Earned outcomes correlate with reliability-adjusted surgical mortality after abdominal aortic aneurysm repair and predict future performance.

OBJECTIVE: Cumulative, probability-based metrics are regularly used to measure quality in professional sports, but these methods have not been applied to health care delivery. These techniques have the potential to be particularly useful in describing surgical quality, where case volume is variable and outcomes tend to be dominated by statistical "noise." The established statistical technique used to adjust for differences in case volume is reliability-adjustment, which emphasizes statistical "signal" but has several limitations. We sought to validate a novel measure of surgical quality based on earned outcomes methods (deaths above average [DAA]) against reliability-adjusted mortality rates, using abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair outcomes to illustrate the measure's performance. METHODS: Earned outcomes methods were used to calculate the outcome of interest for each patient: DAA. Hospital-level DAA was calculated for non-ruptured open AAA repair and endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) in the Vascular Quality Initiative database from 2016 to 2019. DAA for each center is the sum of observed - predicted risk of death for each patient; predicted risk of death was calculated using established multivariable logistic regression modeling. Correlations of DAA with reliability-adjusted mortality rates and procedure volume were determined. Because an accurate quality metric should correlate with future results, outcomes from 2016 to 2017 were used to categorize hospital quality based on: (1) risk-adjusted mortality; (2) risk- and reliability-adjusted mortality; and (3) DAA. The best performing quality metric was determined by comparing the ability of these categories to predict 2018 to 2019 risk-adjusted outcomes. RESULTS: During the study period, 3734 patients underwent open repair (106 hospitals), and 20,680 patients underwent EVAR (183 hospitals). DAA was closely correlated with reliability-adjusted mortality rates for open repair (r = 0.94; P < .001) and EVAR (r = 0.99; P < .001). DAA also correlated with hospital case volume for open repair (r = -.54; P < .001), but not EVAR (r = 0.07; P = .3). In 2016 to 2017, most hospitals had 0% mortality (55% open repair, 57% EVAR), making it impossible to evaluate these hospitals using traditional risk-adjusted mortality rates alone. Further, zero mortality hospitals in 2016 to 2017 did not demonstrate improved outcomes in 2018 to 2019 for open repair (3.8% vs 4.6%; P = .5) or EVAR (0.8% vs 1.0%; P = .2) compared with all other hospitals. In contrast to traditional risk-adjustment, 2016 to 2017 DAA evenly divided centers into quality quartiles that predicted 2018 to 2019 performance with increased mortality rate associated with each decrement in quality quartile (Q1, 3.2%; Q2, 4.0%; Q3, 5.1%; Q4, 6.0%). There was a significantly higher risk of mortality at worst quartile open repair hospitals compared with best quartile hospitals (odds ratio, 2.01; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-3.76; P = .03). Using 2016 to 2019 DAA to define quality, highest quality quartile open repair hospitals had lower median DAA compared with lowest quality quartile hospitals (-1.18 DAA vs +1.32 DAA; P < .001), correlating with lower median reliability-adjusted mortality rates (3.6% vs 5.1%; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Adjustment for differences in hospital volume is essential when measuring hospital-level outcomes. Earned outcomes accurately categorize hospital quality and correlate with reliability-adjustment but are easier to calculate and interpret. From 2016 to 2019, highest quality open AAA repair hospitals prevented >40 perioperative deaths compared with the average hospital, and >80 perioperative deaths compared with lowest quality hospitals.

Real-world application of Wound, Ischemia, and foot Infection scores in peripheral arterial disease patients.

OBJECTIVE: The Society for Vascular Surgery (SVS) Wound, Ischemia, and foot Infection (WIfI) classification system aims to risk stratify patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI), predicting both amputation rates and the need for revascularization. However, real-world use of the system and whether it predicts outcomes accurately after open revascularization and peripheral interventions is unclear. Therefore, we sought to determine the adoption of the WIfI classification system within a contemporary statewide collaborative as well as the impact of patient factor, and WIfI risk assessment on short- and long-term outcomes. METHODS: Using data from a large statewide collaborative, we identified patients with CLTI undergoing open surgical revascularization or peripheral vascular intervention (PVI) between 2016 and 2022. The primary exposure was preoperative clinical WIfI stage. Patients were categorized according to the SVS Lower Extremity Threatened Limb Classification System into clinical WIfI stages 1, 2, 3, or 4. The primary outcomes were 30-day and 1-year amputation and mortality rates. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to estimate the association of WIfI stage on postrevascularization outcomes. RESULTS: In the cohort of 17,417 patients, 83.4% (n = 14,529) had WIfI stage documented. PVIs were performed on 57.6% of patients, and 42.4% underwent an open surgical revascularization. Of the patients, 49.5% were classified as stage 1, 19.3% stage 2, 12.8% stage 3, and 18.3% of patients met stage 4 criteria. Stage 3 and 4 patients had higher rates of diabetes, congestive heart failure, and renal failure, and were less likely to be current or former smokers. One-half of stage 3 patients underwent open surgical revascularization, whereas stage 1 patients were most likely to have received a PVI (64%). As WIfI stage increased from 1 to 4, 1-year mortality increased from 12% to 21% (P < .001), 30-day amputation rates increased from 5% to 38% (P < .001), and 1-year amputation rates increased from 15% to 55% (P < .001). Finally, patients who did not have WIfI scores classified had significantly higher 30-day and 1-year mortality rates, as well as higher 30-day and 1-year amputation rates. CONCLUSIONS: The SVS WIfI clinical stage is significantly associated with 1-year amputation rates in patients with CLTI after lower extremity revascularization. Because nearly 55% of stage 4 patients require a major amputation within 1 year of intervention, this finding study supports use of the WIfI classification system in clinical decision-making for patients with CLTI.

