Forecasting the COVID-19 Epidemic by Integrating Symptom Search Behavior Into Predictive Models: Infoveillance Study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have suggested associations between trends of web searches and COVID-19 traditional metrics. It remains unclear whether models incorporating trends of digital searches lead to better predictions. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between Google Trends searches of symptoms associated with COVID-19 and confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths. We aim to develop predictive models to forecast the COVID-19 epidemic based on a combination of Google Trends searches of symptoms and conventional COVID-19 metrics. METHODS: An open-access web application was developed to evaluate Google Trends and traditional COVID-19 metrics via an interactive framework based on principal component analysis (PCA) and time series modeling. The application facilitates the analysis of symptom search behavior associated with COVID-19 disease in 188 countries. In this study, we selected the data of nine countries as case studies to represent all continents. PCA was used to perform data dimensionality reduction, and three different time series models (error, trend, seasonality; autoregressive integrated moving average; and feed-forward neural network autoregression) were used to predict COVID-19 metrics in the upcoming 14 days. The models were compared in terms of prediction ability using the root mean square error (RMSE) of the first principal component (PC1). The predictive abilities of models generated with both Google Trends data and conventional COVID-19 metrics were compared with those fitted with conventional COVID-19 metrics only. RESULTS: The degree of correlation and the best time lag varied as a function of the selected country and topic searched; in general, the optimal time lag was within 15 days. Overall, predictions of PC1 based on both search terms and COVID-19 traditional metrics performed better than those not including Google searches (median 1.56, IQR 0.90-2.49 versus median 1.87, IQR 1.09-2.95, respectively), but the improvement in prediction varied as a function of the selected country and time frame. The best model varied as a function of country, time range, and period of time selected. Models based on a 7-day moving average led to considerably smaller RMSE values as opposed to those calculated with raw data (median 0.90, IQR 0.50-1.53 versus median 2.27, IQR 1.62-3.74, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The inclusion of digital online searches in statistical models may improve the nowcasting and forecasting of the COVID-19 epidemic and could be used as one of the surveillance systems of COVID-19 disease. We provide a free web application operating with nearly real-time data that anyone can use to make predictions of outbreaks, improve estimates of the dynamics of ongoing epidemics, and predict future or rebound waves.

Predictors of Long-Term Visual Field Fluctuation in Glaucoma Patients.

PURPOSE: To identify predictive factors for visual field (VF) fluctuation in glaucoma patients. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1392 eyes (816 patients) with 6 or more VFs and 3 years or more of follow-up. METHODS: For each eye, the VF mean deviation (MD) and the pointwise sensitivities were regressed against time to model the series trend, and the root mean square error (RMSE) was estimated as a measure of variability. Potential predictors were selected with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and included eye laterality, ethnicity, glaucoma type, intraocular pressure (IOP) fluctuation, baseline best corrected-visual acuity, intervening cataract or glaucoma surgery, length of follow-up, frequency of testing, baseline MD, rates of VF progression, and median false positive (FP) and false negative (FN) responses. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Predictors of global and pointwise VF long-term fluctuation. RESULTS: In the global model, left eye (0.063 dB; P = 0.022), Asian descent (0.265 dB; P = 0.006), larger IOP fluctuation (0.051 dB; P < 0.001), intervening cataract surgery (0.090 dB; P = 0.023), longer follow-up (0.130 dB; P < 0.001), worse baseline MD (-0.145 dB; P < 0.001), faster VF decay rate (-0.090 dB; P < 0.001), and higher FP rate (0.145 dB; P < 0.001) and FN rate (0.220 dB; P < 0.001) were predictors of VF fluctuation. In the pointwise model, larger IOP fluctuation (0.039 dB; P = 0.022), longer follow-up (0.340 dB; P < 0.001), higher VF frequency (0.238 dB; P = 0.002), intervening glaucoma surgery (0.190 dB; P = 0.01), worse baseline MD (-0.535 dB; P < 0.001), faster VF decay rate (-0.340 dB; P < 0.001), and higher FP rate (0.255 dB; P < 0.001) and FN rate (0.395 dB; P < 0.001) were associated with increased fluctuation. The multivariable model explained 57% and 28% of the pointwise and global variances, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified novel predictors of VF fluctuation, and explains nearly 60% of the pointwise variance. In the presence of factors predictive of high fluctuation, increased frequency of testing and better analytics will help to identify VF progression more accurately.

Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and its correlates among community-recruited children living with HIV and uninfected children born to HIV-infected parents in West Bengal, India.

PURPOSE: Helping children living with HIV (CLH) to attain an optimum quality of life is an important goal for HIV programs around the world. Our principal objectives were to determine the association of HIV infection with different domains of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among 8- to 15-year-old CLH in India and to compare the HRQoL parameters between CLH and HIV-negative children born to HIV-infected parents ("HIV-affected"). We also assessed whether antiretroviral therapy (ART) and CD4 lymphocyte counts were associated with HRQoL among CLH. METHODS: Using the "Quality of Life (health-related) of Children Living with HIV/AIDS in India" instrument, we interviewed 199 CLH and 194 HIV-affected children from three districts of West Bengal, India. Participants were asked to quantify the difficulties faced by them in six HRQoL domains: physical, emotional, social, school functioning, symptoms, and discrimination. RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 11.6 (SD ± 2.5) years. CLH, compared to HIV-affected children, had poorer scores on all HRQoL domains except 'discrimination.' Among CLH, there were no significant differences in HRQoL domain scores (except in the 'discrimination' domain) between ART-treated and -untreated groups. CD4 lymphocyte count was found to be a significant positive predictor of the 'symptom' scale score. CONCLUSIONS: In India, interventions for CLH mostly focus on biological disease. However, the current study revealed that HRQoL among CLH was much poorer than that of a socio-demographically comparable group. Culturally and developmentally appropriate psychosocial support measures for Indian CLH are urgently needed.

A Metascore of Multiple Imaging Methods to Measure Long-Term Glaucoma Structural Progression.

Purpose: To develop a structural metascore (SMS) that combines measurements from different devices and expresses them on a single scale to facilitate their long-term analysis. Methods: Three structural measurements (Heidelberg Retina Tomograph II [HRT] rim area, HD-Cirrus optical coherence tomography [OCT] average retinal nerve fiber layer [RNFL] thickness, Spectralis OCT RNFL global thickness) were normalized on a scale of 0 to 100 and converted to a reference value. The resultant metascores were plotted against time. SMS performance was evaluated to predict future values (internal validation), and correlations between the average grades assigned by three clinicians were compared with the SMS slopes (external validation). Results: The linear regression fit with the variance approach, and adjustment to a Spectralis equivalent was the best-performing approach; this was denominated metascore. Plots were created for 3416 eyes of 1824 patients. The average baseline age (± standard deviation) was 69.8 (±13.9), mean follow-up was 11.6 (±4.7) years, and mean number of structural scans per eye was 10.0 (±4.7). The mean numbers of scans per device were 3.8 (±2.5), 5.0 (±2.9), and 1.3 (±3.0) for HRT, Cirrus, and Spectralis, respectively. The metascore slopes' median was -0.3 (interquartile range 1.1). Correlations between the average grades assigned by the three clinicians and the metascore slopes were -0.51, -0.49, and -0.69 for the first (structural measurement printouts alone), second (metascore plots alone), and third (printouts + metascore plots) series of gradings, respectively. The average absolute predictive ability was 7.63/100 (whereas 100 = entire normalized scale). Conclusions: We report a method that converts Cirrus global RNFL and HRT global rim area normalized measurements to Spectralis global RNFL equivalent values to facilitate long-term structural follow-up. Translational Relevance: Because glaucoma changes usually occur slowly, patients are often examined with different instruments during their follow-up, a method that "unifies" structural measurements provided by different devices, which could assist patients' longitudinal structural follow-up.

