RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Infections have a poor prognosis in inpatients with cirrhosis. We aimed to determine regional variations in infections and their association with clinical outcomes in a global cohort of inpatients with cirrhosis. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study initiated by the CLEARED Consortium, we enrolled adults (aged >18 years) with cirrhosis who were non-electively admitted to 98 hospitals from 26 countries or regions across six continents between Nov 5, 2021, and Dec 10, 2022. Data at admission, during hospitalisation, and for 30 days after discharge were collected through patient reports and chart reviews. Collected data included demographics; country and country income level per World Bank classifications (high-income countries [HICs], upper-middle-income countries [UMICs], and low-income or lower-middle-income countries [L-LMICs]); comorbidities; characteristics related to cirrhosis and the infections, including types, culture results, and drug resistance profile; antibiotic use; and disease course while hospitalised and for 30 days post-discharge. The primary outcome was in-hospital death or hospice referral in those with versus those without an admission infection (defined by the presence of infection on or within 48 h of admission). Multivariable log-binomial regression for in-hospital death or hospice referral was performed to identify risk factors. FINDINGS: Of 4550 patients screened, 4238 patients (mean age 56·1 years [SD 13·3]; 2711 [64·0%] male and 1527 [36·0%] female) with complete data were enrolled. 1351 (31·9%) had admission infections. A higher proportion of patients in L-LMICs had infections (318 [41·7%] of 762 vs 444 [58·3%] without infection) than in UMICs (588 [30·6%] of 1922 vs 1334 [69·4%]) or HICs (445 [28·6%] of 1554 vs 1109 [71·4%]). Patients with admission infections had worse severity of cirrhosis and were more likely to have had an infection or been hospitalised in the preceding 6 months. The most common specific infection types were spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (391 [28·9%] of 1351), pneumonia (233 [17·2%]), and urinary tract infections (193 [14·3%]). 549 (40·6%) patients were culture-positive for bacterial or fungal infections, with the lowest culture-positive rates in Africa and mainland China. Most of the isolated organisms were Gram-negative (345 [63%] of 549), then Gram-positive (157 [29%]), and then fungi or mixed (47 [9%]), with Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Enterococcus spp being the top three isolated pathogens. The overall rate of drug resistance was 40% (220 of 549 with positive cultures), being highest in UMICs. The most used empirical antimicrobials were third-generation cephalosporins (453 [37%] of 1241), followed by the broad-spectrum ß-lactams and ß-lactamase inhibitors (289 [23%]). De-escalation was observed in 62 (20%) of 304 patients who had their antibiotics changed. Patients with versus without admission infections had a higher rate of in-hospital death or hospice transfer (299 [22·1%] of 1351 vs 232 [8·0%] of 2887; p<0·0001), a result replicated in multivariable analysis (adjusted risk ratio 1·75 [95% CI 1·42-2·06]; p<0·0001). Older age, self-reported female gender, not being in a HIC, lactulose use, and higher MELD-Na score were also associated with in-hospital death or hospice transfer on multivariable analysis. INTERPRETATION: In the CLEARED Consortium cohort of inpatients with cirrhosis, the rates and types of infections, causative organisms, and culture-positivity varied substantially across regions, and infections were associated with a higher mortality risk. Culture positivity, which guides appropriate antibiotic use, was low. Taking a global perspective, considering regional variations in infections, drug resistance, and resources, could help to alleviate disparities in burden and outcomes. FUNDING: US Department of Veterans Affairs, the Richmond Institute for Veterans Research, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, Shanghai Rising-Star Program, the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development of Brazil, and Shanghai Municipal Key Clinical Specialty.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Cirrhosis, the end result of liver injury, has high mortality globally. The effect of country-level income on mortality from cirrhosis is unclear. We aimed to assess predictors of death in inpatients with cirrhosis using a global consortium focusing on cirrhosis-related and access-related variables. METHODS: In this prospective observational cohort study, the CLEARED Consortium followed up inpatients with cirrhosis at 90 tertiary care hospitals in 25 countries across six continents. Consecutive patients older than 18 years who were admitted non-electively, without COVID-19 or advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, were enrolled. We ensured equitable participation by limiting enrolment to a maximum of 50 patients per site. Data were collected from patients and their medical records, and included demographic characteristics; country; disease severity (MELD-Na score); cirrhosis cause; medications used; reasons for admission; transplantation listing; cirrhosis-related history in the past 6 months; and clinical course and management while hospitalised and for 30 days post discharge. Primary outcomes were death and receipt of liver transplant during index hospitalisation or within 30 days post discharge. Sites were surveyed regarding availability of and access to diagnostic and treatment services. Outcomes were compared by country income level of participating sites, defined according to World Bank income classifications (high-income countries [HICs], upper-middle-income countries [UMICs], and low-income or lower-middle-income countries [LICs or LMICs]). Multivariable models controlling for demographic variables, disease cause, and disease severity were used to analyse the odds of each outcome associated with variables of interest. FINDINGS: Patients were recruited between Nov 5, 2021, and Aug 31, 2022. Complete inpatient data were obtained for 3884 patients (mean age 55·9 years [SD 13·3]; 2493 (64·2%) men and 1391 (35·8%) women; 1413 [36·4%] from HICs, 1757 [45·2%] from UMICs, and 714 [18·4%] from LICs or LMICs), with 410 lost to follow-up within 30 days after hospital discharge. The number of patients who died while hospitalised was 110 (7·8%) of 1413 in HICs, 182 (10·4%) of 1757 in UMICs, and 158 (22·1%) of 714 in LICs and LMICs (p<0·0001), and within 30 days post discharge these values were 179 (14·4%) of 1244 in HICs, 267 (17·2%) of 1556 in UMICs, and 204 (30·3%) of 674 in LICs and LMICs (p<0·0001). Compared with patients from HICs, increased risk of death during hospitalisation was found for patients from UMICs (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2·14 [95% CI 1·61-2·84]) and from LICs or LMICs (2·54 [1·82-3·54]), in addition to increased risk of death within 30 days post discharge (1·95 [1·44-2·65] in UMICs and 1·84 [1·24-2·72] in LICs or LMICs). Receipt of a liver transplant was recorded in 59 (4·2%) of 1413 patients from HICs, 28 (1·6%) of 1757 from UMICs (aOR 0·41 [95% CI 0·24-0·69] vs HICs), and 14 (2·0%) of 714 from LICs and LMICs (0·21 [0·10-0·41] vs HICs) during index hospitalisation (p<0·0001), and in 105 (9·2%) of 1137 patients from HICs, 55 (4·0%) of 1372 from UMICs (0·58 [0·39-0·85] vs HICs), and 16 (3·1%) of 509 from LICs or LMICs (0·21 [0·11-0·40] vs HICs) by 30 days post discharge (p<0·0001). Site survey results showed that access to important medications (rifaximin, albumin, and terlipressin) and interventions (emergency endoscopy, liver transplantation, intensive care, and palliative care) varied geographically. INTERPRETATION: Inpatients with cirrhosis in LICs, LMICs, or UMICs have significantly higher mortality than inpatients in HICs independent of medical risk factors, and this might be due to disparities in access to essential diagnostic and treatment services. These results should encourage researchers and policy makers to consider access to services and medications when evaluating cirrhosis-related outcomes. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health and US Department of Veterans Affairs.