Association between socioeconomic deprivation and bone health status in the UK biobank cohort participants.

The effect of deprivation on total bone health status has not been well defined. We examined the relationship between socioeconomic deprivation and poor bone health and falls and we found a significant association. The finding could be beneficial for current public health strategies to minimise disparities in bone health. PURPOSE: Socioeconomic deprivation is associated with many illnesses including increased fracture incidence in older people. However, the effect of deprivation on total bone health status has not been well defined. To examine the relationship between socioeconomic deprivation and poor bone health and falls, we conducted a cross-sectional study using baseline measures from the United Kingdom (UK) Biobank cohort comprising 502,682 participants aged 40-69 years at recruitment during 2006-2010. METHOD: We examined four outcomes: 1) low bone mineral density/osteopenia, 2) fall in last year, 3) fracture in the last five years, and 4) fracture from a simple fall in the last five years. To measure socioeconomic deprivation, we used the Townsend index of the participant's residential postcode. RESULTS: At baseline, 29% of participants had low bone density (T-score of heel < -1 standard deviation), 20% reported a fall in the previous year, and 10% reported a fracture in the previous five years. Among participants experiencing a fracture, 60% reported the cause as a simple fall. In the multivariable logistic regression model after controlling for other covariates, the odds of a fall, fracture in the last five years, fractures from simple fall, and osteopenia were respectively 1.46 times (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.42-1.49), 1.26 times (95% CI 1.22-1.30), 1.31 times (95% CI 1.26-1.36) and 1.16 times (95% CI 1.13-1.19) higher for the most deprived compared with the least deprived quantile. CONCLUSION: Socioeconomic deprivation was significantly associated with poor bone health and falls. This research could be beneficial to minimise social disparities in bone health.

Chronic kidney disease of unknown aetiology in Africa: A review of the literature.

During the last two decades, an epidemic of a severe form of chronic kidney disease (CKD) unrelated to traditional risk factors (diabetes and hypertension) has been recognized in low- to middle-income countries. CKD of unknown aetiology (CKDu) mainly affects young working-age adults, and has become as an important and devastating public health issue. CKDu is a multifactorial disease with associated genetic and environmental risk factors. This review summarizes the current epidemiological evidence on the burden of CKDu and its probable environmental risk factors contributing to CKD in Africa. PubMed/Medline and the African Journals Online databases were searched to identify relevant population-based studies published in the last two decades. In the general population, the burden of CKD attributable to CKDu varied from 19.4% to 79%. Epidemiologic studies have established that environmental factors, including genetics, infectious agents, rural residence, low socioeconomic status, malnutrition, agricultural practise and exposure to agrochemicals, heavy metals, use of traditional herbs, and contaminated water sources or food contribute to the burden of CKD in the region. There is a great need for epidemiological studies exploring the true burden of CKDu and unique geographical distribution, and the role of environmental factors in the development of CKD/CKDu.

Tubulointerstitial nephropathy is the predominant finding in men in a review of more than 3000 renal biopsies over a 10-year period from Sri Lanka.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant clinical challenge in Sri Lanka. The present study presents histopathological diagnoses from native renal biopsies in Kandy District, 2011-2020. METHODS: Reports of 5,014 renal biopsies principally performed at Kandy Teaching Hospital over 2011-2020 were reviewed. After exclusions for post-kidney transplant biopsies (1,572) and those without evident pathology (347), 3,095 biopsies were included. The predominant histopathological entities were grouped and categorised according to diagnosis and stratified by age and sex. RESULTS: The main histopathological entities (all biopsies) were tubulointerstitial nephropathy (TIN) 25% (n = 760), glomerulonephritis (GN) 15% (467), lupus nephropathy 14% (429), focal segmental glomerular sclerosis (FSGS) 10% (297), and IgA nephropathy (IgAN) 8% (242). For adult women ≥ 15 years, the main histopathological entities were lupus nephropathy 24% (325), TIN 17% (228), and GN 16% (217). For adult men ≥ 15 years, the main histopathological entities were TIN 34% (449), GN 14% (180), and IgAN 10% (125). The proportion of TIN in the present study was higher than international studies of a similar size. CONCLUSION: This is the largest study of renal biopsies reported from Sri Lanka to date. TIN was the most common diagnosis in adults ≥ 15 years at 25%. Notable sex differences showed TIN was the most common histopathology in men (34%) but not in women (17%). No previously published similar study of this size has found TIN as the predominant diagnosis amongst renal biopsies in men. Further research is required into the possible causes of these observations in Sri Lanka. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

Practical cooling interventions for preventing heat strain in indoor factory workers in Thailand.