The chromophobe tumor grading system is the preferred grading scheme for chromophobe renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The prognostic usefulness of the Fuhrman nuclear grading system has been questioned for chromophobe renal cell carcinoma due to its frequent nuclear and nucleolar pleomorphism. Chromophobe tumor grade, a novel 3-tier tumor grading system based on geographic nuclear crowding and anaplasia, was recently reported to be superior to the Fuhrman system. We compared the 2 scoring systems in a large sporadic chromophobe renal cell carcinoma cohort to determine which grading scheme provides the most predictive assessment of clinical risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified a total of 84 cases of sporadic chromophobe renal cell carcinoma in 82 patients from a total of 2,634 cases (3.2%) spanning 1989 to 2010. A subset of 11 tumors had secondary areas of sarcomatoid transformation. All cases were reviewed for Fuhrman nuclear grade and chromophobe tumor grade according to published parameters by an expert genitourinary pathologist blinded to clinicopathological information. RESULTS: The distribution of Fuhrman nuclear grades 1 to 4 was 0%, 52.4%, 32.9% and 14.7% of cases, and the distribution of chromophobe tumor grades 1 to 3 was 48.8%, 36.5% and 14.7%, respectively. Metastasis developed in 20 patients (24.4%). Survival analysis revealed statistically significant differences in recurrence-free survival when adjusted for chromophobe tumor grade and Fuhrman nuclear grade. Chromophobe tumor grade showed a slightly higher AUC for recurrence-free survival and overall survival than the Fuhrman nuclear grading system. Neither chromophobe tumor grade nor Fuhrman nuclear grade was retained as an independent predictor of outcome in multivariate modeling when patients with sarcomatoid lesions were excluded. CONCLUSIONS: Chromophobe tumor grade effectively stratifies patients with chromophobe renal cell carcinoma across all grading levels. Since it does not rely on nuclear features, it avoids the hazard of overestimating the malignant potential of chromophobe renal cell carcinoma. Overall chromophobe tumor grade has higher predictive accuracy than the Fuhrman nuclear grading system.

Media literacy as a violence-prevention strategy: a pilot evaluation.

Youth violence is a major unresolved public health problem in the United States and media exposure to violence is a synergistic source of this national problem. One media literacy curriculum designed specifically to address this issue is Beyond Blame: Challenging Violence in the Media. The purpose of this pilot study was to examine the curriculum's feasibility as a full-scale intervention. Intervention and control groups were similar with respect to knowledge of the Beyond Blame curriculum at baseline. Intervention students scored much higher on the posttest compared with the control students. The majority (90.2%) of the intervention students reported a significant increase in pre- to posttest score compared with only 18.8% of the control students (p < .0001). The magnitude of the score increase for intervention students was much greater than those in the control group. Several intervention students (N = 49; 19.9%) improved their score by 12 or more points compared with the control students who showed only a 1- to 7-point score increase (N = 3; 18.8%; p < .0001). The pre-and posttest scores were similar for males and females. Three of the six intervention classrooms scored higher on both the pretest and posttest compared with the other three classrooms.

Pointwise Methods to Measure Long-term Visual Field Progression in Glaucoma.

