Incidentally Induced Atrial Fibrillation During Programmed Electrical Stimulation in Patients With Depressed Left Ventricular Systolic Function After an Acute Myocardial Infarction.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical implication of incidentally induced atrial fibrillation (AF) during programmed electrical stimulation (PES) in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction (≤40%) after an acute myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS: In this study, we included 231 patients from the Cardiac Arrhythmias and RIsk Stratification after Myocardial InfArction (CARISMA) study with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40% and no prior history of AF. These patients underwent PES 6 weeks post-MI as part of the study protocol. Patients all received an implantable cardiac monitor (ICM) 3-21 days post-MI and were continuously monitored for cardiac arrhythmias for 2 years. Induction of AF was unwanted but reported if this incidentally occurred. RESULTS: A total of 61 patients (26%) developed AF within 2 years of follow-up, in which n = 10 (29%) had incidental AF during PES at baseline. The overall risk of AF was not significantly increased in patients with incidental AF (n = 34) during PES compared to patients without incidental AF (n = 197) (HR 1.6 [0.9-3.0], p = 0.14). The risk of bradyarrhythmia (HR = 0.2 [0.0-1.2], p = 0.07), ventricular arrhythmias (HR = 0.7 [0.1-5.8], p = 0.77), and major cardiovascular events (MACE) (HR 0.5 [0.2-1.7], p = 0.28) was not significantly different in patients with versus without incidental AF. CONCLUSIONS: Incidentally induced AF during PES in post-MI patients with reduced LVEF was not significantly associated with a higher risk of long-term atrial fibrillation, other cardiac arrhythmias, or major cardiac events. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00145119.

Lower hemoglobin levels associate with higher baroreflex sensitivity and heart rate variability.

The aim of this study was to cross-sectionally examine whether hemoglobin (Hb) levels within the normal variation associate with heart rate variability (HRV) measures and baroreflex sensitivity (BRS). The study population included 733 Finnish subjects of the OPERA cohort (aged 41-59 yr, 53% males, 51.7% treated for hypertension) of whom HRV was measured from a standardized 45-min period and whose Hb levels were within the Finnish reference intervals. The low Hb tertile (mean Hb, 135 g/L) had an overall healthier metabolic profile compared with the high Hb tertile (mean Hb, 152 g/L). BRS was higher in the low Hb tertile compared with the high Hb tertile (P < 0.05). R-R interval (RRi) and standard deviation (SD) of the RRi (SDNN)index were the longest in the low Hb tertile regardless of posture. Of the spectral components of HRV, HF power was the highest in the low Hb tertile regardless of posture (P < 0.05). In a stepwise logistic regression model, BRS associated negatively with Hb levels after adjusting for covariates (B = -0.160 [-0.285; -0.035]). Similar associations were observed for SDNNindex when lying down (B = -0.105 [-0.207; -0.003]) and walking (B = -0.154 [-0.224; -0.083]). For HF power negative associations with Hb levels were observed when lying down (B = -0.110 [-0.180; -0.040]), sitting (B = -0.150 [-0.221; -0.079]), and in total analysis (B = -0.124 [-0.196; -0.053]). Overall, lower Hb levels associated independently with healthier cardiac autonomic function.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Heart rate variability (HRV) and baroreflex sensitivity (BRS), which can be measured noninvasively, can predict cardiac and metabolic diseases. Our findings show that within normal variation subjects with lower hemoglobin (Hb) levels have an overall healthier HRV profile and increased cardiac parasympathetic activity in middle age, independent of age, sex, smoking status, and key metabolic covariates. These findings support our previous findings that Hb levels can be used in assessing long-term risks for cardiometabolic diseases.

Association of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization with left ventricular fibrosis.