BACKGROUND: Occupational heat stress, exacerbated by factors such as climate change and insufficient cooling solutions, endangers the health and productivity of workers, especially in low-resource workplaces. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of two cooling strategies in reducing physiological strain and productivity of piece-rate workers over a 9-h work shift in a southern Thailand sawmill. METHODS: In a crossover randomized control trial design, 12 (33 ± 7 y; 1.58 ± 0.05 m; 51 ± 9 kg; n = 5 females) medically screened sawmill workers were randomly allocated into three groups comprising an established phase change material vest (VEST), an on-site combination cooling oasis (OASIS) (i.e., hydration, cold towels, fans, water dousing), and no cooling (CON) across 3 consecutive workdays. Physiological strain was measured via core temperature telemetry and heart rate monitoring. Productivity was determined by counting the number of pallets of wood sorted, stacked, and stowed each day. RESULTS: Relative to CON, OASIS lowered core temperature by 0.25°C [95% confidence interval = 0.24, 0.25] and heart rate by 7 bpm [6, 9] bpm, compared to 0.17°C [0.17, 0.18] and 10 [9,12] bpm reductions with VEST. It was inconclusive whether productivity was statistically lower in OASIS compared to CON (mean difference [MD] = 2.5 [-0.2, 5.2]), and was not statistically different between VEST and CON (MD = 1.4 [-1.3, 4.1]). CONCLUSIONS: Both OASIS and VEST were effective in reducing physiological strain compared to no cooling. Their effect on productivity requires further investigation, as even small differences between interventions could lead to meaningful disparities in piece-rate worker earnings over time.

Temporal changes in temperature-related mortality in relation to the establishment of the heat-health alert system in Victoria, Australia.

Extreme heat alerts are the most common form of weather forecasting services used in Australia, yet very limited studies have documented their effectiveness in improving health outcomes. This study aimed to examine the temporal changes in temperature-related mortality in relation to the activation of the heat-health alert and response system (HARS) in the State of Victoria, Australia. We examined the relationship between temperatures and mortality using quasi-Poisson regression and the distributed lag non-linear model (dlnm) and compared the temperature-mortality association between the two periods: period 1- prior-HARS (1992-2009) and period 2- post-HARS (2010-2019). Since the HARS heavily weights heatwave effects, we also compared the main effects of heatwave events between the two periods. The heatwaves were defined for three levels, including 3 consecutive days at 97th, 98th, and 99th percentiles. We also controlled the potential confounding effect of seasonality by including a natural cubic B-spline of the day of the year with equally spaced knots and 8 degrees of freedom per year. The exposure-response curve reveals the temperature mortality was reduced in period 2 in comparison with period 1. The relative risk ratios (RRR) of Period 2 over Period 1 were all less than one and gradually decreased from 0.86 (95% CI, 0.72-1.03) to 0.64 (95% CI, 0.33-1.22), and the differences in attributable risk percent increased from 13.2 to 25.3%. The reduction in the risk of heatwave-related deaths decreased by 3.4% (RRp1 1.068, 95% CI, 1.024-1.112 versus RRp2 1.034, 95% CI, 0.986-1.082) and 10% (RRp1 1.16, 95% CI, 1.10-1.22 versus RRp2 1.06, 95% CI, 1.002-1.119) for all groups of people. The study indicated a decrease in heat-related mortality following the operation of HARS in Victoria under extreme heat and high-intensity heatwaves conditions. Further studies could investigate the extent of changes in mortality among populations of differing socio-economic groups during the operation of the heat-health alert system.

Association of Elective Surgical Volume With State Executive Order Curtailing Elective Surgery in Michigan During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to evaluate changes in elective surgical volume in Michigan while an executive order (EO) was in place curtailing elective surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Many state governors enacted EOs curtailing elective surgery to protect scare resources and generate hospital capacity for patients with COVID-19. Little is known of the effectiveness of an EO on achieving a sustained reduction in elective surgery. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study of data from a statewide claims-based registry in Michigan includes claims from the largest private payer in the state for a representative set of elective operations on adult patients from February 2 through August 1, 2020. We reported trends in surgical volume over the period the EO was in place. Estimated backlogs in elective surgery were calculated using case counts from the same period in 2019. RESULTS: Hospitals achieved a 91.7% reduction in case volume before the EO was introduced. By the time the order was rescinded, hospitals were already performing elective surgery at 60.1% of pre-pandemic case rates. We estimate that a backlog of 6419 operations was created while the EO was in effect. Had hospitals ceased elective surgery during this period, an additional 18% of patients would have experienced a delay in surgical care. CONCLUSIONS: Both the introduction and removal of Michigan's EO lagged behind the observed ramp-down and ramp-up in elective surgical volume. These data suggest that EOs may not effectively modulate surgical care and could also contribute to unnecessary delays in surgical care.

