The United States experience with diagnosing and treating esophageal cancer during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: A retrospective cohort study.

The downstream effects on healthcare delivery during the initial wave of the COVID-19 pandemic remain unclear. The purpose of this study was to determine how the healthcare environment surrounding the pandemic affected the oncologic care of patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer. This was a retrospective cohort study evaluating patients in the National Cancer Database (2019-2020). Patients with esophageal cancer diagnoses were divided into pre-pandemic (2019) and pandemic (2020) groups. Patient demographics, cancer-related variables, and treatment modalities were compared. Among 26,231 esophageal cancer patients, 14,024 patients (53.5%) were in the pre-pandemic cohort and 12,207 (46.5%) were in the pandemic cohort. After controlling for demographics, patients diagnosed during the pandemic were more likely to have poorly differentiated tumors (odds ratio [OR] 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.42), pathologic T3 disease compared to T1 (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.02-1.53), positive lymph nodes on pathology (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.14-1.64), and to be pathologic stage IV (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.29-1.76). After controlling for oncologic characteristics, patients diagnosed during the pandemic were more likely to require at least two courses of systemic therapy (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.48-2.14) and to be offered palliative care (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.04-1.22). While these patients were offered curative therapy at lower rates, this became non-significant after risk-adjustment (p = .15). The pandemic healthcare environment was associated with significantly increased risk-adjusted rates of patients presenting with advanced esophageal cancer. While this led to significant differences in treatment, most of these differences became non-significant after controlling for oncologic factors.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Versus Upfront Surgery for Resectable Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma: An Updated Nationwide Study.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the association of survival with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC). BACKGROUND: The early control of potential micrometastases and patient selection using NAC has been advocated for patients with PDAC. However, the role of NAC for resectable PDAC remains unclear. METHODS: Patients with clinical T1 and T2 PDAC were identified in the National Cancer Database from 2010 to 2017. Kaplan-Meier estimates, and Cox regression models were used to compare survival. To address immortal time bias, landmark analysis was performed. Interactions between preoperative factors and NAC were investigated in subgroup analyses. A propensity score analysis was performed to compare survival between multiagent NAC and upfront surgery. RESULTS: In total, 4041 patients were treated with upfront surgery and 1,175 patients were treated with NAC (79.4% multiagent NAC, 20.6% single-agent NAC). Using a landmark time of 6 months after diagnosis, patients treated with multiagent NAC had longer median overall survival compared with upfront surgery and single-agent NAC. (35.8 vs 27.1 vs 27.4 mo). Multiagent NAC was associated with lower mortality rates compared with upfront surgery (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.70-0.85), whereas single-agent NAC was not. The association of survival with multiagent NAC were consistent in analyses using the matched data sets. Interaction analysis revealed that the association between multiagent NAC and a lower mortality rate did not significantly differ across age, facility type, tumor location, CA 19-9 levels, and clinical T/N stages. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that multiagent NAC followed by resection is associated with improved survival compared with upfront surgery.

Cholangiocarcinoma of the Middle Bile Duct: A Narrative Review.

Resectable cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) arising from the middle of the extrahepatic biliary tree has historically been classified as perihilar or distal CCA, depending on the operation contemplated or performed, namely the associated hepatectomy or pancreaticoduodenectomy, respectively. Segmental bile duct resection is a less invasive alternative for select patients harboring true middle extrahepatic CCA (MCC). A small, yet growing body of literature has emerged detailing institutional experiences with bile duct resection versus pancreaticoduodenectomy or concomitant hepatectomy for MCC. Herein, we provide a brief overview of the epidemiology, preoperative evaluation, and emerging systemic therapies for MCC, and narratively review the existing work comparing segmental resection with pancreaticoduodenectomy or less commonly, hepatectomy, for MCC, with emphasis on the surgical management and oncologic implications of the approach used.

