Siponimod ameliorates metabolic oligodendrocyte injury via the sphingosine-1 phosphate receptor 5.

Multiple sclerosis (MS), an autoimmune-driven, inflammatory demyelinating disease of the central nervous system (CNS), causes irreversible accumulation of neurological deficits to a variable extent. Although there are potent disease-modifying agents for its initial relapsing-remitting phase, immunosuppressive therapies show limited efficacy in secondary progressive MS (SPMS). Although modulation of sphingosine-1 phosphate receptors has proven beneficial during SPMS, the underlying mechanisms are poorly understood. In this project, we followed the hypothesis that siponimod, a sphingosine-1 phosphate receptor modulator, exerts protective effects by direct modulation of glia cell function (i.e., either astrocytes, microglia, or oligodendrocytes). To this end, we used the toxin-mediated, nonautoimmune MS animal model of cuprizone (Cup) intoxication. On the histological level, siponimod ameliorated cuprizone-induced oligodendrocyte degeneration, demyelination, and axonal injury. Protective effects were evident as well using GE180 translocator protein 18-kDa (TSPO) imaging with positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) imaging or next generation sequencing (NGS). Siponimod also ameliorated the cuprizone-induced pathologies in Rag1-deficient mice, demonstrating that the protection is independent of T and B cell modulation. Proinflammatory responses in primary mixed astrocytes/microglia cell cultures were not modulated by siponimod, suggesting that other cell types than microglia and astrocytes are targeted. Of note, siponimod completely lost its protective effects in S1pr5-deficient mice, suggesting direct protection of degenerating oligodendrocytes. Our study demonstrates that siponimod exerts protective effects in the brain in a S1PR5-dependent manner. This finding is not just relevant in the context of MS but in other neuropathologies as well, characterized by a degeneration of the axon-myelin unit.

Protein Biomarkers in Blood Reflect the Interrelationships Between Stroke Outcome, Inflammation, Coagulation, Adhesion, Senescence and Cancer.

The most important predictors for outcomes after ischemic stroke, that is, for health deterioration and death, are chronological age and stroke severity; gender, genetics and lifestyle/environmental factors also play a role. Of all these, only the latter can be influenced after the event. Recurrent stroke may be prevented by antiaggregant/anticoagulant therapy, angioplasty of high-grade stenoses, and treatment of cardiovascular risk factors. Blood cell composition and protein biomarkers such as C-reactive protein or interleukins in serum are frequently considered as biomarkers of outcome. Here we aim to provide an up-to-date protein biomarker signature that allows a maximum of mechanistic understanding, to predict health deterioration following stroke. We thus surveyed protein biomarkers that were reported to be predictive for outcome after ischemic stroke, specifically considering biomarkers that predict long-term outcome (≥ 3 months) and that are measured over the first days following the event. We classified the protein biomarkers as immune­inflammatory, coagulation-related, and adhesion-related biomarkers. Some of these biomarkers are closely related to cellular senescence and, in particular, to the inflammatory processes that can be triggered by senescent cells. Moreover, the processes that underlie inflammation, hypercoagulation and cellular senescence connect stroke to cancer, and biomarkers of cancer-associated thromboembolism, as well as of sarcopenia, overlap strongly with the biomarkers discussed here. Finally, we demonstrate that most of the outcome-predicting protein biomarkers form a close-meshed functional interaction network, suggesting that the outcome after stroke is partially determined by an interplay of molecular processes relating to inflammation, coagulation, cell adhesion and cellular senescence.

Does residential exposure to air pollutants influence mortality and cardiovascular morbidity of older people from primary care?