Direct and Indirect Effects of Race and Socioeconomic Deprivation on Outcomes After Lower Extremity Bypass.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the potential pathway, through which race and socioeconomic status, as measured by the social deprivation index (SDI), affect outcomes after lower extremity bypass chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI), a marker for delayed presentation. BACKGROUND: Racial and socioeconomic disparities persist in outcomes after lower extremity bypass; however, limited studies have evaluated the role of disease severity as a mediator to potentially explain these outcomes using clinical registry data. METHODS: We captured patients who underwent lower extremity bypass using a statewide quality registry from 2015 to 2021. We used mediation analysis to assess the direct effects of race and high values of SDI (fifth quintile) on our outcome measures: 30-day major adverse cardiac event defined by new myocardial infarction, transient ischemic attack/stroke, or death, and 30-day and 1-year surgical site infection (SSI), amputation and bypass graft occlusion. RESULTS: A total of 7077 patients underwent a lower extremity bypass procedure. Black patients had a higher prevalence of CLTI (80.63% vs 66.37%, P < 0.001). In mediation analysis, there were significant indirect effects where Black patients were more likely to present with CLTI, and thus had increased odds of 30-day amputation [odds ratio (OR): 1.11, 95% CI: 1.068-1.153], 1-year amputation (OR: 1.083, 95% CI: 1.045-1.123) and SSI (OR: 1.052, 95% CI: 1.016-1.089). There were significant indirect effects where patients in the fifth quintile for SDI were more likely to present with CLTI and thus had increased odds of 30-day amputation (OR: 1.065, 95% CI: 1.034-1.098) and SSI (OR: 1.026, 95% CI: 1.006-1.046), and 1-year amputation (OR: 1.068, 95% CI: 1.036-1.101) and SSI (OR: 1.026, 95% CI: 1.006-1.046). CONCLUSIONS: Black patients and socioeconomically disadvantaged patients tended to present with a more advanced disease, CLTI, which in mediation analysis was associated with increased odds of amputation and other complications after lower extremity bypass compared with White patients and those that were not socioeconomically disadvantaged.

Characterizing patient-reported claudication treatment goals to support patient-centered treatment selection and measurement strategies.

OBJECTIVE: Patient-reported outcomes (PRO) have been increasingly emphasized for peripheral artery disease (PAD). Patient-defined treatment goals and expectations, however, are poorly understood and might not be achievable or aligned with guidelines or clinical outcomes. We evaluated the patient-reported treatment goals among patients with claudication and the associations between patient characteristics, goals, and PAD-specific PRO scores. METHODS: Patients with a diagnosis of claudication were prospectively recruited. Patient-defined treatment goals and outcomes related to walking distance, duration, and speed were quantified using multiple-choice survey items. Free-text items were used to identify activities other than walking distance, duration, or speed associated with symptoms and treatment goals. The peripheral artery disease quality of life and walking impairment questionnaire instruments were included as PRO. The treatment goal categories were compared with the PRO percentile scores using 95% confidence intervals (CIs), categorical tests, and logistic regression models. Associations between the patient characteristics and PRO were evaluated using linear and ordinal logistic regression models. RESULTS: A total of 150 patients meeting the inclusion criteria were included in the present study. Of these 150 patients, 144 (96%) viewed the entire survey. Their mean age was 70.0 ± 11.3 years, and 32.9% were women. Most of the respondents had self-reported their race as White (n = 135), followed by Black (n = 3), Asian (n = 2), Native American (n = 2), and other/unknown (n = 2). Two participants self-reported Hispanic ethnicity. The primary treatment goals were an increased walking distance or duration without stopping (62.0%), the ability to perform a specific activity or task (23.0%), an increased walking speed (8.0%), or other/none of the above (7.0%). The specific activities associated with symptoms or goals included outdoor recreation (38.5%), labor-related tasks (30.7%), sports (26.9%), climbing stairs (23.1%), uphill walking (19.2%), and shopping (6%). Among the patients choosing an increased walking distance and duration as the primary goals, 64% had indicated that a distance of ≥0.5 mile (2640 ft) and 59% had indicated a duration of ≥30 minutes would be a minimum increase consistent with meaningful improvement. Increasing age was associated with lower odds of a distance improvement goal of ≥0.5 mile (odds ratio [OR], 0.68 per 5 years; 95% CI, 0.51-0.92; P = .012) or duration improvement goal of ≥30 minutes (OR, 0.76 per 5 years; 95% CI, 0.58-0.99; P = .047). Patient characteristics associated with PAD Quality of Life percentile scores included age, ankle brachial index, and gender. Ankle brachial index was the only patient characteristic associated with the walking impairment questionnaire percentile scores. CONCLUSIONS: Patients define treatment goals according to their desired activities and expectations, which may influence their goals and perceived outcomes. Patients' expectations of minimum increases in walking distance and duration consistent with meaningful improvement exceeded reported minimum important difference criteria for many patients and would not be captured using common clinic-based walking tests. Patient age was associated with both treatment goals and PRO scores, and the related floor and ceiling effects could influence sensitivity to PRO changes for younger and older patients, respectively. Heterogeneity in treatment goals supports consideration of tailored decision-making and outcomes informed by patient characteristics and perspectives.

Perioperative complications following open or endovascular revascularization for chronic limb-threatening ischemia in the BEST-CLI Trial.

