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Safe and just Earth system boundaries.
Rockström, Johan; Gupta, Joyeeta; Qin, Dahe; Lade, Steven J; Abrams, Jesse F; Andersen, Lauren S; Armstrong McKay, David I; Bai, Xuemei; Bala, Govindasamy; Bunn, Stuart E; Ciobanu, Daniel; DeClerck, Fabrice; Ebi, Kristie; Gifford, Lauren; Gordon, Christopher; Hasan, Syezlin; Kanie, Norichika; Lenton, Timothy M; Loriani, Sina; Liverman, Diana M; Mohamed, Awaz; Nakicenovic, Nebojsa; Obura, David; Ospina, Daniel; Prodani, Klaudia; Rammelt, Crelis; Sakschewski, Boris; Scholtens, Joeri; Stewart-Koster, Ben; Tharammal, Thejna; van Vuuren, Detlef; Verburg, Peter H; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zimm, Caroline; Bennett, Elena M; Bringezu, Stefan; Broadgate, Wendy; Green, Pamela A; Huang, Lei; Jacobson, Lisa; Ndehedehe, Christopher; Pedde, Simona; Rocha, Juan; Scheffer, Marten; Schulte-Uebbing, Lena; de Vries, Wim; Xiao, Cunde; Xu, Chi; Xu, Xinwu; Zafra-Calvo, Noelia.
Afiliação
  • Rockström J; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany. johan.rockstrom@pik-potsdam.de.
  • Gupta J; Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany. johan.rockstrom@pik-potsdam.de.
  • Qin D; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden. johan.rockstrom@pik-potsdam.de.
  • Lade SJ; Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Abrams JF; IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, The Netherlands.
  • Andersen LS; State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China.
  • Armstrong McKay DI; China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China.
  • Bai X; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
  • Bala G; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden. steven.lade@futureearth.org.
  • Bunn SE; Future Earth Secretariat, Stockholm, Sweden. steven.lade@futureearth.org.
  • Ciobanu D; Fenner School of Environment & Society, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. steven.lade@futureearth.org.
  • DeClerck F; Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
  • Ebi K; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
  • Gifford L; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Gordon C; Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
  • Hasan S; Georesilience Analytics, Leatherhead, UK.
  • Kanie N; Fenner School of Environment & Society, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
  • Lenton TM; Center for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, India.
  • Loriani S; Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
  • Liverman DM; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Mohamed A; EAT, Oslo, Norway.
  • Nakicenovic N; Alliance of Bioversity International and CIAT of the CGIAR, Montpellier, France.
  • Obura D; Center for Health & the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
  • Ospina D; School of Geography, Development and Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
  • Prodani K; Institute for Environment and Sanitation Studies, University of Ghana, Legon, Ghana.
  • Rammelt C; Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
  • Sakschewski B; Graduate School of Media and Governance, Keio University, Fujisawa, Japan.
  • Scholtens J; Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
  • Stewart-Koster B; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
  • Tharammal T; School of Geography, Development and Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
  • van Vuuren D; Functional Forest Ecology, Universität Hamburg, Barsbüttel, Germany.
  • Verburg PH; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
  • Winkelmann R; CORDIO East Africa, Mombasa, Kenya.
  • Zimm C; Future Earth Secretariat, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Bennett EM; Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Bringezu S; Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Broadgate W; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
  • Green PA; Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Huang L; Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
  • Jacobson L; Interdisciplinary Center for Water Research, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, India.
  • Ndehedehe C; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
  • Pedde S; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, The Netherlands.
  • Rocha J; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research, Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
  • Scheffer M; Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Schulte-Uebbing L; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
  • de Vries W; Institute of Physics and Astronomy, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany.
  • Xiao C; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
  • Xu C; Bieler School of Environment, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
  • Xu X; Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
  • Zafra-Calvo N; Center for Environmental Systems Research, Kassel University, Kassel, Germany.
Nature ; 619(7968): 102-111, 2023 Jul.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37258676
ABSTRACT
The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked1-3, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently4,5. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice)4. The stricter of the safe or just boundaries sets the integrated safe and just ESB. Our findings show that justice considerations constrain the integrated ESBs more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading. Seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs and at least two regional safe and just ESBs in over half of global land area are already exceeded. We propose that our assessment provides a quantitative foundation for safeguarding the global commons for all people now and into the future.
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Texto completo: 1 Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Segurança / Mudança Climática / Planeta Terra / Internacionalidade / Justiça Ambiental Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies Limite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: Nature Ano de publicação: 2023 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Alemanha
Texto completo
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar no Google

Texto completo: 1 Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Segurança / Mudança Climática / Planeta Terra / Internacionalidade / Justiça Ambiental Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies Limite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: Nature Ano de publicação: 2023 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Alemanha