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1.
J Environ Manage ; 364: 121209, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38878566

RESUMO

Climate change exhibits a clear trend of escalating frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, posing heightened risks to drainage systems along the existing road networks. However, very few studies to date have investigated the consequences of projected future changes in rainfall on main road drainage and the resulting risk of road flooding. The work presented in this paper builds on the limited research by introducing a probabilistic model for assessing the impact of climate change on road drainage systems, incorporating climate uncertainty and drainage system variation. The probabilistic scenario-based model and associated framework offer a practical and innovative method for estimating the impact of short-duration storms under future climates for 2071-2100, in the absence of fine-resolution spatio-temporal data. The model also facilitates the assessment of the effectiveness of a climate adaptation strategy. An illustrative case-study of a road drainage system located in the south of Ireland is presented. It was found that the probability of road flooding during intense rainfall is projected to surpass the current acceptable limits set by Irish standards. Assessment of a proactive climate adaptation strategy implemented in 2015 indicated it may need to be adjusted to further reduce climate change impacts and optimise adaptation costs.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Inundações , Chuva , Irlanda , Modelos Teóricos , Drenagem
2.
J Law Med ; 30(3): 593-615, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38332598

RESUMO

The introduction of novel medical technology, such as artificial intelligence (AI), into traditional clinical practice presents legal liability challenges that need to be squarely addressed by litigants and courts when something goes wrong. Some of the most promising applications for the use of AI in medicine will lead to vexed liability questions. As AI in health care is in its relative infancy, there is a paucity of case law globally upon which to draw. This article analyses medical malpractice where AI is involved, what problems arise when applying the tort of negligence - such as establishing the essential elements of breach of duty of care and causation - and how can these can be addressed. Product liability under Australian Consumer Law is beyond the scope of this article. In order to address this question, the article: (1) identifies the general problems that black box AI causes in the health care sector; (2) identifies the problems that will arise in establishing breach and causation due to the "black box" nature of AI, with reference to the Civil Liability Act 2002 (NSW) and common law through two hypothetical examples; and (3) considers selected legal solutions to the problems caused by "black box" AI.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Imperícia , Austrália , Responsabilidade Legal , Atenção à Saúde
3.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 116(52): 26690-26696, 2019 Dec 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31843914

RESUMO

Climate shifts are key drivers of ecosystem change. Despite the critical importance of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean for global climate, the extent of climate-driven ecological change in this region remains controversial. In particular, the biological effects of changing sea ice conditions are poorly understood. We hypothesize that rapid postglacial reductions in sea ice drove biological shifts across multiple widespread Southern Ocean species. We test for demographic shifts driven by climate events over recent millennia by analyzing population genomic datasets spanning 3 penguin genera (Eudyptes, Pygoscelis, and Aptenodytes). Demographic analyses for multiple species (macaroni/royal, eastern rockhopper, Adélie, gentoo, king, and emperor) currently inhabiting southern coastlines affected by heavy sea ice conditions during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) yielded genetic signatures of near-simultaneous population expansions associated with postglacial warming. Populations of the ice-adapted emperor penguin are inferred to have expanded slightly earlier than those of species requiring ice-free terrain. These concerted high-latitude expansion events contrast with relatively stable or declining demographic histories inferred for 4 penguin species (northern rockhopper, western rockhopper, Fiordland crested, and Snares crested) that apparently persisted throughout the LGM in ice-free habitats. Limited genetic structure detected in all ice-affected species across the vast Southern Ocean may reflect both rapid postglacial colonization of subantarctic and Antarctic shores, in addition to recent genetic exchange among populations. Together, these analyses highlight dramatic, ecosystem-wide responses to past Southern Ocean climate change and suggest potential for further shifts as warming continues.

4.
Geophys Res Lett ; 48(8): e2020GL091883, 2021 Apr 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34149115

RESUMO

Many nations responded to the corona virus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic by restricting travel and other activities during 2020, resulting in temporarily reduced emissions of CO2, other greenhouse gases and ozone and aerosol precursors. We present the initial results from a coordinated Intercomparison, CovidMIP, of Earth system model simulations which assess the impact on climate of these emissions reductions. 12 models performed multiple initial-condition ensembles to produce over 300 simulations spanning both initial condition and model structural uncertainty. We find model consensus on reduced aerosol amounts (particularly over southern and eastern Asia) and associated increases in surface shortwave radiation levels. However, any impact on near-surface temperature or rainfall during 2020-2024 is extremely small and is not detectable in this initial analysis. Regional analyses on a finer scale, and closer attention to extremes (especially linked to changes in atmospheric composition and air quality) are required to test the impact of COVID-19-related emission reductions on near-term climate.

