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, assessed within one year from onset and with follow-up ≥5 years (n = 5169). Data were extracted from the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Register. Confirmed disability accumulation was defined by an increase in Expanded Disability Status Scale score confirmed at 6 months, and classified per temporal association with relapses. Factors associated with progression independent of relapse activity and relapse-associated worsening were assessed using multivariable Cox regression models. Over a follow-up period of 11.5 ± 5.5 years, progression independent of relapse activity occurred in 1427 (27.6%) and relapse-associated worsening in 922 (17.8%) patients. Progression independent of relapse activity was associated with older age at baseline [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.19; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-1.25, P < 0.001], having a relapsing-remitting course at baseline (HR = 1.44; 95% CI 1.28-1.61, P < 0.001), longer disease duration at baseline (HR = 1.56; 95% CI 1.28-1.90, P < 0.001), lower Expanded Disability Status Scale at baseline (HR = 0.92; 95% CI 0.88-0.96, P < 0.001) and lower number of relapses before the event (HR = 0.76; 95% CI 0.73-0.80, P < 0.001). Relapse-associated worsening was associated with younger age at baseline (HR = 0.87; 95% CI 0.81-0.93, P < 0.001), having a relapsing-remitting course at baseline (HR = 1.55; 95% CI 1.35-1.79, P < 0.001), lower Expanded Disability Status Scale at baseline (HR = 0.94; 95% CI 0.89-0.99, P = 0.017) and a higher number of relapses before the event (HR = 1.04; 95% CI 1.01-1.07, P < 0.001). Longer exposure to disease-modifying drugs was associated with a lower risk of both progression independent of relapse activity and relapse-associated worsening (P < 0.001). This study provides evidence that in an early relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis cohort, progression independent of relapse activity was an important contributor to confirmed disability accumulation. Our findings indicate that insidious progression appears even in the earliest phases of the disease, suggesting that inflammation and neurodegeneration can represent a single disease continuum, in which age is one of the main determinants of disease phenomenology.

How patients with multiple sclerosis acquire disability.

Patients with multiple sclerosis acquire disability either through relapse-associated worsening (RAW) or progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA). This study addresses the relative contribution of relapses to disability worsening over the course of the disease, how early progression begins and the extent to which multiple sclerosis therapies delay disability accumulation. Using the Novartis-Oxford multiple sclerosis (NO.MS) data pool spanning all multiple sclerosis phenotypes and paediatric multiple sclerosis, we evaluated ∼200 000 Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) transitions from >27 000 patients with ≤15 years follow-up. We analysed three datasets: (i) A full analysis dataset containing all observational and randomized controlled clinical trials in which disability and relapses were assessed (n = 27 328); (ii) all phase 3 clinical trials (n = 8346); and (iii) all placebo-controlled phase 3 clinical trials (n = 4970). We determined the relative importance of RAW and PIRA, investigated the role of relapses on all-cause disability worsening using Andersen-Gill models and observed the impact of the mechanism of worsening and disease-modifying therapies on the time to reach milestone disability levels using time continuous Markov models. PIRA started early in the disease process, occurred in all phenotypes and became the principal driver of disability accumulation in the progressive phase of the disease. Relapses significantly increased the hazard of all-cause disability worsening events; following a year in which relapses occurred (versus a year without relapses), the hazard increased by 31-48% (all P < 0.001). Pre-existing disability and older age were the principal risk factors for incomplete relapse recovery. For placebo-treated patients with minimal disability (EDSS 1), it took 8.95 years until increased limitation in walking ability (EDSS 4) and 18.48 years to require walking assistance (EDSS 6). Treating patients with disease-modifying therapies delayed these times significantly by 3.51 years (95% confidence limit: 3.19, 3.96) and 3.09 years (2.60, 3.72), respectively. In patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, those who worsened exclusively due to RAW events took a similar length of time to reach milestone EDSS values compared with those with PIRA events; the fastest transitions were observed in patients with PIRA and superimposed relapses. Our data confirm that relapses contribute to the accumulation of disability, primarily early in multiple sclerosis. PIRA begins in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and becomes the dominant driver of disability accumulation as the disease evolves. Pre-existing disability and older age are the principal risk factors for further disability accumulation. The use of disease-modifying therapies delays disability accrual by years, with the potential to gain time being highest in the earliest stages of multiple sclerosis.

Efficacy and safety of ofatumumab in recently diagnosed, treatment-naive patients with multiple sclerosis: Results from ASCLEPIOS I and II.

