Clinical Correlates and Prognostic Impact of Cognitive Dysfunction in Patients With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction: Insights From PARAGON-HF.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment is common in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction but its clinical correlates and prognostic associations are poorly understood. METHODS: We analyzed cognitive function, using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction enrolled in a prespecified substudy of the PARAGON-HF trial (Prospective Comparison of Angiotensin Receptor Neprilysin Inhibitor With Angiotensin Receptor Blocker Global Outcomes in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction). Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the variables associated with lower MMSE scores at baseline and postbaseline decline in MMSE scores at 48 weeks. Cox proportional hazards regression and semiparametric proportional rates models were used to examine the risk of clinical outcomes related to baseline MMSE scores, and decline in MMSE scores during follow-up, adjusted for prognostic variables including NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide). RESULTS: At baseline, cognitive function was normal (MMSE score 28-30) in 1809 of 2895 patients (62.5%), borderline (score 24-27) in 794 (27.4%), and impaired (score <24) in 292 (10.1%). Variables associated with both a lower MMSE score at baseline and a decline in score from baseline included older age, a history of stroke or transient ischemia attack, and lower serum albumin. Compared with those with baseline MMSE scores of 28 to 30, patients in the lower MMSE score categories had a stepwise increase in the risk of the composite of time to first HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.27 (95% CI, 1.06-1.53) for those with scores of 24 to 27 and 1.58 (95% CI, 1.21-2.06) for those with scores <24, respectively. These associations were also found for the individual components of the composite and all-cause death. Likewise, cognitive impairment was associated with a 50% higher risk of total (first and repeat) heart failure hospitalizations and cardiovascular deaths. Examining the change in MMSE score from baseline, a decrease in MMSE score during follow-up was associated with a higher risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction, even modest baseline impairment of cognitive function was associated with worse outcomes, including death. A decline in MMSE score during follow-up was a strong predictor of mortality, independent of other prognostic variables.

The win ratio in cardiology trials: lessons learnt, new developments, and wise future use.

The win ratio method for analysing a composite clinical hierarchy of outcomes is growing in popularity especially in cardiovascular trials. This article gives a perspective on its use so far and the issues derived from that experience. Specifically, it focuses on the limitations of a conventional composite outcome; how does the win ratio work, what does it mean, and how to display its findings; guidance on choosing an appropriate clinical hierarchy of outcomes including clinical events, quantitative outcomes, and other options; the additional value of the win difference as a measure of absolute benefit: extension to stratified win ratio, subgroup analysis, matched win ratio, and covariate adjustment; determining trial size for a win ratio outcome; specific insights such as adaptive designs, use of repeat events, and use of margins and time averages for quantitative outcomes; a critique of potential misuses; availability of statistical software; and a statistical appendix on the methodological details. Throughout, each principle is illustrated by examples from specific cardiology trials. The article concludes with a set of recommendations for future use of the win ratio.

Blinded Withdrawal of Long-Term Randomized Treatment With Empagliflozin or Placebo in Patients With Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: It is not known whether the benefits of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors in heart failure persist after years of therapy. METHODS: In the EMPEROR-Reduced (Empagliflozin Outcome Trials in Chronic Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction) and EMPEROR-Preserved (Empagliflozin Outcome Trials in Chronic Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction) trials, patients with heart failure were randomly assigned (double-blind) to placebo or empagliflozin 10 mg/day for a median of 16 and 26 months, respectively. At the end of the trials, 6799 patients (placebo 3381, empagliflozin 3418) were prospectively withdrawn from treatment in a blinded manner, and, of these, 3981 patients (placebo 2020, empagliflozin 1961) underwent prespecified in-person assessments after ≈30 days off treatment. RESULTS: From 90 days from the start of closeout to the end of double-blind treatment, the annualized risk of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure was lower in empagliflozin-treated patients than in placebo-treated patients (10.7 [95% CI, 9.0-12.6] versus 13.5 [95% CI, 11.5-15.6] events per 100 patient-years, respectively; hazard ratio 0.76 [95% CI, 0.60-0.96]). When the study drugs were withdrawn for ≈30 days, the annualized risk of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure increased in patients withdrawn from empagliflozin but not in those withdrawn from placebo (17.0 [95% CI, 12.6-22.1] versus 14.1 [95% CI, 10.1-18.8] events per 100 patient-years for empagliflozin and placebo, respectively). The hazard ratio for the change in risk in the patients withdrawn from empagliflozin was 1.75 (95% CI, 1.20-2.54), P=0.0034, whereas the change in the risk in patients withdrawn from placebo was not significant (hazard ratio 1.12 [95% CI, 0.76-1.66]); time period-by-treatment interaction, P=0.068. After withdrawal, the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score declined by 1.6±0.4 in patients withdrawn from empagliflozin versus placebo (P<0.0001). Furthermore, withdrawal of empagliflozin was accompanied by increases in fasting glucose, body weight, systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, N-terminal pro-hormone B-type natriuretic peptide, uric acid, and serum bicarbonate and decreases in hemoglobin and hematocrit (all P<0.01). These physiological and laboratory changes were the inverse of the effects of the drug seen at the start of the trials during the initiation of treatment (≈1-3 years earlier) in the same cohort of patients. CONCLUSIONS: These observations demonstrate a persistent effect of empagliflozin in patients with heart failure even after years of treatment, which dissipated rapidly after withdrawal of the drug. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifiers: NCT03057977 and NCT03057951.