Perioperative Lymphopenia is Associated with Increased Risk of Recurrence and Worse Survival Following Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Immune dysregulation may be associated with cancer progression. We sought to investigate the prognostic value of perioperative lymphopenia on short- and long-term outcomes among patients undergoing resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients undergoing resection of HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using an international database. The incidence and impact of perioperative lymphopenia [preoperative, postoperative day (POD) 1/3/5], defined as absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) <1000/µL, on short- and long-term outcomes was assessed. RESULTS: Among 1448 patients, median preoperative ALC was 1593/µL [interquartile range (IQR) 1208-2006]. The incidence of preoperative lymphopenia was 14.0%, and 50.2%, 45.1% and 35.6% on POD1, POD3 and POD5, respectively. Preoperative lymphopenia predicted 5-year overall survival (OS) [lymphopenia vs. no lymphopenia: 49.1% vs. 66.1%] and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) [25.0% vs. 41.5%] (both p < 0.05). Lymphopenia on POD1 (5-year OS: 57.1% vs. 71.2%; 5-year DFS: 30.0% vs. 41.1%), POD3 (5-year OS: 57.3% vs. 68.9%; 5-year DFS: 35.4% vs. 42.7%), and POD5 (5-year OS: 53.1% vs. 66.1%; 5-year DFS: 32.8% vs. 42.3%) was associated with worse long-term outcomes (all p < 0.05). Patients with severe lymphopenia (ALC <500/µL) on POD5 had worse 5-year OS and DFS (5-year OS: 44.7% vs. 54.3% vs. 66.1%; 5-year DFS: 27.8% vs. 33.3% vs. 42.3%) [both p < 0.05], as well as higher incidence of overall (45.5% vs. 25.3% vs. 30.9%; p = 0.013) and major complications (18.2% vs. 3.4% vs. 4.5%; p < 0.001) versus individuals with moderate (ALC 500-1000/µL) or no lymphopenia following hepatectomy for HCC. After adjusting for competing risk factors, prolonged lymphopenia was independently associated with higher hazards of death [hazard ratio (HR) 1.38, 95% CI 1.11-1.72] and recurrence (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.02-1.45). CONCLUSION: Perioperative lymphopenia had short- and long-term prognostic implications among individuals undergoing hepatectomy for HCC.

Exploration of Patient Retention in Seeking a Second Opinion: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: It is common for cancer patients to seek a second opinion for a variety of reasons. Understanding what drives patients to choose to receive treatment with their second opinion provider may uncover opportunities to improve the second opinion process. Therefore, we sought to identify the patient, disease, and treatment characteristics that were associated with second opinion retention rates in patients seeking a second surgical opinion for breast, colon, and pancreatic cancer. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study to evaluate patients who sought a second opinion within a large academic health-care system for breast, colon, and pancreatic cancer. Electronic medical records were reviewed for second opinions. Patient demographics and characteristics were collected and compared between the retained group and the nonretained groups. RESULTS: A total of 237 patients obtained second opinions for breast, colorectal, and pancreatic cancer. Patients that were offered a different treatment plan at their second opinion were more likely to be retained for systemic therapy (P = 0.009) for pancreatic cancer and any treatment for colon cancer (P = 0.003). Seeing a radiation oncologist (P = 0.007) or a plastic surgeon (P = 0.02) during the multidisciplinary consultation increased retention rates for breast cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Surgeons can better identify patients that are more likely to be retained after a second opinion by the individual patient characteristics and treatment factors. Understanding the factors that lead to retention for these three cancer types may help physicians provide the best possible resources for most patients presenting for second opinion evaluations.

The deimplementation of laboratory testing in low-risk patients as recommended by the American society of anesthesiologists: An ACS-NSQIP longitudinal analysis.

BACKGROUND: In 2012, the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) published guidelines recommending against routine preoperative laboratory testing for low-risk patients to reduce unnecessary medical expenditures. The aim of this study was to assess the change in routine preoperative laboratory testing in low-risk versus higher-risk patients before and after release of these guidelines. METHODS: The ACS-NSQIP database, 2005-2018, was separated into low-risk versus higher-risk patients based upon a previously published stratification. The guideline implementation date was defined as January 2013. Changes in preoperative laboratory testing over time were compared between low- and higher-risk patients. A difference-in-differences model was applied. The primary outcome included any laboratory test obtained ≤90 days prior to surgery. RESULTS: Of 7,507,991 patients, 972,431 (13.0%) were defined as low-risk and 6,535,560 (87.0%) higher-risk. Use of any preoperative laboratory test declined in low-risk patients from 66.5% before to 59.6% after guidelines, a 6.9 percentage point reduction, versus 93.0%-91.9% in higher-risk patients, a 1.1 percentage point reduction (p < 0.0001, comparing percentage point reductions). After risk-adjustment, the adjusted odds ratio for having any preoperative laboratory test after versus before the guidelines was 0.77 (95% CI 0.76-0.78) in low-risk versus 0.93 (0.92-0.94) in higher-risk patients. In low-risk patients, lack of any preoperative testing was not associated with worse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: While a majority of low-risk patients continue to receive preoperative laboratory testing not recommended by the ASA, there has been a decline after implementation of guidelines. Continued effort should be directed at the deimplementation of routine preoperative laboratory testing for low-risk patients.