5.
Childs Nerv Syst ; 37(1): 167-175, 2021 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32661645

RESUMO

AIMS: The aims were to evaluate the safety of manipulation under anaesthesia (MUA) for atlantoaxial rotatory fixation (AARF) and the relative efficacy of rigid collar vs halo-body orthosis (HBO) in avoiding relapse and the need for open surgery. METHODS: Cases of CT-verified AARF treated by MUA were identified from a neurosurgical operative database. Demographic details, time to presentation and aetiology of AARF were ascertained through case note review. Cases were divided according to method of immobilisation after successful reduction, either rigid collar (group 1) or HBO (group 2). The primary outcome measure was relapse requiring open surgical arthrodesis. RESULTS: Thirty-three patients (2.2-12.7 years) satisfied inclusion criteria. Time to presentation varied from 1 day to 18 months. There were 19 patients in group 1 and 14 in group 2. There were no adverse events associated with MUA. 9/19 (47%) patients in group 1 resolved without need for further treatment compared with 10/14 (71%) in group 2 (p = 0.15). Of the 10 patients who failed group 1 treatment, four resolved after HBO. A total of ten patients (30%) failed treatment and required open surgery. CONCLUSIONS: MUA is a safe procedure for AARF where initial conservative measures have failed. MUA followed by immobilisation avoids the need for open surgery in over two thirds of cases. Immobilisation by cervical collar appears equally effective to HBO as an initial management, and so a step-wise approach may be reasonable. Delayed presentation may be a risk factor for relapse and need for open surgery.


Assuntos
Anestesia , Articulação Atlantoaxial , Luxações Articulares , Fusão Vertebral , Torcicolo , Articulação Atlantoaxial/diagnóstico por imagem , Articulação Atlantoaxial/cirurgia , Humanos , Tração
6.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 199(6): 747-759, 2019 03 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30216085

RESUMO

RATIONALE: Mediastinal lymph node (MLN) enlargement on chest computed tomography (CT) is prevalent in patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) and may reflect immunologic activation and subsequent cytokine-mediated immune cell trafficking. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine whether MLN enlargement on chest CT predicts clinical outcomes and circulating cytokine levels in ILD. METHODS: MLN measurements were obtained from chest CT scans of patients with ILD at baseline evaluation over a 10-year period. Patients with sarcoidosis and drug toxicity-related ILD were excluded. MLN diameter and location were assessed. Plasma cytokine levels were analyzed in a subset of patients. The primary outcome was transplant-free survival (TFS). Secondary outcomes included all-cause and respiratory hospitalizations, lung function, and plasma cytokine concentrations. Cox regression was used to assess mortality risk. Outcomes were assessed in three independent ILD cohorts. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Chest CT scans were assessed in 1,094 patients (mean age, 64 yr; 52% male). MLN enlargement (≥10 mm) was present in 66% (n = 726) and strongly predicted TFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-2.10; P = 0.008) and risk of all-cause and respiratory hospitalizations (internal rate of return [IRR], 1.52; 95% CI, 1.17-1.98; P = 0.002; and IRR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.15-2.53; P = 0.008, respectively) when compared with subjects with MLN <10 mm. Patients with MLN enlargement had lower lung function and decreased plasma concentrations of soluble CD40L (376 pg/ml vs. 505 pg/ml, P = 0.001) compared with those without MLN enlargement. Plasma IL-10 concentration >45 pg/ml predicted mortality (HR, 4.21; 95% CI, 1.21-14.68; P = 0.024). Independent analysis of external datasets confirmed these findings. CONCLUSIONS: MLN enlargement predicts TFS and hospitalization risk in ILD and is associated with decreased levels of a key circulating cytokine, soluble CD40L. Incorporating MLN and cytokine findings into current prediction models might improve ILD prognostication.


