Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Disease Burden attributable to High Body Mass Index in Belt and Road Initiative Countries, 1990-2019.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of disease burden attributed to high body mass index (DB-hBMI) from 1990 to 2019 in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries, in light of increasing hBMI prevalence worldwide. DESIGN: The study was a secondary analysis of global burden of disease 2019 (GBD 2019) that analyzed (using Joinpoint regression analysis) numbers and the age-standardized rate of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of hBMI-induced diseases and their trends from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade. SETTING: GBD 2019 study data for BRI countries were categorized by country, age, gender, and disease. PARTICIPANTS: GBD 2019 data were used to analyze DB-hBMI in BRI countries. RESULTS: In 2019, China, India, and Russia reported the highest mortality and DALYs among BRI countries. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALYs increased in Southeast Asia and South Asia, whereas many European countries saw declines. Notably, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Vietnam showed the steepest increases, with AAPC values of 4.42%, 4.19%, and 4.28%, respectively (all P<0.05). In contrast, Israel, Slovenia, and Poland experienced significant reductions, with APCC values of -1.70%, -1.63%, and -1.58%, respectively (all P<0.05). The most rapid increases among males were seen in Vietnam, Nepal, and Bangladesh, while Jordan, Poland, and Slovenia recorded the fastest declines among females. Across most BRI countries, the burden of diabetes and kidney diseases related to hBMI showed a significant uptrend. CONCLUSION: DB-hBMI varies significantly by region, age, gender, and disease type across BRI countries. It can pose a substantial threat to public health.

Epidemiological variations and trends in glaucoma burden in the Belt and Road countries.

BACKGROUND: Analyzing the glaucoma burden in "Belt and Road" (B&R) countries based on age, gender, and risk factors from 1990 to 2019 in order to provide evidence for future prevention strategies. METHODS: We applied global burden of disease(GBD) 2019 to compare glaucoma prevalence and Years lived with disabilities (YLDs) from 1990 to 2019 in the B&R countries. Trends of disease burden between 1990 and 2019 were evaluated using the average annual percent change and the 95% uncertainty interval (UI) were reported. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, most B&R countries showed a downward trend in age-standardized prevalence and YLDs (all P < 0.05). Additionally, only the age-standardized YLDs in males of Pakistan has a 0.35% increase (95%CI:0.19,0.50,P < 0.001), and most B&R countries has a decline(all P < 0.05) in age-standardized YLDs in every 5 years age group after 45 years old except for Pakistan(45-79 years and > 85 years), Malaysia(75-84 years), Brunei Darussalam(45-49 years), Afghanistan(70-79 years). Finally, in all Central Asian countries, the age-standardized YLDs due to glaucoma caused by fasting hyperglycemia demonstrated have an increase between 1990 and 2019 (all P < 0.05), but Armenia and Mongolia have a decrease between 2010 and 2019 (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of glaucoma continues to pose a significant burden across regions, ages, and genders in countries along the "B&R". It is imperative for the "B&R" nations to enhance health cooperation in order to collaboratively tackle the challenges associated with glaucoma.

Association of ESR1 gene polymorphisms with the susceptibility to Hepatitis B virus infection and the clinical outcomes.

Estrogen receptor alpha (ESR1) has been implicated in the pathological process of Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and is probably an important determinant for gender differences. In this study, a total of 975 subjects including 368 healthy controls, 323 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with HBsAg positive, and 284 HBV-infected subjects without HCC were included. Three single nucleotide polymorphisms of ESR1 (rs2234693, rs2077647, rs2228480) were detected to investigate the correlation between ESR1 polymorphisms and the susceptibility to HBV persistence and the clinical outcomes. The association of ESR1 polymorphisms with HCC prognosis was investigated in our cohort enrolling 376 HBV-HCC patients. The frequency of rs2234693 C allele was lower in chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) and liver cirrhosis (LC) than that in HCC patients in the males (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.41-0.96). rs2228480 A allele was associated with increased risk of LC (AOR = 2.20, 95% CI = 1.06-4.56) in HBV genotype C, and significantly decreased the risk of HCC recurrence (p = 0.010) and ESR1 mRNA level in tumor tissues (p = 0.032). Haplotype C-G-G was associated with significantly increased risk of HBV persistence (OR = 1.37, 95% CI = 1.08-1.73), while it was opposite for C-A-G and T-G-G (OR = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.27-0.62; OR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.32-0.85, respectively). These results imply that combinations of these ESR1 polymorphisms may be valuable for the prediction of HBV persistence.

