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OBJECTIVE: Despite global declines in asthma mortality, regional variations and sex disparities persist. This study investigates asthma mortality trends in Spanish Autonomous Communities (ACs) from 1980 to 2022, analyzing data by sex. METHODS: Data on asthma deaths and population were obtained from the National Institute of Statistics for the study period. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were calculated, and joinpoint regression models were applied to identify trends. RESULTS: Overall, 44,728 asthma deaths occurred, with a steeper decline observed in men (-3.5% per year) compared to women (-0.7% per year). The female-to-male mortality ratio climbed from 0.7 in 1980 to 5.4 in 2016. Both sexes exhibited a significant decrease in ASMRs, with a more substantial decline in males (-6.3%).While all ACs showed a significant decrease in male ASMRs, female trends varied, with significant decreases in 13 ACs and stable trends elsewhere. Joinpoint analysis revealed diverse regional patterns for both sexes, with some ACs experiencing steady declines and others exhibiting periods of slower decline or even stabilization. CONCLUSION: This study identified concerning regional and sex disparities in Spanish ACs' asthma mortality (1980-2022). While male rates declined significantly across all regions, female rates showed variation, with even increases in some ACs. Targeted interventions addressing these disparities and their underlying causes (healthcare access, management practices, etc.) are crucial.
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INTRODUCTION: the aim of this study was to describe the trends of pancreatic cancer mortality by autonomous communities (ACs) and gender in Spain (1980-2021). METHODS: an ecological trend study was performed (with aggregated data obtained from the National Institute of Statistics). Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for pancreatic cancer (per 100,000) were estimated by direct standardization, using the European standard population. Trends in ASMR (all ages and truncated 35-64 years) were analyzed by sex in each AC using a joinpoint regression model. The annual percent changes (APC) and average annual percentage of change (AAPC) were computed for trends using the joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: in both sexes, ASMRs (all ages) increased significantly (p < 0.05) during the study period (AAPC: 1.5 % in males and 1.8 % in females). The joinpoint analysis identified a turning point in the trends in the late 1980s, which delineates two periods: an initial period of significant increase followed by a period of slowing of the increase (APC: 0.9 % and 1.4 % in males and females respectively; p < 0.05). In both sexes, a significant increase in ASMR (all ages) was observed in all ACs, except in Navarre, where the rates remained stable in males. In males, three ACs (Galicia, Madrid and Navarre) showed a point of inflexion in the time trend around the year 2000 (1999, 2000 and 2001 respectively), when the rates, after a period of significant increase (ACs: 2.6 %, 2.4 %, and 2.4 %, respectively; p < 0.05), stabilized (Galicia and Navarre) or the increase slowed (Madrid). In females, only Madrid showed a point of inflection in 1992, when, after a significant increase, the rates slowed down (1992-2021; APC: 1.5 %; p < 0.05). Conclusions: the upward trend in pancreatic cancer mortality in some ACs seems to have slowed (in both sexes in Madrid), stabilized (in men in Galicia and Navarre) or turned around (in men aged 30-64 in Navarre).
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Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Espanha/epidemiologia , Fatores de Tempo , Análise de RegressãoRESUMO
This response to an editorial discusses recent trends in gastric and pancreatic cancer mortality in Spain. The authors acknowledge the contrasting trajectories - a decrease in gastric cancer and an increase in pancreatic cancer - and attribute them to differing causes. Public health measures, particularly H. pylori eradication, are credited for the decline in gastric cancer. The authors also present unpublished data showing a worrying rise in gastric cancer diagnoses among young men. They emphasize the need for continued monitoring, early detection strategies, and preventative measures to tackle both cancers, particularly focusing on pancreatic cancer research due to its rising mortality.
