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1.
Ann Rheum Dis ; 80(7): 930-942, 2021 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33504483

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To determine factors associated with COVID-19-related death in people with rheumatic diseases. METHODS: Physician-reported registry of adults with rheumatic disease and confirmed or presumptive COVID-19 (from 24 March to 1 July 2020). The primary outcome was COVID-19-related death. Age, sex, smoking status, comorbidities, rheumatic disease diagnosis, disease activity and medications were included as covariates in multivariable logistic regression models. Analyses were further stratified according to rheumatic disease category. RESULTS: Of 3729 patients (mean age 57 years, 68% female), 390 (10.5%) died. Independent factors associated with COVID-19-related death were age (66-75 years: OR 3.00, 95% CI 2.13 to 4.22; >75 years: 6.18, 4.47 to 8.53; both vs ≤65 years), male sex (1.46, 1.11 to 1.91), hypertension combined with cardiovascular disease (1.89, 1.31 to 2.73), chronic lung disease (1.68, 1.26 to 2.25) and prednisolone-equivalent dosage >10 mg/day (1.69, 1.18 to 2.41; vs no glucocorticoid intake). Moderate/high disease activity (vs remission/low disease activity) was associated with higher odds of death (1.87, 1.27 to 2.77). Rituximab (4.04, 2.32 to 7.03), sulfasalazine (3.60, 1.66 to 7.78), immunosuppressants (azathioprine, cyclophosphamide, ciclosporin, mycophenolate or tacrolimus: 2.22, 1.43 to 3.46) and not receiving any disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) (2.11, 1.48 to 3.01) were associated with higher odds of death, compared with methotrexate monotherapy. Other synthetic/biological DMARDs were not associated with COVID-19-related death. CONCLUSION: Among people with rheumatic disease, COVID-19-related death was associated with known general factors (older age, male sex and specific comorbidities) and disease-specific factors (disease activity and specific medications). The association with moderate/high disease activity highlights the importance of adequate disease control with DMARDs, preferably without increasing glucocorticoid dosages. Caution may be required with rituximab, sulfasalazine and some immunosuppressants.


Assuntos
COVID-19/mortalidade , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Reumáticas/mortalidade , Reumatologia/estatística & dados numéricos , SARS-CoV-2 , Idoso , Antirreumáticos/uso terapêutico , COVID-19/complicações , Comorbidade , Feminino , Glucocorticoides/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Sistema de Registros , Doenças Reumáticas/virologia
2.
Ann Rheum Dis ; 80(9): 1137-1146, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34049860

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To investigate baseline use of biologic or targeted synthetic (b/ts) disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) and COVID-19 outcomes in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: We analysed the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance physician registry (from 24 March 2020 to 12 April 2021). We investigated b/tsDMARD use for RA at the clinical onset of COVID-19 (baseline): abatacept (ABA), rituximab (RTX), Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKi), interleukin 6 inhibitors (IL-6i) or tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi, reference group). The ordinal COVID-19 severity outcome was (1) no hospitalisation, (2) hospitalisation without oxygen, (3) hospitalisation with oxygen/ventilation or (4) death. We used ordinal logistic regression to estimate the OR (odds of being one level higher on the ordinal outcome) for each drug class compared with TNFi, adjusting for potential baseline confounders. RESULTS: Of 2869 people with RA (mean age 56.7 years, 80.8% female) on b/tsDMARD at the onset of COVID-19, there were 237 on ABA, 364 on RTX, 317 on IL-6i, 563 on JAKi and 1388 on TNFi. Overall, 613 (21%) were hospitalised and 157 (5.5%) died. RTX (OR 4.15, 95% CI 3.16 to 5.44) and JAKi (OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.60 to 2.65) were each associated with worse COVID-19 severity compared with TNFi. There were no associations between ABA or IL6i and COVID-19 severity. CONCLUSIONS: People with RA treated with RTX or JAKi had worse COVID-19 severity than those on TNFi. The strong association of RTX and JAKi use with poor COVID-19 outcomes highlights prioritisation of risk mitigation strategies for these people.