Prognostic significance of postoperative complications for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma relative to alpha-feto protein and tumor burden score.

BACKGROUND: We sought to elucidate the impact of postoperative complications on patient outcomes relative to differences in alpha-fetoprotein-tumor burden score (ATS) among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients who underwent resection of HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international database. Moderate/severe complications were defined using the optimal cut-off value of the comprehensive complication index (CCI) based on the log-rank test. RESULTS: A total of 1124 patients was included. CCI cut-off value of 16.6 was identified as the optimal prognostic threshold. Patients who experienced moderate/severe complications were more likely to have worse recurrence free survival [RFS] versus individuals who had no/mild complications (2-year RFS; no/mild complication: 55.9% vs. moderate/severe complication: 38.1% p < 0.001). Of note, low and medium ATS patients who experienced moderate/severe complications had a higher risk of recurrence (2-year RFS; no/mild complication: postoperative complications 70.0% vs. moderate/severe complication: 51.1%, p = 0.006; medium: no/mild complication: 50.8% vs moderate/severe complication: 56.7%, p = 0.01); however, postoperative complications were not associated with worse outcomes among patients with high ATS (no/mild complication: 39.1% vs. moderate/severe complication: 29.2%, p = 0.20). CONCLUSION: These data serve to emphasize how reduction in postoperative complications may be crucial to improve prognosis, particularly among patients with favorable HCC characteristics.

The aMAP score predicts long-term outcomes after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a multi-institutional analysis.

BACKGROUND: The aMAP score is a proposed model to predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among high-risk patients with chronic hepatitis. The role of the aMAP score to predict long-term survival among patients following resection of HCC has not been determined. METHODS: Patients undergoing resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional database. The impact of the aMAP score on long-term outcomes following HCC resection was assessed. RESULTS: Among 1377 patients undergoing resection for HCC, a total of 972 (70.6 %) patients had a low aMAP score (≤63), whereas 405 (29.4 %) individuals had a high aMAP score (≥64). aMAP score was associated with 5-year OS in the entire cohort (low vs high aMAP score:66.5 % vs. 54.3 %, p < 0.001). aMAP score predicted 5-year OS following resection among patients with HBV-HCC (low vs. high aMAP:68.8 % vs. 55.6 %, p = 0.01) and NASH/other-HCC (64.7 % vs. 53.7, p = 0.04). aMAP score could sub-stratify 5-year OS among patients undergoing HCC resection within (low vs. high aMAP:81.5 % vs. 67.4 %, p < 0.001) and beyond (55.9 % vs. 38.8 %, p < 0.001) Milan criteria. DISCUSSION: The aMAP score predicted postoperative outcomes following resection of HCC within and beyond Milan criteria. Apart from a surveillance tool, the aMAP score can also be used as a prognostic tool among patients undergoing resection of HCC.

