Associations of area deprivation and urban/rural traits with the incidence of type 1 diabetes: analysis at the municipality level in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany.

AIM: To analyse the associations of area deprivation and urban/rural traits with the incidence of type 1 diabetes in the German federal state of North Rhine-Westphalia. METHODS: Data of incident type 1 diabetes cases in children and adolescents aged <20 years between 2007 and 2014 were extracted from a population-based diabetes register. Population data, indicators of area deprivation and urban/rural traits at the municipality level (396 entities) were obtained from official statistics. Area deprivation was assessed in five groups based on quintiles of an index of multiple deprivation and its seven deprivation domains. Poisson regression accounting for spatial dependence was applied to investigate associations of area deprivation and urban/rural traits with type 1 diabetes incidence. RESULTS: Between 2007 and 2014, 6143 incident cases were reported (99% completeness); the crude incidence was 22.3 cases per 100 000 person-years. The incidence decreased with increasing employment and environmental deprivation (relative risk of the most vs. the least deprived municipalities: 0.905 [95% CI: 0.813, 1.007] and 0.839 [0.752, 0.937], respectively) but was not associated with the composite deprivation index. The incidence was higher in more peripheral, rural, smaller and less densely populated municipalities, and the strongest association was estimated for the location trait (relative risk of peripheral/very peripheral compared with very central location: 1.231 [1.044, 1.452]). CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the type 1 diabetes risk is higher in more remote, more rural, less densely populated and less deprived areas. Urban/rural traits were stronger predictors of type 1 diabetes risk than area deprivation indicators.

Health related quality of life associated with extreme obesity in adolescents - results from the baseline evaluation of the YES-study.

BACKGROUND: Obesity can significantly reduce health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and may lead to numerous health problems even in youths. This study aimed to investigate whether HRQoL varies among youths with obesity depending on grade of obesity and other factors. METHODS: For the Youths with Extreme obesity Study (YES) (2012-2014), a prospective multicenter cohort study, a baseline sample of 431 obese and extremely obese adolescents and young adults (age 14 to 24 years, BMI ≥30 kg/m2) was recruited at four German university medical centers and one job center. Obesity grade groups (OGG) were defined according to BMI (OGG I: 30-34.9 kg/m2, OGG II: 35-39.9 kg/m2, OGG III (extreme obesity): ≥40 kg/m2). HRQoL was measured with the Euroqol-5D-3 L (EQ-5D-3 L), DISABKIDS chronic generic (DCGM-31) and the KINDLR obesity module. Differences between OGGs were assessed with logistic and linear regression models, adjusting for age, sex, and study center in the base model. In a second regression analysis, we included other characteristics to identify possible determinants of HRQoL. RESULTS: Three hundred fifty-two adolescents (mean age: 16.6 (±2.4), mean BMI: 39.1 (±7.5) kg/ m2) with available HRQoL data were analysed. HRQoL of youths in all OGGs was markedly lower than reference values of non-obese adolescents. Adjusting for age and sex, HRQoL of youths in OGG III significantly impaired compared to OGG I. Youths in OGG III were 2.15 times more likely to report problems with mobility in the EQ-5D-3 L than youths in OGG I. A mean difference of 9.7 and 6.6 points between OGG III and I were found for DCGM-31 and KINDL respectively and 5.1 points between OGG II and I for DCGM-31. Including further variables into the regression models, showed that HRQoL measured by DCGM-31 was significantly different between OGGs. Otherwise, female sex and having more than 4 h of daily screen time were also associated with lower HRQoL measured by DCGM-31 and KINDL. CONCLUSION: HRQoL of adolescents with obesity is reduced, but HRQoL of adolescents with extreme obesity is particularly affected. Larger and longitudinal studies are necessary to understand the relation of extreme obesity and HRQoL, and the impact of other lifestyle or socioeconomic factors. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT01625325; German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS) DRKS00004172.

Time spent on self-management by people with diabetes: results from the population-based KORA survey in Germany.