MASLD and MASH at the crossroads of hepatology trials and cardiorenal metabolic trials.

Steatotic liver disease (SLD) is a worldwide public health problem, causing considerable morbidity and mortality. Patients with SLD are at increased risk for major adverse cardiovascular (CV) events, type 2 diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease. Conversely, patients with cardiometabolic conditions have a high prevalence of SLD. In addition to epidemiological evidence linking many of these conditions, there is evidence of shared pathophysiological processes. In December 2022, a unique multi-stakeholder, multi-specialty meeting, called MOSAIC (Metabolic multi Organ Science Accelerating Innovation in Clinical Trials) was convened to foster collaboration across metabolic, hepatology, nephrology and CV disorders. One of the goals of the meeting was to consider approaches to drug development that would speed regulatory approval of treatments for multiple disorders by combining liver and cardiorenal endpoints within a single study. Non-invasive tests, including biomarkers and imaging, are needed in hepatic and cardiorenal trials. They can be used as trial endpoints, to enrich trial populations, to diagnose and risk stratify patients and to assess treatment efficacy and safety. Although they are used in proof of concept and phase 2 trials, they are often not acceptable for regulatory approval of therapies. The challenge is defining the optimal combination of biomarkers, imaging and morbidity/mortality outcomes and ensuring that they are included in future trials while minimizing the burden on patients, trialists and trial sponsors. This paper provides an overview of some of the wide array of CV, liver and kidney measurements that were discussed at the MOSAIC meeting.

High Risk of Stroke in Patients With Worsening Heart Failure, Reduced Ejection Fraction, Coronary Heart Disease and Sinus Rhythm: Risk Prediction Score Analysis From the COMMANDER-HF Trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and sinus rhythm have a heightened risk of stroke. Whether anticoagulation benefits these patients is uncertain. In this post hoc analysis of the A Study to Assess the Effectiveness and Safety of Rivaroxaban in Reducing the Risk of Death, Myocardial Infarction, or Stroke in Participants with Heart Failure and Coronary Artery Disease Following an Episode of Decompensated Heart Failure (COMMANDER-HF) trial we evaluated how a previously validated risk model consisting of 3 variables (history of prior stroke, insulin-treated diabetes, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level) would perform, compared with plasma d-dimer, for stroke prediction and estimation of the benefit of low-dose rivaroxaban. METHODS AND RESULTS: Stroke risk and treatment effect were computed across risk score and plasma d-dimer tertiles. Risk score was available in 58% of the COMMANDER-HF population (n = 2928). Over a median follow-up of 512 days (range 342-747 days), 60 patients experienced a stroke (14.6 per 1000 patient-years). The risk model did not identify patients at higher risk of stroke and showed a low overall prognostic performance (C-index = 0.53). The effect of rivaroxaban on stroke was homogeneous across risk score tertiles (P-interaction = .67). Among patients in whom the risk score was estimated, d-dimer was available in 2343 (80%). d-dimer had an acceptable discrimination performance for stroke prediction (C-index = 0.66) and higher plasma d-dimer concentrations were associated with higher rates of stroke (ie, tertile 3 vs tertile 1, hazard ratio 3.65, 95% confidence interval 1.59-8.39, P = .002). Treatment with low-dose rivaroxaban reduced the incidence of stroke in patients at highest risk by d-dimer levels (ie, >515 ng/mL, hazard ratio 0.42, 95% confidence interval 0.18-0.95, P-interaction = .074), without any safety concerns. CONCLUSIONS: In our analysis, plasma d-dimer concentrations performed better than a previously described 3-variable risk score for stroke prediction in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, a recent clinical worsening and sinus rhythm as enrolled in the COMMANDER-HF trial. In these patients, a raised plasma d-dimer concentration identified patients who might benefit most from rivaroxaban.

