Incubation period of COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis. / Período de incubación de la COVID-19: revisión sistemática y metaanálisis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The incubation period of COVID-19 helps to determine the optimal duration of the quarantine and inform predictive models of incidence curves. Several emerging studies have produced varying results; this systematic review aims to provide a more accurate estimate of the incubation period of COVID-19. METHODS: For this systematic review, a literature search was conducted using Pubmed, Scopus/EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library databases, covering all observational and experimental studies reporting the incubation period and published from 1 January 2020 to 21 March 2020.We estimated the mean and 95th percentile of the incubation period using meta-analysis, taking into account between-study heterogeneity, and the analysis with moderator variables. RESULTS: We included seven studies (n = 792) in the meta-analysis. The heterogeneity (I2 83.0%, p < 0.001) was significantly decreased when we included the study quality and the statistical model used as moderator variables (I2 15%). The mean incubation period ranged from 5.6 (95% CI: 5.2 to 6.0) to 6.7 days (95% CI: 6.0 to 7.4) according to the statistical model. The 95th percentile was 12.5 days when the mean age of patients was 60 years, increasing 1 day for every 10 years. CONCLUSION: Based on the published data reporting the incubation period of COVID-19, the mean time between exposure and onset of clinical symptoms depended on the statistical model used, and the 95th percentile depended on the mean age of the patients. It is advisable to record sex and age when collecting data in order to analyze possible differential patterns.

Validation of self-reported adherence in chronic patients visiting pharmacies and factors associated with the overestimation and underestimation of good adherence.

BACKGROUND: Studies validating indirect methods to identify nonadherence in chronic patients who visit pharmacies are lacking. The aim of this study was to validate self-reported adherence and assess the variables associated with both overestimation and underestimation of good adherence when using this method. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An observational, cross-sectional study was undertaken to validate self-reported adherence in 132 community pharmacies throughout Spain in 6237 chronic patients. The Morisky-Green test was used as the validation method and through a 2 × 2 table, the validity indicators, predictive values, and likelihood ratios were calculated. To assess the variables associated with both overestimation and underestimation of good adherence, multivariate logistic regression analysis and calculation of the area under the ROC curve were used to evaluate discriminatory capacity. RESULTS: Sensitivity was 27.8% (95% CI: 26.2-29.4) and specificity was 93.9% (95% CI: 93.1-94.7). Discrepancy analysis obtained a significant overestimation of good adherence (p < 0.001). The factors associated with overestimating good adherence were performing a mnemonic trick (p < 0.001), not self-medicating (p < 0.001), a high level of physical activity (p < 0.001), and an older age (p = 0.014). Factors associated with underestimation were self-medication (p < 0.001), desiring more information (p < 0.001), smoking (p = 0.014), not engaging in physical activity in the low (p = 0.006) or high (p < 0.001) categories, having a younger mean age (p = 0.007), and taking two to three (p = 0.029) or four or more (p < 0.001) chronic treatments. CONCLUSION: Self-reported adherence has good specificity but poor sensitivity. The associated profiles of the discrepancies were obtained to identify both good and poor adherence.

Analysing the concept of diagnostic inertia in hypertension: a cross-sectional study.

AIMS: The aim of this study was to quantify diagnostic inertia (DI) when the physician fails to diagnose hypertension and determine its associated factors. METHODS: This cross-sectional, observational study involved all patients without a diagnosis of hypertension who had their blood pressure (BP) measured at least three times during the second half of 2010 (N = 48,605). Patients with altered mean BP figures (≥ 140/90 mmHg) were considered to experience DI. Secondary variables: gender, atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, cardiovascular disease, age and the physician having attended a cardiovascular training course (ESCARVAL). Associated factors were assessed by multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Diagnostic inertia was present in 6450 patients (13.3%, 95% CI: 13.0-13.6%). Factors significantly associated with DI were: male gender (OR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.37-1.55, p < 0.001), atrial fibrillation (OR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.58-0.92, p = 0.007), the ESCARVAL cardiovascular course (OR = 0.88, 95% CI: 0.81-0.96, p = 0.005), diabetes mellitus (OR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.87-0.99, p = 0.016), cardiovascular disease (OR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.67-0.88, p < 0.001) and older age (years) (18-44→OR = 1; 45-59→OR = 12.45, 95% CI: 11.11-13.94; 60-74→OR = 18.11, 95% CI: 16.30-20.12; ≥ 75→OR = 20.43, 95% CI: 18.34-22.75; p < 0.001). The multivariate model had an area under the ROC curve of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.80-0.81, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study will help clinical researchers differentiate between the two forms of DI (interpretation of a positive screening test and interpretation of positive diagnostic criteria). The results found here in patients with hypertension suggest that this problem is prevalent, and that a set of associated factors can explain the outcome well (AUC>0.80).

