Recent Immigrants With Inflammatory Bowel Disease Have Significant Healthcare Utilization From Preconception to Postpartum: A Population Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Immigrants with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) may have increased healthcare utilization during pregnancy compared with non-immigrants, although this remains to be confirmed. We aimed to characterize this between these groups. METHODS: We accessed administrative databases to identify women (aged 18-55 years) with IBD with a singleton pregnancy between 2003 and 2018. Immigration status was defined as recent (<5 years of the date of conception), remote (≥5 years since the date of conception), and none. Differences in ambulatory, emergency department, hospitalization, endoscopic, and prenatal visits during 12 months preconception, pregnancy, and 12 months postpartum were characterized. Region of immigration origin was ascertained. Multivariable negative binomial regression was performed for adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: A total of 8,880 pregnancies were included, 8,304 in non-immigrants, 96 in recent immigrants, 480 in remote immigrants. Compared with non-immigrants, recent immigrants had the highest rates of IBD-specific ambulatory visits during preconception (aIRR 3.06, 95% CI 1.93-4.85), pregnancy (aIRR 2.15, 95% CI 1.35-3.42), and postpartum (aIRR 2.21, 1.37-3.57) and the highest rates of endoscopy visits during preconception (aIRR 2.69, 95% CI 1.64-4.41) and postpartum (aIRR 2.01, 95% CI 1.09-3.70). There were no differences in emergency department and hospitalization visits between groups, although those arriving from the Americas were the most likely to be hospitalized for any reason. All immigrants with IBD were less likely to have a first trimester prenatal visit. DISCUSSION: Recent immigrants were more likely to have IBD-specific ambulatory care but less likely to receive adequate prenatal care during pregnancy.

No association between metformin initiation and incident dementia in older adults newly diagnosed with diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Metformin has been suggested to reduce dementia risk; however, most epidemiologic studies have been limited by immortal time bias or confounding due to disease severity. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association of metformin initiation with incident dementia using strategies that mitigate these important sources of bias. METHODS: Residents of Ontario, Canada ≥66 years newly diagnosed with diabetes from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2017 entered this retrospective population-based cohort. To consider the indication for metformin monotherapy initiation, people with hemoglobin A1c of 6.5%-8.0% and estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥45 mL/min/1.73 m2 were selected. Using the landmark method to address immortal time bias, exposure was grouped into "metformin monotherapy initiation within 180 days after new diabetes diagnosis" or "no glucose-lowering medications within 180 days." To address disease latency, 1-year lag time was applied to the end of the 180-day landmark period. Incident dementia was defined using a validated algorithm for Alzheimer's disease and related dementias. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated from propensity-score weighted Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Over mean follow-up of 6.77 years from cohort entry, metformin initiation within 180 days after new diabetes diagnosis (N = 12,331; 978 events; 65,762 person-years) showed no association with dementia risk (aHR [95% CI] = 1.05 [0.96-1.15]), compared to delayed or no glucose-lowering medication initiation (N = 22,369; 1768 events; 117,415 person-years). CONCLUSION: Early metformin initiation was not associated with incident dementia in older adults newly diagnosed with diabetes. The utility of metformin to prevent dementia was not supported.

Young adults with a 22q11.2 microdeletion and the cost of aging with complexity in a population-based context.

PURPOSE: Information about the impact on the adult health care system is limited for complex rare pediatric diseases, despite their increasing collective prevalence that has paralleled advances in clinical care of children. Within a population-based health care context, we examined costs and multimorbidity in adults with an exemplar of contemporary genetic diagnostics. METHODS: We estimated direct health care costs over an 18-year period for adults with molecularly confirmed 22q11.2 microdeletion (cases) and matched controls (total 60,459 person-years of data) by linking the case cohort to health administrative data for the Ontario population (∼15 million people). We used linear regression to compare the relative ratio (RR) of costs and to identify baseline predictors of higher costs. RESULTS: Total adult (age ≥ 18) health care costs were significantly higher for cases compared with population-based (RR 8.5, 95% CI 6.5-11.1) controls, and involved all health care sectors. At study end, when median age was <30 years, case costs were comparable to population-based individuals aged 72 years, likelihood of being within the top 1st percentile of health care costs for the entire (any age) population was significantly greater for cases than controls (odds ratio [OR], for adults 17.90, 95% CI 7.43-43.14), and just 8 (2.19%) cases had a multimorbidity score of zero (vs 1483 (40.63%) controls). The 22q11.2 microdeletion was a significant predictor of higher overall health care costs after adjustment for baseline variables (RR 6.9, 95% CI 4.6-10.5). CONCLUSION: The findings support the possible extension of integrative models of complex care used in pediatrics to adult medicine and the potential value of genetic diagnostics in adult clinical medicine.