Assuntos
Doenças Pulmonares Intersticiais/mortalidade , Linfonodos/diagnóstico por imagem , Mediastino/diagnóstico por imagem , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
7.
J Adv Nurs ; 76(9): 2401-2415, 2020 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32395836

RESUMO

AIM: To evaluate the effectiveness of education using avatars for improving patients' heart failure knowledge and self-care. BACKGROUND: A lack of knowledge and self-care contributes to poor outcomes and rehospitalization for people with heart failure. DESIGN: A multi-centred, non-blinded pragmatic randomized controlled trial. METHODS: Heart failure patients were randomly assigned to intervention (avatar education application) or usual care groups. Participants were followed up at baseline, 30 and 90 days. ANCOVA was used to compare the scores of heart failure knowledge and self-care, between the two groups. Fisher's exact test was used to compare the two groups' heart failure-cause readmission. Bivariate exact binary logistic regression was used to identify the predictors associated with baseline levels of knowledge. RESULTS: A total of 36 participants were recruited (between October 2018 - March 2019). The mean age of participants was 67.5 (SD 11.3) years. At enrolment, approximately half (47.2%) have been living with Heart Failure for over 5 years. Two groups were comparable at baseline in their demographic and clinical characteristics. At 90 days, the intervention group participants had a higher increase in knowledge score on the Dutch Heart Failure Knowledge Scales compared with the control group (22.2% versus 3.7% P = .002, partial η2  = 0.262, 95% CI -2.755 to -0.686). There was no between-group difference observed at 30- or 90-day follow-up, on self-care behaviour (Self-care of heart failure index) or healthcare use. Overall satisfaction with the avatar app was 91.3%. CONCLUSION: The addition of a co-designed avatar app to usual care improved knowledge in our group of Heart Failure participants at 30 days and continued to increase up to 90 days. The results suggest that our avatar app was perceived as an enjoyable and engaging means of delivering critical knowledge and self-care information. IMPACT: Heart failure is associated with poor clinical outcomes (i.e., readmission rates and mortality rate) and substantial economic burden. The effectiveness of Heart Failure patient education using avatar have not been investigated previously. In this study, the avatar app improved knowledge and self-care behaviours. This innovation could be used at the bedside, at home by nurses, patients and families. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Trial Registry ACTRN12617001403325.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Autocuidado , Idoso , Austrália , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Conhecimento
8.
Qual Life Res ; 27(4): 993-998, 2018 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29350344

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To quantify the relationship between the change in exercise dose and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in a cohort of patients participating in a community-based phase-3 cardiac rehabilitation (CR) program. METHODS: A retrospective, pre-experimental (no control group) design of 58 participants that completed a phase-3, 12-week exercise-based CR program was used to test the current hypothesis. Self-reported HRQoL (36-Item Short Form Health Survey Version 2, SF-36v2) was assessed prior and after completing the CR program. The change in exercise dose was estimated from the assigned training load in weeks 1 and 12 of the CR program. A series of regression models were fitted to ascertain the relationship between the change in exercise dose and changes in the SF-36v2. RESULTS: There was a strong quadratic trend between the change in exercise dose and the mean change in SF-36 Mental and Physical Health Summary Scores. Analysis of covariance showed that the mean changes in the SF-36 Summary Scores statistically fluctuate across quartiles of exercise dose. The data show that there is a threshold amount of increase in exercise (Q2; 350-510 kcal week- 1) needed to HRQoL and that greater amounts of exercise dose (Q3; 511-687 and Q4 ≥ 688 kcal week- 1) did not improve HRQoL further. CONCLUSIONS: The current findings suggest that physical and mental health-related quality of life are improved with a phase-3 CR program. The dose-response relationship observed indicates that a threshold exercise dose is required to improve HRQoL, and that larger doses of exercise do not confer further improvements in HRQoL.


Assuntos
Reabilitação Cardíaca/métodos , Metabolismo Energético/fisiologia , Terapia por Exercício/métodos , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Qualidade de Vida/psicologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos
9.
BMC Evol Biol ; 16(1): 211, 2016 Oct 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27733109

