Impact of stated barriers on proposed warfarin prescription for atrial fibrillation: a survey of Canadian physicians.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia, and leading cause of ischemic stroke. Despite proven effectiveness, warfarin remains an under-used treatment in atrial fibrillation patients. We sought to study, across three physician specialties, a range of factors that have been argued to have a disproportionate effect on treatment decisions. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey of Canadian Family Doctors (FD: n = 500), Geriatricians (G: n = 149), and Internal Medicine specialists (IMS: n = 500). Of these, 1032 physicians were contactable, and 335 completed and usable responses were received. Survey questions and clinical vignettes asked about the frequency with which they see patients with atrial fibrillation, treatment practices, and barriers to the prescription of anticoagulants. RESULTS: Stated prescribing practices did not significantly differ between physician groups. Falls risk, bleeding risk and poor patient adherence were all highly cited barriers to prescribing warfarin. Fewer geriatricians indicated that history of patient falls would be a reason for not treating with warfarin (G: 47%; FD: 71%; IMS: 72%), and significantly fewer changed reported practice in the presence of falls risk (χ (2) (6) = 45.446, p < 0.01). Experience of a patient having a stroke whilst not on warfarin had a significant impact on vignette decisions; physicians who had had patients who experienced a stroke were more likely to prescribe warfarin (χ (2) (3) =10.7, p = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: Barriers to treatment of atrial fibrillation with warfarin affect physician specialties to different extents. Prior experience of a patient suffering a stroke when not prescribed warfarin is positively associated with intention to prescribe warfarin, even in the presence of falls risk.

Association between hospital intraoperative blood transfusion practices for surgical blood loss and hospital surgical mortality rates.

OBJECTIVE: Blood loss during surgery is an important operative complication in patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery and may increase postoperative morbidity and mortality. Variations in the delivery of operative blood transfusions to treat blood loss depend not only on the patient and surgery characteristics but also on the hospital transfusion practices, and may explain differences in the hospitals' postoperative outcomes. We determine the relationship between hospital-level rates of intraoperative blood transfusion and 30-day mortality among older patients with significant intraoperative blood loss. METHODS: Among 46,608 operative patients aged 65 years or older whose estimated blood loss was 500 mL or greater in 122 Veterans Affairs (VA) hospitals during years 1997 to 2004, we examined the relationship between hospital-level transfusion rates and adjusted 30-day postoperative mortality rates using linear regression modeling. RESULTS: Hospital-level rates of intraoperative blood transfusion for older surgical patients with significant blood loss varied from 10% to 92%. Hospitals in the highest tertile for the rate of intraoperative transfusion had the highest number of patients with 500 mL or more surgical blood loss and lowest risk-adjusted 30-day surgical mortality. For every 10% increase in the rate of intraoperative blood transfusion, there was a 0.7% (95% CI: 0.3%-1.1%) decrease in the hospital's adjusted 30-day postoperative mortality for these high-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: Large variation exists in hospitals' intraoperative blood transfusion practices for older patients with significant surgical blood loss. Hospitals with higher transfusion rates for patients with significant surgical blood loss have lower adjusted 30-day mortality for these patients. Hospital intraoperative blood transfusion practices may be a promising surgical quality indicator.

Operative blood loss, blood transfusion, and 30-day mortality in older patients after major noncardiac surgery.

OBJECTIVE: Anemia and operative blood loss are common in the elderly, but evidence is lacking on whether intraoperative blood transfusions can reduce the risk of postoperative death. METHODS: We analyzed retrospective data from 239,286 patients 65 years of older who underwent major noncardiac surgery in 1997 to 2004 at veteran hospitals nationwide. Propensity-score matching was used to adjust for differences between patients who received intraoperative blood transfusions (9.4%) and those who did not, and data were used to determine the association between intraoperative blood transfusion and 30-day postoperative mortality. RESULTS: After propensity-score matching, intraoperative blood transfusion was associated with mortality risk reductions in patients with preoperative hematocrit levels of <24% (odds ratio: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.41-0.87), and in patients with hematocrit of 30% or greater when there is substantial (500-999 mL) blood loss (odds ratio: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.22-0.56 for hematocrit levels between 30%-35.9% and 0.78, 95% CI: 0.62-0.97 for hematocrit levels of 36% or greater). When operative blood loss was <500 mL, transfusion was not associated with mortality reductions for patients with hematocrit levels of 24% or greater, and conferred increased mortality risks in patients with preoperative hematocrit levels between 30% to 35.9% (odds ratio 1.29, 95% CI: 1.04-1.60). CONCLUSIONS: Intraoperative blood transfusion is associated with a lower 30-day postoperative mortality among elderly patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery if there is substantial operative blood loss or low preoperative hematocrit levels (<24%). Transfusion is associated with increased mortality risks for those with preoperative hematocrit levels between 30% and 35.9% and <500 mL of blood loss.