BACKGROUND: In the phase III ASCLEPIOS I and II trials, participants with relapsing multiple sclerosis receiving ofatumumab had significantly better clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) outcomes than those receiving teriflunomide. OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy and safety of ofatumumab versus teriflunomide in recently diagnosed, treatment-naive (RDTN) participants from ASCLEPIOS. METHODS: Participants were randomized to receive ofatumumab (20 mg subcutaneously every 4 weeks) or teriflunomide (14 mg orally once daily) for up to 30 months. Endpoints analysed post hoc in the protocol-defined RDTN population included annualized relapse rate (ARR), confirmed disability worsening (CDW), progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) and adverse events. RESULTS: Data were analysed from 615 RDTN participants (ofatumumab: n = 314; teriflunomide: n = 301). Compared with teriflunomide, ofatumumab reduced ARR by 50% (rate ratio (95% confidence interval (CI)): 0.50 (0.33, 0.74); p < 0.001), and delayed 6-month CDW by 46% (hazard ratio (HR; 95% CI): 0.54 (0.30, 0.98); p = 0.044) and 6-month PIRA by 56% (HR: 0.44 (0.20, 1.00); p = 0.049). Safety findings were manageable and consistent with those of the overall ASCLEPIOS population. CONCLUSION: The favourable benefit-risk profile of ofatumumab versus teriflunomide supports its consideration as a first-line therapy in RDTN patients.ASCLEPIOS I and II are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02792218 and NCT02792231).

Progression independent of relapse activity in relapsing multiple sclerosis: impact and relationship with secondary progression.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the occurrence and relative contribution of relapse-associated worsening (RAW) and progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) to confirmed disability accrual (CDA) and transition to secondary progression (SP) in relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: Relapsing-onset MS patients with follow-up > / = 5 years (16,130) were extracted from the Italian MS Registry. CDA was a 6-month confirmed increase in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score. Sustained disability accumulation (SDA) was a CDA with no EDSS improvement in all subsequent visits. Predictors of PIRA and RAW and the association between final EDSS score and type of CDA were assessed using logistic multivariable regression and multivariable ordinal regression models, respectively. RESULTS: Over 11.8 ± 5.4 years, 16,731 CDA events occurred in 8998 (55.8%) patients. PIRA (12,175) accounted for 72.3% of CDA. SDA occurred in 8912 (73.2%) PIRA and 2583 (56.7%) RAW (p < 0.001). 4453 (27.6%) patients transitioned to SPMS, 4010 (73.2%) out of 5476 patients with sustained PIRA and 443 (24.8%) out of 1790 patients with non-sustained PIRA. In the multivariable ordinal regression analysis, higher final EDSS score was associated with PIRA (estimated coefficient 0.349, 95% CI 0.120-0.577, p = 0.003). DISCUSSION: In this real-world relapsing-onset MS cohort, PIRA was the main driver of disability accumulation and was associated with higher disability in the long term. Sustained PIRA was linked to transition to SP and could represent a more accurate PIRA definition and a criterion to mark the putative onset of the progressive phase.

Eomesodermin-expressing CD4+ Th cells and association with pregnancy in multiple sclerosis.

Background: Pregnancy in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) is accompanied by a decline of relapse activity with increased risk of relapses 3 months post-partum, for unknown reasons. Eomesodermin+ T-helper cells (Eomes+ Th cells) are known to mediate neuroinflammation and disease progression in MS and are induced by prolactin-secreting cells. Objectives: Here, investigated immune cell alterations and the pathophysiological role of Eomes+ Th cells for disease activity during pregnancy and post-partum in MS. Methods: We enrolled n = 81 pregnant patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), n = 27 post-partum RRMS and n = 26 female RRMS control patients under the umbrella of the German Multiple Sclerosis and Pregnancy Registry. Clinical data were collected and immune cell alterations were analysed using flow cytometry. Results: While CD3+CD4+ Th cells were unaffected, CD3+CD8+ cytotoxic T-cells were elevated post-partum (p = 0.02) with reduced B-cell frequencies (p = 0.01) compared to non-pregnant RRMS patients. NK cells were elevated during first trimester (p = 0.02) compared to the third trimester. Frequencies of Eomes+ Th and Eomes+ Tc cells did not differ. There was no correlation of prolactin release and expression of Eomes+ Th cells. However, Eomes+ Th cells correlated with lower frequencies of regulatory T-cells during second (r = -0.42; p < 0.05) and third trimester (r = -0.37; p < 0.05). Moreover, Eomes+ Th cells correlated with frequencies of B-cells during third trimester (r = 0.54; p = 0.02). Frequencies of Eomes+ Th cells were not associated with the number of relapses before pregnancy, during pregnancy or post-partum. However, Eomes+ Th cells strongly correlated with disability post-partum as assessed using the EDSS (r = 0.52; p = 0.009). Discussion: Pregnancy in MS is associated with robust immunological alterations. Eomes+ Th cells are capable of inducing immune cell alterations during the course of pregnancy, most evident during the second and third trimester as shown with a correlation of reduced Treg cells and a significant increase of B-cells. Importantly, Eomes+ Th cells correlate with disability post-partum. In summary, during late pregnancy in MS an inflammatory, cytotoxic and dysregulated immunological environment is primed gaining function post-delivery. This may be responsible for post-partum disability accumulation.