AIMS: Time needed for health-related activities in people with diabetes is assumed to be substantial, yet available data are limited. Time spent on self-management and associated factors was analysed using cross-sectional data from people with diagnosed diabetes enrolled in a population-based study. METHODS: Mean total time spent on self-management activities was estimated using a questionnaire for all participants with diagnosed diabetes in the KORA FF4 study (n = 227, 57% men, mean age 69.7, sd 9.9 years). Multiple two-part regression models were fitted to evaluate associated factors. Multiple imputation was performed to adjust for bias due to missing values. RESULTS: Some 86% of participants reported spending time on self-management activities during the past week. Over the entire sample, a mean of 149 (sd 241) min/week were spent on self-management-activities. People with insulin or oral anti-hyperglycaemic drug treatment, better diabetes education, HbA1c 48 to < 58 mmol/mol (6.5% to < 7.5%) or lower quality of life, spent more time on self-management activities. For example, people without anti-hyperglycaemic medication invested 66 min/week in self-management, whereas those taking insulin and oral anti-hyperglycaemic drugs invested 269 min/week (adjusted ratio 4.34, 95% confidence interval 1.85-10.18). CONCLUSIONS: Time spent on self-management activities by people with diabetes was substantial and varied with an individual's characteristics. Because of the small sample size and missing values, the results should be interpreted in an explorative manner. Nevertheless, time needed for self-management activities should be routinely considered because it may affect diabetes self-care and quality of life.

The association between BMI and health-related quality of life in the US population: sex, age and ethnicity matters.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a major public health problem. Detailed knowledge about the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and health-related quality of life (HRQL) is important for deriving effective and cost-effective prevention and weight management strategies. This study aims to describe the sex-, age- and ethnicity-specific association between BMI and HRQL in the US adult population. METHODS: Analyses are based on pooled cross-sectional data from 41 459 participants of the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) Household Component (HC) for the years 2000-2003. BMI was calculated using self-reported height and weight, and HRQL was assessed with the EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire. Generalized additive models were fitted with a smooth function for BMI and a smooth-factor interaction for BMI with sex adjusted for age, ethnicity, poverty, smoking and physical activity. Models were further stratified by age and ethnicity. RESULTS: The association between BMI and HRQL is inverse U-shaped with a HRQL high point at a BMI of 22 kg m-2 in women and a HRQL high plateau at BMI values of 22-30 kg m-2 in men. Men aged 50 years and older with a BMI of 29 kg m-2 reported on average five-point higher visual analog scale (VAS) scores than peers with a BMI of 20 kg m-2. The inverse U-shaped association is more pronounced in older people, and the BMI-HRQL relationship differs between ethnicities. In Hispanics, the BMI associated with the highest HRQL is higher than in white people and, in black women, the BMI-HRQL association has an almost linear negative slope. CONCLUSIONS: The results show that a more differentiated use of BMI cutoffs in scientific discussions and daily practice is indicated. The findings should be considered in the design of future weight loss and weight management programs.

["As Good as it Gets at Home" - Reasons for Institutionalisation in Dementia]. / "Zuhause geht es nicht mehr" - Gründe für den Wechsel ins Pflegeheim bei Demenz.

AIM: What are the reasons for institutionalising community-dwelling persons with dementia? METHOD: A written survey of family caregivers and general practitioners was undertaken. RESULTS: Within 2 years 47 of 351 people with dementia (13%) were institutionalised. The person with dementia was involved in the decision in only 1/3 of the cases. The 3 most common reasons were: ensuring the best possible care, high expenditure of care-giving time at home, deterioration of the health of the care-receiver. CONCLUSIONS: From the ethical point of view the exclusion of the persons with dementia from the decision-making with regard to institutionalisation has to be examined critically. The often given reason of ensuring the best possible care through institutionalisation could be counteracted by the improvement of community-based care.

[Calculation of standardised unit costs from a societal perspective for health economic evaluation]. / Ermittlung standardisierter Bewertungssätze aus gesellschaftlicher Perspektive für die gesundheitsökonomische Evaluation.

