Chronic Disease Comorbidities Among Injured Patients in Cameroon: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic diseases are increasing but underdiagnosed in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), where injury mortality is already disproportionately high. We estimated prevalence of known chronic disease comorbidities and their association with outcomes among injured patients in Cameroon. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Injured patients aged ≥15 y presenting to four Cameroonian hospitals between October 2017 and January 2020 were included. Our explanatory variable was known chronic disease; prevalence was age-standardized. Outcomes were overall in-hospital mortality and admission or transfer from the emergency department (ED). Associations between known chronic disease and outcomes were evaluated using logistic regression adjusted for age, gender, estimated injury severity score (eISS), hospital, and household socioeconomic status. Unadjusted eISS-stratified and age-stratified outcomes were also compared via chi-squared tests. RESULTS: Of 7509 injured patients, 370 (4.9%) reported at least one known chronic disease; age-standardized prevalence was 8.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.5%-9.2%). Patients with known chronic disease had higher mortality (4.6% versus 1.5%, adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 2.61 [95% CI: 1.25-5.47], P = 0.011) and were more likely to be admitted or transferred from the ED (38.7% versus 19.8%, aOR: 1.40 [95% CI: 1.02-1.92], P = 0.038) compared to those without known comorbidities. Crude differences in mortality (11.3% versus 3.3%, P = 0.002) and hospital admission or transfer (63.8% versus 46.6%, P = 0.011) were most notable for patients with eISS 16-24. CONCLUSIONS: Despite underdiagnosis among Cameroonians, we demonstrated worse injury outcomes among those with known chronic diseases. Integrating chronic disease screening with injury care may help address underdiagnosis in Cameroon. Future work should assess whether chronic disease prevention in LMICs could improve injury outcomes.

Epidemiology of traumatic brain injury based on clinical symptoms amongst inhabitants of the Southwest Region of Cameroon: a community-based study.

BACKGROUND: The majority of studies investigating the epidemiology of traumatic brain injury (TBI) in sub-Saharan Africa are primarily hospital-based, missing fatal, mild, and other cases of TBI that do not present to formal care settings. This study aims to bridge this gap in data by describing the epidemiology of TBI in the Southwest Region of Cameroon. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional community-based study. Using a three-stage cluster sampling, local research assistants surveyed households with a pre-tested questionnaire to identify individuals with symptoms of TBI in nine health districts in the Southwest Region of Cameroon from 2016 to 2017. RESULTS: Data gathered on 8,065 individuals revealed 78 cases of suspected TBI. Road traffic injury (RTI) comprised 55% of subjects' mechanism of injury. Formal medical care was sought by 82.1% of subjects; three subjects died at the time of injury. Following injury, 59% of subjects reported difficulty affording basic necessities and 87.2% of subjects were unable to perform activities of their primary occupation. CONCLUSIONS: This study postulates an incidence of TBI in Southwest Cameroon of 975.57 per 100,000 individuals, significantly greater than prior findings. A large proportion of TBI is secondary to RTI.

Feasibility of a Cellular Telephone Follow-Up Program After Injury in Sub-Saharan Africa.

BACKGROUND: Injury disproportionately affects persons in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). Most LMIC lack capacity for routine follow-up care, likely resulting in complications and disability. Cellular telephones may provide a new tool to improve health outcomes. The objective of this study was to establish the feasibility of a mobile health follow-up program after injury in Cameroon. METHODS: Between February and October 2017, all injured patients admitted to a regional hospital in Cameroon were asked for mobile phone numbers as part of an existing trauma registry. Patients were contacted 2 weeks after leaving the hospital discharge to participate in a short triage survey. Data on program feasibility and patient condition were collected. RESULTS: Of 1180 injured patients who presented for emergency care, 83% provided telephone numbers, 62% were reached, and 48% (565) of all injured patients ultimately participated in telephone follow-up. Successfully contacted patients were reached after an average of 1.76 call attempts (SD 1.91) and median call time was 4.43 min (IQR 3.67-5.36). Five patients (1%) had died from their injuries at the time of follow-up. Among surveyed patients, 27% required ongoing assistance to complete activities of daily living. Nearly, half (47%) of patients reported inability to take medicines or care for their injury as instructed at discharge. Adequate pain control was achieved in only 38% of discharged patients. CONCLUSION: Pilot data suggest considerable under treatment of injury in Cameroon. Mobile telephone follow-up demonstrates potential as a feasible tool for screening discharged patients who could benefit from further care.