A Tool to Quickly Detect Short Hamstring Syndrome in Boys who Play Soccer.

UNLABELLED: There is a lack of studies of alternative techniques differing from the straight leg raise test (SLR) and the passive knee extension test (PKE) to diagnose short hamstring syndrome (SHS). We built a predictive model with simple parameters to diagnose SHS and implemented it in a mobile app. This cross-sectional study analyzed 85 Spanish boys aged 10-16 years who played soccer in 2012. OUTCOMES: SHS (SLR<70° and/or PKE>15°), and grade II SHS (SLR<60° and/or PKE≥35°). Secondary variables: toe-touch test (TT), body mass index (BMI), age, laterality and number of years registered as part of a federation. A risk table implemented in a mobile app was built to estimate the probability of SHS and grade II SHS according to secondary variables. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated and we constructed risk groups. Scoring factors for SHS: low TT, younger age and lower BMI. AUC: 0.89 (95% CI: 0.82-0.96, p<0.001). Scoring factors for grade II SHS: younger age, higher BMI, left footed and lower TT. AUC: 0.78 (95% CI: 0.68-0.88, p<0.001). We provide a tool with minimum material but with a high discriminatory power to quickly calculate whether a boy who plays soccer has SHS. The models need validation studies.

Predictive models for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetic inpatients. A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Many authors have analysed premature mortality in cohorts of type 2 diabetic patients, but no analyses have assessed mortality in hospitalised diabetic patients. AIM: To construct predictive models to estimate the likelihood of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetic inpatients. DESIGN: Cohort study with follow-up from 2010 to 2014. METHODS: We evaluated mortality in a randomly selected cohort of 112 type 2 diabetic inpatients at the Hospital of Elda (Spain) in 2010-2012. OUTCOMES: all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality during the follow-up. Other variables: gender, age, depression, asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, hypertension, dyslipidemia, insulin, pills, smoking, walking, baseline blood glucose and creatinine. Predictive tables with risk groups were constructed to estimate the likelihood of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. Calculations were made of the area under the ROC curve (AUC). RESULTS: During the follow-up, 52 inpatients died (46.4%, 95% CI, confidence interval: 37.2-55.7%), 22 because of cardiovascular causes (19.6%, 95% CI: 12.3-27.0%). The mean follow-up time was 2.7 ± 1.5 years. The AUC for the all-cause mortality model was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.77-0.92, p < 0.001). Associated parameters: pills, smoking, walking, gender, insulin and age. The AUC for the cardiovascular mortality model was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.67-0.91, p < 0.001). Associated parameters: age, pills, walking, smoking, depression and insulin. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides tools to predict premature mortality in type 2 diabetic inpatients. However, before their general application they require joint validation by the internal medicine unit, emergency department, primary healthcare unit and endocrinology service to enable better prediction of the prognosis and more adequate decision-taking.

Effectiveness of influenza vaccination programme in preventing hospital admissions, Valencia, 2014/15 early results.

Preliminary results for the 2014/15 season indicate low to null effect of vaccination against influenza A(H3N2)-related disease. As of week 5 2015, there have been 1,136 hospital admissions, 210 were due to influenza and 98% of subtype A strains were H3. Adjusted influenza vaccine effectiveness was 33% (range: 6-53%) overall and 40% (range: 13% to 59%) in those 65 years and older. Vaccination reduced by 44% (28-68%) the probability of admission with influenza.