Cardiovascular phenotypes in type 2 diabetes: Latent class analysis of the CANVAS Program and CREDENCE trial.

AIM: To identify unique clinical phenotypes in type 2 diabetes (T2D) and investigate their treatment response to canagliflozin using latent class analysis. METHODS: This was a pooled latent class analysis of the individuals in the CANVAS Program and CREDENCE trial. The co-primary endpoints were hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) and the composite of cardiovascular death (CVD) or HHF. Secondary endpoints included three-point major adverse CV events, its individual components, and all-cause mortality. We completed Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the effect of canagliflozin across phenotypes. RESULTS: Four distinct phenotypes were identified: Phenotype 1 (n = 966, 6.6%), with the lowest prevalence of heart failure, kidney dysfunction and hypertension; Phenotype 2 (n = 4169, 28.7%), primarily comprising females with a high prevalence of atherosclerotic vascular disease (ASCVD); Phenotype 3 (n = 7108, 48.9%), predominately males with a high prevalence of ASCVD; and Phenotype 4 (n = 2300, 15.8%), possessing the highest prevalences of HF and renal dysfunction. A hierarchical increase in the risk of the primary endpoint was observed across the phenotypes, with the highest CV risk observed for Phenotype 4 (hazard ratio for HHF: 7.57 [95% CI: 4.19-13.69]). Canagliflozin significantly reduced HHF and the composite CVD or HHF across phenotypes (all P values for interaction > .05). CONCLUSION: We identified four clinically distinct T2D phenotypes with differential CV risks. Canagliflozin reduced the risk of CV events, irrespective of the phenotype, emphasizing its broad therapeutic acceptability.

Impact of empagliflozin on insulin needs in patients with heart failure and diabetes: An EMPEROR-Pooled analysis.

AIM: To assess the effect of empagliflozin on patients with comorbid heart failure (HF) and diabetes with or without baseline insulin, and to study the impact of empagliflozin on insulin requirements over time. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a post-hoc analysis of pooled patient-level data from two cardiovascular outcomes trials of empagliflozin in HF (EMPEROR-Reduced and EMPEROR-Preserved trials). We undertook a subgroup analysis stratified by baseline insulin use, including all patients with diabetes. The studied endpoints included the primary composite endpoint of first hospitalization for HF or cardiovascular death, rate of decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate, composite renal outcome and rates of sustained insulin initiation. RESULTS: Among 4794 patients with diabetes, 1333 (658 in empagliflozin, 675 in placebo) were using insulin at baseline. The treatment effect of empagliflozin on the primary endpoint was consistent irrespective of insulin use [no insulin, hazard ratio 0.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63-0.86; using insulin, hazard ratio 0.81, 95% CI 0.66-1.00, pinteraction = .49], as was the effect on the rate of decline of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (pinteraction = .75). There was no effect of empagliflozin on the composite renal outcome in patients using or not using insulin (pinteraction = .30). Among patients not using insulin at baseline, those randomized to empagliflozin initiated insulin less frequently throughout the follow-up period compared with those receiving placebo (2.6% vs. 3.8%, odds ratio 0.66, 95% CI 0.50-0.88). CONCLUSIONS: Empagliflozin exerts a consistent benefit on cardiovascular outcomes and renal function decline, irrespective of baseline insulin use, and reduces the need for sustained insulin initiation in patients with HF and diabetes.

Impact of empagliflozin on decongestion in acute heart failure: the EMPULSE trial.

AIMS: Effective and safe decongestion remains a major goal for optimal management of patients with acute heart failure (AHF). The effects of the sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor empagliflozin on decongestion-related endpoints in the EMPULSE trial (NCT0415775) were evaluated. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 530 patients hospitalized for AHF were randomized 1:1 to either empagliflozin 10 mg once daily or placebo for 90 days. The outcomes investigated were: weight loss (WL), WL adjusted for mean daily loop diuretic dose (WL-adjusted), area under the curve of change from baseline in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels, hemoconcentration, and clinical congestion score after 15, 30, and 90 days of treatment. Compared with placebo, patients treated with empagliflozin demonstrated significantly greater reductions in all studied markers of decongestion at all time-points, adjusted mean differences (95% confidence interval) at Days 15, 30, and 90 were: for WL -1.97 (-2.86, -1.08), -1.74 (-2.73, -0.74); -1.53 (-2.75, -0.31) kg; for WL-adjusted: -2.31 (-3.77, -0.85), -2.79 (-5.03, -0.54), -3.18 (-6.08, -0.28) kg/40 mg furosemide i.v. or equivalent; respectively (all P < 0.05). Greater WL at Day 15 (i.e. above the median WL in the entire population) was associated with significantly higher probability for clinical benefit at Day 90 (hierarchical composite of all-cause death, heart failure events, and a 5-point or greater difference in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire total symptom score change from baseline to 90 days) with the win ratio of 1.75 (95% confidence interval 1.37, 2.23; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Initiation of empagliflozin in patients hospitalized for AHF resulted in an early, effective and sustained decongestion which was associated with clinical benefit at Day 90.