Financial Risk Protection and Hospital Admission for Trauma in Cameroon: An Analysis of the Cameroon National Trauma Registry.

BACKGROUND: Half of the global population is at risk for catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) in the event that they require surgery. Universal health coverage fundamentally requires protection from CHE, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Financial risk protection reports in LMICs covering surgical care are limited. We explored the relationship between financial risk protection and hospital admission among injured patients in Cameroon to understand the role of health insurance in addressing unmet need for surgery in LMICs. METHODS: The Cameroon National Trauma Registry, a database of all injured patients presenting to the emergency departments (ED) of three Cameroonian hospitals, was retrospectively reviewed between 2015 and 2017. Multivariate regression analysis identified predictors of hospital admission after injury and of patient report of cost inhibiting their care. RESULTS: Of the 7603 injured patients, 95.7% paid out-of-pocket to finance ED care. Less than two percent (1.42%) utilized private insurance, and more than half (54.7%) reported that cost inhibited their care. In multivariate analysis, private insurance coverage was a predictor of hospital admission (OR 2.17, 95% CI: 1.26, 3.74) and decreased likelihood of cost inhibiting care (OR 0.34, 95% CI: 0.20, 0.60) when compared to individuals paying out-of-pocket. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of out-of-pocket spending among injured patients in Cameroon highlights the need for financial risk protection that encompasses surgical care. Patients with private insurance were more likely to be admitted to the hospital, and less likely to report that cost inhibited care, supporting private health insurance as a potential financing strategy.

Strengthening Surgery Strengthens Health Systems: A New Paradigm and Potential Pathway for Horizontal Development in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.

Global health is transitioning toward a focus on building strong and sustainable health systems in developing countries; however, resources, funding, and agendas continue to concentrate on "vertical" (disease-based) improvements in care. Surgical care in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) requires the development of health systems infrastructure and can be considered an indicator of overall system readiness. Improving surgical care provides a scalable gateway to strengthen health systems in multiple domains. In this position paper by the Society of University Surgeons' Committee on Global Academic Surgery, we propose that health systems development appropriately falls within the purview of the academic surgeon. Partnerships between academic surgical institutions and societies from high-income and resource-constrained settings are needed to strengthen advocacy and funding efforts and support development of training and research in LMICs.

Correction to: Strengthening Surgery Strengthens Health Systems: A New Paradigm and Potential Pathway for Horizontal Development in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.

In the original article, Ziad C. Sifri's first and last names were interchanged. It is correct as reflected here.

From targets to solutions: Implementing a trauma quality improvement bundle in Cameroon.

BACKGROUND: Global surgery research efforts have been criticized for failure to transition from problem identification to intervention implementation. We developed a context-appropriate trauma quality improvement (TQI) bundle to ameliorate care gaps at a regional referral hospital in Cameroon. We determined associations between bundle implementation and improvement in trauma resuscitation practices. METHODS: We implemented a TQI bundle consisting of a hospital-specific trauma protocol, staff training, a trauma checklist, provision of essential emergency trauma supplies in the resuscitation area, and monthly quality improvement meetings. We compared trends in target process measures (e.g., frequency and timing of vital sign collection and primary survey interventions) in the six-month period pre- and post-bundle implementation using Wilcoxon rank-sum and Fisher's exact tests. RESULTS: We compared 246 pre-bundle patients with 203 post-bundle patients. Post-bundle patients experienced a greater proportion of all vital signs collected compared to the pre-intervention cohort (0 % pre-bundle vs. 69 % post-bundle, p < 0.001); specifically, the proportion of respiratory rate (0.8 % pre-bundle vs. 76 % post-bundle, p < 0.001) and temperature (7 % pre-bundle vs. 91 % post-bundle, p < 0.001) vital sign collection significantly increased. The post-bundle cohort had vital signs measured sooner (74 % vital signs measured within 15 min of arrival pre-bundle vs. 90 % post-bundle, p < 0.001) and more frequently per patient (7 % repeated vitals pre-bundle vs 52 % post-bundle, p < 0.001). Key primary survey interventions such as respiratory interventions (1 % pre-bundle vs. 8 % post-bundle, p < 0.001) and cervical collar placement (0 % pre-bundle vs. 7 % post-bundle, p < 0.001) also increased in the post-bundle cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of a context-appropriate TQI bundle was associated with significant improvements in previously identified trauma care deficits at a single regional hospital. Data-derived interventions targeting frontline capacity at the local level can bridge the gap between identifying care limitations and improvement in resource-limited settings.

