Dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (p,p'-DDT), an organochlorine pesticide known to have deleterious health effects in humans, has been linked to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in rodents. A recent study has reported that p,p'-DDT and its most persistent metabolite, dichlorodiphenyldichloroethylene (p,p'-DDE), may also be associated with HCC in humans. To examine whether there is an association between p,p'-DDT and/or p,p'-DDE in a population at high-risk of developing HCC, a nested case-control study was conducted within the 83,794 person Haimen City Cohort in China. Sera and questionnaire data were collected from all participants between 1992 and 1993. This study included 473 persons who developed HCC and 492 who did not, frequency matched on sex, age and area of residence. p,p'-DDT and p,p'-DDE levels were determined by mass spectrometry. Hepatitis B viral infection status (based on hepatitis B virus surface antigen; HBsAg) was also determined. p,p'-DDT and/or p,p'-DDE serum levels were significantly associated with sex, area of residence, occupation, alcohol consumption and cigarette smoking. Adjusting for age, sex, area of residence, HBsAg, family history of HCC, history of acute hepatitis, smoking, alcohol, occupation (farmer vs. other) and levels of p,p'-DDT or p,p'-DDE, odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated via unconditional logistic regression. Overall, the highest quintile of p,p'-DDT was associated with an increased risk of HCC, OR = 2.96 95% CI; 1.19-7.40. There were no statistically significant associations with p,p'-DDE. Overall, these results suggest that recent exposure to p,p'-DDT may increase risk of HCC.

Quantitative dynamics of hepatitis B basal core promoter and precore mutants before and after HBeAg seroconversion.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion is an important clinical and virological "landmark" during chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Mutant viruses carrying the precore G1896A and/or the basal core promoter (BCP) A1762T/G1764A mutations are associated with HBeAg seroconversion. However, the exact role of these mutants in HBeAg seroconversion remains unclear, partly because the evolution of these mutant viruses before and after seroconversion has not been well studied. METHODS: Using our novel mutant quantification methods, the percentage of the mutant viruses was analyzed both cross-sectionally and longitudinally, before and after seroconversion. RESULTS: Cross-sectional analysis showed that the percentage of both precore and BCP mutants gradually increased with age in the HBeAg-positive population. Follow-up of 18 HBeAg-positive patients revealed that the mutant percentage may stay low and stable for many years, followed by a steady increase in the percentage of G1896A and/or A1762T/G1764A mutants, from <10% to 50-100%, within about 3 years prior to seroconversion. In all cases, increase of mutant percentage was preceded or accompanied by elevated serum alanine aminotransferase. After the seroconversion, the mutant percentage could remain high or decrease significantly, sometimes to below 20%. CONCLUSIONS: Levels of G1896A and A1762T/G1764A mutants (of genotypes B and C) in the HBeAg-positive patients may predict the time of HBeAg seroconversion. The dominance of these mutants in the HBeAg-positive phase is more likely the result of immune selection rather than the enhanced replication capability of the mutants. However, anti-HBe antibody may not be a major selection force for these mutants.

The Australia antigen and role of the late Philadelphia General Hospital in reducing post-transfusion hepatitis and sequelae.

Baruch Blumberg, who received the Nobel Prize for Physiology or Medicine for his discovery of the Australia antigen, died on April 5, 2011. Arguably, that discovery has been the most important advance in the field of Hepatology. It led to the virtual elimination of transfusion related hepatitis B in most parts of the world and was essential to the identification of hepatitis A, C, D and E viruses. Credit for this is due Dr. Blumberg and teams in Philadelphia and Tokyo. In lieu of an Associate Editor commentary, Drs. Senior, London, and Sutnick, who were members of that remarkable team, tell us their inspiring story.

Ultrasensitive quantification of hepatitis B virus A1762T/G1764A mutant by a SimpleProbe PCR using a wild-type-selective PCR blocker and a primer-blocker-probe partial-overlap approach.