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Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Espanha/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/terapia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Masculino , FemininoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: this study aimed to evaluate the effects of age, time period and cohort (A-P-C) on gastric cancer (GC) mortality in Spain from 1980 to 2021. METHODS: an ecological trend study was performed (with aggregated data obtained from the Spanish National Statistics Institute (INE). Joinpoint regression software was used to estimate rates by sex and age group (< 35, 35-64, > 64 years) and mortality trends. The National Cancer Institute A-P-C tools were used to assess the effects of age, time of death and birth cohort. RESULTS: GC mortality rates in Spain decreased significantly in both sexes. In the under-35 age group, rates were stable after an initial significant decline. In the 35-64 age group, the decline was more pronounced in males than in females. In the 65+ age group, rates fell significantly for both sexes, but more so for females than for males. The net drift and local drift also showed significant decreases across all age groups from 24 years onwards. GC mortality rates increased with age and decreased with calendar time and successive birth cohorts, regardless of sex. The ratio of age-specific rates between males and females increased with age, and birth cohort relative risk estimates followed a steady downward trend until the mid-1970s, after which the decline stabilized. The relative risk decreased for both sexes, with a more pronounced decrease in males. CONCLUSION: GC mortality rates in Spain have been decreasing over time and across successive birth cohorts, with a stabilizing trend observed for those under 35 years of age.
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Neoplasias Gástricas , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Espanha/epidemiologia , Efeito de CoortesRESUMO
AIM: This study aimed to evaluate how age, period, and cohort (A-P-C) impact colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence in Spain from 1990 to 2019. METHOD: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we used joinpoint analysis to identify long-term trends and A-P-C modelling to quantify net drift, local drift, longitudinal age curves, and rate ratios (RRs) of period and cohort effects. RESULTS: CRC incidence increased steadily in Spain from 1990 to 2019, with a more significant rise in males than in females. The age standardized rates rose from 84.9 to 129.3 cases per 100,000 in males and from 56.9 to 70.3 cases per 100,000 in females. Joinpoint analysis revealed distinct patterns for men and women: male incidence showed three phases (a surge until 1995, a slowdown until 2012, and a subsequent decrease) while female incidence showed a single increase until 2011 and then stabilized. Local drifts increased in all age groups over 45, with stability in males under 45 and a decrease in females aged 30-39. The risk of CRC increased with age, with males consistently having a higher risk than females. The risk of CRC increased over time for both men and women but at different rates. The risk for cohorts born in the early to mid-20th century peaked in the 1960s and remained stable until the late 1990s. CONCLUSION: The increasing incidence of CRC in Spain, with distinct patterns by gender and birth cohort, underlines the importance of preventive strategies adapted to temporal and demographic variations to address this public health challenge.
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Efeito de Coortes , Neoplasias Colorretais , Humanos , Espanha/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Incidência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Idoso , Fatores Etários , Fatores de Tempo , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Distribuição por Idade , Distribuição por Sexo , Estudos de CoortesRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To analyse time trends in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) mortality and explore possible provincial clustering of SLE mortality in Spain (2001-2020). METHODS: We conducted an ecological study using deaths registered in SLE at the Spanish National Institute of Statistics between 2001 and 2020. Jointpoint regression models have been used to evaluate temporal trends. To analyse the spatial pattern of SLE mortality in men and women in Spain, crude rates, age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), smooth relative risk (RR) and posterior probabilities (PP) for RR greater than one for the period 2001-2020 were calculated. The Global Moran I index was used to assess the existence of global spatial autocorrelation. Local indicators of spatial association (LISA) and Kulldorff's spatial scan statistic were used to identify clusters. RESULTS: Over the 20 years analyzed in this study, the SLE average ASMR for the period was 2.7 for women and 0.7 for men, with a sex ratio (female/male) of 3.8. In men, no province showed a RR>1. Conversely, in women, eight provinces showed values of RR> 1 with a PP greater than 0.8 (Seville, Cadiz, Huelva and Murcia in the south, Barcelona, Zaragoza, Huesca and Leon in the north). In men, neither of the two methods detected a clustering of provinces. However, in women, both methods identified a cluster of provinces located in the southwest of the country (Huelva, Cádiz, Seville and Malaga) as a cluster with significant excess mortality. In the second cluster (centred on the province of Huelva) obtained with the Kulldorff method, two more provinces were added (Badajoz and Cordoba, also located in the southwest). CONCLUSIONS: We detected a cluster of provinces with an excess risk of female SLE mortality in the southwest of Spain.
