A computer model of the evolution of specific maximum lifespan.

ABSTRACT

To answer the question of why organisms have evolved finite and specific maximum lifespans, I have built and experimentally studied a discrete-event simulation model of the evolution of lifespan. Through natural selection, the model evolves an apparent plateau in maximum lifespan, the height of which is a decreasing function of both the intensity of niche fluctuations and specific fecundity. Evolved lifespan is therefore finite (small and essentially constant over accessible time intervals) and specific. Experiments demonstrate that the plateau is not due to group selection. Instead, it occurs because the rate of increase of maximum lifespan by natural selection - in an environment presenting a finite probability that death will occur prior to reaching the genetically specified maximum - is a decreasing function of maximum lifespan itself and asymptotically approaches zero. This supports in part a class of existing hypotheses that finite lifespan is due to an equilibrium between weak selection, as in the model, and various lifespan-decreasing processes, which however were not simulated in the present experiments. Although the model shows that such counter processes are not strictly necessary for the evolution of finite and specific maximum lifespan, my interpretation of the model's correspondence to organic evolution does imply a counter process, a bias in random genetic drift toward shorter lifespan, that is more general than those previously hypothesized.