Importance: Rates of visual field (VF) progression vary among patients with glaucoma. Knowing the rate of progression of individual patients would allow appropriately aggressive therapy for patients with high rates of visual loss and protect those with low rates from unnecessary therapy. Objective: To compare 3 pointwise methods of estimating the rate of VF progression in glaucoma. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective, observational cohort study included 729 eyes of 567 consecutive patients with primary open-angle glaucoma who had at least 6 reliable VFs and at least 3 years of follow-up. One hundred seventy-six patients (257 eyes) were treated at a tertiary glaucoma center; in addition, data were collected from 391 participants (472 eyes) in the Advanced Glaucoma Intervention Study. Data were collected from May 1988 to November 2004 and analyzed from October 2018 to February 2019. Exposures: Estimates of VF progression were measured with guided progression analysis (GPA), pointwise linear regression (PLR), and the glaucoma rate index (GRI). A subgroup analysis was performed in a subset of patients with likely VF progression and likely VF stability. Main Outcomes and Measures: Proportion of VF series detected as progressing, estimates of false-positive proportions, time to detect progression, and agreement among measures. Results: Among the 567 patients included in the analysis, mean (SD) age was 65.6 (9.7) years, 300 (52.9%) were female, and 295 (52.0%) were white. The median baseline mean deviation was -6.7 (interquartile range [IQR], -11.6 to -3.5) dB; the median follow-up time, 8.9 (IQR, 7.3-10.4) years. The proportion of eyes labeled as progressing was 27.7% according to the GPA, 33.5% according to the PLR, and 52.9% according to the GRI; pairwise differences for GRI vs PLR were 20% (95% CI, 17%-23%); for GRI vs GPA, 25% (95% CI, 22%-29%); and for PLR vs GPA, 6% (95% CI, 3%-9%; P < .001 for all comparisons, McNemar test). The shortest median time to progression was with the GRI (8.8 [IQR, 2.4-10.5 years), compared with the GPA and PLR (both >16 years). The hazard ratio of VF progression for GRI vs PLR (reference) was 11.3 (95% CI, 9.2-13.7); for GRI vs GPA (reference), 18.1 (95% CI, 14.5-22.6); and for PLR vs GPA (reference), 1.5 (95% CI, 1.3-1.9; P < .001 for all comparisons, Cox proportional hazards regression). These results held in the subgroup with likely progression; the proportions of progressing eyes were 73.7% (115 of 156) for GPA, 81.4% (127 of 156) for PLR, and 92.9% (145 of 156) for GRI. Pairwise difference for GRI vs PLR was 11.5% (95% CI, 7.4%-17.6%; P < .001, McNemar test); for GRI vs GPA, 19.2% (95% CI, 12.6%-26.4%; P < .001, McNemar test); and for PLR vs GPA, 7.7% (95% CI, 0.3%-15.7%; P = .08, McNemar test). Conclusions and Relevance: These results suggest GRI can detect long-term VF progression in glaucoma earlier than PLR or GPA. Validation with prospective designs may strengthen the generalizability and value of this method.

The effects of a disease management program on self-reported health behaviors and health outcomes: evidence from the "Florida: a healthy state (FAHS)" Medicaid program.

Premature morbidity and mortality from chronic diseases account for a major proportion of expenditures for health care cost in the United States. The purpose of this study was to measure the effects of a disease management program on physiological and behavioral health indicators for Medicaid patients in Florida. A two-year prospective study of 15,275 patients with one or more chronic illnesses (congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, or asthma) was undertaken. Control of hypertension improved from baseline to Year 1 (adjusted odds ratio = 1.60, p < .05), with maintenance at Year 2. Adjusted cholesterol declined by 6.41 mg/dl from baseline to Year 1 and by 12.41 mg/dl (p < .01) from baseline to Year 2. Adjusted average medication compliance increased by 0.19 points (p < .01) in Year 1 and 0.29 points (p < .01) in Year 2. Patients in the disease management program benefited in terms of controlling hypertension, asthma symptoms, and cholesterol and blood glucose levels.

Preinjury factors and 3-month outcomes following emergency department diagnosis of mild traumatic brain injury.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the sequelae of mild traumatic brain injury (MTBI) by comparing selected outcomes of emergency department-diagnosed patients with mild head injuries to those with non-head injuries. SETTING: Five emergency departments in southern California. PARTICIPANTS: Two cohorts, one with MTBI (n = 689 at initial assessment) and another with non-head injuries (n = 1318). MAIN MEASURES: Rivermead Post-Concussion Symptoms Questionnaire and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index at 3 months postinjury. RESULTS: Postconcussion symptom rates and summary Rivermead Post-Concussion Symptoms Questionnaire scores were significantly higher for persons with MTBI than for the comparison cohort. Women reported significantly more symptoms than men. Complaints about sleep quality overall (and also sleep latency and daytime dysfunction subcomponents) were significantly more frequent among those with MTBI. CONCLUSION: Patients with MTBI have significantly more negative outcomes than patients in the comparison cohort and should be clinically managed with these prevalent outcomes in mind. Further study of follow-up medical management and the development of treatment guidelines for this group of patients are both warranted.

