Parameters Predictive of Propofol-Associated Acute Pancreatitis in Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19 Pneumonia: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Propofol, a commonly used agent for short- and long-term sedation, is associated with acute pancreatitis. The main indirect mechanism of propofol-associated acute pancreatitis is by inducing hypertriglyceridemia. Patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia often require prolonged mechanical ventilation and sedation. We examined the incidence rate of acute pancreatitis among critically ill adults with COVID-19 pneumonia on mechanical ventilation receiving propofol. In addition, we attempted to determine cutoff levels of serum triglycerides and doses of propofol that are predictive of propofol-associated acute pancreatitis. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study using a large dataset of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. The collected data included the number of days on propofol, cumulative doses of propofol, peak levels of serum triglycerides, serum lipase levels, and abdominal imaging findings. We used receiver-operating characteristic analysis in conjunction with Youden's index to identify the optimal thresholds for propofol administration parameters and levels of triglycerides that would provide maximal sensitivity and specificity for predicting acute pancreatitis. RESULTS: Out of 499 critically ill patients with COVID-19 pneumonia, 154 met the inclusion criteria. Six (4%) patients had suspected acute pancreatitis based on elevated serum lipase levels. Cutoff values greater than 688 mg/dL for peak level of triglycerides, 4.5 days on propofol, 3007 mg/day for average daily propofol dose, and 24 113 mg for cumulative propofol dose were associated with high risk of suspected acute pancreatitis. The negative predictive values for suspected acute pancreatitis using these cutoffs ranged from 98% to 100%. CONCLUSIONS: Propofol use in critically ill COVID-19 patients is associated with a low incidence rate of acute pancreatitis. We identified cutoff values for serum triglycerides and cumulative propofol dose that are linked to higher risk of propofol-associated pancreatitis. More research is needed to examine the true incidence of propofol-associated pancreatitis and help develop optimal cutoff values for certain parameters to help guide safe propofol administration.

Knee cartilage change on magnetic resonance imaging: Should we lump or split topographical regions? A 2-year study of data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

OBJECTIVE: We challenge the paradigm that a simplistic approach evaluating anatomic regions (e.g., medial femur or tibia) is ideal for assessing articular cartilage loss on magnetic resonance (MR) imaging. We used a data-driven approach to explore whether specific topographical locations of knee cartilage loss may identify novel patterns of cartilage loss over time that current assessment strategies miss. DESIGN: We assessed 60 location-specific measures of articular cartilage on a sample of 99 knees with baseline and 24-month MR images from the Osteoarthritis Initiative, selected as a group with a high likelihood to change. We performed factor analyses of the change in these measures in two ways: (1) summing the measures to create one measure for each of the six anatomically regional-based summary (anatomic regions; e.g., medial tibia) and (2) treating each location separately for a total of 60 measures (location-specific measures). RESULTS: The first analysis produced three factors accounting for 66% of the variation in the articular cartilage changes that occur over 24 months of follow-up: (1) medial tibiofemoral, (2) medial and lateral patellar, and (3) lateral tibiofemoral. The second produced 20 factors accounting for 75% of the variance in cartilage changes. Twelve factors only involved one anatomic region. Five factors included locations from adjoining regions (defined by the first analysis; e.g., medial tibiofemoral). Three factors included articular cartilage loss from disparate locations. CONCLUSIONS: Novel patterns of cartilage loss occur within each anatomic region and across these regions, including in disparate regions. The traditional anatomic regional approach is simpler to implement and interpret but may obscure meaningful patterns of change.

Interstitial lung abnormalities in a large clinical lung cancer screening cohort: association with mortality and ILD diagnosis.