OBJECTIVE: Anticipated perioperative morbidity is an important factor for choosing a revascularization method for chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI). Our goal was to assess systemic perioperative complications of patients treated with surgical and endovascular revascularization in the Best Endovascular vs Best Surgical Therapy in Patients with CLTI (BEST-CLI) trial. METHODS: BEST-CLI was a prospective randomized trial comparing open (OPEN) and endovascular (ENDO) revascularization strategies for patients with CLTI. Two parallel cohorts were studied: Cohort 1 included patients with adequate single-segment great saphenous vein (SSGSV), whereas Cohort 2 included those without SSGSV. Data were queried for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE-composite myocardial infarction, stroke, death), non-serious (non-SAEs) and serious adverse events (SAEs) (criteria-death/life-threatening/requiring hospitalization or prolongation of hospitalization/significant disability/incapacitation/affecting subject safety in trial) 30 days after the procedure. Per protocol analysis was used (intervention received without crossover), and risk-adjusted analysis was performed. RESULTS: There were 1367 patients (662 OPEN, 705 ENDO) in Cohort 1 and 379 patients (188 OPEN, 191 ENDO) in Cohort 2. Thirty-day mortality in Cohort 1 was 1.5% (OPEN 1.8%; ENDO 1.3%) and in Cohort 2 was 1.3% (2.7% OPEN; 0% ENDO). MACE in Cohort 1 was 4.7% for OPEN vs 3.13% for ENDO (P = .14), and in Cohort 2, was 4.28% for OPEN and 1.05% for ENDO (P = .15). On risk-adjusted analysis, there was no difference in 30-day MACE for OPEN vs ENDO for Cohort 1 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.85-2.64; P = .16) or Cohort 2 (HR, 2.17; 95% CI, 0.48-9.88; P = .31). The incidence of acute renal failure was similar across interventions; in Cohort 1 it was 3.6% for OPEN vs 2.1% for ENDO (HR, 1.6; 95% CI, 0.85-3.12; P = .14), and in Cohort 2, it was 4.2% OPEN vs 1.6% ENDO (HR, 2.86; 95% CI, 0.75-10.8; P = .12). The occurrence of venous thromboembolism was low overall and was similar between groups in Cohort 1 (OPEN 0.9%; ENDO 0.4%) and Cohort 2 (OPEN 0.5%; ENDO 0%). Rates of any non-SAEs in Cohort 1 were 23.4% in OPEN and 17.9% in ENDO (P = .013); in Cohort 2, they were 21.8% for OPEN and 19.9% for ENDO (P = .7). Rates for any SAEs in Cohort 1 were 35.3% for OPEN and 31.6% for ENDO (P = .15); in Cohort 2, they were 25.5% for OPEN and 23.6% for ENDO (P = .72). The most common types of non-SAEs and SAEs were infection, procedural complications, and cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: In BEST-CLI, patients with CLTI who were deemed suitable candidates for open lower extremity bypass surgery had similar peri-procedural complications following either OPEN or ENDO revascularization: In such patients, concern about risk of peri-procedure complications should not be a deterrent in deciding revascularization strategy. Rather, other factors, including effectiveness in restoring perfusion and patient preference, are more relevant.

Asthma and anxiety development in Australian children and adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Evidence has suggested a bidirectional association between both the effects and onset of asthma and anxiety. The direction of this association in children and adolescents is less clear. The study evaluates whether anxiety in children is associated with the development of later asthma or, by contrast, whether asthma in children precedes anxiety. METHODS: Parental reports from 9369 children at two age points (4-5 and 14-15 years old) and from baby (B) (recruited at birth in 2004) and kindergarten (K) (recruited at 4-5 years of age in 2004) cohorts of the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children (LSAC) were analyzed. Asthma cases were defined as reports of doctor-diagnosed asthma and the use of asthma medication or/and wheezing. Scores of the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ) defined anxiety. RESULTS: We found a unidirectional association between asthma in children aged 4-5 years and future anxiety development in weighted generalized linear adjusted models (B cohort OR (CI 95%) = 1.54 (1.14-2.08); K cohort OR (CI 95%) = 1.87 (1.40-2.49)). Children with asthma (no anxiety at 4 years) had a higher prevalence of anxiety in adolescence compared with nonasthmatics (B cohort = 26.8% vs 17.6%: K cohort = 27.7% vs 14.3%). Anxiety in childhood was not associated with the development of asthma from 6 years old to adolescence. CONCLUSION: Australian children with asthma have a greater risk of developing anxiety from 6 to 15 years old. This suggests that early multidisciplinary intervention may be required to support children with asthma to either prevent the increased risk of anxiety and/or promote optimal anxiety management.

Impact of Cannabis Use on Outcomes after Lower Extremity Bypass.

BACKGROUND: Cannabis is one of the most commonly used substances in the United States, with national use on the rise. However, there is a paucity of data regarding the effects of cannabis and surgical outcomes. The aim of this study was to assess the association of cannabis use on postoperative outcomes after lower extremity bypass. METHODS: We queried a large statewide registry from 2014 to 2021 to assess patients who underwent lower extremity bypass procedures. Data were gathered regarding cannabis use and the association with postoperative outcomes at 30 days and 1 year. RESULTS: A total of 11,013 patients were identified. Ninety-one percent of patients (10,024) reported no cannabis use, whereas 9.0% (989) reported cannabis use in the past month. Compared with noncannabis users, patients using cannabis had higher opioid use at discharge (odds ratio [OR]: 1.56, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.28-1.90), decreased bypass patency at 30 days (OR: 0.52, 95% CI: 0.36-0.78) and 1 year (OR: 0.64, 95% CI 0.47-0.86), and an increased amputation rate at 1 year (OR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.02-1.52) after lower extremity bypass. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that cannabis use in vascular surgical patients was associated with decreased graft patency, increased amputation, and increased opioid use after lower extremity bypass procedures. Although future studies are needed, the present study provides novel data that can be used to counsel patients undergoing vascular surgery.