Early rehospitalization after hip fracture in elderly patients: risk factors and prognosis.

INTRODUCTION: Hip fracture usually occurs in older patients. These patients remain at risk for developing new medical complications even after discharge from the hospital. The objective of this study was to identify risk factors for hospital readmission 30 days after hip fracture and the prognosis of the readmitted patients. MATERIALS METHODS: A prospective, observational cohort study of 732 consecutive patients over 65 years surgically treated for hip fracture and discharged alive in 2010-2014 was conducted. The measurements were patient demographic characteristics, residential and discharge status, Katz Index, Merle D'aubigné Hip Score, Mini-Mental Test, comorbid conditions, Charlson Index, ASA group, type of fracture and repair, and postoperative complications. Patient characteristics were tested by bivariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: 8.3 % of patients were readmitted within 30 days (56.0 % of these within 2 weeks). Medical reasons were 13 times more frequent than surgical reasons. Diagnoses more prevalent for readmission were pulmonary disease, deep vein thrombosis, heart failure, and renal failure. Predictors of readmission were female gender (HR 1.9, 95 % CI 1.1-3.4), grade III-IV ASA (HR 2.1, 95 % CI 1.1-4.2), and pre-existing pulmonary disease (HR 5.3, 95 % CI 3.4-9.6). In-hospital mortality among readmitted patients was 22.9 %. In bivariate analyses, male gender, ASA III-IV, cognitive impairment, and more than two comorbidities were potential predictive factors for readmission, and in multivariate analysis only male gender and ASA III-IV. Mortality risk among readmitted patients was significantly higher compared to the in-hospital mortality in the overall cohort (OR 1.8, 95 % CI 1.5-2.3). CONCLUSIONS: Hospital readmissions after hip fracture were mainly due to medical complications and a fraction of these may be preventable. Readmission was associated with increased morbidity and mortality.

A randomized clinical trial to determine the effect of angiotensin inhibitors reduction on creatinine clearance and haemoglobin in heart failure patients with chronic kidney disease and anaemia.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease is a common comorbidity in elderly patients with heart failure. Evidence supports the use of angiotensin inhibitors for patients with heart failure. However, there is little evidence with which to assess the risk and benefits of this treatment in elderly patients with renal dysfunction. OBJECTIVE: To determine the efficacy and safety of angiotensin inhibitor reduction in patients with heart failure, chronic kidney disease and anaemia. STUDY DESIGN: Open randomized controlled clinical trial. SETTING: Complexo Hospitalario Universitario A Coruña (Spain). PATIENTS: Patients ≥ 50 years old, with heart failure, haemoglobin (Hb) < 12 mg/dl and creatinine clearance <60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) admitted to hospital, in treatment with angiotensin inhibitors. Informed consent and Ethical Review Board approval were obtained. INTERVENTION: A 50% reduction of angiotensin inhibitor dose of the basal treatment on admission (n = 30) in the intervention group. Control group (n = 16) with the standard basal dose. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Primary outcome was difference in Hb (gr/dl), creatinine clearance (ml/min/1.73 m(2) ) and protein C (mg/dl) between admission and 1-3 months after discharge. Secondary outcome was survival at 6-12 months after discharge. RESULTS: Patients in the intervention group experienced an improvement in Hb (10.62-11.47 g/dl), creatinine clearance (32.5 ml/min/1.73 m(2) to 42.9 ml/min/1.73 m(2) ), and a decrease in creatinine levels (1.98-1.68 mg/dl) and protein C (3.23 mg/dl to 1.37 mg/dl). There were no significant differences in these variables in the control group. Survival at 6 and 12 months in the intervention and control group was 86.7% vs. 75% and 69.3% vs. 50%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The reduction of the dose of angiotensin inhibitors in the intervention group resulted in an improvement in anaemia and kidney function, decreased protein C and an increased survival rate. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT: 2008-008480-10.

