Biomarkers predictive of atrial fibrillation in patients with cryptogenic stroke. Insights from the Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke (NOR-FIB) study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: There are currently no biomarkers to select cryptogenic stroke (CS) patients for monitoring with insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs), the most effective tool for diagnosing atrial fibrillation (AF) in CS. The purpose of this study was to assess clinically available biomarkers as predictors of AF. METHODS: Eligible CS and cryptogenic transient ischaemic attack patients underwent 12-month monitoring with ICMs, clinical follow-up and biomarker sampling. Levels of cardiac and thromboembolic biomarkers, taken within 14 days from symptom onset, were compared between patients diagnosed with AF (n = 74) during monitoring and those without AF (n = 185). Receiver operating characteristic curves were created. Biomarkers reaching area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ≥ 0.7 were dichotomized by finding optimal cut-off values and were used in logistic regression establishing their predictive value for increased risk of AF in unadjusted and adjusted models. RESULTS: B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), creatine kinase, D-dimer and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I and T were significantly higher in the AF than non-AF group. BNP and NT-proBNP reached the predefined area under the curve level, 0.755 and 0.725 respectively. Optimal cut-off values were 33.5 ng/l for BNP and 87 ng/l for NT-proBNP. Regression analysis showed that NT-proBNP was a predictor of AF in both unadjusted (odds ratio 7.72, 95% confidence interval 3.16-18.87) and age- and sex-adjusted models (odds ratio 4.82, 95% confidence interval 1.79-12.96). CONCLUSION: Several clinically established biomarkers were associated with AF. NT-proBNP performed best as AF predictor and could be used for selecting patients for long-term monitoring with ICMs.

Cryptogenic stroke and TIA: Suggested diagnostic approach while waiting for evaluation and treatment guidelines.

BACKGROUND: Empiric strategies for secondary prevention in cryptogenic stroke and cryptogenic TIA are lacking. The best therapy to prevent recurrence depends on the cause of stroke. Attempting a correct diagnosis is therefore the fundamental goal of stroke treatment. Further investigation into the source of embolism if suspected, and determination of the etiology, even if demanding, is the needed prerequisite for optimal secondary prevention and risk reduction. AIMS: This paper discusses evaluation and treatment of cryptogenic stroke in light of recent years' clinical trials results and developments in cardiology and neuroradiology. No ethical approval was needed for this work. RESULTS: Cardioembolism due to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, patent foramen ovale, or cardiomyopathy; occult atherosclerosis from unstable plaques and hypercoagulable conditions seem to be the most common underlying causes to be revealed by further investigations. Treatment of these conditions can reduce the stroke recurrence significantly. CONCLUSIONS: An individual approach and targeted diagnostics using advanced medical technologies in selected patients, who may benefit from a tailored treatment regimen, can help reveal a probable cause in the majority of strokes and TIAs previously classified as cryptogenic.

Imaging features for the identification of atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke patients.

BACKGROUND: Whether specific imaging aspects can be used to identify cryptogenic stroke (CS) patients with high risk of underlying atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. The purpose of this study was to evaluate brain-imaging features in CS patients and their utility as AF predictors. METHODS: The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke study was a prospective observational study of CS and transient ischemic attack patients undergoing 12-month cardiac-rhythm monitoring, biomarker and clinical assessments. In this imaging sub-study, brain magnetic resonance imaging and computed tomography scans from 106 patients were assessed for acute and chronic ischemic lesions in relation to AF occurrence and included in a score to predict AF. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the discriminative ability of the score and for its dichotomization for predictive model. RESULTS: Age, periventricular white-matter hyperintensities (PVWMH), acute lesion size, and vessel occlusion were significantly associated with AF. Acute and chronic cortical infarcts as well as chronic cerebellar infarcts were numerically more frequent in the AF group than the non-AF group. A score consisting of six features (0-6 points) was proposed (age ≥ 65 years, chronic cortical or cerebellar lesions, acute cortical lesions, PVWMH ≥ 2 in Fazekas scale, vessel occlusion, and acute lesion size ≥ 10 mm). Area under ROC curve was 0.735 and a score of ≥ 3 points was a predictor of AF. CONCLUSIONS: The suggested score was shown to identify CS patients with an increased risk of underlying AF.

