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BACKGROUND: The Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) was developed to predict 30-day serious outcomes not evident during emergency department (ED) evaluation. OBJECTIVE: To externally validate the CSRS and compare it with another validated score, the Osservatorio Epidemiologico della Sincope nel Lazio (OESIL) score. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Large, international, multicenter study recruiting patients in EDs in 8 countries on 3 continents. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with syncope aged 40 years or older presenting to the ED within 12 hours of syncope. MEASUREMENTS: Composite outcome of serious clinical plus procedural events (primary outcome) and the primary composite outcome excluding procedural interventions (secondary outcome). RESULTS: Among 2283 patients with a mean age of 68 years, the primary composite outcome occurred in 7.2%, and the composite outcome excluding procedural interventions occurred in 3.1% at 30 days. Prognostic performance of the CSRS was good for both 30-day composite outcomes and better compared with the OESIL score (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.83 to 0.88] vs. 0.74 [CI, 0.71 to 0.78] and 0.80 [CI, 0.75 to 0.84] vs. 0.69 [CI, 0.64 to 0.75], respectively). Safety of triage, as measured by the frequency of the primary composite outcome in the low-risk group, was higher using the CSRS (19 of 1388 [0.6%]) versus the OESIL score (17 of 1104 [1.5%]). A simplified model including only the clinician classification of syncope (cardiac syncope, vasovagal syncope, or other) variable at ED discharge-a component of the CSRS-achieved similar discrimination as the CSRS (AUC, 0.83 [CI, 0.80 to 0.87] for the primary composite outcome). LIMITATION: Unable to disentangle the influence of other CSRS components on clinician classification of syncope at ED discharge. CONCLUSION: This international external validation of the CSRS showed good performance in identifying patients at low risk for serious outcomes outside of Canada and superior performance compared with the OESIL score. However, clinician classification of syncope at ED discharge seems to explain much of the performance of the CSRS in this study. The clinical utility of the CSRS remains uncertain. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Swiss National Science Foundation & Swiss Heart Foundation.
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Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Síncope , Idoso , Canadá , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Síncope/diagnóstico , Síncope/terapiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence, characteristics and association with prognosis of left bundle branch block (LBBB) in 3 different cohorts of patients with acute heart failure (AHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed 12,950 patients with AHF who were included in the EAHFE (Epidemiology Acute Heart Failure Emergency), RICA (National Heart Failure Registry of the Spanish Internal Medicine Society), and BASEL-V (Basics in Acute Shortness of Breath Evaluation of Switzerland) registries. We independently analyzed the relationship between baseline and clinical characteristics and the presence of LBBB and the potential association of LBBB with 1-year all-cause mortality and a 90-day postdischarge combined endpoint (Emergency Department reconsultation, hospitalization or death). The prevalence of LBBB was 13.5% (95% confidence interval: 12.9%-14.0%). In all registries, patients with LBBB more commonly had coronary artery disease and previous episodes of AHF, were taking chronic spironolactone treatment, had lower left ventricular ejection fraction and systolic blood pressure values and higher NT-proBNP levels. There were no differences in risk for patients with LBBB in any cohort, with adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for 1-year mortality in EAHFE/RICA/BASEL-V cohorts of 1.02 (0.89-1.17), 1.15 (0.95-1.38) and 1.32 (0.94-1.86), respectively, and for 90-day postdischarge combined endpoint of 1.00 (0.88-1.14), 1.14 (0.92-1.40) and 1.26 (0.84-1.89). These results were consistent in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Less than 20% of patients with AHF present LBBB, which is consistently associated with cardiovascular comorbidities, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction and more severe decompensations. Nonetheless, after taking these factors into account, LBBB in patients with AHF is not associated with worse outcomes.