PURPOSE: Due to demographic aging, economic evaluation of health care technologies for the elderly becomes more important. A standardised questionnaire to measure the health-related resource utilisation has been designed. The monetary valuation of the resource use documented by the questionnaire is a central step towards the determination of the corresponding costs. The aim of this paper is to provide unit costs for the resources in the questionnaire from a societal perspective. METHODS: The unit costs are calculated pragmatically based on regularly published sources. Thus, an easy update is possible. RESULTS: This paper presents the calculated unit costs for outpatient medical care, inpatient care, informal and formal nursing care and pharmaceuticals from a societal perspective. CONCLUSION: The calculated unit costs can serve as a reference case in health economic evaluations and hence help to increase their comparability.

[FIMA--questionnaire for health-related resource use in an elderly population: development and pilot study]. / FIMA--Fragebogen zur Erhebung von Gesundheitsleistungen im Alter: Entwicklung und Pilotstudie.

AIM: Due to demographic trends towards an ageing population resource use of health care will increase. By collecting health-related costs via questionnaires, the impact of socio-economic variables and other medical factors can be examined. In addition, only patient reported resource use accounts for out-of-pocket payments. Thus, it is necessary to develop an appropriate tool to collect the health-related resource use in an elderly population. METHODS: The development of the FIMA (questionnaire for the use of medical and non-medical services in old age) was carried out in 6 steps. These included the determination of necessary questionnaire contents based on a literature review and the wording and layout were defined. Finally the questionnaire was tested in a pilot study and was modified. RESULTS: All direct medical and non-medical resource use excluding transportation and time costs were recorded. Productivity losses were not included. The recall time frames differed according to resource categories (7 days, 3 months, 12 months). For the pilot study, 63 questionnaires were analysed. The response rate was 69%. The questionnaire took an average of 21 min to complete. Three quarters of respondents completed the questionnaire without help and 90% rated the difficulty as easy or even very simple. There was good agreement between self-reported health-related quality of life and the resource use of nursing and domestic help (phi coefficient values between 0.52 and 0.58). CONCLUSION: The FIMA is a generic questionnaire which collects the health-related resource use within the older population groups.

A within-trial cost-effectiveness analysis of primary care referral to a commercial provider for weight loss treatment, relative to standard care--an international randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Due to the high prevalence of overweight and obesity there is a need to identify cost-effective approaches for weight loss in primary care and community settings. OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the cost effectiveness of two weight loss programmes of 1-year duration, either standard care (SC) as defined by national guidelines, or a commercial provider (Weight Watchers) (CP). DESIGN: This analysis was based on a randomised controlled trial of 772 adults (87% female; age 47.4±12.9 years; body mass index 31.4±2.6 kg m(-2)) recruited by health professionals in primary care in Australia, United Kingdom and Germany. Both a health sector and societal perspective were adopted to calculate the cost per kilogram of weight loss and the ICER, expressed as the cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY). RESULTS: The cost per kilogram of weight loss was USD122, 90 and 180 for the CP in Australia, the United Kingdom and Germany, respectively. For SC the cost was USD138, 151 and 133, respectively. From a health-sector perspective, the ICER for the CP relative to SC was USD18 266, 12 100 and 40 933 for Australia, the United Kingdom and Germany, respectively. Corresponding societal ICER figures were USD31,663, 24,996 and 51,571. CONCLUSION: The CP was a cost-effective approach from a health funder and societal perspective. Despite participants in the CP group attending two to three times more meetings than the SC group, the CP was still cost effective even including these added patient travel costs. This study indicates that it is cost effective for general practitioners (GPs) to refer overweight and obese patients to a CP, which may be better value than expending public funds on GP visits to manage this problem.

Patient time costs attributable to healthcare use in diabetes: results from the population-based KORA survey in Germany.

