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1.
Annu Rev Genet ; 50: 211-234, 2016 Nov 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27648643

RESUMO

Plants do not grow as axenic organisms in nature, but host a diverse community of microorganisms, termed the plant microbiota. There is an increasing awareness that the plant microbiota plays a role in plant growth and can provide protection from invading pathogens. Apart from intense research on crop plants, Arabidopsis is emerging as a valuable model system to investigate the drivers shaping stable bacterial communities on leaves and roots and as a tool to decipher the intricate relationship among the host and its colonizing microorganisms. Gnotobiotic experimental systems help establish causal relationships between plant and microbiota genotypes and phenotypes and test hypotheses on biotic and abiotic perturbations in a systematic way. We highlight major recent findings in plant microbiota research using comparative community profiling and omics analyses, and discuss these approaches in light of community establishment and beneficial traits like nutrient acquisition and plant health.


Assuntos
Microbiota , Plantas/microbiologia , Adaptação Biológica , Arabidopsis/microbiologia , Ecossistema , Consórcios Microbianos , Filogenia , Raízes de Plantas/microbiologia
2.
Environ Sci Technol ; 58(2): 971-990, 2024 Jan 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38166114

RESUMO

Global resource extraction raises concerns about environmental pressures and the security of mineral supply. Strategies to address these concerns depend on robust information on natural resource endowments, and on suitable methods to monitor and model their changes over time. However, current mineral resources and reserves reporting and accounting workflows are poorly suited for addressing mineral depletion or answering questions about the long-term sustainable supply. Our integrative review finds that the lack of a robust theoretical concept and framework for mass-balance (MB)-consistent geological stock accounting hinders systematic industry-government data integration, resource governance, and strategy development. We evaluate the existing literature on geological stock accounting, identify shortcomings of current monitoring of mine production, and outline a conceptual framework for MB-consistent system integration based on material flow analysis (MFA). Our synthesis shows that recent developments in Earth observation, geoinformation management, and sustainability reporting act as catalysts that make MB-consistent geological stock accounting increasingly feasible. We propose first steps for its implementation and anticipate that our perspective as "resource realists" will facilitate the integration of geological and anthropogenic material systems, help secure future mineral supply, and support the global sustainability transition.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Minerais , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos
3.
Environ Sci Technol ; 56(3): 1973-1982, 2022 02 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35042334

RESUMO

Greenhouse gas (GHG) accounting in industrial plants usually has multiple purposes, including mandatory reporting, shareholder and stakeholder communication, developing key performance indicators (KPIs), or informing cost-effective mitigation options. Current carbon accounting systems, such as the one required by the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS), ignore the system context in which emissions occur. This hampers the identification and evaluation of comprehensive mitigation strategies considering linkages between materials, energy, and emissions. Here, we propose a carbon accounting method based on multilevel material flow analysis (MFA), which aims at addressing this gap. Using a Norwegian primary aluminum production plant as an example, we analyzed the material stocks and flows within this plant for total mass flows of goods as well as substances such as aluminum and carbon. The results show that the MFA-based accounting (i) is more robust than conventional tools due to mass balance consistency and higher granularity, (ii) allows monitoring the performance of the company and defines meaningful KPIs, (iii) can be used as a basis for the EU ETS reporting and linked to internal reporting, (iv) enables the identification and evaluation of systemic solutions and resource efficiency strategies for reducing emissions, and (v) has the potential to save costs.


Assuntos
Alumínio , Gases de Efeito Estufa , Carbono/análise , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Gases de Efeito Estufa/análise , Instalações Industriais e de Manufatura
4.
Nature ; 528(7582): 364-9, 2015 Dec 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26633631

RESUMO

Roots and leaves of healthy plants host taxonomically structured bacterial assemblies, and members of these communities contribute to plant growth and health. We established Arabidopsis leaf- and root-derived microbiota culture collections representing the majority of bacterial species that are reproducibly detectable by culture-independent community sequencing. We found an extensive taxonomic overlap between the leaf and root microbiota. Genome drafts of 400 isolates revealed a large overlap of genome-encoded functional capabilities between leaf- and root-derived bacteria with few significant differences at the level of individual functional categories. Using defined bacterial communities and a gnotobiotic Arabidopsis plant system we show that the isolates form assemblies resembling natural microbiota on their cognate host organs, but are also capable of ectopic leaf or root colonization. While this raises the possibility of reciprocal relocation between root and leaf microbiota members, genome information and recolonization experiments also provide evidence for microbiota specialization to their respective niche.