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Bloqueio de Ramo , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Assistência ao Convalescente , Bloqueio de Ramo/diagnóstico , Bloqueio de Ramo/epidemiologia , Eletrocardiografia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Humanos , Alta do Paciente , Prevalência , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Volume Sistólico , Função Ventricular Esquerda/fisiologiaRESUMO
AIMS: We hypothesized that the current gold standard for risk stratification of patients with acute heart failure (AHF), the Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with AHF (MEESSI-AHF) risk score, can be further improved by adding systemic inflammation as quantified by C-reactive protein (CRP). METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective multicentre diagnostic study (BASEL V), AHF was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists. The MEESSI-AHF risk score was calculated using an established reduced and recalibrated model containing 12 independent risk factors. Model extension was performed by refitting and adding CRP in the logistic regression model with 30-day mortality as binary outcome. Discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness were used to assess the performance of the extended Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients (MEESSI) model. Validation was performed in an independent, retrospective and single-centre AHF cohort. Among 1208 AHF patients with complete data allowing calculation of the recalibrated MEESSI and the extended MEESSI models, the prognostic accuracy for 30-day mortality of the extended MEESSI model (c-statistic 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.87) was significantly higher compared to the recalibrated model (c-statistic 0.79, 95% CI 0.75-0.83, p = 0.013). The extended model allowed to stratify a higher percentage of patients into the lowest risk group compared to the recalibrated model (33.1% vs. 20.3%). Demonstrating a calibration plot's slope of 1.00 (95% CI 0.81-1.19) and an intercept of 0.0 (95% CI -0.22 to 0.22), the extended MEESSI model achieved excellent and improved calibration. Results were confirmed in the independent validation cohort (n = 575). CONCLUSIONS: Quantifying inflammation using CRP concentration provided incremental value in AHF risk stratification using the established MEESSI model.
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BACKGROUND: The characterization of the different pathophysiological mechanisms involved in normotensive versus hypertensive acute heart failure (AHF) might help to develop individualized treatments. METHODS: The extent of hemodynamic cardiac stress and cardiomyocyte injury was quantified by measuring the B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal proBNP (NT-proBNP), and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) concentrations in 1152 patients presenting with centrally adjudicated AHF to the emergency department (ED) (derivation cohort). AHF was classified as normotensive with a systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 90-140 mmHg and hypertensive with SBP > 140 mmHg at presentation to the ED. Findings were externally validated in an independent AHF cohort (n = 324). RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, with a median age of 79 years, 43% being women, 667 (58%) patients had normotensive and 485 (42%) patients hypertensive AHF. Hemodynamic cardiac stress, as quantified by the BNP and NT-proBNP, was significantly higher in normotensive as compared to hypertensive AHF [1105 (611-1956) versus 827 (448-1419) pg/mL, and 5890 (2959-12,162) versus 4068 (1986-8118) pg/mL, both p < 0.001, respectively]. Similarly, the extent of cardiomyocyte injury, as quantified by hs-cTnT, was significantly higher in normotensive AHF as compared to hypertensive AHF [41 (24-71) versus 33 (19-59) ng/L, p < 0.001]. A total of 313 (28%) patients died during 360 days of follow-up. All-cause mortality was higher in patients with normotensive AHF vs. patients with hypertensive AHF (hazard ratio 1.66, 95%CI 1.31-2.10; p < 0.001). Normotensive patients with a high BNP, NT-proBNP, or hs-cTnT had the highest mortality. The findings were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Biomarker profiling revealed a higher extent of hemodynamic stress and cardiomyocyte injury in patients with normotensive versus hypertensive AHF.
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AIMS: Systemic inflammation may be central in the pathophysiology of acute heart failure (AHF). We aimed to assess the possible role of systemic inflammation in the pathophysiology, phenotyping, and risk stratification of patients with AHF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a novel Interleukin-6 immunoassay with unprecedented sensitivity (limit of detection 0.01 ng/L), we quantified systemic inflammation in unselected patients presenting with acute dyspnoea to the emergency department in a multicentre study. One-year mortality was the primary prognostic endpoint. Among 2042 patients, 1026 (50.2%) had an adjudicated diagnosis of AHF, 83.7% of whom had elevated interleukin-6 concentrations (>4.45 ng/L). Interleukin-6 was significantly higher in AHF patients compared to patients with other causes of dyspnoea (11.2 [6.1-26.5] ng/L vs. 9.0 [3.2-32.3] ng/L, p < 0.0005). Elevated interleukin-6 concentrations were independently predicted by increasing N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, as well as the clinical diagnosis of infection. Among the different AHF phenotypes, interleukin-6 concentrations were highest in patients with cardiogenic shock (25.7 [14.0-164.2] ng/L) and lowest in patients with hypertensive AHF (9.3 [4.8-21.6] ng/L, p = 0.001). Inflammation as quantified by interleukin-6 was a strong and independent predictor of 1-year mortality both in all AHF patients, as well as those without clinically overt infection at presentation (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 1.45 [1.15-1.83] vs. 1.48 [1.09-2.00]). The addition of interleukin-6 significantly improved the discrimination of the BIOSTAT-CHF risk score. CONCLUSION: An unexpectedly high percentage of patients with AHF have subclinical systemic inflammation as quantified by interleukin-6, which seems to contribute to AHF phenotype and to the risk of death.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Doença Aguda , Biomarcadores , Dispneia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Inflamação , Interleucina-6 , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de RiscoRESUMO