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) carrying the A1762T/G1764A double mutation in the basal core promoter (BCP) region is associated with HBe antigen seroconversion and increased risk of liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Quantification of the mutant viruses may help in predicting the risk of HCC. However, the viral genome tends to have nucleotide polymorphism, which makes it difficult to design hybridization-based assays including real-time PCR. Ultrasensitive quantification of the mutant viruses at the early developmental stage is even more challenging, as the mutant is masked by excessive amounts of the wild-type (WT) viruses. In this study, we developed a selective inhibitory PCR (siPCR) using a locked nucleic acid-based PCR blocker to selectively inhibit the amplification of the WT viral DNA but not the mutant DNA. At the end of siPCR, the proportion of the mutant could be increased by about 10,000-fold, making the mutant more readily detectable by downstream applications such as real-time PCR and DNA sequencing. We also describe a primer-probe partial overlap approach which significantly simplified the melting curve patterns and minimized the influence of viral genome polymorphism on assay accuracy. Analysis of 62 patient samples showed a complete match of the melting curve patterns with the sequencing results. More than 97% of HBV BCP sequences in the GenBank database can be correctly identified by the melting curve analysis. The combination of siPCR and the SimpleProbe real-time PCR enabled mutant quantification in the presence of a 100,000-fold excess of the WT DNA.

Treatment of children with chronic hepatitis B virus infection in the United States: patient selection and therapeutic options.

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in children presents a therapeutic challenge for the practitioner. Decisions regarding selection of patients who may benefit from treatment, appropriate timing of treatment, and the choice of antiviral therapy are complex and are compounded by the limited number of drugs that have been studied in children. An expert panel of nationally recognized pediatric liver specialists was convened by the Hepatitis B Foundation on August 11, 2009, to consider clinical practice relative to the therapeutic options available for children. A detailed account of these discussions is provided, and the opinions expressed are based on consensus of the experts, as well as on published evidence when available. The panel concludes that, at this time, there is no established benefit of treatment of children in the immune tolerant phase, and there is a very high risk of development of drug resistance. In addition, there is no indication for treatment of children in the inactive carrier state. For children in the immune active or reactivation phases, liver histology can help guide treatment decisions, and family history of liver disease, especially hepatocellular carcinoma, may argue for early treatment in some cases. Outside of clinical trials, interferon is the agent of choice in most cases. Nucleos(t)ide analogues are secondary therapies, and children who receive these agents require careful monitoring for development of resistance. There are a few situations when treatment is indicated regardless of HBV DNA or alanine aminotransferase levels. There is still much to be elucidated about the appropriate use of HBV therapy in children. Until more clinical data and therapeutic options are available, a conservative approach is warranted.

Blood folate levels and risk of liver damage and hepatocellular carcinoma in a prospective high-risk cohort.

BACKGROUND: Studies in experimental animals suggest that low folate levels may play a role in liver damage and hepatocarcinogenesis. To examine this association in humans, folate levels in blood and risk for subsequent liver damage and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were assessed in a population at high risk of liver cancer in China. METHODS: Four hundred fifteen hepatitis B surface antigen-positive participants of the Haimen City Cohort were prospectively followed between 1998 and 2002. Serum and RBC folate levels were determined at baseline. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and hepatitis B virus DNA levels were measured semiannually. Logistic regression modeling was used to examine the presence of hepatitis B virus DNA and HCC, whereas linear regression with a log-link function was used to examine ALT levels. RESULTS: There was a statistically significant inverse association between serum folate level and ALT level. ALT levels decreased with each quartile increase in serum folate (adjusted odds ratio, 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.97 for the highest compared with the lowest quartile; Ptrend = 0.002). After exclusion of three persons with prevalent HCC, 20 (4.9%) of the 412 study participants developed HCC during follow-up, with a median time between enrollment and HCC diagnosis of 2.66 years (interquartile range, 1.8-4.1). When comparing persons in the lowest quartile RBC folate to persons in all other quartiles, the analysis found that higher RBC folate levels were associated with reduced risk of hepatocarcinogenesis (odds ratio, 0.33, 95% confidence interval, 0.13-0.86; P(trend) = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that increased folate levels in humans may be inversely associated with the development of liver damage and HCC.