Barriers associated with poor control in Spanish diabetic patients. A consensus study.

BACKGROUND: Delphi technique allows developing a multidisciplinary consensus to establish solutions. AIM: To identify barriers and solutions to improve control in patients with Type-2 Diabetes Mellitus (DM2). METHODS: An observational study using the 2-round Delphi technique (June-August 2011). A panel of 108 experts in DM2 from medical and nursing fields (primary care providers and specialists) from different regions completed via email a questionnaire with 41 Likert statements and 9 scores for each one. Level of agreement was assessed using measures of central tendency and dispersion. We analysed commonalities/differences between the two groups (Kappa index and McNemar chi-square). RESULTS: Response rate: 65%. Degree of agreement: 63.4% (95% CI 48.7-78.1%) in medicine, and 78.1% (95% CI 65.4-90.8) in nursing (p > 0.05). Overall level of agreement: Kappa = 0.43, (χ(2) = 2.5 p > 0.05). Regarding non-compliance with therapy, it improves with: the information to the partner/family/caregiver, patient education degree in diabetes, patient motivation and ability to share and agree on decisions with the patient. Clinical inertia improves with: motivation degree of healthcare professionals and the calculation of cardiovascular risk; and gets worse with: the shortage of time in consultation, absence of data in medical record, border high limits measurements accepted as normal readings, lack of a treatment goals, lack of teamwork (Physician/Nurse), scarcity of resources and lack of alarm systems in the electronic medical record on goals to achieve. CONCLUSION: The participants achieved an agreement in interventions in non-therapeutic compliance and clinical inertia to improve DM2 control.

[Factors associated with dissatisfaction with pharmacological treatment in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A cross-sectional study]. / Factores asociados a la insatisfacción con el tratamiento farmacológico en pacientes con diabetes mellitus tipo 2: estudio transversal.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Diabetes is a chronic disease with a high impact on both health and Quality of Life Related to Health (QLRH). To evaluate the satisfaction of treatment in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus through the Diabetes Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire (DTSQ) and its relationship with sociodemographic variables, with antidiabetic medication and clinical-analytical variables. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted in General University Hospital of San Juan de Alicante between September 2016 and December 2017. Two hundred thirty-two patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus at least 1 year before inclusion, treated with antidiabetic medication were included. The Spanish version of the DTSQ scale was used to measure satisfaction with treatment. Factors associated with low satisfaction were analyzed by applying the Chi-square test for qualitative variables and Student-T for quantitative variables. To estimate magnitudes of association, logistic models were adjusted. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-two patients were included in this study. 21.5% of the patients presented low satisfaction with the treatment. Patients who presented low satisfaction with treatment were associated with medications that could cause hypoglycemia (OR: 2.872 [1.195-6.903]), HbA1c levels higher than 7% (OR: 2.260 [1.005-5.083]) and drugs administered by the route oral (OR: 2.749 [1.233-6.131]). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who had a lower score on the DTSQ questionnaire were associated with medications that produced hypoglycaemia, and with higher levels of HbA1c higher than 7%, and those who took oral medication.

[Bibliometric analysis of International Scientific production on primary care]. / Análisis Bibliométrico de la producción Científica Internacional sobre atención primaria.