Treatment Patterns and Outcomes in Pancreatic Cancer: A Comparative Analysis of Ontario and the USA.

BACKGROUND: Comparative studies evaluating quality of care in different healthcare systems can guide reform initiatives. This study seeks to characterize best practices by comparing utilization and outcomes for patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) in the USA and Ontario, Canada. METHODS: Patients (age ≥ 66 years) with PC were identified from the Ontario Cancer Registry and SEER-Medicare databases from 2006 to 2015. Demographics and treatment (surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, or multimodality (surgery and chemotherapy)) were described. In resected patients, neoadjuvant therapy, readmission, and 30- and 90-day postoperative mortality rates were calculated. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: This study includes 38,858 and 11,512 patients with PC from the USA and Ontario, respectively. More female patients were identified in the USA (54.0%) versus Ontario (46.9%). In the entire cohort, US patients received more radiation in addition to other therapies (18.8% vs. 13.5% Ontario) and chemotherapy alone (34.3% vs. 19.0% Ontario). While rates of resection were similar (13.4% USA vs.12.5% Ontario), multimodality therapy was more common in the UAS (9.0% vs. 6.4%). Among resected patients, neoadjuvant chemotherapy was uncommon in both groups, although more frequent in the USA (12.0% vs. 3.2% Ontario). The 30- and 90-day postoperative mortality rates were lower in Ontario vs. the USA (30-day: 3.26% vs. 4.91%; 90-day: 7.08% vs. 10.96%), however, overall survival was similar between the USA and Ontario. CONCLUSIONS: We observed substantive differences in treatment and outcomes between PC patients in the USA and Ontario, which may reflect known differences in healthcare systems. Close evaluation of healthcare policies can inform initiatives to improve care quality.

Prevalence and repair patterns of vesicovaginal fistula: a large retrospective population-based cohort analysis.

PURPOSE: Vesicovaginal fistulae (VVF) have a significant negative impact on quality of life, with failed surgical repair resulting in ongoing morbidity. Our aim was to characterize the rate of VVF repair and repair failures over time, and to identify predictors of repair failure. METHODS: We completed a population-based, retrospective cohort study of all women who underwent VVF repair in Ontario, Canada, aged 18 and older between 2005 and 2018. Risk factors for repair failure were identified using multivariable cox proportional hazard analysis; interrupted time series analysis was used to determine change in VVF repair rate over time. RESULTS: 814 patients underwent VVF repair. Of these, 117 required a second repair (14%). Mean age at surgery was 52 years (SD 15). Most patients had undergone prior gynecological surgery (68%), and 76% were due to iatrogenic injury. Most repairs were performed by urologists (60%). Predictors of VVF re-repair included iatrogenic injury etiology (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.3-3.45, p = 0.009), and endoscopic repair (HR 6.1, 95% CI 3.1-11.1, p < 0.05,); protective factors included combined intra-abdominal/trans-vaginal repair (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.3-0.8, p = 0.009), and surgeon years in practice (21 + years-HR 0.5, 95% CI 0.3-0.9, p = 0.005). Age adjusted annual rate of VVF repair (ranging from 0.8 to 1.58 per 100,000 women) and re-repair did not change over time. CONCLUSIONS: VVF repair and re-repair rates remained constant between 2005 and 2018. Iatrogenic injury and endoscopic repair predicted repair failure; combined intra-abdominal/trans-vaginal repair, and surgeon years in practice were protective. This suggests surgeon experience may protect against VVF repair failure.

Short- and long-term outcomes of acute diverticulitis in patients with transplanted kidneys.