BACKGROUND: Diseases affecting the cardiovascular system are the most common cause of death worldwide. In addition to classical risk factors of atherosclerosis, long-term exposure to particulate matter with particles of size up to 10 µm (PM10) in the atmosphere has become an increasing focus of scientific attention in recent decades. This study analyses the associations of residential-associated air pollutants exposure with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular morbidity of older patients in a primary care setting. METHODS: The "German Epidemiological Trial on Ankle Brachial Index" (getABI) is a prospective cohort study that started in 2001 and included 6,880 primary care patients with a follow-up of 7 years. The PM10 and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations in the atmosphere are interpolated values from the study "Mapping of background air pollution at a fine spatial scale across the European Union". The primary outcome in this analysis is death of any cause, a secondary outcome is onset of PAD. Cox proportional hazards regression was used in a two-step modelling, the first step with basic adjustment only for age, sex, and one or more air pollutants, the second with additional risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 6,819 getABI patients were included in this analysis. 1,243 of them died during the study period. The hazard ratio (HR) (1.218, 95%-confidence-interval (CI) 0.949-1.562) for the risk of death from any cause was elevated by 22% per 10 µg/m3 increase of PM10 in the fully adjusted model, although not statistically significant. Increased PM10 exposure in combination with the presence of PAD had a significantly increased risk (HR = 1.560, 95%-CI: 1.059-2.298) for this endpoint in the basic adjustment, but not in the fully adjusted model. 736 patients developed peripheral artery disease (PAD) during the course of the study. There was no association of air pollutants and the onset of PAD. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis renders some hints for the impact of air pollutants (PM10, NO2, and proximity to major road) on mortality. Interaction of PAD with PM10 was found. There was no association of air pollutants and the onset of PAD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: German Clinical Trials Register: DRKS00029733 (19/09/2022).

Impact of lunch with carbohydrates differing in glycemic index on children's cognitive functioning in the late postprandial phase: a randomized crossover study.

PURPOSE: Studies about effects of lunch dietary Glycemic Index (GI) on cognition of schoolchildren are scarce. Our previous CogniDo GI study found no changes of cognition in the early postprandial phase after consumption of two rice types with medium vs. high dietary GI for lunch (i.e., 45 min after starting lunch). This study investigated whether the dietary GI of lunch has an impact on cognition of schoolchildren in the late postprandial phase, 90 min after lunch. METHODS: A randomized, 2 × 2 crossover intervention study was conducted at a comprehensive school with 5th and 6th grade students. Participants (n = 212) were randomly assigned to either sequence 1 or 2. In the first period, participants of sequence 1 received a dish with high GI rice (GI: 79), those of sequence 2 with medium GI rice (GI: 64)-in the second period, 1 week later, vice versa. Computer-based cognitive testing was performed 90 min after lunch examining tonic alertness, visual search and task switching, and working memory. Treatment effects and treatment effects adjusted for estimated lunch glycemic load (GL) were analyzed using a linear mixed model. RESULTS: The selected cognitive parameters were not affected by the GI of lunch 90 min after lunch, neither after intention-to-treat nor in the per-protocol analysis. Adjustment for GL also did not change results. CONCLUSION: The present study revealed no notable differences after the consumption of two rice types with medium vs. high dietary GI for lunch in children's cognitive function in the late postprandial phase, 90 min after lunch. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS00013597); date of registration: 16/04/2018, retrospectively registered.

The role of breastfeeding promotion in German hospitals for exclusive breastfeeding duration.

Breastfeeding promotion and support in hospitals is expected to have a positive impact on maternal breastfeeding outcomes. The objective of this study is to examine the association between breastfeeding promotion in maternity hospitals in Germany and exclusive breastfeeding (EBF) rates during the first 4 months. Thus, a nationwide cross-sectional web-based survey of breastfeeding promotion was conducted in 103 hospitals. Mother-infant pairs (n = 962) were recruited at these hospitals for a prospective web-based survey of breastfeeding status at five-time points, that is, during a hospital stay, at discharge as well as after 0.5, 2, and 4 months. The hospital analysis was based on the "10 Steps to Successful Breastfeeding" of the World Health Organization and the United Nations Children's Fund, adapted for Germany. Their degree of implementation was stratified by a breastfeeding promotion index (BPI) as low (≤5 steps), medium (6-8 steps), and high (≥9 steps). The association between the BPI and the odds of EBF at each of the five-time points was estimated by multivariable regression models, adjusting for various maternal factors. At all time points, the proportion of EBF among mothers from high BPI hospitals exceeded the proportion of those from medium or low BPI hospitals. A high BPI was associated with higher odds of EBF during the hospital stay and at discharge, while maternal factors for EBF such as breastfeeding experience and no early use of a pacifier persisted beyond. The high commitment of hospitals and tailored support of mothers is essential for EBF.