BACKGROUND: Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) are CT findings suggestive of interstitial lung disease in individuals without a prior diagnosis or suspicion of ILD. Previous studies have demonstrated that ILA are associated with clinically significant outcomes including mortality. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of ILA in a large CT lung cancer screening program and the association with clinically significant outcomes including mortality, hospitalizations, cancer and ILD diagnosis. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of individuals enrolled in a CT lung cancer screening program from 2012 to 2014. Baseline and longitudinal CT scans were scored for ILA per Fleischner Society guidelines. The primary analyses examined the association between baseline ILA and mortality, all-cause hospitalization, and incidence of lung cancer. Kaplan-Meier plots were generated to visualize the associations between ILA and lung cancer and all-cause mortality. Cox regression proportional hazards models were used to test for this association in both univariate and multivariable models. RESULTS: 1699 subjects met inclusion criteria. 41 (2.4%) had ILA and 101 (5.9%) had indeterminate ILA on baseline CTs. ILD was diagnosed in 10 (24.4%) of 41 with ILA on baseline CT with a mean time from baseline CT to diagnosis of 4.47 ± 2.72 years. On multivariable modeling, the presence of ILA remained a significant predictor of death, HR 3.87 (2.07, 7.21; p < 0.001) when adjusted for age, sex, BMI, pack years and active smoking, but not of lung cancer and all-cause hospital admission. Approximately 50% with baseline ILA had progression on the longitudinal scan. CONCLUSIONS: ILA identified on baseline lung cancer screening exams are associated with all-cause mortality. In addition, a significant proportion of patients with ILA are subsequently diagnosed with ILD and have CT progression on longitudinal scans. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT04503044.

Clinical integration of patient-reported outcome measures to enhance the care of patients with SLE: a multi-centre prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the feasibility and impact of integrating electronic patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) into the routine outpatient care of patients with SLE. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study, utilizing a mixed-methods sequential explanatory design, of SLE outpatients receiving rheumatology care at two academic medical centres. Participants completed electronic PROMs at enrolment and then prior to their next two routine rheumatology visits. PROM score reports were shared with patients and rheumatologists before visits. Patients and rheumatologists completed post-visit surveys evaluating the utility of PROMs in the clinical encounters. Focus groups of patients and interviews with treating rheumatologists were conducted to further explore their experience utilizing PROMs. RESULTS: A total of 105 SLE patients and 17 rheumatologists participated in the study. Patients completed PROMs in 159 of 184 encounters (86%), with 93% of surveys completed remotely. Patients reported that PROMs were 'quite a bit' or 'very' useful (55% of encounters) and beneficial to communication (55% of encounters). In contrast, physicians found PROMs useful (20%) and beneficial to communication (17%) less frequently. There was no significant change in visit length, health-related quality of life or disease activity after implementation of PROMs; however, patient satisfaction improved slightly. Qualitative analyses revealed that patients felt PROMs provided utility primarily by facilitating communication, particularly when physicians discussed the surveys. CONCLUSION: The remote capture and integration of electronic PROMs into clinical care was feasible in a diverse cohort of SLE outpatients. PROMs were useful to patients and enhanced their clinical experience primarily by facilitating communication.

Female sex and advanced age are associated with invasive cytomegalovirus disease in solid organ transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist to describe sex-based differences in the severity of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection after solid organ transplant (SOT). We sought to identify if a difference exists in likelihood of tissue-invasive disease between male and female SOT recipients and to understand how age affects this relationship. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 180 heart, liver, and kidney recipients treated for CMV was examined. A logistic regression model was developed to assess the relationship between female sex and CMV type (noninvasive vs. invasive). A secondary regression analysis looked at the relationship of invasive CMV with a variable combining sex with age above or below 50. RESULTS: There were 37 cases of proven or probable invasive CMV, occurring in 30% of females versus 16% of males. After adjustment for potential confounders, females with CMV infection were significantly more likely to have invasive disease (odds ratio (OR) 2.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-5.90, p = .01). Females 50 years or older were at particular risk compared with males under 50 years (adjusted OR 4.54, 95% CI 1.33-18.83, p = .02). CONCLUSION: Female SOT recipients with CMV in our cohort were more likely than males to have tissue-invasive disease, with the highest risk among older females. Further prospective studies are warranted to explore underlying immunologic mechanisms.

Increased risk of incident knee osteoarthritis in those with greater work-related physical activity.