Crystalloid resuscitation is associated with decreased treatment delays and improved systolic blood pressures in a blood-constrained setting.

Objectives: We analyzed resuscitation practices in Cameroonian patients with trauma as a first step toward developing a context-appropriate resuscitation protocol. We hypothesized that more patients would receive crystalloid-based (CB) resuscitation with a faster time to administration than blood product (BL) resuscitation. Methods: We included patients enrolled between 2017 and 2019 in the Cameroon Trauma Registry (CTR). Patients presenting with hemorrhagic shock (systolic blood pressure (SBP) <100 mm Hg and active bleeding) were categorized as receiving CB, BL, or no resuscitation (NR). We evaluated differences between cohorts with the Kruskal-Wallis test for continuous variables and Fisher's exact test for categorical variables. We compared time to treatment with the Wilcoxon rank sum test. Results: Of 9635 patients, 403 (4%) presented with hemorrhagic shock. Of these, 278 (69%) patients received CB, 39 (10%) received BL, and 86 (21%) received NR. BL patients presented with greater injury severity (Highest Estimated Abbreviated Injury Scale (HEAIS) 4 BL vs 3 CB vs 1 NR, p<0.001), and lower median hemoglobin (8.0 g/dL BL, 11.4 g/dL CB, 10.6 g/dL NR, p<0.001). CB showed greater initial improvement in SBP (12 mm Hg CB vs 9 mm Hg BL vs 0 NR mm Hg, p=0.04) compared with BL or no resuscitation, respectively. Median time to treatment was lower for CB than BL (12 vs 131 min, p<0.01). Multivariate logistic regression adjusted for injury severity found no association between resuscitation type and mortality (CB adjusted OR (aOR) 1.28, p=0.82; BL aOR 1.05, p=0.97). Conclusions: CB was associated with faster treatment, greater SBP elevation, and similar survival compared with BL in Cameroonian patients with trauma with hemorrhagic shock. In blood-constrained settings, treatment delays associated with blood product transfusion may offset the physiologic benefits of an early BL strategy. CB prior to definitive hemorrhage control in this resource-limited setting may be a necessary strategy to optimize perfusion pressure. Level of evidence and study type: III, retrospective study.

Bystander intervention is associated with reduced early mortality among injury victims in Cameroon.

Despite high injury mortality rates, Cameroon currently lacks a formal prehospital care system. In other sub-Saharan African low and middle-income countries, Lay First Responder (LFR) programs have trained non-medical professionals with high work-related exposure to injury in principles of basic trauma care. To develop a context-appropriate LFR program in Cameroon, we used trauma registry data to understand current layperson bystander involvement in prehospital care and explore associations between current non-formally trained bystander-provided prehospital care and clinical outcomes. The Cameroon Trauma Registry (CTR) is a longitudinal, prospective, multisite trauma registry cohort capturing data on injured patients presenting to four hospitals in Cameroon. We assessed prevalence and patterns of prehospital scene care among all patients enrolled the CTR in 2020. Associations between scene care, clinical status at presentation, and outcomes were tested using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. Injury severity was measured using the abbreviated injury score. Data were analyzed using Stata17. Of 2212 injured patients, 455 (21%) received prehospital care (PC) and 1699 (77%) did not receive care (NPC). Over 90% (424) of prehospital care was provided by persons without formal medical training. PC patients were more severely injured (p<0.001), had markers of increased socioeconomic status (p = 0.01), and longer transport distances (p<0.001) compared to NPC patients. Despite increased severity of injury, patients who received PC were more likely to present with a palpable pulse (OR = 6.2, p = 0.02). Multivariate logistic regression adjusted for injury severity, socioeconomic status and travel distance found PC to be associated with reduced emergency department mortality (OR = 0.14, p<0.0001). Although prehospital injury care in Cameroon is rarely performed and is provided almost entirely by persons without formal medical training, prehospital intervention is associated with increased early survival after injury. Implementation of LFR training to strengthen the frequency and quality of prehospital care has considerable potential to improve trauma survival.