Strong anisotropy of Sc2X2Se2 (X = Cl, Br, I) monolayers contributes to high thermoelectric performance.

As a novel type of anisotropic two-dimensional material, extensive attention has been paid to the thermoelectric (TE) properties of FeOCl-type monolayers, such as Al2X2Se2 (X = Cl, Br, I), Sc2I2S2, and Ir2Cl2O2. Recently, theoretical works based on first-principles calculations have been powerful driving forces in field of TE research. In this work, we perform an investigation into the TE properties of Sc2X2Se2 (X = Cl, Br, I) monolayers based on density functional theory (DFT). A study on the stability, including AIMD simulation and phonon calculation, shows the stable structure of Sc2Cl2Se2, Sc2Br2Se2, and Sc2I2Se2 monolayers. Additionally, the electronic and thermal transport properties of Sc2X2Se2 monolayers are anisotropic along the x and y directions. Moreover, the combination of excellent Seebeck coefficient and ultralow lattice thermal conductivity contributes to outstanding ZT values, and the ZT values follow the order: Sc2I2Se2 > Sc2Br2Se2 > Sc2Cl2Se2. At 300 K, we obtained maximum ZT of 0.34, 0.77, and 1.97 for Sc2Cl2Se2, Sc2Br2Se2, and Sc2I2Se2, respectively, by n-type doping in the x direction. These results demonstrate that monolayer Sc2X2Se2 (X = Cl, Br, I) materials are promising thermoelectric materials, Sc2I2Se2 has more desirable properties along the x direction, and n-type doping can significantly enhance the ZT values. Our work lays a foundation for exploring the TE transport properties of FeOCl-type monolayers.

Influence of the area of the aqueduct and region of interest on quantification of stroke volume in healthy volunteers using phase-contrast cine magnetic resonance imaging.

BACKGROUND: Phase-contrast cine magnetic resonance imaging (PC-MRI) has been used to measure cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) flow dynamics, but the influence of the area of the aqueduct and region of interest (ROI) on quantification of stroke volume (SV) has not been assessed. PURPOSE: To assess the influence of the area of the ROI in quantifying the aqueductal SV measured with PC-MRI within the cerebral aqueduct. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Nine healthy volunteers (mean age = 29.6 years) were enrolled in the study, and brain MRI examinations were performed on a 3.0-T system. Quantitative analysis of the aqueductal CSF flow was performed using manual ROI placement. ROIs were separately drawn for each of the 12 phases of the cardiac cycle, and changes in aqueduct size during the cardiac cycle were determined. The SV was calculated using 12 different aqueductal ROIs and compared with the SV calculated using a fixed ROI size. RESULTS: There was variation in the size of the aqueduct during the cardiac cycle. In addition, the measured SV increased with a greater area of the ROI. A significant difference in the calculated SVs with the 12 variable ROIs was observed compared with that using a fixed ROI throughout the cardiac cycle. CONCLUSION: To establish reliable reference values for the SV in future studies, a variable ROI should be considered.

CHD-related/specific mortality of 3.17 million people in a transitioning region: trends, risk factors, and prevention.

BACKGROUND: Demographic shifts cause uncertain changes in the burden of coronary heart disease (CHD) in transitioning regions. We aimed to analyze the trends of CHD burden and its risk factors in Pudong, Shanghai, and explore prevention strategies for transitioning regions. METHODS: We analyzed CHD-related and CHD-specific deaths in Pudong from 2005 to 2020, including the crude mortality rate (CMR), age-standardized mortality rate worldwide (ASMRW), years of life lost (YLL), and age-specific proportions. We also examined the impact of population aging on the burden of CHD. The Joinpoint Regression Program was used to analyze trends, and the decomposition method was used to evaluate the impact of demographics on the mortality rate. RESULTS: Of the 86,171 CHD-related deaths, 52,152 (60.52%) were CHD-specific deaths. For both CHD-related and CHD-specific deaths, there was a significant increase in the CMR, ASMRW, and YLL rate, except in the 70-79-year age group, which exhibited a distinctive and statistically significant decline in these rates (all P < 0.05). There were steadily increasing trends in the rates caused by aging from 2005 to 2020, with average annual percent changes (AAPCs) of 42.59% and 41.43%, respectively (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that the CHD burden in Pudong has been persistently increasing, but in the age group of 70-79 years, substantial declines were observed. The quality of primary healthcare services may be a critical point in addressing the overwhelming CHD burden.