Assuntos
Arabidopsis/microbiologia , Microbiota/fisiologia , Folhas de Planta/microbiologia , Raízes de Plantas/microbiologia , Bactérias/classificação , Bactérias/genética , Bactérias/isolamento & purificação , Genoma Bacteriano/genética , Vida Livre de Germes , Microbiota/genética , Análise de Sequência de DNA , Microbiologia do Solo
5.
Mol Cell Proteomics ; 15(10): 3256-3269, 2016 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27457762

RESUMO

Plants are colonized by a diverse community of microorganisms, the plant microbiota, exhibiting a defined and conserved taxonomic structure. Niche separation based on spatial segregation and complementary adaptation strategies likely forms the basis for coexistence of the various microorganisms in the plant environment. To gain insights into organism-specific adaptations on a molecular level, we selected two exemplary community members of the core leaf microbiota and profiled their proteomes upon Arabidopsis phyllosphere colonization. The highly quantitative mass spectrometric technique SWATH MS was used and allowed for the analysis of over two thousand proteins spanning more than three orders of magnitude in abundance for each of the model strains. The data suggest that Sphingomonas melonis utilizes amino acids and hydrocarbon compounds during colonization of leaves whereas Methylobacterium extorquens relies on methanol metabolism in addition to oxalate metabolism, aerobic anoxygenic photosynthesis and alkanesulfonate utilization. Comparative genomic analyses indicates that utilization of oxalate and alkanesulfonates is widespread among leaf microbiota members whereas, aerobic anoxygenic photosynthesis is almost exclusively found in Methylobacteria. Despite the apparent niche separation between these two strains we also found a relatively small subset of proteins to be coregulated, indicating common mechanisms, underlying successful leaf colonization. Overall, our results reveal for two ubiquitous phyllosphere commensals species-specific adaptations to the host environment and provide evidence for niche separation within the plant microbiota.


Assuntos
Arabidopsis/microbiologia , Proteínas de Bactérias/análise , Methylobacterium/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Proteômica/métodos , Sphingomonas/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Adaptação Fisiológica , Aminoácidos/metabolismo , Hidrocarbonetos/metabolismo , Espectrometria de Massas , Methylobacterium/metabolismo , Fotossíntese , Folhas de Planta/microbiologia , Especificidade da Espécie , Sphingomonas/metabolismo , Simbiose
6.
Environ Sci Technol ; 51(19): 11468-11475, 2017 Oct 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28836769

RESUMO

Modern cities and societies are built fundamentally based on cement and concrete. The global cement production has risen sharply in the past decades due largely to urbanization and construction. Here we deployed a top-down dynamic material flow analysis (MFA) model to quantify the historical development of cement in-use stocks in residential, nonresidential, and civil engineering sectors of all world countries. We found that global cement production spreads unevenly among 184 countries, with China dominating the global production and consumption after the 1990s. Nearly all countries have shown an increasing trend of per capita cement in-use stock in the past century. The present per capita cement in-use stocks vary from 10 to 40 tonnes in major industrialized and transiting countries and are below 10 tonnes in developing countries. Evolutionary modes identified from historical patterns suggest that per capita in-use cement stock growth generally complies with an S-shape curve and relates closely to affluence and urbanization of a country, but more in-depth and bottom-up investigations are needed to better understand socioeconomic drivers behind stock growth. These identified in-use stock patterns can help us better estimate future demand of cement, explore strategies for emissions reduction in the cement industry, and inform CO2 uptake potentials of cement based products and infrastructure in service.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono , Países em Desenvolvimento , Urbanização , China , Cidades , Indústrias
7.
Environ Sci Technol ; 51(3): 1129-1139, 2017 02 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28099815

RESUMO

One of the major applications of critical metals (CMs) is in electrical and electronic equipment (EEE), which is increasingly embedded in other products, notably passenger vehicles. However, recycling strategies for future CM quantities in end-of-life vehicles (ELVs) are poorly understood, mainly due to a limited understating of the complexity of automotive embedded EEE. We introduce a harmonization of the network structure of automotive electronics that enables a comprehensive quantification of CMs in all embedded EEE in a vehicle. This network is combined with a material flow analysis along the vehicle lifecycle in Switzerland to quantify the stocks and flows of Ag, Au, Pd, Ru, Dy, La, Nd, and Co in automotive embedded EEE. In vehicles in use, we calculated 5-2+3 t precious metals in controllers embedded in all vehicle types and 220-60+90 t rare earth elements (REE); found mainly in five electric motors: alternator, starter, radiator-fan and electronic power steering motor embedded in conventional passenger vehicles and drive motor/generator embedded in hybrid and electric vehicles. Dismantling these devices before ELV shredding, as well as postshredder treatment of automobile shredder residue may increase the recovery of CMs from ELVs. Environmental and economic implications of such recycling strategies must be considered.