Quantification of Visual Field Variability in Glaucoma: Implications for Visual Field Prediction and Modeling.

PURPOSE: To quantify visual field (VF) variability as a function of threshold sensitivity and location, and to compare weighted pointwise linear regression (PLR) with unweighted PLR and pointwise exponential regression (PER) for data fit and prediction ability. METHODS: Two datasets were used for this retrospective study. The first was used to characterize and estimate VF variability, and included a total of 4,747 eyes of 3,095 glaucoma patients with six or more VFs and 3 years or more of follow-up. After performing PER for each series, standard deviation of residuals was quantified for each decibel of sensitivity as a measure of variability. A separate dataset was used to test and compare unweighted PLR, weighted PLR, and PER for data fit and prediction, and included 261 eyes of 176 primary open-angle glaucoma patients with 10 or more VFs and 6 years or more of follow-up. RESULTS: The degree of variability changed as a function of threshold sensitivity with a zenith and a nadir at 33 and 11 dB, respectively. Variability decreased with eccentricity and was higher in the central 10° (P < 0.001). Differences among the methods for data fit were negligible. PER was the best model to predict future sensitivity values in the mid term and long term. CONCLUSIONS: VF variability increases with the severity of glaucoma damage and decreases with eccentricity. Weighted linear regression neither improves model fit nor prediction. PER exhibited the best prediction ability, which is likely related to the nonlinear nature of long-term glaucomatous perimetric decay. TRANSLATIONAL RELEVANCE: This study suggests that taking into account heteroscedasticity has no advantage in VF modeling.

Effectiveness Evaluation of It's Your Game: Keep It Real, a Middle School HIV/Sexually Transmitted Infection/Pregnancy Prevention Program.

PURPOSE: This study assessed the effectiveness of the HIV/sexually transmitted infection/pregnancy prevention program, It's Your Game: Keep It Real (IYG). METHODS: IYG was implemented by classroom teachers in 24 urban middle schools from 2012 to 2015. Using a quasi-experimental design, each year we surveyed ninth-grade students in 10 high schools that were selected based on feeder patterns from project middle schools. We compared two groups of students (n = 4,562): (1) students whose middle school grade cohorts did not receive IYG ("No-IYG"), and (2) students whose middle school grade cohorts received IYG ("IYG"). Multilevel analyses examined differences between the two groups in the initiation of any type of sexual activity (oral, vaginal, or anal sex), presexual behaviors, and psychosocial mediators. RESULTS: Students in the IYG group were less likely to report initiation of sexual activity by ninth grade compared to students in the No-IYG group (odds ratio .77; 95% confidence interval .66-.90). The IYG group was significantly less likely to have engaged in presexual behaviors, including having been on a date, had a boyfriend/girlfriend, and touched or been touched on private body parts. The IYG group had better outcomes on 11 of 19 psychosocial variables, including knowledge; beliefs about abstinence, sex, friends' beliefs, norms, and behaviors; reasons for not having sex; personal limits; exposure to risky situations; self-efficacy; and quality of dating relationships. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that IYG, when implemented on a large scale by trained classroom teachers in urban public schools, had positive impacts on students' behaviors, beliefs, and knowledge.