Empagliflozin for Heart Failure With Preserved Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction With and Without Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Empagliflozin improves outcomes in patients with heart failure with a preserved ejection fraction, but whether the effects are consistent in patients with and without diabetes remains to be elucidated. METHODS: Patients with class II through IV heart failure and a left ventricular ejection fraction >40% were randomized to receive empagliflozin 10 mg or placebo in addition to usual therapy. We undertook a prespecified analysis comparing the effects of empagliflozin versus placebo in patients with and without diabetes. RESULTS: Of the 5988 patients enrolled, 2938 (49%) had diabetes. The risk of the primary outcome (first hospitalization for heart failure or cardiovascular death), total hospitalizations for heart failure, and estimated glomerular filtration rate decline was higher in patients with diabetes. Empagliflozin reduced the rate of the primary outcome irrespective of diabetes status (hazard ratio, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.67, 0.94] for patients with diabetes versus hazard ratio, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.64, 0.95] in patients without diabetes; Pinteraction=0.92). The effect of empagliflozin to reduce total hospitalizations for heart failure was also consistent in patients with and without diabetes. The effect of empagliflozin to attenuate estimated glomerular filtration rate decline during double-blind treatment was also present in patients with and without diabetes, although more pronounced in patients with diabetes (1.77 in diabetes versus 0.98 mL/min/1.73m2 in patients without diabetes; Pinteraction=0.01). Across these 3 end points, the effect of empagliflozin did not differ in patients with prediabetes or normoglycemia (33% and 18% of the patient population, respectively). When investigated as a continuous variable, baseline hemoglobin A1c did not modify the effects on the primary outcome (Pinteraction=0.26). There was no increased risk of hypoglycemic events in either subgroup as compared with placebo. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with heart failure and a preserved ejection fraction enrolled in the EMPEROR-Preserved (Empagliflozin Outcome Trial in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction), empagliflozin significantly reduced the risk of heart failure outcomes irrespective of diabetes status at baseline. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT03057951.

Therapeutic Targets for Heart Failure Identified Using Proteomics and Mendelian Randomization.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a highly prevalent disorder for which disease mechanisms are incompletely understood. The discovery of disease-associated proteins with causal genetic evidence provides an opportunity to identify new therapeutic targets. METHODS: We investigated the observational and causal associations of 90 cardiovascular proteins, which were measured using affinity-based proteomic assays. First, we estimated the associations of 90 cardiovascular proteins with incident heart failure by means of a fixed-effect meta-analysis of 4 population-based studies, composed of a total of 3019 participants with 732 HF events. The causal effects of HF-associated proteins were then investigated by Mendelian randomization, using cis-protein quantitative loci genetic instruments identified from genomewide association studies in more than 30 000 individuals. To improve the precision of causal estimates, we implemented an Mendelian randomization model that accounted for linkage disequilibrium between instruments and tested the robustness of causal estimates through a multiverse sensitivity analysis that included up to 120 combinations of instrument selection parameters and Mendelian randomization models per protein. The druggability of candidate proteins was surveyed, and mechanism of action and potential on-target side effects were explored with cross-trait Mendelian randomization analysis. RESULTS: Forty-four of ninety proteins were positively associated with risk of incident HF (P<6.0×10-4). Among these, 8 proteins had evidence of a causal association with HF that was robust to multiverse sensitivity analysis: higher CSF-1 (macrophage colony-stimulating factor 1), Gal-3 (galectin-3) and KIM-1 (kidney injury molecule 1) were positively associated with risk of HF, whereas higher ADM (adrenomedullin), CHI3L1 (chitinase-3-like protein 1), CTSL1 (cathepsin L1), FGF-23 (fibroblast growth factor 23), and MMP-12 (matrix metalloproteinase-12) were protective. Therapeutics targeting ADM and Gal-3 are currently under evaluation in clinical trials, and all the remaining proteins were considered druggable, except KIM-1. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 44 circulating proteins that were associated with incident HF, of which 8 showed evidence of a causal relationship and 7 were druggable, including adrenomedullin, which represents a particularly promising drug target. Our approach demonstrates a tractable roadmap for the triangulation of population genomic and proteomic data for the prioritization of therapeutic targets for complex human diseases.