AIMS: To evaluate the relationship between spatial heterogeneity of electrocardiographic repolarization and spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization with arrhythmic substrate represented by left ventricular fibrosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: We assessed the associations of T- and P-wave morphology parameters analysed from the standard 12-lead electrocardiograms with left ventricular fibrosis in 378 victims of unexpected sudden cardiac death (SCD) who underwent medico-legal autopsy. Based on autopsy findings, the SCD victims were categorized into four different groups according to different stages of severity of left ventricular fibrosis (substantial fibrosis, moderate patchy fibrosis, scattered mild fibrosis, no fibrosis). T-wave and P-wave area dispersion (TWAd: 0.0841 ± 0.496, 0.170 ± 0.492, 0.302 ± 404, 0.296 ± 0.476, P = 0.008; PWAd: 0.574 ± 0.384, 0.561 ± 0.367, 0.654 ± 0.281, 0.717 ± 0.257, P = 0.011, respectively; low values abnormal), non-dipolar components of T-wave and P-wave morphology (T_NonDipolarABS: 0.0496 ± 0.0377, 0.0571 ± 0.0487, 0.0432 ± 0.0476, 0.0380 ± 0.0377, P = 0.027; P_NonDipolarABS: 0.0132 ± 0.0164, 0.0130 ± 0.0135, 0.0092 ± 0.0117, 0.0069 ± 0.00472, P = 0.005, respectively, high values abnormal), T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD: 45.9 ± 28.3, 40.5 ± 25.8, 35.5 ± 24.9, 33.0 ± 24.6, P = 0.030, respectively, high values abnormal), and P-wave heterogeneity (PWH: 20.0 ± 9.44, 19.7 ± 8.87, 17.9 ± 9.78, 15.4 ± 4.60, P = 0.019, respectively, high values abnormal) differed significantly between the groups with different stages of left ventricular fibrosis. After adjustment with heart weight, T_NonDipolarABS [standardized ß (sß) = 0.131, P = 0.014], PWAd (sß = -0.161, P = 0.003), P_NonDipolarABS (sß = 0.174, P = 0.001), and PWH (sß = 0.128, P = 0.015) retained independent association, and TWAd (sß = -0.091, P = 0.074) and TMD (sß = 0.097, P = 0.063) tended to retain their association with the degree of myocardial fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that abnormal values of T- and P-wave morphology are associated with arrhythmic substrate represented by ventricular fibrosis partly explaining the mechanism behind their prognostic significance.

Prognostic value of P-wave morphology in general population.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic significance of novel P-wave morphology descriptors in general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Novel P-wave morphology variables were analyzed from orthogonal X-, Y-, Z-leads of the digitized electrocardiogram using a custom-made software in 6906 middle-aged subjects of the Mini-Finland Health Survey. A total of 3747 (54.3%) participants died during the follow-up period of 24.3 ± 10.4 years; 379 (5.5%) of the study population succumbed to sudden cardiac death (SCD), 928 (13.4%) to non-SCD (NSCD) and 2440 (35.3%) patients to non-cardiac death (NCD). In univariate comparisons, most of the studied P-wave morphology parameters had a significant association with all modes of death (P from <0.05 to <0.001). After relevant adjustments in the Cox multivariate hazards model, P-wave morphology dispersion (PMD) still tended to predict SCD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.006, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.000-1.012, P = 0.05) but not NSCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.995-1.003, P = 0.68) or NCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.997-1.001, P = 0.44). The P-wave maximum amplitude in the lead Z (P-MaxAmp-Z) predicted SCD even after multivariate adjustments (HR: 1.010, 95% CI: 1.005-1.015, P = 0.0002) but also NSCD (HR: 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002-1.009, P = 0.0005) and NCD (HR: 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000-1.005, P = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Abnormalities of P-wave morphology are associated with the risk of all modes of death in general population. After relevant adjustments, PMD was still closely associated with the risk of SCD but not with NSCD or NCD. P-MaxAmp-Z predicted SCD even after adjustments, however, it also retained its association with NSCD and NCD.