AIM: The safety of nonoperative treatment for patients with transplanted kidneys who develop acute diverticulitis is unclear. Our primary aim was to examine the long-term sequelae of nonoperative management in this group. METHOD: We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study using linked administrative databases housed at ICES in Ontario, Canada. We included adult (≥18 years) patients admitted with acute diverticulitis between April 2002 and December 2019. Patients with a functioning kidney transplant were compared with those without a transplant. The primary outcome was failure of conservative management (operation, drainage procedure or death due to acute diverticulitis) beyond 30 days. The cumulative incidence function and a Fine-Grey subdistribution hazard model were used to evaluate this outcome accounting for competing risks. RESULTS: We examined 165 patients with transplanted kidneys and 74 095 without. Patients with transplanted kidneys were managed conservatively 81% of the time at the index event versus 86% in nontransplant patients. Short-term outcomes were comparable, but cumulative failure of conservative management at 5 years occurred in 5.6% (95% CI 2.3%-11.1%) of patients with transplanted kidneys versus 2.1% (95% CI 2.0%-2.3%) in those without. Readmission for acute diverticulitis was also higher in transplanted patients at 5 years at 16.7% (95% CI 10.1%-24.7%) versus 11.6% (95% CI 11.3%-11.9%). Adjusted analyses showed increased failure of conservative management [subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) 3.24, 95% CI 1.69-6.22] and readmissions (sHR 1.55, 95% CI 1.02-2.36) for patients with transplanted kidneys. CONCLUSION: Most patients with transplanted kidneys are managed conservatively for acute diverticulitis. Although long-term readmission and failure of conservative management is higher for this group than the nontransplant population, serious outcomes are infrequent, substantiating the safety of this approach.

Comparison of the number of pedestrian and cyclist injuries captured in police data compared with health service utilisation data in Toronto, Canada 2016-2021.

INTRODUCTION: Pedestrian and cyclist injuries represent a preventable burden to Canadians. Police-reported collision data include information on where such collisions occur but under-report the number of collisions. The primary objective of this study was to compare the number of police-reported collisions with emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalisations in Toronto, Canada. METHODS: Police-reported collisions were provided by Toronto Police Services (TPS). Data included the location of the collision, approximate victim age and whether the pedestrian or cyclist was killed or seriously injured. Health services data included ED visits in the National Ambulatory Care Reporting System and hospitalisations from the Discharge Abstract Database using ICD-10 codes for pedestrian and cycling injuries. Data were compared from 2016 to 2021. RESULTS: Injuries reported in the health service data were higher than those reported in the TPS for cyclists and pedestrians. The discrepancy was the largest for cyclists treated in the ED, with TPS capturing 7.9% of all cycling injuries. Cyclist injuries not involving a motor vehicle have increased since the start of the pandemic (from 3629 in 2019 to 5459 in 2020 for ED visits and from 251 in 2019 to 430 for hospital admissions). IMPLICATIONS: While police-reported data are important, it under-reports the burden. There have been increases in cyclist collisions not involving motor vehicles and decreases in pedestrian injuries since the start of the pandemic. The results suggest that using police data alone when planning for road safety is inadequate, and that linkage with other health service data is essential.

Age- and sex-specific associations of frailty with mortality and healthcare utilization in community-dwelling adults from ontario, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Understanding how health trajectories are related to the likelihood of adverse outcomes and healthcare utilization is key to planning effective strategies for improving health span and the delivery of care to older adults. Frailty measures are useful tools for risk stratification in community-based and primary care settings, although their effectiveness in adults younger than 60 is not well described. METHODS: We performed a 10-year retrospective analysis of secondary data from the Ontario Health Study, which included 161,149 adults aged ≥ 18. Outcomes including all-cause mortality and hospital admissions were obtained through linkage to ICES administrative databases with a median follow-up of 7.1-years. Frailty was characterized using a 30-item frailty index. RESULTS: Frailty increased linearly with age and was higher for women at all ages. A 0.1-increase in frailty was significantly associated with mortality (HR = 1.47), the total number of outpatient (IRR = 1.35) and inpatient (IRR = 1.60) admissions over time, and length of stay (IRR = 1.12). However, with exception to length of stay, these estimates differed depending on age and sex. The hazard of death associated with frailty was greater at younger ages, particularly in women. Associations with admissions also decreased with age, similarly between sexes for outpatient visits and more so in men for inpatient. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that frailty is an important health construct for both younger and older adults. Hence targeted interventions to reduce the impact of frailty before the age of 60 would likely have important economic and social implications in both the short- and long-term.