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Seabirds are important components of marine ecosystems, both as predators and as indicators of ecological change, being conspicuous and sensitive to changes in prey abundance. To determine whether fluctuations in population sizes are localised or indicative of large-scale ecosystem change, we must first understand population structure and dispersal. King penguins are long-lived seabirds that occupy a niche across the sub-Antarctic zone close to the Polar Front. Colonies have very different histories of exploitation, population recovery, and expansion. RESULTS: We investigated the genetic population structure and patterns of colonisation of king penguins across their current range using a dataset of 5154 unlinked, high-coverage single nucleotide polymorphisms generated via restriction site associated DNA sequencing (RADSeq). Despite breeding at a small number of discrete, geographically separate sites, we find only very slight genetic differentiation among colonies separated by thousands of kilometers of open-ocean, suggesting migration among islands and archipelagos may be common. Our results show that the South Georgia population is slightly differentiated from all other colonies and suggest that the recently founded Falkland Island colony is likely to have been established by migrants from the distant Crozet Islands rather than nearby colonies on South Georgia, possibly as a result of density-dependent processes. CONCLUSIONS: The observed subtle differentiation among king penguin colonies must be considered in future conservation planning and monitoring of the species, and demographic models that attempt to forecast extinction risk in response to large-scale climate change must take into account migration. It is possible that migration could buffer king penguins against some of the impacts of climate change where colonies appear panmictic, although it is unlikely to protect them completely given the widespread physical changes projected for their Southern Ocean foraging grounds. Overall, large-scale population genetic studies of marine predators across the Southern Ocean are revealing more interconnection and migration than previously supposed.


Assuntos
Migração Animal/fisiologia , Ecossistema , Genética Populacional , Spheniscidae/genética , Animais , Regiões Antárticas , Teorema de Bayes , Análise por Conglomerados , Análise Discriminante , Variação Genética , Técnicas de Genotipagem , Geografia , Filogeografia , Densidade Demográfica , Análise de Componente Principal
10.
AJR Am J Roentgenol ; 205(6): 1208-14, 2015 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26587927

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the additional value of whole-lesion histogram apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) metrics, when combined with standard pathologic features, in prediction of biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included 193 patients (mean age, 61 ± 7 years) who underwent 3-T MRI with DWI (b values, 50 and 1000 s/mm(2)) before prostatectomy. Histogram metrics were derived from 3D volumes of interest encompassing the entire lesion on ADC maps. Pathologic features from radical prostatectomy and subsequent BCR were recorded for each patient. The Fisher exact test and Mann-Whitney test were used to compare ADC-based metrics and pathologic features between patients with and patients without BCR. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to construct multivariable models for prediction of BCR, which were assessed by ROC analysis. RESULTS: BCR occurred in 16.6% (32/193) of patients. Variables significantly associated with BCR included primary Gleason grade, Gleason score, extraprostatic extension, seminal vesicle invasion, positive surgical margin, preoperative prostate-specific antigen level, MRI tumor volume, mean whole-lesion ADC, entropy ADC, and mean ADC of the bottom 10th, 10-25th, and 25-50th percentiles (p ≤ 0.019). Significant independent predictors of BCR at multivariable analysis were primary Gleason grade, extraprostatic extension, mean of the bottom 10th percentile ADC, and entropy ADC (p = 0.002-0.037). The AUC of this multivariable model was 0.94 for prediction of BCR; the AUC of pathologic features alone was 0.89 (p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: A model integrating whole-lesion ADC metrics had significantly higher performance for prediction of BCR than did standard pathologic features alone and may help guide postoperative prognostic assessments and decisions regarding adjuvant therapy.


Assuntos
Imagem de Difusão por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/patologia , Prostatectomia , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/cirurgia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Meios de Contraste , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gradação de Tumores , Invasividade Neoplásica/patologia
11.
Front Zool ; 11(1): 83, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25426158

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Urbanization can considerably impact animal ecology, evolution, and behavior. Among the new conditions that animals experience in cities is anthropogenic noise, which can limit the sound space available for animals to communicate using acoustic signals. Some urban bird species increase their song frequencies so that they can be heard above low-frequency background city noise. However, the ability to make such song modifications may be constrained by several morphological factors, including bill gape, size, and shape, thereby limiting the degree to which certain species can vocally adapt to urban settings. We examined the relationship between song characteristics and bill morphology in a species (the house finch, Haemorhous mexicanus) where both vocal performance and bill size are known to differ between city and rural animals. RESULTS: We found that bills were longer and narrower in more disturbed, urban areas. We observed an increase in minimum song frequency of urban birds, and we also found that the upper frequency limit of songs decreased in direct relation to bill morphology. CONCLUSIONS: These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that birds with longer beaks and therefore longer vocal tracts sing songs with lower maximum frequencies because longer tubes have lower-frequency resonances. Thus, for the first time, we reveal dual constraints (one biotic, one abiotic) on the song frequency range of urban animals. Urban foraging pressures may additionally interact with the acoustic environment to shape bill traits and vocal performance.