Effects of Empagliflozin on Symptoms, Physical Limitations, and Quality of Life in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Heart Failure: Results From the EMPULSE Trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients hospitalized for acute heart failure experience poor health status, including a high burden of symptoms and physical limitations, and poor quality of life. SGLT2 (sodium-glucose cotransporter 2) inhibitors improve health status in chronic heart failure, but their effect on these outcomes in acute heart failure is not well characterized. We investigated the effects of the SGLT2 inhibitor empagliflozin on symptoms, physical limitations, and quality of life, using the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) in the EMPULSE trial (Empagliflozin in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure Who Have Been Stabilized). METHODS: Patients hospitalized for acute heart failure were randomized to empagliflozin 10 mg daily or placebo for 90 days. The KCCQ was assessed at randomization and 15, 30, and 90 days. The effects of empagliflozin on the primary end point of clinical benefit (hierarchical composite of all-cause death, heart failure events, and a 5-point or greater difference in KCCQ Total Symptom Score [TSS] change from baseline to 90 days) were examined post hoc across the tertiles of baseline KCCQ-TSS. In prespecified analyses, changes (randomization to day 90) in KCCQ domains, including TSS, physical limitations, quality of life, clinical summary, and overall summary scores were evaluated using a repeated measures model. RESULTS: In total, 530 patients were randomized (265 each arm). Baseline KCCQ-TSS was low overall (mean [SD], 40.8 [24.0] points). Empagliflozin-treated patients experienced greater clinical benefit across the range of KCCQ-TSS, with no treatment effect heterogeneity (win ratio [95% CIs] from lowest to highest tertile: 1.49 [1.01-2.20], 1.37 [0.94-1.99], and 1.48 [1.00-2.20], respectively; P for interaction=0.94). Beneficial effects of empagliflozin on health status were observed as early as 15 days and persisted through 90 days, at which point empagliflozin-treated patients experienced a greater improvement in KCCQ TSS, physical limitations, quality of life, clinical summary, and overall summary (placebo-adjusted mean differences [95% CI]: 4.45 [95% CI, 0.32-8.59], P=0.03; 4.80 [95% CI, 0.00-9.61], P=0.05; 4.66 [95% CI, 0.32-9.01], P=0.04; 4.85 [95% CI, 0.77-8.92], P=0.02; and 4.40 points [95% CI, 0.33-8.48], P=0.03, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Initiation of empagliflozin in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure produced clinical benefit regardless of the degree of symptomatic impairment at baseline, and improved symptoms, physical limitations, and quality of life, with benefits seen as early as 15 days and maintained through 90 days. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT0415775.

Effects of Empagliflozin in Women and Men With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Women and men with heart failure (HF) and preserved ejection fraction may differ in their clinical characteristics and their response to therapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the influence of sex on the effects of empagliflozin in patients with HF and preserved ejection fraction enrolled in the EMPEROR-Preserved trial (Empagliflozin Outcome Trial in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction). METHODS: The effects of empagliflozin on the primary outcome of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for HF and on secondary outcomes (including total HF hospitalization, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire scores) were compared in women and men in the overall cohort and in subgroups defined by left ventricular ejection fraction (41%-49%, 50%-59%, and ≥60%). The effects of empagliflozin on physiological measures, including changes in systolic blood pressure, uric acid, hemoglobin, body weight, and natriuretic peptide levels, were also assessed. RESULTS: Of the 5988 patients randomized, 2676 (44.7%) were women. In the placebo arm, women tended to have lower risk for adverse outcomes, including a lower risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.56, 0.84]). Compared with placebo, empagliflozin reduced the risk of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for HF to a similar degree in both sexes (hazard ratio, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.69, 0.96] for men; and hazard ratio, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.61, 0.92] for women; Pinteraction=0.54). Sex did not modify the relationship between empagliflozin and outcomes across ejection fraction groups. Similar results were seen for secondary outcomes and physiological measures. Compared with placebo, empagliflozin improved the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score to a similar extent in both sexes (1.38 for men versus 1.63 for women at 52 weeks; Pinteraction=0.77); the results were similar for Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire overall summary score and total summary score. CONCLUSIONS: Empagliflozin produced similar benefits on outcomes and health status in women and men with HF and preserved ejection fraction. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT03057951.

High- Versus Low-dose Losartan and Serum Potassium: An Analysis From HEAAL.