A Novel Preoperative Risk Assessment Tool to Identify Patients at Risk of Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury After Endovascular Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair.

BACKGROUND: Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) after endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) is associated with mortality and morbidity. Risk stratification remains a vital component of preoperative evaluation. We sought to generate and validate a preprocedure CA-AKI risk stratification tool for elective EVAR patients. METHODS: We queried the Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan Cardiovascular Consortium database for elective EVAR patients and excluded those on dialysis, with a history of renal transplant, death during procedure, and without creatinine measures. Association with CA-AKI (rise in creatinine > 0.5 mg/dL) was tested using mixed-effects logistic regression. Variables associated with CA-AKI were used to generate a predictive model via a single classification tree. The variables selected by the classification tree were then validated by fitting a mixed-effects logistic regression model into the Vascular Quality Initiative dataset. RESULTS: Our derivation cohort included 7,043 patients, 3.5% of whom developed CA-AKI. After multivariate analysis, age (odds ratio [OR] 1.021, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.004-1.040), female sex (OR 1.393, CI 1.012-1.916), glomerular filtration rate (GFR) < 30 mL/min (OR 5.068, CI 3.255-7.891), current smoking (OR 1.942, CI 1.067-3.535), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 1.402, CI 1.066-1.843), maximum abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) diameter (OR 1.018, CI 1.006-1.029), and presence of iliac artery aneurysm (OR 1.352, CI 1.007-1.816) were associated with increased odds of CA-AKI. Our risk prediction calculator demonstrated that patients with a GFR < 30 mL/min, females, and patients with a maximum AAA diameter of > 6.9 cm are at a higher risk of CA-AKI after EVAR. Using the Vascular Quality Initiative dataset (N = 62,986), we found that GFR < 30 mL/min (OR 4.668, CI 4.007-5.85), female sex (OR 1.352, CI 1.213-1.507), and maximum AAA diameter > 6.9 cm (OR 1.824, CI 1.212-1.506) were associated with an increased risk of CA-AKI after EVAR. CONCLUSIONS: Herein, we present a simple and novel risk assessment tool that can be used preoperatively to identify patients at risk of CA-AKI after EVAR. Patients with a GFR < 30 mL/min, maximum AAA diameter > 6.9 cm, and females who are undergoing EVAR may be at risk for CA-AKI after EVAR. Prospective studies are needed to determine the efficacy of our model.

Assessment of Determinants of Value in Carotid Endarterectomy.

BACKGROUND: Over 150,000 carotid endarterectomies (CEA) are performed annually worldwide, accounting for $900 million in the United States alone. How cost/spending and quality are related is not well understood but remain essential components in maximizing value. We sought to identify determinants of variability in hospital 90-day episode value for CEA. METHODS: Medicare and private-payer admissions for CEA from January 2, 2014 to August 28, 2020 were linked to retrospective clinical registry data for hospitals in Michigan performing vascular surgery. Hospital-specific, risk-adjusted, 30-day composite complications (defined as reoperation, new neurologic deficit, myocardial infarction, additional procedure including CEA or carotid artery stenting, readmission, or mortality) and 30-day risk-adjusted, price-standardized total episode payments were used to categorize hospitals into low or high value by defining the intersection between complications and spending. RESULTS: A total of 6,595 patients across 39 hospitals were identified across both datasets. Patients at low-value hospitals had a higher rate of 30-day composite complications (17.9% vs. 10.1%, P < 0.001) driven by a significantly higher rate of reoperation (3.0% vs. 1.4%, P = 0.016), readmission (10.7% vs. 6.2%, P = 0.012), new neurologic deficit (4.6% vs. 2.3%, P = 0.017), and mortality (1.6% vs. 0.6%, P < 0.049). Mean total episode payments were $19,635 at low-value hospitals compared to $15,709 at high-value hospitals driven by index hospitalization ($10,800 vs. $9,587, P = 0.002), professional ($3,421 vs. $2,827, P < 0.001), readmission ($3,011 vs. $1,826, P < 0.001), and post-acute care payments ($2,335 vs. $1,486, P < 0.001). Findings were similar when only including patients who did not suffer a complication. CONCLUSIONS: There is tremendous variation in both quality and payments across hospitals included for CEA. Importantly, costs were higher at low-value hospitals independent of postoperative complication. There appears to be little to no relationship between total episode spending and surgical quality, suggesting that improvements in value may be possible by decreasing total episode cost without affecting surgical outcomes.

Low to Moderate Risk Non-orthopedic Surgical Patients Do Not Benefit From VTE Chemoprophylaxis.

