Proteomic Biomarkers for the Prediction of Transition to Psychosis in Individuals at Clinical High Risk: A Multi-cohort Model Development Study.
Schizophr Bull
; 50(3): 579-588, 2024 Apr 30.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-38243809
ABSTRACT
Psychosis risk prediction is one of the leading challenges in psychiatry. Previous investigations have suggested that plasma proteomic data may be useful in accurately predicting transition to psychosis in individuals at clinical high risk (CHR). We hypothesized that an a priori-specified proteomic prediction model would have strong predictive accuracy for psychosis risk and aimed to replicate longitudinal associations between plasma proteins and transition to psychosis. This study used plasma samples from participants in 3 CHR cohorts the North American Prodrome Longitudinal Studies 2 and 3, and the NEURAPRO randomized control trial (total nâ
=â
754). Plasma proteomic data were quantified using mass spectrometry. The primary outcome was transition to psychosis over the study follow-up period. Logistic regression models were internally validated, and optimism-corrected performance metrics derived with a bootstrap procedure. In the overall sample of CHR participants (age 18.5, SD 3.9; 51.9% male), 20.4% (nâ
=â
154) developed psychosis within 4.4 years. The a priori-specified model showed poor risk-prediction accuracy for the development of psychosis (C-statistic 0.51 [95% CI 0.50, 0.59], calibration slope 0.45). At a group level, Complement C8B, C4B, C5, and leucine-rich α-2 glycoprotein 1 (LRG1) were associated with transition to psychosis but did not surpass correction for multiple comparisons. This study did not confirm the findings from a previous proteomic prediction model of transition from CHR to psychosis. Certain complement proteins may be weakly associated with transition at a group level. Previous findings, derived from small samples, should be interpreted with caution.
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Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Transtornos Psicóticos
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Biomarcadores
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Proteômica
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Sintomas Prodrômicos
Tipo de estudo:
Clinical_trials
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Etiology_studies
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Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Limite:
Adolescent
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Adult
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Female
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Humans
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Male
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Schizophr Bull
Ano de publicação:
2024
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
Irlanda