Predictive models for overall survival in breast cancer patients with a second primary malignancy: a real-world study in Shanghai, China.

BACKGROUND: The incidents of second primary malignancy (SPM) is increasing among breast cancer (BC) patients with long-term progression, adversely affecting survival. The purpose of this study was to screen independent overall survival (OS) risk factors and establish nomograms to predict the survival probabilities of BC patients with SPM. METHOD: A total of 163 BC patients with SPM were recruited during 2002-2015 from a total of 50 hospitals in Shanghai, China. Two nomograms to predict survival from primary BC and SPM diagnosis were constructed based on independent factors screened from multivariable analysis. The calibration and discrimination of nomograms were calculated in the training and validation cohorts. RESULTS: The overall survival rates of BC patients with SPM were 88.34%, 64.42% and 54.66% at 5, 10 and 15 years, respectively. Factors of late TNM stage of SPM (HR = 4.68, 95% CI 2.14-10.25), surgery for SPM (HR = 0.60, 95% CI 0.36-1.00), SPM in the colon and rectum (HR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.25-0.98) and thyroid (HR = 0.08, 95% CI 0.01-0.61) independently affected the OS of BC patients with SPM (p < 0.05). In addition, a longer latency (≥ 5 years) was associated with better OS from BC diagnosis (p < 0.001). Older age (≥ 56) was associated with poor OS from SPM diagnosis (p = 0.019). Two nomograms established based on the above factors had better calibration and discrimination. CONCLUSION: The TNM stage of SPM, surgery for SPM, SPM sites, latency and age at BC diagnosis are independent factors for survival and the two nomograms may provide more personalized management for BC patients with SPM.

Knowledge of a cancer diagnosis is a protective factor for the survival of patients with breast cancer: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The health burden of breast cancer is rising in China. The effect of informed diagnosis on long-term survival is not fully understood. This retrospective cohort study aims to explore the association between early informed diagnosis and survival time in breast cancer patients. METHODS: A total of 12,327 breast cancer patients were enrolled between October 2002 and December 2016. Potential factors, including knowing the cancer diagnosis status, sex, age, clinical stage, surgery history, grade of reporting hospital and diagnostic year were, analyzed. We followed up all participants every 6 months until June 2017. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the clinicopathologic characteristics between patients who knew their diagnosis and those who did not. RESULTS: By June 2017, 18.04% of the participants died of breast cancer. Before PSM, both the 3-year and 5-year survival rates of patients who knew their cancer diagnosis were longer (P < 0.001). After PSM, the above conclusion was still established. By stratified analysis, except for the subgroups of male patients and stage III patients, patients who knew their diagnosis showed a better prognosis in all the other subgroups (P < 0.05). Cox regression analysis showed that knowing a cancer diagnosis was an independent risk factor for survival in breast cancer patients (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Being aware of their cancer diagnosis plays a protective role in extending the survival time of breast cancer patients, which suggests that medical staff and patients' families should disclose the cancer diagnosis to patients in a timely manner. Further prospective studies need to be made to validate our findings.

Evaluation of the peripheral blood eosinophil count as a predictor for fractional exhaled nitric oxide or bronchodilator reversibility test outcome.