Risk Factors for Fast Visual Field Progression in Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: To identify baseline and longitudinal risk factors for fast visual field (VF) decay in patients with open-angle glaucoma. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. METHODS: Patients with open-angle glaucoma with ≥6 VFs and ≥4 years of follow-up were included. VF decay rates were measured with the following methods: mean deviation (MD) rate, VF index (VFI) rate, and the Glaucoma Rate Index (GRI). The relationship between VF rates and clinical variables were investigated with linear mixed models. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine which factors were associated with fast progression. RESULTS: A total of 1317 eyes of 745 patients with a mean (± SD) age of 63.3 (±10.9) years and a median (interquartile range) MD -2.4 (-0.7 to -5.6) dB at baseline were analyzed. The median (interquartile range) number of VFs was 12 (9 to 16), and mean follow-up duration was 11.5 (±3.7) years. Older age (P < .001), higher peak intraocular pressure (IOP) (P < .001), and glaucoma surgery during the study period (P < .001) were associated with faster rates of progression regardless of the method used. Worse baseline MD was associated with MD rate (P = .02), but neither with VFI rate (P = .37) nor GRI (P = .31); whereas pseudoexfoliative glaucoma was associated with faster rates of progression with MD (P = .008) and VFI (P = .01) rates, but not with GRI. Higher peak IOPs (P = .005) was a significant predictor for fast progression. CONCLUSION: In this cohort, older age, peak IOP, pseudoexfoliative glaucoma, and baseline MD were associated with the rate of glaucomatous VF worsening. Fast progressors had a higher peak IOP than non-fast progressors. The identification and appropriately aggressive treatment of fast progressors would reduce visual disability from glaucoma.

Cataract Surgery and Rate of Visual Field Progression in Primary Open-Angle Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: To test the hypothesis that cataract surgery slows the apparent rate of visual field (VF) decay in primary open-angle glaucoma patients compared with rates measured during cataract progression. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. METHODS: Consecutive open-angle glaucoma patients who underwent cataract surgery and who had ≥4 VFs and ≥3 years of follow-up before and after surgery were retrospectively reviewed. Mean deviation (MD) rate, visual field index (VFI) rate, pointwise linear regression (PLR), pointwise rate of change (PRC), and the Glaucoma Rate Index (GRI) were compared before and after cataract surgery. RESULTS: A total of 134 eyes of 99 patients were included. Median (interquartile range) follow-up was 6.5 (4.7-8.1) and 5.3 (4.0-7.3) years before and after cataract surgery, respectively. All intraocular pressure (IOP) parameters (mean IOP, standard deviation of IOP, and peak IOP) significantly improved (P < .001) after cataract surgery. All VF indices indicated an accelerated VF decay rate after cataract surgery: MD rate (-0.18 ± 0.40 dB/year vs -0.40 ± 0.62 dB/year, P < .001), VFI rate (-0.44% ± 1.09%/year vs -1.19% ± 1.85%/year, P < .001), GRI (-5.5 ± 10.8 vs -13.5 ± 21.5; P < .001), and PRC (-0.62% ± 2.47%/year before and -1.35% ± 3.71%/year after surgery; P < .001) and PLR (-0.20 ± 0.82 dB/year before and -0.42 ± 1.16 dB/year after surgery; P < .001) for all VF locations. Worse baseline MD and postoperative peak IOP were significantly associated with the postoperative VF decay rate and the change in the decay rate after cataract surgery. CONCLUSION: Although all IOP parameters improved after cataract surgery, VFs continued to progress. Cataract surgery does not slow the apparent rate of glaucomatous VF decay as compared to rates measured during the progression of the cataract.

Effect of a targeted subsidy on intake of fruits and vegetables among low-income women in the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children.

OBJECTIVES: Intake of fruits and vegetables protects against several common chronic diseases, and low income is associated with lower intake. We tested the effectiveness of a subsidy for fruits and vegetables to the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC). METHODS: Women who enrolled for postpartum services (n=602) at 3 WIC sites in Los Angeles were assigned to an intervention (farmers' market or supermarket, both with redeemable food vouchers) or control condition (a minimal nonfood incentive). Interventions were carried out for 6 months, and participants' diets were followed for an additional 6 months. RESULTS: Intervention participants increased their consumption of fruits and vegetables and sustained the increase 6 months after the intervention was terminated (model adjusted R(2)=.13, P<.001). Farmers' market participants showed an increase of 1.4 servings per 4186 kJ (1000 kcal) of consumed food (P<.001) from baseline to the end of intervention compared with controls, and supermarket participants showed an increase of 0.8 servings per 4186 kJ (P=.02). CONCLUSIONS: Participants valued fresh fruits and vegetables, and adding them to the WIC food packages will result in increased fruit and vegetable consumption.

