Uganda Genome Resource Enables Insights into Population History and Genomic Discovery in Africa.

Genomic studies in African populations provide unique opportunities to understand disease etiology, human diversity, and population history. In the largest study of its kind, comprising genome-wide data from 6,400 individuals and whole-genome sequences from 1,978 individuals from rural Uganda, we find evidence of geographically correlated fine-scale population substructure. Historically, the ancestry of modern Ugandans was best represented by a mixture of ancient East African pastoralists. We demonstrate the value of the largest sequence panel from Africa to date as an imputation resource. Examining 34 cardiometabolic traits, we show systematic differences in trait heritability between European and African populations, probably reflecting the differential impact of genes and environment. In a multi-trait pan-African GWAS of up to 14,126 individuals, we identify novel loci associated with anthropometric, hematological, lipid, and glycemic traits. We find that several functionally important signals are driven by Africa-specific variants, highlighting the value of studying diverse populations across the region.

Therapeutic Targets for Heart Failure Identified Using Proteomics and Mendelian Randomization.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a highly prevalent disorder for which disease mechanisms are incompletely understood. The discovery of disease-associated proteins with causal genetic evidence provides an opportunity to identify new therapeutic targets. METHODS: We investigated the observational and causal associations of 90 cardiovascular proteins, which were measured using affinity-based proteomic assays. First, we estimated the associations of 90 cardiovascular proteins with incident heart failure by means of a fixed-effect meta-analysis of 4 population-based studies, composed of a total of 3019 participants with 732 HF events. The causal effects of HF-associated proteins were then investigated by Mendelian randomization, using cis-protein quantitative loci genetic instruments identified from genomewide association studies in more than 30 000 individuals. To improve the precision of causal estimates, we implemented an Mendelian randomization model that accounted for linkage disequilibrium between instruments and tested the robustness of causal estimates through a multiverse sensitivity analysis that included up to 120 combinations of instrument selection parameters and Mendelian randomization models per protein. The druggability of candidate proteins was surveyed, and mechanism of action and potential on-target side effects were explored with cross-trait Mendelian randomization analysis. RESULTS: Forty-four of ninety proteins were positively associated with risk of incident HF (P<6.0×10-4). Among these, 8 proteins had evidence of a causal association with HF that was robust to multiverse sensitivity analysis: higher CSF-1 (macrophage colony-stimulating factor 1), Gal-3 (galectin-3) and KIM-1 (kidney injury molecule 1) were positively associated with risk of HF, whereas higher ADM (adrenomedullin), CHI3L1 (chitinase-3-like protein 1), CTSL1 (cathepsin L1), FGF-23 (fibroblast growth factor 23), and MMP-12 (matrix metalloproteinase-12) were protective. Therapeutics targeting ADM and Gal-3 are currently under evaluation in clinical trials, and all the remaining proteins were considered druggable, except KIM-1. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 44 circulating proteins that were associated with incident HF, of which 8 showed evidence of a causal relationship and 7 were druggable, including adrenomedullin, which represents a particularly promising drug target. Our approach demonstrates a tractable roadmap for the triangulation of population genomic and proteomic data for the prioritization of therapeutic targets for complex human diseases.

Polygenic risk scores for coronary artery disease and subsequent event risk amongst established cases.

BACKGROUND: There is growing evidence that polygenic risk scores (PRSs) can identify individuals with elevated lifetime risk of coronary artery disease (CAD). Whether they can also be used to stratify the risk of subsequent events among those surviving a first CAD event remain uncertain, with possible biological differences between CAD onset and progression, and the potential for index event bias. METHODS: Using two baseline subsamples of UK Biobank: prevalent CAD cases (N = 10 287) and individuals without CAD (N = 393 108), we evaluated associations between a CAD PRS and incident cardiovascular and fatal outcomes. RESULTS: A 1 SD higher PRS was associated with an increased risk of incident myocardial infarction (MI) in participants without CAD (OR 1.33; 95% CI 1.29, 1.38), but the effect estimate was markedly attenuated in those with prevalent CAD (OR 1.15; 95% CI 1.06, 1.25) and heterogeneity P = 0.0012. Additionally, among prevalent CAD cases, we found an evidence of an inverse association between the CAD PRS and risk of all-cause death (OR 0.91; 95% CI 0.85, 0.98) compared with those without CAD (OR 1.01; 95% CI 0.99, 1.03) and heterogeneity P = 0.0041. A similar inverse association was found for ischaemic stroke [prevalent CAD (OR 0.78; 95% CI 0.67, 0.90); without CAD (OR 1.09; 95% CI 1.04, 1.15), heterogeneity P < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Bias induced by case stratification and survival into UK Biobank may distort the associations of PRS derived from case-control studies or populations initially free of disease. Differentiating between effects of possible biases and genuine biological heterogeneity is a major challenge in disease progression research.