Assuntos
Antirreumáticos/uso terapêutico , Artrite Reumatoide/complicações , Artrite Reumatoide/tratamento farmacológico , COVID-19/complicações , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , SARS-CoV-2 , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
3.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 70(7): 236-239, 2021 Feb 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33600382

RESUMO

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a multisystem autoimmune disease with manifestations that vary widely in severity. Although minority populations are at higher risk for SLE and have more severe outcomes (1), population-based estimates of mortality by race and ethnicity are often lacking, particularly for Asian and Hispanic/Latino persons. Among 812 patients in the California Lupus Surveillance Project (CLSP) during 2007-2009 (2,3), who were matched to the 2007-2017 National Death Index (NDI), 16.6% had died by 2017. This proportion included persons of White (14.4%), Black (25%), Asian (15.3%), and Hispanic/Latino (15.5%) race/ethnicity. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) of observed-to-expected deaths among persons with SLE within each racial/ethnic group were 2.3, 2.0, 3.8, and 3.9, respectively. These findings provide the first population-based estimates of mortality among Asian and Hispanic/Latino persons with SLE. Coordination of robust care models between primary care providers and rheumatologists could ensure that persons with SLE receive a timely diagnosis and appropriate treatments that might help address SLE-associated mortality.


Assuntos
Asiático/estatística & dados numéricos , Hispânico ou Latino/estatística & dados numéricos , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/etnologia , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/mortalidade , Grupos Minoritários/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , California/epidemiologia , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade/etnologia , Adulto Jovem
4.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 21(1): 234, 2021 10 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34706667

RESUMO

Electronic health records (EHRs) are widely used in epidemiological research, but the validity of the results is dependent upon the assumptions made about the healthcare system, the patient, and the provider. In this review, we identify four overarching challenges in using EHR-based data for epidemiological analysis, with a particular emphasis on threats to validity. These challenges include representativeness of the EHR to a target population, the availability and interpretability of clinical and non-clinical data, and missing data at both the variable and observation levels. Each challenge reveals layers of assumptions that the epidemiologist is required to make, from the point of patient entry into the healthcare system, to the provider documenting the results of the clinical exam and follow-up of the patient longitudinally; all with the potential to bias the results of analysis of these data. Understanding the extent of as well as remediating potential biases requires a variety of methodological approaches, from traditional sensitivity analyses and validation studies, to newer techniques such as natural language processing. Beyond methods to address these challenges, it will remain crucial for epidemiologists to engage with clinicians and informaticians at their institutions to ensure data quality and accessibility by forming multidisciplinary teams around specific research projects.


Assuntos
Atenção à Saúde , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Viés , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Humanos
6.
Mult Scler ; 24(14): 1825-1834, 2018 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28980494

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Strong evidence supports the role of both genetic and environmental factors in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) etiology. OBJECTIVE: We comprehensively investigated the association between established major histocompatibility complex (MHC) and non-MHC adult multiple sclerosis (MS)-associated variants and susceptibility to POMS. METHODS: Cases with onset <18 years (n = 569) and controls (n = 16,251) were included from the United States and Sweden. Adjusted logistic regression and meta-analyses were performed for individual risk variants and a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) for non-MHC variants. Results were compared to adult MS cases (n = 7588). RESULTS: HLA-DRB1*15:01 was strongly associated with POMS (odds ratio (OR)meta = 2.95, p < 2.0 × 10-16). Furthermore, 28 of 104 non-MHC variants studied (23%) were associated (p < 0.05); POMS cases carried, on average, a higher burden of these 28 variants compared to adults (ORavg = 1.24 vs 1.13, respectively), though the difference was not significant. The wGRS was strongly associated with POMS (ORmeta = 2.77, 95% confidence interval: 2.33, 3.32, p < 2.0 × 10-16) and higher, on average, when compared to adult cases. Additional class III risk variants in the MHC region associated with POMS were revealed after accounting for HLA-DRB1*15:01 and HLA-A*02. CONCLUSION: Pediatric and adult MS share many genetic variants suggesting similar biological processes are present. MHC variants beyond HLA-DRB1*15:01 and HLA-A*02 are also associated with POMS.