Acculturation and breast density in foreign-born, U.S. Chinese women.

The role of acculturation in the breast cancer risk increase among U.S. Chinese women is unclear. We examined the association between acculturation and breast density in a sample of foreign-born, U.S. Chinese women and examined factors that may explain such an association. Between January 2002 and May 2003, 212 Chinese women were recruited from Philadelphia region screening programs. Cranial-caudal mammographic images were classified into one of four categories ranging from "entirely fatty" to "extremely dense." Questionnaires assessed information on sociodemographic, cultural, reproductive, and lifestyle factors. An index of acculturation was created based on self-reported English proficiency and within- and cross-ethnicity social interactions. To estimate odds ratios (OR) for falling into a higher versus lower category for breast density, we conducted logistic regression analysis using proportional odds models for polychotomous outcomes. We found that women in the highest acculturation category had denser breasts [age-adjusted OR, 3.1; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.6-6.0]. They also had fewer live births, higher age at first live birth, and higher dairy food intake, all factors associated with breast density. In 196 women with complete covariate data, only adjustment for number of live births and dairy food intake attenuated the estimate for acculturation by >10%. With adjustment for both simultaneously, the most acculturated women were still more likely to have denser breasts (age- and menopause-adjusted OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.0-4.2). These analyses are the first to show breast density differences by level of acculturation among foreign-born, U.S. Chinese women. Despite reproductive and lifestyle differences by level of acculturation, differences in these factors did not explain the acculturation-breast density association. Future longitudinal research will examine whether the association is due to early-life factors, postmigration lifestyle changes, or perimenopausal exposures.

Susceptibility to aflatoxin B1-related primary hepatocellular carcinoma in mice and humans.

The genetic basis of disease susceptibility can be studied by several means, including research on animal models and epidemiological investigations in humans. The two methods are infrequently used simultaneously, but their joint use may overcome the disadvantages of either method alone. We used both approaches in an attempt to understand the genetic basis of aflatoxin B(1) (AFB(1))-related susceptibility to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Ingestion of AFB(1) is a major risk factor for HCC in many areas of the world where HCC is common. Whether humans vary in their ability to detoxify the active intermediate metabolite of AFB(1), AFB(1)-exo-8,9-epoxide, is not certain but may explain why all exposed individuals do not develop HCC. To determine whether human variability in detoxification may exist, in a study of 231 HCC cases and 256 controls, we genotyped eleven loci in two families of AFB(1) detoxification genes; the glutathione S-transferases (GSTs) and the epoxide hydrolases (EPHX). After adjustment for multiple comparisons, only one polymorphism in the epoxide hydrolase family 2 locus remained significantly associated with HCC (odds ratio = 2.06, 95% confidence interval = 1.13-3.12). To determine whether additional susceptibility loci exist, we developed a mouse model system to examine AFB(1)-induced HCC. Susceptibility of 7-day-old mice from two common inbred strains (C57BL/6J, DBA/2J) was assessed. DBA/2J animals were 3-fold more sensitive to AFB(1)-induced HCC and significantly more sensitive to AFB(1) acute toxicity than were C57BL/6J animals. Analysis of the xenobiotic metabolizing genes in the two strains revealed single nucleotide polymorphisms in three genes, Gsta4, Gstt1, and Ephx1. Although the GSTT1 and EPHX1 loci did not appear to be related to HCC in the total population of the human study, a polymorphism in GSTA4 was significantly related to risk in the male subset. The mouse model also demonstrated that absent or compromised p53 was not necessary for the development of carcinogenesis. These results indicate that the comparison of results from human studies and the AFB(1)-susceptible mouse model may provide new insights into hepatocarcinogenesis.