Use of Psychotropic Medication in Victims of Sudden Cardiac Death with Nonischemic Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Nonischemic heart disease (NIHD) is the underlying pathology in about 20% of sudden cardiac deaths (SCDs). Psychotropic medication has been reported as a risk factor for SCD among patients with coronary artery disease, but similar information concerning NIHD is scarce. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the use of psychotropic medication in victims of SCD due to NIHD and compared it to the general medication use in Finland. METHOD: Study population was derived from the Finnish Genetic Study of Arrhythmic Events (Fingesture) (n = 5,869, mean age: 65 ± 12, 79% males; 1,404 victims of SCD due to NIHD, mean age: 57 ± 13, 77% males). All deaths occurred in Northern Finland during 1998-2017. All victims underwent a medicolegal autopsy. Data on use of medication were defined using postmortem toxicology results and patient records. Subjects with neither toxicological analysis nor information of medication use available were excluded. Information on general medication use was derived from Finnish Statistics on Medicines 2018 and presented as defined daily dose/1,000 inhabitants/day. RESULTS: Psychotropic medication was used by 579 (41%) subjects with NIHD, whereas in the general population, only 12% were estimated to use psychotropics. The results were similar in subgroups of psychotropic medication: 27% versus 2.3% for benzodiazepines, 19% versus 7.5% for antidepressants, and 18% versus 2.2% for antipsychotics. CONCLUSIONS: Use of psychotropic medication is common in victims of SCD due to NIHD compared to the general population.

Plaque histology and myocardial disease in sudden coronary death: the Fingesture study.

AIMS: At least 50% of deaths due to coronary artery disease (CAD) are sudden cardiac deaths (SCDs), but the role of acute plaque complications on the incidence of sudden death in CAD is somewhat unclear. The present study aimed to investigate plaque histology and concomitant myocardial disease in sudden coronary death. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study population is derived from the Fingesture study, which has collected data from 5869 consecutive autopsy-verified SCD victims in Northern Finland (population ≈600 000) between 1998 and 2017. In this substudy, histological examination of culprit lesions was performed in 600 SCD victims whose death was due to CAD. Determination of the cause of death was based on the combination of medical records, police reports, and autopsy data. Plaque histology was classified as either (i) plaque rupture or erosion, (ii) intraplaque haemorrhage, or (iii) stable plaque. The mean age of the study subjects was 64.9 ± 11.2 years, and 82% were male. Twenty-four per cent had plaque rupture or plaque erosion, 24% had an intraplaque haemorrhage, and 52% had a stable plaque. Myocardial hypertrophy was present in 78% and myocardial fibrosis in 93% of victims. The presence of myocardial hypertrophy or fibrosis was not associated with specific plaque histology. CONCLUSION: Less than half of sudden deaths due to CAD had evidence of acute plaque complication, an observation which is contrary to historical perceptions. The prevalence of concomitant myocardial disease was high and independent of associated plaque morphology.

QRS micro-fragmentation as a mortality predictor.

AIMS: Fragmented QRS complex with visible notching on standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is understood to represent depolarization abnormalities and to signify risk of cardiac events. Depolarization abnormalities with similar prognostic implications likely exist beyond visual recognition but no technology is presently suitable for quantification of such invisible ECG abnormalities. We present such a technology. METHODS AND RESULTS: A signal processing method projects all ECG leads of the QRS complex into optimized three perpendicular dimensions, reconstructs the ECG back from this three-dimensional projection, and quantifies the difference (QRS 'micro'-fragmentation, QRS-µf) between the original and reconstructed signals. QRS 'micro'-fragmentation was assessed in three different populations: cardiac patients with automatic implantable cardioverter-defibrillators, cardiac patients with severe abnormalities, and general public. The predictive value of QRS-µf for mortality was investigated both univariably and in multivariable comparisons with other risk factors including visible QRS 'macro'-fragmentation, QRS-Mf. The analysis was made in a total of 7779 subjects of whom 504 have not survived the first 5 years of follow-up. In all three populations, QRS-µf was strongly predictive of survival (P < 0.001 univariably, and P < 0.001 to P = 0.024 in multivariable regression analyses). A similar strong association with outcome was found when dichotomizing QRS-µf prospectively at 3.5%. When QRS-µf was used in multivariable analyses, QRS-Mf and QRS duration lost their predictive value. CONCLUSION: In three populations with different clinical characteristics, QRS-µf was a powerful mortality risk factor independent of several previously established risk indices. Electrophysiologic abnormalities that contribute to increased QRS-µf values are likely responsible for the predictive power of visible QRS-Mf.