AIMS: Patient time costs have been described to be substantial; however, data are highly limited. We estimated patient time costs attributable to outpatient and inpatient care in study participants with diagnosed diabetes, previously undetected diabetes, impaired glucose regulation and normal glucose tolerance. METHODS: Using data of the population-based KORA S4 study (55-74 years, random sample of n = 350), we identified participants' stage of glucose tolerance by oral glucose tolerance test. To estimate mean patient time costs per year (crude and standardized with respect to age and sex), we used data regarding time spent with ambulatory visits including travel and waiting time and with hospital stays (time valued at a 2011 net wage rate of €20.63/h). The observation period was 24 weeks and data were extrapolated to 1 year. RESULTS: Eighty-nine to 97% of participants in the four groups (diagnosed diabetes, undetected diabetes, impaired glucose regulation and normal glucose tolerance.) had at least one physician contact and 4-14% at least one hospital admission during the observation period. Patient time [h/year (95% CI)] was 102.0 (33.7-254.8), 53.8 (15.0-236.7), 59.3 (25.1-146.8) and 28.6 (21.1-43.7), respectively. Age-sex standardized patient time costs per year (95% CI) were €2447.1 (804.5-6143.6), €880.4 (259.1-3606.7), €1151.6 (454.6-2957.6) and €589.2 (435.8-904.8). CONCLUSIONS: Patient time costs were substantial--even higher than medication costs in the same study population. They are higher in participants with diagnosed diabetes, but also in those with undetected diabetes and impaired glucose regulation compared with those with normal glucose tolerance. Research is needed in larger populations to receive more precise and certain estimates that can be used in health economic evaluation.

The impact of regional deprivation and individual socio-economic status on the prevalence of Type 2 diabetes in Germany. A pooled analysis of five population-based studies.

AIM: Our objective was to test the hypothesis that the prevalence of Type 2 diabetes increases with increasing regional deprivation even after controlling for individual socio-economic status. METHODS: We pooled cross-sectional data from five German population-based studies. The data set contained information on n = 11,688 study participants (men 50.1%) aged 45-74 years, of whom 1008 people had prevalent Type 2 diabetes (men 56.2%). Logistic multilevel regression was performed to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for diabetes prevalence. We controlled for sex, age and lifestyle risk factors, individual socio-economic status and regional deprivation, based on a new small-area deprivation measure, the German Index of Multiple Deprivation. RESULTS: Adjusted for sex, age, body mass index (BMI), physical activity, smoking status and alcohol consumption, the prevalence of Type 2 diabetes showed a stepwise increase in risk with increasing area deprivation [OR 1.88 (95% CI 1.16-3.04) in quintile 4 and OR 2.14 (95% CI 1.29-3.55) in quintile 5 compared with the least deprived quintile 1], even after controlling for individual socio-economic status. Focusing on individual socio-economic status alone, the risk of having diabetes was significantly higher for low compared with medium or high educational level [OR 1.46 (95% CI 1.24-1.71)] and for the lowest compared with the highest income group [OR 1.53 (95% CI 1.18-1.99)]. CONCLUSION: Regional deprivation plays a significant part in the explanation of diabetes prevalence in Germany independently of individual socio-economic status. The results of the present study could help to target public health measures in deprived regions.

[Cost analysis of telemedical treatment of stroke]. / Kostenanalyse telemedizinischer Schlaganfallbehandlung.