Long-term survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy in patients with ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreatic head.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has the worst prognosis of all malignant tumors due to unavailable screening methods, late diagnosis with a low proportion of resectable tumors and resistance to systemic treatment. Complete tumor resection remains the cornerstone of modern multimodal strategies aiming at long-term survival. This study was performed to investigate the overall rate of long-term survival (LTS) and its contributing factors. METHODS: This was a retrospective single-center analysis of consecutive patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for PDAC between 2007 and 2014 at the St. Josef Hospital, Ruhr University Bochum, Germany. Clinical and laboratory parameters were assessed and evaluated for prediction of LTS with Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: The overall rate of LTS after PD for PDAC was 20.4% (34/167). Median survival was 24 months regardless of adjuvant treatment. Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels, tumor grade, lymph vessel invasion, perineural invasion and reduced general condition were significantly associated with LTS in univariate analysis (P < 0.05). Serum levels of carbohydrate antigen 19-9, American Joint Committee on Cancer stage, tumor grade, abdominal pain, male, exocrine pancreatic insufficiency and duration of postoperative hospital stay were independent predictors of cancer survival in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Cancer related characteristics are associated with LTS in multimodally treated patients after curative PDAC surgery.

Socioeconomic factors and the onset of peripheral artery disease in older adults.

Background: As evidence concerning the impact of socioeconomic factors on the risk of peripheral artery disease (PAD) is sparse, we assessed the association of education and area-level factors (population density, type of municipality and local unemployment rate) on the onset of PAD in older adults. Patients and methods: The analysis used data of the getABI study, a prospective cohort study with seven years of follow-up. Onset of PAD was determined by ankle brachial index (<0.9) or PAD symptoms. Cox regression analysis was employed. Results: Out of 5,444 primary care attendees without PAD at baseline, there were 1,381 participants with PAD onset (cumulative observation time 31,739 years), yielding an event rate of 43.5 (0.95 confidence interval [0.95 CI] 41.2-45.8) per 1,000 person-years. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed an association of PAD onset with low education (hazard ratio 1.29; 0.95 CI 1.14-1.46; P<0.001), high population density (0.93; 0.89-0.98; P=0.002), small cities (compared to large cities) (0.71; 0.53-0.96; P=0.027) and high local unemployment rate (1.04; 1.00-1.07; P=0.032). The impact of low education on PAD onset was higher for men (2.11; 1.64-2.72) than for women (1.22; 1.07-1.40) (interaction term P=0.013). Conclusions: Socioeconomic factors, education as well as area-level socioeconomic indicators, make independent contributions to PAD onset in older adults.

Sokrat II - An International, Prospective, Multicenter, Phase IV Diagnostic Trial to Evaluate the Efficacy of the Wrist SAFE Algorithm in Fracture Sonography of Distal Forearm Fractures in Children.

BACKGROUND: Distal forearm fractures are the most common fractures in childhood and can be diagnosed with ultrasound. The aim of this study was to demonstrate the eligibility of Wrist SAFE for clinical use and the avoidance of X-ray application in children. METHODS: We enrolled patients from 0 - 12 years with suspected distal forearm fractures. They were treated according to the Wrist SAFE algorithm, a detailed pathway for ultrasound fracture diagnosis, treatment decisions and control options. Additionally, 9 clinical predictors were tested. Depending on sonographic and clinical findings, patients were treated with functional movement, immobilization or surgery. Follow-up was conducted after 5 days and 3 months. RESULTS: 16 physicians (6 specialists, 10 assistants) at 5 study sites examined 498 (234 boys, 251 girls, 13 not specified) patients with ultrasound, age 8.4 (0 - 12) years. 321 (64 %) patients were diagnosed with a fracture, 5 (0.8 %) with suspected fracture; X-rays were conducted in 58 cases (12 %), 9 (1.8 %) of them on day 1 and 49 (9.8 %) on day 5; sonographic diagnosis was confirmed in 57 of 58 (98 %) cases; in one case, the sonographic diagnosis of "contusion" was revised to "radius fracture". 381 patients (77 %) underwent final follow-up after an average of 96 (62 - 180) days. All patients were symptom-free at that time. Palpatory bone pain over the radius/ulna and swelling were identified as clinical predictors. 81 % of X-rays were avoided. CONCLUSION: Wrist SAFE enables the safe diagnosis and therapy of distal forearm fractures in children. Findings can be reviewed safely, also enabling physicians in training to use the method. 81 % of X-rays can be avoided, a figure that corresponds to 2.8 million X-rays in the G10 member states. After performing 100 examinations, physician have acquired the necessary sonography skills.