Adiposity and grip strength: a Mendelian randomisation study in UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Muscle weakness, which increases in prevalence with age, is a major public health concern. Grip strength is commonly used to identify weakness and an improved understanding of its determinants is required. We aimed to investigate if total and central adiposity are causally associated with grip strength. METHODS: Up to 470,786 UK Biobank participants, aged 38-73 years, with baseline data on four adiposity indicators (body mass index (BMI), body fat percentage (BF%), waist circumference (WC) and waist-hip-ratio (WHR)) and maximum grip strength were included. We examined sex-specific associations between each adiposity indicator and grip strength. We explored whether associations varied by age, by examining age-stratified associations (< 50 years, 50-59 years, 60-64 years,65 years +). Using Mendelian randomisation (MR), we estimated the strength of the adiposity-grip strength associations using genetic instruments for each adiposity trait as our exposure. RESULTS: In males, observed and MR associations were generally consistent: higher BMI and WC were associated with stronger grip; higher BF% and WHR were associated with weaker grip: 1-SD higher BMI was associated with 0.49 kg (95% CI: 0.45 kg, 0.53 kg) stronger grip; 1-SD higher WHR was associated with 0.45 kg (95% CI:0.41 kg, 0.48 kg) weaker grip (covariate adjusted observational analyses). Associations of BMI and WC with grip strength were weaker at older ages: in males aged < 50 years and 65 years + , 1-SD higher BMI was associated with 0.93 kg (95% CI: 0.84 kg, 1.01 kg) and 0.13 kg (95% CI: 0.05 kg, 0.21 kg) stronger grip, respectively. In females, higher BF% was associated with weaker grip and higher WC was associated with stronger grip; other associations were inconsistent. CONCLUSIONS: Using different methods to triangulate evidence, our findings suggest causal links between adiposity and grip strength. Specifically, higher BF% (in both sexes) and WHR (males only) were associated with weaker grip strength.

Lipid lowering and Alzheimer disease risk: A mendelian randomization study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether genetic variation affecting the expression or function of lipid-lowering drug targets is associated with Alzheimer disease (AD) risk, to evaluate the potential impact of long-term exposure to corresponding therapeutics. METHODS: We conducted Mendelian randomization analyses using variants in genes that encode the protein targets of several approved lipid-lowering drug classes: HMGCR (encoding the target for statins), PCSK9 (encoding the target for PCSK9 inhibitors, eg, evolocumab and alirocumab), NPC1L1 (encoding the target for ezetimibe), and APOB (encoding the target of mipomersen). Variants were weighted by associations with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) using data from lipid genetics consortia (n up to 295,826). We meta-analyzed Mendelian randomization estimates for regional variants weighted by LDL-C on AD risk from 2 large samples (total n = 24,718 cases, 56,685 controls). RESULTS: Models for HMGCR, APOB, and NPC1L1 did not suggest that the use of related lipid-lowering drug classes would affect AD risk. In contrast, genetically instrumented exposure to PCSK9 inhibitors was predicted to increase AD risk in both of the AD samples (combined odds ratio per standard deviation lower LDL-C inducible by the drug target = 1.45, 95% confidence interval = 1.23-1.69). This risk increase was opposite to, although more modest than, the degree of protection from coronary artery disease predicted by these same methods for PCSK9 inhibition. INTERPRETATION: We did not identify genetic support for the repurposing of statins, ezetimibe, or mipomersen for AD prevention. Notwithstanding caveats to this genetic evidence, pharmacovigilance for AD risk among users of PCSK9 inhibitors may be warranted. ANN NEUROL 2020;87:30-39.

Phenome-wide association analysis of LDL-cholesterol lowering genetic variants in PCSK9.