BACKGROUND: Telemedicine-enabled stroke networks increase the probability of a good clinical outcome. There is a shortage of evidence about the effects of this new approach on costs for inpatient care and nursing care. METHODS: We analysed health insurance and nursing care fund data of a statutory health insurance company (AOK Bayern). Data from stroke patients initially treated in a TeleStroke network (TEMPiS - telemedical project for integrative stroke care) between community hospitals and academic stroke centres were compared to data of matched hospitals without specialised stroke care and telemedical support. Costs for nursing care were obtained over a 30-month period after the initial stroke. To rule out pre-existing differences between network and control hospitals, costs of stroke care were also analysed during a time period before network implementation. FINDINGS: 1 277 patients (767 in intervention, 510 in control hospitals) were analysed in the post-implementation period. An increased proportion of patients treated in intervention hospitals had a favourable outcome concerning the level of required nursing care. Patients in intervention hospitals had higher costs for acute inpatient care (5 309 € vs. 4 901 €, p=0.04), but lower nursing care fund costs (3 946 € vs. 5 132 €; p=0.04). There was no difference in relation to absolute total costs obtained in the post-implementation period. However, nursing care costs per survived year were significantly lower in intervention hospitals (1 953 € vs. 2 635 €; p=0.005). No significant differences were found in the pre-implementation period. CONCLUSIONS: Considering both health insurance and nursing care fund costs, the incremental costs for TeleStroke network care in hospitals are compensated by savings in outpatient care.

Impact of weight and weight change on normalization of prediabetes and on persistence of normal glucose tolerance in an older population: the KORA S4/F4 study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In a population-based cohort study with older subjects and without specific interventions, we investigated the impact of body mass index (BMI) and BMI change (as well as waist circumference and change of waist circumference) on reversion from prediabetes to normal glucose tolerance (NGT) and on long-term persistence of NGT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Oral glucose tolerance tests were conducted at baseline and at follow-up in a cohort study in Southern Germany (KORA S4/F4; 1223 subjects without diabetes aged 55-74 years at baseline in 1999-2001; 887 subjects (73%), of whom 436 had prediabetes at baseline, participated in the follow-up 7 years later). RESULTS: BMI reduction, but not initial BMI, predicted reversion from prediabetes to NGT. The odds ratio (OR) for returning to NGT was 1.43 (95% CI: 1.18-1.73) for a BMI decrease of 1 kg m(-2), after adjustment for age, sex, baseline glucose values and lifestyle factors. Initial BMI had no effect on reversion to NGT (OR=0.98, 95% CI: 0.91-1.06, per kg m(-2)). Persistence of NGT was associated with baseline BMI (OR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.88-0.998) and BMI reduction (OR=1.16, 95% CI: 1.02-1.33, per decrease by 1 kg m(-2)). For waist circumference and change of waist circumference similar results were obtained. CONCLUSION: In older adults, weight loss strongly increased the chances of returning from prediabetes to NGT irrespective of initial BMI. Long-term persistence of NGT depended both on initial BMI and on BMI change.

Health-related quality of life in subjects with and without Type 2 diabetes: pooled analysis of five population-based surveys in Germany.

AIMS: To estimate population values of health-related quality of life (HRQL) in subjects with and without Type 2 diabetes mellitus across several large population-based survey studies in Germany. Systematic differences in relation to age and sex were of particular interest. METHODS: Individual data from four population-based studies from different regions throughout Germany and the nationwide German National Health Interview and Examination Survey (GNHIES98) were included in a pooled analysis of primary data (N = 9579). HRQL was assessed using the generic index instrument SF-36 (36-item Short Form Health Survey) or its shorter version, the SF-12 (12 items). Regression analysis was carried out to examine the association between Type 2 diabetes and the two component scores derived from the SF-36/SF-12, the physical component summary score (PCS-12) and the mental component summary score (MCS-12), as well as interaction effects with age and sex. RESULTS: The PCS-12 differed significantly by -4.1 points in subjects with Type 2 diabetes in comparison with subjects without Type 2 diabetes. Type 2 diabetes was associated with significantly lower MCS-12 in women only. Higher age was associated with lower PCS-12, but with an increase in MCS-12, for subjects with and without Type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Pooled analysis of population-based primary data offers HRQL values for subjects with Type 2 diabetes in Germany, stratified by age and sex. Type 2 diabetes has negative consequences for HRQL, particularly for women. This underlines the burden of disease and the importance of diabetes prevention. Factors that disadvantage women with Type 2 diabetes need to be researched more thoroughly.

Regional differences in the prevalence of known Type 2 diabetes mellitus in 45-74 years old individuals: results from six population-based studies in Germany (DIAB-CORE Consortium).