A historical perspective on the discovery and elucidation of the hepatitis B virus.

The discovery in 1965 of the "Australia antigen," subsequently identified as the hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg), was such a watershed event in virology that it is often thought to mark the beginning of hepatitis research, but it is more accurately seen as a critical breakthrough in a long effort to understand the pathogenesis of infectious hepatitis. A century earlier, Virchow provided an authoritative explanation of "catarrhal jaundice," which did not consider an infectious etiology, but the transmission of jaundice by human serum was clearly identified in two outbreaks in 1885, and the distinction between "infectious" and "serum" hepatitis was recognized by the early 1920s. The inability to culture a virus or reproduce either syndrome in laboratory animals led to numerous studies in human volunteers; by the end of World War II, it was known that the diseases were caused by different filterable agents, and the terms "hepatitis A" and "B" were introduced in 1947 (though some long-incubation cases then designated B must in retrospect have been hepatitis C). The development of a number of liver function tests during the 1950s led to the recognition of anicteric infections and the existence of chronic carriers, but little more could be done until an infectious agent had been identified. Once Blumberg and colleagues had found a specific viral marker, the vast amount of accumulated epidemiologic and clinical data, together with huge numbers of stored serum samples, enabled rapid progress in understanding hepatitis B, and revealed the existence of a vast population of chronically infected people in Asia, Oceania and Africa. In this article, we place the identification of the Australia antigen within the historical context of research on viral hepatitis. Following a chronological review from 1865 to 1965, we summarize how the discovery led to improved safety of blood transfusion, the development of a highly effective vaccine and the eventual identification of the hepatitis C, D and E viruses. This article forms part of a symposium in Antiviral Research on "An unfinished story: from the discovery of the Australia antigen to the development of new curative therapies for chronic hepatitis B."

Hepatitis B knowledge among key stakeholders in Haimen City, China: Implications for addressing chronic HBV infection.

BACKGROUND: This article describes hepatitis B-related knowledge, attitudes and practices after completion of the Gateway to Care campaign, a citywide public health education program that targeted city residents, health care providers and individuals chronically infected with hepatitis B virus in Haimen City, China. METHODS: Pre/post questionnaires assessed hepatitis B knowledge change among health care providers and post-campaign surveys evaluated hepatitis B knowledge, attitudes and behaviors (including stigma-related beliefs and practices) among health care providers, city residents and chronically infected individuals. Focus groups were conducted to gain a more in-depth understanding of the needs of the target communities, and to identify future intervention strategies to improve hepatitis B testing and linkage to care and treatment. RESULTS: Results indicate high levels of hepatitis B knowledge among multiple stakeholders in Haimen City, with significant knowledge improvement among health care providers. Stigma-related beliefs and myths regarding separation of infected individuals from certain aspects of family life were common among all stakeholder groups, despite high levels of accurate knowledge about hepatitis B transmission and prevention. Self-report of hepatitis B screening was low among city residents, as was awareness of hepatitis B treatment. CONCLUSIONS: More efforts are needed to improve awareness of HBV treatment, decrease HBV-related stigma, improve screening rates, and reduce cost of antiviral treatment. Future interventions in Haimen City should be driven by behavioral change theory, to not only improve knowledge, but to improve screening behaviors and address hepatitis B-related stigma and discrimination.

Hepatitis-Associated Liver Cancer: Gaps and Opportunities to Improve Care.