Biomarkers Associated with Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Ischemic Stroke: A Pilot Study from the NOR-FIB Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cardioembolic stroke due to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) may account for 1 out of 4 cryptogenic strokes (CS) and transient ischemic attacks (TIAs). The purpose of this pilot study was to search for biomarkers potentially predicting incident AF in patients with ischemic stroke or TIA. METHODS: Plasma samples were collected from patients aged 18 years and older with ischemic stroke or TIA due to AF (n = 9) and large artery atherosclerosis (LAA) with ipsilateral carotid stenosis (n = 8) and age- and sex-matched controls (n = 10). Analyses were performed with the Olink technology simultaneously measuring 184 biomarkers of cardiovascular disease. For bioinformatics, acquired data were analyzed using gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA). Selected proteins were validated using ELISA. Individual receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and odds ratios from logistic regression were calculated. A randomForest (RF) model with out-of-bag estimate was applied for predictive modeling. RESULTS: GSEA indicated enrichment of proteins related to inflammatory response in the AF group. Interleukin (IL)-6, growth differentiation factor (GDF)-15, and pentraxin-related protein PTX3 were the top biomarkers on the ranked list for the AF group compared to the LAA group and the control group. ELISA validated increased expression of all tested proteins (GDF-15, PTX3, and urokinase plasminogen activator surface receptor [U-PAR]), except for IL-6. 19 proteins had the area under the ROC curve (AUC) over 0.85 including all of the proteins with significant evolution in the logistic regression. AUCs were very discriminant in distinguishing patients with and without AF (LAA and control group together). GDF-15 alone reached AUC of 0.95. Based on RF model, all selected participants in the tested group were classified correctly, and the most important protein in the model was GDF-15. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate an association between inflammation and AF and that multiple proteins alone and in combination may potentially be used as indicators of AF in CS and TIA patients. However, further studies including larger samples sizes are needed to support these findings. In the ongoing NOR-FIB study, we plan further biomarker assessments in patients with CS and TIA undergoing long-term cardiac rhythm monitoring with insertable cardiac monitors.

Atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack - The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke (NOR-FIB) Study: Rationale and design.

PURPOSE: Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation is often suspected as a probable cause of cryptogenic stroke. Continuous long-term ECG monitoring using insertable cardiac monitors is a clinically effective technique to screen for atrial fibrillation and superior to conventional follow-up in cryptogenic stroke. However, more studies are needed to identify factors which can help selecting patients with the highest possibility of detecting atrial fibrillation with prolonged rhythm monitoring. The clinical relevance of short-term atrial fibrillation, the need for medical intervention and the evaluation as to whether intervention results in improved clinical outcomes should be assessed. METHOD: The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke Study is an international, multicentre, prospective, observational trial evaluating the occurrence of occult atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack. Patients with cryptogenic stroke or transient ischaemic attack from the Nordic countries are included and will have the Reveal LINQ® Insertable cardiac monitor system implanted for 12 months for atrial fibrillation detection. Biomarkers which can be used as predictors for atrial fibrillation and may identify patients, who could derive the most clinical benefit from the detection of atrial fibrillation by prolonged monitoring, are being studied. CONCLUSION: The primary endpoint is atrial fibrillation burden within 12 months of continuous rhythm monitoring. Secondary endpoints are atrial fibrillation burden within six months, levels of biomarkers predicting atrial fibrillation, CHA2DS2-VASc score, incidence of recurrent stroke or transient ischaemic attack, use of anticoagulation and antiarrhythmic drugs, and quality of life measurements. The clinical follow-up period is 12 months. The study started in 2017 and the completion is expected at the end of 2020.