12.
Ann Pharmacother ; 48(1): 48-53, 2014 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24259636

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend that clopidogrel should be held for 5 days prior to coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) procedure. However, it is unknown if this recommendation should apply to robotic-assisted (rCABG), which is less invasive because it does not involve sternotomy and thus reduces the risk of bleeding. OBJECTIVE: To compare postoperative bleeding for rCABG patients who were taking clopidogrel within 5 days of the procedure with those who were not taking clopidogrel. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted between January 1, 2012 and December 31, 2012 of consecutive patients undergoing rCABG. Patients were categorized into 2 groups based on whether or not clopidogrel was administered within 5 days prior to the date of surgery. The primary outcome measure was the occurrence of the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) definition for CABG-related bleeding. The secondary outcome measure was a comparison of chest tube output during the first 24-hour postoperative period. RESULTS: A total of 136 rCABG patients were included in the final analyses. Of these, 39 (29%) received clopidogrel within 5 days of surgery. CABG-related bleeding using the BARC definition occurred in 26% of patients who received clopidogrel and 8% of patients who did not (P = .011). Median chest tube output during the first 24-hour postoperative period was also greater in patients who received clopidogrel (900 vs 735 mL, P = .002). CONCLUSIONS: The use of clopidogrel within 5 days of rCABG is associated with greater postoperative bleeding and chest tube output, as defined by the BARC criteria.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária/métodos , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária/efeitos adversos , Hemorragia Pós-Operatória/induzido quimicamente , Ticlopidina/análogos & derivados , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Clopidogrel , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Hemorragia Pós-Operatória/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Robótica , Centros de Atenção Terciária/estatística & dados numéricos , Ticlopidina/efeitos adversos
13.
J Sports Sci Med ; 13(3): 702-7, 2014 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25177202

RESUMO

The purpose of this study was to compare the effectiveness of either continuous moderate intensity exercise training (CMIET) alone vs. CMIET combined with a single weekly bout of high intensity interval training (HIIT) on cardiorespiratory fitness. Twenty nine sedentary participants (36.3 ± 6.9 yrs) at moderate risk of cardiovascular disease were recruited for 12 weeks of exercise training on a treadmill and cycle ergometer. Participants were randomised into three groups: CMIET + HIIT (n = 7; 8-12 x 60 sec at 100% VO2max, 150 sec active recovery), CMIET (n = 6; 30 min at 45-60% oxygen consumption reserve (VO2R)) and a sedentary control group (n = 7). Participants in the CMIET + HIIT group performed a single weekly bout of HIIT and four weekly sessions of CMIET, whilst the CMIET group performed five weekly CMIET sessions. Probabilistic magnitude-based inferences were determined to assess the likelihood that the true value of the effect represents substantial change. Relative VO2max increased by 10.1% (benefit possible relative to control) in in the CMIET + HIIT group (32.7 ± 9.2 to 36.0 ± 11.5 mL·kg(-1)·min(-1)) and 3.9% (benefit possible relative to control) in the CMIET group (33.2 ± 4.0 to 34.5 ± 6.1 mL·kg(-1)·min(-1)), whilst there was a 5.7% decrease in the control group (30.0 ± 4.6 to 28.3 ± 6.5 mL·kg(-1)·min(-1)). It was 'unclear' if a clinically significant difference existed between the effect of CMIET + HIIT and CMIET on the change in VO2max. Both exercising groups showed clinically meaningful improvements in VO2max. Nevertheless, it remains 'unclear' whether one type of exercise training regimen elicits a superior improvement in cardiorespiratory fitness relative to its counterpart. Key PointsBoth continuous moderate intensity exercise training (CMIET) alone and CMIET combined with a single weekly bout of high intensity interval training (CMIET + HIIT) elicit 'possibly beneficial' clinically meaningful improvements in cardiorespiratory fitness.Cardiorespiratory fitness improved by ~1.0 MET in the CMIET + HIIT exercise intervention group, which likely leads to important long-term prevention implications as a 1 MET increase in cardiorespiratory fitness has been linked with an 18% reduction in deaths due to CVD.There was 100% adherence to interval sessions in the CMIET + HIIT group, suggesting this combination of training can be well-tolerated in previously inactive overweight/obese individuals.