The global burden of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC; primary liver cancer) is increasing. HCC is often unaccompanied by clear symptomatology, causing patients to be unaware of their disease. Moreover, effective treatment for those with advanced disease is lacking. As such, effective surveillance and early detection of HCC are essential. However, current screening and surveillance guidelines are not being fully implemented. Some at-risk populations fall outside of the guidelines, and patients who are screened are often not diagnosed at an early enough stage for treatment to be effective. From March 17 to 19, 2015, the Hepatitis B Foundation sponsored a workshop to identify gaps and limitations in current approaches to the detection and treatment of HCC and to define research priorities and opportunities for advocacy. In this Commentary, we summarize areas for further research and action that were discussed throughout the workshop to improve the recognition of liver disease generally, improve the recognition of liver cancer risk, and improve the recognition that screening for HCC makes a life-saving difference. Participants agreed that primary prevention of HCC relies on prevention and treatment of viral hepatitis and other underlying etiologies. Earlier diagnosis (secondary prevention) needs to be substantially improved. Areas for attention include increasing practitioner awareness, better definition of at-risk populations, and improved performance of screening approaches (ultrasound, biomarkers for detection, risk stratification, targeted therapies). The heterogeneous nature of HCC makes it unlikely that a single therapeutic agent will be universally effective. Medical management will benefit from the development of new, targeted treatment approaches.

Chronic hepatitis B virus infection and mortality from non-liver causes: results from the Haimen City cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Studies of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in endemic populations have rarely documented causes of mortality other than liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: We analysed all-cause mortality related to HBV infection, focusing on the deaths not related to liver disease in a prospective cohort of adults living in Haimen City, China, who were followed from 1992 to 2002. Death certificate data from 4590 deaths among 83 794 individuals were analysed. At cohort entry, 15.0% of the 58 454 male subjects and 10.7% of 25 340 female subjects were hepatitis B surface antigen positive [HbsAg(+)]. HCC and chronic liver disease were the major causes of death in both men and women in this population. The analysis focused on non-liver causes of death. RESULTS: When liver-related causes of death were excluded, there was still a significantly higher age-adjusted death rate among HBsAg(+) individuals. The relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all non-liver deaths among HBsAg(+) subjects were 1.2 (1.1-1.3) in men and 1.4 (1.1-1.7) in women. Non-liver causes were further subdivided into cancer and non-cancer groups. For all non-liver cancers, the RR was 1.2 (1.0-1.4) for males and 1.7 (1.2-2.3) for females. Non-liver, non-cancer deaths had RRs of 1.2 (1.1-1.4) and 1.2 (0.9-1.6) in males and females, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: HBV-infected individuals may be at increased mortality risk from non-liver causes. Possible reasons include a direct effect of HBV infection, changes in the host immune system as a cause or effect of chronic infection, and behavioural factors associated with HBV infection. Further studies are needed to confirm this finding.

Epidemiology and natural history of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major contributor to cancer incidence and mortality. There is a wide variation, however, in the global distribution of HCC. Eighty percent of the burden is borne by countries in Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. In most high-risk countries, principal risk factors include infection with hepatitis B virus and dietary exposure to aflatoxin B(1). In contrast, hepatitis C virus and alcohol consumption are more important risk factors in low-risk countries. In recent years, the incidence of HCC has decreased in some high-risk countries and increased in some low-risk countries. Reasons for both trends are not completely understood, but are likely related to public health efforts in Asia and the increase in hepatitis C virus infection in low-risk countries. Vaccination programs against hepatitis B virus will likely decrease the HCC rate even further in decades to come.

Global epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma: an emphasis on demographic and regional variability.

Liver cancer is the second leading cause of global cancer mortality. The major risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are being addressed with success by prevention efforts. Vaccination against hepatitis B virus has reduced incidence of HCC in Taiwan and is partly responsible for lower rates in China. New infections with hepatitis C virus are low in developed countries because of prevention of posttransfusion infections and reduced exposure to HCV by drug users. Aflatoxin exposure has been reduced by better grain storage and dietary changes. Obesity, metabolic syndrome, and diabetes are increasing in developed and developing countries and will lead to more cases of HCC.

