RESUMO
Parties to the 2015 Paris Agreement pledged to limit global warming to well below 2 °C and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C relative to pre-industrial times1. However, fossil fuels continue to dominate the global energy system and a sharp decline in their use must be realized to keep the temperature increase below 1.5 °C (refs. 2-7). Here we use a global energy systems model8 to assess the amount of fossil fuels that would need to be left in the ground, regionally and globally, to allow for a 50 per cent probability of limiting warming to 1.5 °C. By 2050, we find that nearly 60 per cent of oil and fossil methane gas, and 90 per cent of coal must remain unextracted to keep within a 1.5 °C carbon budget. This is a large increase in the unextractable estimates for a 2 °C carbon budget9, particularly for oil, for which an additional 25 per cent of reserves must remain unextracted. Furthermore, we estimate that oil and gas production must decline globally by 3 per cent each year until 2050. This implies that most regions must reach peak production now or during the next decade, rendering many operational and planned fossil fuel projects unviable. We probably present an underestimate of the production changes required, because a greater than 50 per cent probability of limiting warming to 1.5 °C requires more carbon to stay in the ground and because of uncertainties around the timely deployment of negative emission technologies at scale.
Assuntos
Conservação de Recursos Energéticos/legislação & jurisprudência , Combustíveis Fósseis/análise , Combustíveis Fósseis/provisão & distribuição , Aquecimento Global/prevenção & controle , Cooperação Internacional/legislação & jurisprudência , Modelos Teóricos , Temperatura , Óleos Combustíveis/análise , Óleos Combustíveis/provisão & distribuição , Mapeamento Geográfico , Aquecimento Global/legislação & jurisprudência , Metano/análise , Metano/provisão & distribuição , Paris , Probabilidade , Fatores de Tempo , IncertezaRESUMO
The Appalachian Basin is home to three major shales, the Upper Devonian, Marcellus, and Utica. Together, they contain significant quantities of tight oil, gas, and mixed hydrocarbons. The Marcellus alone is estimated to contain upwards of 500 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. The extraction of these deposits is facilitated by a combination of horizontal drilling and slick water stimulation (e.g., hydraulic fracturing) or "fracking." The process of fracking requires large volumes of water, proppant, and chemicals as well as a large well pad (3-7 acres) and an extensive network of gathering and transmission pipelines. Drilling can generate about 1,000 tons of drill cuttings depending on the depth of the formation and the length of the horizontal bore. The flowback and produced waters that return to the surface during production are high in total dissolved solids (TDS, 60,000-350,000 mg L(-1)) and contain halides (e.g., chloride, bromide, fluoride), strontium, barium, and often naturally occurring radioactive materials (NORMs) as well as organics. The condensate tanks used to store these fluids can off gas a plethora of volatile organic compounds. The waste water, with its high TDS may be recycled, treated, or disposed of through deep well injection. Where allowed, open impoundments used for recycling are a source of air borne contamination as they are often aerated. The gas may be "dry" (mostly methane) or "wet," the latter containing a mixture of light hydrocarbons and liquids that need to be separated from the methane. Although the wells can produce significant quantities of natural gas, from 2-7 bcf, their initial decline rates are significant (50-75%) and may cease to be economic within a few years. This review presents an overview of unconventional gas extraction highlighting the environmental impacts and challenges.
Assuntos
Meio Ambiente , Indústrias Extrativas e de Processamento , Gás Natural , Região dos Apalaches , Indústrias Extrativas e de Processamento/ética , Indústrias Extrativas e de Processamento/métodos , Humanos , Metano/provisão & distribuição , Gás Natural/provisão & distribuição , Campos de Petróleo e Gás , Pennsylvania , Águas Residuárias/química , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise , Poços de Água/análiseRESUMO
Natural gas leakage and combustion are major sources of methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2), respectively; however, our understanding of emissions from cities is limited. We mapped distribution pipeline leakage using a mobile CH4 detection system, and continuously monitored atmospheric CO2 and CH4 concentrations and carbon isotopes (δ13C-CO2 and δ13C-CH4) for one-year above Ithaca, New York. Pipeline leakage rates were low (<0.39 leaks mile-1), likely due to the small extent of cast iron and bare steel within the distribution pipeline system (2.6%). Our atmospheric monitoring demonstrated that the isotopic composition of locally emitted CO2 approached the δ13C range of natural gas combustion in winter, correlating to natural gas power generation patterns at Cornell's Combined Heat and Power Plant located 600 m southeast of the monitoring site. Atmospheric CH4 plumes were primarily of natural gas origin, were observed intermittently throughout the year, and were most frequent in winter and spring. No correlations between the timing of atmospheric natural gas CH4 plumes and Cornell Plant gas use patterns could be drawn. However, elevated CH4 and CO2 concentrations were observed coincident with high winds from the southeast, and the plant is the only major emission source in that wind sector. Our results demonstrate pipeline leakage rates are low in cities with a low extent of leak prone pipe, and natural gas power facilities may be an important source of urban and suburban emissions.
Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Dióxido de Carbono/provisão & distribuição , Cidades , Monitoramento Ambiental , Metano/análise , Metano/provisão & distribuição , Gás Natural/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/provisão & distribuição , Isótopos de Carbono , Efeito Estufa , Substâncias Perigosas/análise , Humanos , Gás Natural/provisão & distribuição , New York , Análise Espaço-TemporalRESUMO
Säo descritos métodos e procedimentos de preservaçäo de bactérias anaeróbias estritas produtoras de metano. Duas técnicas diferentes foram adotadas: uma para manutençäo de baixo potencial de oxireduçäo em frascos de cultivo e outra para conservaçäo das células bacterianas em nitrogênio líquido