Gamma-glutamyl transferase as a risk factor for mortality and cardiovascular events in older adults - results from a prospective cohort study in a primary care setting (getABI).

Background: In primary care, the gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) activity is used for assessing hepatobiliary dysfunction, but is also known to be associated with the risk of cardiovascular events as well as overall mortality. As this knowledge is mainly based on cohorts with middle-aged participants, we aim to assess these associations in elderly patients in a primary care setting. Patients and methods: 6,880 unselected primary care patients, aged 65 years or older, were enrolled by 344 general practitioners all over Germany (getABI study). During seven years of follow-up, coronary heart disease (CHD) events (myocardial infarction or coronary revascularization), cerebrovascular events (stroke or carotid revascularization) and deaths were recorded. Event rates were calculated and Cox regression analysis with adjustment for age, gender, GGT, classical and other risk factors (e.g. education, homocysteine, C-reactive protein, vitamin D) was performed. Results: 1,243 patients died. 27.8 deaths per 1,000 patient years (0.95 confidence interval [0.95 CI]: 26.2-29.3) occurred in the whole cohort. 605 participants had a CHD event, i.e. 16.1 per 1,000 patient years (0.95 CI: 14.8-17.4). 296 cerebrovascular events were observed, i.e. 7.7 per 1,000 patient years (0.95 CI: 6.9-8.6). Cox regression analysis with adjustment for the above-mentioned risk factors showed a significant impact of baseline elevation of GGT above the 3rd quartile (women > 18 U/L, men > 26 U/L) compared to the rest on mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.38, 95% CI 1.22-1.56, p < 0.001) and cerebrovascular events (1.39, 95% CI: 1.08-1.79), p = 0.010), whereas the association with CHD events (HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 0.97-1.39, p = 0.103) showed no significance. Conclusions: In a primary care setting, GGT values have a significant association with overall mortality and cerebrovascular events, but not with CHD events in elderly patients.

Response to methotrexate predicts long-term mortality of patients with rheumatoid arthritis independent of the degree of response: results of a re-evaluation 30 years after baseline.

OBJECTIVES: To assess if there is a correlation between the degree of response to treatment with methotrexate (MTX) and long-term mortality in a cohort of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) established in Germany in the early eighties. METHODS: RA patients who had started MTX treatment between 1980 and 1987 were included. One year after baseline, the treatment response was evaluated. Responders were defined as patients with at least 20% decline in the swollen joint count (out of 32 joints) and the ESR with a prednisone dosage <5 mg/day. Thereafter, assessments were performed at 10, 18, and 30 years after baseline. Standardised mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated, Cox regression and logistic regression were performed. RESULTS: The cohort comprised 271 patients. In 2015, about 30 years after the initiation of MTX therapy, 185 patients (68%) were deceased, 52 (19%) lost to follow-up and 34 alive. The response after the first year of MTX treatment was the strongest predictor of survival with a hazard ratio of 0.44 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.30-0.65). However, even responders still had an SMR of 1.37 (95% CI 1.31-1.65), but this was much worse for non-responders who had an SMR of 4.22 (95% CI 3.13-5.56). Using Cox regression analysis no difference was detected between responders with more than 50% improvement (38% of all patients) and those with 20-50% improvement (28%). CONCLUSIONS: The predictive value of a response to one year of MTX therapy for long-term mortality of RA patients is independent of the degree of response.

Interactions between C-reactive protein and traditional risk factors in predicting mortality of older adults.