Background: Self-reported exercise capacity is a well-established prognostic measure in stable ambulatory patients with cardiac and pulmonary disease. Objectives: The authors aimed to directly compare the prognostic accuracy of quantified self-reported exercise capacity using the Duke Activity Status Index (DASI) with the established objective disease-severity marker B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) in patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the emergency department. Methods: The DASI was obtained in a prospective multicenter diagnostic study recruiting unselected patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the emergency department. The prognostic accuracy of DASI and BNP for 90-day and 720-day all-cause mortality was evaluated using C-index. Results: Among 1,019 patients eligible for this analysis, 75 (7%) and 297 (29%) patients died within 90 and 720 days after presentation, respectively. Unadjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for 90- and 720-day mortality increased continuously from the fourth (best self-reported exercise capacity) to the first DASI quartile (worst self-reported exercise capacity). For 720-day mortality the HR of the first quartile vs the fourth was 9.1 (95% CI, 5.5-14.9) vs (aHR: 6.1, 95% CI: 3.7-10.1), of the second quartile 6.4 (95% CI: 3.9-10.6) vs (aHR: 4.4, 95% CI: 2.6-7.3), while of the third quartile the HR was 3.2 (95% CI: 1.9-5.5) vs (aHR: 2.4, 95% CI: 1.4-4.0). The prognostic accuracy of the DASI score was high, and higher than that of BNP concentrations (720-day mortality C-index: 0.67 vs 0.62; P = 0.024). Conclusions: Quantification of self-reported subjective exercise capacity using the DASI provides high prognostic accuracy and may aid physicians in risk stratification. (Basics in Acute Shortness of Breath EvaLuation [BASEL V] Study [BASEL V]; NCT01831115).
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AIMS: Sex-specific differences in acute heart failure (AHF) are both relevant and underappreciated. Therefore, it is crucial to evaluate the risk/benefit ratio and the implementation of novel AHF therapies in women and men separately. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a pre-defined sex-specific analysis in AHF patients randomized to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilatation versus usual care in an international, multicentre, open-label, blinded endpoint trial. Inclusion criteria were AHF with increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure ≥100 mmHg, and plan for treatment in a general ward. Among 781 eligible patients, 288 (37%) were women. Women were older (median 83 vs. 76 years), had a lower body weight (median 64.5 vs. 77.6 kg) and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (median 48 vs. 54 ml/min/1.73 m2 ). The primary endpoint, a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, showed a significant interaction of treatment strategy and sex (p for interaction = 0.03; hazard ratio adjusted for female sex 1.62, 95% confidence interval 1.05-2.50; p = 0.03). The combined endpoint occurred in 53 women (38%) in the intervention group and in 35 (24%) in the usual care group. The implementation of rapid up-titration of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors was less successful in women versus men in the overall cohort and in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (median discharge % target dose in patients randomized to intervention: 50% in women vs. 75% in men). CONCLUSION: Rapid up-titration of RAAS inhibitors was less successfully implemented in women possibly explaining their higher rate of all-cause mortality and rehospitalization for AHF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, unique identifier NCT00512759.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pressão Sanguínea , Readmissão do Paciente , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina , Vasodilatação , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou maisRESUMO
AIMS: Obese patients have lower natriuretic peptide concentrations. We hypothesized that adjusting the concentration of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for obesity could further increase its clinical utility in the early diagnosis of acute heart failure (AHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: This hypothesis was tested in a prospective diagnostic study enrolling unselected patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnoea. Two independent cardiologists/internists centrally adjudicated the final diagnosis using all individual patient information including cardiac imaging. NT-proBNP plasma concentrations were applied: first, using currently recommended cut-offs; second, using cut-offs lowered by 33% with body mass index (BMI) of 30-34.9 kg/m2 and by 50% with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 . Among 2038 patients, 509 (25%) were obese, of which 271 (53%) had AHF. The diagnostic accuracy of NT-proBNP as quantified by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was lower in obese versus non-obese patients (0.890 vs. 0.938). For rapid AHF rule-out in obese patients, the currently recommended cut-off of 300 pg/ml achieved a sensitivity of 96.