14.
Stroke ; 44(6): 1676-81, 2013 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23549134

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of stroke prevention in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation by using novel oral anticoagulants apixaban 5 mg, dabigatran 150 mg, and rivaroxaban 20 mg compared with warfarin. METHODS: A Markov decision-analysis model was constructed using data from clinical trials to evaluate lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years of novel oral anticoagulants compared with warfarin. The modeled population was a hypothetical cohort of 70-year-old patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, increased risk for stroke (CHADS2 ≥ 1), renal creatinine clearance ≥ 50 mL/min, and no previous contraindications to anticoagulation. The willingness-to-pay threshold was $50 000/quality-adjusted life-years gained. RESULTS: In the base case, warfarin had the lowest cost of $77 813 (SD, $2223), followed by rivaroxaban 20 mg ($78 738 ± $1852), dabigatran 150 mg ($82 719 ± $1959), and apixaban 5 mg ($85 326 ± $1512). Apixaban 5 mg had the highest quality-adjusted life-years estimate at 8.47 (SD, 0.06), followed by dabigatran 150 mg (8.41 ± 0.07), rivaroxaban 20 mg (8.26 ± 0.06), and warfarin (7.97 ± 0.04). In a Monte Carlo probabilistic sensitivity analysis, apixaban 5 mg, dabigatran 150 mg, rivaroxaban 20 mg, and warfarin were cost-effective in 45.1%, 40%, 14.9%, 0% of the simulations, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation and an increased risk of stroke prophylaxis, apixaban 5 mg, dabigatran 150 mg, and rivaroxaban 20 mg were all cost-effective alternatives to warfarin. The cost-effectiveness of novel oral anticoagulantss was dependent on therapy pricing in the United States and neurological events associated with rivaroxaban 20 mg.


Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Benzimidazóis/economia , Morfolinas/economia , Pirazóis/economia , Piridonas/economia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Tiofenos/economia , Varfarina/economia , beta-Alanina/análogos & derivados , Administração Oral , Idoso , Anticoagulantes/administração & dosagem , Anticoagulantes/economia , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Benzimidazóis/administração & dosagem , Benzimidazóis/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Coortes , Análise Custo-Benefício , Dabigatrana , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Humanos , Cadeias de Markov , Modelos Estatísticos , Morfolinas/administração & dosagem , Morfolinas/uso terapêutico , Pirazóis/administração & dosagem , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Piridonas/administração & dosagem , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Fatores de Risco , Rivaroxabana , Tiofenos/administração & dosagem , Tiofenos/uso terapêutico , Estados Unidos , Varfarina/administração & dosagem , Varfarina/uso terapêutico , beta-Alanina/administração & dosagem , beta-Alanina/economia , beta-Alanina/uso terapêutico
15.
Europace ; 15(2): 212-8, 2013 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22968849

RESUMO

AIMS: We sought to characterise driving habits of contemporary implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a multicentre prospective observational study of consecutive ICD recipients. Non-commercial drivers with a valid licence were eligible. Patient and ICD data were recorded. All patients completed an anonymous questionnaire regarding their driving habits. Among 275 patients, 25 (9.1%) stopped driving permanently after ICD implantation. During a mean follow-up of 26.5 ± 4.5 months, 25.3% of patients received an ICD shock (52.5% appropriate). The median time to first shock was 7.0 (2.5, 17.5) months and was not significantly different between primary and secondary ICD patients. However, shocks (36.5 vs. 21.3%, P = 0.027) and recurrent shock episodes (17.5 vs. 6.2%, P = 0.011) were more common in secondary ICD patients. Physician-recommended driving restrictions were not recalled by 37.9% and not followed by 23.0% of patients. Overall, the mean duration of driving abstinence was 2.2 ± 2.9 and 3.6 ± 5.3 months for primary and secondary patients, respectively. Notably, 36.5% of secondary patients drove within 1 month. Eight patients (3.3%) received a shock while driving, five of which resulted in road traffic accidents. The annual risk of a shock while driving was 1.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Patient driving behaviour following ICD implantation is variable, with over one-third not remembering and almost one-quarter not adhering to physician-directed driving restrictions. Over one-third of secondary ICD patients drive within 1 month despite physician recommendations. Further studies are required to establish the optimal duration of driving restriction in ICD recipients.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Condução de Veículo/estatística & dados numéricos , Desfibriladores Implantáveis/efeitos adversos , Desfibriladores Implantáveis/estatística & dados numéricos , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Irlanda/epidemiologia , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
16.
Med Leg J ; 91(4): 193-197, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36659838