Surgical Outcomes between Routes of Hysterectomy in Patients with a Previous Cesarean Section.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To determine the difference in surgical complications for patients with a previous cesarean section (CS) undergoing abdominal, vaginal, or laparoscopic hysterectomy. DESIGN: A population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Province of Ontario, Canada. PATIENTS: 10 300 patients with at least 1 CS between July 1, 1991, and February 17, 2018. INTERVENTIONS: Benign, nongravid hysterectomy between Apr 1, 2002, and March 31, 2018. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary outcome was a composite of all surgical complications within 30 days of surgery. Secondary outcomes were rate of genitourinary complications, readmission to hospital, and emergency department visit occurring within 30 days of surgery. Of 10 300 patients who had at least one previous CS, who underwent subsequent hysterectomy for a benign indication, 7370 underwent an abdominal hysterectomy (71.55%), 813 (7.9%) had a vaginal hysterectomy, and 2117 (20.55%) underwent a laparoscopic hysterectomy. The adjusted odds of any surgical complication from hysterectomy was significantly lower when performed by the vaginal approach than the laparoscopic approach (odds ratio, 0.32; 95% confidence interval, 0.20-0.51; p <.0001). There was no difference in the odds of surgical complication between abdominal and laparoscopic approaches (odds ratio, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 0.87-1.37; p = .45). CONCLUSION: Our retrospective population-based study demonstrates that, after previous CS, patients selected to undergo vaginal hysterectomy experienced lower risk than either abdominal or laparoscopic approaches. This suggests that CS alone should not be a contraindication to vaginal hysterectomy.

Association between preoperative cardiac risk assessment and health care costs in major noncardiac surgery: a multicentre health economic analysis.

PURPOSE: Patients with impaired functional capacity who undergo major surgery are at increased risk of postoperative morbidity including complications and increased length of stay. These outcomes have been associated with increased hospital and health system costs. We aimed to assess whether common preoperative risk indices are associated with postoperative cost. METHODS: We conducted a health economic analysis focused on the subset of Measurement of Exercise Tolerance before Surgery (METS) study participants in Ontario, Canada. Participants were scheduled for major elective noncardiac surgery and underwent several preoperative assessments of cardiac risk, including physicians' subjective assessment, Duke Activity Status Index (DASI) questionnaire, peak oxygen consumption, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide concentration. Using linked health administrative data, postoperative costs were calculated for both one year and in-hospital. Using multiple regression models, we tested for association between the preoperative measures of cardiac risk and postoperative costs. RESULTS: Our study included 487 patients (mean [standard deviation] age 68 [11] yr and 47.0% female) who underwent noncardiac surgery between 13 June 2013 and 8 March 2016. Overall, the median [interquartile range] cost incurred within one year postoperatively was CAD 27,587 [13,902-32,590], of which CAD 12,928 [10,253-12,810] were incurred in-hospital and CAD 14,497 [10,917-15,017] were incurred by 30 days. None of the four preoperative measures of cardiac risk assessment were associated with costs incurred in hospital or at one year postoperatively. This lack of strong association persisted in sensitivity analyses considering type of surgical procedure, burden of preoperative cost, and when costs were categorized as quantiles. CONCLUSION: In patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery, common measures of functional capacity are not consistently associated with total postoperative cost. Until further data exist that differ from this analysis, clinicians and health care funders should not assume that preoperative measures of cardiac risk are associated with annual health care or hospital costs for such surgeries.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: La patientèle présentant une capacité fonctionnelle dégradée qui bénéficie d'une intervention chirurgicale majeure court un risque accru de morbidité postopératoire, y compris de complications et de prolongation de la durée de séjour. Ces issues ont été associées à une augmentation des coûts hospitaliers et du système de santé. Notre objectif était d'évaluer si des indices de risque préopératoires communs étaient associés aux coûts postopératoires. MéTHODE: Nous avons effectué une analyse de l'économie de la santé axée sur le sous-ensemble des participant·es à l'étude METS (Measurement of Exercise Tolerance before Surgery) en Ontario, au Canada. Les participant·es devaient bénéficier d'une chirurgie non cardiaque et non urgente majeure et ont complété plusieurs évaluations préopératoires du risque cardiaque, notamment l'évaluation subjective des médecins, le questionnaire DASI (Duke Activity Status Index), la consommation maximale d'oxygène et la concentration de prohormone N-terminale du peptide natriurétique de type B (cérébral) (NT-proBNP). À l'aide de données administratives couplées de santé, les coûts postopératoires ont été calculés à la fois pour une année et à l'hôpital. À l'aide de modèles de régression multiples, nous avons testé l'association entre les mesures préopératoires du risque cardiaque et les coûts postopératoires. RéSULTATS: Notre étude a inclus 487 personnes (âge moyen [écart type] 68 [11] ans et 47,0 % de femmes) ayant bénéficié d'une chirurgie non cardiaque entre le 13 juin 2013 et le 8 mars 2016. Dans l'ensemble, le coût médian [écart interquartile] engagé dans l'année qui a suivi l'opération était de 27 587 CAD [13 902­32 590], dont 12 928 CAD [10 253­12 810] ont été encourus à l'hôpital et 14 497 CAD [10 917­15 017] ont été encourus dans les premiers 30 jours. Aucune des quatre mesures préopératoires de l'évaluation du risque cardiaque n'était associée aux coûts engagés à l'hôpital ou un an après l'opération. Cette absence d'association forte persistait dans les analyses de sensibilité tenant compte du type d'intervention chirurgicale, du fardeau des coûts préopératoires et lorsque les coûts étaient classés en quantiles. CONCLUSION: Chez la patientèle bénéficiant d'une chirurgie non cardiaque majeure, les mesures courantes de la capacité fonctionnelle ne sont pas systématiquement associées au coût postopératoire total. Jusqu'à ce qu'il existe d'autres données qui diffèrent de cette analyse, les cliniciens et cliniciennes et les organismes finançant les soins de santé ne devraient pas présumer que les mesures préopératoires du risque cardiaque sont associées aux coûts annuels des soins de santé ou des hôpitaux pour de telles chirurgies.