Limb Injuries and Disability in the Southwest Region of Cameroon.

INTRODUCTION: Extremity injuries are a leading cause of morbidity in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), often resulting in marked short-term and long-term disabilities. Most of the existing knowledge on these injuries originates from hospital-based studies; however, poor access to health care in LMICs limits these data because of inherent selection bias. This subanalysis of a larger population-level cross-sectional study in the Southwest Region of Cameroon aims to determine patterns of limb injury, treatment-seeking behaviors, and predictors of disability. METHODS: Households were surveyed in 2017 on injuries and subsequent disability sustained over the previous 12 months using a three-stage cluster sampling framework. Subgroups were compared using the chi square, Fisher exact, analysis of variance, Wald, and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. Logarithmic models were used to identify predictors of disability. RESULTS: Of 8,065 subjects, 335 persons (4.2%) sustained 363 isolated limb injuries. Over half of the isolated limb injuries (55.7%) were open wounds while 9.6% were fractures. Isolated limb injuries most commonly occurred in younger men and resulted from falls (24.3%) and road traffic injuries (23.5%). High rates of disability were reported, with 39% reporting difficulty with activities of daily living. Compared with individuals with other types of limb injuries, those with fractures were six times more likely to seek a traditional healer first for care (40% versus 6.7%), 5.3 times (95% CI, 1.21 to 23.42) more likely to have any level of disability after adjustment for injury mechanism, and 2.3 times more likely to have difficulty paying for food or rent (54.8% versus 23.7%). DISCUSSION: Most traumatic injuries sustained in LMICs involve limb injuries and often result in high levels of disability that affect individuals during their most productive years. Improved access to care and injury control measures, such as road safety training and improvements to transportation and trauma response infrastructure, are needed to reduce these injuries.

The CBS test: Development, evaluation & cross-validation of a community-based injury severity scoring system in Cameroon.

Injury-related deaths overwhelmingly occur in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). Community-based injury surveillance is essential to accurately capture trauma epidemiology in LMICs, where one-third of injured individuals never present to formal care. However, community-based studies are constrained by the lack of a validated surrogate injury severity metric. The primary objective of this bipartite study was to cross-validate a novel community-based injury severity (CBS) scoring system with previously-validated injury severity metrics using multi-center trauma registry data. A set of targeted questions to ascertain injury severity in non-medical settings-the CBS test-was iteratively developed with Cameroonian physicians and laypeople. The CBS test was first evaluated in the community-setting in a large household-based injury surveillance survey in southwest Cameroon. The CBS test was subsequently incorporated into the Cameroon Trauma Registry, a prospective multi-site national hospital-based trauma registry, and cross-validated in the hospital setting using objective injury metrics in patients presenting to four trauma hospitals. Among 8065 surveyed household members with 503 injury events, individuals with CBS indicators (CBS+) were more likely to report ongoing disability after injury compared to CBS- individuals (OR 1.9, p = 0.004), suggesting the CBS test is a promising injury severity proxy. In 9575 injured patients presenting for formal evaluation, the CBS test strongly predicted death in patients after controlling for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and injury type (OR 30.26, p<0.0001). Compared to established injury severity scoring systems, the CBS test comparably predicts mortality (AUC: 0.8029), but is more feasible to calculate in both the community and clinical contexts. The CBS test is a simple, valid surrogate metric of injury severity that can be deployed widely in community-based surveys to improve estimates of injury severity in under-resourced settings.

Failure to receive prescribed imaging is associated with increased early mortality after injury in Cameroon.