OBJECTIVE: To present an international view of the scientific production in the field of primary care in the period 1985-2004. DESIGN: Retrospective, observational study. Bibliometric analysis. LOCATION: Medline database. WebSPIRS access through version 4.3. We analysed two periods: 2000-2004 (cross-sectional) and 1985-2004 (developmental). Search based on "MeSH Major" with descriptors: Primary Care or Primary Health Care, Family Practice, Family Physicians, Nurse Practitioners, and Entry Terms associated with these. KEY MEASURES: We analysed the bibliometric indicators of production, circulation, dispersion, and visibility. RESULTS: In 2000-2004, published 20911 articles were published, 0.73% of total production. There was a growth rate (1985-2004) of 221%, which was 2.4 times more than average. Transience rate was 83.17%. The English language is predominant (88.81%) over 34 languages, with Spanish being the next (2.6%). Sixteen countries produce 95.67% of the articles. Spain occupies the 7th place. Universities (52%) are the most productive institutions. There are 1074 different journals with the 10 most productive being: Br J Gen Pract, Adv Nurse Pract, Aust Fam Physician, Fam Pract, Fam Med, BMJ, Aten Primary Health Serv J, Can Fam Physician, J Fam Pract. The proportion of trials (5.43%) in PC is similar to other disciplines and has increased by 453% (1985-2004). CONCLUSIONS: The production of Primary care is about 1% of the total scientific output, with a noticeable and higher than average growth over 20 years. The proportion of clinical trials is similar to other disciplines. Although Anglo-Saxon countries and journals are the highest producers, Spain and the journal Aten Primaria is among those highlighted.

[Ebrictus study. Functional results, survival, and potential years of life lost after the first stroke]. / Estudio Ebrictus. Resultados funcionales, supervivencia y años potenciales de vida perdidos después del primer episodio de ictus.

AIM: To determine the mortality, degree of dependence, survival, and years of life lost (YLL) after first episode of stroke. DESIGN: Cohort study. LOCATION: Community based register. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 553 subjects between 15-90 years with a first episode of definitive or transitory stroke were recruited between 01/04/2006 and 31/03/2008. MEASUREMENTS: The analyses were performed with the use of time-to-event methods, according to the intention-to-treat principle. The level of dependency was assessed according to the Barthel Scale one year after stroke; YLL (1-70 years) from the mean life expectancies at birth; survival analysis by Kaplan-Meier's curves, bivariate analysis comparing the variables between patients who had survived and those who died, and Cox's multivariate. RESULTS: The mean age was 73.3 (±11.6 years. The mean time of follow-up was 29.7 ± 13,4 months, during which 26.6% of the patients died. The mean Barthel score fell by >20%, particularly among women. There was moderate or greater dependence in 41.5% (95%CI 30.6-52.8%) of the subjects. The overall accumulative probability of survival was 0.96 (95% CI 0.94-0.97) in the first month and 0.69 (95% CI 0.65-0.72) in the fourth year. The thrombolytic treatment showed a protective effect on mortality, particularly among the women. The main predictive variables were, history of recurrent cardiovascular event (RR 6.7, 95% CI 2.2-21.7) and aging (RR 1.08, 95% CI 1.01-1.2). The average YLL was 11.5/10000/year SD7.2, and higher among men. CONCLUSION: There are differences in functional outcome, mortality, and potential years of life lost by gender. A new cardiovascular event is an independent prognostic factor of survival.

[Analysis of two health attendance models for the non-hospital emergencies in Gipuzkoa: Retrospective study]. / Análisis de dos modelos asistenciales para la atención de las emergencias extrahospitalarias en Guipúzcoa: Estudio retrospectivo.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Out-of-hospital medical emergency services are defined as a functional organization that performs a set of sequential human and material activities. The objective of this study was to compare the mortality of patients attended by the out-of-hospital medical emergency services in 2 neighboring Spanish regions with different models of healthcare transport assistance for emergency care. MATERIAL AND METHOD: Retrospective observational cohort study, done between June 1, 2007 and December 31, 2008 in 2 regions of Gipuzkoa, Alto Deba (AD) and Bajo Deba (BD). The study variables were age, sex and place of exposure (AD/BD), heart rate, blood pressure, initial reason for the call defined by the European Resuscitation Council, unconsciousness and digestive bleeding. 3452 subjects were analyzed. RESULTS: The risk of in situ mortality in BD was 1.31 times higher than in AD (P=.050), that of hospital mortality in BD was 0.71 times lower than in AD (P=.011) and the risk of mortality at one year between counties and the combined mortality (in situ+hospital) did not contribute significant differences. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality (in situ+in-hospital, and one year aftercare) of patients treated by the out-of-hospital emergency medical services in AD (non-medicalized healthcare transport model) was similar to that of the BD region (mixed healthcare transport model).

