Nomogram for predicting advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease.
BMC Gastroenterol
; 21(1): 190, 2021 Apr 27.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-33906623
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
We aimed to formulate a novel predictive nomogram to discriminate liver fibrosis stage in patients with chronic liver disease.METHODS:
Nomograms were established based on the results of multivariate analysis. The predictive accuracy of the nomograms was assessed by ROC analysis and calibration. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to determine the clinical benefit of the nomograms.RESULTS:
INR, platelets, and N-terminal propeptide type III collagen (PIIINP) were independent predictors for advanced liver fibrosis (≥ S3) and cirrhosis (S4) in patients with chronic liver disease in the training cohort. In the training set, the areas under the ROCs (AUROCs) of nomogram S3S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage ≥ S3 were 0.83, 0.71, 0.68, and 0.74, respectively; the AUROCs of nomogram S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage S4 were 0.88, 0.74, 0.78, and 0.79, respectively. The calibrations showed optimal agreement between the prediction by the established nomograms and actual observation. In the validation set, the AUROCs of nomogram S3S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage ≥ S3 were 0.86, 0.79, 0.78, and 0.81, respectively; the AUROCs of nomogram S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage S4 were 0.88, 0.77, 0.81, and 0.83, respectively. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis suggested that the nomograms represent better clinical benefits in both independent cohorts than APRI, FIB-4, and GPR.CONCLUSION:
The constructed nomograms could be a superior tool for discriminating advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic liver disease.Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Nomogramas
/
Cirrose Hepática
Tipo de estudo:
Diagnostic_studies
/
Observational_studies
/
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Limite:
Humans
Idioma:
En
Revista:
BMC Gastroenterol
Assunto da revista:
GASTROENTEROLOGIA
Ano de publicação:
2021
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
China