Characterization of Japanese multiple sclerosis patients with progression independent of relapse activity: A 2-year multicenter cohort study.

Progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is prevalent among Caucasian patients with relapsing and remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). However, there is limited knowledge regarding the characteristics of PIRA in Asian patients with RRMS. Therefore, we retrospectively analyzed the clinical and radiological progression of 95 Japanese patients with RRMS during a 2-year observation period. PIRA was observed in three patients who were characterized by young age, large T2 lesion volume, and great reduction in brain volume. Despite having highly active disease, fewer patients with PIRA (33.3%) were treated with high-efficacy drugs compared with those without disease activity (60.7%).

Recent advances in the treatment of primary and secondary progressive Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The article highlights upcoming potential treatments, which target different phases of inflammation and offer remyelinating strategies as well as direct and indirect neuroprotective and oligodendrocyte protective effects, providing a hopeful outlook for patients with primary and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS and SPMS). OBJECTIVES: The review aims to identify potential treatments and ongoing clinical trials for PPMS and SPMS, and compare their mechanisms of action, efficacy, and side effects with current treatments. METHODS: We reviewed ongoing clinical trials for PPMS and SPMS on the NIH website, as well as articles from PubMed, Embase, and clinicaltrails.gov since 2010. RESULTS: BTKIs like, tolebrutinib, and fenebrutinib are being explored as potential PMS treatments. Vidofludimus calcium, an orally available treatment, has shown a reduction of active and new MRI lesions. Other treatments like simvastatin, N-acetylcysteine (NAC), and alpha-lipoic acid are being explored for their antioxidant properties. AHSCT and mesenchymal stem cell therapy are experimental options for younger patients with high inflammatory activity. CONCLUSIONS: SPMS and PPMS are being studied for new treatments and future trials should consider combination therapies targeting inflammation, demyelination, and neuronal death, as the pathogenesis of PMS involves complex factors.

Defining progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) in adult patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis: A systematic review✰.

BACKGROUND: Progression Independent of Relapse Activity (PIRA) is heterogeneously described in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) regarding the frequency and nature of PIRA. This systematic review was conducted to characterise and define the elements of PIRA. METHOD: This systematic review was conducted and reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A systematic search was conducted of the databases Embase, Medline, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Scopus, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov and Google Scholar. RESULTS: 5,812 studies were identified by the initial search. 13 studies satisfied the inclusion criteria and were included in the systematic review. PIRA definitions varied considerably between studies. In the context of these variable definitions, along with other methodological differences relating to disease modifying therapy (DMT) use and follow-up duration, the reported proportion of patients experiencing PIRA varied from 4% to 24%. CONCLUSIONS: The currently available research supports the presence of PIRA in relapsing MS. Based on review of the existing literature, we propose a definition of PIRA that is clinically relevant and minimises confounding from inclusion of patients who have reached the secondary progressive phase of the disease.

Smouldering multiple sclerosis: the 'real MS'.

Using a philosophical approach or deductive reasoning, we challenge the dominant clinico-radiological worldview that defines multiple sclerosis (MS) as a focal inflammatory disease of the central nervous system (CNS). We provide a range of evidence to argue that the 'real MS' is in fact driven primarily by a smouldering pathological disease process. In natural history studies and clinical trials, relapses and focal activity revealed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in MS patients on placebo or on disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) were found to be poor predictors of long-term disease evolution and were dissociated from disability outcomes. In addition, the progressive accumulation of disability in MS can occur independently of relapse activity from early in the disease course. This scenario is underpinned by a more diffuse smouldering pathological process that may affect the entire CNS. Many putative pathological drivers of smouldering MS can be potentially modified by specific therapeutic strategies, an approach that may have major implications for the management of MS patients. We hypothesise that therapeutically targeting a state of 'no evident inflammatory disease activity' (NEIDA) cannot sufficiently prevent disability accumulation in MS, meaning that treatment should also focus on other brain and spinal cord pathological processes contributing to the slow loss of neurological function. This should also be complemented with a holistic approach to the management of other systemic disease processes that have been shown to worsen MS outcomes.

