Dynamical Analysis of an SEIT Epidemic Model with Application to Ebola Virus Transmission in Guinea.
Comput Math Methods Med
; 2015: 582625, 2015.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-26246849
ABSTRACT
In order to investigate the transmission mechanism of the infectious individual with Ebola virus, we establish an SEIT (susceptible, exposed in the latent period, infectious, and treated/recovery) epidemic model. The basic reproduction number is defined. The mathematical analysis on the existence and stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is given. As the applications of the model, we use the recognized infectious and death cases in Guinea to estimate parameters of the model by the least square method. With suitable parameter values, we obtain the estimated value of the basic reproduction number and analyze the sensitivity and uncertainty property by partial rank correlation coefficients.
Texto completo:
1
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Doença pelo Vírus Ebola
/
Ebolavirus
Tipo de estudo:
Prognostic_studies
Limite:
Humans
País/Região como assunto:
Africa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Comput Math Methods Med
Assunto da revista:
INFORMATICA MEDICA
Ano de publicação:
2015
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
China