Assuntos
Metais , Reciclagem/economia , Automóveis , Eletrônica , Meio Ambiente
8.
Environ Sci Technol ; 50(16): 8453-61, 2016 08 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27400378

RESUMO

Future availability of byproduct metals is not limited by geological stocks, but by the rate of primary production of their carrier metals, which in turn depends on the development of their in-use stocks, the product lifetimes, and the recycling rates. This linkage, while recognized conceptually in past studies, has not been adequately taken into account in resource availability estimates. Here, we determine the global supply potential for gallium up to 2050 based on scenarios for the global aluminum cycle, and compare it with scenarios for gallium demand derived from a dynamic model of the gallium cycle. We found that the gallium supply potential is heavily influenced by the development of the in-use stocks and recycling rates of aluminum. With current applications, a shortage of gallium is unlikely by 2050. However, the gallium industry may need to introduce ambitious recycling- and material efficiency strategies to meet its demand. If in-use stocks of aluminum saturate or decline, a shift to other gallium sources such as zinc or coal fly ash may be required.


Assuntos
Alumínio/provisão & distribuição , Gálio/provisão & distribuição , Reciclagem , Indústrias , Modelos Teóricos
9.
Environ Sci Technol ; 49(9): 5704-12, 2015 May 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25884251

RESUMO

Gallium has been labeled as a critical metal due to rapidly growing consumption, importance for low-carbon technologies such as solid state lighting and photovoltaics, and being produced only as a byproduct of other metals (mainly aluminum). The global system of primary production, manufacturing, use and recycling has not yet been described or quantified in the literature. This prevents predictions of future demand, supply and possibilities for efficiency improvements on a system level. We present a description of the global anthropogenic gallium system and quantify the system using a combination of statistical data and technical parameters. We estimated that gallium was produced from 8 to 21% of alumina plants in 2011. The most important applications of gallium are NdFeB permanent magnets, integrated circuits and GaAs/GaP-based light-emitting diodes, demanding 22-37%, 16-27%, and 11-21% of primary metal production, respectively. GaN-based light-emitting diodes and photovoltaics are less important, both with 2-6%. We estimated that 120-170 tons, corresponding to 40-60% of primary production, ended up in production wastes that were either disposed of or stored. While demand for gallium is expected to rise in the future, our results indicated that it is possible to increase primary production substantially with conventional technology, as well as improve the system-wide material efficiency.


Assuntos
Gálio/química , Atividades Humanas , Arsenicais/química , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Método de Monte Carlo , Probabilidade , Incerteza
10.
Environ Sci Technol ; 49(24): 13937-45, 2015 Dec 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26496178

RESUMO

Food waste (FW) generates large upstream and downstream emissions to the environment and unnecessarily consumes natural resources, potentially affecting future food security. The ecological impacts of FW can be addressed by the upstream strategies of FW prevention or by downstream strategies of FW recycling, including energy and nutrient recovery. While FW recycling is often prioritized in practice, the ecological implications of the two strategies remain poorly understood from a quantitative systems perspective. Here, we develop a multilayer systems framework and scenarios to quantify the implications of food waste strategies on national biomass, energy, and phosphorus (P) cycles, using Norway as a case study. We found that (i) avoidable food waste in Norway accounts for 17% of sold food; (ii) 10% of the avoidable food waste occurs at the consumption stage, while industry and retailers account for only 7%; (iii) the theoretical potential for systems-wide net process energy savings is 16% for FW prevention and 8% for FW recycling; (iv) the theoretical potential for systems-wide P savings is 21% for FW prevention and 9% for FW recycling; (v) while FW recycling results in exclusively domestic nutrient and energy savings, FW prevention leads to domestic and international savings due to large food imports; (vi) most effective is a combination of prevention and recycling, however, FW prevention reduces the potential for FW recycling and therefore needs to be prioritized to avoid potential overcapacities for FW recycling.