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure (HF) experience frequent alterations of serum potassium. Despite the high risk of events associated with hypokalemia, hyperkalemia is feared by clinicians and often leads to interruption or discontinuation of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors. Data on serum potassium of patients treated with different doses of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors are scarce. METHODS AND RESULTS: The effects of high-dose vs low-dose losartan on clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure (HEAAL) trial randomized 3834 patients with HFrEF intolerant to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors to losartan 150 mg/d (high dose) vs 50 mg/d (low dose). We studied the associations of serum potassium (baseline and time updated) with study outcomes and the effect of the randomized treatment on serum potassium. Patients with higher baseline potassium were older, had diabetes, poorer renal function, and used mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists more frequently. In time-updated models, hyperkalemia (>5.0 or ≥5.5 mmol/L) was not associated with cardiovascular death or the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization. Hypokalemia (serum potassium of ≤3.5 mmol/L, in particular) was associated with a higher risk of the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR] 1.58, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-2.08), all-cause death (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.26-2.24), and sudden cardiac death or resuscitated cardiac arrest (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.11-2.73). High-dose losartan decreased the risk of hypokalemia (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.63-0.92) and increased the risk of hyperkalemia (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.05-1.39). High-dose losartan decreased the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalizations consistently across the full spectrum of serum potassium at baseline (interaction P = .85). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction intolerant to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and treated with either high- or low-dose losartan, incident hypokalemia had a stronger association with poor outcomes than incident hyperkalemia. High-dose losartan reduced the incidence of hypokalemia, and its benefits were maintained across the full spectrum of serum potassium.

Pathophysiological Sex Differences in Heart Failure Progression After Acute Coronary Syndrome: Insights From the EXAMINE Trial.

BACKGROUND: Therapies can reduce the risk of heart failure (HF) development and progression in type 2 diabetes; nevertheless, the risk of these outcomes is greater in females than in males. METHODS AND RESULTS: To investigate sex differences in HF development and progression, we compared baseline circulating proteins (Olink Cardiovascular II panel) in males and females with type 2 diabetes and recent acute coronary syndrome for the outcome of HF hospitalization. Data were from the placebo-controlled Examination of Cardiovascular Outcomes with Alogliptin vs Standard of Care (EXAMINE) trial. Pathophysiological sex-differences were interpreted with network and pathway over-representation analyses. The EXAMINE trial enrolled 5380 participants (32.1% females) with biomarker data available for 95.4% of individuals. Analyses revealed 43 biomarkers were differentially expressed in HF hospitalization, of which 18 were sex specific. Among these 43 biomarkers, interleukin-6 was identified as a central node for the pathogenesis of HF hospitalization in both females and in males. Additional pathway over-representation analyses demonstrated that biomarkers associated with inflammatory pathways related to endothelial dysfunction and cardiac fibrosis were more up-regulated in females than males with HF hospitalization. Differential expression of 3 biomarkers (pentraxin-related protein 3, hydroxyacid oxidase 1, and carbonic anhydrase 5A) was independently associated with an increased risk of HF hospitalization in females but not in males (interaction P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: In males and females with type 2 diabetes and acute coronary syndrome, interleukin-6 seems to be central in the pathogenesis of HF. Females exhibit higher levels of circulating proteins related to immunological pathways, reflecting sex-specific differences underlying HF development and progression.

Vascular Disease Burden, Outcomes and Benefits with Empagliflozin in Heart Failure: Insights From the EMPEROR-Reduced Trial.

BACKGROUND: The presence of ischemic heart disease impacts prognosis in patients affected by heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). It is not well known how the extent of vascular disease impacts prognoses and responses to therapy in this setting. METHODS: In this post hoc analysis of the EMPEROR-Reduced trial, outcomes and the effects of empagliflozin, were assessed in study participants according to the extent (none vs mono1 vs poly [≥ 2] vascular bed) of vascular disease. Vascular disease was defined as investigator-reported coronary artery disease (CAD), peripheral artery disease (PAD) and cerebrovascular disease at baseline. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Incidence rates are presented per 100 person-years (py) of follow-up. RESULTS: Of the 3730 study participants enrolled, 1324 (35.5%) had no vascular disease, 1879 (50.4%) had monovascular disease, and 527 (14.1%) had polyvascular disease. Participants with polyvascular disease tended to be older and male and to have had histories of hypertension, diabetes and smoking. In the placebo arm, a significantly higher risk for cardiovascular death existed in those with polyvascular disease (HR 1.57, 95% CI1.02, 2.44, compared to those with no vascular disease). In adjusted analysis, the benefit of empagliflozin in cardiovascular death or hospitalization due to HF, HF hospitalization, cardiovascular death, renal composite endpoint, estimated glomerular filtration slope changes, and health status scores were seen across the 3 groups (interaction P > 0.05 for all) but were attenuated in those with polyvascular disease. Adverse events were higher in those with polyvascular disease, but no major differences were noted between empagliflozin or placebo assignment in the 3 groups. CONCLUSION: In patients with HFrEF, the extent of vascular disease is associated with the risk for adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Empagliflozin offers cardiovascular and renal benefits in HFrEF across the extent of vascular disease, but this benefit is attenuated in those with polyvascular disease.