AIM: In Germany, regional data on the prevalence of Type 2 diabetes mellitus are lacking for health-care planning and detection of risk factors associated with this disease. We analysed regional variations in the prevalence of Type 2 diabetes and treatment with antidiabetic agents. METHODS: Data of subjects aged 45-74 years from five regional population-based studies and one nationwide study conducted between 1997 and 2006 were analysed. Information on self-reported diabetes, treatment, and diagnosis of diabetes were compared. Type 2 diabetes prevalence estimates (95% confidence interval) from regional studies were directly standardized to the German population (31 December 2007). RESULTS: Of the 11,688 participants of the regional studies, 1008 had known Type 2 diabetes, corresponding to a prevalence of 8.6% (8.1-9.1%). For the nationwide study, a prevalence of 8.2% (7.3-9.2%) was estimated. Prevalence was higher in men (9.7%; 8.9-10.4%) than in women (7.6%; 6.9-8.3%). The regional standardized prevalence was highest in the east with 12.0% (10.3-13.7%) and lowest in the south with 5.8% (4.9-6.7%). Among persons with Type 2 diabetes, treatment with oral antidiabetic agents was more frequently reported in the south (56.9%) and less in the northeast (46.0%), whereas treatment with insulin alone was more frequently reported in the northeast (21.6%) than in the south (16.4%). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of known Type 2 diabetes showed a southwest-to-northeast gradient within Germany, which is in accord with regional differences in the distribution of risk factors for Type 2 diabetes. Furthermore, the treatment with antidiabetic agents showed regional differences.

[Discretionary decisions in claims data analyses and their effects - an explorative comparison using the example of a cost of illness study on dementia]. / Methodische Ermessensspielräume bei der Sekundärdatenanalyse von GKV-Daten und ihre Auswirkungen - explorative Darstellung am Beispiel einer Kostenstudie zu Demenz.

Claims data-based studies provide insight into the delivery of health care services within the statutory health insurance (SHI) system. So far discretionary decisions concerning the definition of service utilization are seldom discussed. Using claims data of 9 147 dementia patients insured with AOK Bavaria SHI fund as an example, this paper compares different definitions of service utilisation and the corresponding costs of care. In total, the different approaches do not always result in different figures. Indeed the observed variation depends on the relative frequency of equivocally interpretable services within the study sample. Based on these results it is possible to provide recommendations for future standards for claims data analyses.

[Improvements in type 2 diabetes care? Pooled analysis of survey data in southern Germany (KORA) from 1999-2008]. / Verbesserungen in der Versorgung von Patienten mit Typ-2-Diabetes? Gepoolte Analyse dreier bevölkerungsbasierter Studien (KORA) in der Region Augsburg zwischen 1999 und 2008.

To evaluate the quality of diabetes care, processes and outcomes of health care for type 2 diabetes were compared across three population-based surveys in Germany with cross-sectional and longitudinal perspectives. The surveys were conducted in the Augsburg region, southern Germany, in 1999-2001, 2003-2005, and 2006-2008 and included physical examinations, an interview, self-administered diabetes questionnaires, and laboratory tests. Quality indicators derived from guidelines for type 2 diabetes managed care programs in Germany served as the evaluation framework. Multiple regression models were used for analysis, adjusting for age, sex, education, diabetes duration, and cardiovascular comorbidity. Results show that medical examinations of eyes (61-71%) and feet (38-55%) and the use of antihypertensives, antiplatelet drugs, and lipid-lowering medications were reported more frequently over time. There was no increase in patient self-care behaviors or diabetes education. Blood pressure and cholesterol outcome targets were achieved more frequently over time. In conclusion, medical care and drug therapy of type 2 diabetes have improved; however clinical practice has failed to intensify patient participation and health behavior.

[Multimorbidity and successful aging: the population-based KORA-Age study]. / Multimorbidität und erfolgreiches Altern: Ein Blick auf die Bevölkerung im Rahmen der KORA-Age-Studie.