Radiation Oncologist Consultations Prior to Radical Prostatectomy: Disparities and Opportunities.

PURPOSE: In 2015, men undergoing radical prostatectomy in Ontario, Canada were recommended to undergo multidisciplinary care by seeing a radiation oncologist or discussion at multidisciplinary rounds before surgery. The a priori target rate was ≥76%. We used population-based data to explore factors associated with not receiving multidisciplinary care prior to radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Men who underwent radical prostatectomy for localized prostate cancer in Ontario between 2007 and 2017 were identified using administrative data. Physician billings identified patients who received multidisciplinary care. Multivariable logistic regression was used to predict receipt of multidisciplinary care. RESULTS: A total of 31,485 men underwent radical prostatectomy between 2007 and 2017. Of these patients 28.7% saw a radiation oncologist, 1.2% underwent multidisciplinary discussion and 1.9% had both before surgery. Multidisciplinary care receipt increased from 17.8% in 2007 to 47.8% in 2017 (p <0.001). The odds ratio between the highest and lowest geographic regions was 7.93 (95% CI 6.17-10.18, p <0.001). Lower odds of multidisciplinary care receipt were observed for men further from the nearest cancer center (OR 0.74 per 50 km, 95% CI 0.71-0.78, p <0.001) and higher odds for the highest versus lowest income quintile (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.29-1.54, p <0.001). Of 128 urologists who performed ≥10 radical prostatectomies between 2016 and 2017, 29 (22.7%) met the target of having ≥76% of men seen for multidisciplinary care prior to surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Despite increasing utilization, many men do not receive multidisciplinary care prior to radical prostatectomy. While geography and the urologist appear to be the greatest factors predicting multidisciplinary care receipt, these factors are closely intertwined.

Clinical and endoscopist factors associated with post-colonoscopy colorectal cancer in a population-based sample.

AIM: Factors associated with verified post-colonoscopy colorectal cancers (PCCRC) have not been well defined and survival for these patients is not well described. We aimed to assess the association of patient, tumour and endoscopist characteristics with PCCRC. METHODS: Using population-based data, we identified individuals diagnosed with CRC from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2005 who underwent a colonoscopy within 3 years prior to diagnosis. Detected cancers were those diagnosed ≤6 months following colonoscopy; PCCRC were diagnosed >6 months to ≤3 years following colonoscopy. Post-colonoscopy and detected cancers were verified through chart review using a hospital-based simple random sampling frame. We used multivariable conditional logistic regression to determine the association of patient, tumour and endoscopist factors with PCCRC and compared overall survival using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Using the random sampling frame, we identified 498 patients with PCCRC and 498 with detected CRC; we obtained records and confirmed 367 patients with PCCRC and 412 with detected cancers. In multivariable analysis, patient age (OR 1.01; 95% CI 1.00-1.03) and tumour location (distal vs. proximal OR 0.36; 95% CI 0.25-0.53) were associated with PCCRC; endoscopist quality measures were not significantly associated with PCCRC. We did not find significant differences in overall survival between PCCRC and detected cancers (hazard ratio 1.12; 95% CI 0.92-1.32). CONCLUSION: Although endoscopic quality measures are important for CRC prevention, endoscopist factors were not associated with PCCRC. This study highlights the need for further research into the role of tumour biology in PCCRC development.