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Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Espanha/epidemiologia , Análise por ConglomeradosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Patterns of lung cancer (LC) mortality are important for planning health services and resource management. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to provide updated information (1982-2021) and project (LC) mortality rates in Spain (2022-2046). METHOD: We analysed data from the Spanish National Statistics Institute about mortality in LC (1982-2021), and we made predictions for the period 2022-2046. RESULTS: In 2021, a total of 22,413 people died of LC, and for the period 2042-2046, the projected annual average was 25,549 deaths. In males, age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) (overall) after an initial period of increase (1982-1996, 2.2%) declined until 2021 (-1.4% per year), and this decline is expected to continue in the future (-1.9% per year during the period 2022-2046), although the projected decline is slightly higher (-2.0% during the period 2022-2046). In men, ASMR (all ages) after an initial period of increase (1982-1996, 2.2%) declined until 2021 (-1.4% per year), and this decline is expected to continue in the future during the period 2022-2046. In women, both the overall and truncated rates (35-64) increase during the period 1982-2021 (4.1% and 6.0% per year, respectively), and projected rates showed that both will decrease during the period 2022-2046, although more markedly in the truncated rates (-1.9% per year) than in the overall rates (-0.5% per year). CONCLUSIONS: Our projections show the magnitude of a steady upward trend in LC mortality among women in Spain that appears to be beginning to reverse from the current decade (similar to that observed for incidence).
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Espanha/epidemiologia , Incidência , Previsões , MortalidadeRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: the aim of this study was to describe the trends of colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality by autonomous communities (ACs) and gender in Spain (1980-2018). METHODS: the age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for CRC (per 100,000) were calculated by direct standardization, using the world standard population. Mortality trends were described by ACs using a joinpoint regression model in both sexes. The annual percent changes and average annual percentage of change were computed for trends using the joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: during the most recent five-year period (2014-2018), the rates decreased among both males and females and were more pronounced in males (-2.3 %) than in females (-1.1 %), although with differences by ACs. ASMRs decrease in both sexes in the Basque Country, Canary Islands, Catalonia, Castile and Leon, Andalusia, Balearic Islands, Madrid, Murcia and Valencia. Whereas in other ACs, it only increases in males (Navarre, Castile-La Mancha, Extremadura and La Rioja) or females (Aragon, Asturias and Galicia). CONCLUSION: this updated analysis of temporal patterns of CRC mortality in Spain from 1980-2018, divided by ACs and sex, shows gender differences in CRC mortality trends. Despite the favorable trends in both sexes, the gender gap is widening.
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Neoplasias Colorretais , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Análise de Regressão , Fatores Sexuais , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The present study aims to assess the mortality trends in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) in Spain from 1980 to 2021. METHODS: Deaths and mid-year population data were collected from the National Institute of Statistics. We estimated age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) per 100,000 person-years for all ages and ages 35-64. Joinpoint regression identified significant changes in mortality trends. The independent effects of age, period and birth cohort on MDS mortality were also examined. RESULTS: MDS-related deaths gradually increased from 36 in 1980 to 1118 in 2021, with an overall increase of 6.6% in age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) for both men and women. Joinpoint analysis identified four periods for both men and women: 1980-1987 (stable rates), 1987-1990 (sharp increase), 1990-1999 (slower increase) and 1999-2021 (stable rates). ASMRs (35-64 years) increased by 2.5% over the study period, with a turning point identified in 1996 when rates decreased. Mortality from MDS increases with age and is higher in men. The cohort's relative risk increased until the mid-1950s and then stabilised, whilst the period relative risk increased between 1982 and 1996 and then stabilised. CONCLUSION: The results of this study indicate a progressive increase in MDS-related deaths in Spain between 1980 and 2021. Notably, this increase was more pronounced in men than in women. Analysis of birth cohort trends revealed shifts in MDS risk, characterised by an increase until the mid-twentieth century, followed by a stabilisation. Using joinpoint analysis, four distinct periods were identified, shedding light on the changing patterns of mortality over time. These findings help to shape future research directions and inform public health strategies. They also provide optimism for advances in MDS treatment and potential reductions in mortality.