Assuntos
Predisposição Genética para Doença/genética , Cadeias HLA-DRB1/genética , Esclerose Múltipla/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único/genética , Feminino , Testes Genéticos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Suécia
7.
Rheumatol Int ; 38(2): 313-314, 2018 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29209792

RESUMO

In a recent publication, Quintana-Dunque et al. studied patients with early onset rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and showed that baseline smoking status was inversely associated with disease activity and disability at 36 months. The authors conclude that smoking may not be as deleterious as previously considered in RA disease course. However, the authors fail to highlight several limitations of study design and analysis, including time-varying confounding, which may have a direct impact on results and corresponding conclusions.


Assuntos
Artrite Reumatoide , Fumar , Pessoas com Deficiência , Progressão da Doença , Humanos , Projetos de Pesquisa
8.
Rheumatol Int ; 38(2): 319, 2018 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29273937

RESUMO

The given and family name of a co-author R. Adams Dudley was swapped in the published article. The correct given name is R. Adams and the family name is Dudley.

9.
Am J Epidemiol ; 185(3): 162-171, 2017 02 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28073764

RESUMO

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune disease with both genetic and environmental risk factors. Recent studies indicate that childhood and adolescent obesity double the risk of MS, but this association may reflect unmeasured confounders rather than causal effects of obesity. We used separate-sample Mendelian randomization to estimate the causal effect of body mass index (BMI) on susceptibility to MS. Using data from non-Hispanic white members of the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Plan of Northern California (KPNC) (2006-2014; 1,104 cases of MS and 10,536 controls) and a replication data set from Sweden (the Epidemiological Investigation of MS (EIMS) and the Genes and Environment in MS (GEMS) studies, 2005-2013; 5,133 MS cases and 4,718 controls), we constructed a weighted genetic risk score using 97 variants previously established to predict BMI. Results were adjusted for birth year, sex, education, smoking status, ancestry, and genetic predictors of MS. Estimates in KPNC and Swedish data sets suggested that higher genetically induced BMI predicted greater susceptibility to MS (odds ratio = 1.13, 95% confidence interval: 1.04, 1.22 for the KPNC sample; odds ratio = 1.09, 95% confidence interval: 1.03, 1.15 for the Swedish sample). Although the mechanism remains unclear, to our knowledge, these findings support a causal effect of increased BMI on susceptibility to MS for the first time, and they suggest a role for inflammatory pathways that characterize both obesity and the MS disease process.


Assuntos
Índice de Massa Corporal , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Esclerose Múltipla/genética , Adulto , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Variação Genética , Humanos , Masculino , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
10.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 32(10): 909-919, 2017 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28597127

RESUMO

Interactions between environment and genetics may contribute to multiple sclerosis (MS) development. We investigated whether the previously observed interaction between smoking and HLA genotype in the Swedish population could be replicated, refined and extended to include other populations. We used six independent case-control studies from five different countries (Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Serbia, United States). A pooled analysis was performed for replication of previous observations (7190 cases, 8876 controls). Refined detailed analyses were carried out by combining the genetically similar populations from the Nordic studies (6265 cases, 8401 controls). In both the pooled analyses and in the combined Nordic material, interactions were observed between HLA-DRB*15 and absence of HLA-A*02 and between smoking and each of the genetic risk factors. Two way interactions were observed between each combination of the three variables, invariant over categories of the third. Further, there was also a three way interaction between the risk factors. The difference in MS risk between the extremes was considerable; smokers carrying HLA-DRB1*15 and lacking HLA-A*02 had a 13-fold increased risk compared with never smokers without these genetic risk factors (OR 12.7, 95% CI 10.8-14.9). The risk of MS associated with HLA genotypes is strongly influenced by smoking status and vice versa. Since the function of HLA molecules is to present peptide antigens to T cells, the demonstrated interactions strongly suggest that smoking alters MS risk through actions on adaptive immunity.


