Multimodality Risk Assessment of Patients with Ischemic Heart Disease Using Deep Learning Models Applied to Electrocardiograms and Chest X-rays.

Comprehensive management approaches for patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD) are important aids for prognostication and treatment planning. While single-modality deep neural networks (DNNs) have shown promising performance for detecting cardiac abnormalities, the potential benefits of using DNNs for multimodality risk assessment in patients with IHD have not been reported. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effectiveness of multimodality risk assessment in patients with IHD using a DNN that utilizes 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) and chest X-rays (CXRs), with the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) being of particular concern.DNN models were applied to detection of left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) on ECGs and identification of cardiomegaly findings on CXRs. A total of 2107 patients who underwent elective percutaneous coronary intervention were categorized into 4 groups according to the models' outputs: Dual-modality high-risk (n = 105), ECG high-risk (n = 181), CXR high-risk (n = 392), and No-risk (n = 1,429).A total of 342 MACEs were observed. The incidence of a MACE was the highest in the Dual-modality high-risk group (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox hazards analysis for predicting MACE revealed that the Dual-modality high-risk group had a significantly higher risk of MACE than the No-risk group (hazard ratio (HR): 2.370, P < 0.001), the ECG high-risk group (HR: 1.906, P = 0.010), and the CXR high-risk group (HR: 1.624, P = 0.018), after controlling for confounding factors.The results suggest the usefulness of multimodality risk assessment using DNN models applied to 12-lead ECG and CXR data from patients with IHD.

The potential of the transformer-based survival analysis model, SurvTrace, for predicting recurrent cardiovascular events and stratifying high-risk patients with ischemic heart disease.

INTRODUCTION: Ischemic heart disease is a leading cause of death worldwide, and its importance is increasing with the aging population. The aim of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of SurvTrace, a survival analysis model using the Transformer-a state-of-the-art deep learning method-for predicting recurrent cardiovascular events and stratifying high-risk patients. The model's performance was compared to that of a conventional scoring system utilizing real-world data from cardiovascular patients. METHODS: This study consecutively enrolled patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at the Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Tokyo Hospital, between 2005 and 2019. Each patient's initial PCI at our hospital was designated as the index procedure, and a composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) was monitored for up to two years post-index event. Data regarding patient background, clinical presentation, medical history, medications, and perioperative complications were collected to predict MACE. The performance of two models-a conventional scoring system proposed by Wilson et al. and the Transformer-based model SurvTrace-was evaluated using Harrell's c-index, Kaplan-Meier curves, and log-rank tests. RESULTS: A total of 3938 cases were included in the study, with 394 used as the test dataset and the remaining 3544 used for model training. SurvTrace exhibited a mean c-index of 0.72 (95% confidence intervals (CI): 0.69-0.76), which indicated higher prognostic accuracy compared with the conventional scoring system's 0.64 (95% CI: 0.64-0.64). Moreover, SurvTrace demonstrated superior risk stratification ability, effectively distinguishing between the high-risk group and other risk categories in terms of event occurrence. In contrast, the conventional system only showed a significant difference between the low-risk and high-risk groups. CONCLUSION: This study based on real-world cardiovascular patient data underscores the potential of the Transformer-based survival analysis model, SurvTrace, for predicting recurrent cardiovascular events and stratifying high-risk patients.