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Síndromes Mielodisplásicas , Procedimentos de Cirurgia Plástica , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Espanha/epidemiologia , MortalidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This study examines lung cancer incidence in Spain (1990-2019) through age-period-cohort (A-P-C) analysis and Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) data, unravelling the complex interplay of age, period, and birth cohort in shaping these trends. METHODS: Utilizing GBD and Spanish population data, the study calculates age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and employs Joinpoint analysis to identify significant trends. A-P-C analysis dissects the individual effects of age, calendar period, and birth cohort on incidence patterns. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, almost 738,000 cases of lung cancer were diagnosed in Spain, with an average annual increase of 1.7%. The ASIR of lung cancer in Spain from 1990 to 2019 showed a sustained upward trend in women (Average Annual Per cent Change: 2.5%, P < 0.05), reaching 23.3 cases per 100,000 in 2019, whilst men experienced a significant decrease in incidence rates (AAPC: -0.6%, P < 0.05), falling to 108.9 in 2019. The male-to-female incidence ratio decreased from 12.2 in 1992 to 4.9 in 2019. Joinpoint analysis identified distinct periods for both sexes, with men showing stability, decline and then a significant decrease, whereas women showed an initial increase followed by a decrease. The longitudinal age curves showed a consistently higher incidence risk in men, peaking in the 80-84 age group. Male cohorts since the 1920s showed a decreasing relative risk, whereas women showed fluctuations in risk over time. CONCLUSION: Lung cancer rates are falling in Spain, especially amongst men, due to lower smoking rates. The gender gap is closing, but prevention targeted at women is needed. Tighter tobacco control and research into other risk factors are essential. Understanding the long-term effects of smoking and early exposure is key to better prevention and treatment in Spain.
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AIM: To comprehensively analyze trends in myelodysplastic neoplasm (MDS) mortality across Spain (1999-2022), examining sex and regional differences. METHODS: We analyzed nationwide death records and population data, calculating age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) stratified by sex and Autonomous Community (AC). Joinpoint regression identified significant shifts in trends. RESULTS: Across Spain, MDS mortality risk varied among men, with rates ranging from 1.08 to 4.38 per 100,000 across regions, while women's rates ranged from 1.23 to 2.02. Five regions had higher risks than the national average, while six had lower risks. Joinpoint analysis revealed three periods nationally: a decline until 2008, and an increase until 2017, followed by a significant decrease. Despite the overall stable national trend (-0.5% annual change), significant regional variations emerged. Andalusia stood out with a worrying increase in MDS mortality, while Aragon and Murcia demonstrated promising declines. Extremadura displayed a unique trajectory with an initial rise followed by stabilization, while Galicia exhibited a contrasting trend with an initial decline and subsequent increase. Notably, men consistently faced a higher risk of MDS mortality compared to women, with significant disparities across regions. Extremadura, in particular, showed a marked difference in risk between genders. CONCLUSION: MDS mortality trends in Spain are complex, and influenced by gender, region, and time. Further research is needed to understand regional disparities, recent national decline, and higher risk in specific demographics. Tailored interventions based on local factors and targeted research are crucial to address these complexities and improve patient outcomes.
