Bayesian semiparametric model with spatially-temporally varying coefficients selection.
Stat Med
; 32(21): 3670-85, 2013 Sep 20.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-23526312
ABSTRACT
In spatiotemporal analysis, the effect of a covariate on the outcome usually varies across areas and time. The spatial configuration of the areas may potentially depend on not only the structured random intercept but also spatially varying coefficients of covariates. In addition, the normality assumption of the distribution of spatially varying coefficients could lead to potential biases of estimations. In this article, we proposed a Bayesian semiparametric space-time model where the spatially-temporally varying coefficient is decomposed as fixed, spatially varying, and temporally varying coefficients. We nonparametrically modeled the spatially varying coefficients of space-time covariates by using the area-specific Dirichlet process prior with weights transformed via a generalized transformation. We modeled the temporally varying coefficients of covariates through the dynamic model. We also took into account the uncertainty of inclusion of the spatially-temporally varying coefficients by variable selection procedure through determining the probabilities of different effects for each covariate. The proposed semiparametric approach shows its improvement compared with the Bayesian spatial-temporal models with normality assumption on spatial random effects and the Bayesian model with the Dirichlet process prior on the random intercept. We presented a simulation example to evaluate the performance of the proposed approach with the competing models. We used an application to low birth weight data in South Carolina as an illustration.
Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Modelos Estatísticos
/
Teorema de Bayes
/
Conglomerados Espaço-Temporais
Tipo de estudo:
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Limite:
Female
/
Humans
/
Newborn
/
Pregnancy
País/Região como assunto:
America do norte
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Stat Med
Ano de publicação:
2013
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
Estados Unidos