Assuntos
Resíduos de Alimentos , Reciclagem/métodos , Agricultura , Biomassa , Fontes Geradoras de Energia , Meio Ambiente , Alimentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Abastecimento de Alimentos , Modelos Teóricos , Noruega , Fósforo/análise , Análise de Sistemas , Gerenciamento de Resíduos/métodos
11.
Environ Microbiol ; 16(7): 2329-40, 2014 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24725362

RESUMO

Bacterial colonizers of the aerial parts of plants, or phyllosphere, have been identified on a number of different plants using cultivation-dependent and independent methods. However, the spatial distribution at the micrometer scale of different main phylogenetic lineages is not well documented and mostly based on fluorescence-tagged model strains. In this study, we developed and applied a spatial explicit approach that allowed the use of fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) to study bacterial phylloplane communities of environmentally grown Arabidopsis thaliana. We found on average 5.4 × 10(6) bacteria cm(-2) leaf surface and 1.5 × 10(8) bacteria g(-1) fresh weight. Furthermore, we found that the total biomass in the phylloplane was normally distributed. About 31% of the bacteria found in the phylloplane did not hybridize to FISH probes but exhibited infrared autofluorescence indicative for aerobic anoxygenic phototrophs. Four sets of FISH probes targeting Alphaproteobacteria, Betaproteobacteria, Actinobacteria and Bacteroidetes were sufficient to identify all other major contributors of the phylloplane community based on general bacterial probing. Spatial aggregation patterns were observed for all probe-targeted populations at distances up to 7 µm, with stronger tendencies to co-aggregate for members of the same phylogenetic group. Our findings contribute to a bottom-up description of leaf surface community composition.


Assuntos
Actinobacteria/fisiologia , Alphaproteobacteria/fisiologia , Arabidopsis/microbiologia , Bacteroidetes/fisiologia , Betaproteobacteria/fisiologia , Actinobacteria/classificação , Alphaproteobacteria/classificação , Carga Bacteriana , Bacteroidetes/classificação , Betaproteobacteria/classificação , Hibridização in Situ Fluorescente , Consórcios Microbianos/fisiologia , Filogenia , Folhas de Planta/microbiologia
12.
Environ Sci Technol ; 48(8): 4257-65, 2014 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24655476

RESUMO

Aluminum recycling currently occurs in a cascading fashion, where some alloys, used in a limited number of applications, absorb most of the end-of-life scrap. An expected increase in scrap supply in coming decades necessitates restructuring of the aluminum cycle to open up new recycling paths for alloys and avoid a potential scrap surplus. This paper explores various interventions in end-of-life management and recycling of automotive aluminum, using a dynamic substance flow analysis model of aluminum and its alloying elements with resolution on component and alloy level (vehicle-component-alloy-element model). It was found that increased component dismantling before vehicle shredding can be an effective, so far underestimated, intervention in the medium term, especially if combined with development of safety-relevant components such as wheels from secondary material. In the long term, automatic alloy sorting technologies are most likely required, but could at the same time reduce the need for magnesium removal in refining. Cooperation between the primary and secondary aluminum industries, the automotive industry, and end-of-life vehicle dismantlers is therefore essential to ensure continued recycling of automotive aluminum and its alloying elements.


Assuntos
Ligas/análise , Alumínio/análise , Automóveis , Reciclagem , Simulação por Computador , Fatores de Tempo
13.
Environ Sci Technol ; 48(18): 10776-84, 2014 Sep 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25111289

RESUMO

Light-weighting of passenger cars using high-strength steel or aluminum is a common emissions mitigation strategy. We provide a first estimate of the global impact of light-weighting by material substitution on GHG emissions from passenger cars and the steel and aluminum industries until 2050. We develop a dynamic stock model of the global car fleet and combine it with a dynamic MFA of the associated steel, aluminum, and energy supply industries. We propose four scenarios for substitution of conventional steel with high-strength steel and aluminum at different rates over the period 2010-2050. We show that light-weighting of passenger cars can become a "gigaton solution": Between 2010 and 2050, persistent light-weighting of passenger cars can, under optimal conditions, lead to cumulative GHG emissions savings of 9-18 gigatons CO2-eq compared to development business-as-usual. Annual savings can be up to 1 gigaton per year. After 2030, enhanced material recycling can lead to further reductions: closed-loop metal recycling in the automotive sector may reduce cumulative emissions by another 4-6 gigatons CO2-eq. The effectiveness of emissions mitigation by material substitution significantly depends on how the recycling system evolves. At present, policies focusing on tailpipe emissions and life cycle assessments of individual cars do not consider this important effect.