BACKGROUND: The objective of the KORA-Age research consortium is to assess the determinants and consequences of multimorbidity in the elderly and to look into reasons for successful aging in the general public. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In the KORA-Age cohort study 9,197 persons were included who where born in the year 1943 or before and participants of previous KORA cohort studies conducted between 1984 and 2001 (KORA: Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg). The randomized intervention study KORINNA (Coronary infarct follow-up treatment in the elderly) tested a nurse-based case management program with 338 patients with myocardial infarct and included an evaluation in health economics. RESULTS: A total of 2,734 deaths were registered, 4,565 participants submitted a postal health status questionnaire and 4,127 participants were interviewed by telephone (response 76.2% and 68.9% respectively). A gender and age-stratified random sample of the cohort consisting of 1,079 persons took part in a physical examination (response 53.8%). CONCLUSION: The KORA-Age consortium was able to collect data in a large population-based sample and is contributing to the understanding of multimorbidity and successful aging.

Prediction models for incident type 2 diabetes mellitusin the older population: KORA S4/F4 cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The aim was to derive Type 2 diabetes prediction models for the older population and to check to what degree addition of 2-h glucose measurements (oral glucose tolerance test) and biomarkers improves the predictive power of risk scores which are based on non-biochemical as well as conventional clinical parameters. METHODS: Oral glucose tolerance tests were carried out in a population-based sample of 1353 subjects, aged 55-74 years (62% response) in Augsburg (Southern Germany) from 1999 to 2001. The cohort was reinvestigated in 2006-2008. Of those individuals without diabetes at baseline, 887 (74%) participated in the follow-up. Ninety-three (10.5%) validated diabetes cases occurred during the follow-up. In logistic regression analyses for model 1, variables were selected from personal characteristics and additional variables were selected from routinely measurable blood parameters (model 2) and from 2-h glucose, adiponectin, insulin and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) (model 3). RESULTS: Age, sex, BMI, parental diabetes, smoking and hypertension were selected for model 1. Model 2 additionally included fasting glucose, HbA(1c) and uric acid. The same variables plus 2-h glucose were selected for model 3. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve significantly increased from 0.763 (model 1) to 0.844 (model 2) and 0.886 (model 3) (P<0.01). Biomarkers such as adiponectin and insulin did not improve the predictive abilities of models 2 and 3. Cross-validation and bootstrap-corrected model performance indicated high internal validity. CONCLUSIONS: This longitudinal study in an older population provides models to predict the future risk of Type 2 diabetes. The OGTT, but not biomarkers, improved discrimination of incident diabetes.

Is primary aldosteronism associated with diabetes mellitus? Results of the German Conn's Registry.

Aldosterone excess in the context of primary aldosteronism (PA) has been associated with impaired glucose tolerance and diabetes mellitus. We retrospectively assessed the prevalence of diabetes mellitus in patients from the German Conn's Register and compared the data with those from hypertensive subjects of a population-based survey. In a case-control study, we have compared 638 patients with PA from the German Conn's registry who were treated in 6 German centers with 897 hypertensive control subjects from the population-based F3 survey of the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA). The samples were matched for age, sex, and blood pressure in a 1:1 ratio. Risk factors associated with the presence of diabetes mellitus were calculated in 638 patients with PA and 897 hypertensive controls. In the case control study, the diabetes prevalence was calculated in 338 cases and controls. In patients with primary aldosteronism, age, BMI, and a higher number of antihypertensive drugs (lowest tertile vs. highest tertile) were variables associated with diabetes mellitus. In contrast, serum potassium and plasma aldosterone concentrations were not associated with higher diabetes prevalence, whereas diastolic blood pressure was inversely associated with diabetes mellitus. Diabetes mellitus was more prevalent in patients with PA than in 338 matched controls (23 vs. 10% in controls). Our data for the German population show that diabetes mellitus is more prevalent in patients with primary aldosteronism than in hypertensive controls.