Statin use and risk of primary liver cancer in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

BACKGROUND: Statins (3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitors) are widely prescribed to reduce cholesterol levels. Studies have suggested that statins are associated with reduced risk of liver cancer, but much of the evidence is from regions of the world with high liver cancer incidence rates. The current study examined the statins-liver cancer relationship in a low-rate region and examined the effects of preexisting liver disease and diabetes on that association. METHODS: A nested case-control study was conducted within the United Kingdom's Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). Persons diagnosed with primary liver cancer between 1988 and 2011 were matched to controls at a four-to-one ratio. Matches stratified on liver disease and on diabetes were also completed. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations of statins with liver cancer were estimated using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: In total, 1195 persons with primary liver cancer were matched to 4640 control patients. Statin use was associated with a statistically significantly reduced risk of liver cancer (ORadj = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.45 to 0.69), especially among current users (ORadj = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.42 to 0.66). The reduced risk was statistically significant in the presence (ORadj = 0.32, 95% CI = 0.17 to 0.57) and absence of liver disease (ORadj = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.52 to 0.81) and in the presence (ORadj = 0.30, 95% CI = 0.21 to 0.42) and absence of diabetes (ORadj = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.51 to 0.85). CONCLUSIONS: In the current study in a low-rate area, statin use was associated with a statistically significantly reduced risk of liver cancer overall. Risk was particularly reduced among persons with liver disease and persons with diabetes, suggesting that statin use may be especially beneficial in persons at elevated risk of liver cancer.

Prevention of perinatal hepatitis B transmission in Haimen City, China: Results of a community public health initiative.

In regions where hepatitis B virus (HBV) is endemic, perinatal transmission is common. Infected newborns have a 90% chance of developing chronic HBV infection, and 1 in 4 will die prematurely from HBV-related liver disease. In 2010, the Hepatitis B Foundation and the Haimen City CDC launched the Gateway to Care campaign in Haimen City, China to improve awareness, prevention, and control of HBV infection citywide. The campaign included efforts to prevent perinatal HBV transmission by screening all pregnant women for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), following those who tested positive, and administering immunoprophylaxis to their newborns at birth. Of 5407 pregnant women screened, 185 were confirmed HBsAg-positive and followed until delivery. At age one, 175 babies were available for follow up testing. Of those, 137 tested negative for HBsAg and positive for antibodies to HBsAg, indicating protection. An additional 34 HBsAg-negative babies also tested negative for antibodies to HBsAg or had indeterminate test results, were considered to have had inadequate immune responses to the vaccine, and were given a booster dose. A higher prevalence of nonresponse to HBV vaccine was observed among babies born to hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive mothers and mothers with high HBV DNA titers. The remaining 4 babies tested positive for HBsAg and negative for antibodies, indicative of active HBV infection. The mothers of all 4 had viral loads ≥8×10(6) copies/ml in the third trimester. Although inadequate response or nonresponse to HBV vaccine was more common among babies born to HBeAg-positive and/or high viral load mothers, these risk factors did not completely predict nonresponsiveness. All babies born to HBV-infected mothers should be tested upon completion of the vaccine series to ascertain adequate protection. Some babies of HBeAg-positive mothers with high viral load may still become HBV infected despite timely immunoprophylaxis with HBV vaccine and HBIG.

Eight-year follow-up of the 90,000-person Haimen City cohort: I. Hepatocellular carcinoma mortality, risk factors, and gender differences.