BACKGROUND: Elevated levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) are known to be associated with cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality in older adults, however, there seems to be heterogeneity of this association across subsets of individuals. We aim to assess the effects of interactions between CRP and one of the following traditional CV risk factors regarding all-cause mortality in unselected elderly men and women: age, sex, body mass index, diabetes, and hypertension. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Three hundred and forty-four general practitioners all over Germany enrolled 6,817 unselected participants, aged 65 years or older, and performed thorough examinations, including CRP measurement at baseline (getABI study). All-cause mortality was determined in the following seven years. Cox regression analyses were done using uni- and multivariable models. RESULTS: At baseline 4,172 participants of this cohort had a CRP value of ≤ 3 mg/L (low level CRP group), 2,645 participants had a CRP value of > 3 mg/L (high level CRP group). The unadjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death of the high level CRP group compared to the low level CRP group was 1.49 (95 % confidence interval [95 %CI] 1.34 to 1.66). After adjustment for sex, age, education, peripheral artery disease/media sclerosis, other prior vascular events, smoking status, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication, body mass index, cholesterol, and statin use, the hazard ratio was 1.34 (95 %CI 1.20 to 1.50). Significant interactions with CRP were found for sex (adjusted hazard ratio 1.38, 95 %CI 1.11 to 1.72), age (0.75, 95 %CI 0.60 to 0.94), and baseline systolic blood pressure (0.64, 95 % CI 0.51 to 0.81). The interactions of CRP with body mass index and of CRP with diabetes were not significant. CONCLUSIONS: In older German adults, there seem to be effect modifications by age, sex, and arterial hypertension regarding the effect of CRP in the prediction of all-cause mortality.

The risk of peripheral artery disease in older adults - seven-year results of the getABI study.

BACKGROUND: To assess the risk of peripheral artery disease (PAD) in older adults and the contribution of traditional and novel risk factors to the incidence of PAD. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 344 general practitioners (GPs), trained by vascular specialists all over Germany, enrolled 6,880 unselected participants aged 65 years or older (getABI study). The onset of PAD was determined by a regression method in the course of repeated measurements of the ankle brachial index (ABI) over seven years. PAD onset was defined by the declining linear regression ABI line reaching 0.9 or by PAD symptoms. RESULTS: The cumulative PAD incidence over seven years was 12.9%, corresponding to an incidence rate of 20.3 per 1000 person years (95% confidence interval [95%CI] 18.8 to 21.7). Logistic regression analysis showed that traditional risk factors contributed significantly to the risk of PAD: current smoker status (odds ratio 2.65, 95%CI 2.08 to 3.37), diabetes (1.35, 95%CI 1.13 to 1.62), and low-density lipoprotein >130 mg/dl (1.26, 95%CI 1.07 to 1.48). Three novel risk factor candidates showed significant impact on PAD incidence: elevated sensitive C-reactive protein level (1.23, 95%CI 1.05 to 1.45), impaired estimated glomerular filtration rate (1.27, 95%CI 1.03 to 1.56), and elevated homocysteine level (1.19, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.41). CONCLUSIONS: Older adults in Germany have a PAD risk of 12.9% per seven years. Potentially modifiable traditional PAD risk factors yield high impact on PAD incidence. Novel risk factor candidates may contribute to the risk of PAD.

On the relevance of technical variation due to building pools in microarray experiments.

BACKGROUND: Pooled samples are frequently used in experiments measuring gene expression. In this method, RNA from different individuals sharing the same experimental conditions and explanatory variables is blended and their concentrations are jointly measured. As a matter of principle, individuals are represented in equal shares in each pool. However, some degree of disproportionality may arise from the limits of technical precision. As a consequence a special kind of technical error occurs, which can be modelled by a respective variance component. Previously published theory - allowing for variable pool sizes - has been applied to four microarray gene expression data sets from different species in order to assess the practical relevance of this type of technical error in terms of significance and size of this variance component. RESULTS: The number of transcripts with a significant variance component due to imperfect blending was found to be 4329 (23 %) in mouse data and 7093 (49 %) in honey bees, but only 6 in rats and none whatsoever in human data. These results correspond to a false discovery rate of 5 % in each data set. The number of transcripts found to be differentially expressed between treatments was always higher when the blending error variance was neglected. Simulations clearly indicated overly-optimistic (anti-conservative) test results in terms of false discovery rates whenever this source of variability was not represented in the model. CONCLUSIONS: Imperfect equality of shares when blending RNA from different individuals into joint pools of variable size is a source of technical variation with relevance for experimental design, practice at the laboratory bench and data analysis. Its potentially adverse effects, incorrect identification of differentially expressed transcripts and overly-optimistic significance tests, can be fully avoided, however, by the sound application of recently established theory and models for data analysis.

Flexible pooling in gene expression profiles: design and statistical modeling of experiments for unbiased contrasts.