This retrospective cohort study analyzes venous thromboembolism (VTE) incidence, morbidity, and mortality amongst postsurgical patients with and without VTE chemoprophylaxis within a quality collaborative. Postoperative thromboprophylaxis was broadly applied, yet was associated with no decrease in VTE, without affecting transfusion or mortality. Predictors of breakthrough VTE development despite evidence-based thromboprophylaxis are identified. OBJECTIVE: We hypothesized that a high rate of prescription of VTE chemoprophylaxis would be associated with decreased VTE incidence and mortality. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Recommendations for VTE prevention in surgical patients include chemoprophylaxis based upon preoperative risk stratification. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed VTE incidence, morbidity, and mortality amongst postsurgical patients with and without VTE chemoprophylaxis between April 2013 and September 2017 from 63 hospitals within the Michigan Surgical Quality Collaborative. A VTE risk assessment survey was distributed to providers. Bivariate and multivariate comparisons were made, as well as using propensity score matched cohorts to determine if VTE chemoprophylaxis was associated with decreased VTE events. Hospitals were compared using risk-reliability adjusted VTE prophylaxis and postoperative VTE event rates. RESULTS: Within the registry, 80% of practitioners reported performing formal VTE risk assessment. Amongst 32,856 operations, there were 480 (1.46%) postoperative VTE, and an overall mortality of 609 (1.85%) patients. Using a propensity matched cohort, we found that rates of VTE were similar in those receiving unfractionated heparin or low molecular weight heparin compared to those not receiving chemoprophylaxis (1.22 vs 1.13%, P = 0.57). When stratified further by VTE risk scoring, even the highest risk patients did not have an associated lower VTE rate (3.68 vs 4.22% P = 0.092). Postoperative transfusion (8.28 vs 7.50%, P = 0.057) and mortality (2.00% vs 1.62%, P = 0.064) rates were similar amongst those receiving and those not receiving chemoprophylaxis. No correlation was found between postoperative VTE chemoprophylaxis application and hospital specific risk adjusted postoperative VTE rates. CONCLUSIONS: In modern day postsurgical care, VTE remains a significant occurrence, despite wide adoption of VTE risk assessment. Although postoperative VTE chemoprophylaxis was broadly applied, after adjusting for confounders, no reduction in VTE was observed in at-risk surgical patients.

Opioid use in patients with peripheral arterial disease undergoing lower extremity bypass.

OBJECTIVE: Opioid use is common among patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD), given that pain is a defining symptom. Unfortunately, long-term opioid use places patients at dramatically increased risk of overdose and death. Although surgical revascularization is extremely effective in alleviating ischemic pain related to PAD, it is unclear whether this practice results in the discontinuation of opioids after surgery. Therefore, we conducted the following study to investigate trends in opioid use before and after surgical bypass in patients with PAD, as well as the risk factors for continued opioid use after surgery. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients undergoing open lower extremity bypass for claudication or rest pain between June 1, 2017, and March 31, 2021. Patients were grouped according to whether they reported preoperative opioid use at the time of surgery. The primary outcome was continued opioid use at 30-day follow-up after discharge. A multivariable logistic regression was conducted to estimate the association of continued opioid use with patient characteristics, preoperative opioid use, and receiving a postoperative opioid prescription. RESULTS: Among 3873 patients undergoing surgery, the mean age was 65.7 (10.2) years and 2650 (68.4%) patients were male. There were 913 patients (23.6%) who used opioids preoperatively and hydrocodone was the most common preoperative opioid (583 [63.9%]). At discharge, 2506 patients (64.7%) received a postoperative opioid prescription. Postoperative opioid prescriptions were significantly more common for preoperative opioid users than opioid-naïve patients (813 [89.0%] vs 1693 [57.2%]; P < .001) and were significantly larger in size (24.3 [21.1] pills vs 19.9 [10.5] pills; P < .001). On 30-day follow-up, 522 preoperative opioid users (61.3%) and 616 opioid-naïve patients (28.4%) reported that they were still using opioids (P < .001). Continued opioid use at follow-up was associated with preoperative opioid use (adjusted odds ratio, 3.23; 95% confidence interval, 2.70-3.89) and receiving a postoperative opioid prescription (adjusted odds ratio, 10.83; 95% confidence interval, 7.96-15.06). CONCLUSIONS: Most patients with PAD who use opioids preoperatively do not discontinue opioids after lower extremity bypass. Moreover, a significant proportion of previously opioid-naïve patients are still using opioids 1 month after surgery. In both cases, postoperative opioid prescriptions had the strongest association with continued opioid use. These findings underscore the need for improved prescribing practice and increased attentiveness to discontinuation of unnecessary medications after surgery.

Impact of a regional smoking cessation intervention for vascular surgery patients.