OBJECTIVE: Occupations involving greater physical activity may increase risk for knee osteoarthritis (OA). Existing studies have not evaluated work-related physical activity before OA onset. Hence, we aimed to evaluate the association between work-related physical activity and knee OA incidence. METHODS: We performed a person-based longitudinal study using Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) data among people who volunteered or worked for pay without baseline radiographic knee OA or knee pain. Bilateral knee radiographs were obtained at baseline and annual follow-ups. We defined radiographic OA as Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥2. Questions from the Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly at baseline and annual OAI visits provided information about work-related physical activity level and hours. We performed logistic regression with work-related physical activity level ( mainly sitting , standing and some walking , walking while handling some materials ) and hours as predictors. The outcome was incident person-based radiographic OA within the ensuing 12 months, over 48 months. RESULTS: Among 951 participants (2819 observations), higher work-related physical activity levels had greater adjusted ORs for incident radiographic OA (people with jobs with standing and some walking : 1.11 (0.60-2.08), and walking while handling some materials : 1.90 (1.03-3.52), when compared with those with mainly sitting work-related activity ). There was no association between number of hours worked and incident radiographic OA. CONCLUSIONS: People performing work that require walking while handling some materials have greater odds of incident knee OA than those with jobs mostly involving sitting. Strategies are needed to mitigate risk factors predisposing them to radiographic OA.

Interobserver Variation in Echocardiographic Measurements and Grading of Tricuspid Regurgitation Based on a Novel Web-Based Assessment Environment.

OBJECTIVES: The primary aim of this study was to assess interobserver variability in grading tricuspid regurgitation (TR) severity. The authors' secondary goals were to delineate which transesophageal echocardiographic (TEE) parameters best correlate with severity and how consistent the participants were at grading severity. DESIGN: This was a prospective cohort study of how clinicians evaluated previously acquired TEE images and videos. SETTING: The 19 TEE studies of patients with TR were recorded by 4 senior echocardiographers across 4 US academic institutions. The participants evaluated these cases on a novel, web-based, assessment environment designed specifically for this study. PARTICIPANTS: Twenty-nine fellowship-trained and board-certified cardiologists and cardiothoracic anesthesiologists volunteered to participate in the study as observers from 19 different institutions. INTERVENTIONS: No interventions were performed on the participants. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: For each case, participants measured the vena contracta (VC), proximal isovelocity surface area (PISA), and jet area before giving a final classification on the severity of TR. Variation was highest for effective regurgitant orifice area and lowest for VC and PISA. The coefficient of variation, defined as the standard deviation from the mean divided by the mean, for all cases of trace, mild, moderate and severe TR were as follows: Jet Area-111%, 46%, 48%, 76%; VC-67%, 44%, 43%, 36%; PISA-52%, 48%, 31%, 35%; and effective regurgitant orifice area-127%, 95%, 66%, 58%. CONCLUSIONS: The interobserver variation in quantifying TEE parameters for TR is high, suggesting these may be difficult to measure reliably in a busy perioperative setting. Of the parameters assessed, VC and PISA radius had the highest interobserver agreement and the highest correlation with severity.

Association Between Lymphopenia at 1 Month Posttransplant and Infectious Outcomes or Death in Heart Transplant Recipients.

BACKGROUND: Cell-mediated immunity is a specific target of several medications used to prevent or treat rejection in orthotopic heart transplantation. Low absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) has potential to be a useful and accessible clinical indicator of overall infection risk. Though some studies have demonstrated this association in other transplant populations, it has not been assessed in heart transplant recipients. METHODS: A single-center retrospective cohort study examined adult heart transplant recipients transplanted between 2000 and 2018. The exposure of interest was ALC ≤0.75 × 103 cells/µL at 1 month posttransplant, and the primary endpoint was a composite outcome of infection (including cytomegalovirus [CMV], herpes simplex I/II or varicella zoster virus [HSV/VZV], bloodstream infection [BSI], invasive fungal infection [IFI]) or death occurring after 1 month and before 1 year posttransplant. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was created to control for confounders identified using clinical judgment and statistical criteria. RESULTS: Of 375 subjects analyzed, 101 (27%) developed the composite outcome (61 CMV, 3 HSV/VZV, 19 BSI, 10 IFI, 8 deaths). Lymphopenia (ALC ≤0.75 × 103 cells/µL) at 1 month was associated with a >2-fold higher rate of the composite outcome (hazard ratio [HR], 2.26 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.47-3.46]; P < .001) compared to patients without lymphopenia at 1 month. After adjustment for confounding variables, the presence of lymphopenia remained statistically significantly associated with the composite outcome (HR, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.08-2.75]; P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: ALC measured at 1 month after heart transplant is associated with an increased risk of infectious outcomes or death in the ensuing 11 months. This is a simple, accessible laboratory measure.