A 4-Variable Model to Predict Cardio-Kidney Events and Mortality in Chronic Kidney Disease: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

INTRODUCTION: Current prognostic models for chronic kidney disease (CKD) are complex and were designed to predict a single outcome. We aimed to develop and validate a simple and parsimonious prognostic model to predict cardio-kidney events and mortality. METHODS: Patients from the CRIC Study (n = 3,718) were randomly divided into derivation (n = 2,478) and validation (n = 1,240) cohorts. Twenty-nine candidate variables were preselected. Multivariable Cox regression models were developed using stepwise selection for various cardio-kidney endpoints, namely, (i) the primary composite outcome of 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from baseline, end-stage renal disease, or cardiovascular (CV) mortality; (ii) hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) or CV mortality; (iii) 3-point major CV endpoints (3P-MACE); (iv) all-cause death. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9 years, the primary outcome occurred in 977 patients of the derivation cohort and 501 patients of the validation cohort. Log-transformed N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), log-transformed high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), log-transformed albuminuria, and eGFR were the dominant predictors. The primary outcome risk score discriminated well (c-statistic = 0.83) with a proportion of events of 11.4% in the lowest tertile of risk and 91.5% in the highest tertile at 10 years. The risk model presented good discrimination for HHF or CV mortality, 3P-MACE, and all-cause death (c-statistics = 0.80, 0.75, and 0.75, respectively). The 4-variable risk model achieved similar c-statistics for all tested outcomes in the validation cohort. The discrimination of the 4-variable risk model was mostly superior to that of published models. CONCLUSION: The combination of NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, albuminuria, and eGFR in a single 4-variable model provides a unique individual prognostic assessment of multiple cardio-kidney outcomes in CKD.

External validation and extension of the TIMI risk score for heart failure in diabetes for patients with recent acute coronary syndrome: An analysis of the EXAMINE trial.

AIMS: The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction Risk Score for Heart Failure (HF) in Diabetes (TRS-HFDM ) prognosticates HF hospitalization in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D). This study aimed to externally validate and extend its use for those with recent acute coronary syndrome (ACS). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The TRS-HFDM was externally validated in the Examination of Cardiovascular Outcomes with Alogliptin versus Standard of Care (EXAMINE) trial (n = 5380) and extended with natriuretic biomarkers. Missing data were multiply imputed. Initial TRS-HFDM variables were previous HF (2 points), atrial fibrillation (1 point), coronary artery disease (1 point), estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (1 point), and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio 30-300 mg/g (1 point) and >300 mg/g (2 points). RESULTS: In total, HF hospitalization occurred in 193 (3.6%) patients. Based on the TRS-HFDM , 25% of patients were classified as intermediate risk (1 point), 30% were classified as high risk (2 points), 19% were classified as very-high risk (3 points) and 26% were classified as severe risk (≥4 points). Before model extension, discrimination (C-index 0.76, 95%·CI 0.73-0.80) and calibration (calibration slope 0.82, 95%·CI 0.65-1.0; calibration-in-the-large -0.15, 95%·CI -0.37-0.64) were moderate-to-good in individuals with T2D and recent ACS. The extension of TRS-HFDM with the addition of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-ProBNP) improved discrimination (C-index 0.82, 95%·CI 0.79-0.85) and calibration (calibration slope 0.84, 95%·CI 0.66-1.02; calibration-in-the-large -0.12, 95%·CI -0.33-0.081) for this higher-risk population. CONCLUSION: The TRS-HFDM with the extension of NT-ProBNP improves risk stratification and generalizes the use of the risk score for patients with T2D and ACS. Future validation studies in ACS populations may be warranted.

Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes with and without chronic heart failure: A meta-analysis of randomized placebo-controlled outcome trials.