MiR-185-5p regulates the development of myocardial fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac fibrosis stiffens the ventricular wall, predisposes to cardiac arrhythmias and contributes to the development of heart failure. In the present study, our aim was to identify novel miRNAs that regulate the development of cardiac fibrosis and could serve as potential therapeutic targets for myocardial fibrosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Analysis for cardiac samples from sudden cardiac death victims with extensive myocardial fibrosis as the primary cause of death identified dysregulation of miR-185-5p. Analysis of resident cardiac cells from mice subjected to experimental cardiac fibrosis model showed induction of miR-185-5p expression specifically in cardiac fibroblasts. In vitro, augmenting miR-185-5p induced collagen production and profibrotic activation in cardiac fibroblasts, whereas inhibition of miR-185-5p attenuated collagen production. In vivo, targeting miR-185-5p in mice abolished pressure overload induced cardiac interstitial fibrosis. Mechanistically, miR-185-5p targets apelin receptor and inhibits the anti-fibrotic effects of apelin. Finally, analysis of left ventricular tissue from patients with severe cardiomyopathy showed an increase in miR-185-5p expression together with pro-fibrotic TGF-ß1 and collagen I. CONCLUSIONS: Our data show that miR-185-5p targets apelin receptor and promotes myocardial fibrosis.

Q waves are the strongest electrocardiographic variable associated with primary prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator benefit: a prospective multicentre study.

AIM: The association of standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) markers with benefits of the primary prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) has not been determined in the contemporary era. We analysed traditional and novel ECG variables in a large prospective, controlled primary prophylactic ICD population to assess the predictive value of ECG in terms of ICD benefit. METHODS AND RESULTS: Electrocardiograms from 1477 ICD patients and 700 control patients (EU-CERT-ICD; non-randomized, controlled, prospective multicentre study; ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02064192), who met ICD implantation criteria but did not receive the device, were analysed. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. In ICD patients, the co-primary outcome of first appropriate shock was used. Mean follow-up time was 2.4 ± 1.1 years to death and 2.3 ± 1.2 years to the first appropriate shock. Pathological Q waves were associated with decreased mortality in ICD patients [hazard ratio (HR) 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.35-0.84; P < 0.01] and patients with pathological Q waves had significantly more benefit from ICD (HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.21-0.93; P = 0.03). QTc interval increase taken as a continuous variable was associated with both mortality and appropriate shock incidence, but commonly used cut-off values, were not statistically significantly associated with either of the outcomes. CONCLUSION: Pathological Q waves were a strong ECG predictor of ICD benefit in primary prophylactic ICD patients. Excess mortality among Q wave patients seems to be due to arrhythmic death which can be prevented by ICD.

Association of atrial depolarization variability and cardiac autonomic regulation with sudden cardiac death in coronary artery disease.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic significance of the temporal variability of P-wave morphology, specifically in relation to cardiac autonomic regulation. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed the standard deviation of P-wave residuum (PWRSD) from five consecutive beats of the standard 12-lead ECG in 1236 patients with angiographically verified coronary artery disease (CAD). We evaluated the prognostic value of PWRSD, of PWRSD and PWR in relation to the 24 h standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals (PWRSD/SDNN and PWR/SDNN). After 8.7 ± 2.2 years of follow-up on average, 43 patients (3.5%) experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), 34 (2.8%) succumbed to non-sudden cardiac death (NSCD) and 113 (9.1%) to non-cardiac death (NCD). In the Cox regression analysis, PWRSD (≥0.002727) had a significant univariate (uv) [hazard ratio (HR): 4.27, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.26-8.08, P = 0.000008] and multivariate (mv) (HR: 2.58, 95% CI: 1.31-5.08, P = 0.006) association with SCD/SCA but not with NSCD (uv P = 0.76, mv P = 0.33) or NCD (uv P = 0.57, mv P = 0.66). All the studied P-morphology parameters retained a significant association with the risk of SCD/SCA after relevant adjustment (mv P-values from 0.00003 to <0.05) but not with NSCD or NCD. When dichotomized PWRSD, PWR, PWRSD/SDNN, and PWR/SDNN were added to the clinical risk model for SCD/SCD, the C-index increased from 0.799 to 0.834 and integrated discrimination index and net reclassification index improved significantly (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Variability of P-morphology representing temporo-spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization, specifically when combined with cardiac autonomic regulation, independently predicts the risk of SCD in patients with CAD.

Temporal Trends in the Incidence and Characteristics of Sudden Cardiac Death among Subjects under 40 Years of Age in Northern Finland during 1998-2017.