Revising the Maximal Contrast Dose for Predicting Acute Kidney Injury following Coronary Intervention.

INTRODUCTION: The maximal allowable contrast dose (MACD = 5 × body weight/serum creatinine) is an empiric equation that has been used and validated in several studies to mitigate the risk of contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI). However, coefficient 5 (referred to as factor K) was empirically devised and never disputed. The aim of this study was to refine the MACD equation for the prediction of CI-AKI following percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs). METHODS: This is a single-center, retrospective cohort study of adults undergoing PCI. Electronic medical records were reviewed to identify patients who underwent PCI between 2010 and 2019, derived from the National Cardiovascular Data Registry Cath-PCI registry for our hospital. Factor K (defined as contrast volume × serum creatinine/body weight) was calculated for every patient. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed, and the Youden index was used to identify the optimal cut-off value for factor K in predicting severe (stages 2-3) CI-AKI. RESULTS: Of the 3,506 patients undergoing PCI, 255 (7.2%) developed CI-AKI, and 68 (26.7%) of the 255 experienced severe AKI. Factor K predicted all-stage CI-AKI (area under the ROC curve 0.649; 95% CI 0.611, 0.686) but had better performance for predicting severe (stages 2-3) AKI (0.736; 95% CI 0.674, 0.800). The optimal cut-off value for factor K in predicting severe CI-AKI was 2.5, with a corresponding sensitivity of 68.7% and specificity of 70.5%. On subgroup analyses, optimal cut-off values for factor K for high-risk groups were not significantly different from those of low-risk groups. CONCLUSION: Our study indicates that factor K in the MACD equation is an independent risk factor for the development of severe CI-AKI, with an optimal cut-off value of 2.5. If our findings are validated, the MACD equation should be revised to incorporate the coefficient of 2.5 instead of 5.

Impact of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on systemic lupus erythematosus patients: Results from a multi-center prospective cohort.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the initial impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on individuals with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: Patients with SLE participating in a multi-center longitudinal cohort study in New York and Boston were invited to complete a supplemental web-based questionnaire in the summer of 2020. Participants completed standardized patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures and a combination of Likert scale and open-ended questions exploring the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on their health and access to health care. Changes in PROs were evaluated with paired t-tests and frequencies of worsened symptoms were calculated. A thematic qualitative analysis was conducted on free text responses. RESULTS: Of 97 patients invited, 63 (65%) completed a supplemental questionnaire. Nearly 50% of respondents exhibited increases in anxiety (47.5%) and depression (48.3%) and over 40% scored worse in measures of pain interference, fatigue, and cognitive abilities. Respondents with pre-existing diagnoses of anxiety did not differ from other participants in PRO scores, but were more than three times as likely to report worsened health status. Patients denied difficulties accessing medications (85%) or medical care (84%) and over 50% participated in telehealth visits. Anxiety and increased health risks due to immunosuppression were recurring themes in free text responses. CONCLUSIONS: SLE patients experienced a significant physical and emotional toll in the initial months of the COVID-19 pandemic. Comprehensive patient-centered care, including monitoring and addressing anxiety and health-related quality of life, is critical to improving health outcomes in this population during the ongoing health crisis.