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 93.8-98.2%), ruling out 29% of patients and missing 9 AHF patients. For rapid AHF rule-in, the age-dependent cut-off concentrations (age <50 years: 450 pg/ml; age 50-75 years: 900 pg/ml; age >75 years: 1800 pg/ml) achieved a specificity of 84.9% (95% CI 79.8-88.9%). Proportionally lowering the currently recommended cut-offs by BMI increased sensitivity to 98.2% (95% CI 95.8-99.2%), missing 5 AHF patients; reduced the proportion of AHF patients remaining in the 'gray zone' (48% vs. 26%; p = 0.002), achieving a specificity of 76.5% (95% CI 70.7-81.4%). CONCLUSIONS: Adjusting NT-proBNP concentrations for obesity seems to further increase its clinical utility in the early diagnosis of AHF.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Doença Aguda , Idoso , Biomarcadores , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/diagnóstico , Fragmentos de Peptídeos , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend interpreting concentrations of NPs (natriuretic peptides) irrespective of the time of presentation to the emergency department. We hypothesized that diurnal variations in NP concentration may affect their diagnostic accuracy for acute heart failure. METHODS: In a secondary analysis of a multicenter diagnostic study enrolling patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the emergency department and using central adjudication of the final diagnosis by 2 independent cardiologists, the diagnostic accuracy for acute heart failure of BNP (B-type NP), NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type NP), and MR-proANP (midregional pro-atrial NP) was compared among 1577 daytime presenters versus 908 evening/nighttime presenters. In a validation study, the presence of a diurnal rhythm in BNP and NT-proBNP concentrations was examined by hourly measurements in 44 stable individuals. RESULTS: Among patients adjudicated to have acute heart failure, BNP, NT-proBNP, and MR-proANP concentrations were comparable among daytime versus evening/nighttime presenters (all P=nonsignificant). Contrastingly, among patients adjudicated to have other causes of dyspnea, evening/nighttime presenters had lower BNP (median, 44 [18-110] versus 74 [27-168] ng/L; P<0.01) and NT-proBNP (median, 212 [72-581] versus 297 [102-902] ng/L; P<0.01) concentrations versus daytime presenters. This resulted in higher diagnostic accuracy as quantified by the area under the curve of BNP and NT-proBNP among evening/nighttime presenters (0.97 [95% CI, 0.95-0.98] and 0.95 [95% CI, 0.93-0.96] versus 0.94 [95% CI, 0.92-0.95] and 0.91 [95% CI, 0.90-0.93]) among daytime presenters (both P<0.01). These differences were not observed for MR-proANP. Diurnal variation of BNP and NT-proBNP with lower evening/nighttime concentration was confirmed in 44 stable individuals (P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: BNP and NT-proBNP, but not MR-proANP, exhibit a diurnal rhythm that results in even higher diagnostic accuracy among evening/nighttime presenters versus daytime presenters. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifiers: NCT01831115, NCT02091427, and NCT02210897.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Fator Natriurético Atrial , Biomarcadores , Ritmo Circadiano , Dispneia/complicações , Dispneia/etiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Humanos , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Peptídeos Natriuréticos , Fragmentos de Peptídeos , VasodilatadoresRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Quantifying the activity of the adrenomedullin system might help to monitor and guide treatment in acute heart failure (AHF) patients. The aims were to (1) identify AHF patients with marked benefit or harm from specific treatments at hospital discharge and (2) predict mortality by quantifying the adrenomedullin system activity. METHODS: This was a prospective multicentre study. AHF diagnosis and phenotype were centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists among patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnoea. Adrenomedullin system activity was quantified using the biologically active component, bioactive adrenomedullin (bio-ADM), and a prohormone fragment, midregional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM). Bio-ADM and MR-proADM concentrations were measured in a blinded fashion at presentation and at discharge. Interaction with specific treatments at discharge and the utility of these biomarkers on predicting outcomes during 365-day follow-up were assessed. RESULTS: Among 1886 patients with adjudicated AHF, 514 patients (27.3%) died during 365-day follow-up. After adjusting for age, creatinine, and treatment at discharge, patients with bio-ADM plasma concentrations above the median (> 44.6 pg/mL) derived disproportional benefit if treated with diuretics (interaction p values < 0.001). These findings were confirmed when quantifying adrenomedullin system activity using MR-proADM (n = 764) (interaction p values < 0.001). Patients with bio-ADM plasma concentrations above the median were at increased risk of death (hazard ratio 1.87, 95% CI 1.57-2.24; p < 0.001). For predicting 365-day all-cause mortality, both biomarkers performed well, with MR-proADM presenting an even higher predictive accuracy compared to bio-ADM (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Quantifying the adrenomedullin's system activity may help to personalise post-discharge diuretic treatment and enable accurate risk-prediction in AHF.
