Social Impact of Prophylactic Migraine Treatments in Germany: A State-Transition and Open Cohort Approach.

OBJECTIVES: Migraine is a highly prevalent neurological disorder. The most characteristic symptom of migraine is moderate to severe recurrent headache along with other neurological symptoms. In this study, we modeled the potential reduction in migraine days and corresponding avoided productivity losses if erenumab was prescribed to the patient population indicated for prophylactic migraine treatment (≥ 4 monthly migraine days [MMDs]) in Germany from 2020 to the end of 2027. METHODS: We simulated the incremental benefits of erenumab against the standard of care. Response rates, transition probabilities, discontinuation rates, and productivity estimates were derived from the erenumab clinical trial program. Patients had a probability of residing in 1 of 7 states, given the MMDs in addition to the probability of death. Based on accrued MMDs in every cycle, days of absenteeism and presenteeism for paid and unpaid work were derived. Paid work was monetized according to gross value added using the human capital approach, whereas unpaid work was valuated according to the proxy good method. In addition, downstream macroeconomic effects were captured using value-added multipliers. Direct medical costs were concomitantly calculated. RESULTS: Our results show that prescribing erenumab for the indicated population in Germany could lead to a reduction of 166 million migraine days annually and reduce productivity losses in the range of €27 billion. This includes €13.1 billion from direct productivity and €13.5 billion from economic value chain effects. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the macroeconomic effects of a systematic introduction of novel inhibitors of the calcitonin gene-related peptide pathway for migraine in Germany.

The socioeconomic burden of migraine: An evaluation of productivity losses due to migraine headaches based on a population study in Germany.

BACKGROUND: This study estimates the socioeconomic impact of migraine headaches on paid and unpaid work productivity in the adult German population in 1 year. METHODS: We used data on headache frequency (days per month) from a longitudinal population-based study. Prevalence estimates of migraine were derived from the Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network. Demography data were derived from official statistics in 2017. Aggregate headache days in 1 year were translated to losses in paid and unpaid productive hours based on estimates of presenteeism and absenteeism along with other socioeconomic parameters. Paid hours lost were distributed across the industry sectors. In this way, an age-, gender- and industry sector-specific monetary value was calculated for paid hours lost. Unpaid hours lost were valued by assigning the unpaid activities to their nearest market substitute. In a last step, value-added multipliers derived from input-output tables were used to calculate the economic value chain effects. RESULTS: A total of 15.5 million persons (20 years or older) suffer from migraine in Germany. Our analysis shows that 60% of those have three or fewer headache days per month, while patients suffering chronic migraine (15+ headache days per month) account for 5.4% of the adult migraine population. Females bear 65% of the total 836 million headache days per year. The socioeconomic losses due to migraine amount to €100.4 billion (€6493 on average per patient) in one year. CONCLUSION: In addition to time losses in paid work, migraine causes substantial socioeconomic losses to unpaid work activities due to its disproportionate prevalence among females. Economic value chain effects provide a novel perspective on losses beyond a patient's time loss. Overall, the elements of socioeconomic burden provide a strong rationale that innovative migraine therapies could be of high value to society.

Cost-effectiveness model of trastuzumab deruxtecan as second-line treatment in HER2-positive unresectable and/or metastatic breast cancer in Finland.

OBJECTIVES: Trastuzumab deruxtecan (T-DXd) was recently recommended by the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use as a treatment for adult patients with unresectable or metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer, who had received a prior anti-HER2-based regimen. In our study, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of T-DXd compared with ado-trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1) for this indication in Finland. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival analysis model was developed with a payer's perspective. Time to event data from the DESTINY-Breast03 (DB-03) trial were extrapolated over a lifetime horizon either directly-for progression-free survival and time to treatment discontinuation-or using an alternative approach utilizing long-term T-DM1 survival data and DB-03 data-for overall survival. Discount rates of 3% were applied for costs and effects. Inputs were sourced from the Medicinal Products Database from Kela, Helsinki University Hospital service price list, Finnish Medicines Agency assessments, clinical experts, and DB-03. Sensitivity analyses were performed to characterize and demonstrate parameter uncertainties in the model. RESULTS: Total quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and life years (LYs) gained for T-DXd compared with T-DM1 were 1.93 and 2.56, respectively. Incremental costs for T-DXd compared with T-DM1 were €106,800, resulting in an ICER of €55,360 per QALY gained and an ICER of €41,775 per LY gained. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the hazard ratio of T-DXd vs T-DM1 for OS was the most influential parameter. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed similar results to the base case. CONCLUSIONS: T-DXd is cost-effective based on surrogate WTP thresholds of €72,000 and €139,000 per QALY.

The Societal Economic Impact of Secukinumab in First-Line Treatment of Moderate to Severe Plaque Psoriasis in Germany: An Open-Cohort Simulation.

OBJECTIVES: Moderate to severe plaque psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory disease. In Germany, guidelines recommend fumaric acid esters (FAEs) as first-line systemic treatment. Despite treatment with FAEs, disease burden remains high in Germany. Secukinumab, a fully human monoclonal antibody, has demonstrated greater efficacy and safety than FAEs in the PRIME trial. The aim of the current study, hence, is to quantify the potential societal economic impact of secukinumab in systemic treatment-naïve patients with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis in Germany. METHODS: We employed a semi-Markov model to capture health gains at an individual level and a dynamic population model to extrapolate the findings in the population of interest. We quantified the health outcomes in two scenarios: (i) patients receiving secukinumab and (ii) patients receiving FAEs. Using estimates on change in work productivity and societal economic parameters, we translated the health outcomes into paid and unpaid economic gains. We used gross value added (GVA) to value these gains and calculated the macroeconomic indirect and induced value-chain effects. RESULTS: Our calculations show that patients treated with secukinumab spend on average 94% of their time in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) ≥ 75 state compared with 80% for patients in the FAEs scenario. When assuming that FAEs are the sole comparator to secukinumab, this difference could lead to 4.3 million active hours gained until 2030. These gained hours translate to a total societal economic impact of €308 million till 2030 for the whole patient population in GVA terms. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that using secukinumab instead of FAEs in moderate to severe plaque psoriasis could lead to substantial macroeconomic GVA gains.