BACKGROUND: We characterised the phenotypic consequence of genetic variation at the PCSK9 locus and compared findings with recent trials of pharmacological inhibitors of PCSK9. METHODS: Published and individual participant level data (300,000+ participants) were combined to construct a weighted PCSK9 gene-centric score (GS). Seventeen randomized placebo controlled PCSK9 inhibitor trials were included, providing data on 79,578 participants. Results were scaled to a one mmol/L lower LDL-C concentration. RESULTS: The PCSK9 GS (comprising 4 SNPs) associations with plasma lipid and apolipoprotein levels were consistent in direction with treatment effects. The GS odds ratio (OR) for myocardial infarction (MI) was 0.53 (95% CI 0.42; 0.68), compared to a PCSK9 inhibitor effect of 0.90 (95% CI 0.86; 0.93). For ischemic stroke ORs were 0.84 (95% CI 0.57; 1.22) for the GS, compared to 0.85 (95% CI 0.78; 0.93) in the drug trials. ORs with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) were 1.29 (95% CI 1.11; 1.50) for the GS, as compared to 1.00 (95% CI 0.96; 1.04) for incident T2DM in PCSK9 inhibitor trials. No genetic associations were observed for cancer, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or Alzheimer's disease - outcomes for which large-scale trial data were unavailable. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic variation at the PCSK9 locus recapitulates the effects of therapeutic inhibition of PCSK9 on major blood lipid fractions and MI. While indicating an increased risk of T2DM, no other possible safety concerns were shown; although precision was moderate.

Mendelian randomization of blood lipids for coronary heart disease.

AIMS: To investigate the causal role of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and triglycerides in coronary heart disease (CHD) using multiple instrumental variables for Mendelian randomization. METHODS AND RESULTS: We developed weighted allele scores based on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with established associations with HDL-C, triglycerides, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). For each trait, we constructed two scores. The first was unrestricted, including all independent SNPs associated with the lipid trait identified from a prior meta-analysis (threshold P < 2 × 10(-6)); and the second a restricted score, filtered to remove any SNPs also associated with either of the other two lipid traits at P ≤ 0.01. Mendelian randomization meta-analyses were conducted in 17 studies including 62,199 participants and 12,099 CHD events. Both the unrestricted and restricted allele scores for LDL-C (42 and 19 SNPs, respectively) associated with CHD. For HDL-C, the unrestricted allele score (48 SNPs) was associated with CHD (OR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.40, 0.70), per 1 mmol/L higher HDL-C, but neither the restricted allele score (19 SNPs; OR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.42, 1.98) nor the unrestricted HDL-C allele score adjusted for triglycerides, LDL-C, or statin use (OR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.44, 1.46) showed a robust association. For triglycerides, the unrestricted allele score (67 SNPs) and the restricted allele score (27 SNPs) were both associated with CHD (OR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.24, 2.11 and 1.61; 95% CI: 1.00, 2.59, respectively) per 1-log unit increment. However, the unrestricted triglyceride score adjusted for HDL-C, LDL-C, and statin use gave an OR for CHD of 1.01 (95% CI: 0.59, 1.75). CONCLUSION: The genetic findings support a causal effect of triglycerides on CHD risk, but a causal role for HDL-C, though possible, remains less certain.

HLA class II locus and susceptibility to podoconiosis.

BACKGROUND: Podoconiosis is a tropical lymphedema resulting from long-term barefoot exposure to red-clay soil derived from volcanic rock. The World Health Organization recently designated it as a neglected tropical disease. Podoconiosis develops in only a subgroup of exposed people, and studies have shown familial clustering with high heritability (63%). METHODS: We conducted a genomewide association study of 194 case patients and 203 controls from southern Ethiopia. Findings were validated by means of family-based association testing in 202 family trios and HLA typing in 94 case patients and 94 controls. RESULTS: We found a genomewide significant association of podoconiosis with the single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs17612858, located 5.8 kb from the HLA-DQA1 locus (in the allelic model: odds ratio, 2.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.82 to 3.26; P=1.42×10(-9); and in the additive model: odds ratio, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.66 to 2.90; P=3.44×10(-8)), and suggestive associations (P<1.0×10(-5)) with seven other SNPs in or near HLA-DQB1, HLA-DQA1, and HLA-DRB1. We confirmed these associations using family-based association testing. HLA typing showed the alleles HLA-DRB1*0701 (odds ratio, 2.00), DQA1*0201 (odds ratio, 1.91), and DQB1*0202 (odds ratio, 1.79) and the HLA-DRB1*0701-DQB1*0202 haplotype (odds ratio, 1.92) were risk variants for podoconiosis. CONCLUSIONS: Association between variants in HLA class II loci with podoconiosis (a noncommunicable disease) suggests that the condition may be a T-cell-mediated inflammatory disease and is a model for gene-environment interactions that may be relevant to other complex genetic disorders. (Funded by the Wellcome Trust and others.).