Impact of an artificial intelligence based model to predict non-transplantable recurrence among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to develop Artificial Intelligence (AI) based models to predict non-transplantable recurrence (NTR) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatic resection (HR). METHODS: HCC patients who underwent HR between 2000-2020 were identified from a multi-institutional database. NTR was defined as recurrence beyond Milan Criteria. Different machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques were used to develop and validate two prediction models for NTR, one using only preoperative factors and a second using both preoperative and postoperative factors. RESULTS: Overall, 1763 HCC patients were included. Among 877 patients with recurrence, 364 (41.5%) patients developed NTR. An ensemble AI model demonstrated the highest area under ROC curves (AUC) of 0.751 (95% CI: 0.719-0.782) and 0.717 (95% CI:0.653-0.782) in the training and testing cohorts, respectively which improved to 0.858 (95% CI: 0.835-0.884) and 0.764 (95% CI: 0.704-0.826), respectively after incorporation of postoperative pathologic factors. Radiologic tumor burden score and pathological microvascular invasion were the most important preoperative and postoperative factors, respectively to predict NTR. Patients predicted to develop NTR had overall 1- and 5-year survival of 75.6% and 28.2%, versus 93.4% and 55.9%, respectively, among patients predicted to not develop NTR (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: The AI preoperative model may help inform decision of HR versus LT for HCC, while the combined AI model can frame individualized postoperative care (https://altaf-pawlik-hcc-ntr-calculator.streamlit.app/).

De-implementation of Axillary Dissection in Women Undergoing Mastectomy for Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Completion axillary lymph node dissection (cALND) was standard treatment for breast cancer with positive sentinel lymph nodes (SLNs) until 2011, when data from the Z11 and AMAROS trials challenged its survival benefit in early stage breast cancer. We assessed the contribution of patient, tumor, and facility factors on cALND use in patients undergoing mastectomy and SLN biopsy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Using the National Cancer Database, patients diagnosed from 2012 to 2017 who underwent upfront mastectomy and SLN biopsy with at least one positive SLN were included. A multivariable mixed effects logistic regression model was used to determine the effect of patient, tumor, and facility variables on cALND use. Reference effect measures (REM) were used to compare the contribution of general contextual effects (GCE) to variation in cALND use. RESULTS: From 2012 to 2017, the overall use of cALND decreased from 81.3% to 68.0%. Overall, younger patients, larger tumors, higher grade tumors, and tumors with lymphovascular invasion were more likely to undergo cALND. Facility variables, including higher surgical volume and facility location in the Midwest, were associated with increased use of cALND. However, REM results showed that the contribution of GCE to the variation in cALND use exceeded that of the measured patient, tumor, facility, and time variables. CONCLUSIONS: There was a decrease in cALND use during the study period. However, cALND was frequently performed in women after mastectomy found to have a positive SLN. There is high variability in cALND use, mainly driven by interfacility practice variation rather than specific high-risk patient and/or tumor characteristics.

Impact of Surgical Margin Width on Prognosis Following Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Varies on the Basis of Preoperative Alpha-Feto Protein and Tumor Burden Score.

BACKGROUND: We sought to examine the prognostic impact of margin width at time of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection relative to the alpha-feto protein tumor burden score (ATS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from a multi-institutional database. The impact of margin width on overall survival and recurrence-free survival was examined relative to ATS using univariable and multivariable analyses. RESULTS: Among 782 patients with HCC who underwent resection, median ATS was 6.5 [interquartile range (IQR) 4.3-10.2]. Most patients underwent R0 resection (n = 613, 78.4%); among patients who had an R0 resection, 325 (41.6%) had a margin width > 5 mm while 288 (36.8%) had a 0-5 mm margin width. Among patients with high ATS, an increasing margin width was associated with incrementally better overall and recurrence-free survival. In contrast, among patients with low ATS, margin width was not associated with long-term outcomes. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, each unit increase in ATS was independently associated with a 7% higher risk of death [hazard ratio (HR) 1.07; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.11, p < 0.001]. While the incidence of early recurrence was not associated with margin width among patients with low ATS, wider margin width was associated with an incrementally lower incidence of early recurrence among patients with high ATS. CONCLUSION: ATS, an easy-to-use composite tumor-related metric, was able to risk stratify patients following resection of HCC relative to overall survival and recurrence-free survival. The therapeutic impact of resection margin width had a variable impact on long-term outcomes relative to ATS.

Informational Needs of Surgical Oncology Patients: A Cross-Sectional Patient Survey.