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Adrenomedulina , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Assistência ao Convalescente , Biomarcadores , Diuréticos/uso terapêutico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Alta do Paciente , Prognóstico , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
AIMS: We aimed to assess the long-term effect of a strategy of comprehensive vasodilation versus usual care on health-related quality of life (HRQL) among patients with acute heart failure (AHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Health-related quality of life was prospectively assessed by the generic 3-levelled EQ-5D and the disease-specific Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) among adult AHF patients enrolled in an international, multicentre, randomised, open-label blinded-end-point trial of a strategy that emphasized early intensive and sustained vasodilation using maximally tolerated doses of established oral and transdermal vasodilators according to systolic blood pressure. Changes in EQ-5D and KCCQ from admission to 180 day follow-up were individually compared between the intensive vasodilatation and the usual care group. Among 666 patients eligible for 180 day follow-up, 284 (43%, median age 79 years, 35% women) and 198 (30%, median age 77 years, 35% women) had completed the EQ-5D and KCCQ at baseline and follow-up, respectively. There was a significant improvement in HRQL as quantified by both, EQ-5D and KCCQ, from hospitalization to 180 day follow-up, with no significant differences in the change of HRQL between both treatment strategies. For instance, 39 (26%) versus 33 (25%) patients had an improvement by at least one level in at least two categories in the EQ-5D. Median increase in KCCQ overall summary score (KCCQ-OSS) was 17.6 (IQR 2.0-42.6) in the intervention group versus 18.5 (IQR 3.9-39.3) in the usual care group (P < 0.001 vs. baseline, P = 0.945 between groups). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with AHF, long-term HRQL quantified by EQ-5D and KCCQ improved substantially, with overall no significant differences between a strategy of comprehensive vasodilation versus usual care.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Qualidade de Vida , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Masculino , Vasodilatação , VasodilatadoresRESUMO
AIMS: Cardiac myosin-binding protein C (cMyC) seems to be even more sensitive in the quantification of cardiomyocyte injury vs. high-sensitivity cardiac troponin, and may therefore have diagnostic and prognostic utility. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective multicentre diagnostic study, cMyC, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) plasma concentrations were measured in blinded fashion in patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnoea. Two independent cardiologists centrally adjudicated the final diagnosis. Diagnostic accuracy for acute heart failure (AHF) was quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). All-cause mortality within 360 days was the prognostic endpoint. Among 1083 patients eligible for diagnostic analysis, 51% had AHF. cMyC concentrations at presentation were higher among AHF patients vs. patients with other final diagnoses [72 (interquartile range, IQR 39-156) vs. 22 ng/L (IQR 12-42), P < 0.001)]. cMyC's AUC was high [0.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78-0.83], higher than hs-cTnT's (0.79, 95% CI 0.76-0.82, P = 0.081) and lower than NT-proBNP's (0.91, 95% CI 0.89-0.93, P < 0.001). Among 794 AHF patients eligible for prognostic analysis, 28% died within 360 days; cMyC plasma concentrations above the median indicated increased risk of death (hazard ratio 2.19, 95% CI 1.66-2.89; P < 0.001). cMyC's prognostic accuracy was comparable with NT-proBNP's and hs-cTnT's. cMyC did not independently predict all-cause mortality when used in validated multivariable regression models. In novel multivariable regression models including medication, age, left ventricular ejection fraction, and discharge creatinine, cMyC remained an independent predictor of death and had no interactions with medical therapies at discharge. CONCLUSION: Cardiac myosin-binding protein C may aid physicians in the rapid triage of patients with suspected AHF.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Biomarcadores , Proteínas de Transporte , Proteínas de Ligação a DNA , Humanos , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Peptídeo Natriurético Tipo C , Fragmentos de Peptídeos , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Volume Sistólico , Fatores de Transcrição , Troponina T , Função Ventricular EsquerdaRESUMO
Acute heart failure (AHF) is a complex and heterogeneous syndrome not only associated with a concerning rise in incidence, but also with still unacceptably high rates of mortality and morbidity. As this dismal outcome is at least in part due to a mismatch between the severity of AHF and the intensity of its management, both in-hospital and immediately after discharge, early and accurate risk prediction could contribute to more effective, risk-adjusted management. Biomarkers are noninvasive and highly reproducible quantitative tools that have improved the understanding of AHF pathophysiology. They can help guide the intensity of AHF management. In addition, using a statistical model to estimate risk from a combination of several predictor variables such as vital signs or demographics has gained more and more attention over recent years. In this context, the aim of a statistical model, which gives a so-called risk score, is to help clinicians to make more standardised decisions. This review highlights recent advances and remaining uncertainties regarding risk stratification in AHF by characterising and comparing the potential of biomarkers and risk scores.  .