Clinical and pharmacogenomic implications of genetic variation in a Southern Ethiopian population.

Africa is home to genetically diverse human populations. We compared the genetic structure of the Wolaita ethnic population from Southern Ethiopia (WETH, n=120) with HapMap populations using genome-wide variants. We investigated allele frequencies of 443 clinically and pharmacogenomically relevant genetic variants in WETH compared with HapMap populations. We found that WETH were genetically most similar to the Kenya Maasai and least similar to the Japanese in HapMap. Variant alleles associated with increased risk of adverse reactions to drugs used for treating tuberculosis (rs1799929 and rs1495741 in NAT2), thromboembolism (rs7294, rs9923231 and rs9934438 in VKORC1), and HIV/AIDS and solid tumors (rs2242046 in SLC28A1) had significantly higher frequencies in WETH compared with African ancestry HapMap populations. Our results illustrate that clinically relevant pharmacogenomic loci display allele frequency differences among African populations. We conclude that drug dosage guidelines for important global health diseases should be validated in genetically diverse African populations.

Lower activity of cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) and the risk of dementia: a Mendelian randomization analysis.

BACKGROUND: Elevated concentrations of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) are linked to dementia risk, and conversely, increased plasma concentrations of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and apolipoprotein-A1 (Apo-A1) associate with decreased dementia risk. Inhibition of cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) meaningfully affects the concentrations of these blood lipids and may therefore provide an opportunity to treat dementia. METHODS: Drug target Mendelian randomization (MR) was employed to anticipate the on-target effects of lower CETP concentration (µg/mL) on plasma lipids, cardiovascular disease outcomes, autopsy confirmed Lewy body dementia (LBD), as well as Parkinson's dementia. RESULTS: MR analysis of lower CETP concentration recapitulated the blood lipid effects observed in clinical trials of CETP-inhibitors, as well as protective effects on coronary heart disease (odds ratio (OR) 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.89; 0.96), heart failure, abdominal aortic aneurysm, any stroke, ischemic stroke, and small vessel stroke (0.90, 95%CI 0.85; 0.96). Consideration of dementia related traits indicated that lower CETP concentrations were associated higher total brain volume (0.04 per standard deviation, 95%CI 0.02; 0.06), lower risk of LBD (OR 0.81, 95%CI 0.74; 0.89) and Parkinson's dementia risk (OR 0.26, 95%CI 0.14; 0.48). APOE4 stratified analyses suggested the LBD effect was most pronounced in APOE-ε4 + participants (OR 0.61 95%CI 0.51; 0.73), compared to APOE-ε4- (OR 0.89 95%CI 0.79; 1.01); interaction p-value 5.81 × 10- 4. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that inhibition of CETP may be a viable strategy to treat dementia, with a more pronounced effect expected in APOE-ε4 carriers.

Prioritising genetic findings for drug target identification and validation.

The decreasing costs of high-throughput genetic sequencing and increasing abundance of sequenced genome data have paved the way for the use of genetic data in identifying and validating potential drug targets. However, the number of identified potential drug targets is often prohibitively large to experimentally evaluate in wet lab experiments, highlighting the need for systematic approaches for target prioritisation. In this review, we discuss principles of genetically guided drug development, specifically addressing loss-of-function analysis, colocalization and Mendelian randomisation (MR), and the contexts in which each may be most suitable. We subsequently present a range of biomedical resources which can be used to annotate and prioritise disease-associated proteins identified by these studies including 1) ontologies to map genes, proteins, and disease, 2) resources for determining the druggability of a potential target, 3) tissue and cell expression of the gene encoding the potential target, and 4) key biological pathways involving the potential target. We illustrate these concepts through a worked example, identifying a prioritised set of plasma proteins associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We identified five proteins with strong genetic support for involvement with NAFLD: CYB5A, NT5C, NCAN, TGFBI and DAPK2. All of the identified proteins were expressed in both liver and adipose tissues, with TGFBI and DAPK2 being potentially druggable. In conclusion, the current review provides an overview of genetic evidence for drug target identification, and how biomedical databases can be used to provide actionable prioritisation, fully informing downstream experimental validation.