Low-acuity emergency department use among patients in different primary care models in Hamilton and Ontario.

Jurisdictions such as Hamilton, Ontario, where most primary care practices participate in patient enrolment models with enhanced after-hours access, may demonstrate overall improved health equity outcomes. Non-urgent Emergency Department (ED) use has been suggested as an indicator of primary care access; however, the impact of primary care access on ED use is uncertain and likely varies by patient and contextual factors. This population-based, retrospective study investigated whether or not different primary care models were associated with different rates of non-urgent ED visits in Hamilton, a city with relatively high neighbourhood marginalization, compared to the rest of Ontario from 2014/2015 to 2017/2018. In Ontario, enrolment capitation-based practices had more non-urgent ED visits than non-enrolment fee-for-service practices. In Hamilton, where most of the city's family physicians are in enrolment capitation-based practices, differences between models were minimal. The influence of primary care reforms may differ depending on how they are distributed within regions.

Is There an Association between Urinary Incontinence and Mortality? A Retrospective Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: Previous studies have shown an association between urinary incontinence and increased mortality independently of demographics and health status. However, they do not account for the effect of frailty as a state of vulnerability. We evaluated whether there is an association between urinary incontinence and mortality and, if so, whether adjustment for a frailty index would affect the association. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study in a nationally representative sample of 2,282 community dwelling individuals 50 years old or older who were surveyed between 2003 and 2006. The study primary outcome was overall survival as reported on December 31, 2011. We used design adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models to estimate the hazard of mortality associated with urinary incontinence. We adjusted the models for demographics and a validated 45-item frailty index incorporating an accumulation of deficits in the domains of health and independence. RESULTS: Of the individuals 23% reported having urinary incontinence at least a few times per week. Stress urinary incontinence and urge urinary incontinence were associated with a 13.3% (95% CI 7.2-19.7) and 18.4% (95% CI 8.3-29.4) increase in the frailty index, respectively. Without controlling for frailty individuals with urinary incontinence were at higher risk for death (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.13-1.72). When adjusted for the frailty index, the association between urinary incontinence and mortality was no longer significant (HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.89-1.36). CONCLUSIONS: The association between urinary incontinence and mortality can be understood based on increased frailty in incontinent individuals. Urinary incontinence itself is not independently associated with mortality. In clinical practice these findings underscore the importance of screening for frailty in addition to urinary incontinence.

Screening strategies to identify sepsis in the prehospital setting: a validation study.

BACKGROUND: In the prehospital setting, differentiating patients who have sepsis from those who have infection but no organ dysfunction is important to initiate sepsis treatments appropriately. We aimed to identify which published screening strategies for paramedics to use in identifying patients with sepsis provide the most certainty for prehospital diagnosis. METHODS: We identified published strategies for screening by paramedics through a literature search. We then conducted a validation study in Alberta, Canada, from April 2015 to March 2016. For adult patients (≥ 18 yr) who were transferred by ambulance, we linked records to an administrative database and then restricted the search to patients with infection diagnosed in the emergency department. For each patient, the classification from each strategy was determined and compared with the diagnosis recorded in the emergency department. For all strategies that generated numeric scores, we constructed diagnostic prediction models to estimate the probability of sepsis being diagnosed in the emergency department. RESULTS: We identified 21 unique prehospital screening strategies, 14 of which had numeric scores. We linked a total of 131 745 eligible patients to hospital databases. No single strategy had both high sensitivity (overall range 0.02-0.85) and high specificity (overall range 0.38-0.99) for classifying sepsis. However, the Critical Illness Prediction (CIP) score, the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and the Quick Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score predicted a low to high probability of a sepsis diagnosis at different scores. The qSOFA identified patients with a 7% (lowest score) to 87% (highest score) probability of sepsis diagnosis. INTERPRETATION: The CIP, NEWS and qSOFA scores are tools with good predictive ability for sepsis diagnosis in the prehospital setting. The qSOFA score is simple to calculate and may be useful to paramedics in screening patients with possible sepsis.