Objective: This study aimed to explore the usefulness of the peripheral blood eosinophil count (PBEC) in assessing the level of fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) and predicting bronchodilation test results. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the data of 384 outpatients who underwent FeNO measurement at our Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine from March to June 2019. The FeNO level was compared among different PBECs to explore the association among them. Furthermore, the sensitivity and specificity of PBECs in predicting bronchodilation test results were assessed by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: There was a moderate correlation between PBECs and FeNO levels (r = 0.414; p < 0.05). In the subjects with PBECs ≥ 0.3 × 109/L, the median FeNO level was 39 ppb (interquartile range, 22.5-65.5 ppb), significantly higher than in the subjects with PBECs < 0.3 × 109/L. The area under the ROC curve was 0.707 (p < 0.05). The maximum Youden index (0.348) was at PBECs = 0.205 × 109/L, which achieved sensitivity and specificity of 63% and 71.8%, respectively. Conclusion: PBECs ≥ 0.3 × 109/L can predict a positive bronchodilation test result and a high FeNO level, with a probability of 50% in the subjects with chronic cough and shortness of breath; in the absence of corresponding symptoms and a low PBEC, the predictive value was small. For hospitals not able to conduct FeNO measurements, for outpatients with poor economic conditions, and for patients with confirmed or suspected novel coronavirus disease 2019, the PBEC, in conjunction with a patient's clinical symptoms, can improve the diagnostic accuracy of allergic asthma and assessment of airway inflammation while reducing the risk of infection.

Dynamic changes of D-dimer and neutrophil-lymphocyte count ratio as prognostic biomarkers in COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Since December 2019, the outbreak of COVID-19 caused a large number of hospital admissions in China. Many patients with COVID-19 have symptoms of acute respiratory distress syndrome, even are in danger of death. This is the first study to evaluate dynamic changes of D-Dimer and Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Count Ratio (NLR) as a prognostic utility in patients with COVID-19 for clinical use. METHODS: In a retrospective study, we collected data from 349 hospitalized patients who diagnosed as the infection of the COVID-19 in Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital. We used ROC curves and Cox regression analysis to explore critical value (optimal cut-off point associated with Youden index) and prognostic role of dynamic changes of D-Dimer and NLR. RESULTS: Three hundred forty-nine participants were enrolled in this study and the mortality rate of the patients with laboratory diagnosed COVID-19 was 14.9%. The initial and peak value of D-Dimer and NLR in deceased patients were higher statistically compared with survivors (P < 0.001). There was a more significant upward trend of D-Dimer and NLR during hospitalization in the deceased patients, initial D-Dimer and NLR were lower than the peak tests (MD) -25.23, 95% CI: - 31.81- -18.64, P < 0.001; (MD) -43.73, 95% CI:-59.28- -31.17, P < 0.001. The test showed a stronger correlation between hospitalization days, PCT and peak D-Dimer than initial D-Dimer. The areas under the ROC curves of peak D-Dimer and peak NLR tests were higher than the initial tests (0.94(95%CI: 0.90-0.98) vs. 0.80 (95% CI: 0.73-0.87); 0.93 (95%CI:0.90-0.96) vs. 0.86 (95%CI:0.82-0.91). The critical value of initial D-Dimer, peak D-Dimer, initial NLR and peak NLR was 0.73 mg/L, 3.78 mg/L,7.13 and 14.31 respectively. 35 (10.03%) patients were intubated. In the intubated patients, initial and peak D-Dimer and NLR were much higher than non-intubated patients (P < 0.001). The critical value of initial D-Dimer, peak D-Dimer, initial NLR and peak NLR in prognosticate of intubation was 0.73 mg/L, 12.75 mg/L,7.28 and 27.55. The multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that age (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00-1.07, P = 0.01), the peak D-Dimer (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.04, P < 0.001) were prognostic factors for COVID-19 patients' death. CONCLUSIONS: To dynamically observe the ratio of D-Dimer and NLR was more valuable during the prognosis of COVID-19. The rising trend in D-Dimer and NLR, or the test results higher than the critical values may indicate a risk of death for participants with COVID-19.

Association between early informed diagnosis and survival time in patients with lung cancer.