Comparing the effects of CETP in East Asian and European ancestries: a Mendelian randomization study.

CETP inhibitors are a class of lipid-lowering drugs in development for treatment of coronary heart disease (CHD). Genetic studies in East Asian ancestry have interpreted the lack of CETP signal with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and lack of drug target Mendelian randomization (MR) effect on CHD as evidence that CETP inhibitors might not be effective in East Asian participants. Capitalizing on recent increases in sample size of East Asian genetic studies, we conducted a drug target MR analysis, scaled to a standard deviation increase in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Despite finding evidence for possible neutral effects of lower CETP levels on LDL-C, systolic blood pressure and pulse pressure in East Asians (interaction p-values < 1.6 × 10-3), effects on cardiovascular outcomes were similarly protective in both ancestry groups. In conclusion, on-target inhibition of CETP is anticipated to decrease cardiovascular disease in individuals of both European and East Asian ancestries.

Advancing drug development for atrial fibrillation by prioritising findings from human genetic association studies.

BACKGROUND: Drug development for atrial fibrillation (AF) has failed to yield new approved compounds. We sought to identify and prioritise potential druggable targets with support from human genetics, by integrating the available evidence with bioinformatics sources relevant for AF drug development. METHODS: Genetic hits for AF and related traits were identified through structured search of MEDLINE. Genes derived from each paper were cross-referenced with the OpenTargets platform for drug interactions. Confirmation/validation was demonstrated through structured searches and review of evidence on MEDLINE and ClinialTrials.gov for each drug and its association with AF. FINDINGS: 613 unique drugs were identified, with 21 already included in AF Guidelines. Cardiovascular drugs from classes not currently used for AF (e.g. ranolazine and carperitide) and anti-inflammatory drugs (e.g. dexamethasone and mehylprednisolone) had evidence of potential benefit. Further targets were considered druggable but remain open for drug development. INTERPRETATION: Our systematic approach, combining evidence from different bioinformatics platforms, identified drug repurposing opportunities and druggable targets for AF. FUNDING: KK is supported by Barts Charity grant G-002089 and is mentored on the AFGen 2023-24 Fellowship funded by the AFGen NIH/NHLBI grant R01HL092577. RP is supported by the UCL BHF Research Accelerator AA/18/6/34223 and NIHR grant NIHR129463. AFS is supported by the BHF grants PG/18/5033837, PG/22/10989 and UCL BHF Accelerator AA/18/6/34223 as well as the UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) under the UK government's Horizon Europe funding guarantee EP/Z000211/1 and by the UKRI-NIHR grant MR/V033867/1 for the Multimorbidity Mechanism and Therapeutics Research Collaboration. AF is supported by UCL BHF Accelerator AA/18/6/34223. CF is supported by UCL BHF Accelerator AA/18/6/34223.

Genetic evidence for serum amyloid P component as a drug target in neurodegenerative disorders.

The mechanisms responsible for neuronal death causing cognitive loss in Alzheimer's disease (AD) and many other dementias are not known. Serum amyloid P component (SAP) is a constitutive plasma protein, which is cytotoxic for cerebral neurones and also promotes formation and persistence of cerebral Aß amyloid and neurofibrillary tangles. Circulating SAP, which is produced exclusively by the liver, is normally almost completely excluded from the brain. Conditions increasing brain exposure to SAP increase dementia risk, consistent with a causative role in neurodegeneration. Furthermore, neocortex content of SAP is strongly and independently associated with dementia at death. Here, seeking genomic evidence for a causal link of SAP with neurodegeneration, we meta-analysed three genome-wide association studies of 44 288 participants, then conducted cis-Mendelian randomization assessment of associations with neurodegenerative diseases. Higher genetically instrumented plasma SAP concentrations were associated with AD (odds ratio 1.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02; 1.11, p = 1.8 × 10-3), Lewy body dementia (odds ratio 1.37, 95%CI 1.19; 1.59, p = 1.5 × 10-5) and plasma tau concentration (0.06 log2(ng l-1) 95%CI 0.03; 0.08, p = 4.55 × 10-6). These genetic findings are consistent with neuropathogenicity of SAP. Depletion of SAP from the blood and the brain, by the safe, well tolerated, experimental drug miridesap may thus be neuroprotective.