Causes of Delay During Interfacility Transports of Injured Patients Transported by Air Ambulance.

Background: Many severely injured patients are initially brought to a non-trauma centers for initial assessment and stabilization. Air ambulance services are commonly used to expedite interfacility transport of injured patients to trauma centers. Little is known of the types of delays experienced during interfacility transports. The purpose of this study was to identify specific causes of modifiable delays and estimate the attributable time associated with each of these delays.Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of injured patients undergoing interfacility transfer to a trauma center who were transported by a provincial air ambulance service between January 1, 2014 and December 31, 2016. Electronic patient care records were screened and then manually reviewed to identify causes of delay during the interfacility transport process. The attributable time for each of these delays was also estimated.Results: There were 932 injured patients emergently transported by air ambulance from a community hospital to a trauma center over the 3-year study period from which 458 unique causes of delay that were identified. The most frequent cause of delays to sending facility were refueling (38%), waiting for land emergency medical services escort (25%) and weather (12%). The most common in-hospital delays included waiting for documentation (32%), delay to intubate (15%), medically unstable patient (13%) and waiting for diagnostic imaging (12%). The most frequent delays to receiving/handover included waiting for land EMS escort (31%), trauma team not assembled (24%) and weather (17%). In-hospital delays with the longest average length of delay included chest tube insertion (53 minutes), intubation (49 minutes) and delays for diagnostic imaging (46 minutes).Conclusions: In conclusion, we identified numerous modifiable causes of delay during interfacility transport. Efforts to reduce these delays can be made at both the air ambulance and hospital levels.

Patient, Paramedic and Institutional Factors Associated with Delays in Interfacility Transport of Injured Patients by Air Ambulance.

Background: Air ambulance services are commonly used to expedite interfacility transport of injured patients to trauma centers. There is a lack of evidence surrounding risk factors for delays in interfacility transport of these patients. The purpose of this study was to examine patient, paramedic, and institutional-related characteristics for delay and identify specific causes of delays in interfacility transfers by air ambulance. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of injured patients undergoing interfacility transfer to a trauma center who were transported by air ambulance. Quantile regression was used to evaluate the impact of patient, paramedic and institutional characteristics on various time intervals of the interfacility transport process. Results: There are three key findings in our study. First, the use of rotor-wing aircraft and hospital-based helipads had substantially lower transport times. Second, transports from academic centers take longer compared to sending facilities with fewer resources. Third, interfacility transport times are heavily skewed and delays disproportionately affect longer patient transports. Conclusions: Ventilator dependence, paramedic level of care, classification of sending facility and helipad availability are associated with delays to interfacility transport of injured patients. Efforts can be made at both the air ambulance and institutional levels to ensure timely and efficient transports.

Risk Factors for Non-optimal Resource Utilization for Emergent Interfacility Transfers by Air Ambulance in Ontario.

Background: The use of air ambulance to facilitate interfacility transfer has been associated with improved mortality; however, air ambulance is a limited resource and sometimes the optimal resource to transport a patient is unavailable. When a non-optimal resource is used there is an inherent delay and critically unwell patients may deteriorate as a result. This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with non-optimal resource utilization for adult patients undergoing emergent interfacility transport by air ambulance in Ontario, Canada. A secondary objective was to determine if non-optimal resource utilization was associated with deterioration in clinical status by measuring a delta rapid emergency medicine score (REMS). Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of all emergent, adult interfacility transfers transported by air ambulance over a 5-year period in Ontario, Canada. Determination of optimal resource use was based on distances and historic time data for all sending-receiving facility pairs. A logistic regression model was used to explore patient, provider and institutional risk factors for non-optimal resource use. To explore the secondary objective a linear regression model was used to explore impact of non-optimal resource use on deltaREMS. Results: There were a total of 9,687 patients included in the study cohort, with 4,984 having an optimal resource use and 4,703 having non-optimal resource. The median delay in interfacility transfer caused by a non-optimal transfer strategy was 35.7 minutes. Patients who required mechanical ventilation (OR 1.13, p = 0.031) and or were transferred out of nursing stations had higher odds of non-optimal resource use (OR 2.84, p = 0.019). Paramedic level of care of advanced (OR 0.37, p = < 0.001) and critical care (OR 0.28, p = < 0.001) as well as spring season (OR 0.75, p = < 0.001) had lower odds of non-optimal resource utilization. Optimal resource utilization did not significantly affect delta REMS (beta coefficient 0.002, p = 0.64). Conclusions: Patients who required mechanical ventilation and were transferred out from a nursing station had higher odds of non-optimal resource utilization while patients that required advanced or critical care level of care and spring season had lower odds of non-optimal resource use. Additionally, non-optimal resource use for air ambulance interfacility transfers did not result in patient deterioration as measured by a delta REMS score.