BACKGROUND: Although the mean age of sudden cardiac death (SCD) victims has increased during recent decades, overall incidence has remained relatively stable. Small but very important proportion of SCDs occur in subjects under 40 years of age and temporal trends in the incidence and characteristics of SCD in this age-group are not well known. METHODS: The Fingesture study has prospectively gathered data from 5,869 consecutive autopsy verified SCD victims in Northern Finland during 1998-2017. On the basis of Finnish law, all who die unexpectedly undergo autopsy. RESULTS: Out of total 5,869 SCDs, 160 occurred in subjects under 40 years of age (3%) indicating a total incidence of 2.9/100,000/year. Incidence decreased during the study period: 4.0/100,000/year (n = 50) in 1998-2002, 3.7/100,000/year (n = 45) in 2003-2007, 2.5/100,000/year (n = 36) in 2008-2012, and 1.5/100,000/year (n = 29) in 2013-2017. Coronary artery disease (CAD) was the cause of death in 46 SCD victims (29%). Among nonischemic causes, most common were obesity-related hypertrophic myocardial disease (24%), primary myocardial fibrosis (19%), and hypertensive myocardial disease (6%). The incidence of SCD caused by CAD decreased as follows: 1.5/100,000/year in 1998-2002, 1.2/100,000/year in 2003-2007, 0.6/100,000/year in 2008-2012, and 0.2/100,000/year in 2013-2017. Proportion of male gender (81%) and obesity as a comorbidity (body mass index >30 kg/m2, 40%) remained relatively stable during the period (p = 0.58 and p = 0.79, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of SCD in subjects under 40 years of age has decreased in Northern Finland during 1998-2017. According to autopsy data, most of the deaths are due to nonischemic myocardial diseases and relative proportion of CAD has decreased.

Risk of arrhythmias after myocardial infarction in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction according to mode of revascularization: a Cardiac Arrhythmias and RIsk Stratification after Myocardial infArction (CARISMA) substudy.

AIMS: The Cardiac Arrhythmias and RIsk Stratification after Myocardial infArction (CARISMA) study was an observational trial including 312 patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <40%. Primary percutaneous intervention (pPCI) was introduced 2 years after start of the enrolment, dividing the population into two groups: pre- and post-pPCI. This substudy sought to describe the influence of the mode of revascularization on long-term risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF), bradyarrhythmia, and ventricular tachycardia and the subsequent risk of relevant major cardiovascular events (MACE). METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included the 268 patients without a history of AF. All patients received an implantable cardiac monitor (ICM) and were followed for 2 years. The choice of revascularization was made by the treating team independently of the trial and retrospectively divided into pPCI, subacute PCI, primary thrombolysis, or no revascularization. Endpoints were new-onset arrhythmia and MACE.A total of 77 patients received no revascularization, whereas 49 received thrombolysis only and 142 received any PCI. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for developing any arrhythmia and the subsequently risk of MACE were increased in non-revascularized or thrombolysed patients compared with PCI-patients (any arrhythmia, non-revascularization: HR = 1.7, P = 0.01 and thrombolysis: HR = 1.6, P = 0.05; MACE, non-revascularization: HR = 3.1, P = 0.05 and thrombolysis: HR = 3.1, P = 0.08). All HRs were adjusted for significant baseline and clinically considered covariates and stratified for calendar year. CONCLUSION: This study is the first to demonstrate that the long-term risk of arrhythmia documented by an ICM and the subsequent risk of MACE were increased in non-revascularized or thrombolysed patients compared with PCI-patients in a post-MI population with LVEF <40%.