Despite having the highest rates of injury-related mortality in the world, trauma system capacity in sub-Saharan Africa remains underdeveloped. One barrier to prompt diagnosis of injury is limited access to diagnostic imaging. As part of a larger quality improvement initiative and to assist priority setting for policy makers, we evaluated trauma outcomes among patients who did and did not receive indicated imaging in the Emergency Department (ED). We hypothesize that receiving imaging is associated with increased early injury survival. We evaluated patterns of imaging performance in a prospective multi-site trauma registry cohort in Cameroon. All trauma patients enrolled in the Cameroon Trauma Registry (CTR) between 2017 and 2019 were included, regardless of injury severity. Patients prescribed diagnostic imaging were grouped into cohorts who did and did not receive their prescribed study. Patient demographics, clinical course, and outcomes were compared using chi-squared and Kruskal-Wallis tests. Multivariate logistic regression was used to explore associations between radiologic testing and survival after injury. Of 9,635 injured patients, 47.5% (4,574) were prescribed at least one imaging study. Of these, 77.8% (3,556) completed the study (COMPLETED) and 22.2% (1,018) did not receive the prescribed study (NC). Compared to COMPLETED patients, NC patients were younger (p = 0.02), male (p<0.01), and had markers of lower socioeconomic status (SES) (p<0.01). Multivariate regression adjusted for age, sex, SES, and injury severity demonstrated that receiving a prescribed study was strongly associated with ED survival (OR 5.00, 95% CI 3.32-7.55). Completing prescribed imaging was associated with increased early survival in injured Cameroonian patients. In a resource-limited setting, subsidizing access to diagnostic imaging may be a feasible target for improving trauma outcomes.

How trauma patients die in low resource settings: Identifying early targets for trauma quality improvement.

BACKGROUND: Injury deaths in sub-Saharan Africa are among the world's highest, but hospital data rarely have sufficient granularity to direct quality improvement. We analyzed clinical care patterns among trauma patients who died in a prospective, multicenter sub-Saharan cohort to pinpoint trauma quality improvement intervention targets. METHODS: In-hospital trauma deaths in four Cameroonian hospitals between 2017 and 2019 were included. Trauma registry data on patient demographics, injury characteristics, and clinical care were analyzed to identify opportunities for systems improvements. RESULTS: Among 9,423 trauma patients, there were 236 deaths. Overall, 83% of patients who died in the emergency department were living on arrival (LOA). Among 183 LOA patients, 30% presented with normal vital signs, but 11% had no vital signs taken, often because of lack of equipment (43%). Of LOA patients presenting with a Glasgow Coma Scale score of <9 (56%), few received neurosurgery consults (15%), C-collar placement (9%), or intubation (1%). The most common reason for lack of c-collar placement was failure to recognize that it was indicated (66%). Tracheal deviation, unequal breath sounds, or paradoxical chest movement were present in 63% of LOA patients, but only two patients had chest tubes placed. Hypotension or active bleeding was present in 80% of LOA patients; while crystalloid bolus was given to 96% of these patients, few received transfusion (8%), tourniquet placement for extremity injury (6%), or an operation (4%). CONCLUSION: Primary survey interventions are underperformed in trauma nonsurvivors in Cameroon. Protocolizing early treatment for head injury, hemorrhagic shock, and chest wall trauma could reduce trauma mortality. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiologic; Level III.

Back to the basics: Clinical assessment yields robust mortality prediction and increased feasibility in low resource settings.

INTRODUCTION: Mortality prediction aids clinical decision-making and is necessary for trauma quality improvement initiatives. Conventional injury severity scores are often not feasible in low-resource settings. We hypothesize that clinician assessment will be more feasible and have comparable discrimination of mortality compared to conventional scores in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). METHODS: Between 2017 and 2019, injury data were collected from all injured patients as part of a prospective, four-hospital trauma registry in Cameroon. Clinicians used physical exam at presentation to assign a highest estimated abbreviated injury scale (HEAIS) for each patient. Discrimination of hospital mortality was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves. Discrimination of HEAIS was compared with conventional scores. Data missingness for each score was reported. RESULTS: Of 9,635 presenting with injuries, there were 206 in-hospital deaths (2.2%). Compared to 97.5% of patients with HEAIS scores, only 33.2% had sufficient data to calculate a Revised Trauma Score (RTS) and 24.8% had data to calculate a Kampala Trauma Score (KTS). Data from 2,328 patients with all scores was used to compare models. Although statistically inferior to the prediction generated by RTS (AUC 0.92-0.98) and KTS (AUC 0.93-0.99), HEAIS provided excellent overall discrimination of mortality (AUC 0.84-0.92). Among 9,269 patients with HEAIS scores was strongly predictive of mortality (AUC 0.93-0.96). CONCLUSION: Clinical assessment of injury severity using HEAIS strongly predicts hospital mortality and far exceeds conventional scores in feasibility. In contexts where traditional scoring systems are not feasible, utilization of HEAIS could facilitate improved data quality and expand access to quality improvement programming.