AIM: Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) reduce atherosclerotic events in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and a high cardiovascular risk. The effect of GLP1-RA to reduce heart failure (HF) has been inconsistent across T2D trials, and individual trials were underpowered to assess the effect of GLP1-RA according to HF history. In this meta-analysis we aim to assess the effect of GLP1-RA in patients with and without HF history in stable ambulatory patients with T2D. METHODS: Random-effects meta-analysis of placebo-controlled trials. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were extracted from the treatment effect estimates of HF subgroup analyses reported in each individual study. The primary outcome was a composite of HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death. RESULTS: In total, 54 092 patients with T2D from seven randomized controlled trials were included, of whom 8460 (16%) had HF history. Compared with placebo, GLP1-RA did not reduce the composite of HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death in patients with HF history: HR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.84-1.08, but reduced this outcome in patients without HF history: HR 0.84, 95% CI: 0.76-0.92. GLP1-RA did not reduce all-cause death in patients with HF history: HR 0.98, 95% CI: 0.86-1.11, but reduced mortality in patients without HF history: HR 0.85, 95% CI: 0.79-0.92. GLP1-RA reduced atherosclerotic events regardless of HF history: HR 0.85, 95% CI: 0.75-0.97 with HF, and HR 0.88, 95% CI: 0.83-0.93 without HF. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with GLP1-RA did not reduce HF hospitalizations and mortality in patients with concomitant T2D and HF, but may prevent new-onset HF and mortality in patients with T2D without HF. The reduction of atherosclerotic events with GLP1-RA was not influenced by HF history status.

Risk of adverse events with liraglutide in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: A post hoc analysis of the FIGHT trial.

AIM: To perform a post hoc analysis of the FIGHT trial, evaluating the effect of liraglutide (vs. placebo) on the totality of events in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). MATERIALS AND METHODS: FIGHT was a double-blind randomized controlled trial (RCT) that studied liraglutide versus placebo in 300 recently hospitalized patients with HFrEF followed for 180 days. The main outcome of the present analysis was total events of hospitalizations for heart failure (HF) or all-cause death. Secondary outcomes included total arrhythmic events and prespecified total events of interest (arrhythmias, sudden cardiac death, acute coronary syndrome, worsening HF, cerebrovascular event, venous thromboembolism, lightheadedness, presyncope/syncope or worsening renal function). Treatment effect was evaluated with negative binomial regression. RESULTS: Compared to placebo, there was a trend towards increased risk with liraglutide of total HF hospitalizations or all-cause deaths (96 vs. 143 events, incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.41, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.98-2.04; P = 0.064) and total arrhythmias (21 vs. 39, IRR 1.76, 95% CI 0.92-3.37; P = 0.088). Total prespecified events of interest were increased with liraglutide compared to placebo (196 vs. 295, IRR 1.43, 95% CI 1.06-1.92; P = 0.018). The risk of HF hospitalizations or all-cause deaths with liraglutide was higher among patients in New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class III to IV (IRR 1.86, 95% CI 1.21-2.85) than in those in NYHA Class I to II (IRR 0.62, 95% CI 0.31-1.23; interaction P = 0.008), and among patients with diabetes (interaction P = 0.051). The risk of arrhythmic events was higher among those without an implanted cardiac device (interaction P = 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HFrEF, liraglutide might increase the risk of cardiovascular adverse effects, an effect possibly driven by excess risk of arrhythmias and worsening HF events. As this was a post hoc analysis, these results should be interpreted as exploratory and hypothesis-generating. Further RCTs must be conducted before drawing definitive conclusions.

Impact of disease duration on proteomic bioprofile and prognosis in rheumatoid arthritis patients.

OBJECTIVES: Cardiovascular disease worsens the prognosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and vice-versa. Inflammation may be a common pathway for both conditions. It is expected that a longer RA duration leads to a greater inflammatory cumulative exposure burden; however, studies on the association between RA disease duration and outcomes are scarce. Our aim is to compare the characteristics, biomarker expression and outcomes according to the duration of RA. METHODS: Prospective cohort study including 399 RA patients, with detailed clinical, echocardiographic, and proteomic phenotyping that were compared across tertiles of RA disease duration. Cox proportional models were used to study the association of disease duration with cardiovascular outcomes. RESULTS: RA duration tertiles were: tertile 1 with median of 3.2; tertile 2 with median of 8.8; and tertile 3 with median of 21.8 years. Compared to tertile 1, patients in tertile 3 were older, had more erosive disease, more frequent echocardiographic alterations, lower haemoglobin and walked a shorter distance on the 6MWT. Natriuretic peptides, cathepsin L1, galectin 9, matrix metalloproteinase-12, adrenomedullin and tumour necrosis factor receptor 11A were higher in patients with longer disease duration. Compared to patients in tertile 1, those in tertile 3 had higher risk of a subsequent cardiovascular hospitalisation or cardiovascular death (HR 2.71, 95%CI 1.06-6.92, p=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: RA patients with longer disease duration had more organ damage and worse outcomes than those with shorter disease duration. Biomarker expression suggested that patients with longer RA duration had activation of pathways related to inflammation, extracellular matrix organisation, fibrosis and congestion.