Assuntos
Predisposição Genética para Doença , Antígenos HLA-A/genética , Cadeias HLA-DRB1/genética , Esclerose Múltipla/epidemiologia , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Interação Gene-Ambiente , Genótipo , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Esclerose Múltipla/genética , Esclerose Múltipla/imunologia , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/imunologia , Suécia/epidemiologia
11.
Rheumatol Int ; 37(10): 1611-1618, 2017 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28748425

RESUMO

Evidence suggests that hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) retinal toxicity is more common than previously thought. Adhering to careful weight-based dosing can significantly reduce the risk of this adverse event and is recommended in recent guidelines. We used electronic health record data from a large health system to examine HCQ dosing over a 5-year period and identify risk factors associated with higher dosage of HCQ. We constructed a longitudinal, retrospective cohort of patients with HCQ prescriptions (1681 patients with 3490 prescribing events) between 2012 and 2016. We measured HCQ dosing patterns relative to guidelines (<6.5 and <5.0 mg/kg) over time and used longitudinal multivariate mixed effects logistic regression to identify sociodemographic, clinical and health system factors associated with receiving higher than recommended doses of HCQ. The proportion of patients receiving doses above 6.5 mg/kg decreased from 12% in 2012 to 7% by 2016. Similarly, the proportion of patients with doses above 5.0 mg/kg fell from 38% in 2012 to 30% in 2016. Low body weight (<68 kg) was strongly associated with receiving doses of HCQ above 6.5 mg/kg across all time points, even after adjusting for other factors (odds ratios ranging from 13.2 to 21.0). Although the proportion of patients receiving higher than recommended HCQ doses has declined over a period of 5 years, a substantial number of individuals remain at increased risk for toxicity. Given the widespread use of HCQ in immune-mediated diseases, our study suggests that interventions aimed to ensure appropriate dosing are warranted to improve patient safety.


Assuntos
Antirreumáticos/uso terapêutico , Doenças Autoimunes/tratamento farmacológico , Hidroxicloroquina/uso terapêutico , Dermatopatias/tratamento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antirreumáticos/administração & dosagem , Antirreumáticos/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Humanos , Hidroxicloroquina/administração & dosagem , Hidroxicloroquina/efeitos adversos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Segurança do Paciente , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Adulto Jovem
13.
Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) ; 76(2): 274-287, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37643903

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Approximately one third of individuals worldwide have not received a COVID-19 vaccine. Although studies have investigated risk factors linked to severe COVID-19 among unvaccinated people with rheumatic diseases (RDs), we know less about whether these factors changed as the pandemic progressed. We aimed to identify risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 in unvaccinated individuals in different pandemic epochs corresponding to major variants of concern. METHODS: Patients with RDs and COVID-19 were entered into the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance Registry between March 2020 and June 2022. An ordinal logistic regression model (not hospitalized, hospitalized, and death) was used with date of COVID-19 diagnosis, age, sex, race and/or ethnicity, comorbidities, RD activity, medications, and the human development index (HDI) as covariates. The main analysis included all unvaccinated patients across COVID-19 pandemic epochs; subanalyses stratified patients according to RD types. RESULTS: Among 19,256 unvaccinated people with RDs and COVID-19, those who were older, male, had more comorbidities, used glucocorticoids, had higher disease activity, or lived in lower HDI regions had worse outcomes across epochs. For those with rheumatoid arthritis, sulfasalazine and B-cell-depleting therapy were associated with worse outcomes, and tumor necrosis factor inhibitors were associated with improved outcomes. In those with connective tissue disease or vasculitis, B-cell-depleting therapy was associated with worse outcomes. CONCLUSION: Risk factors for severe COVID-19 outcomes were similar throughout pandemic epochs in unvaccinated people with RDs. Ongoing efforts, including vaccination, are needed to reduce COVID-19 severity in this population, particularly in those with medical and social vulnerabilities identified in this study.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Reumáticas , Reumatologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pandemias , Vacinas contra COVID-19/uso terapêutico , Teste para COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Doenças Reumáticas/diagnóstico , Doenças Reumáticas/tratamento farmacológico , Doenças Reumáticas/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Sistema de Registros
14.
Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) ; 75(1): 61-68, 2023 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35904969