Pooling is an important resource in microarray gene expression experiments. Due to restrictions imposed by the statistical analysis it is widespread practice to employ a fixed pool size over the whole experiment. But this limits the efficient use of experimental material. In this paper we propose a design with flexible pool sizes for mRNA pooling which includes varying numbers of experimental units per pool. Enforcing balance between the pool sizes of every treatment level, we show the unbiasedness of the generalized least squares estimator of a contrast testing for differences in gene expression between treatments. In order to model the variability of pooled observations we include random biological effects as well as a special kind of technical error (random effect for mixtures), induced by inaccuracies in blending aliquots of mRNA from different individuals into common pools. Results for one-color arrays are also extended to two-color arrays.

What makes an orthopaedic paper highly citable? A bibliometric analysis of top orthopeadic journals with 10-year follow up.

PURPOSE: To examine a series of papers from top ranked orthopaedic journals with respect to the number of citations over a 10-year observation period to identify factors that lead to high citation rates. METHODS: The Web of Science database was consulted to identify all published papers from the first-year term of 2010 (January-May) from four top orthopaedic journals: AJSM, Arthroscopy, JBJS Am and KSSTA. The database was used to analyze and compare the papers with respect to their characteristics and citations up to 2019. Basic information for each paper was collected including the author, country, study type and average citations per year (ACY). The most (Top20%) and least (Bottom20%) frequently cited papers were identified and differences were extracted. RESULTS: Five hundred sixteen papers were included with a total of 19,261 citations. Most of the published papers were from the United States (n = 245). On average, a paper received 37.3 citations over the 10-year observation period. The most cited paper was cited 322 times. The most cited study type was randomized controlled trial (RCT) (Ø80.8). The Top20% papers were cited 37 times more often than the Bottom20%. Among the Top20%, the largest group was cohort study (n = 20) followed by case series (n = 19). Among others, the number of authors, the number of keywords and the number of references significantly correlated with the number of citations (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Factors influencing citation frequency were identified.

Potentially inappropriate medication including drug-drug interaction and the risk of frequent falling, hospital admission, and death in older adults - results of a large cohort study (getABI).

Introduction: With growing age, multiple chronic diseases may result in polypharmacy. Drugs that should be avoided in older adults are called potentially inappropriate medications (PIM). Beyond PIM, drug-drug interactions (DDI) are known to be related to adverse drug events. This analysis examines the risk of frequent falling, hospital admission, and death in older adults associated with PIM and/or DDI (PIM/DDI) prescription. Materials and methods: This post hoc analysis used data of a subgroup of the getABI study participants, a large cohort of community-dwelling older adults. The subgroup comprised 2120 participants who provided a detailed medication report by telephone interview at the 5-year getABI follow-up. The risks of frequent falling, hospital admission, and death in the course of the following 2 years were analysed by logistic regression in uni- and multivariable models with adjustment for established risk factors. Results: Data of all 2,120 participants was available for the analysis of the endpoint death, of 1,799 participants for hospital admission, and of 1,349 participants for frequent falling. The multivariable models showed an association of PIM/DDI prescription with frequent falling (odds ratio (OR) 1.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-2.60, p = 0.027) as well as with hospital admission (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.04-1.58, p = 0.018), but not with death (OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.58-1.72, p = 0.999). Conclusion: PIM/DDI prescription was associated with the risk of hospital admission and frequent falling. No association was found with death by 2 years. This result should alert physicians to provide a closer look at PIM/DDI prescriptions.

Machine Learning Models Predict the Need of Amputation and/or Peripheral Artery Revascularization in Hypertensive Patients Within 7-Years Follow-Up.

Lower extremity amputation and requirement of peripheral artery revascularization are common outcomes of undiagnosed peripheral artery disease patients. In the current work, prediction models for the need of amputation or peripheral revascularization focused on hypertensive patients within seven years follow up are employed. We applied machine learning (ML) models using classifiers such as Extreme Gradient Boost (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF) and Adaptive Boost (AdaBoost), that will allow clinicians to identify the patients at risk of these two endpoints using simple clinical data. We used the non-interventional cohort of the getABI study in the primary care setting, selecting 4,191 hypertensive patients out of 6,474 patients with age over 65 years old and followed up for vascular events or death up to 7 years. During this follow up period, 150 patients underwent either amputation or peripheral revascularization or both. Accuracy, Specificity, Sensitivity and Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were estimated for each machine learning model. The results demonstrate Random Forest as the most accurate model for the prediction of the composite endpoint in hypertensive patients within 7 years follow-up, achieving 73.27 % accuracy.Clinical Relevance-This study assists clinicians to better predict and treat these serious outcomes, amputation and peripheral revascularization in hypertensive patients.