Temporal variability of T-wave morphology and risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: The possible relationship between temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not completely understood. METHODS: The standard deviation of T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD-SD), of QRST angle (QRSTA-SD), and of T-wave area dispersion (TW-Ad-SD) were analyzed on beat-to-beat basis from 10 min period of the baseline electrocardiographic recording in ARTEMIS study patients with angiographically verified CAD. RESULTS: After on average of 8.6 ± 2.3 years of follow-up, a total of 66 of the 1,678 present study subjects (3.9%) had experienced SCD or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). TMD-SD was most closely associated with the risk for SCD and was significantly higher in patients who had experienced SCD/SCA compared with those who remained alive (3.61 ± 2.83 vs. 2.64 ± 2.52, p = .008, respectively), but did not differ significantly between the patients who had experienced non-SCD (n = 71, 4.2%) and those who remained alive (3.20 ± 2.73 vs. 2.65 ± 2.53, p = .077, respectively) or between the patients who succumbed to non-cardiac death (n = 164, 9.8%) and those who stayed alive (2.64 ± 2.17 vs. 2.68 ± 2.58, p = .853). After adjustments with relevant clinical risk indicators of SCD/SCA, TMD-SD still predicted SCD/SCA (HR 1.107, 95% CIs 1.035-1.185, p = .003). CONCLUSIONS: Temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization represented by TMD-SD independently predicts long-term risk of SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Prognostic significance of flat T-waves in the lateral leads in general population.

BACKGROUND: Negative T-waves are associated with sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk in the general population. Whether flat T-waves also predict SCD is not known. The aim of the study was to examine the clinical characteristics and risk of SCD in general population subjects with flat T-waves. METHODS: We examined the electrocardiograms of 6750 Finnish general population adults aged ≥30 years and classified the subjects into 3 groups: 1) negative T-waves with an amplitude ≥0.1 mV in ≥2 of the leads I, II, aVL, V4-V6, 2) negative or positive low amplitude T-waves with an amplitude <0.1 mV and the ratio of T-wave and R-wave <10% in ≥2 of the leads I, II, aVL, V4-V6, and 3) normal positive T-waves (not meeting the aforesaid criteria). The association between T-wave classification and SCD was assessed during a 10-year follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 215 (3.2%) subjects had negative T-waves, 856 (12.7%) flat T-waves, and 5679 (84.1%) normal T-waves. Flat T-wave subjects were older and had more often cardiovascular morbidities compared to normal T-wave subjects, while negative T-wave subjects were the oldest and had most often cardiovascular morbidities. After adjusting for multiple factors, both flat T-waves (hazard ratio [HR] 1.81; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-2.91) and negative T-waves (HR 3.27; 95% CI 1.85-5.78) associated with SCD. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiovascular risk factors and disease are common among subjects with flat T-waves, but these minor T-wave abnormalities are also independently associated with increased SCD risk.

Simple electrocardiographic measures improve sudden arrhythmic death prediction in coronary disease.

AIMS: To determine whether the combination of standard electrocardiographic (ECG) markers reflecting domains of arrhythmic risk improves sudden and/or arrhythmic death (SAD) risk stratification in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD). METHODS AND RESULTS: The association between ECG markers and SAD was examined in a derivation cohort (PREDETERMINE; N = 5462) with adjustment for clinical risk factors, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and competing risk. Competing outcome models assessed the differential association of ECG markers with SAD and competing mortality. The predictive value of a derived ECG score was then validated (ARTEMIS; N = 1900). In the derivation cohort, the 5-year cumulative incidence of SAD was 1.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.9] and 6.2% (95% CI 4.5-8.3) in those with a low- and high-risk ECG score, respectively (P for Δ < 0.001). A high-risk ECG score was more strongly associated with SAD than non-SAD mortality (adjusted hazard ratios = 2.87 vs. 1.38 respectively; P for Δ = 0.003) and the proportion of deaths due to SAD was greater in the high vs. low risk groups (24.9% vs. 16.5%, P for Δ = 0.03). Similar findings were observed in the validation cohort. The addition of ECG markers to a clinical risk factor model inclusive of LVEF improved indices of discrimination and reclassification in both derivation and validation cohorts, including correct reclassification of 28% of patients in the validation cohort [net reclassification improvement 28 (7-49%), P = 0.009]. CONCLUSION: For patients with CHD, an externally validated ECG score enriched for both absolute and proportional SAD risk and significantly improved risk stratification compared to standard clinical risk factors including LVEF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01114269. ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT01114269.

Clinical effectiveness of primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillators: results of the EU-CERT-ICD controlled multicentre cohort study.