OBJECTIVE: As a malignant tumor with high mortality, lung cancer (LC) often causes great trauma to patients, and a series of negative emotions and a heavy psychological burden accompanies poor prognosis. Whether or not to inform the patients of their condition has always been a controversial topic in the medical community. This retrospective cohort study investigated the association between early informed diagnosis and survival time in patients with LC. METHODS: A total of 29 825 patients with LC were enrolled between October 2002 and December 2016. The potential factors influencing LC survival were registered, including knowing their cancer diagnosis status, age, gender, pathological type, clinical stage, surgical history, hospital grade, and patient occupation. All participants were followed up every 6 months until June 2017. RESULTS: In June 2017, 23.1% of the participants still survived. Their median survival time (MST) was 11.20 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.98-11.43). Generally, patients that knew their cancer diagnosis had longer MST than those who did not (18.33 months vs 8.77 months, P < .001). By stratified analysis, patients that knew their cancer diagnosis had longer survival time in each subgroup (P < .001, all subgroups). Cox regression analysis showed that knowing their cancer diagnosis was an independent influencing factor for survival in patients with LC (hazard ratio, 0.826; 95% CI, 0.802-0.851; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Knowing their cancer diagnosis contributed to longer survival time in patients with LC, providing clear evidence that medical staff and patients' families should fully disclose cancer diagnoses to patients.

Characteristics and trends of childhood cancer in Pudong, China, 2002-2015.

BACKGROUND: With the growing threat of cancer to children's health, it is necessary to analyze characteristics and trends of childhood cancer to formulate better cancer prevention strategies. METHODS: Data on the 430 children with cancer during 2002-2015 were collected from the Pudong Cancer Registry, diagnosed with the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology and categorized according to the International Classification of Childhood Cancer. The incidence rate, trends over time, and survival of patients grouped by sex, age, and region were explored using the Kaplan-Meier, Cox regression, and Joinpoint Regression models. RESULTS: The crude childhood cancer incidence and world age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) were 115.1/1,000,000 and 116.3/1,000,000 person-years. The two most frequent cancers were leukemia (136/430, 31.63%, ASR, 37.8/1,000,000 person-years) and central nervous system (CNS) tumors (86/430, 20.00%, ASR, 22.9/1,000,000 person-years). Our findings indicate that the survival rate for children between 10 and 15 years of age was higher than that for 5-10; and the survival rate for children who had leukemia was higher than that of children with CNS tumors. However, the overall incidence of childhood cancer, and leukemia, CNS tumors remained relatively stable in Pudong between 2002 and 2015. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and survival rate for childhood cancer patients varied by age and cancer type. The overall trends of childhood cancer incidence remained relatively stable in Pudong from 2002 to 2015 even though socioeconomic development has been unprecedentedly fast in this region.

Years of life lost due to premature death and their trends in people with malignant neoplasm of female genital organs in Shanghai, China during 1995-2018: a population based study.

BACKGROUND: The increasing aging population has been posing a significant challenge to disease burden in developing countries. In particular, the contribution of population aging to and long term changes of disease burden of malignant neoplasm of female genital organs (MNFGO) have not been quantitatively demonstrated. METHODS: Data were collected from the Shanghai Vital Statistics System of Pudong New Area (PNA). Crude mortality rate (CMR), age-standardized mortality rate by Segi's world standard population (ASMRW), and years of life lost (YLL) of MNFGO as the underlying cause of death in age and pathology types from 1995 to 2018 were calculated. The joinpoint regression was used to estimate the trends of those rates by identifying the annual percent changes (APCs), and the decomposition method was used to calculate the increased rates and the contribution resulting from demographic and non-demographic factors. RESULTS: From 1995 to 2018, a total of 2869 MNFGO-specific deaths were reported in PNA, accounting for 0.64% of the total deaths. The CMR and ASMRW of MNFGO were 9.23/105 person-years and 4.80/105 person-years, respectively. Ovary cancer was the most common cause of MNFGO death, accounting for 43.9% (1260/2869) of all MNFGO death. Other common causes of MNFGO death included cervix uteri cancer, uterus unspecified cancer, and corpus uteri cancer. With the increase of age, the mortality rate of MNFGO in residents had shown an upward trend ([APC (95%CI) = 3.46 (2.74, 4.18), P < 0.001)] for each five-year age group from 0 to 4 to 85+ years. From 1995 to 2018, YLL of MNFGO in Shanghai PNA was 42,152.82 years, and the rate of YLL was 135.56 /105. The top three MNFGO types in YLLs were ovary cancer, cervix uteri cancer and uterus unspecified cancer. Demographic factors contributed significantly to the upward trends of CMR, ASMRW, and YLL rates of MNFGO. CONCLUSION: With aggravated population aging in Shanghai, MNFGO is and will continue to be a serious threat to women's health. More precise and effective prevention strategies are needed to target high risk population, to achieve efficient health resource allocation and to improve women's health in particular.