Preoperative hematocrit levels and postoperative outcomes in older patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

CONTEXT: Elderly patients are at high risk of both abnormal hematocrit values and cardiovascular complications of noncardiac surgery. Despite nearly universal screening of patients for abnormal preoperative hematocrit levels, limited evidence demonstrates the adverse effects of preoperative anemia or polycythemia. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of preoperative anemia and polycythemia and their effects on 30-day postoperative outcomes in elderly veterans undergoing major noncardiac surgery. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using the VA National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Based on preoperative hematocrit levels, we stratified patients into standard categories of anemia (hematocrit <39.0%), normal hematocrit (39.0%-53.9%), and polycythemia (hematocrit > or =54%). We then estimated increases in 30-day postoperative cardiac event and mortality risks in relation to each hematocrit point deviation from the normal category. SETTING AND PATIENTS: A total of 310,311 veterans aged 65 years or older who underwent major noncardiac surgery between 1997 and 2004 in 132 Veterans' Affairs medical centers across the United States. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was 30-day postoperative mortality; a secondary outcome measure was composite 30-day postoperative mortality or cardiac events (cardiac arrest or Q-wave myocardial infarction). RESULTS: Thirty-day mortality and cardiac event rates increased monotonically, with either positive or negative deviations from normal hematocrit levels. We found a 1.6% (95% confidence interval, 1.1%-2.2%) increase in 30-day postoperative mortality associated with every percentage-point increase or decrease in the hematocrit value from the normal range. Additional analyses suggest that the adjusted risk of 30-day postoperative mortality and cardiac morbidity begins to rise when hematocrit levels decrease to less than 39% or exceed 51%. CONCLUSIONS: Even mild degrees of preoperative anemia or polycythemia were associated with an increased risk of 30-day postoperative mortality and cardiac events in older, mostly male veterans undergoing major noncardiac surgery. Future studies should determine whether these findings are reproducible in other populations and if preoperative management of anemia or polycythemia decreases the risk of postoperative mortality.

Medical complications and outcomes after hip fracture repair.

BACKGROUND: Most evidence guiding perioperative medical risk management of patients undergoing hip fracture repair focuses on cardiac and thromboembolic risk. Little is known of the relative clinical importance of other complications. OBJECTIVE: To systematically map incidence and outcomes of a broad spectrum of medical complications after hip fracture repair. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of patients 60 years or older in 20 academic, community, and Veterans Affairs hospitals. Data on complications and mortality were abstracted from medical records by trained abstractors using standardized, pretested forms or the National Death Index. RESULTS: Of 8930 patients, 1737 (19%) had postoperative medical complications. Cardiac and pulmonary complications were most frequent (8% and 4% of patients, respectively). Similar numbers of patients had serious cardiac or pulmonary complications (2% and 3%, respectively). Other complications were gastrointestinal tract bleeding (2%), combined cardiopulmonary complications (1%), venous thromboembolism (1%), and transient ischemic attack or stroke (1%). Renal failure and septic shock were rare. After the index complication, 416 patients had 587 additional complications. Mortality was similar for serious cardiac or pulmonary complications (30 day: 22% and 17%, respectively; 1 year: 36% and 44%, respectively) and highest for patients with multiple complications (30 day: 29%-38%; 1 year: 43%-62%). Complications and death occurred significantly earlier for serious cardiac than for serious pulmonary complications (1 vs 4 days, 2 vs 8 days, P<.001); length of stay for patients surviving these complications was similar. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients had no medical complications after hip fracture repair. Serious cardiac and pulmonary complications were equally important in frequency, mortality, and survivors' length of stay. Patients with multiple complications had especially poor prognosis.