Quantitative Pectoralis Muscle Area is Associated with the Development of Lung Cancer in a Large Lung Cancer Screening Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Studies have demonstrated an inverse relationship between body mass index (BMI) and the risk of developing lung cancer. We conducted a retrospective cohort study evaluating baseline quantitative computed tomography (CT) measurements of body composition, specifically muscle and fat area in a large CT lung screening cohort (CTLS). We hypothesized that quantitative measurements of baseline body composition may aid in risk stratification for lung cancer. METHODS: Patients who underwent baseline CTLS between January 1st, 2012 and September 30th, 2014 and who had an in-network primary care physician were included. All patients met NCCN Guidelines eligibility criteria for CTLS. Quantitative measurements of pectoralis muscle area (PMA) and subcutaneous fat area (SFA) were performed on a single axial slice of the CT above the aortic arch with the Chest Imaging Platform Workstation software. Cox multivariable proportional hazards model for cancer was adjusted for variables with a univariate p < 0.2. Data were dichotomized by sex and then combined to account for baseline differences between sexes. RESULTS: One thousand six hundred and ninety six patients were included in this study. A total of 79 (4.7%) patients developed lung cancer. There was an association between the 25th percentile of PMA and the development of lung cancer [HR 1.71 (1.07, 2.75), p < 0.025] after adjusting for age, BMI, qualitative emphysema, qualitative coronary artery calcification, and baseline Lung-RADS® score. CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative assessment of PMA on baseline CTLS was associated with the development of lung cancer. Quantitative PMA has the potential to be incorporated as a variable in future lung cancer risk models.

Supraglottic Airway Use for Transfemoral-Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement.

OBJECTIVE: Examine outcome differences in patients managed either with a supraglottic airway or an endotracheal tube for general anesthesia during transcatheter aortic valve replacement. The authors hypothesized that patients managed with a supraglottic airway would have shorter post-anesthesia care unit and hospital stays and receive fewer opioids, norepinephrine equivalents, and neuromuscular blocking agents, without an increase in 30-day major adverse cardiovascular events. DESIGN: Retrospective chart review with 1:2 supraglottic airway-to-endotracheal tube patient propensity score matching. SETTING: Single, urban, tertiary care, academic medical center. PARTICIPANTS: Patients undergoing transfemoral- transcatheter aortic valve replacement between 2017 and 2019. INTERVENTIONS: Supraglottic or endotracheal tube airway management during general anesthesia. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Thirty-one supraglottic airway patients were propensity score matched with 62 endotracheal tube patients. There was no significant difference for postanesthesia care unit (p = 0.58) or hospital (p = 0.16) lengths of stay. Supraglottic airway patients received significantly fewer neuromuscular blockers (p < 0.0001) and trended toward fewer opioids (p = 0.05), but received a similar number of norepinephrine equivalents (p = 0.76). The major adverse cardiovascular event odds ratio between groups was 1.39 (p = 0.51). The time under general anesthesia (p = 0.02) and total time in the operating room (p = 0.04) were significantly shorter for supraglottic airway patients. CONCLUSIONS: Supraglottic airway management in transcatheter aortic valve replacement was feasible without an increase in major adverse cardiovascular outcomes compared with endotracheal tube management during general anesthesia. Supraglottic airway patients trended toward receiving fewer opioids and received significantly fewer neuromuscular blockers while also having significantly shorter time under general anesthesia and total time in the operating room.

Is insurance instability associated with hypertension outcomes and does this vary by race/ethnicity?

BACKGROUND: Stable health insurance is often associated with better chronic disease care and outcomes. Racial/ethnic health disparities in outcomes are prevalent and may be associated with insurance instability, particularly in the context of health insurance reform. METHODS: We examined whether insurance instability was associated with uncontrolled blood pressure (UBP) and whether this association varied by race/ethnicity. We used a retrospective longitudinal observational cohort study of patients diagnosed with hypertension who obtained care within two health systems in Massachusetts. We measured the UBP, insurance instability, and race of 43,785 adult primary care patients, age 21-64 with visits from 1/2005-12/2013. RESULTS: We found higher rates of UBP for blacks and Hispanics at each time point over the entire 9 years. Insurance instability was associated with greater rates of UBP. Always uninsured black patients fared worst, while white and Hispanic patients with consistent public insurance fared best. CONCLUSIONS: Stable insurance of any type was associated with better hypertension control than no or unstable insurance.

Risk factors and the natural history of accelerated knee osteoarthritis: a narrative review.