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Non-White populations are at higher risk of developing systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and have more severe outcomes, including mortality. The present study was undertaken to examine how specific causes of death vary by race and ethnicity, including Asian and Hispanic individuals. METHODS: The California Lupus Surveillance Project included SLE cases identified among residents of San Francisco County, CA during January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2009. Cases were matched to the National Death Index over a 10-year period. Logistic regression examined age-adjusted differences in causes of death by race, ethnicity, and sex. Age-standardized mortality ratios between individuals with SLE and the corresponding general population were calculated for the leading cause of death, and observed versus expected deaths were estimated. RESULTS: The study included 812 individuals of White (38%), Asian (36%), Black (20%), and mixed/other/unknown (5%) race; 15% identified as Hispanic. One hundred thirty-five deaths were recorded, with a mean ± SD age at death of 62.2 ± 15.6 years. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) was the leading cause of death overall (33%), and across all racial and ethnic groups, followed by rheumatic disease (18%) and hematologic/oncologic conditions (18%). CVD as the underlying cause of death was 3.63 times higher among SLE cases than in the general population. CVD deaths for those with SLE were nearly 4 and 6 times higher for Asian and Hispanic individuals with SLE, respectively, compared to the general population. CONCLUSION: Individuals with SLE experience a disproportionate burden of CVD mortality compared to the general population, which is magnified for Asian and Hispanic groups.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Etnicidade , Causas de Morte , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/epidemiologia , Hispânico ou Latino
15.
Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) ; 74(8): 1287-1293, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33502113

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is associated with elevated cardiovascular risk, and obesity is a common, modifiable risk factor. Our aims were to assess the relationship of body mass index (BMI) with disease activity in AS patients and to assess the extent to which the effect is mediated through exercise. METHODS: We used data from a prospective AS cohort with a median follow-up of 7 years. To determine the association of BMI (kg/m2 ) with disease activity as measured by the Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS), we used generalized estimating equations with inverse probability weighting to account for repeated measures per subject and time-varying confounding. To estimate the direct effect of overweight/obese BMI on disease activity and the indirect effect through exercise, we performed a mediation analysis. RESULTS: There were 183 subjects with available BMI and disease activity data (77% male, 70% White, mean ± SD age 40.8 ± 13.3 years). Higher BMI was significantly associated with higher disease activity over time; on average, for a 1 kg/m2 higher BMI, the ASDAS was 0.06 units higher (95% confidence interval 0.04-0.08) after adjustment for important confounders. The direct effect of an overweight/obese BMI accounted for most of the total effect on disease activity, with a smaller indirect effect mediated by exercise (7%). CONCLUSION: Higher BMI was associated with higher disease activity in a prospective AS cohort. We found that being overweight/obese largely influenced disease activity directly rather than indirectly through exercise. Other mechanisms, such as increased inflammation, may better explain the obesity-disease activity association.


Assuntos
Espondilite Anquilosante , Adulto , Índice de Massa Corporal , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/diagnóstico , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Sobrepeso/complicações , Estudos Prospectivos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Espondilite Anquilosante/complicações , Espondilite Anquilosante/diagnóstico , Espondilite Anquilosante/epidemiologia
16.
Lancet Rheumatol ; 4(9): e603-e613, 2022 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35909441