Physicians' judgments of survival after medical management and mortality risk reduction due to revascularization procedures for patients with coronary artery disease.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: s: To assess the accuracy of physicians' judgments of survival probability for medically managed patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), and of the absolute risk reduction of mortality due to coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) or percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) for such patients; and relationships among these judgments and the physicians' propensity to perform revascularization. DESIGN: Two surveys (for three-vessel or two-vessel CAD) for patients presenting with stable CAD, currently managed medically, and without other life-limiting problems. SETTING: Multiple educational conferences, 1996-1997. PARTICIPANTS: Conference attendees. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Main outcomes were proportions of patients for whom the physicians would recommend revascularization (CABG for three-vessel CAD, CABG or PTCA for two-vessel CAD), and judgments of the proportions of medically managed patients who would be alive after 5 years, 7 years, and 11 years, and of absolute risk reduction of mortality due to CABG (or PTCA for two-vessel CAD). At least one half of the participants judged the survival rate of medically managed patients with three-vessel or two-vessel CAD to be less than the lowest rates supported by the best available evidence. More than one fourth judged the absolute risk reduction due to CABG to be higher than the highest values based on such evidence. Physicians' propensity to perform revascularization correlated inversely with their judgments of survival given medical management, and with their judgments of absolute risk reduction due to revascularization. CONCLUSIONS: Physicians may overuse revascularization because of excessive pessimism about survival of medically managed patients, and excessive optimism about the survival benefits of revascularization.

Prognostic judgments and triage decisions for patients with acute congestive heart failure.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To determine how well triage physicians judge the probability of death or severe complications that require treatment only available in an ICU to maintain life for patients with acute congestive heart failure (CHF). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: An urban university hospital, a Veteran's Administration hospital, and a community hospital. PATIENTS OR PARTICIPANTS: Patients were those visiting the emergency department (ED) with acute CHF, excluding those who already required a treatment only available in an ICU to maintain life, and those with possible or definite myocardial infarction. Physician participants were those caring for the patients in the ED. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: We performed chart reviews to ascertain whether each patient died or had severe complications develop by 4 days. We collected judgments of the probability of this outcome from the physicians taking care of the study patients in the ED. The prevalence of death or severe complications was 43 per 1,032 patients (4.2%). The mean +/- SD of physicians' judgments of the probability of this outcome was 32.1 +/- 28.4%. A calibration curve that stratified these judgments by decile demonstrated that physicians consistently overestimated this probability (p < 0.01). Physicians' judgments were only moderately good at discriminating which patients would have the outcome (receiver operating characteristic curve area, 0.715). Patients admitted to an ICU received the highest average predicted probability (56.4%), followed by those admitted to a telemetry unit (34.1%), to a regular hospital ward (29.8%), and those sent home (17.9%.) CONCLUSIONS: Physicians drastically overestimated the probability of a severe complication that would require critical care for patients with acute CHF who were candidates for ICU admission. Their judgments of this probability were associated with their triage decisions, as they should be according to several guidelines for ICU triage. Overestimation of the probability of severe complications may have lead to overutilization of scarce critical care resources. Current critical care triage guidelines should be revised to take this difficulty into account, and better predictive models for patients potentially requiring critical care should be developed.

Anticipated Regret Associated With Treatment Decisions for Agitated Dementia Patients.

Anticipation of regret for choosing the wrong option may directly affect physicians' choice of treatment. As part of a pilot survey of physician practices for agitated dementia patients, we asked geriatric psychiatrists, primary care physicians, and neurologists to estimate the degree of anticipated regret that they might experience in response to a series of brief case vignettes describing typical treatments and outcomes for agitated dementia patients. Eight written vignettes described physician action (ordering vs. not ordering), type of intervention (haloperidol vs. physical restraints), and outcome of the intervention (adverse patient outcome vs. adverse staff outcome). Regret was measured by using a five-point Likert scale. A full factorial regression model found that "not ordering" actions were associated with more regret than "ordering" actions, regardless of specialty, intervention, or outcome. Also, geriatric psychiatrists, compared with the other physician groups, expressed the least regret for ordering (and the most for not ordering) haloperidol.

A cautionary tale: the dysfunction of American health care.

Attempts to reform the US health care system in the 1980s and 1990s were inspired by the system's inability to adequately provide access, ensure quality, and restrain costs. In the era of managed care, after the Clinton administration's failed legislative effort at reform, access, quality, and costs are still problems, and medical professionals are increasingly dissatisfied. To aid understanding of why the system is now so dysfunctional, I have drawn upon discussions with thoughtful physicians about their direct experience. They raised important concerns not usually considered by health care reformers. Their central concern was about the abandonment of medicine's core values. They felt that health care has become dominated by large, bureaucratic organizations which may not honor these core values. Patients and physicians are often caught in conflicts between competing interests and demands. Those who work in health care may be subject to perverse incentives that discourage ethical practice. Health care leaders may be ill-informed, incompetent, self-interested, or even dishonest. Examples of attacks on the scientific basis of medicine have become more frequent. These worrying trends are not confined to the US. Physicians elsewhere should be skeptical of approaches to health care reform derived from the American model. European doctors should ensure the new health care initiatives do not undermine their core values or the best interests of their patients.