RESUMO

Some encouraging uses for AI in medicine will lead to potentially novel legal liability issues. Complex algorithms involve an opacity that creates problems for the medical and legal professions alike. As iatrogenic injury is common in medical malpractice, the medical profession is understandably concerned when AI is introduced in diagnostic and therapeutic devices and events and outcome cannot be fully explained due to the "black box" effect.A concern about machine learning algorithms is the black box issue and understanding how conclusions or outcomes are reached. The deployment of AI devices in healthcare will require an increase in a clinician's understanding of AI to increase the transparency of their use.An important aspect of medical treatment is the notion of "therapeutic privilege". This will only arise in limited circumstances and requires the clinician to make a judgment, based on reasonable grounds, that the patient's physical or mental health might be seriously harmed by providing the information.Given the complexity of AI and the black box effect, could too much AI transparency possibly overwhelm a patient, such that it may dissuade them from giving consent in circumstances where treatment is necessary and essential? In other words, too much AI transparency and information may inadvertently hinder treatment and progress.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Imperícia , Humanos , Atenção à Saúde , Responsabilidade Legal
17.
Brain Behav Evol ; 80(4): 254-68, 2012.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23038153

RESUMO

Penguins are a group of flightless seabirds that exhibit numerous morphological, behavioral and ecological adaptations to their amphibious lifestyle, but little is known about the topographic organization of neurons in their retinas. In this study, we used retinal wholemounts and stereological methods to estimate the total number and topographic distribution of retinal ganglion cells in addition to an anatomical estimate of spatial resolving power in two species of penguins: the little penguin, Eudyptula minor, and the king penguin, Aptenodytes patagonicus. The total number of ganglion cells per retina was approximately 1,200,000 in the little penguin and 1,110,000 in the king penguin. The topographic distribution of retinal ganglion cells in both species revealed the presence of a prominent horizontal visual streak with steeper gradients in the little penguin. The little penguin retinas showed ganglion cell density peaks of 21,867 cells/mm², affording spatial resolution in water of 17.07-17.46 cycles/degree (12.81-13.09 cycles/degree in air). In contrast, the king penguin showed a relatively lower peak density of ganglion cells of 14,222 cells/mm², but--due to its larger eye--slightly higher spatial resolution in water of 20.40 cycles/degree (15.30 cycles/degree in air). In addition, we mapped the distribution of giant ganglion cells in both penguin species using Nissl-stained wholemounts. In both species, topographic mapping of this cell type revealed the presence of an area gigantocellularis with a concentric organization of isodensity contours showing a peak in the far temporal retina of approximately 70 cells/mm² in the little penguin and 39 cells/mm² in the king penguin. Giant ganglion cell densities gradually fall towards the outermost isodensity contours revealing the presence of a vertically organized streak. In the little penguin, we confirmed our cytological characterization of giant ganglion cells using immunohistochemistry for microtubule-associated protein 2. This suite of retinal specializations, which is also observed in the closely related procellariiform seabirds, affords the eyes of the little and king penguins panoramic surveillance of the horizon and motion detection in the frontal visual field.


Assuntos
Retina/anatomia & histologia , Células Ganglionares da Retina/citologia , Células Ganglionares da Retina/fisiologia , Spheniscidae/anatomia & histologia , Spheniscidae/fisiologia , Acuidade Visual/fisiologia , Animais , Contagem de Células/métodos , Contagem de Células/estatística & dados numéricos , Imagem Molecular/métodos , Especificidade da Espécie
18.
Radiol Clin North Am ; 60(5): 795-808, 2022 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35989045

RESUMO

Focal nodular hyperplasia-like (FNH-like) nodules are hepatocellular lesions with similar radiologic and pathologic features as typical FNH but occur within an abnormal liver. They arise due to alteration of hepatic vasculature at both the microscopic and macroscopic levels. Although these nodules are not thought to have malignant potential, their imaging features overlap with premalignant and malignant lesions including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and arise in patients who may be at risk for HCC, posing a diagnostic and management dilemma. It is important to consider these benign entities when reviewing liver imaging of patients at risk for HCC to reduce unnecessary interventions.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hiperplasia Nodular Focal do Fígado , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico por imagem , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patologia , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Hiperplasia Nodular Focal do Fígado/diagnóstico por imagem , Hiperplasia Nodular Focal do Fígado/patologia , Humanos , Fígado/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética
19.
Ann Pharmacother ; 45(1): 60-77, 2011 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21205950