RESUMO

Background: Differences in the distribution of individual-level clinical risk factors across regions do not fully explain the observed global disparities in COVID-19 outcomes. We aimed to investigate the associations between environmental and societal factors and country-level variations in mortality attributed to COVID-19 among people with rheumatic disease globally. Methods: In this observational study, we derived individual-level data on adults (aged 18-99 years) with rheumatic disease and a confirmed status of their highest COVID-19 severity level from the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance (GRA) registry, collected between March 12, 2020, and Aug 27, 2021. Environmental and societal factors were obtained from publicly available sources. The primary endpoint was mortality attributed to COVID-19. We used a multivariable logistic regression to evaluate independent associations between environmental and societal factors and death, after controlling for individual-level risk factors. We used a series of nested mixed-effects models to establish whether environmental and societal factors sufficiently explained country-level variations in death. Findings: 14 044 patients from 23 countries were included in the analyses. 10 178 (72·5%) individuals were female and 3866 (27·5%) were male, with a mean age of 54·4 years (SD 15·6). Air pollution (odds ratio 1·10 per 10 µg/m3 [95% CI 1·01-1·17]; p=0·0105), proportion of the population aged 65 years or older (1·19 per 1% increase [1·10-1·30]; p<0·0001), and population mobility (1·03 per 1% increase in number of visits to grocery and pharmacy stores [1·02-1·05]; p<0·0001 and 1·02 per 1% increase in number of visits to workplaces [1·00-1·03]; p=0·032) were independently associated with higher odds of mortality. Number of hospital beds (0·94 per 1-unit increase per 1000 people [0·88-1·00]; p=0·046), human development index (0·65 per 0·1-unit increase [0·44-0·96]; p=0·032), government response stringency (0·83 per 10-unit increase in containment index [0·74-0·93]; p=0·0018), as well as follow-up time (0·78 per month [0·69-0·88]; p<0·0001) were independently associated with lower odds of mortality. These factors sufficiently explained country-level variations in death attributable to COVID-19 (intraclass correlation coefficient 1·2% [0·1-9·5]; p=0·14). Interpretation: Our findings highlight the importance of environmental and societal factors as potential explanations of the observed regional disparities in COVID-19 outcomes among people with rheumatic disease and lay foundation for a new research agenda to address these disparities. Funding: American College of Rheumatology and European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology.

17.
ACR Open Rheumatol ; 4(10): 872-882, 2022 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35869686

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Some patients with rheumatic diseases might be at higher risk for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). We aimed to develop a prediction model for COVID-19 ARDS in this population and to create a simple risk score calculator for use in clinical settings. METHODS: Data were derived from the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance Registry from March 24, 2020, to May 12, 2021. Seven machine learning classifiers were trained on ARDS outcomes using 83 variables obtained at COVID-19 diagnosis. Predictive performance was assessed in a US test set and was validated in patients from four countries with independent registries using area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. A simple risk score calculator was developed using a regression model incorporating the most influential predictors from the best performing classifier. RESULTS: The study included 8633 patients from 74 countries, of whom 523 (6%) had ARDS. Gradient boosting had the highest mean AUC (0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67-0.88) and was considered the top performing classifier. Ten predictors were identified as key risk factors and were included in a regression model. The regression model that predicted ARDS with 71% (95% CI: 61%-83%) sensitivity in the test set, and with sensitivities ranging from 61% to 80% in countries with independent registries, was used to develop the risk score calculator. CONCLUSION: We were able to predict ARDS with good sensitivity using information readily available at COVID-19 diagnosis. The proposed risk score calculator has the potential to guide risk stratification for treatments, such as monoclonal antibodies, that have potential to reduce COVID-19 disease progression.