AIMS: The EUropean Comparative Effectiveness Research to Assess the Use of Primary ProphylacTic Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators (EU-CERT-ICD), a prospective investigator-initiated, controlled cohort study, was conducted in 44 centres and 15 European countries. It aimed to assess current clinical effectiveness of primary prevention ICD therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: We recruited 2327 patients with ischaemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) or dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) and guideline indications for prophylactic ICD implantation. Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Clinical characteristics, medications, resting, and 12-lead Holter electrocardiograms (ECGs) were documented at enrolment baseline. Baseline and follow-up (FU) data from 2247 patients were analysable, 1516 patients before first ICD implantation (ICD group) and 731 patients without ICD serving as controls. Multivariable models and propensity scoring for adjustment were used to compare the two groups for mortality. During mean FU of 2.4 ± 1.1 years, 342 deaths occurred (6.3%/years annualized mortality, 5.6%/years in the ICD group vs. 9.2%/years in controls), favouring ICD treatment [unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.682, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.537-0.865, P = 0.0016]. Multivariable mortality predictors included age, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), New York Heart Association class

Sudden Cardiac Death in Women.

BACKGROUND: Despite recent progress in profiling of risk for sudden cardiac death (SCD) and prevention and intervention of cardiac diseases, SCD remains a major cause of death. Among women, the incidence of SCD is significant, but lower than in men, particularly in the premenopausal and early postmenopausal years. Possibly, as a consequence of the difference in population burden, the mechanisms and risk markers of SCD are not as well defined for women. The aim of this study was to determine the autopsy findings and causes of death among women in a large SCD population. Additionally, we sought to classify prior ECG characteristics in male and female subjects with SCD. METHODS: The Fingesture study has systematically collected clinical and autopsy data from subjects with SCD in Northern Finland between 1998 and 2017. The cohort consists of 5869 subjects with SCD. Previously recorded ECGs were available and analyzed in 1101 subjects (18.8% of total population; and in 25.3% of women). RESULTS: Female subjects with SCD were significantly older than men: 70.1±13.1 years versus 63.5±11.8 years (mean ± standard deviation, P<0.001). The most frequently identified cause of death was ischemic heart disease in both sexes: 71.7% among women versus 75.7% among men, P=0.005. In contrast, women were more likely to have nonischemic cause of SCD than men (28.3% versus 24.3%, P=0.005). The prevalence of primary myocardial fibrosis was higher among women (5.2%, n=64) than in men (2.6%, n=120; P<0.001). Female subjects with SCD were more likely to have normal prior ECG tracings (22.2% versus 15.3% in men, P<0.001). A normal ECG was even more common among nonischemic female subjects with SCD (27.8% versus 16.2% in men, P=0.009). However, ECG markers of left ventricular hypertrophy, with or without repolarization abnormalities, were more common among women (8.2%; 17.9%) than in men (4.9%; 10.6%, P=0.036; P<0.001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Women were considerably older at the time of SCD and more commonly had nonischemic causes. Women were also more likely to have a prior normal ECG than men, but an increased marker for SCD risk based on ECG criteria for left ventricular hypertrophy with repolarization abnormalities was more commonly observed in women.