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To provide a comprehensive review of the pharmacotherapy associated with the provision of mechanical circulatory support (MCS) to patients with end-stage heart failure and guidance regarding the selection, assessment, and optimization of drug therapy for this population. DATA SOURCES: The MEDLINE/PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases were searched from 1960 to July 2010 for articles published in English using the search terms mechanical circulatory support, ventricular assist system, ventricular assist device, left ventricular assist device, right ventricular assist device, biventricular assist device, total artificial heart, pulsatile, positive displacement, axial, centrifugal, hemostasis, bleeding, hemodynamic, blood pressure, thrombosis, antithrombotic therapy, anticoagulant, antiplatelet, right ventricular failure, ventricular arrhythmia, anemia, arteriovenous malformation, stroke, infection, and clinical pharmacist. STUDY SELECTION AND DATA EXTRACTION: All relevant original studies, meta-analyses, systematic reviews, guidelines, and reviews were assessed for inclusion. References from pertinent articles were examined for content not found during the initial search. DATA SYNTHESIS: MCS has advanced significantly since the first left ventricular assist device was implanted in 1966. Further advancements in MCS technology that occurred in the latter decade are changing the overall management of endstage heart failure care and cardiac transplantation. These pumps allow for improved bridge-to-transplant rates, enhanced survival, and quality of life. Pharmacotherapy associated with MCS devices may optimize the performance of the pumps and improve patient outcomes, as well as minimize morbidity related to their adverse effects. This review highlights the knowledge needed to provide appropriate clinical pharmacy services for patients supported by MCS devices. CONCLUSIONS: The HeartMate II clinical investigators called for the involvement of pharmacists in MCS patient assessment and optimization. Pharmacotherapeutic management of patients supported with MCS devices requires individualized care, with pharmacists as part of the team, based on the characteristics of each pump and recipient.


Assuntos
Circulação Assistida/métodos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Assistência Farmacêutica/tendências , Circulação Assistida/efeitos adversos , Circulação Assistida/tendências , Terapia Combinada , Humanos , Farmacêuticos , Medicina de Precisão , Papel Profissional
20.
Artif Organs ; 35(11): 1018-23, 2011 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22097979

RESUMO

Anticoagulation of children on mechanical circulatory support presents a challenge. We implanted 28 devices in children and infants using a consistent anticoagulation protocol. We performed a retrospective review of all children implanted in our program with mechanical assist devices since 1997. Heparin, dipyridamole, and aspirin were used for anticoagulation and antiaggregation. Coagulation monitoring included thromboelastography (TEG), platelet aggregration studies, international normalized ratio, partial thromboplastin time, and platelet count. Twenty-eight children, ages 1 month to 16 years (mean 5.3; median 2.4 years), were implanted for 3-107 days (mean 27; median 17). Eighteen received left ventricular assist devices, seven received biventricular assist devices, and three received total artificial hearts. Adverse events during the 720 days of device support included the following: six (21%) reoperations for bleeding; seven strokes (25%): two fatal, two with a mild residual deficit, and three without deficit; and three (11%) visceral emboli: two fatal and one nonfatal. There were eight deaths (29%). Causes of death were embolic (four), graft failure post-transplantation (one), preimplant anoxic brain damage (two), and postexplant heart failure (one). 24/28 (86%) survived to transplantation or weaning from device and 20/28 (71%) were discharged from the hospital, 10 after transplantation and 10 after native heart recovery. All 20 early survivors survived long term. We describe an anticoagulation protocol based upon TEG and platelet aggregation studies and using heparin, aspirin, and dipyridamole. Adequate anticoagulation is more difficult in children. However, 71% of the patients in our study survived long term.


Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Dipiridamol/uso terapêutico , Coração Auxiliar , Heparina/uso terapêutico , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária/uso terapêutico , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Coração Auxiliar/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Agregação Plaquetária/efeitos dos fármacos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Tromboelastografia
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