In an 8-year follow-up of a prospective cohort study in Haimen City, China, we sought to identify hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk factors in addition to hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Two cohorts of adults between ages 25 and 64 years at study entry were followed from 1992-1993 to 2000. The male cohort included 58,545 men, 15.0% of whom were HBV carriers. The female cohort included 25,340 women, 10.7% of whom were HBV carriers. 434,718 person-years of follow-up were accumulated, and 1092 deaths from HCC occurred. The relationship of potential risk factors measured at study entry to HCC mortality was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models. For males, HCC mortality was significantly associated with HBV infection [relative risk (RR) 18.8; 95% confidence interval (CI), 15.7-22.5], history of acute hepatitis (RR, 2.3; 95% CI, 2.0-2.7), family history of HCC (RR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.9-2.7), and occupation as a peasant (RR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.3-1.8). For females, HCC mortality was significantly associated with HBV infection (RR, 33.5; 95% CI, 17.1-65.5) and acute hepatitis history (RR, 4.7; 95% CI, 3.0-7.5). HCC risk was not significantly associated with alcohol consumption, water source, or staple foods in either sex. There was no association with smoking in males, but there was a positive association for females. Environmental and genetic risk factors besides HBV infection play a significant role in HCC mortality in this extremely high-risk population. Gender differences in HCC mortality and known risk factors are substantial and warrant further study. Identification of risk factors amenable to intervention should be a high priority in the prevention of HCC.

Chronic HBV infection outside treatment guidelines: is treatment needed?

BACKGROUND: There are now seven antivirals approved for use in the management of chronic HBV infection in the US. Current professional guidelines recommend the use of antiviral treatment in only a distinct subset of the total HBV chronically infected population, estimated to be more than 350 million worldwide. The subset of chronically HBV-infected individuals for whom the antivirals have been demonstrated to produce desirable outcomes are those with abnormal liver enzymes and a viral load above a defined threshold, presumably identifying those at highest risk for development of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. However, some individuals whose clinical features place them outside these guidelines, for whom treatment is not recommended, are also at significant risk for liver disease complications and liver-related death. METHODS: In this report, we produce new estimates of the age-specific risks of liver-related death in people outside the current treatment guidelines using published data from multiple populations. RESULTS: Our results indicate that the age-specific 10-year risks of liver-related mortality in these individuals range from 0.3-4% in the West to 0.3-20% in Asia. CONCLUSIONS: The magnitude of these risks and the estimated size of the global population that falls outside of current treatment guidelines have led us to consider whether medical interventions are also needed for these individuals, either with currently approved therapeutics or yet-to-be-discovered medications targeting new mechanisms of antiviral effect. Potential targets for development of new medications are discussed.

Can propranalol prevent hepatocellular carcinoma?

ß-Adrenergic signaling is involved in many processes that may contribute to cancer progression. In this issue of the journal (beginning on page 1007), Nkontchou and colleagues report their retrospective observational finding that the ß-blocker propranolol was associated with a highly statistically significant reduction in the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with advanced cirrhosis and related esophageal varices. This surprising finding requires confirmation, but the result is biologically plausible. Epidemiologic studies have linked ß-blockers with reduced rates of metastasis of other cancers and reduced cancer mortality. Laboratory studies suggest biologic mechanisms for anticancer effects of ß-blockers.

Fumonisin B1 and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in two Chinese cohorts.

Fumonisin B1 (FB1), a mycotoxin that contaminates corn in certain climates, has been demonstrated to cause hepatocellular cancer (HCC) in animal models. Whether a relationship between FB1 and HCC exists in humans is not known. To examine the hypothesis, we conducted case-control studies nested within two large cohorts in China; the Haimen City Cohort and the General Population Study of the Nutritional Intervention Trials cohort in Linxian. In the Haimen City Cohort, nail FB1 levels were determined in 271 HCC cases and 280 controls. In the General Population Nutritional Intervention Trial, nail FB1 levels were determined in 72 HCC cases and 147 controls. In each population, odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) from logistic regression models estimated the association between measurable FB1 and HCC, adjusting for hepatitis B virus infection and other factors. A meta-analysis that included both populations was also conducted. The analysis revealed no statistically significant association between FB1 and HCC in either Haimen City (OR=1.10, 95%CI=0.64-1.89) or in Linxian (OR=1.47, 95%CI=0.70-3.07). Similarly, the pooled meta-analysis showed no statistically significant association between FB1 exposure and HCC (OR=1.22, 95%CI=0.79-1.89). These findings, although somewhat preliminary, do not support an associated between FB1 and HCC.