Assessing Severity of Illness in Patients Transported to Hospital by Paramedics: External Validation of 3 Prognostic Scores.

Introduction: Emergency Medical Services (EMS) are the first healthcare contact for the majority of severely ill patients. Physiologic measures collected by EMS, when incorporated into a prognostic score, may provide important information on patient illness severity. This study compares the predictive ability of 3 common prognostic scores for predicting clinical outcomes in EMS patients. Methods: Discrimination and calibration for predicting the primary outcome of hospital mortality, and secondary outcomes of 2-day mortality and ED disposition, were assessed for each of the scores using a one-year cohort of patients transported to hospital by EMS in Alberta, Canada. For each score, binary logistic regression was used to predict hospital mortality and 2-day mortality and ordinal logistic regression was used to predict ED disposition. Discrimination for each outcome was assessed using C-statistics, and calibration was assessed using calibration curves comparing predicted versus observed outcomes. Results: The Critical Illness Prediction [CIP], Modified Early Warning Score [MEWS], and National Early Warning Score [NEWS] were compared using 121,837 adult patients who were transported by paramedics. All scores had good discrimination for hospital mortality (C-statistic CIP: 0.79, MEWS: 0.71, NEWS: 0.78) and 2-day mortality (CIP:0.85, MEWS: 0.80, NEWS:0.85) but only moderate discrimination for ED disposition (CIP: 0.68, MEWS: 0.61, NEWS: 0.66). Calibration was reliable for hospital mortality in all scores but over-predicted risk for 2-day mortality at higher scores. Overall, the CIP score had the best discrimination, good calibration, and the greatest range of predicted probabilities (0.01 at a CIP score of 0 to 0.92 at a CIP score of 8) for hospital mortality. Conclusions: Prognostic scores using physiologic measures assessed by paramedics have good predictive ability for hospital mortality. These scores, particularly the CIP score, may be considered as a tool for mortality risk stratification or as a general measure of illness severity for patients included in EMS studies.

Strategy to Identify Paramedic Transported Sepsis Cases in an Emergency Department Administrative Database.

Background: To evaluate a new strategy for identifying sepsis in Emergency Department (ED) patients that combines administrative diagnosis codes with clinical information from the point of first contact. Methods: This study linked clinical data from adult patients transported by a provincial Emergency Medical Services (EMS) system to ED and inpatient administrative databases. Sepsis cases were identified by searching ED databases for diagnosis codes consistent with infection and organ dysfunction. Organ dysfunction was further assessed using a partial Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score derived from EMS clinical information. Reliability was evaluated by comparing patients' ED diagnosis codes (ICD-10CA) to their inpatient diagnosis codes; criterion validity by comparing cases classified by the new strategy to an existing inpatient administrative algorithm; and construct validity by assessing for clinical characteristics typically associated with sepsis (e.g., mortality). Results: A total of 43,297 patients were included. ED infection codes were more reliable for classifying patients with infection than using ED sepsis codes alone (proportion of agreement with inpatient codes 79% vs. 74%; p-value < 0.001). The novel strategy requiring the presence of an infection code and either an organ dysfunction code or 2 or more SOFA points from EMS clinical information identified 1,379 more ED patients as having sepsis than the inpatient algorithm. These patients had high mortality supporting construct validity. Conclusions: Incorporation of a broader range of diagnostic codes and linking to an electronic database to obtain initial clinical information for the assessment of organ dysfunction improves reliability, criterion, and construct validity for identifying sepsis in ED patients.