Mobile health follow-up screening to risk stratify patients in need of further care in a low resource setting: Results from a prospective multisite implementation study.

BACKGROUND: Routine in-person follow-up for injured patients after hospital discharge is unfeasible in low- and middle-income countries where trauma morbidity and mortality are the highest. Mobile technology screening may facilitate early detection of complications and timely treatment. In this prospective, multisite implementation study, we cross-validate the performance of a cellphone screening tool developed to risk stratify trauma patients in need of further care after discharge in Cameroon. METHODS: Between June 2019 and August 2022, research assistants contacted trauma patients by cellphone 2 weeks after discharge to administer a 14-question follow-up survey. All surveyed patients were asked to return for a physical examination. Physicians blinded to survey results categorized patients as low or moderate or high risk (HR) for poor outcomes without further care. Logistic regression tested associations between each survey question and physician examination. Predictive survey questions generated a preliminary model with high sensitivity for identifying patients in need of further care. RESULTS: Of 1,712 successfully contacted patient households, 96% (1643) participated in telephone triage compared with 33% (560) who returned for physician examination. Physicians designated 39% (220) as being HR. On multiple logistic regression, 8 of 13 candidate triage questions were independently associated with HR. Positive survey response on the resultant eight question screen yielded 89.2% sensitivity for HR with a 10.8% false negative rate. Weighted for variable importance based on triage risk scores, 39% of triaged patients screened as low risk, 39% as moderate risk, and 22% as high risk for HR. Likelihood of HR was significantly greater for patients screening as high (odds ratio, 5.9) or moderate risk (odds ratio, 1.9; both p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Cellphone triage provides sensitive risk stratification of patients in need of further care after hospital discharge in Cameroon. Given low in-person return rates, limited resources should highly prioritize efforts to repatriate patients screening as high risk for poor outcomes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic/Care Management; Level III.

Too serious to ignore: The epidemiologic and economic burden of home injuries in the Southwest Region of Cameroon-A community-based study.

BACKGROUND: Home injuries are an important cause of morbidity and mortality in high-income countries. In Sub-Saharan Africa, including Cameroon, many people live in unplanned settlements with poorly constructed houses, predisposing them to home injuries. However, little is known about the epidemiology and care-seeking behaviors of the domestically injured. In this study, our objective was to determine the epidemiology and care-seeking behaviors of home injuries in the Southwest Region of Cameroon. METHODS: A sub-analyses of a larger descriptive cross-sectional community-based study on injury epidemiology in the preceding 12 months was conducted. Sampling was done using three-stage cluster sampling technique. Differences between groups were evaluated using Chi-squared and Adjusted Wald tests. RESULTS: Of 8065 participants, 157 suffered home injuries giving an incidence of 19.6 (16.8-23.0 95% CI) cases per 1000-person years. Home injuries comprised 31.2% of all 503 injuries and affected more females (60.8%) and younger individuals (mean age (SE) 25.1 years (2.0)) than non-home injuries. The most common activity and mechanism of home injury was leisure/play (51%) and falls (37.9%) respectively. Amongst those with home injuries, 37.6% did not seek care from any care provider (versus 25.0% of non-home injuries, p = 0.004) and were more likely to seek treatment within the family or at home (p = 0.008) or at church (p = 0.010). Those with home injuries experienced a median of 14 disability days and 22.9% of families faced difficulties affording basic expenses (p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Home injuries comprise about a third of the Southwest Region of Cameroon's burden of injury and likely have a profound socioeconomic impact. Though these injuries cause severe disabilities, a large proportion of victims do not seek care from providers. Prevention efforts should address the design of homes and victims of home injury should be encouraged to utilize formal care services.