Prediction of mortality benefit based on periodic repolarisation dynamics in patients undergoing prophylactic implantation of a defibrillator: a prospective, controlled, multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: A small proportion of patients undergoing primary prophylactic implantation of implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) experiences malignant arrhythmias. We postulated that periodic repolarisation dynamics, a novel marker of sympathetic-activity-associated repolarisation instability, could be used to identify electrically vulnerable patients who would benefit from prophylactic implantation of ICDs by way of a reduction in mortality. METHODS: We did a prespecified substudy of EUropean Comparative Effectiveness Research to Assess the Use of Primary ProphylacTic Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators (EU-CERT-ICD), a prospective, investigator-initiated, non-randomised, controlled cohort study done at 44 centres in 15 EU countries. Patients aged 18 years or older with ischaemic or non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (≤35%) were eligible for inclusion if they met guideline-based criteria for primary prophylactic implantation of ICDs. Periodic repolarisation dynamics from 24-h Holter recordings were assessed blindly in patients the day before ICD implantation or on the day of study enrolment in patients who were conservatively managed. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Propensity scoring and multivariable models were used to assess the interaction between periodic repolarisation dynamics and the treatment effect of ICDs on mortality. FINDINGS: Between May 12, 2014, and Sept 7, 2018, 1371 patients were enrolled in our study. 968 of these patients underwent ICD implantation, and 403 were treated conservatively. During follow-up (median 2·7 years [IQR 2·0-3·3] in the ICD group and 1·2 years [0·8-2·7] in the control group), 138 (14%) patients died in the ICD group and 64 (16%) patients died in the control group. We noted a 43% reduction in mortality in the ICD group compared with the control group (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0·57 [95% CI 0·41-0·79]; p=0·0008). Periodic repolarisation dynamics significantly predicted the treatment effect of ICDs on mortality (adjusted p=0·0307). The mortality benefits associated with ICD implantation were greater in patients with periodic repolarisation dynamics of 7·5 deg or higher (n=199; adjusted HR 0·25 [95% CI 0·13-0·47] for the ICD group vs the control group; p<0·0001) than in those with periodic repolarisation dynamics less than 7·5 deg (n=1166; adjusted HR 0·69 [95% CI 0·47-1·00]; p=0·0492; pinteraction=0·0056). The number needed to treat was 18·3 (95% CI 10·6-4895·3) in patients with periodic repolarisation dynamics less than 7·5 deg and 3·1 (2·6-4·8) in those with periodic repolarisation dynamics of 7·5 deg or higher. INTERPRETATION: Periodic repolarisation dynamics predict mortality reductions associated with prophylactic implantation of ICDs in contemporarily treated patients with ischaemic or non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy. Periodic repolarisation dynamics could help to guide treatment decisions about prophylactic ICD implantation. FUNDING: The European Community's 7th Framework Programme.

Early Growth Patterns and Cardiac Structure and Function at Midlife: Northern Finland 1966 Birth Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the influence of early growth patterns that have previously been associated with later cardiometabolic risk on cardiac left ventricular (LV) structure and function in midlife. STUDY DESIGN: A subpopulation of the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 took part in follow-up, including echocardiography (n = 1155) at the age of 46 years. Body mass index (BMI) growth curves were modeled based on frequent anthropometric measurements in childhood. Age and BMI at adiposity peak (n = 482, mean age 9.0 months) and at adiposity rebound (n = 586, mean age 5.8 years) were determined. Results are reported as unstandardized beta (ß) or OR with 95% CIs for 1 SD increase in early growth variable. RESULTS: Earlier adiposity rebound was associated with increased LV mass index (ß = -4.10 g/m2 (-6.9, -1.3); P = .004) and LV end-diastolic volume index (ß = -2.36 mL/m2 (-3.9, -0.84); P = .002) as well as with eccentric LV hypertrophy (OR 0.54 [0.38, 0.77]; P = .001) in adulthood in males. BMI at adiposity rebound was directly associated with LV mass index (ß = 2.33 g/m2 [0.80, 3.9]; P = .003). Higher BMI at both adiposity peak and at adiposity rebound were associated with greater LV end-diastolic volume index (ß = 1.47 mL/m2; [0.51, 2.4], ß = 1.28 mL/m2 [0.41, 2.2], respectively) and also with eccentric LV hypertrophy (OR 1.41 [1.10, 1.82], OR 1.53 [1.23, 1.91], respectively) and LV concentric remodeling (OR 1.38 [1.02, 1.87], OR 1.40 [1.06, 1.83], respectively) in adulthood (P < .05 for all). These relationships were only partly mediated by adult BMI. CONCLUSIONS: Early growth patterns in infancy and childhood contribute to cardiac structure at midlife.

Mitochondrial DNA variation in sudden cardiac death: a population-based study.

Cardiomyopathy and cardiac conduction defects are common manifestations of mitochondrial disease. Previous studies suggest that clinically asymptomatic individuals harbouring pathogenic mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) mutations in the cardiac muscle may have sudden cardiac death (SCD) as the first manifestation of mitochondrial disease. We investigated the contribution of pathogenic mtDNA point mutations and mtDNA haplogroups in cardiac muscle in a cohort of 280 Finnish subjects that had died from non-ischaemic SCD with the median age of death at 59 years and in 537 population controls. We did not find any common or novel pathogenic mutations, but the frequency of haplogroup H1 was higher in the SCD subjects than that in 537 population controls (odds ratio: 1.76, confidence interval 95%: 1.02-3.04). We conclude that, at the population level, pathogenic point mutations in mtDNA do not contribute to non-ischaemic SCD, but natural variation may modify the risk.