Assuntos
Alumínio , Automóveis , Carbono/análise , Indústrias , Internacionalidade , Aço , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Pegada de Carbono , Gasolina/análise , Efeito Estufa , Modelos Teóricos , Reciclagem
14.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 4179, 2024 May 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38755161

RESUMO

The global energy transition relies increasingly on lithium-ion batteries for electric transportation and renewable energy integration. Given the highly concentrated supply chain of battery materials, importing regions have a strategic imperative to reduce their reliance on battery material imports through, e.g., battery recycling or reuse. We investigate the potential of vehicle-to-grid and second-life batteries to reduce resource use by displacing new stationary batteries dedicated to grid storage. Based on dynamic material flow analysis, we show that equipping around 50% of electric vehicles with vehicle-to-grid or reusing 40% of electric vehicle batteries for second life each have the potential to fully cover the European Union's need for stationary storage by 2040. This could reduce total primary material demand from 2020-2050 by up to 7.5% and 1.5%, respectively, which could ease geopolitical risks and increase the European Union's energy and material security. Any surplus capacity could be used as a strategic reserve to increase resilience in the face of emergencies such as blackouts or adverse geo-political events.

15.
J Bioenerg Biomembr ; 45(1-2): 15-23, 2013 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23054076

RESUMO

The Na(+) F(1)F(O) ATP synthase of the anaerobic, acetogenic bacterium Acetobacterium woodii has a unique F(O)V(O) hybrid rotor that contains nine copies of a F(O)-like c subunit and one copy of a V(O)-like c(1) subunit with one ion binding site in four transmembrane helices whose cellular function is obscure. Since a genetic system to address the role of different c subunits is not available for this bacterium, we aimed at a heterologous expression system. Therefore, we cloned and expressed its Na(+) F(1)F(O) ATP synthase operon in Escherichia coli. A Δatp mutant of E. coli produced a functional, membrane-bound Na(+) F(1)F(O) ATP synthase that was purified in a single step after inserting a His(6)-tag to its ß subunit. The purified enzyme was competent in Na(+) transport and contained the F(O)V(O) hybrid rotor in the same stoichiometry as in A. woodii. Deletion of the atpI gene from the A. woodii operon resulted in a loss of the c ring and a mis-assembled Na(+) F(1)F(O) ATP synthase. AtpI from E. coli could not substitute AtpI from A. woodii. These data demonstrate for the first time a functional production of a F(O)V(O) hybrid rotor in E. coli and revealed that the native AtpI is required for assembly of the hybrid rotor.


Assuntos
Acetobacterium/enzimologia , Proteínas de Bactérias/biossíntese , Escherichia coli/enzimologia , ATPases Translocadoras de Prótons/biossíntese , Sódio/metabolismo , Acetobacterium/genética , Proteínas de Bactérias/genética , Escherichia coli/genética , Transporte de Íons/fisiologia , ATPases Translocadoras de Prótons/genética , Proteínas Recombinantes/biossíntese , Proteínas Recombinantes/genética
16.
Environ Sci Technol ; 47(9): 4882-8, 2013 May 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23480626

RESUMO

A dynamic material flow model was developed to simulate the evolution of global aluminum stocks in geological reserve and anthropogenic reservoir from 1900 to 2010 on a country level. The contemporary global aluminum stock in use (0.6 Gt or 90 kg/capita) has reached about 10% of that in known bauxite reserves and represents an embodied energy amount that is equivalent to three-quarters of the present global annual electricity consumption. The largest proportions of in-use stock are located in the U.S. (28%), China (15%), Japan (7%), and Germany (6%) and in sectors of building and construction (40%) and transportation (27%). Industrialized countries have shown similar patterns of aluminum in-use stock growth: once the per-capita stocks have reached a threshold level of 50 kg, they kept a near linear annual growth of 5-10 kg/capita; no clear signs of saturation can yet be observed. The present aluminum in-use stocks vary widely across countries: approximately 100-600 kg/capita in industrialized countries and below 100 kg/capita in developing countries. The growing global aluminum in-use stock has significant implications on future aluminum demand and provides important recycling opportunities that will be critical for greenhouse gas emissions mitigation in the aluminum industry in the coming decades.


