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Bull Math Biol ; 80(10): 2580-2599, 2018 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30203140

RESUMO

Cholera is an acute gastro-intestinal infection that affects millions of people throughout the world each year, primarily but not exclusively in developing countries. Because of its public health ramifications, considerable mathematical attention has been paid to the disease. Here we consider one neglected aspect of combating cholera: personal participation in anti-cholera interventions. We construct a game-theoretic model of cholera in which individuals choose whether to participate in either vaccination or clean water consumption programs under assumed costs. We find that relying upon individual compliance significantly lowers the incidence of the disease as long as the cost of intervention is sufficiently low, but does not eliminate it. The relative costs of the measures determined whether a population preferentially adopts a single preventative measure or employs the measure with the strongest early adoption.


Assuntos
Cólera/prevenção & controle , Modelos Biológicos , Cólera/economia , Cólera/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra Cólera/farmacologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Água Potável/microbiologia , Teoria dos Jogos , Humanos , Conceitos Matemáticos , Cooperação do Paciente , Prática de Saúde Pública , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos
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