Mobile telephone follow-up assessment of postdischarge death and disability due to trauma in Cameroon: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: In Cameroon, long-term outcomes after discharge from trauma are largely unknown, limiting our ability to identify opportunities to reduce the burden of injury. In this study, we evaluated injury-related death and disability in Cameroonian trauma patients over a 6-month period after hospital discharge. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Four hospitals in the Littoral and Southwest regions of Cameroon. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1914 patients entered the study, 1304 were successfully contacted. Inclusion criteria were patients discharged after being treated for traumatic injury at each of four participating hospitals during a 20-month period. Those who did not possess a cellular phone or were unable to provide a phone number were excluded. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) was administered to trauma patients at 2 weeks, 1 month, 3 months and 6 months post discharge. Median GOSE scores for each timepoint were compared and regression analyses were performed to determine associations with death and disability. RESULTS: Of 71 deaths recorded, 90% occurred by 2 weeks post discharge. At 6 months, 22% of patients still experienced severe disability. Median (IQR) GOSE scores at the four timepoints were 4 (3-7), 5 (4-8), 7 (4-8) and 7 (5-8), respectively, (p<0.01). Older age was associated with greater odds of postdischarge disability (OR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.41) and mortality (OR: 2.15, 95% CI: 1.52 to 3.04), while higher education was associated with decreased odds of disability (OR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.58 to 0.73) and mortality (OR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.31 to 0.47). Open fractures (OR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.38 to 2.18) and closed fractures (OR: 1.83, 95% CI: 1.42 to 2.36) were associated with greater postdischarge disability, while higher Injury Severity Score (OR: 2.44, 95% CI: 2.13 to 2.79) and neurological injuries (OR: 4.40, 95% CI: 3.25 to 5.96) were associated with greater odds of postdischarge mortality. CONCLUSION: Mobile follow-up data show significant morbidity and mortality, particularly for orthopaedic and neurologic injuries, up to 6 months following trauma discharge. These results highlight the need for reliable follow-up systems in Cameroon.

Associations between social determinants of health and interpersonal violence-related injury in Cameroon: a cross-sectional study.

INTRODUCTION: Risk factors for interpersonal violence-related injury (IPVRI) in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) remain poorly defined. We describe associations between IPVRI and select social determinants of health (SDH) in Cameroon. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of prospective trauma registry data collected from injured patients >15 years old between October 2017 and January 2020 at four Cameroonian hospitals. Our primary outcome was IPVRI, compared with unintentional injury. Explanatory SDH variables included education level, employment status, household socioeconomic status (SES) and alcohol use. The EconomicClusters model grouped patients into household SES clusters: rural, urban poor, urban middle-class (MC) homeowners, urban MC tenants and urban wealthy. Results were stratified by sex. Categorical variables were compared via Pearson's χ2 statistic. Associations with IPVRI were estimated using adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). RESULTS: Among 7605 patients, 5488 (72.2%) were men. Unemployment was associated with increased odds of IPVRI for men (aOR 2.44 (95% CI 1.95 to 3.06), p<0.001) and women (aOR 2.53 (95% CI 1.35 to 4.72), p=0.004), as was alcohol use (men: aOR 2.33 (95% CI 1.91 to 2.83), p<0.001; women: aOR 3.71 (95% CI 2.41 to 5.72), p<0.001). Male patients from rural (aOR 1.45 (95% CI 1.04 to 2.03), p=0.028) or urban poor (aOR 2.08 (95% CI 1.27 to 3.41), p=0.004) compared with urban wealthy households had increased odds of IPVRI, as did female patients with primary-level/no formal (aOR 1.78 (95% CI 1.10 to 2.87), p=0.019) or secondary-level (aOR 1.54 (95% CI 1.03 to 2.32), p=0.037) compared with tertiary-level education. CONCLUSION: Lower educational attainment, unemployment, lower household SES and alcohol use are risk factors for IPVRI in Cameroon. Future research should explore LMIC-appropriate interventions to address SDH risk factors for IPVRI.