OBJECTIVE: Tobacco use is common among vascular surgery patients and negatively impacts outcomes and longevity. In the second quarter of 2018, a statewide vascular quality collaborative launched an initiative across its 35 participating hospitals to promote smoking cessation at the time of surgery. This intervention was based on the Vascular Physician Offer and Report (VAPOR) trial and consisted of 3 components: brief physician-delivered advice, referral to telephone-based counseling, and nicotine replacement therapy. The goal of this study is to evaluate the results of this intervention. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of patients undergoing vascular surgery between 2018 and 2020. Procedures included open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, endovascular aneurysm repair, open vascular bypass, open thrombectomy, carotid endarterectomy, and carotid stenting. The primary explanatory variables were receipt of tobacco cessation interventions as documented in the medical record. The primary outcome was tobacco cessation, captured during 30-day and 1-year chart review and/or patient follow-up. A multivariable logistic regression model was calculated to estimate the association of covariates with smoking cessation while adjusting for patient and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 13,890 patients underwent surgery during the study period. The mean age was 69.4 ± 10 years; 4687 patients (34%) were female, and 5158 patients (37%) were current smokers. At least one smoking cessation component was delivered to 2245 patients (44% of smokers). The quit rate was 35% among 4671 patients with 30-day follow-up and 43% among 2936 patients with 1-year follow up. On multivariable regression, at 30 days, receiving two intervention components was associated with 1.29 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.55) higher odds of quitting. At both time points, smoking cessation was also associated with undergoing an emergent procedure (30-day odds ratio [OR], 1.52; 95% CI, 1.16-1.99; 1-year OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.01-1.97) and undergoing open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (30-day OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.20-2.43; 1-year OR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.11-2.78). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of vascular surgical patients where tobacco use was common, nearly one-half of patients quit smoking 1 year after surgery. Receiving two smoking cessation intervention components was associated with quitting at 30 days. Overall, these results demonstrate encouraging quit rates and identify an opportunity for longer-term intervention to maintain even greater 1-year tobacco cessation.

Reliability of hospital-level mortality in abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

OBJECTIVE: The relationship between volume and surgical outcomes has been shown for a variety of surgical procedures. The effects in abdominal aortic aneurysm repair have continued to be debated. Reliability adjustment has been used as a method to remove statistical noise from hospital-level outcomes. However, its impact on aortic aneurysm repair is not well understood. METHODS: We used prospectively collected data from the Vascular Quality Initiative to identify all patients who had undergone abdominal aortic aneurysm repair from 2003 to 2019. We first calculated the hospital-level risk-adjusted 30-day mortality rates. We subsequently used hierarchical logistic regression modeling to adjust for measurement reliability using empirical Bayes techniques. The effect of volume on risk- and reliability-adjusted mortality rates was then assessed using linear regression. RESULTS: Between 2003 and 2019, 67,073 abdominal aortic aneurysms were repaired, of which 11,601 (17.3%) were repaired with an open approach. The median annual volume was 7.4 (interquartile range, 3.0-13.3) for open repairs and 35.4 (interquartile range, 18.8-59.8) for endovascular repairs. Of the 223 hospitals that had performed open repairs during the study period, only 11 (4.9%) had performed ≥15 open repairs annually, and the risk-adjusted mortality rates varied from 0% to 75% across all centers. After reliability adjustment, the variability of the risk-adjusted mortality rates had decreased significantly to 1.3% to 8.2%. The endovascular repair risk-adjusted mortality rate variability had decreased from 0% to 14.3% to 0.3% to 2.8% after reliability adjustment. A decreasing trend in mortality was found with increasing an annual case volume for open repair with each additional annual case associated with a 0.012% decrease in mortality (P = .05); however, the relationship was not significant for endovascular repair (P = .793). CONCLUSIONS: We found that most hospitals do not perform a sufficient number of annual cases to generate a reliable center-specific mortality rate for open aneurysm repair. Center-specific mortality rates for low-volume centers should be viewed with caution, because a substantial proportion of the variation for these outcomes will be statistical noise rather than true center-level differences in the quality of care.

A statewide quality improvement collaborative significantly improves quality metric adherence and physician engagement in vascular surgery.

BACKGROUND: Quality improvement national registries provide structured, clinically relevant outcome and process-of-care data to practitioners-with regional meetings to disseminate best practices. However, whether a quality improvement collaborative affects processes of care is less clear. We examined the effects of a statewide hospital collaborative on the adherence rates to best practice guidelines in vascular surgery. METHODS: A large statewide retrospective quality improvement database was reviewed for 2013 to 2019. Hospitals participating in the quality improvement collaborative were required to submit adherence and outcomes data and meet semiannually. They received an incentive through a pay for participation model. The aggregate adherence rates among all hospitals were calculated and compared. RESULTS: A total of 39 hospitals participated in the collaborative, with attendance of surgeon champions at face-to-face meetings of >85%. Statewide, the hospital systems improved every year of participation in the collaborative across most "best practice" domains, including adherence to preoperative skin preparation recommendations (odds ratio [OR], 1.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.76-1.79; P < .001), intraoperative antibiotic redosing (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.02-1.17; P = .018), statin use at discharge for appropriate patients (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.16-1.2; P < .001), and reducing transfusions for asymptomatic patients with hemoglobin >8 mg/dL (OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.66-0.66; P < .001). The use of antiplatelet therapy at discharge remained high and did not change significantly during the study period. Teaching hospital and urban or rural status did not affect adherence. The adherence rates exceeded the professional society mean rates for guideline adherence. CONCLUSIONS: The use of a statewide hospital collaborative with incentivized semiannual meetings resulted in significant improvements in adherence to "best practice" guidelines across a large, heterogeneous group of hospitals.