The association between an electric pump loan program and the timing of requests for formula by working mothers in WIC.

An electric pump loan program designed to facilitate breastfeeding for low-income mothers returning to full-time work was evaluated. All mothers were WIC participants in the Los Angeles area. Electric pump loans were made until the infant's first birthday or until the mother requested formula from WIC. Information was provided to employers on supporting breastfeeding in the workplace. A subsample of mothers who received an electric pump on return to full-time work was compared with counterparts in a wait list control group. Mothers who received an electric pump as soon as requested did not request formula until 8.8 months on average, whereas those who did not receive an electric pump requested formula on average at 4.8 months (P < .0001). Mothers who received an electric pump when requested were 5.5 (95% CI 2.0-15.1) times as likely as mothers who did not receive an electric pump to not request formula at 6 months.

Formation and psychometric evaluation of a health-related quality of life instrument for children living with HIV in India.

In-depth interviews and focus group discussions were conducted to inform the development of an instrument to measure the health-related quality of life of children living with HIV. The QOL-CHAI instrument consists of four generic core scales of the "Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory" and two HIV-targeted scales-"symptoms" and "discrimination." A piloting exercise involving groups of children living with HIV and HIV-negative children born to HIV-infected parents provided evidence for the acceptable psychometric properties and usability of the instrument. It is expected that the QOL-CHAI can serve well as a brief, standardized, and culturally appropriate instrument for assessing health-related quality of life of Indian children living with HIV.

A Method to Measure the Rate of Glaucomatous Visual Field Change.

PURPOSE: To develop a method to measure the rate of glaucomatous visual field (VF) deterioration and to identify fast progressors. METHODS: Retrospective, longitudinal, observational study of 8486 eyes of 4610 glaucomatous patients with ≥6 VFs and ≥3 years of follow-up. A Glaucoma Rate Index (GRI) was calculated. VF locations were partitioned into exponential decay or exponential improvement models. A pointwise rate of change (PRC) was estimated with an exponential fit and expressed as the percent/year change of the age- and location-matched normal perimetric range, presented as a spatially conserved VF map. PRCs were summed and normalized with boundary rates set by simulated decaying and improving VF series on a scale of -100 to +100, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 89,704 VF examinations with 425,039 test location series was used. Median follow-up and number of VFs/eye were 9.7 years and 9 VFs, respectively. Initial and final mean deviations (±SD) were -4.2 (±5.2) and -5.7 (±6.4) dB. The proportions of test locations designated as decayed, improved, and unchanged were 13%, 4%, and 83%, respectively. Mean PRCs for decay, improvement, and no change were -3.7 (±4.7)%/y, 2.5 (±2.6)%/y, and -0.5 (±2.1)%/y, respectively. The number of eyes with negative and positive GRIs was 5802 (68%) and 2390 eyes (28%), respectively. The proportion of eyes defined as fast progressors was 6.8%. CONCLUSIONS: GRI provides a robust measure of glaucomatous VF change, operates without discontinuity over the entire perimetric range, and can be used to identify fast progressors. TRANSLATIONAL RELEVANCE: This study describes a novel method that can help the clinician to determine VF progression.

Influence of contextual environment and community-based dental education on practice plans of graduating seniors.