INTRODUCTION: Patients newly diagnosed with cancer often seek information prior to being seen by a specialist. Little is known about the type of information desired and the sources used. We asked how patients find information about their new cancer diagnoses to improve information provision. METHODS: An anonymous seven-question survey was provided to new patients in the surgical and medical oncology clinics at a comprehensive cancer center from February 2021 to June 2021. RESULTS: Of 503 consecutive patients, 405 (81%) returned surveys; 49% female, 57% aged 51-75 y, and 71% Caucasian. Many (74%) sought information before their visit. Most (57%) relied on prior medical providers and 77% reported them as a trusted source. Nearly 80% of patients used at least one nonvalidated resource; 21% friends and relatives, 20% nongovernment or hospital resources, and 12% social media. Importantly, 23% found conflicting information. Respondents desired information on cancer treatment (58%), alternative therapies (35%), and nutrition and supplements (31%). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cancer trust information from medical providers but seek information from a variety of sources that can provide conflicting information. These data support encouraging patients to use validated sources, providing robust organization-based resources, and engaging patients on topics such as alternative therapies and nutrition.

Unmeasured factors are associated with the use of completion lymph node dissection (CLND) in melanoma.

BACKGROUND: Completion lymph node dissection (CLND) was the standard treatment for patients with melanoma with positive sentinel lymph nodes (SLN) until 2017 when data from the DeCOG-SLT and MLST-2 randomized trials challenged the survival benefit of this procedure. We assessed the contribution of patient, tumor and facility factors on the use of CLND in patients with surgically resected Stage III melanoma. METHODS: Using the National Cancer Database, patients who underwent surgical excision and were found to have a positive SLN from 2012 to 2017 were included. A multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression model with a random intercept for the facility was used to determine the effect of patient, tumor, and facility variables on the risk of CLND. Reference effect measures (REMs) were used to compare the contribution of contextual effects (unknown facility variables) versus measured variables on the variation in CLND use. RESULTS: From 2012 to 2017, the overall use of CLND decreased from 59.9% to 26.5% (p < 0.0001). Overall, older patients and patients with government-based insurance were less likely to undergo CLND. Tumor factors associated with a decreased rate of CLND included primary tumor location on the lower limb, decreasing depth, and mitotic rate <1. However, the contribution of contextual effects to the variation in CLND use exceeded that of the measured facility, tumor, time, and patient variables. CONCLUSIONS: There was a decrease in CLND use during the study period. However, there is still high variability in CLND use, mainly driven by unmeasured contextual effects.

Machine-Based Learning Hierarchical Cluster Analysis: Sex-Based Differences in Prognosis Following Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may have a heterogeneous presentation, as well as different long-term outcomes following surgical resection. We sought to use machine learning to cluster patients into different prognostic groups based on preoperative characteristics. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from a large international multi-institutional database. A hierarchical cluster analysis was performed based on preoperative factors to characterize patterns of presentation and define disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS: Among 966 with HCC, 3 distinct clusters were identified: Cluster 1 (n = 160, 16.5%), Cluster 2 (n = 537, 55.6%) and Cluster 3 (n = 269, 27.8%). Cluster 1 (n = 160, 16.5%) consisted of female patients (n = 160, 100%), low inflammation-based scores, intermediate tumor burden score (TBS) (median: 4.71) and high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels (median 41.3 ng/mL); Cluster 2 consisted of male individuals (n = 537, 100%), mainly with a history of HBV infection (n = 429, 79.9%), low inflammation-based scores, intermediate AFP levels (median 26.0 ng/mL) and lower TBS (median 4.49); Cluster 3 was comprised of older patients (median age 68 years) predominantly male (n = 248, 92.2%) who had low incidence of HBV/HCV infection (7.1% and 8.2%, respectively), intermediate AFP levels (median 16.8 ng/mL), high inflammation-based scores and high TBS (median 6.58). Median DFS worsened incrementally among the three different clusters with Cluster 3 having the lowest DFS (Cluster 1: median not reached; Cluster 2: 34 months, 95% CI 23.0-48.0, Cluster 3: 19 months, 95% CI 15.0-29.0, p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Cluster analysis classified HCC patients into three distinct prognostic groups. Cluster assignment predicted DFS following resection of HCC with the female cluster having the most favorable prognosis following HCC resection.

Cannabis use and post-operative complications in patients undergoing pancreatic resection.