Association of Health Care Use and Economic Outcomes After Injury in Cameroon.

Importance: Despite the highest injury rates worldwide, formal medical care is not often sought after injuries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Unaffordable costs associated with trauma care might inhibit injured patients from seeking care. Objectives: To (1) determine the injury epidemiology in Cameroon using population-representative data, (2) identify the barriers to use of formal health care after injury, and (3) determine the association between use of care and economic outcomes after injury. Design, Setting, and Participants: This mixed-methods, cross-sectional study included a population-representative, community-based survey and nested qualitative semistructured interviews in the urban-rural Southwest Region of Cameroon. Three-stage cluster sampling was used to select target households. Data were collected from January 3 to March 14, 2017, and analyzed from March 3, 2017, to March 3, 2019. Exposures: Injuries occurring in the preceding 12 months. Main Outcomes and Measures: Postinjury use of health care services, disability, and economic outcomes. All survey data were adjusted for cluster sampling. Results: Of 1551 total households approached, 1287 (83.0%) were surveyed for a total sample size of 8065 participants. The 8065 individuals surveyed included 4181 women (52.0%), with a mean age of 23.9 (standard error [SE], 0.2) years. A total of 503 injuries were identified among 471 unique participants, including 494 nonfatal injuries. Among these, 165 (34.6%) did not seek formal medical services. Disability occurred after 345 injuries (68.6%) and resulted in 11 941 lost days of work in the sample. Family economic hardship after injury was substantially increased among the injured cohort who used formal medical care. Injuries brought to formal medical care, compared with those that were note, incurred higher mean treatment costs ($101.08 [SE, $236.23] vs $12.13 [SE, $36.78]; P < .001), resulted in higher rates of lost employment (19.9% [SE, 3.6%] vs 5.6% [SE, 1.6%]; P = .004), and more frequently led affected families to use economic coping strategies, such as borrowing money (26.2% [SE, 2.7%] vs 7.1% [SE, 1.2%]; P < .001). After adjusting for age and severity, use of formal medical care in Cameroon was independently associated with severe economic hardship after injury, defined as a new inability to afford food or rent (adjusted odds ratio, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.05-2.65). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, injury in Southwestern Cameroon was associated with significant disability and lost productivity. Formal medical treatment of injury was associated with significant financial consequences for households of injured patients. Primary prevention of road traffic injuries and financial restructuring of emergency care could improve trauma care access in Cameroon and reduce the societal effects of injury.

Dynamic multi-outcome prediction after injury: Applying adaptive machine learning for precision medicine in trauma.

OBJECTIVE: Machine learning techniques have demonstrated superior discrimination compared to conventional statistical approaches in predicting trauma death. The objective of this study is to evaluate whether machine learning algorithms can be used to assess risk and dynamically identify patient-specific modifiable factors critical to patient trajectory for multiple key outcomes after severe injury. METHODS: SuperLearner, an ensemble machine-learning algorithm, was applied to prospective observational cohort data from 1494 critically-injured patients. Over 1000 agnostic predictors were used to generate prediction models from multiple candidate learners for outcomes of interest at serial time points post-injury. Model accuracy was estimated using cross-validation and area under the curve was compared to select among predictors. Clinical variables responsible for driving outcomes were estimated at each time point. RESULTS: SuperLearner fits demonstrated excellent cross-validated prediction of death (overall AUC 0.94-0.97), multi-organ failure (overall AUC 0.84-0.90), and transfusion (overall AUC 0.87-0.9) across multiple post-injury time points, and good prediction of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (overall AUC 0.84-0.89) and venous thromboembolism (overall AUC 0.73-0.83). Outcomes with inferior data quality included coagulopathic trajectory (AUC 0.48-0.88). Key clinical predictors evolved over the post-injury timecourse and included both anticipated and unexpected variables. Non-random missingness of data was identified as a predictor of multiple outcomes over time. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning algorithms can be used to generate dynamic prediction after injury while avoiding the risk of over- and under-fitting inherent in ad hoc statistical approaches. SuperLearner prediction after injury demonstrates promise as an adaptable means of helping clinicians integrate voluminous, evolving data on severely-injured patients into real-time, dynamic decision-making support.