18.
Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol ; 35(1): 101665, 2021 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33648855

RESUMO

The disproportionate impact of coronavirus-2019 (COVID-19) on communities of color is gaining global attention. Current research demonstrates that historically marginalized populations are experiencing disproportionate levels of SARS-Cov-2 infection and adverse clinical outcomes. However, research examining whether COVID-19 outcomes vary by race and ethnicity within the rheumatic disease population is limited. This paper will review data showing how SARS-CoV-2 infection has differentially affected racial and ethnic minorities in the general population and those with rheumatic disease. We will also highlight disparities in rheumatic disease risk and severity that existed prior to the pandemic, and discuss recent work examining severe outcomes of COVID-19 in rheumatic disease patients by race and ethnicity. Finally, we propose several actionable steps for the rheumatology community to address COVID-19 health disparities, which may have long-term effects on patients with rheumatic disease.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Reumatologia , Etnicidade , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Humanos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2
19.
Arthritis Res Ther ; 23(1): 224, 2021 08 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34461986

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Behçet's disease (BD), a chronic systemic vasculitis, has distinct geographical and ethnic variation. Data regarding the epidemiology of patients with BD in the U.S. are limited; therefore, we sought to describe BD patient characteristics and medication use in the U.S., and compared them with data from patients from endemic regions. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study using data from the RISE registry (2014-2018). Patients aged ≥ 18 years with BD were included. Sociodemographic and treatment information was extracted. We compared patients from the RISE registry to data from other published studies of patients with BD from endemic areas. RESULTS: One thousand three hundred twenty-three subjects with BD from the RISE registry were included. Mean age was 48.7 ± 16.3 years, female to male ratio was 3.8:1, and 66.7% were White. The most frequently used medications included glucocorticoids (67.6%) and colchicine (55.0%). Infliximab and adalimumab were the most used biologics (14.5% and 14.1%, respectively); 3.2% of patients used apremilast. The RISE registry had more women (79.3%), and patients were older compared to previously published BD studies from endemic areas. Methotrexate and TNFi were more commonly reported in RISE (21.8% and 29.4%) compared to studies from Egypt and Turkey. Colchicine, cyclosporine, and cyclophosphamide were more commonly used in cohorts from Egypt, Turkey, and Iran. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from the largest BD dataset in the U.S. suggest that BD patients are predominantly female. Further research is needed to explore the reasons for the higher prevalence of BD among women in the U.S. and its possible impact on disease severity and management.


Assuntos
Síndrome de Behçet , Reumatologia , Adulto , Idoso , Síndrome de Behçet/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Behçet/tratamento farmacológico , Síndrome de Behçet/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Informática , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
20.
Arthritis Rheumatol ; 73(3): 374-380, 2021 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33146001

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Racial/ethnic minorities experience more severe outcomes of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the general US population. This study was undertaken to examine the association between race/ethnicity and COVID-19 hospitalization, ventilation status, and mortality in people with rheumatic disease. METHODS: US patients with rheumatic disease and COVID-19 were entered into the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance physician registry between March 24, 2020 and August 26, 2020 were included. Race/ethnicity was defined as White, African American, Latinx, Asian, or other/mixed race. Outcome measures included hospitalization, requirement for ventilatory support, and death. Multivariable regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, rheumatic disease diagnosis, comorbidities, medication use prior to infection, and rheumatic disease activity. RESULTS: A total of 1,324 patients were included, of whom 36% were hospitalized and 6% died; 26% of hospitalized patients required mechanical ventilation. In multivariable models, African American patients (OR 2.74 [95% CI 1.90-3.95]), Latinx patients (OR 1.71 [95% CI 1.18-2.49]), and Asian patients (OR 2.69 [95% CI 1.16-6.24]) had higher odds of hospitalization compared to White patients. Latinx patients also had 3-fold increased odds of requiring ventilatory support (OR 3.25 [95% CI 1.75-6.05]). No differences in mortality based on race/ethnicity were found, though power to detect associations may have been limited. CONCLUSION: Similar to findings in the general US population, racial/ethnic minorities with rheumatic disease and COVID-19 had increased odds of hospitalization and ventilatory support. These results illustrate significant health disparities related to COVID-19 in people with rheumatic diseases. The rheumatology community should proactively address the needs of patients currently experiencing inequitable health outcomes during the pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19/etnologia , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Grupos Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Reumáticas/etnologia , Reumatologia/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/mortalidade , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Sistema de Registros , Respiração Artificial/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Reumáticas/mortalidade , Doenças Reumáticas/virologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
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