Incubation period of COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The incubation period of COVID-19 helps to determine the optimal duration of the quarantine and inform predictive models of incidence curves. Several emerging studies have produced varying results; this systematic review aims to provide a more accurate estimate of the incubation period of COVID-19. METHODS: For this systematic review, a literature search was conducted using Pubmed, Scopus/EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library databases, covering all observational and experimental studies reporting the incubation period and published from 1 January 2020 to 21 March 2020.We estimated the mean and 95th percentile of the incubation period using meta-analysis, taking into account between-study heterogeneity, and the analysis with moderator variables. RESULTS: We included seven studies (n=792) in the meta-analysis. The heterogeneity (I2 83.0%, p<0.001) was significantly decreased when we included the study quality and the statistical model used as moderator variables (I2 15%). The mean incubation period ranged from 5.6 (95% CI: 5.2-6.0) to 6.7 days (95% CI: 6.0-7.4) according to the statistical model. The 95th percentile was 12.5 days when the mean age of patients was 60 years, increasing 1 day for every 10 years. CONCLUSION: Based on the published data reporting the incubation period of COVID-19, the mean time between exposure and onset of clinical symptoms depended on the statistical model used, and the 95th percentile depended on the mean age of the patients. It is advisable to record sex and age when collecting data in order to analyze possible differential patterns.

[Incubation period of COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis]. / Período de incubación de la COVID-19: revisión sistemática y metaanálisis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The incubation period of COVID-19 helps to determine the optimal duration of the quarantine and inform predictive models of incidence curves. Several emerging studies have produced varying results; this systematic review aims to provide a more accurate estimate of the incubation period of COVID-19. METHODS: For this systematic review, a literature search was conducted using Pubmed, Scopus/EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library databases, covering all observational and experimental studies reporting the incubation period and published from 1 January 2020 to 21 March 2020.We estimated the mean and 95th percentile of the incubation period using meta-analysis, taking into account between-study heterogeneity, and the analysis with moderator variables. RESULTS: We included seven studies (n = 792) in the meta-analysis. The heterogeneity (I2 83.0%, p < 0.001) was significantly decreased when we included the study quality and the statistical model used as moderator variables (I2 15%). The mean incubation period ranged from 5.6 (95% CI: 5.2 to 6.0) to 6.7 days (95% CI: 6.0 to 7.4) according to the statistical model. The 95th percentile was 12.5 days when the mean age of patients was 60 years, increasing 1 day for every 10 years. CONCLUSION: Based on the published data reporting the incubation period of COVID-19, the mean time between exposure and onset of clinical symptoms depended on the statistical model used, and the 95th percentile depended on the mean age of the patients. It is advisable to record sex and age when collecting data in order to analyze possible differential patterns.

Screening for sight threatening diabetic retinopathy using non-mydriatic retinal camera in a primary care setting: to dilate or not to dilate?

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate three different strategies (without or with mydriasis) for community based screening for sight threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR). DESIGN: A masked cross-sectional comparative study. SETTING: Primary care centre. PARTICIPANTS: 216 type-1 and type-2 diabetic patients (432 eyes). INTERVENTIONS: Screening for STDR was performed with the Topcon CRW6S non-mydriatic camera (NMC), compared with the grading of the seven-field standard stereoscopic photographs, 30 degrees field photographs with mydriasis as the gold standard method. Three fields were studied: Field 1 centred on the macula; field 2 centred on the disc and the macula and field 3 centred on the disc, on the macula and temporal upper to the macula all without and with mydriasis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Sensitivity and specificity of screening method and prevalence of STDR. Strategies: field 1 (macular), addition of field 2 (nasal), addition of field 3 (superior temporal) all without and with mydriasis. RESULTS: The prevalence of STDR was 14.3%. When screening without mydriasis is performed, the percentage of referred patients increases from 14% (STDR) to almost 33% because of ungradable photographs. Sensitivity of detection of STDR by NMC using single field with mydriasis was 82% (95% confidence interval 72-92%) and without mydriasis 67% (54-80%). Specificity was 99% (97-100%) for single field with mydriasis and 99% (98-100%) without mydriasis. Sensitivity of detection using two fields with mydriasis was 95% (89-100%); without mydriasis (54-80%), slightly better than single field with mydriasis (72-92%). Specificity was similar. CONCLUSIONS: Screening for STDR with NMC can be performed effectively with one non-stereoscopic retinal photograph per eye with mydriasis using tropicamide 0.5%. Screening without mydriasis increases the number of patients to be referred.