BACKGROUND: Many states have legalized medical cannabis with various reported therapeutic benefits. However, there is little data assessing the effects of cannabis on surgical outcomes. We sought to compare post-operative pancreatic resection complications between cannabis users and non-users. METHODS: This is a single-center, retrospective review of patients who underwent Whipple or distal pancreatectomy from 1/2017-12/2020. The primary outcome was any in-hospital complication, using Clavien-Dindo. Multivariable regression analysis was performed. RESULTS: There were 486 patients who underwent Whipple (n=346, 71.2%) or distal pancreatectomy (n=140, 28.8%). Overall, 21.4% (n=104) reported cannabis use, of whom 80.8% were current users. Cannabis users were younger (60 vs. 66 years, p < 0.001), and more likely to have smoked tobacco (p=0.04), but otherwise had similar demographics as non-users. There were 288 (59.3%) patients who developed an in-hospital complication (grade 1-2, 75.3%; grade 3-5, 24.7%). A trend towards increased complications was observed with tobacco smoking (OR 1.33, 95% CI 0.91-1.94, p=0.14), but no association of cannabis use with complications was observed (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.58-1.47, p=0.74). DISCUSSION: A significant proportion of patients undergoing pancreatic resection report cannabis use. These results suggest that there was no association between cannabis use and post-operative complications, future prospective evaluation is warranted.

Modified integrated tumor burden, liver function, systemic inflammation, and tumor biology score to predict long-term outcomes after resection for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: A preoperative predictive score for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can help stratify patients who undergo resection relative to long-term outcomes and tailor treatment strategies. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. A risk score (mFIBA) was developed using an Eastern cohort and then validated using a Western cohort. RESULTS: Among 957 patients, 443 and 514 patients were included from the Eastern and Western cohorts, respectively. On multivariable analysis, alpha-feto protein (HR1.97, 95%CI 1.42-2.72), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (HR1.74, 95%CI 1.28-2.38), albumin-bilirubin grade (HR1.66, 95%CI 1.21-2.28), and imaging tumor burden score (HR1.25, 95%CI 1.12-1.40) were associated with OS. The c-index in the Eastern test and Western validation cohorts were 0.69 and 0.67, respectively. Notably, mFIBA score outperformed previous HCC staging systems. 5-year OS incrementally decreased with an increase in mFIBA. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, the mFIBA score was associated with worse OS (HR1.18, 95%CI 1.13-1.23) and higher risk of recurrence (HR1.16, 95%CI 1.11-1.20). An easy-to-use calculator of the mFIBA score was made available online (https://yutaka-endo.shinyapps.io/mFIBA_score/). DISCUSSION: The online mFIBA calculator may help surgeons with clinical decision-making to individualize perioperative treatment strategies for patients undergoing resection of HCC.

Prognosis Based Definition of Resectability in Pancreatic Cancer: A Road Map to New Guidelines.

OBJECTIVE: To identify objective preoperative prognostic factors that are able to predict long-term survival of patients affected by PDAC. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: In the modern era of improved systemic chemotherapy for PDAC, tumor biology, and response to chemotherapy are essential in defining prognosis and an improved approach is needed for classifying resectability beyond purely anatomic features. METHODS: We queried the National Cancer Database regarding patients diagnosed with PDAC from 2010 to 2016. Cox proportional hazard models were used to select preoperative baseline factors significantly associated with survival; final models for overall survival (OS) were internally validated and formed the basis of the nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 7849 patients with PDAC were included with a median follow-up of 19 months. On multivariable analysis, factors significantly associated with OS included carbohydrate antigen 19-9, neoadjuvant treatment, tumor size, age, facility type, Charlson/Deyo score, primary site, and sex; T4 stage was not independently associated with OS. The cumulative score was used to classify patients into 3 groups: good, intermediate, and poor prognosis, respectively. The strength of our model was validated by a highly significant randomization test, Log-rank test, and simple hazard ratio; the concordance index was 0.59. CONCLUSION: This new PDAC nomogram, based solely on preoperative variables, could be a useful tool to patients and counseling physicians in selecting therapy. This model suggests a new concept of resectability that is meant to reflect the biology of the tumor, thus partially overcoming existing definitions, that are mainly based on tumor anatomic features.