Assuntos
Alumínio/química , Internacionalidade , Incerteza
17.
Environ Sci Technol ; 47(20): 11873-81, 2013 Oct 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24025046

RESUMO

Material cycles have become increasingly coupled and interconnected in a globalizing era. While material flow analysis (MFA) has been widely used to characterize stocks and flows along technological life cycle within a specific geographical area, trade networks among individual cycles have remained largely unexplored. Here we developed a trade-linked multilevel MFA model to map the contemporary global journey of anthropogenic aluminum. We demonstrate that the anthropogenic aluminum cycle depends substantially on international trade of aluminum in all forms and becomes highly interconnected in nature. While the Southern hemisphere is the main primary resource supplier, aluminum production and consumption concentrate in the Northern hemisphere, where we also find the largest potential for recycling. The more developed countries tend to have a substantial and increasing presence throughout the stages after bauxite refining and possess highly consumption-based cycles, thus maintaining advantages both economically and environmentally. A small group of countries plays a key role in the global redistribution of aluminum and in the connectivity of the network, which may render some countries vulnerable to supply disruption. The model provides potential insights to inform government and industry policies in resource criticality, supply chain security, value chain management, and cross-boundary environmental impacts mitigation.


Assuntos
Alumínio/economia , Comércio/economia , Atividades Humanas , Internacionalidade , Reciclagem/economia , Algoritmos , Produto Interno Bruto , Humanos , Nações Unidas
18.
Environ Sci Technol ; 47(7): 3448-54, 2013 Apr 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23442209

RESUMO

Steel production accounts for 25% of industrial carbon emissions. Long-term forecasts of steel demand and scrap supply are needed to develop strategies for how the steel industry could respond to industrialization and urbanization in the developing world while simultaneously reducing its environmental impact, and in particular, its carbon footprint. We developed a dynamic stock model to estimate future final demand for steel and the available scrap for 10 world regions. Based on evidence from developed countries, we assumed that per capita in-use stocks will saturate eventually. We determined the response of the entire steel cycle to stock saturation, in particular the future split between primary and secondary steel production. During the 21st century, steel demand may peak in the developed world, China, the Middle East, Latin America, and India. As China completes its industrialization, global primary steel production may peak between 2020 and 2030 and decline thereafter. We developed a capacity model to show how extensive trade of finished steel could prolong the lifetime of the Chinese steelmaking assets. Secondary steel production will more than double by 2050, and it may surpass primary production between 2050 and 2060: the late 21st century can become the steel scrap age.


Assuntos
Aço/química , Resíduos , Internacionalidade , Metais/análise , Modelos Teóricos
19.
Environ Sci Technol ; 47(7): 3455-62, 2013 Apr 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23470090

RESUMO

Identifying strategies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from steel production requires a comprehensive model of the sector but previous work has either failed to consider the whole supply chain or considered only a subset of possible abatement options. In this work, a global mass flow analysis is combined with process emissions intensities to allow forecasts of future steel sector emissions under all abatement options. Scenario analysis shows that global capacity for primary steel production is already near to a peak and that if sectoral emissions are to be reduced by 50% by 2050, the last required blast furnace will be built by 2020. Emissions reduction targets cannot be met by energy and emissions efficiency alone, but deploying material efficiency provides sufficient extra abatement potential.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Indústrias , Aço/química , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Padrões de Referência , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Termodinâmica
20.
Environ Sci Technol ; 47(20): 11739-46, 2013 Oct 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24053762

RESUMO

Identifying strategies for reconciling human development and climate change mitigation requires an adequate understanding of how infrastructures contribute to well-being and greenhouse gas emissions. While direct emissions from infrastructure use are well-known, information about indirect emissions from their construction is highly fragmented. Here, we estimated the carbon footprint of the existing global infrastructure stock in 2008, assuming current technologies, to be 122 (-20/+15) Gt CO2. The average per-capita carbon footprint of infrastructures in industrialized countries (53 (± 6) t CO2) was approximately 5 times larger that that of developing countries (10 (± 1) t CO2). A globalization of Western infrastructure stocks using current technologies would cause approximately 350 Gt CO2 from materials production, which corresponds to about 35-60% of the remaining carbon budget available until 2050 if the average temperature increase is to be limited to 2 °C, and could thus compromise the 2 °C target. A promising but poorly explored mitigation option is to build new settlements using less emissions-intensive materials, for example by urban design; however, this strategy is constrained by a lack of bottom-up data on material stocks in infrastructures. Infrastructure development must be considered in post-Kyoto climate change agreements if developing countries are to participate on a fair basis.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Carbono/análise , Arquitetura de Instituições de Saúde , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Cidades , Materiais de Construção , Combustíveis Fósseis/análise , Produto Interno Bruto , Humanos
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