Mining the Characteristics of COVID-19 Patients in China: Analysis of Social Media Posts.

BACKGROUND: In December 2019, pneumonia cases of unknown origin were reported in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China. Identified as the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), the number of cases grew rapidly by human-to-human transmission in Wuhan. Social media, especially Sina Weibo (a major Chinese microblogging social media site), has become an important platform for the public to obtain information and seek help. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to analyze the characteristics of suspected or laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients who asked for help on Sina Weibo. METHODS: We conducted data mining on Sina Weibo and extracted the data of 485 patients who presented with clinical symptoms and imaging descriptions of suspected or laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19. In total, 9878 posts seeking help on Sina Weibo from February 3 to 20, 2020 were analyzed. We used a descriptive research methodology to describe the distribution and other epidemiological characteristics of patients with suspected or laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) infection. The distance between patients' home and the nearest designated hospital was calculated using the geographic information system ArcGIS. RESULTS: All patients included in this study who sought help on Sina Weibo lived in Wuhan, with a median age of 63.0 years (IQR 55.0-71.0). Fever (408/485, 84.12%) was the most common symptom. Ground-glass opacity (237/314, 75.48%) was the most common pattern on chest computed tomography; 39.67% (167/421) of families had suspected and/or laboratory-confirmed family members; 36.58% (154/421) of families had 1 or 2 suspected and/or laboratory-confirmed members; and 70.52% (232/329) of patients needed to rely on their relatives for help. The median time from illness onset to real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing was 8 days (IQR 5.0-10.0), and the median time from illness onset to online help was 10 days (IQR 6.0-12.0). Of 481 patients, 32.22% (n=155) lived more than 3 kilometers away from the nearest designated hospital. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that patients seeking help on Sina Weibo lived in Wuhan and most were elderly. Most patients had fever symptoms, and ground-glass opacities were noted in chest computed tomography. The onset of the disease was characterized by family clustering and most families lived far from the designated hospital. Therefore, we recommend the following: (1) the most stringent centralized medical observation measures should be taken to avoid transmission in family clusters; and (2) social media can help these patients get early attention during Wuhan's lockdown. These findings can help the government and the health department identify high-risk patients and accelerate emergency responses following public demands for help.

The performance of a community-based colorectal cancer screening program: Evidence from Shanghai Pudong New Area, China.

Despite the rising disease burden of colorectal cancer (CRC), CRC screening has not yet been widely introduced as a large organized program in developing countries. To facilitate better delivery of screening in these areas, we investigated the performance of a large community-based CRC screening program implemented in Shanghai Pudong New Area during the period 2013-2016. We conducted a prospective cohort study by following up the screening behavior and results of tested participants in the program. Data from the program reporting system and monthly progress reports were collected. We used standard measures and indicators with modifications to evaluate the performance of the program. Disparities in CRC screening by age categories, primary screening results, and geographic areas were examined. A total of 403,098 individuals participated in the program, 25,764 of them were further screened by diagnostic colonoscopy (COL), and 505 people were eventually diagnosed with CRC as a result of the program. The program produced the following rates: participation (35.18%), primary screening positivity (24.89%), positive primary screening follow-up (26.26%), diagnostic COL (6.37%), and cancer detection (1.25‰). Vast variations in the quality of the program were observed across areas with different socioeconomic environments. The experience and lessons from the program suggest that incorporating the screening with other public health campaigns, using better-developed risk assessment tools, and allowing individual screening decisions for those aged above the target are possible practical ways to promote a better delivery of organized CRC screening programs.

The impact of screening on the survival of colorectal cancer in Shanghai, China: a population based study.