Integrating metabolomics and proteomics to identify novel drug targets for heart failure and atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Altered metabolism plays a role in the pathophysiology of cardiac diseases, such as atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF). We aimed to identify novel plasma metabolites and proteins associating with cardiac disease. METHODS: Mendelian randomisation (MR) was used to assess the association of 174 metabolites measured in up to 86,507 participants with AF, HF, dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM). Subsequently, we sourced data on 1567 plasma proteins and performed cis MR to identify proteins affecting the identified metabolites as well as the cardiac diseases. Proteins were prioritised on cardiac expression and druggability, and mapped to biological pathways. RESULTS: We identified 35 metabolites associating with cardiac disease. AF was affected by seventeen metabolites, HF by nineteen, DCM by four, and NCIM by taurine. HF was particularly enriched for phosphatidylcholines (p = 0.029) and DCM for acylcarnitines (p = 0.001). Metabolite involvement with AF was more uniform, spanning for example phosphatidylcholines, amino acids, and acylcarnitines. We identified 38 druggable proteins expressed in cardiac tissue, with a directionally concordant effect on metabolites and cardiac disease. We recapitulated known associations, for example between the drug target of digoxin (AT1B2), taurine and NICM risk. Additionally, we identified numerous novel findings, such as higher RET values associating with phosphatidylcholines and decreasing AF and HF. RET is targeted by drugs such as regorafenib which has known cardiotoxic side-effects. Pathway analysis implicated involvement of GDF15 signalling through RET, and ghrelin regulation of energy homeostasis in cardiac pathogenesis. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified 35 plasma metabolites involved with cardiac diseases and linked these to 38 druggable proteins, providing actionable leads for drug development.

Disease coverage of human genome-wide association studies and pharmaceutical research and development.

BACKGROUND: Despite the growing interest in the use of human genomic data for drug target identification and validation, the extent to which the spectrum of human disease has been addressed by genome-wide association studies (GWAS), or by drug development, and the degree to which these efforts overlap remain unclear. METHODS: In this study we harmonize and integrate different data sources to create a sample space of all the human drug targets and diseases and identify points of convergence or divergence of GWAS and drug development efforts. RESULTS: We show that only 612 of 11,158 diseases listed in Human Disease Ontology have an approved drug treatment in at least one region of the world. Of the 1414 diseases that are the subject of preclinical or clinical phase drug development, only 666 have been investigated in GWAS. Conversely, of the 1914 human diseases that have been the subject of GWAS, 1121 have yet to be investigated in drug development. CONCLUSIONS: We produce target-disease indication lists to help the pharmaceutical industry to prioritize future drug development efforts based on genetic evidence, academia to prioritize future GWAS for diseases without effective treatments, and both sectors to harness genetic evidence to expand the indications for licensed drugs or to identify repurposing opportunities for clinical candidates that failed in their originally intended indication.

The pharma industry has shown growing interest in the use of human genomic data to support drug development and reduce the risk of clinical-stage failure. We investigate the extent to which human diseases have been the subject of genetic studies, of pharmaceutical research and development, or both. We show that only a small proportion of all human diseases have an approved drug treatment and that less than half of all the diseases that are the subject of preclinical or clinical phase drug development have been investigated in genetic studies. In addition, approximately two-thirds of the diseases covered in genetic studies have yet to be investigated in drug development. These findings could help prioritize drug development efforts or genetic studies for diseases without effective treatments.

A Machine Learning Model to Aid Detection of Familial Hypercholesterolemia.

Background: People with monogenic familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) are at an increased risk of premature coronary heart disease and death. With a prevalence of 1:250, FH is relatively common; but currently there is no population screening strategy in place and most carriers are identified late in life, delaying timely and cost-effective interventions. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to derive an algorithm to identify people with suspected monogenic FH for subsequent confirmatory genomic testing and cascade screening. Methods: A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression model was used to identify predictors that accurately identified people with FH in 139,779 unrelated participants of the UK Biobank. Candidate predictors included information on medical and family history, anthropometric measures, blood biomarkers, and a low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) polygenic score (PGS). Model derivation and evaluation were performed in independent training and testing data. Results: A total of 488 FH variant carriers were identified using whole-exome sequencing of the low-density lipoprotein receptor, apolipoprotein B, apolipoprotein E, proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 genes. A 14-variable algorithm for FH was derived, with an area under the curve of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.71-0.83), where the top 5 most important variables included triglyceride, LDL-C, apolipoprotein A1 concentrations, self-reported statin use, and LDL-C PGS. Excluding the PGS as a candidate feature resulted in a 9-variable model with a comparable area under the curve: 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71-0.82). Both multivariable models (w/wo the PGS) outperformed screening-prioritization based on LDL-C adjusted for statin use. Conclusions: Detecting individuals with FH can be improved by considering additional predictors. This would reduce the sequencing burden in a 2-stage population screening strategy for FH.