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis is generally a slowly progressive disorder. However, at least 1 in 7 people with incident knee osteoarthritis develop an abrupt progression to advanced-stage radiographic disease, many within 12 months. We summarize what is known - primarily based on findings from the Osteoarthritis Initiative - about the risk factors and natural history of accelerated knee osteoarthritis (AKOA) - defined as a transition from no radiographic knee osteoarthritis to advanced-stage disease < 4 years - and put these findings in context with typical osteoarthritis (slowly progressing disease), aging, prior case reports/series, and relevant animal models. Risk factors in the 2 to 4 years before radiographic manifestation of AKOA (onset) include older age, higher body mass index, altered joint alignment, contralateral osteoarthritis, greater pre-radiographic disease burden (structural, symptoms, and function), or low fasting glucose. One to 2 years before AKOA onset people often exhibit rapid articular cartilage loss, larger bone marrow lesions and effusion-synovitis, more meniscal pathology, slower chair-stand or walking pace, and increased global impact of arthritis than adults with typical knee osteoarthritis. Increased joint symptoms predispose a person to new joint trauma, which for someone who develops AKOA is often characterized by a destabilizing meniscal tear (e.g., radial or root tear). One in 7 people with AKOA onset subsequently receive a knee replacement during a 9-year period. The median time from any increase in radiographic severity to knee replacement is only 2.3 years. Despite some similarities, AKOA is different than other rapidly progressive arthropathies and collapsing these phenomena together or extracting results from one type of osteoarthritis to another should be avoided until further research comparing these types of osteoarthritis is conducted. Animal models that induce meniscal damage in the presence of other risk factors or create an incongruent distribution of loading on joints create an accelerated form of osteoarthritis compared to other models and may offer insights into AKOA. CONCLUSION: Accelerated knee osteoarthritis is unique from typical knee osteoarthritis. The incidence of AKOA in the Osteoarthritis Initiative and Chingford Study is substantial. AKOA needs to be taken into account and studied in epidemiologic studies and clinical trials.

Composite quantitative knee structure metrics predict the development of accelerated knee osteoarthritis: data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to determine if composite structural measures of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) progression on magnetic resonance (MR) imaging can predict the radiographic onset of accelerated knee osteoarthritis. METHODS: We used data from a nested case-control study among participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative without radiographic KOA at baseline. Participants were separated into three groups based on radiographic disease progression over 4 years: 1) accelerated (Kellgren-Lawrence grades [KL] 0/1 to 3/4), 2) typical (increase in KL, excluding accelerated osteoarthritis), or 3) no KOA (no change in KL). We assessed tibiofemoral cartilage damage (four regions: medial/lateral tibia/femur), bone marrow lesion (BML) volume (four regions: medial/lateral tibia/femur), and whole knee effusion-synovitis volume on 3 T MR images with semi-automated programs. We calculated two MR-based composite scores. Cumulative damage was the sum of standardized cartilage damage. Disease activity was the sum of standardized volumes of effusion-synovitis and BMLs. We focused on annual images from 2 years before to 2 years after radiographic onset (or a matched time for those without knee osteoarthritis). To determine between group differences in the composite metrics at all time points, we used generalized linear mixed models with group (3 levels) and time (up to 5 levels). For our prognostic analysis, we used multinomial logistic regression models to determine if one-year worsening in each composite metric change associated with future accelerated knee osteoarthritis (odds ratios [OR] based on units of 1 standard deviation of change). RESULTS: Prior to disease onset, the accelerated KOA group had greater average disease activity compared to the typical and no KOA groups and this persisted up to 2 years after disease onset. During a pre-radiographic disease period, the odds of developing accelerated KOA were greater in people with worsening disease activity [versus typical KOA OR (95% confidence interval [CI]): 1.58 (1.08 to 2.33); versus no KOA: 2.39 (1.55 to 3.71)] or cumulative damage [versus typical KOA: 1.69 (1.14 to 2.51); versus no KOA: 2.11 (1.41 to 3.16)]. CONCLUSIONS: MR-based disease activity and cumulative damage metrics may be prognostic markers to help identify people at risk for accelerated onset and progression of knee osteoarthritis.