Prevalence of low HDL cholesterol, and relationship between serum HDL and cardiovascular disease in elderly Spanish population: the PREV-ICTUS study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the prevalence of low serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) concentration and the relationship between HDL-C and established cardiovascular disease (CVD) in an elderly Mediterranean population. METHODS: Analysis of Prevención del Riesgo de Ictus, a population-based study on Spanish subjects aged > or = 60 years. Low HDL-C was defined following the European guidelines for cardiovascular prevention [men: < 40 mg/dl (< 1.0 mmol/l); women: < 46 mg/dl (< 1.2 mmol/l)]. The relationship between low HDL-C or HDL-C concentration (in quintiles) and CVD was assessed through multivariate models that included cardiovascular risk factors, statins and subclinical organ damage. RESULTS: On 6010 subjects (71.7 years, 53.5% women), low HDL-C was present in 17.5% [95% confidence interval (CI): 16.5-18.5] and was more frequent in women [20.4% (19.0-21.8) vs. 14.1% (12.8-15.4) in men p < 0.001] and in patients with diabetes, CVD or statin therapy. Low HDL-C was independently associated with CVD [adjusted odds ratio (OR): 1.46, 95% CI: 1.22-1.74, p < 0.001]. The prevalence of CVD was higher as HDL-C concentration was lower (chi-square trend < 0.001). Compared with the highest quintile [> 65 mg/dl (> 1.67 mmol/l)], adjusted OR for CVD were 1.39 (1.10-1.76), 1.41 (1.11-1.80), 1.49 (1.18-1.89) and 1.91 (1.52-2.39), respectively for those in the fourth [57-65 mg/dl (1.46-1.67 mmol/l)], third [51-56 mg/dl (1.31-1.45 mmol/l)], second [46-50 mg/dl (1.18-1.30 mmol/l)] and first [< 46 mg/dl (< 1.18 mmol/l)] quintiles of HDL-C. This association was seen in males and females. CONCLUSIONS: A total of 17.5% of this Spanish population aged > or = 60 years had low HDL-C. We found a strong, independent and inverse association between HDL-C concentrations and established CVD, even at ranges of HDL-C considered as normal.

Waning protection of influenza vaccination during four influenza seasons, 2011/2012 to 2014/2015.

BACKGROUND: Concerns have been raised about intraseasonal waning of the protection conferred by influenza vaccination. METHODS: During four influenza seasons, we consecutively recruited individuals aged 18years or older who had received seasonal influenza vaccine and were subsequently admitted to the hospital for influenza infection, asassessed by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. We estimated the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of influenza infection by date of vaccination, defined by tertiles, as early, intermediate or late vaccination. We used a test-negative approach with early vaccination as reference to estimate the aOR of hospital admission with influenza among late vaccinees. We conducted sensitivity analyses by means of conditional logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and using days between vaccination and hospital admission rather than vaccination date. RESULTS: Among 3615 admitted vaccinees, 822 (23%) were positive for influenza. We observed a lower risk of influenza among late vaccinees during the 2011/2012 and 2014/2015A(H3N2)-dominant seasons: aOR=0.68 (95% CI: 0.47-1.00) and 0.69 (95% CI: 0.50-0.95). We found no differences in the risk of admission with influenza among late versus early vaccinees in the 2012/2013A(H1N1)pdm09-dominant or 2013/2014B/Yamagata lineage-dominant seasons: aOR=1.18 (95% CI: 0.58-2.41) and 0.98 (95% CI: 0.56-1.72). When we restricted our analysis to individuals aged 65years or older, we found a statistically significant lower risk of admission with influenza among late vaccinees during the 2011/2012 and 2014/2015A(H3N2)-dominant seasons: aOR=0.61 (95% CI: 0.41-0.91) and 0.69 (95% CI: 0.49-0.96). We observed 39% (95% CI: 9-59%) and 31% (95% CI: 5-50%) waning of vaccine effectiveness among participants aged 65years or older during the two A(H3N2)-dominant seasons. Similar results were obtained in the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Waning of vaccine protection was observed among individuals aged 65years old or over in two A(H3N2)-dominant influenza seasons.