De-implementation of Axillary Dissection in Women With Breast Cancer is Largely Driven By Site-level Contextual Effects.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the contribution of unknown institutional factors (contextual effects) in the de-implementation of cALND in women with breast cancer. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Women included in the National Cancer Database with invasive breast carcinoma from 2012 to 2016 that underwent upfront lumpectomy and were found to have a positive sentinel node. METHODS: A multivariable mixed effects logistic regression model with a random intercept for site was used to determine the effect of patient, tumor, and institutional variables on the risk of cALND. Reference effect measureswere used to describe and compare the contribution of contextual effects to the variation in cALND use to that of measured variables. RESULTS: By 2016, cALND was still performed in at least 50% of the patients in a quarter of the institutions. Black race, younger women and those with larger or hormone negative tumors were more likely to undergo cALND. However, the width of the 90% reference effect measures range for the contextual effects exceeded that of the measured site, tumor, time, and patient demographics, suggesting institutional contextual effects were the major drivers of cALND de-implementation. For instance, a woman at an institution with low-risk of performing cALND would have 74% reduced odds of havinga cALND than if she was treated at a median-risk institution, while a patient at a high-risk institution had 3.91 times the odds. CONCLUSION: Compared to known patient, tumor, and institutional factors, contextual effects had a higher contribution to the variation in cALND use.

Adjuvant Therapy for Stage III Melanoma Without Immediate Completion Lymph Node Dissection.

INTRODUCTION: For patients with stage III melanoma with occult lymph node metastasis, the use of adjuvant therapy is increasing, and completion lymph node dissection (CLND) is decreasing. We sought to evaluate the use of modern adjuvant therapy and outcomes for patients with stage III melanoma who did not undergo CLND. METHODS: Patients with a positive SLNB from 2015 to 2020 who did not undergo CLND were evaluated retrospectively. Nodal recurrence, recurrence-free survival (RFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and melanoma-specific survival were evaluated. RESULTS: Among 90 patients, 56 (62%) received adjuvant therapy and 34 (38%) underwent observation alone. Patients who received adjuvant therapy were younger (mean age: 53 vs. 65, p < 0.001) and had higher overall stage (Stage IIIb/c 75% vs. 54%, p = 0.041). Disease recurred in 12 of 34 patients (35%) in the observation group and 11 of 56 patients (20%) in the adjuvant therapy group. The most common first site of recurrence was distant recurrence alone (5/34 patients) in the observation group and nodal recurrence alone (8/90 patients) in the adjuvant therapy group. Despite more adverse nodal features in the adjuvant therapy group, 24-month nodal recurrence rate and RFS were not significantly different between the adjuvant and observation cohorts (nodal recurrence rate: 26% vs. 20%, p = 0.68; RFS: 75% vs. 61%, p = 0.39). Among patients with stage IIIb/c disease, adjuvant therapy was associated with a significantly improved 24-month DMFS (86% vs. 59%, p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: In this early report, modern adjuvant therapy in patients who forego CLND is associated with longer DMFS among patients with stage IIIb/c disease.

Comparing neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without radiation therapy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: National Cancer Database cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant treatment is important for improving the rate of R0 surgical resection and overall survival outcome in treating patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, the true efficacy of radiotherapy (RT) for neoadjuvant treatment of PDAC is uncertain. This retrospective study evaluated the treatment outcome of neoadjuvant RT in the treatment of PDAC. METHODS: Collected from the National Cancer Database, information on patients with PDAC who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and pancreatectomy between 2010 to 2016 was used in this study. Short- and long-term outcomes were compared between patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) and NAC. RESULTS: The study included 6936 patients, of whom 3185 received NACRT and 3751 NAC. The groups showed no difference in overall survival (NACRT 16.1 months versus NAC 17.4 months; P = 0.054). NACRT is associated with more frequent margin negative resection (86.1 versus 80.0 per cent; P < 0.001) but a more unfavourable 90-day mortality than NAC (6.4 versus 3.6 per cent; P < 0.001). The odds of 90-day mortality were higher in the radiotherapy group (odds ratio 1.81; P < 0.001), even after adjusting for significant covariates. Patients who received NACRT received single-agent chemotherapy more often than those who received NAC (31.5 versus 10.7 per cent; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: This study failed to show a survival benefit for NACRT over NAC alone, despite its association with negative margin resection. The significantly higher mortality in NACRT warrants further investigation into its efficacy in the treatment of pancreatic cancer.