Effusion-synovitis and infrapatellar fat pad signal intensity alteration differentiate accelerated knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether greater effusion-synovitis volume and infrapatellar fat pad (IFP) signal intensity alteration differentiate incident accelerated knee OA (KOA) from a gradual onset of KOA or no KOA. METHODS: We classified three sex-matched groups of participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative who had a knee with no radiographic KOA at baseline (recruited 2004-06; Kellgren-Lawrence <2; n = 125/group): accelerated KOA: ⩾1 knee progressed to Kellgren-Lawrence grade ⩾3 within 48 months; common KOA: ⩾1 knee increased in radiographic scoring within 48 months; and no KOA: both knees had the same Kellgren-Lawrence grade at baseline and 48 months. The observation period included up to 2 years before and after when the group criteria were met. Two musculoskeletal radiologists reported presence of IFP signal intensity alteration and independent readers used a semi-automated method to segment effusion-synovitis volume. We used generalized linear mixed models with group and time as independent variables, as well as testing a group-by-time interaction. RESULTS: Starting at 2 years before disease onset, adults who developed accelerated KOA had greater effusion-synovitis volume than their peers (accelerated KOA: 11.94 ± 0.90 cm3, KOA: 8.29 ± 1.19 cm3, no KOA: 8.14 ± 0.90 cm3) and have greater odds of having IFP signal intensity alteration than those with no KOA (odds ratio = 2.07, 95% CI = 1.14-3.78). Starting at 1 year prior to disease onset, those with accelerated KOA have greater than twice the odds of having IFP signal intensity alteration than those with common KOA. CONCLUSION: People with IFP signal intensity alteration and/or greater effusion-synovitis volume in the absence of radiographic KOA may be at high risk for accelerated KOA, which may be characterized by local inflammation.

Racial Differences in Insurance Stability After Health Insurance Reform.

BACKGROUND: One of the potential benefits of insurance reform is greater stability of insurance and reduced coverage disparities by race and ethnicity. OBJECTIVES: We examined the temporal trends in insurance coverage by racial/ethnic group before and after Massachusetts Insurance Reform by abstracting records across 2 urban safety net hospital systems. RESEARCH DESIGN: We examined adjusted odds of being uninsured and incident rate ratios of gaining and losing insurance over time by race and ethnicity. We used billing records to capture the payer for each episode of care. SUBJECTS: We included data from January 2005 through December 2013 on patients with hypertension between the ages of 21 and 64 years. We compared 4 racial and ethnic groups: non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic Asian, and Hispanic. MEASURES: We examined individual patients' insurance coverage status in 6-month intervals. We compared odds of being uninsured in the transition and postinsurance reform period to the prereform period, adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities practice location and education, and income by Census tract. RESULTS: Among 48,291 patients with hypertension, reduction in rates of uninsurance with insurance reform was greater for Hispanic (29.7%), non-Hispanic Black (24.8%), and non-Hispanic Asian (26.8%) than non-Hispanic white (14.9%) patients. The odds of becoming uninsured were reduced in all racial and ethnic groups (odds ratio, 0.27-0.41). CONCLUSIONS: Massachusetts Insurance Reform resulted in stable insurance coverage and a reduction in disparities in insurance instability by race and ethnicity.

Early pre-radiographic structural pathology precedes the onset of accelerated knee osteoarthritis.

BACKGROUND: Accelerated knee osteoarthritis (AKOA) is characterized by more pain, impaired physical function, and greater likelihood to receive a joint replacement compared to individuals who develop the typical gradual onset of disease. Prognostic tools are needed to determine which structural pathologies precede the development of AKOA compared to individuals without AKOA. Therefore, the purpose of this manuscript was to determine which pre-radiographic structural features precede the development of AKOA. METHODS: The sample comprised participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) who had at least one radiographically normal knee at baseline (Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] grade < 1). Participants were classified into 2 groups based on radiographic progression from baseline to 48 months: AKOA (KL grade change from < 1 to > 3) and No AKOA. The index visit was the study visit when participants met criteria for AKOA or a matched timepoint for those who did not develop AKOA. Magnetic resonance (MR) images were assessed for 12 structural features at the OAI baseline, and 1 and 2 years prior to the index visit. Separate logistic regression models (i.e. OAI baseline, 1 and 2 years prior) were used to determine which pre-radiographic structural features were more likely to antedate the development of AKOA compared to individuals not developing AKOA. RESULTS: At the OAI baseline visit, degenerative cruciate ligaments (Odds Ratio [OR] = 2.2, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] = 1.3,3.5), infrapatellar fat pad signal intensity alteration (OR = 2.0, 95%CI = 1.2,3.2), medial/lateral meniscal pathology (OR = 2.1/2.4, 95%CI = 1.3,3.4/1.5,3.8), and greater quantitative knee effusion-synovitis (OR = 2.2, 95%CI = 1.4,3.4) were more likely to antedate the development of AKOA when compared to those that did not develop AKOA. These results were similar at one and two years prior to disease onset. Additionally, medial meniscus extrusion at one year prior to disease onset (OR = 3.5, 95%CI = 2.1,6.0) increased the likelihood of developing AKOA. CONCLUSIONS: Early ligamentous degeneration, effusion/synovitis, and meniscal pathology precede the onset of AKOA and may be prognostic biomarkers.