BACKGROUND: Shanghai is one of the earliest cities in developing countries to introduce an organized colorectal screening program for its residents to fight against the rising disease burden of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aims to investigate the impact of the Shanghai screening program implemented in 2013 on the survival rates of CRC patients. METHODS: We calculated up to 5-year survival rates for 18,592 CRC patients from a representative district of Shanghai during 2002-2016, using data from the Shanghai Cancer Registry. We performed joinpoint regressions to examine temporal changes in the trends of the CRC survival rates. We then conducted Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards modelling to study the association of the survival rates with screening behaviors of the patients. In all the model specifications, we took into account the gender, age and TNM stage at diagnosis, and level of treatment hospital of the patients. RESULTS: We find that the annual percentage changes of the survival rates increased faster after somewhere around 2013, however, the differential trends were not significant. Results from the Cox multivariate regression analysis suggest that patients who did not participate in the screening program showed significantly lower cancer-specific survival (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.46; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12-1.91) and all-causes survival (HR = 1.37; 95% CI: 1.05-1.77), compared to those who did. Among program participants, delayed colonoscopy was associated with poor cancer-specific survival (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.93; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.64-5.23) and all-causes survival (HR = 3.29; 95% CI: 1.85-5.84). CONCLUSION: Screening participation and high level of colonoscopy compliance can improve the survival of CRC participants.

Spatial and temporal distribution of the cloud optical depth over China based on MODIS satellite data during 2003-2016.

The cloud optical depth (COD) is one of the important parameters used to characterize atmospheric clouds. We analyzed the seasonal variations in the COD over East Asia in 2011 using cloud mode data from the AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network) ground-based observational network. The applicability of the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) COD product was verified and compared with the AERONET cloud mode dataset. There was a good correlation between the AERONET and the MODIS. The spatial and temporal distribution and trends in the COD over China were then analyzed using MODIS satellite data from 2003 to 2016. The seasonal changes in the AERONET data and the time sequence variation of the satellite data suggest that the seasonal variations in the COD are significant. The result shows that the COD first decreases and then increases with the season in northern China, and reaches the maximum in summer and minimum in winter. However, the spatial distribution change is just the opposite in southern China. The spatial variation trend shows the COD in China decreases first with time and gradually increases after 2014. And the trend of COD in the western and central China is consistent with that in China. While the trend of COD shows a continuously increasing over time in northeast China and the Pearl River Delta.

[Effectiveness and safety of bronchial thermoplasty in patients with severe asthma].

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effectiveness and safety of bronchial thermoplasty (BT) in patients with severe asthma. METHOD: The China-Japan Friendship Hospital recruited 12 patients with severe asthma who were voluntary to take BT treatment from March 2014 to November 2014. The levels of airway inflammation and biological markers (percentage of blood eosinophils, percentage of sputum eosinophils, serum IgE, fractional exhaled nitric oxide) of the patients were examined before the treatment in order to identify the types of airway inflammation. The numbers of severe exacerbations and related hospitalizations within 1 year before and after BT were obtained for each patient. The occurrence of adverse events within 3 weeks after the treatment was collected. And the patient status within 1 year after the BT treatment was compared with that before the treatment, in terms of the number of severe exacerbations, exacerbation rate, the number of related hospitalizations, hospitalization rate and oral corticosteroid dose. RESULTS: For before and 1 year after the treatment, the numbers of subjects suffering severe exacerbations were 11 and 6, the numbers of total severe exacerbation were 76 and 16, the numbers of patients hospitalized due to acute attacks were 10 and 3, and the numbers of total hospitalizations were 56 and 6, respectively. The severe exacerbation rate, hospitalization rate and oral corticosteroid dose were significantly reduced 1 year after the treatment [(1.3±0.48 vs. 6.3±1.9) events/subject/year, (0.50±0.26 vs. 4.67±1.90) events/subject/year, (8.5±4.6 vs. 22.0±2.6) mg/d, P<0.05]. The most common adverse events within 3 weeks after BT treatment were cough (8 events), expectoration (20 events), temporary PEF reduction (7 events), wheezing (4 events), but most of these symptoms were relieved in 1 week. One subject suffered pneumonia after each of the 3 procedures but also recovered soon after an antibiotic therapy. No adverse events occurred because of BT treatment within 3 weeks after the treatment. Computed tomographic scans from baseline to 1 year after the BT treatment showed no structural abnormalities related to BT. CONCLUSIONS: These data demonstrate the benefits of BT with regard to both asthma control (based on reduction in severe exacerbations and hospitalizations due to acute exacerbations) and safety. BT might offer a new approach to treating severe asthma.