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AIM: This study aims to elucidate the factors driving melanoma incidence trends in Spain by analyzing the GBD-2019 dataset (1990-2019) and investigating the age-specific, birth cohort, and period effects on incidence rates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study analyzed melanoma incidence trends in Spain from 1990 to 2019 using an ecological design. Data were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 and Spain's National Statistics Institute. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) were calculated using joinpoint regression analysis, and age-period-cohort (A-P-C) modeling was employed to assess the effects of age, time period, and birth cohort on incidence rates. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, an estimated 147,823 melanoma cases were diagnosed in Spain. The ASIRs showed a steady increase for both sexes, with slightly higher rates observed in men. Both men (average annual percentage change (AAPC): 2.8%) and women (AAPC: 2.4%) showed a steady increase in the ASIR over the period. Joinpoint analysis revealed distinct periods of incidence rate changes, with significant upward trends in earlier years followed by stabilization in recent years. Incidence rates increased steadily with age, with the highest rates in the 80-84 age group. Women tended to have slightly higher rates in younger age groups, while men had higher rates in older age groups. Both men and women experienced a steady increase in relative risk of melanoma throughout the 30-year study period, with significant upward trends across birth cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Despite limitations, this study provides valuable insights into factors influencing melanoma incidence in Spain. By understanding age, period, and cohort effects, effective prevention strategies can be developed to reduce melanoma incidence.
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Non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) is the most -common skin cancer in Spain, yet national data on its incidence trends are limited. To analyse the trends in NMSC incidence in Spain from 1990 to 2019, examining variations by sex, age, period, and birth cohort. Data on NMSC incidence was sourced from the Global Health Data Exchange. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) were calculated using the direct method. Trends and average annual percentage changes were identified using Joinpoint regression analysis. Age-period-cohort analysis was applied to assess age-specific, period-specific, and cohort-specific relative risks. From 1990 to 2019, Spain reported 2,302,399 NMSC cases. ASIRs significantly declined post-2005, with men exhibiting slightly higher rates than women. Joinpoint analysis revealed distinct trends between genders, with men experiencing an initial rise followed by a decline, while women exhibited periods of increase interspersed with decline. APC analysis showed a net decrease in age-adjusted NMSC rates for both sexes. Local drift analysis showed a downward trend in most age groups, indicating a broad decrease at the population level. However, no decrease was observed in young men (20-24 years). Both sexes showed an increased risk of NMSC between 1990 and 2002, followed by a decrease. In particular, those born at the beginning of the 21st century showed a significant decrease in NMSC risk compared with earlier cohorts, suggesting a possible cohort effect. A comprehensive analysis of NMSC trends in Spain highlights the need for ongoing research and interventions to address the evolving burden.
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Neoplasias Cutâneas , Humanos , Espanha/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Cutâneas/epidemiologia , Masculino , Incidência , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Distribuição por Idade , Distribuição por Sexo , Carcinoma Basocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários , Fatores Sexuais , Idoso de 80 Anos ou maisRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The aim of the study is to provide up-to-date information and evaluate the age-period-cohort effects of age-period cohorts on lung cancer (LC) mortality in Spain for the period 1982 to 2021. METHODS: We analysed deaths by LC and population for the period 1982-2021, available from the Spanish National Institute of Statistics. The LC corresponds to code 162 and codes C33 and C34 of the 9th and 10th editions of the International Classification of Diseases, respectively. Age-period-cohort (A-P-C) modelling was applied to compute the net drift, local drift, longitudinal age curve, and rate ratios (RR) of each period and cohort. A-P-C analysis was performed using the A-P-C Web Tool provided by the National Cancer Institute of the United States. RESULTS: Estimated relative risk in the male birth cohorts has followed a steady downward trend in all cohorts born since 1922, showing an initial period (1922-1947) of slight decline, followed by a more marked decrease in the cohorts born during the period 1947-1977. In the younger cohorts (1977-1997), the decline appears to have stabilised. In women, a strong cohort effect is observed. In those born after the Spanish Civil War (1936 to 1939), the risk increased until it peaked in the 1960s, after which it started to decrease with the same intensity. Period RR in men decreased from 1987 to 1991 (1.1) to 2017-2021 (0.6), while period RR in women increased during this time (from 0.8 to 1.6). CONCLUSIONS: The cohort effect observed in women born after the Civil War suggests that the onset of the LC epidemic may have been due to a higher prevalence of women smokers in these cohorts. However, the trend observed in the younger cohorts suggests a possible slowing-down in the increase in mortality risk in the following years.
