Breast cancer mortality in 500 000 women with early invasive breast cancer diagnosed in England, 1993-2015: population based observational cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe long term breast cancer mortality among women with a diagnosis of breast cancer in the past and estimate absolute breast cancer mortality risks for groups of patients with a recent diagnosis. DESIGN: Population based observational cohort study. SETTING: Routinely collected data from the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service. PARTICIPANTS: All 512 447 women registered with early invasive breast cancer (involving only breast and possibly axillary nodes) in England during January 1993 to December 2015, with follow-up to December 2020. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Annual breast cancer mortality rates and cumulative risks by time since diagnosis, calendar period of diagnosis, and nine characteristics of patients and tumours. RESULTS: For women with a diagnosis made within each of the calendar periods 1993-99, 2000-04, 2005-09, and 2010-15, the crude annual breast cancer mortality rate was highest during the five years after diagnosis and then declined. For any given time since diagnosis, crude annual breast cancer mortality rates and risks decreased with increasing calendar period. Crude five year breast cancer mortality risk was 14.4% (95% confidence interval 14.2% to 14.6%) for women with a diagnosis made during 1993-99 and 4.9% (4.8% to 5.0%) for women with a diagnosis made during 2010-15. Adjusted annual breast cancer mortality rates also decreased with increasing calendar period in nearly every patient group, by a factor of about three in oestrogen receptor positive disease and about two in oestrogen receptor negative disease. Considering just the women with a diagnosis made during 2010-15, cumulative five year breast cancer mortality risk varied substantially between women with different characteristics: it was <3% for 62.8% (96 085/153 006) of women but ≥20% for 4.6% (6962/153 006) of women. CONCLUSIONS: These five year breast cancer mortality risks for patients with a recent diagnosis may be used to estimate breast cancer mortality risks for patients today. The prognosis for women with early invasive breast cancer has improved substantially since the 1990s. Most can expect to become long term cancer survivors, although for a few the risk remains appreciable.

Central Endocrine Complications Among Childhood Cancer Survivors Treated With Radiation Therapy: A PENTEC Comprehensive Review.

PURPOSE: Children who receive cranial radiation therapy (RT) as a component of treatment for malignancy are often at risk of long-term central endocrine toxicity secondary to radiation to the hypothalamic-pituitary axis (HPA). A comprehensive analysis was performed of central endocrine late effects in survivors of childhood cancer treated with RT as part of the Pediatric Normal Tissue Effects in the Clinic (PENTEC) consortium. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A systematic review of the risk of RT-related central endocrine effects was performed in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). A total of 4629 publications were identified, of which 16 met criteria for inclusion in dose modeling analysis, with a total of 570 patients in 19 cohorts. Eighteen cohorts reported outcomes for growth hormone deficiency (GHD), 7 reported outcomes for central hypothyroidism (HT), and 6 reported outcomes for adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) deficiency. RESULTS: Normal tissue complication probability modeling for GHD (18 cohorts, 545 patients) yielded D50 = 24.9 Gy (95% CI, 20.9-28.0) and γ50 = 0.5 (95% CI, 0.27-0.78). The normal tissue complication probability model fit for whole brain irradiation in children with a median age of >5 years indicated a 20% risk of GHD for patients who receive a mean dose of 21 Gy in 2-Gy fractions to the HPA. For HT, among 7 cohorts (250 patients), D50 = 39 Gy (95% CI, 34.1-53.2) and γ50 = 0.81 (95% CI, 0.46-1.35), with a 20% risk of HT in children who receive a mean dose of 22 Gy in 2-Gy fractions to the HPA. For ACTH deficiency (6 cohorts, 230 patients), D50 = 61 Gy (95% CI, 44.7-119.4) and γ50 = 0.76 (95% CI, 0.5-1.19); there is a 20% risk of ACTH deficiency in children who receive a mean dose of 34 Gy in 2-Gy fractions to the HPA. CONCLUSIONS: RT dose to the HPA increases the risk of central endocrine toxicity, including GHD, HT, and ACTH deficiency. In some clinical situations, these toxicities may be difficult to avoid, and counseling of patients and families with respect to anticipated outcomes is important.

Adjuvant and neoadjuvant breast cancer treatments: A systematic review of their effects on mortality.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant and neoadjuvant breast cancer treatments can reduce breast cancer mortality but may increase mortality from other causes. Information regarding treatment benefits and risks is scattered widely through the literature. To inform clinical practice we collated and reviewed the highest quality evidence. METHODS: Guidelines were searched to identify adjuvant or neoadjuvant treatment options recommended in early invasive breast cancer. For each option, systematic literature searches identified the highest-ranking evidence. For radiotherapy risks, searches for dose-response relationships and modern organ doses were also undertaken. RESULTS: Treatment options recommended in the USA and elsewhere included chemotherapy (anthracycline, taxane, platinum, capecitabine), anti-human epidermal growth factor 2 therapy (trastuzumab, pertuzumab, trastuzumab emtansine, neratinib), endocrine therapy (tamoxifen, aromatase inhibitor, ovarian ablation/suppression) and bisphosphonates. Radiotherapy options were after breast conserving surgery (whole breast, partial breast, tumour bed boost, regional nodes) and after mastectomy (chest wall, regional nodes). Treatment options were supported by randomised evidence, including > 10,000 women for eight treatment comparisons, 1,000-10,000 for fifteen and < 1,000 for one. Most treatment comparisons reduced breast cancer mortality or recurrence by 10-25%, with no increase in non-breast-cancer death. Anthracycline chemotherapy and radiotherapy increased overall non-breast-cancer mortality. Anthracycline risk was from heart disease and leukaemia. Radiation-risks were mainly from heart disease, lung cancer and oesophageal cancer, and increased with increasing heart, lung and oesophagus radiation doses respectively. Taxanes increased leukaemia risk. CONCLUSIONS: These benefits and risks inform treatment decisions for individuals and recommendations for groups of women.