[Airway inflammatory phenotypes of asthmatic patients].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the airway inflammatory phenotypes and clinical features of severe asthma compared to mild-moderate ("common") asthma. METHODS: A total of 946 cases of asthma were retrospectively analyzed in our hospital from January 2013 to December 2014. Sixty-one patients were classified to the severe asthma group, and 885 patients to the common asthma group. Severe asthma was diagnosed based on the protocol from ATS/ERS guidelines. All patients received induced sputum cell counts and pulmonary function tests, and 543 of them received fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) tests. The airway inflammatory phenotypes were defined and the clinical features of patients of severe asthma were studied. RESULTS: The distribution of airway inflammatory phenotypes of asthma was as follows: eosinophilic subtype (46.6%, 441/946), mixed granulocytic subtype (27.5%, 260/946), neutrophilic subtype (21.5%, 203/946), and paucigranulocytic subtype (4.4%, 42/946). There were no differences between the severe asthma group and the common asthma group in the distributions. Compared with common asthma patients, severe asthma patients had higher sputum eosinophil percentages (29.1 % ± 28.5% vs 22.2% ± 25.2%, t = 1.98, P < 0.05), higher FeNO values [(66.4 ± 64.1) ppb vs (48.0 ± 43.7) ppb, P < 0.01], lower percentages of FEV1% pred [(63.7 ± 24.1) % vs (84.7 ± 23.7)%, P < 0.01], and lower ratios of FEV1/FVC [(56.4 ± 15.1) % vs (69.1 ± 14.5)% P < 0.01]. In severe asthma patients, FeNO values were higher in the eosinophilic subtype and mixed granulocytic subtype (P < 0.05). Neutrophilic subtype patients had the lowest sputum eosinophil percentage [(1.8 ± 0.8)%, P < 0.01], the lowest percentage of FEV1% pred [(46.6 ± 16.1)%, P < 0.01], and the lowest ratios of FEV1/FVC [(45.2 ± 16.1)%, P < 0.01]. CONCLUSIONS: The common airway inflammatory phenotypes included eosinophilic subtype, mixed granulocytic subtype and neutrophilic subtype, in both severe and common asthma patients. Severe asthma patients had more severe eosinophilic airway inflammation and poorer lung function. Neutrophilic subtype might be the most intractable subtype with severely damaged pulmonary function in severe asthma.

Effects of temperature and heat waves on emergency department visits and emergency ambulance dispatches in Pudong New Area, China: a time series analysis.

BACKGROUND: In July 2013, an extended heat episode with extreme high temperature covered Pudong New Area, the largest district in Shanghai. The current study estimates the impacts of temperature and heat waves on emergency department visits (EDV) and emergency ambulance dispatches (EAD) using time-series approaches in Pudong, from 2011 to 2013. METHODS: An over-dispersed Poisson generalized additive model was used to examine the association between temperature and EDV and EAD. Heat wave effects with different heat wave definitions considering both the intensity and durations were also estimated. RESULTS: Immediate effects of temperature on EDV and EAD were detected, after controlling for trends of time and day of week. The exposure-response relationships showed J-shaped curves with higher threshold temperature of EDV than that of EAD visually. When estimating risk changes on heat days compared with non-heat days using different percentiles of daily mean temperature in definition, EAD showed significant increases while non-significant or even negative associations were found for EDV. Heat wave with intensity above the 90th percentile had 2.62% (95% CI: 1.78%, 3.46%) and 0.95% (95% CI: 0.22%, 1.69%) increases in EDV for a duration of at least 2 days and 3 days respectively. The relative increase of EAD were 4.85% (95% CI: 1.42%, 8.39%) and 3.94% (95% CI: 0.88%, 7.10%). CONCLUSIONS: Varied effects of temperature and heat waves on emergency department visits and emergency ambulance dispatches were investigated. This wider view of the health effect of temperature indicated that interventions for both public health education and health services management should be considered in the study region.