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Espanha/epidemiologia , Efeito de Coortes , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Distribuição por Idade , Estudos de Coortes , MortalidadeRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: In Spain, there has been a recent increase in the mortality rate for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in younger women. This study aimed to analyze trends in the COPD mortality rate in Spain from 1980 to 2020, evaluating any differences between genders and age groups. METHODS: Death certificates and mid-year population data were obtained from the Spanish National Institute of Statistics. For both genders, age group-specific and standardized (overall and truncated) rates were calculated by the direct method using the world standard population. The data were analyzed using the joinpoint regression method. RESULTS: In both men and women, the number of COPD deaths increased from 1980 to 1999 (average annual increase of 7% in men and 4% in women), while from 1999 onwards, deaths decreased by -1.0% per year in both genders. In women, there was a significant final period of increase in the 55-59 to 70-74 age groups and a slowing of the decline in the over 75 age group. Additionally, an increase in mortality for the truncated rates was observed for women between 2006 and 2020. In men under 70 years of age, there was an initial period in which death rates remained stable or significantly increased, followed by a period in which they decreased significantly. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows age and gender differences in COPD mortality trends in Spain. Although the data show a downward trend, we have identified a worrying increase in the truncated rates in women for the last few years.
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Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Humanos , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/mortalidade , Espanha/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Idoso de 80 Anos ou maisRESUMO
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: To update the information on mortality from cardiovascular diseases and assess recent trends in Spain. METHODS: Deaths from cardiovascular diseases (codes I20-I25, I50, I05-I09, I00-I02, I26-I49, I51, I52, I60-I69, I10-I15, and I70-I79 of the 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases and Causes of Death) were obtained from the National Statistics Institute. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression models. The results revealed the years (periods) composing each trend, as well as the annual percent change for each of them. The direction and magnitude of recent trends (last available 5-year period) were assessed by using the average annual percent change. RESULTS: The decline in mortality rates from cardiovascular diseases slowed from -3.7% and -4.0% in 1999-2013 to -1.7% and -2.2% since 2013 in men and women, respectively. During the study period (1999-2018) all the analyzed causes decreased significantly. Nevertheless, recent trends differed according to age, sex, and the cause analyzed. Truncated rates (35-64 years) slowed (cardiovascular disease and stroke in men and ischemic heart disease in both sexes), stabilized (cardiovascular disease, stroke, and other heart diseases in women, and blood vessel disease in men), or increased (other diseases of the heart in men and diseases of the blood vessels in women). CONCLUSIONS: In Spain, as in other countries, the reduction in mortality rates from cardiovascular diseases slowed (overall rates for both sexes and truncated in men) or stabilized (truncated rates in women) from 2014 to 2018.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Cardiopatias , Isquemia Miocárdica , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Mortalidade , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Recently, some countries have shown stable trends in lung cancer death rates among women not yet described for Spain. We propose to update lung cancer mortality rates in Spain during the period of 1980-2018 by sex and region. METHODS: We used lung cancer mortality (International Classification of Diseases code 162 for the 9th edition, and codes C33 and C34 for 10th edition) and population data from the Spanish National Statistics Institute for the period 1980-2018. Age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), all ages and 30-64 years, by region and sex were assessed through joinpoint regression. RESULTS: During the study period lung cancer ASMRs (all ages) in men decreased -0.4% per annum and increased by 3.1% in women. Recently, ASMR (30-64 years) accelerated its decrease (1992-2007; -0.7 and 2007-2018; -3.5%) in men and slowed its increase (1990-2012; 5.7% and 2012-2018; 1.4%) in women. In men, joinpoint analysis detected an initial period in all Autonomous Communities (ACs) in which the rates significantly increased, followed by a second period in which the rates decreased significantly (12 ACs) or remained stable (4 ACs) since the late 1980s or early 1990s. In women, upward trends in ASMRs (all ages) were observed for the whole period in all the ACs. In 13 ACs, an initial period was detected with joinpoint in which the rates remained stable or significantly decreased, followed by a second period in which the rates increased significantly since the late 1980s or early 1990s. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows gender differences in lung cancer mortality trends in Spain. These differences may be explained by the increased use of tobacco among women and the decreased use among men.