Contribution of relapse-associated worsening to overall disability accrual in patients with relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis: A mediation analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The neurological disability accumulation in patients with relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis (MS) is commonly attributed to relapse-associated worsening (RAW) and progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA). Using a mediation model, this research aimed to investigate and quantify the contributions of RAW and PIRA to the overall disability accrual. METHODS: Clinical data, containing Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, duration, attack number, and demographics, were collected from 121 patients with relapsing-onset MS in China and included in the mediation model. Two phases were defined: an early phase, from the clinical onset to EDSS 3, and a later phase, greater than EDSS 3. RESULTS: Clinical attack number partly mediated the relationship between duration and neurological disability (Duration â†’ Attack â†’ EDSS score) only in the early phase, with the ratio of indirect (RAW) to total effect of 0.414; while this mediator effect became negligible (<10%) in the later phase, with a predominating direct effect (PIRA). Onset age positively correlated with EDSS scores during the early stage, independent of the clinical attack number (the direct effect was significant, but the indirect effect was not), while this association was insignificant later. Besides, compared to females, male patients appeared to relapse less frequently before reaching EDSS 3 but were vulnerable to an accelerated progression after that. CONCLUSIONS: In relapsing-onset MS, PIRA is the major contributor to the irreversible disability accrual throughout the whole disease course, albeit RAW is also partly involved during the early stage. The correlations between the disabled outcome and the onset age or sex vary in different phases.

Intermediate-Intensity Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Reduces Serum Neurofilament Light Chains and Brain Atrophy in Aggressive Multiple Sclerosis.

Background: Autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) is highly effective in reducing new inflammatory activity in aggressive multiple sclerosis (MS). A remarkable decrease of serum neurofilament light chains (sNfL) concentration, a marker of axonal damage, was reported in MS following high-intensity regimen AHSCT, but hints for potential neurotoxicity had emerged. sNfL and brain atrophy were therefore analysed in a cohort of patients with aggressive MS treated with intermediate-intensity AHSCT, exploring whether sNfL might be a reliable marker of disability progression independent from new inflammation (i.e. relapses and/or new/gadolinium-enhancing MRI focal lesions). Methods: sNfL concentrations were measured using SIMOA methodology in peripheral blood from relapsing-remitting (RR-) or secondary-progressive (SP-) MS patients undergoing AHSCT (MS AHSCT), collected before transplant and at months 6 and 24 following the procedure. sNfL measured at a single timepoint in SP-MS patients not treated with AHSCT without recent inflammatory activity (SP-MS CTRL) and healthy subjects (HD) were used as controls. The rate of brain volume loss (AR-BVL) was also evaluated by MRI in MS AHSCT cases. Results: Thirty-eight MS AHSCT (28 RR-MS; 10 SP-MS), 22 SP-MS CTRL and 19 HD were included. Baseline median sNfL concentrations were remarkably higher in the MS AHSCT than in the SP-MS CTRL and HD groups (p = 0.005 and <0.0001, respectively), and levels correlated with recent inflammatory activity. After a marginal (not significant) median increase observed at month 6, at month 24 following AHSCT sNfL concentrations decreased compared to baseline by median 42.8 pg/mL (range 2.4-217.3; p = 0.039), reducing by at least 50% in 13 cases, and did not differ from SP-MS CTRL (p = 0.110) but were still higher than in HD (p < 0.0001). Post-AHSCT AR-BVL normalised in 55% of RR-MS and in 30% of SP-MS. The effectiveness and safety of AHSCT were aligned with the literature. Conclusion: sNfL concentrations correlated with recent inflammatory activity and were massively and persistently reduced by intermediate-intensity AHSCT. Association with response to treatment assessed by clinical or MRI outcomes was not observed, suggesting a good sensitivity of sNfL for recent inflammatory activity but low sensitivity in detecting ongoing axonal damage independent from new focal inflammation.

Retinal layer thinning is reflecting disability progression independent of relapse activity in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: PIRA (progression independent of relapse) has emerged as a term to quantify the proportion of disability worsening due to non-inflammatory neurodegenerative processes in multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of PIRA on retinal thinning, a biomarker of neuroaxonal degeneration in MS, in comparison to traditional disability worsening and relapse. METHODS: In a 4-year, prospective observational study including 171 relapsing MS (RMS) patients, retinal thinning was determined by annual spectral-domain optical coherence tomography measuring macular ganglion-cell-and-inner-plexiform-layer (GCIPL) and peripapillary-retinal-nerve-fibre-layer (pRNFL). PIRA was defined as an expanded disability status scale (EDSS) or symbol digit modalities test (SDMT) worsening confirmed after 24 weeks with no relapse in the 30 days before or after the disability worsening. RESULTS: Each PIRA event was associated with a mean additional loss of GCIPL (1.8 µm) and pRNFL (1.9 µm), similar to the impact of EDSS and SDMT worsening. Overall relapse and relapse without subsequent EDSS worsening did not influence retinal thinning, while a relapse with EDSS worsening was associated with an additional loss of GCIPL (1.3 µm) and pRNFL (1.4 µm). CONCLUSIONS: PIRA is associated with retinal thinning, likely reflecting neurodegenerative processes, not directly associated with focal inflammation. It might be a clinical measure to identify MS patients with ongoing MS-associated neurodegeneration.