ERBB2 Amplification as a Predictive and Prognostic Biomarker in Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma.

Upper tract urothelial carcinomas (UTUCs) occur in about 5-10% of all urothelial carcinomas and are frequently discovered in high-stage disease. We aimed to evaluate human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (ERBB2) protein expression immunohistochemically and ERBB2 amplification in UTUCs by fluorescence in situ hybridization, applying a tissue microarray technique. ERBB2 overexpression and ERBB2 amplification were defined according to the recommendations of the American Society of Clinical Oncology/College of American Pathologists (ASCO/CAP) for breast cancer and gastric carcinoma (GC), revealing scores of 2+ and 3+ in 10.2% and 41.8% of UTUCs, respectively. The performance parameters showed obviously higher sensitivity of ERBB2 immunoscoring according to the ASCO/CAP criteria for GC. ERBB2 amplification was detected in 10.5% of UTUCs. ERBB2 overexpression was more likely to be found in high-grade tumors and was associated with tumor progression. Univariable Cox regression analysis revealed a significantly lower progression-free survival (PFS) in cases with ERBB2 immunoscores of 2+ or 3+ according to the ASCO/CAP guidelines for GC. UTUCs with ERBB2 amplification showed a significantly shorter PFS in the multivariable Cox regression analysis. Irrespective of their ERBB2 status, patients with UTUC treated with platin showed a significantly lower PFS than UTUC patients who had not received any platin-based therapy. In addition, UTUC patients with a normal ERBB2 gene status who had not received platin-based therapy showed significantly longer overall survival. The results suggest that ERBB2 is a biomarker for progression in UTUCs and may define a distinct subgroup of UTUCs. As previously shown, ERBB2 amplification is infrequent. However, the small number of patients diagnosed with ERBB2-amplified UTUC might benefit from ERBB2-targeted cancer therapy. In clinical-pathological routine diagnostics, the determination of ERBB2 amplification is an established method in some defined entities and also successful in small samples. Still, the simultaneous use of ERBB2 immunohistochemistry and ERBB2 in situ hybridization would be important in order to record the low rate of amplified UTUC cases as completely as possible.

Anticholinergic burden measures, symptoms, and fall-associated risk in older adults with polypharmacy: Development and validation of a prognostic model.

BACKGROUND: Anticholinergic burden has been associated with adverse outcomes such as falls. To date, no gold standard measure has been identified to assess anticholinergic burden, and no conclusion has been drawn on which of the different measure algorithms best predicts falls in older patients from general practice. This study compared the ability of five measures of anticholinergic burden to predict falls. To account for patients' individual susceptibility to medications, the added predictive value of typical anticholinergic symptoms was further quantified in this context. METHODS AND FINDINGS: To predict falls, models were developed and validated based on logistic regression models created using data from two German cluster-randomized controlled trials. The outcome was defined as "≥ 1 fall" vs. "no fall" within a 6-month follow-up period. Data from the RIME study (n = 1,197) were used in model development, and from PRIMUM (n = 502) for external validation. The models were developed step-wise in order to quantify the predictive ability of anticholinergic burden measures, and anticholinergic symptoms. In the development set, 1,015 patients had complete data and 188 (18.5%) experienced ≥ 1 fall within the 6-month follow-up period. The overall predictive value of the five anticholinergic measures was limited, with neither the employed anticholinergic variable (binary / count / burden), nor dose-dependent or dose-independent measures differing significantly in their ability to predict falls. The highest c-statistic was obtained using the German Anticholinergic Burden Score (0.73), whereby the optimism-corrected c-statistic was 0.71 after interval validation using bootstrapping and 0.63 in the external validation. Previous falls and dizziness / vertigo had the strongest prognostic value in all models. CONCLUSIONS: The ability of anticholinergic burden measures to predict falls does not appear to differ significantly, and the added value they contribute to risk classification in fall-prediction models is limited. Previous falls and dizziness / vertigo contributed most to model performance.