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Fatores Sexuais , Espanha/epidemiologia , Nicotiana , Uso de TabacoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To analyse changes in suicide mortality trends in Spain between 1980-2016 using joinpoint regression models. METHODS: Mortality data were obtained from the INE. For each gender, age-group-specific and standardised (overall and truncated) rates (ASR) were calculated by the direct method (using the European standard population). The joinpoint analysis was used to identify the best-fitting points where a statistically significant change in the trend occurred. RESULTS: Age adjusted mortality rates due to suicide in men was 9.8/100,000 males in 1980 and 11.8 in 2016, with an average annual increase of .8%. In women, the rates increased by 1.0% per year from 2.7 women per 100,000 in 1980 to 3.7 in 2016. The joinpoint analysis identified three turning points in the rates for both men (1986, 2000 and 2010) and women (1986, 2004 and 2010), which identify changes in the trend. In the period 2010-2016 the rates increase in women while in men the rates remain stable. CONCLUSIONS: Our work shows a marked increase in mortality by suicide in Spanish women (2010-2016) while in men the rates remain stable. Little is known about the determinants of the increase and, therefore, more studies are needed.
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OBJECTIVE: To assess the effects of age, period and cohort suicide mortality trend in Spain (1984-2018). METHODS: Mortality and population data were obtained from the National Institute of Statistics. The analysis of the effect of age, period of death and birth cohort on the evolution of suicide mortality in the period 1984-2018 was performed using a web tool for age-period-cohort analysis provided by the Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics of the National Cancer Institute of the USA. RESULTS: Rates increase with age (age effect) in both sexes. The period effect shows, in males, an increase over the period 1984-1998 followed by a significant decrease until 2018. In females, rates remain stable over the period 1987-2002, decrease during 2007-2012 (p < 0.05) and eventually stabilise. In both males and females, the risk decreases in each successive birth cohort between 1904 and 1939. Subsequently, the risks increase until the birth cohort of the period 1964-1974 after which the risk decreases for males and remains stable for females. CONCLUSION: A better understanding of the effects of the birth cohort could open new doors in suicide prevention.
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OBJECTIVES: To analyse the changes in mortality trends by suicide according to Autonomous Community and sex in Spain during the period 1980-2016 using joinpoint regression models. METHODS: Mortality data were obtained from the Instituo Nacional de Estadística. For each Spanish autonomous community and sex, crude and standardised rates were calculated. The joinpoint analysis was used to identify the best-fitting points where a statistically significant change in the trend occurred. RESULTS: The joinpoint analysis allows to differentiate areas in which the rates remain stable in men (Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha) and women (Canary and Cantabria) throughout the study period and others with a continued decline (Extremadura in both men and women and Castilla-La Mancha in women). In those communities where changes in the trend are observed, in almost all of them, there is a first period of increase in rates in both men and women. The most recent trends show divergences between the different autonomous communities and, in men, Andalusia, the Canary Islands, Castilla-León, the Valencian Community, Galicia, Murcia, the Basque Country and La Rioja show significant downward trends, while Catalonia and Madrid show significant increases (2007-2016: 2.4% and 2010-2016: 18.7% respectively). Something similar is observed in women where Andalusia, Castilla y León, Valencian Community, Galicia, Murcia, País Vasco and La Rioja show downward trends while in the Balearic Islands, Catalonia and Madrid the trend is upward (2001-2016: 5.0%; 2006-2016: 4.2% and 2010-2016: 18.7% respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Suicide mortality varies widely among the Spanish autonomous communities, both in terms of mortality level and trends. Little is known about the determinants of observed trends and, therefore, more studies are needed.