Accelerated knee osteoarthritis is associated with pre-radiographic degeneration of the extensor mechanism and cruciate ligaments: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

BACKGROUND: To determine if adults with incident accelerated knee osteoarthritis (KOA) are more likely to have degenerative knee ligaments or tendons compared to individuals with typical or no KOA. METHODS: We identified 3 sex-matched groups among Osteoarthritis Initiative participants who had a knee without radiographic KOA at baseline (Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] < 2): 1) accelerated KOA: at least 1 knee had KL grade ≥ 3 in ≤48 months, 2) typical KOA: at least 1 knee increased in radiographic scoring within 48 months, 3) no KOA: both knees had the same KL grade at baseline and 48 months. We evaluated knee magnetic resonance images up to 2 years before and after a visit when the accelerated or typical KOA criteria were met (index visit). Radiologists reported degenerative signal changes for cruciate and collateral ligaments, and extensor mechanism and proximal gastrocnemius tendons. We used generalized linear mixed models with 2 independent variables: group and time. RESULTS: Starting at least 2 years before onset, adults with accelerated KOA were twice as likely to have degenerative cruciate ligaments than no KOA (odds ratio = 2.10, 95% CI = 1.18, 3.74). A weaker association (not statistically significant) was detected for adults with accelerated versus typical KOA (OR = 1.72, 95%CI = 0.99, 3.02). Regardless of time, adults with accelerated (odds ratio = 2.13) or typical KOA (odds ratio = 2.16) were twice as likely to have a degenerative extensor mechanism than no KOA. No other structural features were statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Degenerative cruciate ligaments or extensor mechanism antedate radiographic onset of accelerated KOA. Hence, knee instability may precede accelerated KOA, which might help identify patients at high-risk for accelerated KOA and novel prevention strategies.

Diffuse tibiofemoral cartilage change prior to the development of accelerated knee osteoarthritis: Data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

We compared the spatial distribution of tibiofemoral cartilage change between individuals who will develop accelerated knee osteoarthritis (KOA) versus typical onset of KOA prior to the development of radiographic KOA. We conducted a longitudinal case-control analysis of 129 individuals from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. We assessed the percent change in tibiofemoral cartilage on magnetic resonance images at 36 informative locations from 2 to 1 year prior to the development of accelerated (n = 44) versus typical KOA (n = 40). We defined cartilage change in the accelerated and typical KOA groups at 36 informative locations based on thresholds of cartilage percent change in a no KOA group (n = 45). We described the spatial patterns of cartilage change in the accelerated KOA and typical KOA groups and performed a logistic regression to determine if diffuse cartilage change (predictor; at least half of the tibiofemoral regions demonstrating change in multiple informative locations) was associated with KOA group (outcome). There was a non-significant trend that individuals with diffuse tibiofemoral cartilage change were 2.2 times more likely to develop accelerated knee OA when compared with individuals who develop typical knee OA (OR [95% CI] = 2.2 [0.90-5.14]. Adults with accelerated or typical KOA demonstrate heterogeneity in spatial distribution of cartilage thinning and thickening. These results provide preliminary evidence of a different spatial pattern of cartilage change between individuals who will develop accelerated versus typical KOA. These data suggest there may be different mechanisms driving the early structural disease progression between accelerated versus typical KOA. Clin. Anat. 32:369-378, 2019. © 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.