Cardiac MRI to guide heart failure and atrial fibrillation drug discovery: a Mendelian randomization analysis.

Background: drug development and disease prevention of heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are impeded by a lack of robust early-stage surrogates. We determined to what extent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) measurements act as surrogates for the development of HF or AF in healthy individuals. Methods: Genetic data was sourced on the association with 22 atrial and ventricular CMR measurements. Mendelian randomization was used to determine CMR associations with atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (CMP), and dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Additionally, for the CMR surrogates of AF and HF, we explored their association with non-cardiac traits. Results: In total we found that 9 CMR measures were associated with the development of HF, 7 with development of non-ischemic CMR, 6 with DCM, and 12 with AF. biventricular ejection fraction (EF), biventricular or end-systolic volumes (ESV) and left-ventricular (LV) end diastolic volume (EDV) were associated with all 4 cardiac outcomes. Increased LV-MVR (mass to volume ratio) affected HF (odds ratio (OR) 0.83, 95%CI 0.79; 0.88), and DCM (OR 0.26, 95%CI 0.20; 0.34. We were able to identify 9 CMR surrogates for HF and/or AF (including LV-MVR, biventricular EDV, ESV, and right-ventricular EF) which associated with non-cardiac traits such as blood pressure, lung function traits, BMI, cardioembolic stroke, and late-onset Alzheimer's disease. Conclusion: CMR measurements may act as surrogate endpoints for the development of HF (including non-ischemic CMP and DCM) or AF. Additionally, we show that changes in cardiac function and structure measured through CMR, may affect diseases of other organs leading to lung disease or late-onset Alzheimer's disease.

Exploring the Role of Plasma Lipids and Statin Interventions on Multiple Sclerosis Risk and Severity: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: There has been considerable interest in statins because of their pleiotropic effects beyond their lipid-lowering properties. Many of these pleiotropic effects are predominantly ascribed to Rho small guanosine triphosphatases (Rho GTPases) proteins. We aimed to genetically investigate the role of lipids and statin interventions on multiple sclerosis (MS) risk and severity. METHOD: We used two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to investigate (1) the causal role of genetically mimic both cholesterol-dependent (through low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and cholesterol biosynthesis pathway) and cholesterol-independent (through Rho GTPases) effects of statins on MS risk and MS severity, (2) the causal link between lipids (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDL-C] and triglycerides [TG]) levels and MS risk and severity, and (3) the reverse causation between lipid fractions and MS risk. We used summary statistics from the Global Lipids Genetics Consortium (GLGC), eQTLGen Consortium, and the International MS Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) for lipids, expression quantitative trait loci, and MS, respectively (GLGC: n = 188,577; eQTLGen: n = 31,684; IMSGC (MS risk): n = 41,505; IMSGC (MS severity): n = 7,069). RESULTS: The results of MR using the inverse-variance weighted method show that genetically predicted RAC2, a member of cholesterol-independent pathway (OR 0.86 [95% CI 0.78-0.95], p-value 3.80E-03), is implicated causally in reducing MS risk. We found no evidence for the causal role of LDL-C and the member of cholesterol biosynthesis pathway on MS risk. The MR results also show that lifelong higher HDL-C (OR 1.14 [95% CI 1.04-1.26], p-value 7.94E-03) increases MS risk but TG was not. Furthermore, we found no evidence for the causal role of lipids and genetically mimicked statins on MS severity. There is no evidence of reverse causation between MS risk and lipids. DISCUSSION: Evidence from this study suggests that RAC2 is a genetic modifier of MS risk. Because RAC2 has been reported to mediate some of the pleiotropic effects of statins, we suggest that statins may reduce MS risk through a cholesterol-independent pathway (that is, RAC2-related mechanism(s)). MR analyses also support a causal effect of HDL-C on MS risk.