[Incidence and preventability of haemorrhagic strokes. Results of the Ebrictus register]. / Incidencia y evitabilidad de los ictus hemorragicos. Resultados del registro Ebrictus.

AIM: To determine the population incidence of intracerebral haemorrhage and its preventable incidence, associated risk factors and prognosis of death and disability. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We examined a sample of 240 consecutive patients with a first episode of intracerebral haemorrhage between 1st April 2006 and 30th June 2015. The main variables are: NIHSS scale, comorbidity, pharmacological information, Barthel index, Rankin scale, time within therapeutic window, prognosis and destination on hospital discharge. The 'unnecessarily premature and sanitarily avoidable mortality' (MIPSE) classification was applied to define the cases as 'preventable incidence'. RESULTS: The rate of population incidence of haemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease was 23.5 cases per 100,000 inhabitants/year; an exponential increase occurred from the age of 55 years in males and 75 years in females. The rate ratio was 0.682. The preventable incidence would account for 66.6% of all the cases in those under 75 years of age and 22.7% in those aged 75 or over. The chances of survival and functional autonomy were significantly lower in females, and age, anticoagulant treatment, the presence of polymedication and treatment with serotonin reuptake inhibitor antidepressants were factors that were independent of the prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of haemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease does not appear to be modified within the period, but just the opposite occurs with the factors associated according to sex and age. According to the MIPSE classification, the preventability of haemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease could be as high as 36%.

TITLE: Incidencia y evitabilidad de los ictus hemorragicos. Resultados del registro Ebrictus.Objetivo. Conocer la incidencia poblacional de la hemorragia intracerebral y su incidencia evitable, factores de riesgo asociados y pronostico de muerte y discapacidad. Sujetos y metodos. Muestra de 240 pacientes consecutivos con un primer episodio de hemorragia intracerebral entre el 1 de abril de 2006 y el 30 de junio de 2015. Las variables principales son: escala NIHSS, comorbilidad, informacion farmacologica, indice de Barthel, escala de Rankin, tiempo en rango terapeutico, pronostico y destino al alta hospitalaria. Se aplico la clasificacion 'mortalidad innecesariamente prematura y sanitariamente evitable' (MIPSE) para definir los casos como 'incidencia evitable'. Resultados. La tasa de incidencia poblacional de enfermedad cerebrovascular hemorragica fue de 23,5 casos por 100.000 habitantes/año; se produjo un incremento exponencial a partir de los 55 años en hombres y 75 años en mujeres. La razon de tasas fue de 0,682. La incidencia evitable significaria el 66,6% de todos los casos en los menores de 75 años y el 22,7% en aquellos con 75 o mas años. La probabilidad de supervivencia y la autonomia funcional fueron significativamente inferiores en las mujeres, y la edad, el tratamiento anticoagulante, la presencia de polimedicacion y el tratamiento con antidepresivos inhibidores de la recaptacion de serotonina fueron factores independientes del pronostico. Conclusiones. No parece que se modifique la incidencia de enfermedad cerebrovascular hemorragica en el periodo, pero si los factores asociados segun sexo y edad. Segun la clasificacion MIPSE, la evitabilidad de la enfermedad cerebrovascular hemorragica seria de hasta un 36%.