This study investigated senior dental students' plans to provide care to underserved racial/ethnic minority populations. Three sets of determinants were analyzed: contextual environment, community-based dental education (CBDE), and student characteristics. We analyzed data from the ADEA Survey of Dental School Seniors and administrative data sources to construct contextual variables. Multivariable results show three contextual variables predicted practice plans: greater numbers of federally qualified health centers, higher percentages of underrepresented minorities, and attending a California Pipeline dental school. Regarding CBDE predictors, it was alarming to find seniors who viewed the cultural competency curriculum as inadequate and perceived themselves as less prepared to provide oral health care to diverse populations were also those most likely to serve minority patients. Significant student characteristics included racial/ethnic minority, female gender, older age, lower parent's income, and socially conscious orientation. The study provides evidence that contextual environment, CBDE, and student characteristics were significantly associated with plans to care for underserved patients. Findings suggest if the Pipeline initiative is successful in stimulating reform in U.S. dental schools, future students will develop greater awareness regarding critical access problems and the competencies required to effectively care for diverse populations. In the long term, addressing the problem of dental care access will require the creation of policy, financial, and structural interventions to motivate providers to care for the underserved.

What enhances underrepresented minority recruitment to dental schools?

This study examined the factors influencing the proportion of underrepresented minority students (URM) in dental schools. Using a comprehensive recruitment model, it considered the relative importance of community characteristics (population demographics, oral health policies, dental care system, and university environment), dental school characteristics (Pipeline-supported, mission, and financing), and community-based dental education (CBDE) characteristics of the dental school on recruitment of URM students. Data come from a national survey of dental school seniors and a variety of publicly available sources. Three outcome variables measure URM recruitment: percent URM, percent Hispanic, and percent African American in the first year of dental school. Multivariable results revealed that the most important factors predicting a higher percent URM in first-year classes were a higher proportion of URM clinical faculty and graduating students' perceptions that their clinical rotation experience improved their ability to care for diverse groups. For percent Hispanic in the first year, a higher proportion of URM clinical faculty and students spending more time in clinical rotations predicted greater Hispanic recruitment. Graduating students' perceptions that they were less prepared to treat diverse groups were directly associated with the proportion of Hispanic students in the class. For a higher percent of African Americans in the first-year class, the most important factors were a higher proportion of blacks in the county, support from the national Pipeline program, and graduating students' perceptions of better preparedness to integrate cultural differences into treatment planning. Higher total financial aid awarded by the school was negatively associated with recruitment of African Americans. Results suggest some improved URM recruitment strategies for dental schools.

Vertical Macular Asymmetry Measures Derived From SD-OCT for Detection of Early Glaucoma.

Purpose: To test the hypothesis that vertical asymmetry in macular ganglion cell/inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness can improve detection of early glaucoma. Methods: Sixty-nine normal eyes and 101 glaucoma eyes had macular imaging with spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (OCT; 200 × 200 cube). The resulting GCIPL thickness matrix was grouped into a 20 × 20 superpixel array and superior superpixels were compared to their inferior counterparts. A global asymmetry index (AI) was defined as the grand mean of the asymmetry ratios. To measure local asymmetry, the corresponding thickness measurements of three rows above and below the horizontal raphe were compared individually and in combinations. Global and local AIs were compared to the best-performing GCIPL thickness parameters with area under the receiver operating curves (AUC) and sensitivity/specificities. Results: Age or axial length did not influence AIs in normal subjects (P ≥ 0.08). Global and local AIs were significantly higher in the glaucoma group compared to normal eyes. Minimum (AUC = 0.962, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.936-0.989) and inferotemporal thickness (AUC = 0.944, 95% CI: 0.910-0.977; P = 0.122) performed best for detection of early glaucoma. The AUC for global AI was 0.851 (95% CI: 0.792-0.909) compared to 0.916 (95% CI: 0.874-0.958) for the best local AI. Combining minimum or inferotemporal GCIPL thickness and the best local AI led to higher partial AUCs (0.088 and 0.085, 90% specificity, P = 0.120 and 0.130, respectively) than GCIPL thickness measures. Conclusions: Macular vertical thickness asymmetry measures did not perform better than sectoral or minimum GCIPL thickness for detection of early glaucoma. Combining local asymmetry parameters with the best sectoral GCIPL thickness measures enhanced this task.